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Military manual ATP 2-33.4 Page 10 of 146 text: ocr+pdf

ATP 2-33.4, page 10

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

2014 public edition (Archive.org)

Page 10 of ATP 2-33.4
Searchable page text (OCR / PDF)
Introduction Introductory table 1. Summary of changes (continued) Chapter 3—Basic Structured Analytic Techniques Chapter 3 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 3— * Describes the basic structured analytical techniques necessary to support problem solving. * Discusses techniques that include sorting, matrices, threat intentions matrix, event mapping, event trees, subjective probability, and weighted ranking Chapter 4—Diagnostic Analytic Techniques Chapter 4 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 4— * Discusses the primary purpose of diagnostic techniques to make analytic arguments, assumptions, and/or intelligence gaps more transparent. * Discusses techniques that include deception detection, key assumptions check, quality of information check, indicators, and argument mapping. Chapter 5—Core Army Analytic Techniques Chapter 5 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 5— * Discusses the core Army analytic techniques used at the strategic, operation, and tactical levels and are routinely used by Army intelligence personnel conducting intelligence analysis. * Discusses core Army techniques often incorporated into multiple basic structured analytic techniques in combination with diagnostic techniques. Chapter 6—Analytic Support to Decisive Action Chapter 6 is a new chapter that discusses the analytical support to decisive action. It— * Addresses the analytical support process to offensive, defensive, stability, and defense support to civil authorities tasks. * Describes analytical support to unique operations, to include building partnership capacity, protection, and synchronizing information-related capabilities. Chapter 7—Analytic Support to Unique Missions Chapter 7 is a new chapter which discussed the analytic support required in unique missions. Unique missions discussed in this chapter include— * — Counterinsurgency. * — Counter-Improvised Explosive Devices. * Site Exploitation. Appendix A—Emerging Analytic Techniques ‘Appendix A discusses in detail some of the more common techniques in use at the strategic and operational levels. These techniques discussed are categorized under contrarian techniques, imaginative techniques, and basic structured analytic techniques, although there is often overlap in specific techniques. Appendix B—Indicators in Decisive Action ‘Appendix B discusses and provides extensive examples of various indicators. The examples identify the different types of indicators, as well as applicable activities. These tables are exemplary, not all inclusive. The examples are designed to provide a starting point for more in-depth specific analysis for an operation. Term Changes Not applicable. viii ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Introduction viii ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Introductory table 1. Summary of changes (continued) Chapter 3—Basic Structured Analytic Techniques Chapter 3 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 3— • Describes the basic structured analytical techniques necessary to support problem solving. • Discusses techniques that include sorting, matrices, threat intentions matrix, event mapping, event trees, subjective probability, and weighted ranking. Chapter 4—Diagnostic Analytic Techniques Chapter 4 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 4— • Discusses the primary purpose of diagnostic techniques to make analytic arguments, assumptions, and/or intelligence gaps more transparent. • Discusses techniques that include deception detection, key assumptions check, quality of information check, indicators, and argument mapping. Chapter 5—Core Army Analytic Techniques Chapter 5 is a revision of portions of chapter 5 of the previous manual, which consolidated all the analytical tools and techniques. ATP 2-33.4 subdivides these analytical tools and techniques into three chapters (chapters 3, 4, and 5). Chapter 5— • Discusses the core Army analytic techniques used at the strategic, operation, and tactical levels and are routinely used by Army intelligence personnel conducting intelligence analysis. • Discusses core Army techniques often incorporated into multiple basic structured analytic techniques in combination with diagnostic techniques. Chapter 6—Analytic Support to Decisive Action Chapter 6 is a new chapter that discusses the analytical support to decisive action. It— • Addresses the analytical support process to offensive, defensive, stability, and defense support to civil authorities tasks. • Describes analytical support to unique operations, to include building partnership capacity, protection, and synchronizing information-related capabilities. Chapter 7—Analytic Support to Unique Missions Chapter 7 is a new chapter which discussed the analytic support required in unique missions. Unique missions discussed in this chapter include— • Counterinsurgency. • Counter-Improvised Explosive Devices. • Site Exploitation. Appendix A—Emerging Analytic Techniques Appendix A discusses in detail some of the more common techniques in use at the strategic and operational levels. These techniques discussed are categorized under contrarian techniques, imaginative techniques, and basic structured analytic techniques, although there is often overlap in specific techniques. Appendix B—Indicators in Decisive Action Appendix B discusses and provides extensive examples of various indicators. The examples identify the different types of indicators, as well as applicable activities. These tables are exemplary, not all inclusive. The examples are designed to provide a starting point for more in-depth specific analysis for an operation. Term Changes Not applicable.