ATP 2-33.4, page 10
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
2014 public edition (Archive.org)
Searchable page text (OCR / PDF)
Introduction
Introductory table 1. Summary of changes (continued)
Chapter 3—Basic Structured Analytic Techniques
Chapter 3 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the
analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three
chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 3—
* Describes the basic structured analytical techniques necessary to support problem solving.
* Discusses techniques that include sorting, matrices, threat intentions matrix, event mapping,
event trees, subjective probability, and weighted ranking
Chapter 4—Diagnostic Analytic Techniques
Chapter 4 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the
analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three
chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 4—
* Discusses the primary purpose of diagnostic techniques to make analytic arguments,
assumptions, and/or intelligence gaps more transparent.
* Discusses techniques that include deception detection, key assumptions check, quality of
information check, indicators, and argument mapping.
Chapter 5—Core Army Analytic Techniques
Chapter 5 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the
analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three
chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 5—
* Discusses the core Army analytic techniques used at the strategic, operation, and tactical levels
and are routinely used by Army intelligence personnel conducting intelligence analysis.
* Discusses core Army techniques often incorporated into multiple basic structured analytic
techniques in combination with diagnostic techniques.
Chapter 6—Analytic Support to Decisive Action
Chapter 6 is a new chapter that discusses the analytical support to decisive action. It—
* Addresses the analytical support process to offensive, defensive, stability, and defense support to
civil authorities tasks.
* Describes analytical support to unique operations, to include building partnership capacity,
protection, and synchronizing information-related capabilities.
Chapter 7—Analytic Support to Unique Missions
Chapter 7 is a new chapter which discussed the analytic support required in unique missions. Unique
missions discussed in this chapter include—
* — Counterinsurgency.
* — Counter-Improvised Explosive Devices.
* Site Exploitation.
Appendix A—Emerging Analytic Techniques
‘Appendix A discusses in detail some of the more common techniques in use at the strategic and
operational levels. These techniques discussed are categorized under contrarian techniques, imaginative
techniques, and basic structured analytic techniques, although there is often overlap in specific
techniques.
Appendix B—Indicators in Decisive Action
‘Appendix B discusses and provides extensive examples of various indicators. The examples identify the
different types of indicators, as well as applicable activities. These tables are exemplary, not all inclusive.
The examples are designed to provide a starting point for more in-depth specific analysis for an
operation.
Term Changes
Not applicable.
viii ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014
Introduction
viii
ATP 2-33.4
18 August 2014
Introductory table 1. Summary of changes (continued)
Chapter 3—Basic Structured Analytic Techniques
Chapter 3 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the
analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three
chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 3—
•
Describes the basic structured analytical techniques necessary to support problem solving.
•
Discusses techniques that include sorting, matrices, threat intentions matrix, event mapping,
event trees, subjective probability, and weighted ranking.
Chapter 4—Diagnostic Analytic Techniques
Chapter 4 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the
analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three
chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 4—
•
Discusses the primary purpose of diagnostic techniques to make analytic arguments,
assumptions, and/or intelligence gaps more transparent.
•
Discusses techniques that include deception detection, key assumptions check, quality of
information check, indicators, and argument mapping.
Chapter 5—Core Army Analytic Techniques
Chapter 5 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the
analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three
chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 5—
•
Discusses the core Army analytic techniques used at the strategic, operation, and tactical levels
and are routinely used by Army intelligence personnel conducting intelligence analysis.
•
Discusses core Army techniques often incorporated into multiple basic structured analytic
techniques in combination with diagnostic techniques.
Chapter 6—Analytic Support to Decisive Action
Chapter 6 is a new chapter that discusses the analytical support to decisive action. It—
•
Addresses the analytical support process to offensive, defensive, stability, and defense support to
civil authorities tasks.
•
Describes analytical support to unique operations, to include building partnership capacity,
protection, and synchronizing information-related capabilities.
Chapter 7—Analytic Support to Unique Missions
Chapter 7 is a new chapter which discussed the analytic support required in unique missions. Unique
missions discussed in this chapter include—
•
Counterinsurgency.
•
Counter-Improvised Explosive Devices.
•
Site Exploitation.
Appendix A—Emerging Analytic Techniques
Appendix A discusses in detail some of the more common techniques in use at the strategic and
operational levels. These techniques discussed are categorized under contrarian techniques, imaginative
techniques, and basic structured analytic techniques, although there is often overlap in specific
techniques.
Appendix B—Indicators in Decisive Action
Appendix B discusses and provides extensive examples of various indicators. The examples identify the
different types of indicators, as well as applicable activities. These tables are exemplary, not all inclusive.
The examples are designed to provide a starting point for more in-depth specific analysis for an
operation.
Term Changes
Not applicable.