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Intel Update 2025-03-22

Intel Update — March 22 — Complex Complacency

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the Intel update for March 16th through the 22nd 2025 so let's get right to it starting off in the Southeast region just touching on things that have happened in Washington DC this week as we all know the JFK files were released tens of thousands of pages of documents have uh been posted online in several batches so anyone interested can definitely go check them out uh if if you wish so far there hasn't really been any one single Smoking Gun document that says who did it sort of thing which I don't think anyone was really expecting but most of the documents so far the ones that I've I've looked through myself with my own eyes seem to really just kind of confirm what we already sort of know now a lot of people who have not been following the JFK's sort of uh investigation and not necessarily the the details of what is essentially just a very famous murder investigation but more along the lines of the international Espionage that go that went along with this investigation a lot of people are going to be very surprised when they learn certain details of this investigation and the international connections and things like that but uh for the most part anything controversial has largely been ignored but this may change as time goes on and people start start digging down into these documents one thing to remember though that when it comes to a very large uh conspiracy that goes back decades right of many spanning many many presidencies we have to remember that there may be a reason as to why these documents are have been released during this period in time so it could be a more deliberate timing uh to to coincide with maybe a softer Landing uh so to speak with regards to the revelations that some of these documents may bring to the table so same story with the Epstein documents uh there haven't really been any developments on that with the exception of the doj announcing that they are mobilizing over 1,000 FBI agents to comb through the Epstein documents to see what they can release or something to that effect I'm not really entirely sure once again these documents were supposed to be on the Attorney General's desk a couple of weeks ago now so I'm not really sure why they need to be gone through again except for you know reasons that we probably already can guess especially considering the Personnel changes at the FBI of course we know that the leadership of the FBI has changed but all the field agents are still the same agents that have been employed by the FBI for decades now right so just because you Chang the leadership doesn't necessarily mean that you change the people in the agency so of course expectation management is key here and and and once again I don't think anyone's holding their breath on this other developments in Washington are the Department of Education has been dismantled or ordered to be dismantled by an executive order or executive action it's hard to tell these days what's the difference between an executive action and an executive order these days because some of these uh executive actions are not being listed or numbered like executive orders traditionally are however in this case if you read through the document yourself you can see that it it's mostly meant to make the Department of Education toothless uh for the moment there's a lot of money involved in the doe so that's got to be kind of ironed out you can't just write one document that says be gone you know you have to sort of account for things and and eliminating a cabinet position is going to take a a lot of time but uh this is one of those things that we can see the order being issued but we'll have to see how many months down the line uh is the Department of Education still a thing at the federal level so again something to keep your eye on this week's theme is generally been the Judiciary causing a little bit of uh consternation amongst really all of government in the form of random judges throughout Washington DC just declaring things so once again just as a reminder the transgender ban of uh service members in the military it doesn't explicitly say the word transgender in the in the executive order however the the content of it really just kind of is a transgender ban and also the uh deportation flights of Venezuelans to El Salvador was halted uh they were halted by two separate judges we know how the story goes no need to dwell on it too much but I guess the Department of Defense is is definitely having to answer some questions now as to why their operational actions and are being second guessed by a judge I don't know how this plays into National Defense I kind of touched on it but I I don't think very many other people have this concern uh so that's why I touched on it but anytime a judge can tell a military unit what to do as opposed to the commander-in-chief that's kind of a problem and um I'm just kind of confused as to why not that many people seem to be noting this but either way very kinetic week in Washington so let's go ahead and move out west uh talk about another controversy that's kind of developing this has been more of a thing that has been focused on by a lot of people out west and some of the more open lands around the nation but this is a a controversy that has erupted from the White House and the department of interior and the Department of Housing and Urban Development announcing that they are from what I can understand essentially trying to sell off America's public lands to put in cheap housing I know not the most popular way of phrasing it I know it seems rather biased but I would rather strongly encourage you to take a look at the primary source the website uh from the Department of interior they published a video and a longer text based article on essentially trying to turn America's BLM lands uh specifically they're targeting specifically rural areas for urbanized development specifically to put in what sounds to me like Section 8 housing now I I I don't know if that's true but it's what it sounds like so I'm definitely open to other interpretations but it it certainly seems like um that's what's uh going on so so yeah just something to keep in mind something to to be mindful of especially if you live out west near some public