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The Wire · 2025-10-16
//The Wire//2300Z October 16, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: MULTIPLE IED ATTACKS STRIKE ECUADOR AS CONFLICT COMBATING ILLEGAL MINING INTENSIFIES. MIDDLE EAST PEACE DEAL ON UNCERTAIN GROUND AS TENSIONS CONTINUE RISING ON ALL SIDES. VENEZUELAN MILITARY SHIP REPORTEDLY BECOMES GROUNDED DURING TRAINING MISSION.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Ecuador: The situation continues to deteriorate following a crackdown initiative targeting illegal mining operations. Many explosions have been reported over the past few days as mining groups affiliated with the Los Lobos cartel have taken to using their mining explosives in order to create IEDs targeting people and critical infrastructure. Two bridges were blown up yesterday in Guayaquil, and a Vehicle-Borne IED (VBIED) was detonated in the same city targeting the city mall. After this blast, another large IED was discovered in a vehicle somewhere in the city, which failed to explode.
Analyst Comment: These IED attacks are the latest in a long series of woes in Ecuador. The situation sharply deteriorated back in 2023 with the assassination of Fernando Villavincencio, a Presidential candidate that was murdered just a few days before he was expected to win the election. This made a bad situation worse and Ecuador spiraled down into a defacto state of civil war, with belligerents mostly being aligned with the Los Choneros cartel and government forces. Over the past few months, prison riots, mass killings via gangs, and now IED blasts have become more common. The connection to why this matters to the US, is that back in 2018 one of the main power-players in Ecuador was the Tren de Aragua criminal syndicate.
Venezuela: Yesterday a Venezuelan naval vessel ran aground off the coast while conducting a training mission. The ARV Capana (an amphibious landing ship) was observed by locals running aground on a sand bar, which resulted in her becoming stuck for a few hours.
Middle East: The situation has remained both tense and chaotic as the return of captives' remains to Israel and various other developments continue to be a sticking point for lasting peace. Hamas officials have stated that there aren't any more remains that they can get to at the moment, which has caused tension.
Analyst Comment: Major offensives remain tabled by both sides for now, however Hamas has conducted many mass-executions of alleged collaborators and/or spies, which has drawn the ire of President Trump who went as far as to threaten direct American intervention in Gaza (comments which he reversed-course on during a later press call). While that possibility is probably more of a knee-jerk threat than anything (after all, Hamas executing their own people for allegedly being spies doesn't really violate the peace agreement itself). Nevertheless, no one is out of the woods yet on this accord, and the situation can certainly flare back up into a big problem once again at the slightest provocation by any party.
-HomeFront-
Washington D.C. - This morning the White House announced that President Trump spoke with President Putin by phone, and that the conversation was very long and productive. Based on the description of the call as posted to President Trump's social media account, the call was positive and resulted in the scheduling of direct talks between the United States and Russia regarding the ending of the war in Ukraine.
Analyst Comment: The implementation of higher-level direct talks with Russia is a positive sign, which has come about after weeks of decreasing relations regarding the war. The implementation of these talks also casts a bit of doubt on President Trump's previous statements regarding pushing Ukraine to conduct more offensives. Lately, there's been a lot of talk on the war by everyone involved, so it's anyone's guess as to whether or not all parties are interested in settling this war, but this will be a situation to monitor closely as talks continue.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: As one might expect, Venezuela has not acknowledged the Capana incident, nor are they likely to do so. Due to the nature of the information, at the moment all we have to go on is the standard shaky-cam footage provided by eyewitness observers, along with some aerial footage which does seem to show the vessel sitting lower in the water than she normally would. Considering that embarrassing incidents like this are often played up for effect by Venezuela's adversaries, the reports that the vessel has sunk are probably not true, at least not yet. Nevertheless, this does highlight the high-stakes nature of the fight, should war be the chosen course of action.
As comedic as it sometimes is to see a nation flounder their opportunity to act tough, Venezuela is indeed preparing for war at a breakneck pace. Many coastal roads have been fortified to prepare for amphibious landings, and many border crossings are now impassable due to checkpoints. Clearly Venezuelan naval forces think they have a chance, and various army units have also been featured on local TV stations demonstrating their rapid-deployment capabilities. Most of Venezuela's uniformed armed service branches have been in a constant state of exercise since the American flotilla arrived off the coast, and even though war is still not an absolute certainty, Venezuela is certainly preparing for the worse case scenario.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2026-05-12
//The Wire//2300Z May 12, 2026//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: DETAILS COME TO LIGHT REGARDING YESTERDAY'S FIREFIGHT IN CAMBRIDGE. GLOBAL ENERGY CRISIS GROWS AS MISHAPS AND INDUSTRIAL ACCIDENTS CONTINUE TO IMPACT REFINERIES. CALIFORNIA MAYOR PLEADS GUILTY TO SERVING AS A CHINESE AGENT.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
United Kingdom: Over the past few weeks, Prime Minister Starmer has faced growing calls for his resignation, with a total of 90 Labour MPs now openly requesting his resignation. Following the political tensions of the morning, more resignations have taken place, with Shadow Minister for Domestic Violence and Safeguarding Jess Phillips and Under-Secretary of State for Health Innovation and Safety Zubir Ahmed both resigning their posts this morning.
Analyst Comment: This tidal wave of dissent from within Starmer's own party is probably a knee-jerk reaction to the devastating election losses over the past few days, in which his political opponents gained significant ground in Parliament. Many Britons have begun to dump the Labour Party for alternate choices due to the social, political, economic, and immigration issues being at a breaking point. PM Starmer has vowed to not step down for the time being, but the political situation remains in the balance as pressure on Starmer's government mounts.
Mexico: Overnight a large fire was reported at the Salina Cruz Refinery in Oaxaca. Pemex officials have stated that the fire began inside a cooling tower at the Hidros 2 plant, which was in the process of being brought online to increase production at the facility. The fire was brought under control and extinguished after a few hours, and 6x workers at the refinery were injured as a result of the blaze.
-HomeFront-
Oklahoma: Yesterday afternoon an explosion was reported at the HF Sinclair Refinery in west Tulsa. The facility was able to contain the spread of the fire, and firefighters extinguished the fire after a few hours. The cause of the incident is not known as the investigation into the incident continues.
California: Yesterday the mayor of Arcadia resigned after accepting a deal with the Department of Justice to plead guilty to serving as an unregistered Chinese agent. Mayor Eileen Wang admitted to serving the interests of the Chinese Communist Party, specifically with regards to promoting propaganda efforts directly from the Chinese government. According to the documents provided by the DoJ, Wang was in direct communication with high-ranking Chinese officials and was taking direct orders from leadership in Beijing regarding political decisions that were made by her office. Wang is expected to formally accept the plea deal within the next few weeks.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: Yesterday's mass shooter in Cambridge has been identified as Tyler E. Brown, a resident of Boston. Brown has a long criminal history, and has displayed violent intent (just for the sake of violence) for many years. The latest example of this history includes a previous incident that took place under nearly identical circumstances. In 2020, Brown engaged in a shootout with police in Boston in a similar manner to yesterday's skirmish. During that incident six years ago, Brown began harassing and threatening random people on Northampton Street, before engaging police in a gun battle in the street. Brown was eventually wounded and detained, after attempting to kill everyone in his immediate vicinity. In the news articles from that 2020 shooting, Boston Police Commissioner William Gross was quoted as criticizing local judges for letting people like this out of jail and giving them a slap on the wrist, as even in 2020, Brown had been given light sentences for his previous crimes.
