ATP 2-33.4, page 82

Chapter 5 5-28 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Facts 5-111. Figure 5-18 is an example of a time event chart. In this example, two months after being organized, members of a group received demolitions training to include a substantial amount of money from drug smugglers. Three weeks later three members (narcotics traffickers) drove to Kabul and four-to- five days after their arrival, there was a bombing at the Kabul Airport for which they claimed responsibility. Several months later, four members drove to Kandahar and shortly afterwards (four days) another bombing occurred, this time at police headquarters. Figure 5-18. Time event chart example 5-112. Using the information from this example intelligence personnel can determine several details regarding future attacks:  The group operates in teams of three-to-four personnel.  Seven members of the group received demolitions training in Pakistan, giving the team an operational capability of conducting multiple attacks.  Attacks occur 4 to 5 days after a team arrives at a target area. This delay is likely to allow the team to reconnoiter both the target and target area.  The pattern indicates the group will conduct an attack in Herat on 21 or 22 January 2015. The Method 5-113. There is great latitude in preparing time event charts. The methodology is the same as chronologies and timelines, with the following specific techniques employed for time event charts:  The beginning of the chart is shown with triangles.  Other events are shown with squares.  Noteworthy events have an X drawn across the square.  The date is always on the symbol.  A description is below the symbol.  The flow is from left to right for each row. PATTERN ANALYSIS PLOT SHEET 5-114. The pattern analysis plot sheet, as shown in figure 5-19, depicts patterns in time and activity. It aids intelligence personnel in identifying when the threat tends to conduct specific types of activities. The pattern analysis plot sheet is a circular matrix and a calendar. The matrix is divided into sections based on time; generally divided by hour and subdivided into concentric rings that identify days.