land moving around the nation did want to highlight the recent attacks on Tesla vehicles dealerships people who own Teslas and so on and so forth uh here is a map showing the General locations of all of these attacks that have occurred over the past uh few weeks really and as we can see it's it's fairly uh fairly nationwide at this point so I know that a lot of very big social media accounts especially Elon Musk himself have stated that this is a coordinated and well-funded attack I have not seen any indications of that this seems to be like just local antifa Usual Suspects targeting things because they can at most you might have a group of three or four people a local cell in a local city uh to try to attack Tesla locations but for the most part we're not seeing the kind of roving uh flown in protesters demonstrators riers uh kind of thing like we saw over the past few years these are more along the lines of just local people who are attacking these sites in their local areas you can see this based on where they are arrested they're not they don't have like mailing addresses based in other states they're all local people who have been arrested so far moving overseas let's touch on Western Europe for just a moment again diplomatic tensions have remained fairly constant since the American election but lately there have been a little bit of tit fortat kind of diplomatic actions the latest round of sort of push back or poking of the United States has been in the form of several Nations issuing Travel warnings for their citizens that they may be detained and deported from the United States uh if they visit on a tourist Visa or something like that this is obviously more of a political thing than a real genuine concern however there were a few Germans who were detained at the border a couple of weeks ago or last week actually which has probably caused a little bit of an international spat but generally speaking uh this is more of a political thing than anything similarly the fire at he airport in London yesterday may be a case of politics entering into the more kinetic phase it's really hard to tell at this point the United Kingdom suffers much from the same kinds of problems as the United States and and many Western westernized Nations around the world in that when something happens when there's a critical infrastructure failure it's often very very hard to determine was this incompetence was this malice was this some kind of accident or some kind of deliberate action clearly authorities thought that the he throw fire was more of a terrorist attack sort of thing as the counterterrorism police were leading the investigation at first I don't know if that's continued on of course this is speculative but it seems like the counterterrorist guys have just kind of moved on from this and they're kind of treating it more along the lines of a just an accident or some some other kind of not terrorism related incident hard to say though however because of the suspicious timing with this and actions throughout Eastern Europe but once again uh the United Kingdom suffers from much the same thing as the United States so for instance a lot of British politicians are pointing out or at least they're making the accusations I cannot vouch for the veracity of this information but the accusations are being made that he thr airport not only did they put their emergency backup generators at the same site like physically located next to each other and next to to the electrical substation that caught fire uh there are some accusations that they actually removed a lot of their diesel generator support in in favor of biomass generators now again I cannot vouch for any of that I don't know uh if that's true or not but the accusations are being made I guess we'll find out but generally speaking what is quite clear is that whatever generators were on site were located at the actual substation that caught fire and thus were also impacted by the fire so yeah a lot of egg on faces over this one is kind of embarrassing but uh I'd be very interested to read the incident report or whatever investigation comes about there might there might even be an inquiry over this I don't know but he provides a lot of money for the nation so this this airport going down for almost a full day that's pretty devastating when it comes to the economic impact so a lot of attention is going to be placed on this I I think moving over to Eastern Europe it seems like it's getting harder to determine how close we are to a peace deal coming to fruition or or any even just a ceasefire of some kind this has not been made any any better by the United States continuing to fund and uh send shipments to Ukraine just like before uh the election this has not really done anything to kind of push a a peace agreement but that kind of stuff aside one of the things that has really kind of inflamed tensions is the attack on the Les operating base in Russia so a few days ago Ukraine conducted a drone attack on engel's Main operating base once again uh down in Southwestern Russia now I know this may not seem very significant to a lot of people and this has happened multiple times before however this latest attack uh was rather substantial so let's take a look at this via the imagery that we have courtesy of maxar now for the previous strikes we didn't really have this capability or we had the capability but there was very little interest in it but now we have actually maxar imagery really good civilian commercial imagery of the section of the base at Engles that was struck so here we have the before picture before the Drone strike was conducted and here we have afterwards and as we can see this this section of the base was uh quite literally decimated uh we can see here I I'm of course no imagery expert but just for those of you who may have a hard time seeing the image here I've highlighted all the buildings that were uh rather kinetically destroyed by the Ukrainian drone strike and just in the context of where this particular site is located at Eng Les this Annex is located just to the east of the runway so once again nothing particularly new however it is interesting because I don't think a lot of Americans or even Western Europeans understand the significance of this especially in the context of what it means for a superpowers main operating base to be attacked really at all and what I