Nevertheless, Brown was sentenced to only 5 years of prison time by Suffolk Superior Court Judge Janet Sanders, who rejected the recommended 10-12 year sentence for the 8 counts of assault and battery with a firearm (while he was already on probation for other crimes). Immediately after being released, Brown continued to display violent intent and began to plan yesterday's shooting.
Follow-on details regarding this case also confirm that this was not a random or spontaneous attack. Over the past few days, Brown had failed to meet with his parole officer, and had posted content on social media threatening police with a firearm. The morning of the shooting, police officers in Boston were issued his photo during their shift change briefings due to the security risks that emerged following his release. Local authorities also state that his cellphone was pinging in Cambridge before the attack, indicating that police were reasonably sure of his intent to conduct an attack, so much so that his cellphone was actively being monitored. Nevertheless, Brown evaded confrontation with police until the shootout began on Memorial Drive, which was possibly conducted in order to draw out a police response. Of note, police were not the only parties to engage the suspect; a citizen with a concealed carry firearm also returned fire toward the suspect during the protracted firefight which lasted several minutes. Brown was wounded during the attack, though due to the engagement ranges during the incident, it's not clear who hit him or what his status is. The two bystanders shot by Brown remain in critical condition at an area hospital.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
The Wire · 2025-09-22
//The Wire//2300Z September 22, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY BEGINS IN NEW YORK. WHITE HOUSE "CLARIFIES" H-1B POLICY BY CHANGING MUCH OF WHAT WAS ANNOUNCED. VIOLENT ATTACKS CONTINUE AROUND UNITED STATES. PRESIDENT TRUMP DESIGNATES ANTIFA AS DOMESTIC TERRORIST ORGANIZATION.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Europe: Copenhagen Airport remains shut down as multiple drones continue to interfere with flight operations. The airport initially issued a temporary ground stop for all arrivals/departures, which as of this report has been extended until 5:00 a.m. local time. Separately, a military base in Oslo, Norway was placed on a heightened state of readiness due to drone reports as well, which resulted in the arrest of two Singaporean nationals who were operating a civilian drone over the military base.
-HomeFront-
New York: This week, the United Nations General Assembly has begun, with most of the noteworthy actions so far being the recognition of Palestinian statehood from a few nations. Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, and a handful of others have been the biggest power-players to add to the list of nations which have recognized the legitimacy of the Palestinian government.
Analyst Comment: As with most diplomatic endeavors in the region, this move will probably result in very little impact overall. Most of these recent recognitions are probably last-ditch political moves to urge a two-state solution at the eleventh hour. Nevertheless, these statements will probably draw the ire of the United States to some degree, which is still negotiating trade deals with some of these nations.
Washington D.C. - Over the weekend the White House backtracked on the recent changes to the H-1B visa system. Despite Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stating in the Oval Office on the day of the announcement that the $100,000 fee for visas was per employee per year, the White House issued a "fact sheet" that reversed these statements, and that this is a one-time payment for companies seeking to hire non-American workers.
Also in Washington, President Trump signed the Executive Action this afternoon designating ANTIFA as a Domestic Terrorist Organization.
Analyst Comment: And now we wait. The verbiage of the order itself is not entirely indicative of how various federal agencies will respond to this, or what the outcome will be. Ordering agencies to police crimes that are already illegal isn't much help, but moving forward the most obvious theory is that federal terrorism charges might get slapped on any ANTIFA "Direct Action" attacks which are fairly standard in most major cities during periods of heightened tension. Only time will tell if various federal agencies are serious, though.
Mississippi: On Saturday a hit-and-run accident was reported in Gulfport, which resulted in the death of a cyclist. Xavier Omar Rigby was arrested after hitting the victim with his vehicle, and driving approximately 8 blocks with her body on the hood of his car. Rigby fled the scene without calling 911, and was later arrested in St. Petersburg.
California: The gunman which attacked an ABC broadcast station in Sacramento was detained over the weekend. Federal authorities state that Anibal Hernandez-Santana (an attorney, activist, and political lobbyist) conducted a drive-by shooting at the ABC Channel 10 television station in Sacramento.
Analyst Comment: The motive for this shooting has not yet been released, but the shooter's posts on social media indicate the motivations for this attack. Even his own attorney has stated that the primary method of prosecuting him (besides the bullet holes in the ABC station) will be the radical posts that his client made on social media.
New Hampshire: A mass shooting was reported over the weekend in Nashua, as a gunman targeted a wedding ceremony at the Sky Meadow Country Club. Local authorities arrested Hunter Nadeau at the scene, after event goers tackled him to stop the shooting. Despite these best efforts, one individual was killed in the attack, and around 6x people in total were wounded.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: Regarding the motive for the Nashua attack, witnesses state that the shooter shouted pro-Palestine statements during the shooting. However, investigators have stated that the shooter actually shouted many different statements so as to cause confusion during the attack and obscure his true motive. Right now there is not enough evidence in the public eye to determine what the true motive for the attack was with absolute certainty, but there are many indicators that should be noted. For one, targeting a wedding reception is an unusual choice for a terror attack since it is usually something that is not really on the radar of many would-be attackers...there are far more reliable targets for malign actors to select, as opposed to a wedding which is not explicitly a political target. Secondly, the wedding appears to have been for an Italian family, causing even more questions as to why an allegedly pro-Palestine activist would target this event. What is more likely right now is that this individual was determined to conduct a shooting for one reason or another and chose this venue due to a personal connection...the shooter allegedly used to work for this country club and therefore knew the location. Nevertheless, since the shooter was taken alive, more answers regarding motivations are likely to come about over the next few weeks.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2026-05-27
//The Wire//2300Z May 27, 2026//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: GANG WAR CONTINUES IN GRENOBLE. WAR IN LEBANON EXPANDS AS DRONE ATTACKS INTENSIFY. CONFLICT MOUNTS IN CONGO AS EBOLA CRISIS WORSENS. PROBABLE CHINESE AGENTS DETAINED WHILE ATTEMPTING TO INFILTRATE SOUTHERN US BORDER.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East: Israeli attacks in Lebanon have increased over the past few days, with more significant bombings taking place in Beirut. FPV drone attacks by Hezbollah have continued to devastate Israeli forces, as most of the IDF is not equipped or prepared to handle the threats that drones bring to modern warfare. As a result, the fighting has become much more intense, which in turn has increased the efforts to expand the Israeli bombing campaign.
France: Last night a small arms attack was reported in Grenoble, as a war between rival gangs of migrants has broken out. One engagement was reported in the Mistral neighborhood overnight, with several people being gunned down on the street. One person was killed, and three others wounded during this attack, which locals sources claim was a targeted assassination. Three days ago, another assassination was reported, with a Cartel-style video being posted online before a body was found in a vehicle in the Échirolles community.
-HomeFront-
New Jersey: Protests at the Delaney Hall Detention Facility have continued, which have mostly transitioned into more of a long-term protest site once again. A few local politicians have made appearances over the past few days, but apart from occasional flare-ups and riots, the weekday attendance at this facility has remained fairly regular.
Texas: Overnight a group of Chinese nationals were arrested after attempting to illegally cross the southern US border in the vicinity of Eagle Pass. US Border Patrol trackers located the group of individuals who had crossed the border illegally and were concealing themselves on a private ranch. Among this group were a total of 6x Chinese citizens, who federal authorities have classified as Special Interest Aliens (SIAs) for reasons that have not been disclosed. In the photos of the group provided by Customs and Border Patrol, one of the Chinese individuals has a military-style haircut, and another individual is wearing military-style combat boots. All are wearing civilian-style camouflage jackets and pants, all of the same type and construction.
