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The Wire · 2025-08-01

The Wire - August 1, 2025

//The Wire//1800Z August 1, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: CHRISTIANS AMBUSHED AT CHURCH EVENT IN SEATTLE. MULTIPLE FEDERAL INVESTIGATIONS LAUNCHED INTO STUDENT ALTERCATION AT FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -HomeFront- Washington: An ambush was reported in Seattle at a Pursuit Northwest Church event last night. One person was killed after unknown attackers opened fire on them, while laying in wait inside a vehicle parked on the street. The attacker(s) fled the scene after the shooting in a white Hyundai Elantra, which has a broken window. The Seattle Police Department has confirmed that the shooting was a deliberate ambush targeting churchgoers. Analyst Comment: This is the same Church at the center of recent controversy in Seattle, and the same Church that was berated by Seattle police for having the audacity to express their faith in public. This Church was condemned by the Seattle police union a few months ago for holding an event at a park deep behind the lines into ANTIFA-held terrain, with the police complaining that they had to protect the churchgoers from violent criminals. Following this incident, it was made clear that the city itself not only approved the permit for this event, but specifically suggested that exact park. Now, the violence continues, not only by parishioners being beaten by the crowd, but now including murders of people trying to go to Church. From a risk management perspective, this is one of the most clear cases of violent religious persecution in the United States, and the city is very obviously not interested in combating the violent militants which are now shooting and murdering Christians in the streets. The federal Department of Justice has not commented on this incident, nor is there any indication of federal interest in Christians persistently being attacked (and now murdered) in Seattle. Florida: The Department of Justice has responded directly to an altercation between two students at Florida State University. The FSU Police Department has launched a full investigation in to the incident, and Attorney General Pam Bondi has ordered US Attorney Jack Heekin, the US Civil Rights Division, and Assistant Attorney General for Civil Rights Harmeet Dhillon to launch a full federal investigation into the incident as well. Florida Congressional Representatives have also gotten involved, and FSU has brought in third-party therapists to provide free trauma counseling services for students who may have indirectly heard about this incident. Analyst Comment: This event, which warranted the involvement of multiple federal law enforcement agencies, revolves around verbal anti-Israeli comments a woman made in the gym toward another student; this entire response stems around a woman saying mean things to a man in the gym. Of course, a response to this would normally be carried out by a university as harassing someone in the gym in this manner is counter to good social order. Normally this type of behavioral incident is handled in-house (usually with something like a brief suspension from classes, if even that). However, as a particular foreign nationstate was mentioned this incident is being responded to as if a murder took place. Consequently, as it's very clear that these types of statements are by far the most heavily-policed speech crimes in the United States, the woman who made the comments has already been doxxed, suspended from classes, and banned from campus, pending the multiple federal investigations that are now underway. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In Washington D.C. politics continues as before, most of which isn't immediately pressing but worthy of note. Talk surrounding the potential pardon of both Diddy and Ghislaine Maxwell continues, with no indication of whether or not a decision has been made on either front yet. The Epstein scandal continues to develop by the hour, most of which has been concerning to the point of sheer incredulity. Most people are still trying to figure out what President Trump actually meant when he stated that Epstein was outcast from Trump's circle for poaching the workers at Trump's own resorts. The implications made by this direct statement don't leave much room for interpretation and the reality of that logic is rather sobering for many. The developments in this case alone have cast a shadow over what probably should be a much bigger scandal: the various developments regarding the targeting of President Trump by previous administrations. If the Epstein scandal had not been handled as poorly as it has, more attention would probably be given to the evidence of prior administrations' corruption. However at this point, trust has faltered to the point that even smoking-gun evidence of collusion by intelligence agencies to spread fake information is not met with the intended response...even just a year ago this would have been an earth-shattering story, but compared to everything else that is going on it's not as groundbreaking as one might expect, especially since most people already knew this information or at least assumed as much. Plus (to be brutally honest), when many people are broke, being replaced by H1B-hires, censored everywhere, and federally investigated for criticizing a specific foreign nation, they are not going to care about what happened to Trump. And the White House has burned through a lot of the goodwill that got them across the finish line (mostly from younger conservatives), which for many people has washed away a lot of the good things that have happened, rightly or wrongly. Everyone wants "their guy" to win. And everybody thinks that when "their guy" wins, everything will be vastly better than it was before. In reality, the situation is often only marginally better than the other paths that could have been taken, which is regardless of political party. This "grass is always greener" phenomenon has always been true, but it's still a hard pill to swallow for many, and it's important to remember when it comes to both expectation management and risk assessment. Most of Trump's supporters thought that the crackdown on speech would end when he got elected. But now (in many ways) it's just as dangerous to have certain opinions as before, just in a slightly different way. This is most heavily demonstrated by both the global crackdown on speech and privacy, and also the White House launching headfirst into the same data concerns. Red or blue, it doesn't matter: a future where nothing is private and every bit of personal data is monetized and analyzed...is not exactly a comforting thought for many. Nevertheless, the newly-declassified documents really are an important milestone in the political realm. But despite this importance this situation may fall victim to the age old lesson of politics: if someone alienates a good chunk of their supporter base once they reach power, their supporters may return the favor in kind one day. Whether or not this idea will truly come to fruition is anyone's guess, however this will be important in the context of the challenges faced by Americans over the next few years, especially as speech crimes and censorship efforts continue to be a very significant bi-partisan efforts. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
How to Hide From Drones · 2020-11-22