mean by that is if we zoom out just a little bit and if we understand the history of engel's main operating base we might start to understand that this is not just any ordinary base this is a military base where Russia stores nuclear weapons so this is one of Russia's uh cream of the crop kind of military bases they only have two main operating bases one in the East and one in the west this one going all the way back to the Soviet Union their main Doctrine was to uh basically load a lot of their aircraft with nuclear weapons and then deploy them from these main operating bases to forward operating bases to attack those pesky Americans right over maybe say a polar route or something like like that of course this isn't really that much of a risk anymore these days however Russia still does store nuclear weapons here this is The Saratov 63 nuclear weapon storage facility and they have taken a lot of efforts to modernize it over the past few years especially since the Ukrainian war and so they are definitely still using it it is definitely a Hopping facility so I I know that it may be hard to kind of encapsulate this so let me just explain a the the analogy that I think of when I think of something like this this is equivalent in my mind uh sort of equivalent to the United States invading Iraq to do what we wanted to do in Iraq and Saddam somehow having the ability to drop a lot of bombs on Whitman Air Force Base in Missouri you know that's the kind of impact so imagine if we invaded Iraq to tople Saddam we're trying to drive to Baghdad right and Saddam Hussein ends up bombing whitean Air Force Base in Missouri where we have a lot of b2s and nuclear weapons so so maybe we can see how this is just a little bit more concerning than the average tit fortat kind of thing in a regional War like it or not a superpower being involved in a war is a very serious thing it's a very serious thing whether it's Justified or not I'm I'm not trying to take any side on this the issue is is that now we're starting to see some pretty serious things happen a little bit more routinely and a little bit more seriously of course the pro Ukraine guys will say well if Russia didn't want to have their nuclear base targeted then they shouldn't have started the war they can say that all they want to but it's not going to do anybody any good if a nuclear bun ER gets struck and we have a very serious problem on our hands I don't think any of us are going to feel very good typing away our snarky comments on Twitter if that were to happen so either way the United States is facilitating a small Regional power attacking the nuclear bases of a larger superpower and it seems like because we've had this election and it's okay because we now have new political leadership and it's okay because pie is around the corner well no it's not uh we it we may be hopeful for that and the past few weeks have shown that we're closer to peace than we have been in four years but that doesn't necessarily mean that at the last minute things aren't going to get very risky and right now the war in Ukraine is entering its riskiest phase it was extremely risky right in the very very beginning those first couple of weeks of the war and now it's going to be very very risky at the very end of it because Ukraine is exceptionally desperate rightly or wrongly that's what they are and the United States has feed has been feeding that desperation for a very long time so they struck an Annex at Eng Les today they may strike zerov 63 tomorrow who knows you know and I'm just a little bit concerned about that and I'm a little bit concerned that nobody else is concerned if that makes any sense so of course there's it's not like there's anything we can do about it but it's something to be mindful of that yeah don't don't get complacent here don't don't think that just because we have very real chances for peace does not necessarily mean that at the last minute that peace can't be yanked away and this thing uh get get kinetic once again so a lot of people are in the the attitude of well I'll believe there will be a ceasefire when I see it I'm kind of in that camp a little bit too but we we don't want to be entirely that pessimistic I guess but we're definitely entering into the phase again where something happening halfway around the world can definitely impact us here at home uh especially if we have vulnerabilities to our electrical substations maybe at airports if you know what I'm saying so so definitely a case of we're not out of the woods just yet same story in the Middle East where turkey appears to be experiencing quite a bit of civil unrest due to president erdoan essentially just arresting all of his political opposition this is not entirely surprising at all and if you check out a lot of Turkish social media accounts not not a lot of people are surprised by this a lot there's a lot of people upset by it but not a lot of people surprised this does happen every few years but regardless of how normal this is in Turkey it's very important to remember in the context of what's happened in Syria we've had a government overthrown in Syria we're looking at uh very interesting times in Romania as well and now turkey may be up next for a more um I don't know external color Revolution kind of effort now from from what I can tell it looks like most of the consternation within turkey is very domestic and very organic unlike the developments in Romania to to cancel the elections there and unlike in Syria where well obviously that's a long longer story but in Turkey it seems like it's more along the lines of a real legitimate protest effort so it's something to be aware of especially considering you know a lot of people don't care about turkey but turkey is a NATO member and you know there's a potential for some kind of American involvement there I guess at some point but for the most part it just kind of seems like it'll probably fizzle out but who knows so also down in the Gaza Israel region the ceasefire is over and the war is back on in full force as expected Yemen has uh conducted a few attacks with cruise missiles and drones over the past few days unknown success rate seems like fairly unsuccessful otherwise we would probably see uh them claiming some level of success Yemen's a long way from Israel and their missiles have traditionally been intercepted by the American Navy in the Red Sea