Analyst Comment: Most coyotes illegally smuggling people over the border have either required or furnished themselves camouflage "uniforms" for the illegals to don, in order to cross the border as covertly as possible. As a result, these individuals being detained while wearing camouflage is very normal these days. Illegal border crossings still take place along the vast wilderness areas which comprise most of the border, but it's become a lot harder to make the crossing and also much more expensive to do so. For Chinese immigrants, it's never been easier to get legal paperwork and enter the US at an official port of entry, so the fact that these individuals made the crossing illegally indicates that they were up to no good.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: In the Congo, the situation regarding the current Ebola outbreak has become increasingly more serious over the past few days, as the current civil war is impacting efforts to control the disease. Separately, social tensions flared up overnight, after a domestic situation spiraled out of control at a treatment center. Last night, police fired warning shots at the perimeter of Rwampara Hospital, as a crowd of people attempted to breach the facility to recover the bodies of relatives who had died from Ebola. Upon being told that they can't have the remains of their family members due to fears of the disease spreading, the crowd promptly set a tent on fire at the compound and a state of pandemonium erupted. During the fray, a handful of Ebola-positive patients fled from the facility and are currently unaccounted for.
Around the continent, nations bordering the Congo have begun to close the border checkpoints to those fleeing both the simmering civil war, and also the spread of Ebola. Uganda closed their borders this morning, and several other nations have implemented travel controls to restrict travel out of the hardest-hit areas.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
The Wire · 2025-10-27
//The Wire//2300Z October 27, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: FUGITIVE SEARCH ENDS IN U.K. AS MISTAKENLY RELEASED DEPORTATION CANDIDATE RECAPTURED. US NAVY LOSES TWO AIRCRAFT IN SOUTH CHINA SEA. VENEZUELA CONTINUES WARTIME PREPARATIONS.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
South America: Venezuelan forces continue to make plans for an American invasion by hardening infrastructure and deploying defenses as best they can. Over the weekend many Venezuelan citizens have posted their military's movements on social media, at least one of which included the location of a Venezuelan SA-17 GRIZZLY Surface-to-Air Missile Battalion.
Analyst Comment: TikTok and social media in general are the death of OPSEC in any nation, and Venezuela is no exception. Even the Venezuelan military has no real concept of digital security, and even pointing out these OPSEC violations to them directly doesn't really seem to matter much.
Otherwise, American presence patrols continue as before. Some Venezuelans were able to observe what they described as American vessels on the horizon, confirming the US Navy and US Marine Corps continue to conduct operations quite literally just outside Venezuela's territorial waters.
Far East: Over the weekend two US Navy aircraft were lost at sea due to two separate aviation mishaps. One MH-60R Sea Hawk from the USS *Nimitz* was lost at sea while conducting routine operations in the South China Sea. All three crew members survived the crash, and were recovered from the water. About an hour later, one F/A-18F Super Hornet (also assigned to the *Nimitz*) also went down, with both crew members ejecting and being recovered from the water safely.
Analyst Comment: Despite the seeming rarity of two downed aircraft occurring at nearly the same time, these things do indeed happen occasionally. Two aircraft going down due to mishaps within an hour of each other is not exactly a frequent occurrence, but it does happen, especially since the US Navy continues an extremely intense tempto of operations. An investigation will be conducted, to be certain, but at the moment these disasters point to the nature of these types of operations...it's a risky business. As such, it is a sheer miracle that all of those involved survived these incidents, and several investigations are likely to be carried out to determine the causation of these mishaps. Until more information is known, there's no telling what led to the loss of either aircraft.
United Kingdom: Hadush Kebatu was recaptured after a day-long manhunt yesterday. He was able to evade capture for two days, despite not even trying to evade detection. Authorities claim that they are still investigating what allegedly went wrong in order for him to be released by mistake in the first place, but so far no details on this have been released to the public.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: So far, the development of the Kebatu case has been host to many concerning details which have inflamed tensions higher than they already are. For instance, he initially tried to return to the detention facility after his release, and remained in the vicinity of the facility for several hours. Eventually detention facility staff escorted him to the train station, and helped him escape. He was given a prepaid card with money, and generally spent the day walking around London on a light shopping spree, in one of the most heavily surveilled cities on Earth. Every few hours the Met released a new video of him milling around, but somehow managed to evade capture for the entire day, completely unaware that a nationwide manhunt was underway for him. In the end, it wasn't even the police that apprehended him...a local citizen spotted him in a public park which resulted in his recapture.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-01-10
//The Wire//2300Z January 10, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: CONCERNS ABOUND REGARDING THE PRIORITIZATION OF FEDERAL DISASTER RESPONSE.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-HomeFront-
New York: A five-alarm fire broke out on Wallace Avenue in the Bronx overnight. No word yet on the cause, however the fire appears to have originated in an apartment building.
North Carolina: Locals throughout the Hurricane Helene disaster zone are bracing for both a severe winter storm, and the cessation of FEMA aid. Two days ago FEMA attempted to cancel all hotel vouchers for hurricane victims, while simultaneously not providing temporary housing.
AC: After public outrage emerged that night, FEMA has extended the hotel vouchers one single day. However, in two days 3,500 disaster victims are set to be evicted from hotels during a very significant winter storm. As such, propane and gasoline shortages have emerged, as families try to do the best they can to prepare for what has remained a very serious disaster.
California: Overnight, the Palisades Fire continued to advance mostly westward, with significant firefighting efforts successfully slowing the fire's eastward advance into Santa Monica. Similar efforts in the north have stifled the Eaton Fire's advance south, however almost all areas north of I-210 remain under various evacuation notices or warnings. Throughout Los Angeles proper, dozens of smaller fires erupted overnight most of which amounted to the standard low-intensity arson incidents that have become routine throughout the area.
In Woodland Hills, one arrest has been made in conjunction with the Kenneth Fire, which is being investigated as arson. This afternoon, the LAPD stated that they had "no probable cause" to arrest a man who was caught red-handed in the act of setting a fire with a blow torch by citizens.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: Tensions remain high following the White House announcing that they will completely fund 100% of the disaster response for the California fires, for 180 days. On the same day, FEMA was quietly attempting to halt the temporary housing for the victims of Hurricane Helene in western North Carolina. Though no one is disputing the needs of victims in California, the very obvious and intentional disregard for the taxpayers in North Carolina has largely proven the age-old concept that all people are equal, but some are more equal than others. Everyone knows that the wealthy benefactors of Hollywood are valued more highly than taxpayers in North Carolina, but the sharp and blunt admission of this by the federal government is disheartening nonetheless.
Throughout the Los Angeles area, issues have been reported with various Emergency Alert systems as locals have received several erroneous alert messages overnight. In a press conference this morning, county officials indicated that they aren't entirely sure what the issues are with the system, and that these false alerts may continue. As such, though no official has opined on the idea, it would be wise to consider malign action as being a potentially complicating factor for this crisis response. There are plenty of malign actors with the desire and capability to tamper with emergency alert systems, with the goal of adding to the chaos of the incident.
Widespread looting has been reported throughout Los Angeles as social order deteriorates due to the advancing wildfires. Roving bands of looters have become more organized, and have been observed tracking the evacuation orders. As soon as a mandatory evacuation is announced for an area, looters move in a few hours later knowing that the extreme-high-wealth residential areas are largely vacant. As a result, a 6pm to 6am curfew has been emplaced by the LA County Sheriffs Office.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-11-17
//The Wire//2300Z November 17, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: ANTI-GOVERNMENT PROTESTS TAKE PLACE IN MEXICO CITY OVER THE WEEKEND AS PRESSURE MOUNTS ON SHEINBAUM. ICE OPERATIONS PIVOT TO CHARLOTTE NC AS SIGNIFICANT RESISTANCE IS EXPECTED.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Mexico: Weekend protests turned to riots on Saturday, as various groups expressed their concerns with government.