How to Hide From Drones: Lessons Learned in Modern War

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground so today we're going to be taking a look at a very specific topic on small uas systems and different camouflage techniques and tactics that you can use to hide from them so camouflage itself is not a new topic but recent events more specifically this conflict the conflict between armenia and azerbaijan have catapulted small uas systems into the spotlight once again and this is not a concept this is not something that has been uh that is new either but during the second nagorno-karabakh war the war between armenia and azerbaijan small uas systems were a very decisive tool um you know whatever you want to call the war we call it the lawnmower war because one of the main reasons and and and tools that were used in that conflict which lasted only six weeks long was uas systems you had armenia and azerbaijan both using small uas systems in conjunction with modern day tools modern warfare uh you know things like guided you know munitions precision weapons or even artillery right so that sort of stuff combined with small uas systems using other modern war tools has been a wake-up call for a lot of people now those of us in the defense industry have known about this for a while and really the defense industry as a whole really started getting very serious about researching these small uas systems back in 2018 and actually long before that but most doctrine was essentially finalized in 2018. we've been we've known about it for gosh probably 10 years before that back back going all the way back to 2008 but the the main point is that small uas systems have been used by insurgent groups for a very long time most notably isis and this is where our sort of experience comes in with them um uas systems for the longest time have been regarded as sort of like a range toy for you know lack of a better term the taliban really didn't use them in afghanistan they still haven't to this day really use them at all um you've got some limited use of them you know attacking airfields you know like down in helmand and things like that but it really has just been you know uas one or two attacks a year and even though those aren't confirmed at all i don't think there actually is a confirmed case of a uas system being used to target something in afghanistan i think the first one was last year um actually now that i think about it but anyway i'm sure someone will comment below um without actual data but the point is that afghanistan is very different than iraq and syria and isis in iraq and syria used drones like the dji phantom quite extensively and they not only use them for observation but they use them for targeting they had you know the ability to remotely drop warheads mortars uh hand grenades and and all do this with multiple drones at the same time and then also have another drone overhead to videotape the whole thing for propaganda so you know a few years ago the defense community said whoa this stuff is that's no longer a range toy these things are killing people and i think one of the main turning points was when a drone was able to drop a hand grenade into an ammunition dump and it was being used by government forces the local government forces their local military and that was a wake-up call because that video was circulated uh all over the internet i'm sure you could find look it up and find it of essentially a football stadium or a cricket stadium imploding on itself because a small hand grenade was dropped in there into an ammunition dump so that was when the world started noticing that these small uas systems are huge and as such a lot of doctrine has come out lately we have stuff like the islamic state and drones by you know don rassler there come out in 2018 we even had updates to joint publication three tag zero one you know countering air missile threats that was updated to to talk a little bit about these uas systems or at least allude to it and then most importantly we have consumer grade or user grade or you know in the trenches viewpoints we have actual soldiers who are concerned about these things on the front lines as it were writing about these in blog posts and you know unit level tactics and training and stuff like this and this is why the this topic has become sort of reignited and one of the reasons that we're doing this series now is because now we can freely talk about a lot of this stuff um in in the open and one of the great things that has come out of the marine corps intelligence school down there in damn neck virginia great place highly recommend going there the one of the things they have done is create a camouflage sop for the marine corps and it's very interesting it's very short guide it takes a very sharp difference from it takes a very different viewpoint than most military doctrine i'm sure those of you out there that have been in the military can remember making flash cards to pass some kind of either advancement exam or some kind of soldier board or whatever um studying all this doctrine going flipping through field manuals that are just boring you know and and just really mind-numbingly boring stuff just to remember some kind of random statistic it's never going to freaking help you on the battlefield well the marine corps intelligence folks created this guide with a different viewpoint so a lot of people have been aware that camouflage as a entity has been around for a long time like i've said in fact it's been around for like hundreds of years like i mentioned but really we started to be concerned about it in warfare when aircraft started being used for for warfare for the very first time so this is a screenshot from a training video from 1941 showing soldiers how to camouflage things and also really just the importance of camouflage as a as a tactic and war and that has been around like i said for a very very long time the basics of camouflage have not changed the you know the earth the way that you interact with the earth and and how you can hide in a natural environment has really been the same since humans have been on this planet right you know dirt isn't purple you know it's brown it's been brown for a hundred years we know this and you know camouflage you know the techniques and materials have been upgraded but the general principles remain the same um however we can note that even though the basics haven't changed and you can quite literally get a field manual from the us army or any army in the world really back from world war ii or even world war one when they started to recognize the importance of camouflage but you could grab a field manual from world war ii look at that training film from 1941 and the principles have not changed it's still applicable to this day and it is vital now here's the thing just because it hasn't changed any does not mean that people do it right it's just like the whole simple versus complex argument right just because a problem is simple does not mean that it is isn't very difficult right so you know swimming across the atlantic is fairly straightforward you you go to the beach and you look towards the ocean get a compass bearing and you just swim right well that's pretty straightforward it's almost impossible to do that right so um it that's a that's something to to keep in mind is that these basics haven't changed and so we can rephrase the basics we can create this brand new cool product um but really the basics haven't really changed that much so we can just make it more palatable to more people so one of the things that was done um was there there were several different exercises that we can publicly talk about when it comes to camouflage detection and this is a screenshot from one of these after action reports talking about how this particular unit was very ill-equipped for camouflage so let's go through this after action report and we'll talk about some of these images and we'll talk about what it means for camouflage but also how to adapt that sort of thing to a civilian atmosphere right because not a whole lot of us are concerned about isis dropping a mortar on our head with a dji phantom however we are greatly concerned about maybe our local uh local law enforcement using a drone to observe things right or maybe you know the military using a drone or something like that that you know for whatever reason it good or bad right people are concerned about that so we wanted to talk about those concerns by using an actual doctrine product that's really good so yeah like i said you know these screenshots show that this is you know from a a raven or a dji phantom you know type small uas system and this shows that you know these vehicles had made really no attempt other than getting off the road they've made no attempt at really camouflaging themselves they're easily easily seen and in this next image like this this is a company-sized element they have made absolutely no attempt to try to camouflage themselves not only have they erected tarps on the surface but they've parked their vehicles right in the middle of the road right at intersection of roads there's no camouflaging heading anywhere inside and they've lined up their packs so that as an analyst if i see this image now i know that it's a company-sized element because i can count all the individual rucksacks there so there are we could probably spend an hour dissecting this one image and show exactly what was done wrong here but honestly we're not in the business of going down the ttps for a military unit like we are not military doctrine writers right we're trying to help ordinary people right so what does this mean to us well it means that a lot of that doctrine has been thrown out with a lot of different buzz words and a lot of people will recognize these words from like i said exams or soldier boards or whatever you know size shape color shadow shine contrast texture movement those different buzz words are used to describe different ways to uh conceal things different different methods of concealment you can use a whole bunch of words to say essentially the same thing and really that's what the doctrine is trying to get away from instead of memorizing a sort of acronym instead of memorizing a page document really this document this pdf that the marine corps put out the intel weenies over there the document they put out kind of goes against that and it's really just a list of simple eight simple things you don't have to memorize this there's no really big buzz words right it's just hey if you do these eight things this will be your 80 solution and that's what we're going to go over today we're going to go over this list of eight different things that you can do to prevent your detection from an a small uas system so they also came up with standards and that's really what more or less half the document is if you read into it and the standards are look we're not going to do this whole thing where we talk about learning objectives and like this is what you learned did you not learn this this is the standard quoting some kind of random field manual that nobody cares about this is basically saying hey this is what you need to do and this is what every marine needs to be able to do and it's very simple language right it's like you know all marines need to be able to know how to camouflage your helmet you know that sort of stuff it's really simple and that is one of the things that we like about this plan and this document and why this document will most likely be talked about but not by by uh more people than just us really so um let's go down this list of things and we'll talk about some of the screenshots within you know other aars and talk about you know how they apply to a civilian so first up is this image now this is quite an obvious image this looks like either sunset or sunrise probably sunset and you can see shadows very long these these vehicles are very very close together these labs you can see the bottom of the screen to have the uas operators they're not camouflaged at all they're just laying down in the in the bush um but their camouflage uniforms don't match with the area they're in so they're kind of obvious now the point with this very first one is imagine these taking these two labs you take this one right here and you take it and you move it off off screen a little bit well this image that you're looking at this is the field of view for this drone this particular asset so if you move things away you make it harder for the the same uh two vehicles to be seen in the same shot so like right here this is a very photogenic thing you can get two vehicles right there next to each other but if you move them apart from each other you disperse them and makes it harder to count and your sensor can only look at one at a time so that's uh that's something that's very very important also what's important is really the term dispersion what it was used for and created as a concept really since artillery was issued is what if a mortar round lands right there what if an artillery round lands right there that would take out both vehicles quite easily and that's uh that's no good so dispersing for a warfare type thing may mean dispersing to prevent everybody from getting killed all at once by a uh some kind of artillery munition or a bomb or something but really dispersion when it comes to civilian sector is hey if you spread far enough apart they can't see two people in the same frame so in the same you know field of view of the drone unless they're using something like some kind of other sensor that i'm not sure we can probably talk about like a gorgon stair type thing but the issue with this is that they're not dispersed they're right next to each other so that's why the first rule is to disperse into multiple small elements and displace often um that's just a key thing dispersion you know dispersing yourselves um dispersing your people is very very crucial and this is where it comes to once again the civilian factor you know um people who aren't trained are going to have a hard time with this if you're telling me that hey i'm getting shot at and i need to go you know on my own 100 feet that way um you know people are going to have you know a huge psychological effect and that's where the civilian sector comes in so you know it's scary for troops to be in a foxhole 100 feet away from your buddy your battle buddy and you know you start getting mortar rounds that's pretty scary for people who aren't experienced to that and it is terrifying for civilians you know if if it ever came to that um so the psychological impact of dispersion is is something that that has to be factored in as well and you have to train around it right also another thing to consider is that what we learned from the the armenia azerbaijan conflict is that modern war in modern war vehicles are going to offer a false sense of comfort i you know i can't tell you how sobering it was to watch these armored vehicles just get hammered and just peeled apart like a tin can because some off-the-wall cheap you know less than 50-pound drone was overhead and putting a laser spot on it for precision guided munition that was terrifying to watch and i'm sure it was terrifying for a lot of people who have been on the receiving end of some of those weapons before so it's very sobering is that we think that hey even the military gets the idea of oh staying in a vehicle is cover not anymore unless you can conceal that vehicle a lot of modern munitions can can punch right through a lot of that stuff so um yeah that's just something to consider for civilians yeah get out of your vehicle because there's no way a civilian vehicle can be camouflaged to the efficiency that a military vehicle can so that's something to consider up next is this next one this one is a pretty big one you can see these are you know uas operators again these guys i think we're doing some kind of tongue-in-cheek game where they were trying to find their doing some training exercises where they're trying to find their enemy uas operators and they did and now they're in a report that the whole internet is reading but they made no attempt to hide here they didn't get off the road there's shadows everywhere there's all kinds of stuff they they stick out like a sore thumb so what if we were to give them some camouflage so if we give them some tarps we put them on you know put some adequate camouflage that matches their background on the hoods we put some here on the side to take out those shadows put one here on the other side as well and then we put them working underneath the camouflage net they disappear they disappear even in the middle you know the open terrain they're going to disappear quite easily so that's why number two is to find a concealed sight and conform to the terrain you know use your to the train to your advantage like everybody has ever been taught when it comes to camouflage but one of the things that is hard for people to recognize and this happens this is why the us military gets hit with this all the time is do not stop in the open and for civilians it's a lot easier than the military because as you know the military likes to joke roughly 99 of the time is is spent sitting around waiting wondering what the hell the hold up is so that is a huge security thing if you're going to stop and you're going to stop for more than say 10 seconds prepare to stop for 30 minutes or more i cannot tell you how many times all of us here have either been in convoys or seen convoys just just stop on the road and like the worst possible place to stop the most obvious place for an ambush you know it's just it's just horrible the way that logistics works sometimes so if you have any control over this at all and civilians obviously do if you have to stop your vehicle in the open camouflage it as best you can you know throw a cami net over it over it that's better than not civilian vehicles are made to be shiny right so the there's no matte color on any civilian vehicle that comes out of a normal car lot right so having some kind of cover for that car is devastatingly effective especially when you're looking for a shiny car you don't see a shiny car you tend to move on now if you can't do that if you cannot camouflage your vehicle stop your vehicle get like if you're going to be stopped for a period of time don't get out and stand right next to the vehicle like these guys are doing move off sight move away preferably out of danger close range of whatever munition is coming at you and if you're a civilian and you're not so much worried about you know your your local sheriff's department dropping grenades on you or something like that if you're worried about being observed stay get away from your vehicle even just stepping offline you know off the line of your vehicle away from the road 100 feet with the right camouflage can work wonders so that's something to keep in mind too is to you know make sure that if you're going to stop stop when you can hide essentially another thing to keep in mind is night time being able to resist thermal traffic and and this image shows a dismounted company walking along the road because they forgot that at night there's this thing called thermal variation and the road is going to be quite considerably warmer still than the human body or colder depending on your area i think in this particular image it was colder the road was cold and the uh the leaves and the foliage around were were hot from the for the day so they were quite easily seen now if you take all those people right there that are on that road you move them off into offline just just off to the side of it a little bit and they disappear so people tend to have a very predator-like view of thermal imaging and thermal imaging it can be easily thwarted but it really depends on what kind of sensor you're up against and what kind of materials you have and really the environment also matters as well so basically everything matters you know the the point is is that the u.s military is trying to get into the mentality of getting get back into a pure you know peer versus peer a near pure adversarial conflict right we have spent decades learning how to fight insurgents with an ak in five rounds in the magazine we've spent decades trying to figure out how to fight that and honing our skills on that and we haven't other than the usual ntc rotation or deployment to poland or something like that we haven't really been focused on a war with like china which is why the uh you know comet on the marine corps and a lot of the marine corps staff have come up with you know new plans for things like you know reducing tanks and all that kind of stuff which you can read about on your own the point of that digression is to say that look in foreign countries yes the united states owns the night it is very hard to use sensors to your advantage in other countries but in america we have this thing called citizenship and that citizenship allows us to buy things that are itar controlled things like flear sensors for things like night vision goggles like right now i you know you can go buy night vision goggles that are better than the ones used by roughly 99.99 of the military and a lot of people do there's a lot of private companies out there that do that and that stuff's kind of going away like we had a whole episode on protected technology and how um that technology is going to go away because the military has realized that here at home they don't have the advantage they don't necessarily own the night anymore they rent it and you know the ability to you know i can't tell you how many people rely on infrared lasers to uh call in helicopters well if you've got night vision goggles you can see everything but if you don't have night vision goggles you can't see anything so a lot of our infrastructure is built around fighting you know people in the desert with no technology but at home we have that benefit of technology so use it if you've got it if you have night vision goggles there you go you can more easily come to the later steps we're going to talk about here in just a minute and up next is uh having the right set of camouflage and this is something that not a whole lot of people tend to grasp or they know they instinctively know but they don't really know they don't really follow it so rule number four is or guideline number four is camouflage everything blend with your surroundings this is like a no duh statement if i have ever seen one but the thing is is that your camouflage has to actually work so like here in this particular image these guys were doing the right thing like you know god bless them they were trying they got they didn't park in the middle of the field they parked off in the shadow or what was the shadow of a tree they're they're you know parked in such a way they've got their caminet out and everything but you know god bless them they're camping it's the wrong color so if we were to help them out a little bit here by grabbing a piece of that foliage and terrain and then moving it right over to cover them up guess what they disappear instantly if they had the right color they would be invisible right so for the civilian sector this matters a lot because i think that especially nowadays we tend to want to go for these gucci camouflages you know i remember when multicam came out and everybody wanted it because you couldn't buy it because it was this thing called w-2 scorpion and it was like this brand new camouflage that was so cool right and uh you know same thing with you know the nwu's for the navy they came with that you know guacamole colored camouflage that the navy seals were using or claimed to use and uh everybody loved it and so everybody wanted it but they couldn't buy it because it was proprietary and things like that so we tend to go after these gucci camouflages not necessarily because they work but because they're cool and i can tell you right now in our area multicam does not work it shines just like the old ucp you know grandma's couch camouflage it does not work in our particular area so we have to go with some old school stuff you know either m81 woodland which is now becoming its own gucci camouflage or you know depending on what type of area you're in maybe some swedish stuff if you're up in the mountains stuff like that so use the camouflage that works for your area and not the stuff that's just gucci and cool if it's a camouflage that works but it isn't quite sexy use it because it doesn't matter if it looks cool as long as it keeps you hidden that's the goal of camouflage so that's just something to to keep in mind as well is that don't necessarily buy camouflage because it's the next cool thing for everybody to to use buy camouflage because it works and then we come to this one which is this is interesting because one of the aars that we were using for this this was an image that showed success this showed an entire 60 millimeter section of 10 marines with their rucksacks and two tubes they showed this as a great success they're completely invisible well here's the thing we looked at this image and saw a failure and the failure was this uh we can look and see two tracks going everywhere this is what we in the the military or in the field really call a road you can see the two tracks of a tracked vehicle moving through the area and you can follow them you can even find one over there on the side going around this little grove of trees so the the killer one is this one right here going right to that grove of trees now the one way to improve this position if we're going to stay there for any period of time is to get rid of that so if we were to camouflage that you know it looks like it's a grass or some kind of terrain as it camouflage those tracks now look what you've done you've now made it look like that road doesn't exist and the road from the left going to the top of the image also intersects with that same image and it looks like you bypass that grove completely so that is awesome that's exactly what we want when it comes to that type of thing now here's another consideration mostly for the civilian sector as well is that what if you have a second ellipse now we haven't talked about cigarette very much on this channel just yet we have a video coming about sigint ellipses and and how that whole process works but suffice it to say the short version is that imagine a sensor on a drone or something picks up a signal coming from within this oblong shape called an ellipse we don't know where the person was standing when they made that transmission but the person could have been standing over here at this far end and made the transmission or they could have been standing over here and made the transmission we don't know but we know it came from somewhere within this ellipse right so the chances are it's probably going to be from this area and as an analyst if i look at this ellipse i'm going to say aha i know exactly where they were they came they made the they thought they were being sneaky and they are transmitting from this little grove that ordinarily would have been bypassed so that's why this next tactic is to minimize movement and minimize radio calls we're going to have well we've already had like three we've had hours talking about sigit and stuff like that when it comes to you know your local law enforcement's uh capabilities and even like you know some national guard units capabilities but we might have to to talk about that a little bit more in depth but the point is is that imcon you know emissions control is a huge thing it does not matter how well your camouflage like these guys if you erase the tire tracks and make it look like you're just a black hole in the world like you there's nothing there but natural vegetation if you make a you know cell phone call from that area guess what you've just ratted out your all and all that effort that you've gone through is for waste um so yeah that's something to consider so one must remember that movement you know we're not just talking about a moving target versus a static target we're talking moving from uh to and from a hide site is what bags most people most of the time especially when it comes to vehicles and vehicle traffic so and you know and also the radio call thing and radio traffic from a unique area like a grove of trees a very you know if there's a field and there's one tree in it and i detected a radio a transmission coming from a field guess where i'm going to go to that tree because i would guarantee there's an antenna strung up in it so that is why number five is so important and then lastly this this image is is kind of a departure from the military doctrine but this is a screen shot from an incident that occurred back in i think march of this year march of 2020 i might be mistaken on that one but this is a a drone that is operated by the new york police department and this drone depending on which story you believe or how what officially is publicly available basically what happened is this drone captured this kid or this guy practicing airsoft tactics on his roof and they dispatched a team to come arrest him and he was arrested using this drone footage so that is a huge concern um so number six and number seven while they are you know military oriented to you know sixes post air guards and 7 is to plan to operate under uas for the military what that means is hey be aware of what's going on be aware if there's a uas in the area be prepared to either continue mission regardless of it or take measures to take it down now obviously that's a little a little bit easier said than done in the military sphere but you know so adapting this to civilians is not exactly an easy thing to do but one must remember if you're going to be doing anything outside in an area that has persistent surveillance don't do anything that is firearms related there is already a slew of ai type software out there that can that can detect the shape of a firearm and and hone in hone in on that even youtube itself has this i'm wondering if this video is going to get flagged at some point and taken down because we have shown this particular image of a firearm so this will be very interesting to see but we also have to remember hostile activities that is a huge thing as well because what is hostile well you know to me a dude practicing airsoft stuff on the roof not necessarily hostile it's interesting to look at and i would freely admit if i was a drone operator and i saw this in new york city i wouldn't be inquisitive but if the dude just looks like he's training you know whatever it's just training if i saw this at a gun range i would not be surprised at all right but if you're in an area where that kind of thing is frowned upon or remember how the whole covet thing went down they were using drones to track down people in public parks you know that might be a hassle your mere presence might be a hostile activity and and sort of you know um consent to search really so these are scary technologies and our laws are kind of wacky right now so that's something to keep in mind really and there's a whole slew of electronic countermeasures out there for the military there's not so many for civilians and there's no electronic countermeasure for a drone for civilians that is legal that we know of because jamming in any form is currently illegal under u.s law so we can't really talk about those electronic countermeasures just yet but we can say they are out there so if you you know want to do your own research go ahead really one of the last points we wanted to make is one of the ones which is you know on the list which is to inspect your signature from the enemies pov and that's why we wanted to put this out because one of the to us when we read this statement we read training training training training is key and this is where um you know either getting your own drone or get having some kind of technology having a buddy you know come try to find you right that's going to be super super important in the coming days weeks months years right so that kind of thing it cannot be understated i cannot tell you how many times people who think they have you know have done really good camouflage stuff they've deployed five or six times but you know when you get them out there and they're having to hide from drones too it's different scenario right so you know when you're deploying to iraq and syria and afghanistan you don't have to build an observation post or a cop or something like that that has to be camouflaged from the air because your adversaries don't have drones at least not in anything you know significant right it's not like you're having to camouflage it like you know from bombers or anything like that but here at home you might have to so you like that's the number one thing is you know we're hiding from drones on our own soil essentially so having the ability to train being able to check your own signature make sure your camouflage works that is vital so you know just to remind everyone of this often repeated quote of you know the more you train in peace the less you bleed in war so that is very very true and even if that war is an information war so you know the more you train and information more the less you bleed the less information you bleed so that's why we wanted to put this video out solely for this last one here to encourage people to get training as much as possible and do the best you can because really the goal here is to be hard to kill that's the really main goal here for for everything that we do is to be a little bit harder to kill than the next guy i i don't think that it take you know for a lot of people it was a wake-up call to see a modern day tank get blasted into oblivion you know to to see a modern day helicopter a modern day uh you know fighter jet get shot down that stuff was very sobering for people and you know that's that's good because it encourages people to be harder to kill and hopefully we can encourage that a little bit as well yeah hopefully this video was helpful leave us a like comment subscribe below do all that jazz usual normal stuff so that we can make it through youtube's algorithms and let our content be seen by a lot of people if you want to download this video you can on lbry tv like i mentioned link of which is below hope if youtube still allows us to link stuff but yeah so that's there like i said we're going to have a lot more content coming out about this sort of camouflage topic particularly when it comes to thermal camouflage and and how that goes we've also got a lot of other videos planned but we wanted to put this out quickly because of you know the reason we've stayed it's very very important to to start training now so uh yeah if you've got an idea for an episode drop us a line go ahead and hit us up on any of our platforms key base email you name it we have it [Music] link up with us there if you've got a question we'll throw it in for question time we have a whole podcast series where if you have any questions shoot them to us in our inbox dm them to us on instagram or whatever platform and we'll do a podcast episode where we answer everybody's questions which has been quite fun for us to do so we really enjoy that we want to continue it so got any questions drop them below we'll throw them in our question time podcast episode and yeah we'll have more of this content coming to you very very soon so you guys know it be harder to kill fight in the shade and we'll see you next time s2 actually
The Wire · 2026-01-28

