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The Wire · 2026-04-30

The Wire - April 30, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z April 30, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: TERRORISM CONCERNS REMAIN IN UNITED KINGDOM. UKRAINIAN TARGETING OF RUSSIAN OIL INFRASTRUCTURE CONTINUES. OIL MARKET REMAINS VOLATILE AS GULF WAR REMAINS STAGNANT.//
Intel Update · 2026-05-02

Intel Update - May 2 - Tactical Limbo

Hello again, everyone, and welcome back to the Underground. This is the Intel update for April 26th through May 2nd, 2026. So, let's get right to it. Around the world, the various conflicts we have been keeping an eye on
The Wire · 2026-05-05

The Wire - May 05, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z May 05, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: SHOOTING REPORTED ON NATIONAL MALL, ONE SUSPECT WOUNDED BY SECRET SERVICE. PROJECT FREEDOM OPERATION IN HORMUZ REMAINS INTENSE AS A MASS CONVOY OF CIVILIAN SHIPS STAGE
The Wire · 2026-05-18

The Wire - May 18, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z May 18, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: CRIME AND SHOOTING SPREES RUN RAMPANT IN UNITED STATES. VEHICLE RAMMING ATTACK REPORTED IN ITALY. WAR IN MIDDLE EAST CONTINUES AS STRIKES REPORTED AT EMIRATI NUCLEAR F
The Wire · 2026-07-17

The Wire - July 17, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z July 17, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: GULF WAR ESCALATES AS INFRASTRUCTURE TARGETING BEGINS. SIGNIFICANT IRANIAN RETALIATION REPORTED ON AMERICAN INSTALLATIONS. IRANIAN TARGETING OF MERCHANT SHIPPING REMA
Intel Update · 2026-07-18

Intel Update - July 18 - Back to War

ough the 18th, 2026. This has been a very busy week, so let's get right to it. Just as a notice right up front, I also p
Intel Update · 2026-08-15

Intel Update - August 15 - Guns of August

rough the 15th of 2026. As usual, it's been a rather packed week as the crazy times have continued and I'm going to be a
The Wire · 2026-08-18

The Wire - August 18, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z August 18, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: KINETIC TARGETING CONTINUES WITHIN MIDDLE EAST AS HOUTHIS LAUNCH MISSILES TOWARD DUBAI. TONGAN CRIP THREAT REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN SALT LAKE CITY.//  -----BEGIN TEA
The Wire · 2025-12-30

The Wire - December 30, 2025

…For one, the UAE and the Saudis have bad-blood between them on cultural grounds, but both the Emirates and the Saudi royal family also don't want the Houthi's to control most of Yemen…
The Wire · 2026-08-19

The Wire - August 19, 2026

…If the Emirs have indeed shut down Iran's access to financial markets, this will probably have more significant impact than it seems at first. Syria: Last night Israeli forces conducted airstrikes at Al Duhur Airbase…
The Wire · 2026-06-10

The Wire - June 10, 2026

…Similarly, the Emirates have tried sneaking oil out through Omani terminals on the Gulf of Oman side of the Strait (which is why Iran has been striking Oman semi-regularly since the start of the war…
The Wire · 2026-05-08

The Wire - May 08, 2026

…From the perspective of the Emirs, their entire motivation for siding with the US and allowing the use of their territory...is for their own defense. Their oil terminals (the only reason for their wealth), getting…
The Wire · 2026-05-04

The Wire - May 4, 2026

…United Arab Emirates: After this morning's scuffle in the Strait, four Iranian drones/cruise missiles were reported in Fujairah, as Iranian forces targeted the large oil refinery complex which has been used to circumvent the…
The Wire · 2026-03-09

The Wire - March 9, 2026

…The two suspects have been identified as Emir Balat and Ibrahim Kayumi, both residents of Pennsylvania. More details are expected as the investigation continues. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: A bit of back story is needed to…
The Wire · 2026-03-02

The Wire - March 2, 2026

…In the Emirates, Iranian forces have been hitting Dubai and Abu Dhabi hard over the past two days. Power plants, oil terminals, and other energy infrastructure have been targeted, along with more military targets. The French…
The Wire · 2026-05-20

The Wire - May 20, 2026

The Emirates and Saudis have likewise been the main belligerents actually conducting targeting efforts during the ceasefire, so they're also ready to go at a moment's notice. All diplomacy has failed so far, and…
The Wire · 2024-01-12

The Wire - January 12, 2024

…Conversely, Oman has forbid the use of their airspace for this operation, and the United Arab Emirates has placed their forces on alert in response to coalition targeting. Analyst Comments: As a reminder, White House officials…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 101

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…FOUO LEADERSHIP FUNCTION—When determining what type of activities may take place, consider: International Support and Leadership: Emir or front commander level leader of a country, a stateless leader, or a transnational influence directing the political…
The Wire · 2026-04-29

The Wire - April 29, 2026

…UNITED ARAB EMIRATES DECIDE TO LEAVE OPEC.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Middle East: Yesterday the United Arab Emirates announced their intention to withdraw from OPEC, the organization of Oil Producing and Exporting Countries which are responsible…