ATP 2-33.4, page 57
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
2014 public edition (Archive.org)
Searchable page text (OCR / PDF)
Core Army Analytic Techniques
18 August 2014
ATP 2-33.4
5-3
5-10. A two-phase, eleven-step structured process is often used to elicit the most information from the
brainstorming sessions. This process is described below:
Phase 1—Divergent Thinking Phase:
Step 1. Distribute a piece of stationery with a re-adherable strip of adhesive on the back,
and pens or markers to all participants. Typically, 10 to 12 people work best.
Step 2. Pose the problem in terms of a focal question. Display it in one sentence on a large
easel or whiteboard.
Step 3. Ask the group to write down responses to the question, using key words that will fit
on the small piece of stationery.
Step 4. Stick all the notes on a wall for all to see—treat all ideas the same.
Step 5. When a pause follows the initial flow of ideas, the group is reaching the end of their
collective conventional thinking and the new divergent ideas are then likely to emerge. End
the “collection stage” of the brainstorming after two or three pauses.
Phase 2—Convergent Thinking Phase:
Step 6. Ask the participants as a group to rearrange the notes on the wall according to their
commonalities or similar concepts. Talking is discouraged. Some notes may be moved
several times as notes begin to cluster. Copying some notes is permitted to allow ideas to be
included in more than one group.
Step 7. Select a word or phrase that characterizes each grouping or cluster once all the notes
have been arranged.
Step 8. Identify any notes that do not easily fit with others and consider them either isolated
thoughts or the beginning of an idea that deserves further attention.
Step 9. Assess what the group has accomplished in terms of new ideas or concepts
identified or new areas that need more work or further brainstorming.
Step 10. Instruct each participant to select one or two areas that deserve the most attention.
Tabulate the votes.
Step 11. Set the brainstorming group’s priorities based on the voting and decide on the next
steps for analysis.
5-11. Brainstorming can be used in developing threat COAs and in anticipating the actions of other types
of threats (state and non-state as well as organizations, groups, and individuals) that can influence the
commander’s area of interest. Brainstorming is also effective in developing recommendations for
information collection and targeting strategies. (For example, an analytical team in Afghanistan may
conduct a brainstorming session to develop observables and indicators for Taliban shadow government
activities in Kabul province.)
5-12. Brainstorming is one of the most widely used group idea generation tools today, capitalizing on the
idea that grouping people together is more effective than letting participants work alone. Conducting a
structured brainstorming session is most effective if we recognize and avoid the common brainstorming
pitfalls: blocking, evaluation apprehension, and personality faceoff.
Blocking refers to the human inability to effectively develop new ideas while keeping old ideas
in active storage in short-term memory. When people cannot immediately input their ideas
because they have to wait for someone else to describe theirs, they often end up judging or
editing them, or even forgetting them altogether. Even when people do get a chance to describe
an idea during brainstorming, they may get to offer only one or two comments before someone
else breaks in. The larger the brainstorming group, the bigger the amount of blocked
participants, and the fewer the ideas produced compared to an equal number of people
generating ideas independently.
Evaluation apprehension refers to the experience of being anxious about being negatively
evaluated or not positively evaluated. In other words, it is the concern for how others are
evaluating us.
Personality faceoff refers to the clash of personalities between people. Overpowering people try
to dominate the activity. Passive people try to get by unnoticed. Stubborn people get