The Wire - January 28, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z January 28, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: TENSIONS BUILD IN MIDDLE EAST AS AMERICAN CARRIER STRIKE GROUP ENTERS THE REGION. COUNTER-ICE MOVEMENT CONTINUES NATIONWIDE.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: Tensions are stirring up throughout the region once again as the Abraham Lincoln CSG arrives in theater. President Trump posted remarks on his Truth Social account this morning, threatening military strikes if IRGC leadership does not come to the negotiating table. Analyst Comment: Right now, there aren't too many indications of an imminent war, though kinetic strikes can always be carried out by long-range bombers, just like last time. The "armada" as referenced in President Trump's post is really just a standard Carrier Strike Group, with other support vessels already being in theater to plus-up the military posture. Various military exercises and show-of-force demonstrations are already underway throughout the Arabian Gulf, which also add to the increase pressure being placed on Iranian officials to seek a deal with the United States. -HomeFront- Minnesota: Protests and Demonstrations continue as before. Most demonstrations overnight were carried out by the Party for Socialism and Liberation (PSL), a Communist Revolutionary group linked to many other demonstrations. Separately, an incident was reported at the Urban League Twin Cities building in North Minneapolis, which involved Rep. Ilhan Omar being sprayed with an unknown substance by an assailant during a speech. The attacker was subdued immediately at the scene, and Rep. Omar continued her speech after the incident. The suspect was later identified as Anthony Kazmierczak, and the mystery substance in the syringe was tested to be apple cider vinegar. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Around the United States, a state of unease has slowly been growing over the past few weeks, with demonstrations transitioning into civil unrest more regularly, with hotspots beginning to take form in other areas than just Minneapolis. Just examining one of these hotspots as an example, assaults and fights at public events are common in Philadelphia as anti-ICE activists become more organized throughout the city. Throughout Philadelphia, the main groups in play are the New Sanctuary Movement of Philadelphia (NSM), which serves as a Command and Control (C2) cell for organizing demonstrations (such as the one today at city hall), in addition to providing anti-ICE training sessions at local churches and other religious institutions. Another group responsible for mobilization in south Philadelphia is the Juntos organization, which mostly handles strategic planning for anti-ICE efforts, to include running intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance networks throughout the city. There are a handful of other smaller cells and groups around the city as well, all with separate command structures and organization, but all united by the same general goal of resisting the enforcement of immigration law. All of these groups have been around for years, and none of this is unique to just one city...every city has had a dozen networks like this functioning for decades. However most of these organizations have seen a surge of membership and participation in the wake of the Minneapolis riots, and now that certain political developments are being worked on to de-escalate the situation in Minneapolis, groups in other cities are working to escalate the situation in their areas, using the lessons that have been learned so far in the Twin Cities. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
The Wire · 2025-08-19

The Wire - August 19, 2025

//The Wire//2300Z August 19, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: PENTAGON DEPLOYS NAVAL ASSETS TO SOUTHCOM TO COMBAT DRUG TRAFFICKING. PARK RANGER STABBED IN COLORADO.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -HomeFront- Colorado: A manhunt is underway for an assailant which attacked a park ranger this morning at Staunton State Park in Jefferson County. Local authorities state that an unidentified man stabbed a park ranger this morning, before egressing on foot into the woods of the park. The suspect is described as a White Male, 6'0" tall, 200lbs and is wearing a grey shirt and blue jeans. Washington D.C. - Yesterday evening the White House announced the deployment of US Navy forces to the SOUTHCOM area of responsibility. A Task Force comprising of 3x Destroyers is currently transiting to their patrol areas off the coast of Venezuela, with the stated goal of combatting drug trafficking by sea. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Though it has been de-prioritized in the news cycle lately, the escalation of force to combat narco and cartel activity in Central and South America has continued to grow, with multiple Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) flights being observed deep inside Mexico over the past few weeks. A drone pilot leaving their transponder turned on while conducting a spying mission in southern Mexico is message, and a bold one at that. Last week, the Mexican government stated that they will hand over 26x cartel shotcallers to the United States, so that they cannot continue to run their vast narco empires from prison (or at least make it a little more challenging for them to continue operations). This is very likely an attempt at an olive branch...Mexico may be trying to play ball so that the United States doesn't start dropping Hellfire missiles in their country. More strategically speaking, one of the early indications and warnings of a very sharp increase in combat operations in an area, is the arrival of the US Navy. In the case of counter-narco operations in Central and South America, controlling the seas will be absolutely mandatory for any sort of escalation of conflict, should that course of action be the one taken later on. Arleigh-Burke Class Destroyers serve as a critical part of the Aegis defense doctrine; these vessels are mostly used for missile defense and providing protection for much more vulnerable assets (such as aircraft carriers). In this role they excel, however Destroyers also deploy with VBSS teams onboard. Visit, Board, Search, and Seizure operations are a mainstay of the counter-narco mission on the high seas, and this is very likely what these Naval vessels will be engaged in for the foreseeable future. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
S2 briefing · 2021-04-15

