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The Wire · 2026-07-06
//The Wire//2300Z July 6, 2026//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: CHINA AND NORTH KOREA CONDUCT MISSILE TESTS IN PACIFIC. RUSSIA AND UKRAINE CONDUCT MAJOR TARGETING EFFORTS. INDONESIAN MILITARY RECOVERS REMAINS OF AMERICAN PILOT KILLED IN AMBUSH OVER THE WEEKEND.//
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-International Events-
Far East: Multiple missile tests were reported over the weekend, with both North Korea and China conducting tests of long-range munitions. North Korea tested a total of 12x cruise missiles from the *KANG KON*, the Choe Hyon-class Destroyer which is the newest addition to the Korean People's Navy. In China, a submarine-launched ballistic missile test was carried out at an undisclosed location in the Pacific, marking the first test of a SLBM by China in several years.
Europe: The war in Ukraine escalated over the weekend as Russia renewed strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. On Saturday, Ukrainian forces conducted more long-range drone attacks on Russian oil depots, most notably the Ust-Luga oil terminal in St. Petersburg. Separately, a different series of drone attacks struck various refineries in the Omsk region, deep within Russia. In response, Russia has conducted several strikes throughout Kiev, including the Vishnyovoye fuel depot on the southwestern outskirts of Kiev, which resulted in an extremely large fire. NASA's space-based fire detection sensors noted one very large fire at this fuel depot, along with a few smaller fires throughout the city that are anomalies from normal heat signatures in the region. In addition to the fuel depot, an ammo dump was co-located with this facility, which was used to store American tank rounds which contained depleted uranium penetrators, along with components for the production of cluster munitions which also contained depleted uranium.
Analyst Comment: Depleted uranium tank rounds are about 40% less radioactive than raw uranium that is mined out of the ground, so the radiological nature of this ammunition is not normally a concern. However, this risk changes substantially if it's on fire as the smoke produced by burning uranium does indeed present a radiological hazard, thus the evacuations. This ammunition storage area was located in a densely populated residential area, with the resulting fires prompting the evacuation of roughly 600x residents.
Indonesia: Over the weekend, Indonesian troops conducted an operation to recover the remains of an American civilian pilot who was killed by armed rebels in a remote town high in the mountains southeast of Wamena on the island of West Papua. Nicholas F. Goselin was a bush pilot flying supplies and materiel into Balinggama Airstrip when he was ambushed last Thursday. The attack was carried out by the West Papua Liberation Army (TPNPB), a separatist movement that has been seeking independence from Indonesia for a few decades. The rebels allowed Goselin to land, before murdering him on the airstrip and burning his aircraft. At the time of the ambush, a total of 7x passengers (local Indonesian villagers) were allegedly onboard the aircraft and their status is unknown.
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Analyst Comments: According to the armed rebels in Indonesia, the reason for the murder is due to Goselin allegedly shuttling Indonesian special forces into the region to fight the rebels. An American bush pilot landing at sketchy airstrips, alone, in the middle of a war-torn region high in the mountains is not a particularly safe career choice, and it's not clear as to what prompted the rebels to conduct this attack. The rebel group has claimed that they warned the aircraft not to land, but the airline that Goselin was flying for (PT AMA) made no mention of acknowledging any no-fly zones declared by armed groups.
In any case, due to the death of an American, the Indonesian military is likely to crack down hard on this region over the next few weeks, in order to prevent rebel groups from capitalizing on their power-projection operations. Back in April, the United States signed a non-binding "defensive cooperation partnership" with Indonesia as Washington sought to increase relations by way of undermining Chinese expansion in the region.