Analyst Comment: Most of the demonstrations in Mexico City remained fairly low-intensity (by local standards), however a few riots did break out throughout the day. These demonstrations are a continuation of the global trend of "Gen Z" protests, with many of the participants demonstrating for a wide array of causes, many of which are contradictory political ideologies. Nevertheless, all of the negative sentiment was focused on Sheinbaum, as dissent grows with her handling of Cartel violence throughout the nation.
Caribbean: The situation continues as before, with a few strikes being conducted on narco vessels over the past few days by the US Navy. In Venezuela tensions remain the same, with Maduro making more public appearances than normal, mostly commenting on the rising tensions with the United States. Over the weekend Maduro serenaded an audience with an impromptu performance of *Imagine* by John Lennon during remarks urging a peaceful outcome to the conflict.
Analyst Comment: If Maduro is attempting to soothe his population in order to reassure them that an all-out war is not about to break out, there are probably less disturbing ways to go about it. Either way, this embarrassing display probably does convey the seriousness of the situation, considering that Maduro knows the US is gunning for regime change.
-HomeFront-
Washington - Over the weekend the US Coast Guard successfully conducted a rescue of stranded boaters who were reported overdue after failing to return from their trip. A man and his son became stranded after their boat capsized in rough weather in the Pacific Ocean near the mouth of the Columbia River. The boaters were rescued by a Coast Guard helicopter out of Air Station Astoria on the Oregon side of the river, and transported to a hospital where both were treated for hypothermia.
Analyst Comment: Considering the cold water temperatures this time of year, it is undoubtedly a miracle both survived. This incident also highlights the importance of establishing (and sticking to) an Overdue Boater plan when carrying out outdoor activities, especially as we move into the winter months where Search and Rescue operations present many more challenges nationwide.
North Carolina: Counter-ICE operations have intensified as deportation operations move to Charlotte as part of Operation CHARLOTTE'S WEB. So far over a hundred illegals with extensive criminal records have been arrested throughout the city since the operation began a few days ago.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: In Charlotte, a very interesting development was observed over the weekend as ICE moved into the area. The Compare Foods grocery store announced free home delivery of grocery items during the period of time that the ICE operation is expected to take place. This food store primarily serves the Latino community and most of their social media posts are in Spanish. While they don't explicitly state it in their social media posts, the implication is clear...this company intends to cash in on the illegals who are ordering goods from home, because they're wanted by ICE.
As it stands, this is probably a PR stunt, but efforts like this put everyone in a tough spot. If the feds arrest the store management for aiding and abetting, the city will burn for nothing and the same local Charlotte judges who regularly let murders go free will absolutely let a grocery store manager go free as well. On the other hand, if the feds do nothing, this could get out of hand and the American people should expect many more corporations to conduct similar operations. Concerning the latter possibility, this is probably the most likely outcome as criminals have become emboldened to an extreme degree over the past few years, and it is this small grocery chain that has pointed out a VERY important detail with American commerce...boycotting a business because they are criminals only works if the bulk of customers are not criminals themselves.
Charlotte is now experiencing what happens when a tipping point is reached in an area. When illegals are a minority in an area, one set of operational practices is observed. But when illegals, Cartels, drug traffickers, and the like reach a critical mass, more open confrontations are usually the result. We saw this in Aurora, Colorado with Tren de Aragua (when they openly occupied apartment buildings) and we saw it again in Los Angeles when Cartels openly had their footsoldiers besiege federal buildings during the riots a few months ago. Once the hornet's nest gets kicked in an area, the local population find out exactly how much of a foothold criminal elements actually have in their home city.
This observation is usually supported by a narrative shift: while in the minority the criminals (and those affiliated with them) can claim that this is all about "seeking a better life" or some other general Disney-film-grade scene of wholesomeness. However, once a critical mass is reached, they can drop the act, and openly confess that this has nothing to do with any sort of humanitarianism...it's warfare designed to continue an assortment of criminal enterprises. Charlotte is discovering what the transition to this mask-off-moment looks like, and locals in Charlotte have already organized to form quite significant community watch programs to resist ICE deportations of violent criminals.
This continues a growing nationwide trend of immigrants and citizens alike conducting extremely brazen efforts to fight the deportation of criminals. ANTIFA "de-arrest" operations are now common, by which ANTIFA militants will swarm a group of police officers arresting one of their Comrades, and attempt to free the detainee (such as has become common in Portland, with varying levels of success). Other cities have seen vehicle ramming attacks being conducted so as to halt an ICE convoy, before the driver gets out and opens the doors of police cruisers to free the criminals held captive in the back. Meanwhile, on the logistics front, countless NGOs and now, commercial grocery stores, are providing materiel aid to those seeking to evade detention. All of which greatly conveys the sheer scale at which resistance to illegal immigration policing is being carried out.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-01-27
//The Wire//2300Z January 27, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: DIPLOMATIC SCANDAL ERUPTS, IS QUICKLY RESOLVED, BETWEEN THE U.S. AND COLOMBIA. SKIRMISH BREAKS OUT ON SOUTHERN U.S. BORDER NEAR FRONTON, TX.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
France: A 14-year-old was murdered by two as-yet-unidentified assailants in Paris. The boy died after being stabbed for refusing to give up his phone to the attackers, who were later arrested. Local police have stated that both assailants had previously been arrested for violent crime.
Colombia: Diplomatic tensions remain high following a brief scandal involving deportations over the weekend. Trouble began when Colombian authorities refused to allow two American deportation flights to land in their country. Immediately following this development, the United States imposed a 25% tariff on all Colombian trade with the United States, and canceled all of the visas for all Columbian government officials in the United States. A few hours after President Trump posted these terms on his social media account, Colombia relented and will now accept all deportation flights as previously agreed. As a result, the United States has removed the threat of tariffs, and has resumed the status quo. AC: While short-lived, this diplomatic spat has largely served as a very strong message in the diplomatic arena, and proven that the United States government will not hesitate to impose tariffs.
Middle East: Tensions have flared again following the ceasefire in Gaza as territorial aspirations have become more publicly known. Over the weekend, President Trump made his policy position more clear by desiring Gaza to be completely abandoned by the Palestinians. Specifically, he stated that "You’re talking about probably a million and a half people, and we just clean out that whole thing".
Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC): Conflict has intensified once again following the rapid advance of M23 rebels in the eastern region of the war-torn nation. Over the weekend the Rwandan-backed (and ethnically Tutsi) M23 rebels conducted a rapid advance into the city of Goma in eastern DRC.
-HomeFront-
Texas: One individual was shot by military police as they attempted to breach the perimeter of JBSA - Fort Sam Houston Saturday afternoon. AC: So far, very few details have been released regarding this incident, however the individual was reportedly attempting to enter the installation via the Walters Gate. The assailant was treated at a local hospital.
Indiana: Mathew Huttle was shot and killed by State Police during a traffic stop in Jasper yesterday evening. AC: Huttle was recently pardoned by President Trump as part of the J6 pardons. Right now, the circumstances of this incident are unclear, however the shooting allegedly took place after Huttle resisted arrest. What originally prompted the traffic stop, and the attempt to arrest him remains unknown. As such, in the absence of information the larger context of many J6 prisoners being re-arrested on state charges must be considered as many loose ends pertaining to the J6 incident remain unresolved.