Dehumanization: The Road to Atrocity

[Music] do it was just before 2 am when the members of reserve police battalion 101 were aroused from their beds this was made all the more irritating considering that they were all in a strange and unfamiliar place not more than three weeks ago police battalion 101 had been sent from their home station in hamburg to the polish town of biguroy being deemed too old for standard military service these men had been drafted into the order police created by the nazi high command in 1939 as a militarized domestic police force but they were a long way from home on this warm summer morning and as they loaded onto the trucks they were given extra ammunition this act alone was indicative of their task for the day they were about to commence their first action though none of them could have guessed what that action was a few hours later the convoy of military trucks pulled up to a small town in the countryside the village was silent as the soldiers hopped down from their trucks and formed up in front of their commander major wilhelm trap papa trap as his soldiers called him was a very much respected commander though he was a veteran of world war one and an alta camphor a member of the nazi party since before hitler seized power he was most certainly not a fanatical nazi but this morning something was wrong papa trap was in the most upright state visibly shaking and weeping uncontrollably as the men formed up around him the exact details of what happened next have been lost to time but survivor testimony recalls that major trap began to explain their gruesome task never one to mince words he clearly and plainly explained that they had been given the task of killing all of the jews within this village every man woman and child was to be rounded up assembled in the town square loaded onto the trucks and taken to the forest outside of town and shot then something unusual happened in a moment that has become the study of historians and psychologists ever since major trap gave his men a choice he stated that if anyone did not feel up to the task all they had to do was step out of the formation and they would be given other duties immediately one man did so only to be immediately verbally assaulted by his officer but trapp intervened and said that the man was not to be harmed or mistreated in any way and that he would simply be given another duty at this point several more men stepped out of the formation in total between 10 and 12 men out of a battalion of approximately 500 stepped out and refused to kill jews at this time throughout the day as more and more jews were rounded up and shot more and more soldiers came forward and requested to be assigned another duty this was made worse by the intimate nature of the executions each soldier was paired up with a victim one-on-one who marched them to the killing site this made the killing very personal in fact many policemen remember talking to their victims before they killed them with many policemen recalling decades later exactly what city or town their first victim was from many policemen discovered that their victims were actually german jewish refugees that had fled germany in the months prior survivor testimony indicates that throughout the day several soldiers requested another assignment some a very small minority never fired their weapons that day others only murdered a few people before they requested a change of assignment this occurred most often after a botched execution the policemen not being seasoned combat veterans or experienced in how to most efficiently kill a person frequently botched the job on this day some missed their point-blank target others would miss the mark and their victim wouldn't die instantly and others would make a complete mess of the job for many policemen this day their accuracies suffered after a few rounds of executions their physical bodies not letting them continue the massacre many policemen had to be replaced by others because of this they simply could not continue on no matter how hard they tried in a final demographic on this day were the malingers those soldiers who did not outright refuse to kill but somehow found a way to avoid the murders since everyone in the unit was spread over a wide area it was easy for some soldiers to get lost loitering around the trucks and making themselves look busy or pretending to have just come back from shooting to take a break or taking their time and searching the village so they wouldn't have to be available to be called upon to kill all of these were common tactics on this horrific day but by the end of the day the members of police battalion 101 had killed every single jew in the village at around 9 00 pm as a killing spree came to a close the members of police battalion 101 climbed back onto their trucks and drove the couple of hours back to their barracks no one recalled anyone speaking to each other on that return trip but as they climbed back into their vehicles major trap turned to his driver with a solitary sentence if this jewish business is ever avenged on earth then have mercy on us germans but orders are orders when the story of police battalion 101 was first told by dr christopher browning in his book ordinary men reserved police battalion 101 in the final solution in poland it took the academic community by storm both in the post-war criminal trials of former nazis and among the historical community great effort has been undertaken to explain the reasoning behind the holocaust reasoning that for the most part falls into a few different categories some historians argue that the just following orders explanation is the most correct one seeing as that is the excuse that most germans used following the war to explain their actions others say that it was cultural and that the rampant racism of the 1930s in germany created a culture in which it was easy to brainwash a population other researchers say that it was a combination of other factors or so complex that we cannot possibly comprehend the situation from the perspective of a modern world so when dr browning's research was published the academic community was confused and here's why reserve police battalion 101 was just that a reserve battalion none of its members were hardened killers and almost none of them had ever seen combat before most of the policemen were too old to be the target of himmler's propaganda efforts which tended to target younger ss aged men but they were not old enough to have served in world war one and therefore prone to the old school nationalistic propaganda of that era as well in fact looking back at some of the propaganda at the time there is scarcely mentioned of the order police in the official nazi propaganda publications except for an occasional insult in the form of an article that encouraged the policemen that even though their work wasn't glamorous or significant their efforts were still useful for germany also when it came to the ss most of the policemen were not members which at this point in the war was actually quite surprising even the commander major trapp was not offered membership in the ss despite being a long-standing nazi party member it may not seem like a big deal today but during the time this is not an insignificant note economics and social status also played a huge role for this battalion most of the men were from the working class of the city of hamburg which meant that most of the men did not look especially favorably upon the ideals of national socialism in the post-war years german philosopher teodor adorno created a physiological test that was meant to measure how likely a person was to fall into fascist behavior the f scale as it soon became known was one of the very few quasi-scientific ways that psychology was used to explain this behavior after the war in the years since its creation the f-scale has been heavily criticized for being biased but at the time when the memory of atrocity was still fresh in the minds of the policemen this f scale indicated that there was nothing particularly noteworthy about the policeman's personalities in other words there were no psychological indicators that suggested that the members of this unit were pathological killers prone to authoritarianism these policemen were about as statistically normal as one could possibly be in short dr browning and many others since he first broached this theory have concluded that if there was a demographic of people that were least likely out of all german citizens to commit genocide it would have been the members of reserve police battalion 101. so how did the group of people who were in almost every single way the least likely people to kill able to kill as many people with the efficiency of some of the more elite ss units how did a unit of only 500 men men who had no prior combat experience able to kill over 83 000 people when something is atrocious as the holocaust happens in human history every interest group tries to explain it psychologists historians doctors economists religious leaders politicians everyone has a vested interest in explaining how so few people ended up killing so many as a result this vested interest is a delicate issue mostly because of what it means for the world for instance if scientists and historians were able to pinpoint a single reason for why the nazis killed people well that would have serious impacts in the world today wouldn't it world governments political groups and citizens alike would take action to make sure that that thing whatever it is is banned regulated monitored or in some way controlled for instance if we take the common excuse that the nazis killed because they were forced to well if we take that argument and assume that it is the reason for the holocaust well that would have very harsh impacts on the role of governance wouldn't it checks and balances would be required radical political ideology would be prevented from rising up and the entire political and military leadership system of a nation would have to be reworked from the ground up and this is exactly what happened in germany after the war well what happens when you have an example come out that negates all of this remember the men of police battalion 101 were given a choice none of them were forced at gunpoint to kill others the most crucial aspect of this unit's operations was that everyone was given a choice to not kill right from the very start throughout every other action during the war not just the first one that choice was also given granted after a while a routine settled in in which the policemen were not expressly and verbally given the opportunity to not kill but survivor testimony confirms that all of the policemen throughout all of their actions were of the mindset that they could always stop or switch duties whenever they wanted and most of them did at some point or another some policemen revolted at the idea of shooting women and children in cold blood but had no problem whatsoever in forcing jews onto cattle cars destined for extermination camps even though the policemen knew exactly what would happen to them forcing people into trains was slightly less psychologically damaging than shooting a person themselves for the policeman in some cases out of sight was truly out of mind also for many of the battalion's actions the troops were given frequent smoke breaks and given alcohol before during and after the murders leadership understood that this was murder right from the very start and as such they knew that it would be very difficult on the men so one aspect that helped the killers cope with their atrocious acts was to constantly rotate them in and out once a policeman had murdered two or three jews he would be pulled off the line for a while and sent to go guard the perimeter or help unload the trucks or something other than actually pulling the trigger this minor respite seemed to work quite well at conditioning the policeman and the variety that this afforded was soon instituted for most of the battalion's massacres in other words most of the time there wouldn't be static groups of people like shooters guards searchers unloaders and escorts they would all be switched around quite frequently this did two things for one it provided a bit of relief for the shooters it was a lot easier for the shooters to kill two or three people than take a break and repeat this cycle than it was to just stand there in one place and murder people all day long also this process intentionally confused operations so that if a soldier wanted to not participate in shooting but didn't want to be looked upon as being weak or a coward all he had to do was make himself busy somewhere else when the killing parties were being formed up so even though the policemen were given a choice there was a cultural element of machismo within the unit as there was with every military unit even today policemen who were not up to the task of killing were looked upon by their peers as being weak the post-war testimony of the policemen confirms that this was a motivating factor for those who started off not killing jews but as time went on became ruthless killers this is important to note as most of the policemen stated that they did not kill because their commander told them to or because they were scared of what might happen to them through their chain of command they killed because they didn't want to let their brothers in arms down no policeman ever testified that they were scared of what might happen to them as a result of refusing to kill in fact throughout all of the research throughout all of the history and testimony and millions of records of actions throughout the war not just within this police unit but the entire nazi empire to this day there has not been a single record of a single case where a soldier was executed for refusing to kill jews not a single soldier was punished for refusing to kill jews during the war except for minor administrative punishment like extra cleaning duty in some rare cases so case studies like the story of reserve police battalion 101 severely negate the just following orders debate other ideas that frequently get brought in to explain this historical example are the case studies of the milgram experiment and the stanford prison experiment these two studies arguably the most well-known and controversial psychological studies of all time have been used to explain nazi behavior by thousands of researchers and academics and the reasons are pretty clear the milgram experiment which was the study in which volunteers were told to give increasingly painful shocks to other volunteers who were actually actors simply because an authority figure told them to has often been used to justify the just following orders argument that most germans were all too happy to provide as an excuse for their behavior during the war this case is much the same with the stanford prison experiment which was the research study in which volunteers were assigned the role of prisoner or guard in a mock-up of a prison but by the end of the experiment the guards had turned into vicious monsters torturing and abusing the volunteers this study has again been used to explain nazi cruelty during the war if an authority figure dictates violence humans will naturally assume it this study has again been used to explain nazi cruelty during the war if an authority figure dictates violence humans will naturally follow along or at least so the study goes as such several researchers and academics have pointed these controversial but very groundbreaking studies out as an explanation for why the policemen of reserve battalion 101 acted with such cruelty despite having the opportunity to quit and also being demographically the least likely to commit such atrocities well the problem with this argument is that there was no authority figure at least not a strong one major trap the unit commander was not a cold calculating man in a lab coat but rather a weeping visibly distraught man who during the unit's killing campaign took every opportunity to distance himself from the actual killing and even protected men who wanted out this is further reinforced by the testimony that none of the policemen were particularly concerned with the higher ups punishing them for not killing it was almost always the relationships that they had with their friends that kept them going there is one slight caveat to this idea however in that some cases where it wasn't clear and plainly obvious that the policemen were given a choice the rate of men that requested other duties was lower in some cases where they were tasked with only killing men or where they themselves didn't have to kill but rather form the security cordon for other groups to come in and kill not that many policemen fell out of the formation this does give a little credence to the just following order's argument in that the data shows or at least seems to indicate that the less clear of a choice the men were given the higher chances that they would kill however time and time again in the survivor testimony of these policemen the atmospherics of what was going on at the time was that these men knew that they could have requested another duty at any time during the war but their motivation to do so varied widely based on the task at hand so unlike the stanford prison experiment and the milgram experiment the men of reserve battalion 101 were offered a choice and throughout their campaign of murder none of these men were under the distinct impression they would be harmed for refusing to kill which all but invalidates the bulk of these theories so what really happened here why did the men of reserve police battalion 101 become such ruthless killers during the war despite being given the chance to stop killing at any time many a grad student has attempted to use a case study as a way to explain the holocaust much to no avail at most the academic community might respond with well yeah sure that's an interesting theory and it might be right but since it's a case study and we can't disprove it we can't really use it to recommend policy changes when it comes to real-world applications and preventing this and making sure this never happens again and dr browning's work regarding this police battalion is no exception almost immediately following the release of his book many other academics immediately tried to disprove his theories so much so that in subsequent publishings of his work he responded to other researches by adding in an afterword that is roughly 10 of the total length of his original book so just as with other academic work for every theory that's out there there are 10 other that can counter it but despite all of these shortcomings and unique situations we can certainly cherry-pick information and data from this case study that might be useful for our modern times of course it would be impossible for history to repeat itself with such exact repetition as to when the nazis were in power but time and time again humanity has been shown that the holocaust itself is not a case study even during the holocaust the mass murder of soviets by the germans or the murder of germans by the soviets or the murder of soviets by the soviets was going on which most people are all too happy to forget because of the glamour for lack of a better term that goes along with an event such as the holocaust but most certainly in the years since the holocaust we have not lived up to our promise to never forget and this is where we find a unique area within practically all research that is done on genocides the overwhelming majority of holocaust research and the research of other genocides as well is focusing on the excruciating details of the what so much effort and millions of research studies have been dedicated to documenting exactly what happened which unit went to which village on which day where the vehicles were parked where the actual killing took place all of this work which continues to this day and this work is extremely valuable in order to prevent future genocides we must first understand the the nitty-gritty mechanics of how they actually happen but therein lies the problem most genocide research places remembrance and understanding as a primary tool for preventing genocides this is entirely the wrong approach yes remembrance and documentation is the first step in preventing another genocide but it cannot be the primary tool the primary tool for preventing genocides has to be the results of this research and this is where scientists and academics fall short everyone is all too happy to explain exactly what happened but very few academics are willing to risk their career by giving their opinion on what actions we can take to prevent another genocide we at the s2 underground project are not so concerned with the political implications of what we say so we are free to continue to speak our minds on the issue as such we can use this research to provide recommendations for the future one of the stark realizations of not just the story of police battalion 101 but every genocide throughout history is the concept of dehumanization the first step for every single genocide is dehumanization creating distance between the perpetrators and the victims now of course it would be historically inaccurate to suggest that only these two categories of people exist in fact dr daniel goldhagen the main contradictory author to dr browning's work suggests that we cannot simply lump people into two groups of victims and perpetrators and as such there can be no one reason that explains any one person's actions but as dr goldhagen remarks in his own book on the exact topic the decade of anti-semitic rhetoric and casual racism within 1930s germany was most certainly a factor if not the driving factor and most researchers tend to agree that dehumanization and distancing oneself from political and social enemies may not result in genocide every time but every time a genocide has been committed dehumanization was the first step in fact when being interrogated after the war many members of police battalion 101 remember hunting down jews that were hiding in the forest in the polish countryside in most cases the interrogator asked the policemen how they were able to tell the jews apart from other polish citizens and most of the policemen answered that the jews were always visibly dirty and unclean looking when pressed for further details the policeman could never remember more than that this is important because one of the very first anti-jewish propaganda efforts by the nazis in 1933 was the production of leaflets publications cartoons and news articles that portrayed the jewish populations as being unclean and this is not an idea that is limited to just the holocaust in the lead up to the rwandan genocide hutu leaflets radio broadcasts and other propaganda efforts referred to the tutsis as in yenzi or cockroaches frequently referring to one's enemy as unclean or associating them with vermin is a common step in the dehumanization process and in the case of reserve police battalion 101 this took an interesting form in the post-war interrogations of the policemen almost all of the policemen referred to their victims as bandits or as polish people almost never referring to the fact that their victims were jewish unless directly asked by the interrogator this of course makes sense nowadays in a postwar judicial sense the policemen were unlikely to incriminate themselves and at the time the interrogations were conducted it would not have bode very well if the policemen were to have admitted to murdering jews in the post-war environment it was more acceptable to admit to murdering bandits or even polish citizens as opposed to murdering jews murdering jews was the holocaust but murdering other civilians was expected in war and somehow in post-war politics the latter was far more acceptable than the former this truth is abhorrent and tragic and it reveals more about the victors of world war ii than of the policemen but it was the reality of the time as far as specific recommendations for the future this unique case study presents a few things to think about moving forward as dehumanization is the first step in committing atrocity do not let the concept of dehumanization and an us versus them mentality take hold in a bicameral political system the us versus them mentality is quite common and just bound to happen as we knew when we set up our government and one most certainly does not have to agree with their political or social opponents but do not let them forget that you are a person and do not engage in dehumanizing behavior of your own right now all political and social groups are trying to dehumanize each other preying on a combination of historical stereotypes and real observed behaviors in order to dehumanize their enemies it's okay to disagree but we cannot allow propaganda to flourish that pushes the narrative that any one group is not human distancing is also key to division as we all know segregation is making a huge comeback not necessarily along racial lines although that is certainly a goal of some groups this segregation is more accurately stratified along cultural and economic lines in our opinion at least the clashes and conflict that we see in the streets and in everyday life is just as cultural as it is social and ethnic for most groups the culture of their opposition group is totally alien and no groups are taking the effort to understand their adversary's perspective too often in today's society we equate understanding with consent but just because you understand your adversary does not mean that you agree with them and understanding one's adversary is directly counter to the concept of division if a person understands their adversary they are far less likely to commit an atrocity and far more likely to be willing to work out a solution we also make some more physical observations from this example such that the rotation of personnel is crucial for atrocities to occur although it would be very unfair to draw a link from the actions of reserve police battalion 101 to the actions of today's military on u.s soil these actions are nonetheless concerning especially considering the experience that is being gained by troops today now we know that this idea is going to upset a lot of people so we must say that we think it would be a gross overstatement to imply that the troops sent to washington dc are genocidal maniacs that's just ridiculous and has no basis on the data or the analysis itself almost all of the soldiers that were sent there and are currently deployed at capitals and other areas around the country they're either upset that they have to be there or they didn't really care that they were sent there but were happy to get the paycheck anyway or this small minority that realized the impact of what they were doing and what side they were really on but had to keep it to themselves in order to stay off the fbi's watch list all of this occurred right we feel fairly confident in assessing that out of the 35 000 troops or so in dc proper and the 30 000 ish reserve troops in the area virtually none of them particularly enjoyed that specific mission and as this mission continues to go on into the summer of 2021 six months after the election the discontent that's likely to spring up from such a long deployment and a standing mission on kona soil is likely to increase chances that people would not like it however our job is not to record history but to use it to predict the future and when we look at the infrastructure and the decisions that senior leadership has made and continue to make and the role and actions of special forces troops during that operation we see that the road we're already five miles down is not a good one and we need to course correct as the concept of curfews and troops being stationed on street corners becomes even more normalized we must remember that this normalization of troop rotation is crucial for future atrocities to occur since when did it become a normal thing for us troops to be stationed on u.s soil it's just we're just baffled by the fact that that is now a cultural norm in our society or at least that people don't freak out about it i remember growing up and if there was a hockey game that got out of hand and there were thousands of people rioting and burning cars in the streets if that were to happen the governor would have to get on tv and all he would say was hey don't make me call the national guard and everybody would be dismissed like that's how it would end right but now we're seeing thousands tens of thousands of troops deployed on u.s soil and no one bats an eye anymore because it's now normalized of course this again does not mean that our nation's national guard units or other active duty troops will become murderers like the police battalion 101 but on a very small scale troop deployments of any kind on u.s soil are very concerning especially if these deployments are to support a standing mission such as in washington dc by constantly rotating troops in and out of washington dc soldiers are offered a respite from the mental quandary of their task soldiers who are constantly deployed for this protest or for that protest don't have to think so much about the constitutionality of their actions likewise by normalizing a national guard deployment to a state capital every time the potential for a protest comes up soldiers are conditioned to view this response as totally normal which it most certainly is not another unique lesson learned from this example is the nature of collaboration with the enemy so to speak like we briefly mentioned one little known aspect of the holocaust and other genocides as well is that there is almost never a clear-cut distinction between perpetrators and victims sometimes perpetrators helped victims and sometimes victims became perpetrators the complex nature of this huge gray area makes it very hard for historians to get accurate data for instance in the cases of some victims who became perpetrators after the war they were all too happy to talk about how they had been a victim but not so quick to confess that they had actually participated in killing or turning in others likewise far too many nazis and perpetrators were all too happy to talk at great lengths about how they were victimized and how the good things they did helped save lives while conveniently leaving out how they were complicit or directly involved in the mass murder of millions so for our modern world and the times we live in this is something to consider based on the numbers and data alone the number of people who sided with the nazis overwhelmingly outweighed those who resisted there were a hundred thousand times more adolf eichmann's than there were otto franks for example in other films we have discussed how france a nation that today prides itself greatly on the french resistance during the war in actuality only had about two percent of her population committing acts of resistance during the conflict so we must never forget that if a genocide were to break out in the us today if we were to go down that rabbit hole and play the what if game the data overwhelmingly indicates that the vast majority of people would most likely collaborate with the oppressors or at least not combat them directly rather than actively engaging in resistance but perhaps the most concerning thing about this case study is just how difficult it is to actually use this data to prove or make any point i think it's quite obvious that we ourselves are certainly not qualified to speak that intelligently about this case study but it is shocking just how little one actually learns about the nature of humanity from this case like we can go down a list of questions that a person might ask when first hearing about this case for the first time like were they simply brainwashed well nope they weren't the product of any particular propaganda campaign other than the propaganda that the normal population of germany was exposed to well were they hardened killers desensitized to combat nope none of them but their commander had ever fought in combat before well were they forced to kill or threatened for not acting nope they were explicitly given a choice and all of the policemen testified that the choice to not kill was always there throughout the entirety of the war well were they isolated from the killing somehow so that they didn't get to see their handiwork no not really almost all of their murders were with rifles shooting their victims at point-blank range very rarely did they participate in loading jews on the trains and therefore would have some kind of plausible deniability well were they drunk or otherwise inebriated during the killings to numb the psychological impacts of their actions sometimes yes but mostly no alcohol was usually provided after every killing but usually if alcohol was provided before a massacre it wasn't enough to get the policeman drunk in fact most of the policemen remember watching other groups and other units try to murder people but they were so drunk they couldn't function whereas the men of this police battalion were almost always sober during the killings so it's almost like every possible explanation for this behavior goes out the window which is why we think that dr browning's book just sort of ends without really going into great detail as to why humans need rationalization and explanation to cope with atrocity but dr browning's work offers no such comfort in fact the overall lesson that we learned from this study is just how little we actually know about human nature philosophers have been debating for millennia over whether or not people are good-natured or bad-natured but sometimes the world throws you an event that makes all of this logic irrelevant and usually that event is one of the most horrific events that humanity has ever seen sometimes people do really bad things that we cannot explain and sometimes more often than not the perpetrators of such events are normal in every possible way we can look at the worst people throughout history like hitler stalin polpot mal and countless other mass murdering dictators and we can even look at less powerful but still murders people like charles manson and think to ourselves that man has been mentally ill his whole life and we're fascinated by it because we can all imagine what it would be like to interact with such a person and we can even watch the tv interviews he did and just marvel at how indescribably strange this person was the fact that there is a whole genre of documentaries on serial killers speaks for itself but what is not really discussed at all and is far more scary in our opinion is that your neighbor bob might be more of a mass murderer than charles manson and according to the data it would take a disturbingly little effort to make him so we can all look at a serial killer and say man that dude is insane or that he is the epitome of evil on earth but if the situation in the world today were just ever so slightly different your friendly next-door neighbor not only has the potential to be a mass murderer but statistically the odds are that they would act on this potential even if given a way out so we can look back in awe at these ruthless killers over history and stare and morbid fascination at their murderous achievements but in order to prevent something like the holocaust from ever happening again the journey does not start with a frustrated painter from austria it starts with your neighbor bob [Music] you
The Wire · 2025-02-04

