ATP 2-33.4, page 94

Chapter 6 6-8 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Table 6-3. Use of emerging and other structured analytical techniques Technique Used for: Often used with: Offensive/ Defensive Stability DSCA Devil’s Advocacy Highlighting weaknesses and fallacy in current analytical assessments. Any technique; often employs a technique NOT employed by the original analytic team. X X X Team A/ Team B Comparing and contrasting two equally valid analytic assessments. All other analytic techniques. X X X High-Impact/ Low- Probability Highlighting a seemingly unlikely event that would have major consequence. All other analytic techniques. X X “What if” Analysis Determining indicators through imagined “hindsight.” All other analytic techniques; the result is often Indicators. X X Red Hat Analysis Seeking forecast actions of the enemy as if the analyst were the enemy. All other analytic techniques; the result is often Indicators. X X X Counterfactual Reasoning Analyzing threat, neutral and friendly entity patterns of behavior and their causes. All other analytic techniques. X X Outside-In Thinking Identifying potential actions of threat, neutral, and friendly entities. Developing information collection strategies. Developing targeting strategies. • Situation logic. • ACH. • Comparison. • Probability. • Subjective probability. X X