USA: Deportations continue as before, with many ICE raids taking place in many major cities throughout the United States. Fortification efforts at the southern border continue as thousands of troops arrive and begin deterrence and security operations.
This afternoon, Texas DPS officials reported a skirmish along the border in the Rio Grande Valley Sector, near the town of Fronton. A suspected Cartel element (of unknown size) attempting to aid illegals in their entry to the United States opened fire with small arms on unidentified American forces on the American side of the river. No casualties were reported on either side as a result of the engagement, though the crossing of illegals was halted as the suspected Cartel members broke contact and egressed from the area.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: As one might imagine, President Trump's short, off-hand comment on Gaza is exceptionally important in the context of the history of the region, and all of the wars fought over sand since WWII. Of course, close examination of President Trump's choice of vernacular rarely yields a clear result when it comes to foreign policy. However, many have taken this statement as further confirmation of what the United States' intentions are in the region: to forcibly immigrate Palestinians from Gaza en masse, into another neighboring nation, so that Israel can seize the land. Israel has been very open and clear regarding their desire for a defensive "buffer zone" that would require territorial expansion. As inflammatory as that idea may be for some, this plan is patently obvious at this point despite all of the efforts to gaslight and deflect from this truth. Of course, American discourse on this issue is largely tainted by the blackmail and manipulation of our politicians, and a gaslighting of the American people at large. In American society the most important facet of any conversation pertaining to the Palestinian question is that of denunciation. The slightest criticism of Israel simply is not allowed throughout American society without immediately condemning Hamas within the same breath, to the point that sheer conversational exhaustion abounds. This social implication alone has compromised all discourse on the region for decades. Granted, participants of the pro-Palestine movement here in the U.S. aren't doing themselves any favors either, both with their actions and the reality of the larger ideology at play not exactly endearing to (or being congruent with) American culture.
However, taking all of the inflammatory ideology out of the equation (on both sides), and solely focusing on the stability of the region, Trump wanting to "clean out" Gaza is certain to result in a true, lasting peace becoming much harder to come about. Unfortunately, peace can come about in two ways. The first being if the belligerents of a conflict decide to halt hostilities...the second being if the entirety of one side, to include every living human being in the area, is eliminated. Unfortunately, President Trump's statements do nothing to alleviate the growing concerns that American intentions support the latter situation.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-12-09
//The Wire//2300Z December 9, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: CONFLICT CONTINUES IN ASIA. HIGH-PROFILE MIGRANT CRIMES INCREASE TENSIONS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM. ONE STUDENT KILLED IN STABBING AT NC HIGH SCHOOL. SHOOTING REPORTED AT KENTUCKY STATE UNIVERSITY.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Southeast Asia: The war between Thailand and Cambodia continues as before, with a few escalations of the conflict occurring overnight. Cambodia has continued rocket attacks, and Thailand has continued shelling random locations in the disputed border region. Thailand struck a few cultural sites and temples in Cambodia yesterday afternoon, with Thai forces also deploying some armored units to the Cambodian side of the border.
Analyst Comment: At the moment this is a continuation of the same style of warfare that is often common throughout the third world; both sides conducting massive airstrikes and bombing campaigns, but very few casualties being the result. This is basically an international slap fight where the only real casualties are civilians, which have far outweighed the casualties sustained by combatants on either side so far. Despite the very low ratio of combat deaths to munitions dropped, the fighting this time around is more intense than when the conflict flared up a few months ago, so this conflict does have the potential to get more serious as time goes on.
United Kingdom: Tensions remain palpably high following over a dozen high-profile migrant crimes coming to light over the past few days. In the Midlands, 2x Afghans were convicted of brutally assaulting a 15-year-old in a public park in an incident which the authorities have openly admitted to covering up due to civil unrest potential (the suspects' own defense attorney stated that if the video of their attack were to be made public, it would spark a riot). Separately, a different Afghan migrant (identified as Sultani Bakatash) assaulted two girls in Manchester a few days ago.
Analyst Comment: Over the weekend, it was also discovered that the wife and children of the current leader of ISIS in Somalia lives in taxpayer-funded housing in Slough, which has inflamed tensions further. Abdul Qadir Mumin was known for encouraging terrorism throughout the U.K. before fleeing to Somalia around a decade ago, leaving his wife and children behind while he wages jihad with about a thousand fighters in Somalia. Mumin was (and still is) a highly-sought target, who the United States has conducted kinetic strikes on several times. Back in 2024, there was speculation that he was killed during a strike in Somalia, however this has been proven to be incorrect over time and his official status remains unknown. This is why there is outrage over this case; this guy is not an ordinary street fighter...he's the actual leader of the ISIS branch for Somalia. The family members that remain in taxpayer-funded housing actually knew of his terrorism-encouraging speeches (he was legendary for these talks before he fled the country). He escaped to Somalia, but his family stayed behind in the UK to receive benefits.
-HomeFront-
Georgia: State Rep. Sharon Henderson was arrested and indicted on charges of fraud pertaining to her activities during the COVID era. Rep. Henderson is accused of falsifying her employment status so as to obtain special benefits that were made available to those who were forced out of a job due to COVID. In order to get these benefits, she allegedly claimed to be a schoolteacher after actually leaving the job to campaign for the seat that she currently occupies.
North Carolina: This afternoon a stabbing was reported at North Forsyth High School, which prompted a lockdown of the local area. Concerning casualties, one student was killed in the attack.
Analyst Comment: At the time of this report, this is a developing story so the details will change. Right now it looks like this might have been a personal dispute and/or gang activity. Though very unconfirmed at this time, some photos have circulated local social media, which are screenshots of a video depicting the incident. The photos indicate this murder took place as a result of a fight between students.
Illinois: This morning, an ICE raid was reported in Elgin, which rapidly deteriorated into a state of chaos. ICE personnel were targeting a High Value Individual (HVI) by the name of Jesus Acosta Gutierrez, a local TdA affiliate. During the raid, a large crowd formed and caused a riot during the arrest.
Analyst Comment: The suspect was eventually captured, however this was one of the more kinetic arrests in the area. The key takeaway from this incident is that, per local reports, activists were on-scene to the site of the raid *before* ICE agents had even arrived themselves. This confirms that the DHS continues to have intelligence leaks which impact operations. This is not the first time this has happened in this specific area due to extremely lax Operational Security (OPSEC) by some of the people who have knowledge of impending operations. Local police officers have also been given the stand-down order (which has become common in most states ICE has conducted operations in so far).
Kentucky: This afternoon a shooting was reported at Kentucky State University. 3x people were wounded during the attack, with one possible fatality being reported as well. The shooter was detained at the scene and has not yet been identified.
Analyst Comment: This incident was first described as an Active Shooter situation, however as the situation developed this appears to be more of a general crime incident and not a deliberate/targeted mass shooting attempt.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comment: As it is relevant to the stories that have been popping up in the UK (and the US) over the past few weeks, a very specific bit of backpocket knowledge is helpful for rounding out the context of what's going on. In many cases, the individuals who are committing these horrific crimes are self-described "teenagers", when in reality they are fully-grown adult men. Age discrepancies are no excuse to commit horrific crimes, however in most justice systems around the world juveniles get a lighter sentence. And since the migrants have no identity documents to prove their age, the British government simply takes them at their word, and so a very obviously 30-year-old man becomes a 17-year-old so as to avoid a harsher sentence. This mentality is also used to sometimes gain access to children in the first place. Often times this is the scenario: We hear about a "high school student" being arrested for some horrific crime. The mugshot comes out, and the internet collectively thinks "that guy is a little old to be in high school". In most cases, this is a correct assessment; the initial birth certificate documents that migrants claim to have are incredibly easy to fake. This is an extremely common tactic that is used around the western world, from H1B's in the US to migrants from northern Africa making their way into the United Kingdom, there are now a whole lot of mugshots that allegedly depict a "juvenile", when in reality it's just an adult man who is lying because the procedures to verify one's identity are completely nonexistent when it comes to mass migration. In the context of the Midlands attack, one of the Afghans convicted of the crime plead guilty one single day before he turned 17, and thus will escape both adult charges and deportation.