The Wire - February 4, 2025

//The Wire//2300Z February 4, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: SHOOTING IN SWEDEN RESULTS IN MASS CASUALTY INCIDENT. TRADE WAR IN NORTH AMERICA PAUSED AS NEGOTIATIONS CONTINUE.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Sweden: This morning a shooting was reported at an educational facility in Örebro. Approximately 10x fatalities were reported, with many others wounded in the attack. AC: If accurate, these casualty figures make this attack the deadliest mass shooting in Swedish history. Due to the long-standing social issues in Sweden, information regarding this attack will very likely be suppressed by authorities. Consequently, much like the U.K.'s Southport murders, it will probably take several months for any details to be confirmed beyond a reasonable doubt. Right now, the very unconfirmed rumors circulating on social media suggest this facility, while being touted as a "school" was not a place of education for children, but rather an adult-education facility similar to a community college in the United States. Further rumor suggest that this facility was heavily frequented by immigrants. North America: Immediately following yesterday's report, both Canada and Mexico capitulated with regards to the trade war, bringing a temporary halt to the tariff threats posed by the United States. More diplomatic negotiations will take place later, but in the meantime Canada has immediately pledged to increase their efforts to combat the illicit Fentanyl trade flowing from Canada into the United States. This will include the appointing of a Fentanyl Czar, and a "Joint Strike Force" that will combat drug trafficking along the border with Canada. In Mexico, various counter-narcotics campaigns are beginning to take form. Overnight many plane-watchers and aviation enthusiasts noted the presence of very substantial Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) platforms operating in the vicinity of Mexico. AC: Many eyebrows were raised due to the observance of an RC-135 RIVET JOINT platform flying a racetrack pattern up and down the Gulf of California. This one of the most capable Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) aircraft in the world. Considering that this airspace was not congested at the time, nor is a common flight path, the crew could easily have flown without their ADS-B transponder turned on, if their goal was to remain covert. Even the most rudimentary internet search also reveals that this platform never flies on a whim, and very substantial military actions usually follow shortly after. Consequently, this move was probably an intentional message to Cartel leadership, either to serve as a warning outright, or to let Cartel members know that all of their communications are under surveillance. -HomeFront- Southwest: Counter-ICE protests and demonstrations continued throughout the region overnight, with some protests shifting into riots in some locations. In Los Angeles, an unlawful assembly was declared after crowds became violent. In Arizona, similar protests became riots as well, with demonstrators in Glendale successfully stealing a police vehicle during the fray (before it was eventually recovered). -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: In Washington, various protests and general outrage displayed by sitting Congressmen has continued following the de facto closure of USAID. Over the past 24 hours, internal reports released by DOGE have directly tied most of these politicians to "foundations" that were directly getting US tax dollar payouts from USAID. Of note, the outrage over the auditing of USAID is purely bipartisan, with politicians on both sides of the aisle being named as sitting on the boards of various entities that were directly getting financial payments from the US government. Many people often ask how it's possible for a member of Congress or some other government official to have a net-worth in the millions, while working a position that has a meager salary. Most people chalk this up to simply insider trading, but in the case of USAID, this organization has been a major cash cow for almost all American politicians since it's inception. Somewhat interestingly, President Zelensky of Ukraine stated in an interview with the Associated Press that his country only actually received around $75 billion out of the total $177 billion that was approved by Congress. Obviously, this is a claim that must be taken with a grain of salt as there are undoubtedly ulterior motives at play. However, the timing of this statement is interesting. Though largely speculative, it is possible that this claim being made immediately before massive audits come to light is intended to manipulate the future of Ukrainian aid by revealing how much Ukraine actually received versus what they think they are entitled to. In the north, the recent diplomatic spat between the United States and Canada probably will have unintended consequences, once the population figures out what it was all about. Now that Canada has capitulated so quickly, it's a rather moot point, but it would be helpful to remember what the conflict was all about in the first place....it was mostly about Canada's refusal to combat the Fentanyl trade. Though somewhat surprising to Americans, business has been booming in Canada with regards to the Fentanyl trade, specifically with regards to a further refinement of precursor materials imported into Canada from India and China. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
The Wire · 2025-03-18

The Wire - March 18, 2025

//The Wire//2300Z March 18, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: WAR RETURNS TO GAZA AS CEASEFIRE FAILS, ISRAEL CONDUCTS LARGE-SCALE BOMBING IN GAZA. UNITED STATES CONTINUES BOMBING CAMPAIGN IN YEMEN. //  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: The already tenuous ceasefire in Gaza has come to an end, as Israeli forces recommenced their large-scale bombing campaign throughout the Gaza Strip. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - This evening a few thousand pages of documents pertaining to the assassination of John F. Kennedy were released. AC: Many of the files are poor quality scans of copies, or handwritten notes, as is common among decades-old government documents. As such it may take some time for analysis to be conducted to determine if anything new was actually released. Additionally, no further comment has been made regarding the much-hyped Phase 2 release of Epstein documents. At the DoJ, the FBI announced the creation of a new Task Force to investigate the Oct 7th attacks in Israel. This will involve the FBI arranging a team of agents to directly work for Israel's National Bureau of Counter Terror Finance. This afternoon D.C. District Court Judge Theodore Chuang (an Obama appointee) mandated the reinstatement of USAID funding in it's entirety. Nevada: The attacks on parked Tesla vehicles has continued via another arson attack at a service center in Las Vegas shortly before sunrise this morning. Several Teslas were set on fire with improvised incendiary devices while parked in the parking lot of the service center on Badura Avenue. USA: The swatting incidents over the past few days have continued, with an increasing number of pro-Trump social media figures being targeted by malign actors. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: High tensions remain a standard in the Red Sea, as much false information abounds regarding current events. Various Houthi forces claimed to sink an American warship (as they do routinely), which is obviously false. Likewise, other social media accounts attempting to stoke a war with Iran claimed that an Iranian ship called the Zagros was sunk as well. This too is probably false, considering that the Zagros (an intelligence collection ship, the first of it's kind domestically produced by the Iranians) is a newer vessel that was only unveiled two months ago, and therefore might not have entered combat service yet. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
S2 briefing · 2021-07-14