On April 13th of this year, one day before the defense pact was signed, Indonesian media reported that their nation was discussing (or had already agreed to) allowing American military access to their airspace.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
Intel Update · 2026-07-25
…In terms of the Middle East, that's a drop in the bucket. But in terms of all the other oil supplies around the world, it's not insignificant. Just for context, the United States has…
The Wire · 2026-06-15
…sites being destroyed, a whole lot of destruction in Iran itself, and the oil infrastructure in the Middle East being heavily degraded. This is why it's hard to believe that the U.S. (or Israel…
The Wire · 2026-07-09
…As a reminder, it takes up to two months for a tanker to make it's way to the US from the Middle East. Consequently, if the Iranians shut down the Strait again due to this…
The Wire · 2026-07-08
…If the ceasefire in the Middle East really is over, nobody seems to have told the Air Force, as there were a substantial number of refueling tankers on the ground at Al Udeid Airbase in Qater…
The Wire · 2026-05-01
…Aviation fuel is the canary in the coal mine, because it's a much more precious resource to Europe, with most jet fuel being refined in the Middle East and imported to Europe, but other petroleum…
The Wire · 2025-05-12
…https://apnews.com/article/middle-east-africa-libya-migration-7ec5d993bffc1dff597ccd1697a85b5d
Accusations of human rights abuses in Libya: https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2022/05/libya-hold-stability-support-authority-militia-leaders-to-account/
Tennessee…
The Wire · 2026-07-23
…TARGETING THROUGHOUT MIDDLE EAST CONTINUES TO ESCALATE. CRUDE OIL FUTURES SURGE AS HOUTHIS ENTER THE WAR BY STRIKING TWO SAUDI TANKERS. U.S. HOUSE PASSES 2027 NDAA, WITH SECTION 219 LANGUAGE INTACT. POLICE SHOOTING REPORTED IN…
The Wire · 2025-01-27
…https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/27/middleeast/trump-clean-out-gaza-middle-east-intl/index.html
DRC Conflict: https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/26/africa/congo-severs-ties-rwanda-rebels-goma-intl/index.html…
Intel Update · 2026-03-22
…Overall, the main focus has been on the expansion of the war in the Middle East due to entering a new phase of the war. The United States keeps bombing targets in Iran and the Iranians…
The Wire · 2026-04-23
//The Wire//2300Z April 23, 2026//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: USA INTERCEPTS IRANIAN TANKER IN INDIAN OCEAN. CEASEFIRE IN LEBANON EXTENDED. US SECRETARY OF THE NAVY DEPARTS POSITION.//
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-Internationa
The Wire · 2026-04-20
…PROTESTS CONTINUE IN UNITED KINGDOM.//
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-International Events-
Middle East: The situation deteriorated over the weekend, after President Trump stated that the American blockade would stay in place even after the Iranians removed theirs. In…
Intel Update · 2026-03-15
…Around the world things are heating up with the war in the Middle East continuing as before. We are now officially 2 weeks into this conflict and the situation has only escalated since the start of…
The Wire · 2026-07-17
…IRANIAN TARGETING OF MERCHANT SHIPPING REMAINS CONSTANT.//
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-International Events-
Middle East: The war escalated again overnight, with the United States beginning the series of strikes on bridges and infrastructure targets intended to soften up…
Intel Update · 2026-05-23
…In the Middle East, tensions are growing once again as rhetoric from Washington indicates that the United States is interested in reuniting the war once again in an attempt to break Iranian control over the Strait…
The Wire · 2026-05-08
…MAJOR FIRE REPORTED AT REFINERY IN LOUISIANA.//
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-International Events-
Middle East: Overnight, multiple targeting efforts took place in the Strait of Hormuz. The United Arab Emirates conducted multiple airstrikes in Iran, targeting facilities on…
The Wire · 2026-05-14
heir export partners being located in the Middle East and Southeast Asia.
United Kingdom: This morning Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned, continuing the political turmoil in the wake of the latest election cycle.
Analyst Comment: Most…
The Wire · 2026-06-29
… of Nabatiyeh, with airstrikes being reported all along the eastern front over the past few days.
Uni…
The Wire · 2026-02-28
…WAR BEGINS WITH IRAN.//
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-International Events-
Middle East: This morning the war began as American and Israeli forces conducted pre-emptive strikes throughout Iran. Major bombings have been reported throughout most major cities around…
Intel Update · 2026-04-05
…On the economic front, supply chain disruptions are underway as raw materials are either unable to transit the Strait of Hormuz or the production facilities themselves throughout the Middle East have sustained damage during the war…