Despite the prevalence of this tactic being used, it is incredibly easy to prove either way. The exact age of a suspect can easily and quickly be identified with a simple x-ray of the hand and wrist. The Tanner-Whitehouse 2 (TW2) method is a non-invasive way for a radiologist to determine with shocking accuracy the exact age of a child, based on the development of bones in the hand. By the time a person is a fully-grown adult (i.e. not a juvenile) the bones are fully formed and thus very apparent on the x-ray. This method won't work that well for someone trying to slide in under the line by pretending to be 17-years-and-364-days-old to avoid adult charges, but it certainly will work to pick out the 40-year-old man from a high school classroom. Despite how well this works for this task, this method is not really used in the criminal justice field except in extreme cases where the suspect is very obviously lying (as opposed to more believable lies which if noticed, are usually conveniently ignored). Even in the best cases, it's circumstantial so this Bone Analysis is not usually conducted at all. All in all, this might help explain why some rather interesting mugshots keep popping up in both the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
The Wire · 2025-06-17
//The Wire//2300Z June 17, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: STRATEGIC BUILDUP CONTINUES AS USA CONTINUES PLANS FOR WAR WITH IRAN.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East: The previously observed strategic buildup of tanker aircraft continues, as over a dozen KC-135's moved from Europe to the Middle East overnight. Most of these tankers were flying under the "GOLD" callsign, indicating that they were flying in formation with fighter aircraft in tow. This morning, satellite imagery confirmed that almost every US Navy warship stationed in Bahrain has departed port, to include one Littoral Combat Ship, a few minesweepers, and over a dozen support vessels.
This morning President Trump stated that the United States has achieved aerial superiority in the skies over Iran. President Trump also has taken to social media to demand the "unconditional surrender" of Iran, and has threatened to assassinate the Ayatollah if demands are not met.
Strait of Hormuz: Overnight, two ships collided in the Gulf of Oman. The M/T FRONT EAGLE collided with the M/T ADALYNN, causing a large fire. Rescue operations are ongoing.
AC: Despite early reports, this incident is not the result of combat action. It is not clear why, however the FRONT EAGLE executed a turn hard to starboard, which resulted in her collision with the ADALYNN.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: At this point, it is challenging to interpret the recent statements by the White House in any other manner than that a formal declaration of war with Iran is merely a formality. The decision to go to war may have already been signed and sealed as theorized months ago, or the die might not have been cast just yet. Either way, there's absolutely nothing that the American people can do about it at this point, other than improve personal readiness as best one can. Though tensions are palpably high right now, the real challenges will come many months after the US enters into a war with Iran, should that be the chosen course of action.
More tactically, the threats to the average citizen living in the American homeland remain, though with debatable levels of severity due to the sheer uncertainty of what the threat really is. Anytime the United States targets anything in the Middle East, the potential for lone-wolf-style attacks here in the homeland increases. At the moment, however, the risks of a false-flag incident occurring to drag the United States into a war is also very high. Protests with varying levels of severity continue more or less persistently in many major US cities, which will present risks regardless of what's happening in the international space.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2026-06-17
//The Wire//2300Z June 17, 2026//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: UNITED STATES RELEASES TERMS OF MOU TO END THE GULF WAR. CONFUSION ABOUNDS REGARDING STATUS OF MERCHANT SHIPPING IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. INTERSTATE SHOOTING SPREE CONDUCTED IN KANSAS CITY. RAPE GANG INQUIRY REPORT RELEASED IN UNITED KINGDOM.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East: This morning, the United States published the text of the upcoming Memorandum of Understanding, which is to be signed on Friday. This disclosure was made by American officials to CNN and Bloomberg at the G7 summit, who verbally read the terms and provided the text to MSM outlets. Per this text, the general gist of the deal is very similar to what the Iranians claim, but with some minor differences. The most contentious item of the deal is right up front in Paragraph 1: the war in Lebanon is included as part of the deal. *All* sanctions on Iran will also be lifted, and a $300 billion reparations payment will be funded by the United States and other Arab nations for the reconstruction of Iran's infrastructure that was destroyed in the war. President Trump also verbally stated that Iran's missile program will remain, and is not part of the deal.
Strait of Hormuz: The status of shipping remains uncertain as both sides continue to enforce the mutual blockades. Several Iranian ships have crossed the American blockade line, despite NAVCENT stating that the blockade is still in effect, but western-aligned ships have been hesitant to make the crossing due to the confusion.
Analyst Comment: Right now a lot of commercial firms and insurance companies are trying to figure out what to do, and a surge of petroleum tankers is heading toward the Middle East right now, as the world awaits the resumption of normal shipping this weekend. The US and Iran have thirty days after Friday to allow shipping to resume, but 60 days after the agreement is signed, Iran will retain the right to charge tolls for access to the Persian Gulf, granting the Iranians de facto control of the waterway. As a result, the insurance status of commercial shipping remains unclear, though rates will very likely be permanently elevated, much like how many shipping companies never reverted back to the Red Sea route following the Houthi targeting two years ago. Many companies still take the longer route around Africa, so that situation has not yet returned to normal, and though alternative access routes for the Persian Gulf don't really exist, it will take many months for shipping to work out the details of how to proceed.
-HomeFront-
Missouri: Last night, a mass shooting spree was reported throughout Kansas City as one assailant conducted small arms attacks at five different sites throughout the city. Local authorities state that all of these shootings stem from the same incident, which appears to involve an individual in a vehicle, traveling eastbound on I-70 shooting at other vehicles also traveling the same direction. Later that night, a fifth shooting site was located after a man was found wounded in his vehicle at the intersection of Truman Road and Bennington Avenue. This man later died at a local hospital.
All total, five different vehicles were targeted, and a total of four people were wounded, and one person killed, during the attacks throughout the day. By this morning, the link between all shootings was discovered, and the suspect was located at his residence in Independence, where a barricaded-shooter situation is currently underway. More details are expected as the situation develops.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: In the United Kingdom, the Rape Gang Inquiry Report was released last night. This report was compiled by a Parliamentary effort led by MP Rupert Lowe, with the goal of investigating the official documents and criminal cases of mass the rape of British society by Pakistani men since the 1950's. Specifically, the investigation seeks to examine the industrialization of rape, organized into cells or Rape Gangs, which conducted assaults on a scale never before seen by the civilized world.
This report revealed that an minimum of 250,000 British girls have been systemically raped, tortured, and victimized by these gangs, which included a large percentage of police officers, judges, and Members of Parliament. An entire ecosystem had been established for the police to arrest any victims of the gangs, with victims in most cases being raped hundreds of times by police officers while allegedly being in victim protection programs, even after the scandal became public years ago. Nearly 40% of the land mass of the nation was host to these gangs, which were not conducting isolated attacks, but industrial-scale crimes at a volume that is simply indescribable.
The 200+ page report is not for the faint of heart as it describes in excruciating detail the evidence examined in this case, and nearly all of it is too horrific for mixed company. The closest approximation for a wider audience would be to imagine a network of *hundreds of thousands* of Jeffrey Epsteins, committing acts that were so horrific that Epstein's own network did not engage in this level of depravity. For most people, this document will be the absolute worst thing they will ever read in their entire life.