Hide Another Day...Urban Camouflage

[Music] [Applause] ever since the concept of total global warfare came about in the early parts of the 20th century militaries around the world have made attempts to camouflage their troops and equipment the entire concept of camouflage really did not even exist in widespread military usage before world war one but by the end of the first world war not only were nations trying to figure out how to hide individual soldiers and equipment but also entire civilian cities one little-known example is that the entire city of paris was camouflaged against nighttime bombing raids by instituting a strict blackout policy for all citizens in the city while at the same time erecting gargantuan massive scale electric lighting structures meant to fool german zeppelin pilots into dropping their bombs into unused farm fields just outside the city granted this project wasn't completed before the end of the war so it really didn't come into full usage but as nations in europe muddled through the inner war years of the 1920s and 30s military tacticians were hard at work in the field of camouflage jumping forward just a bit the u.s and other commonwealth nations that saw service in the middle east and southeast asia learned quite a few lessons the hard way as well the u.s was entering a new phase of warfare urban close quarters fighting where the camouflage tactics of old were all but useless an adversary with little to no aerial combat power an environment that is heavily urbanized and with a populace that knows the terrain and isn't particularly friendly towards the us invasion this is the story from hue city to baghdad to arnhem to seoul and every conflict in between the us military has learned almost all of its lessons the hard way and has most certainly gained more collective combat experience over the past century than any other military before it the current vast and widespread us doctrine of military operations in urban terrain is most certainly a major part of all military operations today however when it comes to camouflage very few militaries around the world have actually figured out how to camouflage men and equipment in the urban environment this isn't for lack of trying billions of dollars over the years have been spent attempting to research and develop some kind of urban camouflage doctrine but all attempts have either outright failed or not exactly been feasible or effective and when one dives into the study of camouflage doctrine one rapidly realizes that this subject is quite multi-layered requiring a lot of background research to understand the basic tenets of camouflage as a reminder we have briefly touched on this topic in a previous video so make sure to check that out if you're new to studying the field of camouflage so breaking down just one element of camouflage some camouflage patterns and colors have had pretty good success like this block style camouflage that was used in a few european urban areas during the cold war but all in all every camouflage pattern has its downsides as much as the us military wants to make a single camouflage pattern for every environment this is simply not feasible or even possible which is why many experts in the field or rather real experts who also don't happen to be dod contractors selling uniforms have tried to make the case for a family of camouflage patterns instead of one pattern to rule them all that is intended to blend in everywhere and when it comes to urban environments in most cases the achilles heel of urban camouflage development is the very first step defining the operational environment what does it mean for a camouflage scheme or doctrine to be urban generally speaking this could be very wide ranging depending on so many factors for instance a highly urbanized city center in iraq looks very different from what we might call an urban center in the united states various micro terrain is also a major barrier to the effectiveness of urban camouflage for instance a soldier can be standing in front of a bush or some shrubbery then take two steps and be in front of a brick wall and then take two more steps and be in front of a large reflective glass window or a brightly colored car this presents significant as yet unsolved problems in the field of urban camouflage the operational environment also has size considerations as well such as what are the boundaries of what we might call the urban environment anyway does that definition cover an entire city from the downtown area to the outskirts or even the suburbs what defines the transitional areas or the areas where the city starts becoming the countryside these questions have yet to be answered by most military experts the u.s marine corps military operations and urban terrain manual for instance defines an urban environment as quote any environment where man-made construction is the dominant feature which one can see is a pretty wide-ranging blanket definition that is of zero help when it comes to camouflage methods so there are a lot of problems right to start with considering that we cannot even adequately define what the urban environment is and this directly translates into camouflage difficulties as i mentioned the various differences in micro terrain within western or european cities is a major challenge for camouflage doctrine even small cities are quite large in terms of developing tactics and techniques and have a very wide variety of highly diverse color schemes for instance you can give a soldier this uniform which would work quite well within the industrial sector of a city where the most dominant colors are gray dark gray light gray and more gray this particular pattern also addresses the camouflage principles of sheen and texture as well which is great but if you go into the residential suburbs where there is a lot more scenic greenery but still a blend of black tarmac red brick gray concrete and other vibrant colors this person would most definitely stick out another major consideration that directly applies to our current situation is that all urban camouflage attempts every tactic and technique that has been developed has been focusing on urban warfare think about it almost all traditional camouflage including the very first camouflage efforts conducted by human beings were taken from nature such as artists observing how animals evade detection by predators even today the civilian market has hundreds of camouflage patterns that are intended for hunters or wildlife photographers so when it comes to traditional camouflage for natural environments there are many different avenues of development with many different communities developing camouflage for their respective purposes but in the urban environment things are different there isn't really any community surrounding urban camouflage it's not like most photographers in the city need to set up a hunting blind to hide from their subjects the core tenets of urban camouflage may be the same as traditional natural camouflage but the individual basics used to achieve these goals are vastly different in the urban environment most of our doctrine comes from combat a situation where one can easily knock holes in a building or cut a loophole in a rooftop for an observation point or sniper nest or something but what about an urban cold war or a situation much like our own where we are not so much concerned with urban street combat as we are about easy consistent camouflage efforts that can be used in a society that hasn't devolved into like a total war sure it would be nice to be prepared for a military invasion of your local area but at the same time we prioritize things like logistics observation intelligence gathering preparedness training and underground networks over stuff like open conflict setting up a machine gun nest in your driveway might be great for defense but it's not practical when there's a riot going on in your neighborhood and all you need to do is keep an eye on things from a concealed position so the challenge is not necessarily to create a camouflage pattern that works in a specific area that's quite easy to do the real challenge is to create a camouflage pattern that works in a wide variety of cities districts and even suburbs the catch is why most urban camouflage doctrine is lackluster most doctrine really just encourages soldiers to do their best when it comes to camouflage in the urban environment or rely on things like cover is the primary form of concealment by and large most militaries have more or less completely given up on the pursuit of urban camouflage some militaries but not all enter taiwan taiwan as an island nation is quite small and based on the complex and tumultuous history between taiwan and their not so friendly neighbor china taiwan has been forced to think outside the box as one might imagine taiwan's military is miniscule compared to the billion person fighting force that china can bring to muster so when it comes to defending taiwan against the always pressing threat of invasion the taiwanese military has always had to rely on brain power to even the odds against a far more numerically superior invasion force and one of the ways that they have done so is by becoming pioneers in the field of urban camouflage rather than adhere to the normal traditions of camouflage some taiwanese armored divisions have been observed to disguise their equipment in unique ways in this case this vehicle is disguised as a crane or some other construction equipment this specific tactic is drawing on the doctrine of mimicry which itself is directly taken from nature bugs and other animals that don't even try to camouflage their existence but fully show themselves to an adversary but pretending to be something they are not in this case this cm34 infantry fighting vehicle is disguised as a harmless construction crane which is an extremely common sight among the urban landscape of taipei and most certainly not directly threatening obviously it's not perfect but total concealment is not the goal the goal of this type of camouflage is to cause gunner hesitation to make a chinese tank commander second guess his target and react just a second too late a second that the taiwanese commander has to get a shot off or evade if he so chooses same idea with this main battle tank with the exception of the barrel one cannot even see the tank even when you are told that there is a tank hiding in this scrap heap and let's not forget the traditional camouflage tactics too cities particularly in wealthy and well-developed nations actually have quite a lot of greenery in the downtown area so as the taiwanese defense forces have discovered there are small pockets all around a city in with which to take advantage of natural foliage camouflage such as this line of apcs parked under a bridge that are ready to roll out to a city park nearby maneuvering into positions with this type of foliage-based camouflage would be risky but once these vehicles take up positions in a folius dense part of the city these camouflage efforts become vastly more effective so as we have shown the field of urban camouflage is massive but not something that is heavily developed when it comes to warfare and when it comes to that weird situation that we find ourselves in these days in many cities which is not quite a total war but it sure feels like it sometimes the concept of camouflage isn't really talked about at all because not very many people have figured it out sure the idea of the gray man is very popular these days but it's become more of a fashion statement than a real camouflage attempt and even when one's city isn't burning simply surviving and going about daily life without being spied on to an insane degree is not something that's really possible in most major cities also taking into account that the field of urban camouflage will require pretty shocking departures from traditional normal activities and require the changing of one's lifestyle urban camouflage tactics and tools are not something that everyone will consider to be viable options but with all of that being said we wanted to kick off our own ideas when it comes to the massive field of urban camouflage with five tools that can be used to increase one's concealment capabilities in urban environments we will admit up front these tools are not for everyone and might seem a bit extreme or labor intensive but we think that if you have a certain mission to complete these tools and tactics might be of some use so first up is a tool that helps us with one form of camouflage mimicry just like insects and animals can pretend to be something else entirely we ourselves can take advantage of an unfortunate reality of urban areas homelessness it truly is unfortunate but homelessness is common in every single urban settlement in the world so much so that most people going about their day turn a blind eye to homeless people as a result possessing a small ragged looking cardboard sign such as this one would be a great way to hide in plain sight in most urban areas again this is not something that everyone would be okay with doing things would have to be pretty extreme for one to pretend to be homeless in order to conceal oneself in an urban environment or one would have to have a very specific mission but it's not as crazy as it sounds police departments all over the country dress officers up like homeless people and really get into character in order to catch people speeding so having a pre-made cardboard sign like this one doesn't take up too much space in a bag or a pack and offers a lot of capabilities as one can probably guess it takes a lot more than a cardboard sign to really blend in as best as possible in other words it would look pretty suspicious for a normal looking person to be holding a sign on the street so being able to dishevel one's appearance very quickly is also a very important thing to do as well up next is a classic in the military world with this neat trick being used by soldiers for decades and this is the common bug mesh or window screen trick here's how this works you take some bug mesh or any ordinary window screening material and you either hang it up in the back of a room or drape it over yourself when you are concealed inside a room this way any observers looking through the window will see the mesh and not you mesh either the window screen stuff or ordinary bug mesh has this unique ability to look like a solid fabric from a distance also color matters quite significantly too there's a reason that almost all bug mesh and mosquito netting in the world is black in color if the bug mesh were to be white it would be very difficult to see through whereas bug mesh that is black is pretty easy to see through even if the little holes in the mesh are all the same size right very interesting phenomenon considering the nature of light reflectivity so when it comes to setting up an urban observation post the classic tactic actually one of the only tactics that is actually written about in doctrine is to hang this mesh up or the screening material hang it up to make it look like a wall behind an open window concealing your observation post quite nicely there are several companies out there that put together commercial mesh screening kits for the military but most of these companies will not sell bug mesh to civilians in classic tyrannical company form but that's okay because it's easy to make your own simply order whatever bug netting you like from most fabric or diy websites and that's really all you need if you wish you can sew in a hem to increase durability or add in some loops on the corners to more easily tie it down or hang it up but yeah that's pretty much it having some stick on command hooks or other hanging implements like paracord would be handy but these really can be improvised as you need them and since a sheet of bug mesh is really lightweight and small it's easy and inconspicuous enough to carry around pretty much wherever you might need it we don't mean to knock religion or anything but one of the most annoying things that a person can experience is a person standing on a street corner handing out religious texts or even worse coming onto someone's property to talk about their particular religion however people who tend to do this are also largely ignored by society especially in public if anyone ever wanted a bit of peace and quiet and solitude all you've got to do is grab a clipboard and stand on the street corner people will avoid you like the plague well for the most part see if you do this in order to surveil a target or something and you pick a random cause to stand on a street corner about make sure it isn't a cause that people might actually be willing to talk to you about the first time i did this personally i made the mistake of choosing an issue that was of particular interest to the area i was in i had simply printed out a change.com petition for like save the whales or something honestly i don't even remember looking at it before printing it out which was a mistake because i was conducting this operation in the pacific northwest hordes of unwashed hippies surrounded me all day long and would not leave me alone here i was trying to conduct a surveillance training mission and people would constantly come up to talk to me about the whales i got over 300 signatures in like two hours so yeah be advised that in some parts of the world this might be a magnet for attention but in some situations this could be a quite handy way to loiter in an area without arousing suspicion one of the more interesting bits of kit that we have come across over the years is the concept of the undercover policeman's cap the idea behind this is that this hat is a way to quickly and passively identify undercover officers or off-duty police officers in the event that something goes down now obviously we don't want to impersonate a police officer and go directly to jail without passing go or collecting 200 so we can use patches that say security in most cases it's perfectly fine to wear security personnel gear but obviously check with your local laws you can buy these kinds of hats online but we will not be advertising the company that makes this particular hat because they refuse to sell the ones that say police to civilians even though it's perfectly legal to own patches that say police on them granted it's not a swell idea and we would never do that but we've had it up to here with tyrannical companies making our decisions for us when it comes to their products so we don't want to support them fortunately it's really easy to either make your own soft hat or just use a normal baseball cap that you squash down in a back pocket or something when it comes to potential uses for a hat like this the intended usage is pretty much the same as everywhere else in the world let's face it when shootings happen in the united states and there is a good guy there with a gun to stop the bad guy the sad truth is it is becoming all too common for law enforcement to show up to the scene and immediately shoot first asking questions later so this hat could be used in the event that you have to use your defensive tool the hat with its reflective security patches comes out and goes on your head then when the police show up to the shooting seeing this hat could cause hesitation on the part of the police officer and potentially saving your own life from a case of mistaken identity think about it an officer shows up and sees a guy with a gun he is extremely likely to just start blasting away but an officer that shows up and sees a guy wearing a hat that says security well he might still blast away but it's much less likely at least in theory in any case i can't think of a situation in which this tool or tactic would be harmful but again don't listen to me or even the comments section on this video make sure to check out your own local laws but i personally carry one of these kinds of hats every time i carry a defensive tool and thankfully i've not had to use it yet and again this kind of thing might seem a bit mall ninja-ish with a one in a million chance in actually it getting used and even then it's not a guarantee that you won't get shot but if you have the unique considerations that we have something like this might be right up your alley this gadget might not be a traditional form of camouflage but this is a great example of a situation in which we can take advantage of the tenets of camouflage in order to cause hesitation at the scene of a significant event which can potentially save your life and if other law enforcement agencies around the world use this exact tactic to avoid shooting their own officers it might be a great thing to add to your toolkit even if it might seem a bit odd or not be common at all in the united states just yet and finally the one item that by now most people already know about the high visibility construction vest now we here in the shop are not particularly fans of this kind of thing but i'll go over the idea anyway just in case you're interested the concept of having a high visibility vest on hand is in order to take advantage of a long proven psychological trick in order to blend in taking pages out of the milgram experiment research has strongly indicated again and again that a person wearing clothing that implies authority often has authority granted to them solely based on this clothing so in other words by wearing a high visibility vest people who see you will simply assume that you're supposed to be there which can be great for surveillance missions or for egressing from an area and there have been lots of people all over the internet using this kind of camouflage to do things like urban exploring and gaining access to areas that they really shouldn't have access to in normal situations so on the surface this seems perfect you just pop into a storage closet put on this reflective vest and boom you have the keys to the city well it's not quite like that remember you are not agent 47 and life is not a hitman game it doesn't work like that in real life at all for this kind of camouflage to work there are several criteria that must be met for one the rest of your clothing must match how many times do you see a construction worker wearing a suit and tie or even normal street clothes so for this camouflage to work you will have to carry dirty looking work clothes anyway and in our opinion if you are going to carry a full change of clothes anyway just carry a different set of clothes than what you're currently wearing going into a bathroom and changing from one set of street clothes into a completely different set of street clothes is way more effective than changing from one set of street clothes into construction clothes at least that's been our own experience also again you will need to carry extra gear with you you will need to have props in order to sell the image how many times do you see a person wearing a reflective vest without wearing a scuffed up hard hat so again this is possible but once more you're adding more and more stuff that you will need to sell the disguise if you've gotta carry around a suitcase full of disguise materials for the one in a million chance you might have to use it you might as well take along just a simple change of clothes which will be much more useful in everyday life and be just as effective in the end also to sell the construction worker slash maintenance personnel camouflage you're going to need some kind of tool or something and actually be engaged in work one does not often see a single solitary construction worker just standing around doing nothing unless you work for the department of transportation i guess but again the point is that in order for this camouflage to even be partially effective you're talking about bringing along a change of clothes a hard hat some kind of tool and maybe even work boots as well by the time this disguise or camouflage attempt begins to even be kind of effective you could have simply changed clothes or egressed from the area or if your mission is surveillance you could have just used any number of surveillance techniques that are more effective and don't have you dressing up like the village people and if you get caught or questioned by governmental agents while wearing this get up you will certainly have some explaining to do so hopefully this was helpful in breaking the ice into the ocean of urban camouflage even though this subject is kind of counter-intuitive to this particular series in that there's no one gadget that you can buy to make yourself invisible in the urban environment little tips and tricks can certainly be of help in the event that you have to wade through the waters of overwhelming surveillance in the modern world [Applause] you
The Wire · 2025-01-28