protests are fairly common throughout Israel uh in some places but the protests are generally not for the reasons that people tend to think they are and in the context of the rest of the region the United States has uh very clearly established a new red line for the Iranians which generally is summarized best I think by saying the any yeni attack will be considered to be an attack by the Iranians because the Iranians support the yeni or the houi government it's a tail as all this time uh very very similar to the past few years of of conflict in the region yeah I just wanted to kind of point that out because like I said a few weeks ago you can have peace two ways uh you can have peace through a negotiated peace and a negotiated uh cessation of fighting or you can have peace by complete and total dominating victory and I think we it's very clear now as what the American policy is uh in the region so moving over to the Far East theater I wanted to briefly mention something that came out a few weeks ago uh I've touched on this before but because these images have circulated on social media uh over the past few days I think it's very interesting so I'll kind of mention it so China has been busy over the past few years and they have implemented this sort of new idea for landing craft Landing barges and we have recently seen the so-called sea Trials of these devices so so these gigantic machines are used to land resources on a beach and so you can very very very clearly just by looking at the images you can see what these devices are to be used for like many people have noted before these are very likely to be used uh in a uh potential conflict with Taiwan now we can see the various artist renderings of what this type of invasion might be might look like using these types of craft but this is one of those things where you see the one image you see the videos and you think that's interesting because for for many of you out there especially the Marines and anyone who has any sort of primitive knowledge of amphibious operations anyone who's really seen the movie Saving Private Ryan can look at this and and form very very strong opinions about uh the potential success rate of these particular devices but I'm very very curious to read about what China's what mentality why do they think this is going to work essentially I want to know why do they think this will not get immediately sunk within 38 seconds of getting anywhere near the coast like why do they think this will work because clearly they do think it's going to work these things probably cost hundreds of millions of dollars to build so es well I mean at least the fleet we've seen so far so I why why do they think this is is going to work I don't know but they clearly do um they're not building these things just as on a farce they're not building these things just to trick us I mean they could be but this is a pretty big investment for just a just a faint or some kind of deception operation but anyway very interesting uh I'm sure that we will uh see a lot more of this in the future we'll see how many more they build this could also just be a proof of concept to see if something like this would work I mean China has no problem sacrificing most of their population in a war but we also have to remember that China's never really waged an amphibious war or or really any War at all ever so it's very interesting to see the doctrine points uh being made by a second world nation that hasn't really gotten any combat experience with amphibious operations so yeah I guess we'll have to see what they do with this I'm going to you know obviously keep an eye on this to see how this works I don't necessarily think this is an imminent indicator of of an invasion uh so for those of you guys remember my old stoplight chart uh for Invasion indicators uh this is an indicator of uh they're rather serious about Taiwan but this I don't think this is an indicator of them IM like getting ready to imminently roll these up to Taiwan beaches I mean it could be but uh it doesn't seem like it's going to work out super well and they're going to need a few thousand more of these I think they've got five so far but anyway I guess we'll see how it how it works and uh be very interested to see they're testing on these cuz it's not like they can hide them so we'll have good satellite images of these as they go through their testing phases and as the Chinese learn a lot of new things so very interesting to see though so that's all I have for today let's move on to the intercepted ghostnet reports again uh fairly light week for news but a lot of people testing which is good uh a lot of people uh staying on for a lot longer uh than normal and uh just kind of chatting back and forth with a lot of other people which is great to see a lot of call signs logged we can see a few people here talking about how many call signs they've seen throughout the communications window and a few people cut and pasted a condensed vers of the wire report for that day which is good it's also great to see people pushing the obsidian link so that people can get the full report if they wanted it it's probably easier to do that but again when it comes to off-grid kind of information sharing that there's a lot of different ways to to skin that cat right so so yeah pretty interesting week I've been putting in a lot of time working on a lot of updates to the ghostnet document and program and all kinds of things but it's going to be a long time before I have anything to share on that front so so again we don't want to slip into complacency and just say ah well it's done no it's it's not done there are a lot of a lot of improvements that are being made I'm working on it um I've got to write a lot of uh stuff to make this a lot more well-rounded than it is uh even though right now it is it is a fairly uh fairly comprehensive plan I there are definitely points of improvement which I'm I'm definitely making right now so so that's pretty much all I have for today thank you all for watching thank you for all of your support again the sources can be found here on my obsidian page throughout the throughout the week and also the slides for this are posted on patreon so for anyone who wants documentation there you go so thanks again and we will see you next time and as always fight in the shade

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