Right now, the western world is at an impasse. The recent social tension in the U.K. due to the stabbing attacks has served as a primer for whatever comes next. Understanding the severity of this report, the National Crime Agency has snapped-to, and ordered the re-investigation of rape gang reports going back to 2010, in an attempt to get ahead of the tidal wave of righteous anger that has begun to rise throughout society. The entire Child Services ecosystem of the United Kingdom is currently serving as a clearing house to funnel a quarter of a million children to Muslim rape gangs. Kier Starmer himself was the director of Public Prosecutions during the height of this atrocity, and personally signed off on ~13,000 rape gang members being released with nothing more than a warning letter.
If these people were sent a letter, that means they have names and addresses. It will be for the British people to decide how best to proceed, and it will take some time for organizational efforts to take hold, considering the sheer scale of this crisis. It will also be wise to consider that this problemset is not unique (nor contained) to the British Isles.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
The Wire · 2025-08-26
//The Wire//2300Z August 26, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: TRUMP DOUBLES DOWN ON CHINESE STUDENT EXPANSION AS RESEARCHER IN TEXAS IS CHARGED WITH STEALING SECRETS FOR CHINA. WAVE OF FAKE ACTIVE SHOOTER REPORTS SWEEPS THROUGH AMERICAN INSTITUTIONS. SYRIAN MIGRANT WHO ATTACKED AMERICAN IN DRESDEN RELEASED FROM CUSTODY, BUT RE-ARRESTED AFTER PUBLIC OUTRAGE.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Germany: Following Sunday's knife attack in Dresden, one of the individuals involved in the attack of an American tourist was released from jail. Sunday morning, two illegal immigrants from Syria were harassing two women on a tram in Dresden. John Rudat, an American tourist visiting the city intervened during the altercation, and was stabbed in the face by one of the assailants, resulting in extremely severe lacerations. The other assailant (not the man who stabbed Rudat, but a different attacker) was captured while trying to escape, but was released from custody yesterday, only to be re-arrested after public outrage pressured the prosecutor's office to act. The man who stabbed Rudat remains at large.
-HomeFront-
USA: Over the past few days, many different universities and institutions have been the victim of hoaxes which have taken the form of someone calling in a fake active shooter threat. What began as one or two reports has spread to about a dozen different institutions.
Analyst Comment: Right now, it is not known who is calling in these fake reports, but extreme caution is warranted. The theories of why this is happening vary widely, but this could also be a desensitizing effort that precedes a legitimate attack at some other institution. As such, vigilance is recommended to avoid slipping into complacency, just in case this turns out to be a legitimate threat at some point.
Washington D.C. - President Trump and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have doubled-down on statements supporting the import of 600,000 Chinese students, further reiterating the intent to stick to this policy at present, with President Trump stating multiple times that he is "honored" to have these students taking up seats at American universities.
Texas: Yesterday afternoon Dr. Yunhai Li, a researcher at the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center was formally charged with stealing roughly 90gb of research material. Li was arrested on Friday before attempting to board a flight to China, after uploading the stolen research data to a Chinese government cloud storage platform. Li had personally been granted both NIH and Department of Defense grants to conduct undisclosed research.
Maryland: The first human case of New World Screwworm was reported by the CDC yesterday afternoon, which was contracted by a person who traveled to El Salvador. The USDA has stated that this case doesn't pose any threat to livestock at present, however a 20-mile surveillance zone has been established around the individual's location as a precaution.
California: More details have come to light regarding a car fire that was reported at the Humboldt County Courthouse in Eureka over the weekend. Local authorities have stated that a man drove his vehicle onto the lawn of the courthouse, before setting the car on fire.
Analyst Comment: So far, this incident appears to be an elaborate form of protest, though at present no clear ideology could be discerned from the evidence at the scene. Some people report that they saw various messages written in chalk on the sidewalk, and that hand-written papers were found scattered about the scene. All of this points to this being more of a mental health incident than anything else at this time.
North Carolina: The victim of a murder on the Blue Line rail system in Charlotte has been identified as Iryna Zarutska, a Ukrainian refugee. Zarutska was stabbed to death on the train by Decarlos Brown Jr. on Friday night.
Minnesota: The Rochester City Attorney's office has made the decision to charge Shiloh Hendrix with three counts of disorderly conduct. The individual who harassed her and her child has not been charged.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: As a reminder, Hendrix was the individual at the center of social tensions a few months ago for her statements during a playground altercation. However, as time went on this became a much larger issue than a woman using bad words in public.
Her accuser, the man who filmed the viral encounter, was eventually identified as Sharmake Beyle Omar. Omar had previously been arrested and charged with sexually assaulting a child in 2022. More specifically, the initial criminal complaint in that case stated that Omar (and another assailant) lured a child away from her foster home to conduct the attack.
Some time later, all charges were inexplicably dropped against Omar, and he was let out of jail without any explanation given. The victim was never identified or heard from again.
As such, when the Hendrix story first broke into the news cycle, the focus remained on Hendrix, but the biggest story was why Omar was in the park in the first place. It turns out that what began as a story about bad words being said on the playground, ended up exposing a sick freak trying to target children once again....AND the deliberately negligent criminal justice system who let him go in the first place...the same justice system which is now targeting Shiloh Hendrix.
It might not seem to be important to be aware of these types of events, but this is why this story matters. It's not just a question of free speech...it highlighted how governments are releasing criminals to terrorize the citizenry, and actively supporting the dregs of society as they continue to harm others. Considering the recent focus on society's most vulnerable being routinely targeted, this situation has the potential to flare up again. Especially as recent events in the realm of politics have really not improved relations among a population which is growing ever more disenfranchised with the current state of their society.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-10-17
//The Wire//2300Z October 17, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: NARCO SUBMARINE SUNK IN CARIBBEAN. HAMAS FIGHTER ARRESTED IN LOUISIANA. WHITE HOUSE SOFTENS STANCE ON CHINA TRADE WAR.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Caribbean: The Pentagon announced the targeting of another vessel off the coast of Venezuela. The footage of the strike has not been released yet, however President Trump stated during a press conference this morning that the strike was not on a fastboat, but rather a semi-submersible craft transporting large amounts of narcotics. This strike is also the first to result in survivors; two individuals were rescued from the water by a US Navy helicopter after the vessel was sunk.
Analyst Comment: The footage of this strike will be interesting to see, it if is ever released. One of the reasons that it hasn't been released yet is possibly due to OPSEC concerns...the Navy probably doesn't want narcotics traffickers to know what their submarines look like when viewed with American sensors.
-HomeFront-
Washington D.C. - Following last week's announcement of a 100% blanket tariff on China, President Trump made slightly contradictory statements yesterday regarding what the general plan is. In follow-on interviews, Trump stated that the tariff is "not sustainable, but that's what the number is", but also responded positively to China overall, stating that things were going well and the meeting with President Xi Jinping in South Korea will continue as planned previously.
Louisiana: This afternoon the FBI announced the arrest of a Hamas fighter that allegedly took part in the October 7th attacks in Israel. Mahmoud Amin Ya’qub al-Muhtadi was arrested in Lafayette after having gained legal entry to the United States in 2024 (though he did lie about his alleged career as a fighter in Gaza in order to get a legal visa fraudulently).