The Wire - January 28, 2025

//The Wire//2300Z January 28, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: DEPORTATION OPERATIONS CONTINUE NATIONWIDE. CONFLICT WIDENS IN DRC. WHITE HOUSE STATES NEW JERSEY DRONES WERE FRIENDLY FORCES.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC): The situation regarding the rapid advance of M23 rebels has gone from bad to worse. Despite being located on the exact opposite side of the country (and thus 1,000 miles away from) the rebel advance in Goma, mass pandemonium and widespread looting was reported in the capitol city of Kinshasa. Various media outlets have claimed that the Embassies of the United Nations, Rwanda, Uganda, Kenya, and even the United States were all either assaulted or overrun by rioters overnight. AC: As of this report, no statements have been made with regards to status of the American diplomatic mission in the DRC. However, this afternoon the U.S. Embassy in Kinshasa urged American citizens to either shelter in place, or immediately evacuate the country, whichever option is possible for them. As is typical for the region, civil unrest can (and usually does) emerge without much warning, which presents logistical challenges. Right now, the usual extortionary roadblocks are being emplaced on most major roads, which makes travel difficult. As a reminder, there are two main airports in Kinshasa that are likely to be used for evacuation operations. The N'Dolo Airport is located in the city center, but has a shorter runway (roughly 1,000 ft) which is only capable of hosting smaller aircraft or helicopters. The other, much larger international airport (N'Djili Airport) is located east of the city. This airport, while larger, is a roughly 1-2 hour drive from the Kinshasa city center under ideal conditions, and has dubious perimeter security. Alternative evacuation plans can be carried out terrestrially, as Kinshasa sits on the border with the Republic of the Congo, which lies across the river to the north and hosts another international airport. However, there is no bridge between these nations, so highly unreliable ferry crossings are the only means of amphibious transport out of Kinshasa, in the event that airports become overrun. -HomeFront- New Jersey: During a press conference, the White House has stated that the recent drone scare that swept through the region was not activity from a malign actor, but research platforms that were authorized to fly by the FAA. No further comment was provided regarding who was operating these aerial platforms. AC: This statement will be interpreted in many ways. For one, if this statement is to be believed, this is more evidence in the pile that supports this whole scandal largely involving testing being done at Picatinny Arsenal or by some other unknown clandestine government agency. This was always the most likely theory from the very beginning, but in the absence of any real data to analyze, any theory was just as good as the next. However, for those who personally do not believe this narrative, no piece of evidence is likely to alter their view. USA: ICE raids began in New York City this morning, mostly focusing on well-known strongholds harboring illegals in the Bronx. Similar raids were conducted in Maryland. In Miami, local media reported that 40x illegals from China were arrested in Coral Gables this morning. During this morning's raids, at least one High Value Individual (HVI) was captured, who was allegedly a senior leader involved in the Tren de Aragua (TdA) cells operating in Denver. Throughout Colorado, raids have intensified following renewed efforts to target TdA enclaves throughout the state. Sunday morning, a TdA-operated nightclub in Adams County, CO was raided by federal and local officials, resulting in the arrest of 49x people affiliated with the infamous Venezuelan gang. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Various opposition/protest movements are beginning to take form with regards to the federal deportation campaign. In addition to these protest actions, other efforts are being undertaken specifically to train immigrant populations to oppose federal immigration authorities. For instance, several schoolteachers around the nation have taken to social media to share their plans for ICE raids taking place in schools. In short, many teachers plan to use their school's active shooter plans against ICE agents, barricading their classrooms in the event of a raid. Further efforts to solidify plans are taking form, such as intelligence collection efforts, community notification efforts, obstacle emplacement, the works. A classic, low-effort example of such has arisen on TikTok and other social media platforms, whereby users will produce a short video about their "cute winter boots", while splicing in tutorials on how to avoid ICE raids (thus the poorly-coded language referring to ice occurring in the winter, thus the need for the "boots"). This poorly-coded language is a mainstay of many groups (much like the "in minecraft" verbiage used by other communities), and rarely results in any sort of plausible deniability defense actually working in court. Nevertheless, these half-hearted attempts at being sneaky continue, while also not really conveying any information that's actually helpful for those seeking to resist ICE. So far, most of these efforts appear to be largely uncoordinated, disorganized, and most importantly...not cartel affiliated. Cartel operations to counter ICE are always vastly more sophisticated, and in line with common insurgent doctrine...not some TikTok trend. However, in due time, the various politically-leftist groups that are driving these operations will become more organized. Though to what degree remains far less significant than the vastly more serious and complex operations that various Cartel-affiliated groups bring to the table. Though no solid information on the raids has yet been provided by ICE (which is fairly common as they don't normally provide many details, other than arrest numbers) most of the raids this morning appear to be largely symbolic and/or targeting individual people known to ICE for some time. Large-scale operations that result in the arrest of dozens (if not hundreds) of illegals in one area alone has largely not come to fruition yet, probably due to the logistical challenges of such operations. However, one point of consideration must be that resistance to deportation operations is likely to also arise from within ICE itself (or more likely, local authorities' partnerships with ICE). One must remember, Trump has only been President for 8 days...all of the authorities who are currently arresting illegals right now were also employed under the Biden regime. Of course, the claim can be made that the orders from the top prevented any real sort of investigation and/or deportation operations. This idea requires much more nuance to understand, as there are absolutely cases in which LE agencies around the country have hidden behind the excuse of "but the feds told us to not do our job", when in reality there was certainly much more they could have done over the past four years. Within the federal government, there is no excuse as common as "my boss won't let me" when it comes to the reasons as to why someone did not do their job. Of course, general orders (and national-level policy) comes from the leadership at the top. But anyone who's ever worked in government knows that there is always leeway at the mid-to-lower levels of bureaucracy that allow people to do good and wholesome work, despite a very oppressively top-down leadership style. Now that a political change has occurred, the American people have kept the receipts, and are now wondering about the exact details of why certain departments are suddenly able to do their job...what exactly was preventing them from policing before Trump took office? Was it a direct order to halt certain investigations, or was it agencies hiding their laziness behind a general policy? Once again, after every major political regime change, those who were serving under the previous regime will be questioned as to what they did during those times, and how they carried on the best they could, despite the policies from the top. If arrests couldn't be made, what else was done? Were targeting packages created or intelligence networks developed? What investigative evidence was gathered, even without express internal permission to do so? If the orders from the top were indeed the biggest barrier to enforcing the law over the past four years, what work was done to tie up everything with a neat bow to present to a new administration? In some cases, this was exactly how it worked out, with many investigators coming forward with roughly 4 years of investigative work that wasn't able to be acted on. In others, many agencies are finding out that some investigators just sat on their hands for four years, and didn't really make any attempt to do the best they could despite the circumstances. This will be an important observation to consider as deportation operations continue to ramp up. More broadly, it must be considered that there may be some resistance from among LE groups who, after many years of stagnation, finally will be doing real work. For many, the chance to finally do good is appreciated...but others might not be so motivated. Others still probably are on the payroll of the Cartels, or are immigrants themselves (as many LE jurisdictions around the US allowed illegals to become badged Law Enforcement Officers). How big of a problem this will become (or is right now) remains to be certain, but it is an idea that must be considered now, in the early stages of what is likely to be a large-scale deportation campaign. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Intel Update