Analyst Comment: This marks the first major arrest by AG Bondi's Joint Task Force 10-7, which was stood up in February with the goal of investigating the Oct 7th attacks.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: Of note, another round of "No Kings" protests have been scheduled for tomorrow, October 18th. So far, the event organizers appear to be re-using the same map from last time; most of the protests are carbon-copies of the events that were planned during the first round of protests. This strongly indicates that, like the first time, most of these protests won't happen and the online map is mostly meant to make the movement seem larger than it really is. Even so, while this series of events itself is probably a giant pile of nothing, there are many different social/political groups that are extremely upset right now, and groups in larger cities might use this weekend event as a catalyst for their own desires. ANTIFA will probably break things as usual, and many different senior retirement homes are likely to take part in the events like the first major No Kings protest day. Small arms attacks are likely, if nothing more than from uncoordinated security (such as the Salt Lake City shooting during the initial protests).
Other concerns that could cause more kinetic situations lie in the world of social media and the lack of any cooling of tensions among far-left groups. In a podcast two days ago, former CNN anchor Don Lemon encouraged illegal immigrants to obtain firearms and violently resist ICE deportation operations. Brushing aside the minor detail that it is a felony for illegals to possess firearms due to being criminals, this does highlight the risks moving forward. Like it or not, people do indeed listen to influencers, on the political left and right. When an issue as vitriolic as illegal immigration comes on the scene, the potential is high for lone-wolf attacks to be carried out by some mentally ill individual who listened to the internet. The recent sniper attack on the ICE facility in Dallas is evidence of this, and the countless vehicle ramming attacks carried out by mentally unstable individuals points to the sheer number of people who are interested in carrying out further violence. Right now there are almost zero indicators that this risk will be reduced, and most people encouraging these attacks (as well as those carrying out the attacks themselves) have shown no interest whatsoever in toning things down.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-09-23
//The Wire//2300Z September 23, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: SECRET SERVICE BUSTS ESPIONAGE THREAT TO UNITED NATIONS GENERAL ASSEMBLY. RYAN ROUTH FOUND GUILTY ON ALL COUNTS.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Europe: The drone shenanigans continued throughout much of the night in Copenhagen, with footage from eyewitnesses indicating that the aircraft that were observed were much larger than the standard quadcopters that are usually the culprits regarding airspace violations.
Analyst Comment: So far there has been no indication of what this situation was all about, but the aircraft were fairly heavily documented. The aerial platforms weren't exactly operating covertly, but they did leave on their own. Considering the overall tensions in Europe, most speculation has pointed to these being Russian drones, or if not Russian in origin, something to do with the war. Either way, there's no way to know for sure at the moment.
-HomeFront-
Florida: This afternoon, Ryan Routh, the second would-be Trump assassin was found guilty on all counts pertaining to the attempted shooting at the Trump International Golf Club in September of last year. Upon the verdict being announced Routh attempted to stab himself with a pen, unsuccessfully trying to injure himself. Routh was briefly removed from the courtroom, after this incident, before being returned to conclude the trial.
Analyst Comment: As a reminder, Routh chose (and was allowed) to represent himself after he felt discrepancies with his court-appointed team of attorneys, and thus was granted more leeway during this trial. Considering that he had written a note confessing to the crime in explicit detail, his arguments were unsuccessful, leading to his conviction on all counts.
New York: Yesterday evening the US Secret Service announced the dismantling of a major telecommunications threat allegedly targeting the UN General Assembly currently underway in New York City. The USSS uncovered a series of locations concentrated around the UN building, which were configured to degrade communications around the city, mostly in the form of hundreds of SIM servers and around 100,000 SIM cards.
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Analyst Comments: At face value, these locations appear to be configured to swamp cell towers with increased traffic, so as to degrade cellular networks. As to why this attack vector was chosen, it's anyone's guess. Normally, attacks that are meant to degrade (but not exploit) a certain communications method are used as a way of social engineering...if a target's cell phone doesn't work, they might be inclined to use a different comms method that is more easily surveilled. Though this is pure speculation, what is very clear is that there is a very high likelihood that the UN General Assembly would be a target for many different malign actors, to include nationstate-level intelligence operations. There are many different ways to target a meeting of world leaders that is vastly easier than strategically renting apartments around the city, to fill with a bunch of electronic hardware. In their press release on the operation, the USSS did not comment on what exactly these sites were being used for; their statements were more generalized, and that these locations could be used for a wide range of attacks and surveillance operations. Nevertheless, this incident highlights the secret warfare undertaken on a daily basis around the world, continuing the trends of the Cold War into the modern era.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-11-14
//The Wire//2300Z November 14, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: PENTAGON ANNOUNCES OPERATION SOUTHERN SPEAR IN CARIBBEAN. IRAN HIJACKS OIL TANKER. ATTEMPTED STABBING REPORTED AT PARIS TRAIN STATION.//
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-International Events-
Middle East: This morning Iranian forces seized a crude oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. The M/T *TALARA* was hijacked and taken into Iranian waters. This vessel is flagged out of the Marshall Islands, but is owned and operated by the Pasha Finance company out of Cyprus.
France: This morning a stabbing attack was reported at the Montparnasse train station in Paris. One 44-year-old man was shot by police after becoming erratic and waving around a knife. One person was also wounded during the police response; a bystander was shot in the foot by a stray bullet intended for the man with the knife. The assailant survived the shooting, and was taken into custody.
Analyst Comment: Not much is known about this attack, however locals state that the man was traveling with his wife and children, when a domestic dispute broke out. The man became belligerent and produced a knife, before police rapidly intervened.
Caribbean: Yesterday evening the Pentagon announced the formalization of the effort to combat drug trafficking in the region. The mission is now called Operation SOUTHERN SPEAR, and is expected to expand into a broader military campaign.
Analyst Comment: So far, not much has come of this, it's really just giving a name to bring the whole effort under a unified umbrella of command. However, it does highlight that this campaign is just that...a campaign. The end goals of this mission as stated continue to be vague, just the general concept of combating drug trafficking in the region.
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Analyst Comments: This afternoon, Venezuelan accounts on social media published footage of a shootdown incident involving Venezuelan F-16's and an unidentified civilian aircraft. Per the reports, Venezuela shot down the unidentified civilian aircraft. At the moment two videos have been circulating on this topic and a few photos that reportedly show the impact site have emerged as well, so at face value this does appear to be a genuine shootdown incident. However, most of the context is missing; this could have been a mistake, or something to do with narcotics trafficking, or even more of a military/espionage sort of thing. As the source veracity isn't really know, it's hard to verify. Either way, shooting down an aircraft at a time when tensions are extremely high in the region doesn't do much to cool the situation down.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2023-10-10
…home front within the United States domestic tensions remain high resulting from internal political Strife defense stocks surge in anticipation of wartime weapons production domestic protests and demonstrations continue lead leading to clashes between pro-israel…
The Wire · 2023-10-11
…immediate war zone tensions will continue to grow as both sides demonize any attempt at neutrality many US politicians and pundits have shared uncorroborated stories old videos and completely false information on social media with no…
The Wire · 2026-06-05
…SOCIAL TENSIONS CONTINUE IN UNITED KINGDOM.//
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-International Events-
Middle East: The conflict has continued to expand, with Iranian drone attacks taking place at Oman's oil terminals in Mina Al Fahal. Omani authorities suspended…
The Wire · 2025-09-08
…SOCIAL TENSIONS CONTINUE TO RISE IN UNITED KINGDOM. CHARLOTTE, NC CORRUPTION HIGHLIGHTED BY BRUTAL MURDER CASE.//
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-International Events-
United Kingdom: Social tensions continue as before, which have been made worse by recent scandals. Several…
The Wire · 2025-11-06
…Throughout the day today, the unrest has continued as long-held social tensions in Birmingham reached the boiling point. Over 700x police officers have been called up for duty tonight as the riots are planned to…