Intel Update - May 30 - Rock and a Hard Place

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for May 24th through the 30th of 2026. This week seems to have flown right by as many different events have come to a head over the past few days. Around the world, all of the current wars continue pretty much the same as before. In Europe, the war in Ukraine has intensified once again as the yearly summer fighting season has resulted in major offensive and counteroffensive actions being conducted by both sides. Most of the war remains fairly stagnant in terms of the front lines actually moving, but major offensives are being conducted far behind the lines in both Russia and in Ukraine via drones and missiles. And the Ukrainian attacks in particular are striking a lot of Russian oil infrastructure, which is affecting the global oil market. As a result, the war in Ukraine has served to put the squeeze on Europe even more than the war in the Middle East already has as Ukrainian forces continue to strike targets that indirectly make Europe's fuel supply even more expensive. Similarly, the Middle East remains in a state of stagnation or stalemate, however you want to put it, with a few engagements being reported this week, both in the Strait of Hormuz, within the Persian Gulf War, but also within Lebanon and Gaza as the Israelis continue offensive actions along multiple fronts. The Israelis are expanding their operations uh to conduct their land invasion into Lebanon, but they're also looking to annex more of Gaza than they already have with Israeli politicians stating that they plan to annex roughly 70% of Gaza. So whether that will actually happen is debatable, but nevertheless, the situation in the Middle East remains tense on many different fronts. Most importantly for us, the global oil inventories have begun to approach minimum operation levels in some parts of the globe this week, mostly in Asia as the shock to the global oil supply continues to be affected more seriously. Closer to home, kinetic strikes continue on fast boats in the Eastern Pacific as the United States begins to accelerate the counter narcotics mission down south. But there are very few details on this. So there's not much to note other than that the strikes happened generally in the Eastern Pacific. Within the homeland itself, civil conflict in the form of street takeovers and routine crime continues as before with no real change from last week. The situation is still insane. These street takeovers are still occurring in dozens of cities around the country pretty much every day. So it's hard to keep track of all of these. But the deteriorating situation in Newark, New Jersey has once again emboldened the anti-ISE demonstrations and served as a good barometer for other unrest which might develop if so desired. So very much a busy week all around. On the strategic movement front, the major military movements for this week have remained much the same as before. No big changes from last week with the little caveat that Cuba is still a central focus. This week, US Southern Command announced that a meeting had taken place at the perimeter fence of Guantanamo Bay between General Donovan and a collection of cheery fellows from various levels of Cuban senior military leadership. Not a whole lot of smiles down in Gitmo, which is probably appropriate, but this meeting does highlight tensions in the region because it's not something that is normally conducted. These meetings like this are pretty rare, and this one's not really clear as to what it was all about. Per their post on social media, the reason for the meeting was very vague and only mentioned stuff like operational security and general perimeter security. Who knows what the real reason for the meeting was all about. Maybe it was just a PR event, more about conveying the seriousness of the situation. It's really impossible to know for sure, but the end result is keeping Cuba at the forefront of the news cycle and reminding us that American aspirations in Cuba are still being formulated, whatever they are. As of right now, there's not really a clear explanation of why the United States is interested in Cuba. Of course, there is the general strategic implications of having a hostile nation, or rather a nation which is more amenable to your adversaries, Russia and China. That makes a lot of sense. The Chinese have a lot of radio listening post down in Cuba. So, it would make sense for the United States to be interested in that sort of behavior and getting them to uh push the Chinese out of Cuba would probably be in our strategic interest as a nation or really any nation would have these strategic interests. But the United States has not made that argument. So I don't want to speak for the White House and make arguments that they have not made. And so far they have not articulated exactly why the United States is interested in Cuba. What what's the point? What do we want from Cuba? That has not really been disclosed other than the general uh consensus of well, they're just bad guys. Okay. Well, that's not really an explanation for anything, so we're just going to have to wait and see. But at the moment, the aspirations for Cuba, either control of it or some kind of influence operation or puppet state, I don't really know. I don't know what the point of this is, but that has never stopped us in the past. So, we'll keep an eye on it. Make sure that uh we prepare for any kind of impact from another war breaking out in terms of the economic situation. I don't know. It's too early to say if this is going to make that cross from diplomacy to actual warfare. these days, those uh two sides of the coin tend to blend together quite well. So, we'll just have to wait and see. But anyway, Cuba is still on the menu, and we'll have to wait and see how it all works out. Within the homeland United States this week, the theme has of course been an increase in horrific crime, man-made horrors beyond comprehension, and far-left riots in New Jersey. So, pretty much situation normal at this point. In New Jersey, the riots at the Delaney Hall detention facility have continued and remained fairly kinetic each night. Over the past few days, a full-blown encampment has been set up on site to help the riers with logistics and to provide them with material aid. This was a substantial effort with an entire party tent for like weddings and such being set up on site along with other tents and really your standard Antifa style autonomous zone kind of arrangement. I don't know if that's what they were calling it on site, but that's kind of what they were building over the past week or so. However, last night substantial reinforcements arrived. The New Jersey State Police have been activated and are on site to assist with security of the main compound and also to keep riers from breaching the perimeter. The state police also ordered these encampments to be removed. Uh so the state police is in invested in trying to get that area cleaned up. And as of this morning, the riers essentially just left a bunch of trash behind. Now, the situation is most certainly not over yet. The riots are certainly not over and protesters remain on site pretty much persistently. With the fences being put up overnight, the chance of the compound being overrun is much reduced. But these logistical efforts propping up immediately are an indicator that money is behind these efforts. If we were to zoom out the map just a little bit, we can see that the New York, New Jersey area is absolutely packed with safe houses used by illegal immigrants. And all of these yellow diamond symbols depict an NGO or an agency that is dedicated to helping illegal immigrants evade capture and commit crimes. Now, you might be asking yourself, "Hey, that's a lot of different safe houses of people that are openly committing crimes." Well, yeah, welcome to my world. I've got thousands of these on the maps, and I'm not even uh speculating here. I'm just using what these people put on their own websites. So, if you were to tap one of these icons on my maps and just put the address, the street address that I have listed for that facility into Google, you'll find out exactly what's at that facility. I can't put the name of the facility down. Uh but they can't uh copyright strike me with a mailing address because you can't copyright mailing addresses. So that's how I have to get around that for now. But by and large, all of these yellow diamonds on the map marked safe, that is the uh mill 2525 symbology symbol for a safe house. That's what I've used to settle in on all of these places where illegal immigrants are being staged and taken care of and provided aid and stuff like that. But anyway, I wanted to focus on Delaney because this is kind of an interesting one. This has been the site where a lot of politicians and congressmen and general big figures come to make speeches and rile the crowd up because it's really close to New York. So, of course, everybody's going to go there in grandstand, which is why this uh protesting started off to begin with. I believe it originally started with an alleged hunger strike at the facility among the uh inmates, detainees, whatever you want to call them, uh waiting deportation, which doesn't make a whole lot of sense because these illegals are not held here that long. Uh but maybe they are now. I don't know. Either way, it transcended into just kind of a big mess over the past uh week or so. And due to the close proximity to other things, again, why intelligence preparation of the battle space is quite important. If we see that they are within driving distance of a few dozen different uh milliondoll law firms and groups that are willing to provide them with free legal support and any kind of uh support they want. Well, now you see why this is kind of a big deal. You add in the fact that the White House is really really not interested in cracking down anymore after the whole Minneapolis fiasco and you get kind of a recipe for destruction. So hopefully now that the state police are on scene and kind of involved in this, this will simmer down quite a bit at this one facility. But again, there are many other places within driving distance. There are at least a dozen different federal buildings that these uh people can go cause problems at throughout the greater New York, New Jersey area, and there's not a whole lot that anybody can do about it but play whack-a-ole and just I mean you can't secure them all and these people have the numbers to uh dial up tensions to 11 if they so choose. So suffice it to say that this area has a lot of big money and the federal administration is really really desperate to avoid another Minneapolis. Once again, people get all been out of shape about how the immigration issue is on display in the street. Uh, but it's, you know, it's mostly boomers, neocons, normies, and people who don't understand how important crowd control really is. They may not understand looking at a crowd, reading the crowd, understanding what these people are doing, how they're dressed, what kind of insignia they're wearing. They they don't view the world through the lens of counterterrorism. So, they look at this and they just say, "Well, why are the police being mean?" Well, okay. They're they're trying to prevent somebody from getting killed here. And unfortunately, crowd control is a rather blunt instrument sometimes. So, the average normie Fox News watcher out there might not like it when Abua gets a little tearyeyed from the tear gas. But if it saves her from getting shot in the face because she threw a brick at a cop, then you know that maybe maybe there's a a place for crowd control. So either way, it's a delicate balance. Minneapolis showed that the federal government is not interested in maintaining their side of that balance, and Newark has confirmed it as well by being slow to react, by not using tear gas, by not using less lethal crowd control measures. And this is why we now have a thing to talk about. Right. Again, I don't want to focus on this too much, but when it comes to these counter ice things, this is a major concern. It is a much bigger concern than what's going on in Iran. It's a much bigger concern than paying almost $5 for gas, if we're being perfectly honest here. And so far, the immigration issue, specifically being heavy-handed at some of these riots, this is one of the only subjects where the White House actually cares about public perception and opinion, and they care about the public perception and opinion of their own political enemies, which is just an odd thing. But this is also why this minor policing issue has spiralled into a full-blown situation here. So once again, I don't want to make a molehill into a mountain over this sort of thing. This is one facility. This is in New Jersey because of course it is. And it looks like it's starting to simmer down now. At least the fences will make it a little bit harder for them to damage stuff. So there's that. But I haven't talked about immigration stuff in a while. And it's worth keeping these things on the back burner because as important as it is to understand what's going on around the world, it's even more important to understand what's going on here at home. So far, I do not know of a single agency, group, charity, whatever that has actually been shut down for encouraging these riots and for funding them. So, all it takes is the will and you know, just not seeing it. So, enough of that. Let's move to the Middle East for this week. And like a broken record, the situation remains about as tense as before. And let's start by working chronologically uh by walking through what chaos has unfolded in the region this week. Please forgive me if the details and timelines are a little bit off this week. The strangle hold on information has become much more substantial since the ceasefire went into effect. And it's harder to verify the timeline of events, but the general situation is that the war became kinetic again a few days ago, at least in a limited scope. Shortly after the announcements of an all but finalized peace deal last Friday that we discussed in last last weekend's brief, the United States carried out bombings within Iran on Monday, Memorial Day. During this series of strikes, the United States claimed to have taken out a few fastboats along with a SAM site and Bondara Boss. Sentcom did not acknowledge this series of strikes on their social media page. They have stopped providing press releases on engagements and no video was provided. The only reason that we know that it was the United States who conducted these strikes is because Sentcom spokesman Captain Tim Hawkins has been verbally confirming these strikes with reporters in mainstream media interviews. So after the American strikes on May 2526, the Iranians waited a day then launched their sort of proportionate response counterattack, whatever you want to call it, they launched their own attack again. This attack took the form of one ballistic missile targeting Ali Salam air base in Kuwait along with a handful of drones targeting Kuwait as well. At the time, the battle damage caused by this strike was completely censored and impossible to find out. However, as of last night, we now know that as many as five service members and a few contractors were wounded during this attack. So, casualties are still rolling in even from just one missile strike. Remember how I said that Sentcom is no longer posting their engagements on social media, or at least they're not posting all of them. They're just posting some of them. Well, this was quite handy because Sentcom did post about this Iranian counterattack on their page while pretending that the United States did not launch the first strike. They call this an egregious ceasefire violation and an unjustified Iranian aggression. But in reality, it was the United States which broke the ceasefire first by conducting the Memorial Day strikes. Interestingly enough, in this same exact post, Sentcom directly stated that Kuwaiti forces had successfully intercepted this ballistic missile, which might be a technically factual statement if we stretch the meaning of the word intercepted. However, it's also misleading because the missile actually hit the base anyway, wounding five people and damaging two MQ9 drones. So, it sounds like it hit an aircraft hanger. To me, this sounds like a cover for a failed interception. But that's my own personal opinion. I think they're just lying. I think the the missile actually did hit the base. But anyway, I just found this whole exchange completely baffling because believe it or not, propaganda works. In this case, all that needs to be done is to not disclose the fact that the US conducted strikes in Iran. And when the Iranians counteratt attacked, it'll be like the first time, which is exactly what happened. The US attacks on Memorial Day 1st. The Iranians counterattack on May 28th. And on that same night, the United States counter counterattacked the Iranians claiming to strike a drone that was about to be launched along with a few other undisclosed targets in Bond Abbas. Probably. This brings us to yesterday when President Trump posted this message on his social media platform, which contains a lot of information. President Trump outlined the rough criteria for what the United States would accept as part of a peace deal. But on the more tactical level, he also stated that the US would lift the American side of the blockade. Throughout the day yesterday, nothing much happened on this. And right now, it's hard to determine if this is the truth because no ships are transiting the strait due to what happened next. Yesterday evening, as everyone was trying to figure out what is going on, the UK MTO came in from the top rope with a pile drive to the peace process. For those who are just joining us now, the UK MTO or the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Center is the leading authority for most maritime security issues in the Middle East. They cover other areas too, but the Middle East is their main focus. And they are like a British fusion cell run by the Royal Navy that works directly with US Navscent to help civilian ships know what security threats are present around the world. So, think of them like a British government agency that's like mostly civilian run, but they're still like directly tied into the government. They're not like a third party private company. So last night they published two advisory notes, both of which are incredibly interesting. The first one was an announcement that is comparatively rare and is not exactly good news. This was a notice of military operations being conducted north of the Musandam peninsula of Oman, which is this area of Oman, the peninsula that juts out north into the straight of Hormuz. So the UK MTO is saying that the US is going to be conducting military operations north of that. Well, that's in the middle of the street of Hormuz. Specifically, this notice warns of additional Iranian mine laying activity, and that US forces are on high alert. The notice also mentions that Iran continues to attempt to impede mine clearance efforts, which is the first public acknowledgement that the Iranian mines are indeed a threat, and that the United States can't exactly get in there to clear them. The notice goes on to mention that, quote, "Any vessel that does not comply with the direction of US forces may be determined to be an imminent threat and subject to proportionate measures of self-defense in accordance with international law." This sentence alone gives us a lot of information. Uh, for one, this further solidifies developments that took place last week, namely that the US is now conducting air strikes on Iranian vessels based on self-defense criteria. For the three of you who remember my anatomy of an air strike video from a while back, you may know that this is an indication that the US has completely revamped the concepts of kinetic targeting and the lines between deliberate targeting and dynamic targeting are not so clear anymore. Anyway, the US has now decided to allow target engagement authorities or TIAS, TEAS, at lower and lower levels of command to conduct self-defense strikes, which would normally be considered offensive strikes under all prior targeting doctrine as outlined by Sentcom's targeting guidance, JP360, and and a bunch of other long-standing guidance. This document from the UK MTO puts this in writing and is intended to warn the maritime shipping community that the United States will be conducting kinetic strikes in the strait very soon. The second document provided by the UK MTO is a warning that the blockade of Iranian ports is still in effect which takes the wind out of the sales regarding the lifting of the American blockade. So according to US Navent as in United States Naval Forces Central Command, the blockade is still in effect and this notice was published many hours after President Trump's announcement on social media. So somebody is lying about the blockade being lifted. In fact, these two notices are major indications and warnings of the war kicking off again soon and a primary focus is being placed on the straightup Hormuz. This notice directly states that the US Navy cannot guarantee the safety of neutral or merchant shipping, which seems pretty clear to me. And I don't think that any merchant shipping, at least any Western shipping, is going to go through the straight anytime soon unless they pay the Iranian toll. And if they pay the Iranian toll, then the US might pick them up, too. Because funny enough, as I'm recording this right now, I just see a notice come in from Sentcom stating that they disabled a non-compliant vessel in the Gulf of Oman to prevent blockade violation. So, I don't even know what's going on anymore. President Trump says the blockade's lifted. Uh, this looked pretty clear to me. Maybe I'm just stupid or something. I just can't read very well. And now Scom is saying, "Well, we're shooting at vessels which violate the blockade." So, I don't get it. Um, or maybe I do get it. Maybe I do understand it quite well. Uh because this type of well, we're going to let you go, but then when you get there, we're going to bomb you kind of mentality is really prevalent. I'm sure many of you have picked up on where this idea is coming from because there's somebody else in the world who tends to do this sort of thing. We're definitely not going to shoot. You can definitely go through this area. Oh, we bombed you. Okay. Yeah, now we see where this is coming from, right? At least that's my own general theory and I'll leave it at that. But anyway, I'll let that go for now. Uh maybe one day people will start reading between the lines and understand what's really going on here. But if maritime shipping needed any more reason to stay out of the straight this morning something else happened. Observers in Oman spotted a floating object that they assessed to be a naval mine which they say is currently floating to the west of the inshore traffic zone which is the new name that has been given uh to the alternative traffic separation scheme going through Omani waters. So there's a mine floating out there uh somewhere. what they think is a mine. Who who knows what it could actually be, but that's what they said. So, as of this morning, that's pretty much how things stand. We are on day 91 of the war, 3 months in, and the potential for peace remains very much off the menu for the time being. I would venture a guess to say that the hesitance to enter the straight of Hormuz from a western aligned vessel is roughly the same as it was during the height of the shooting. Otherwise, vessels are taking the Iranian route. They're paying the toll and they're just going on their merry way. I don't know if these vessels are being intercepted by the US Navy eventually at some point or what's going on, but right now the most hardest hit, the most affected vessels in the Persian Gulf that are stranded for 3 months now, a full quarter of the year are Western aligned vessels, American vessels, and tanker ships that are not aligned with the Iranians. Of course, things could change rather quickly. Uh, like I've said for months now and many others have said for months, the cleanest ending for this war, well certainly the quickest, but also the cleanest ending for the war is literally for the US to just walk away, declare victory, and privately cut a deal with the Iranians to give them whatever they want to open the straight again. So, we always have to consider the fact that that might happen. It could happen. We could just see a Trump social post one day and the Iranians confirm it that says the war is over. The straight's open, and we're all going to go home, right? That could happen. Those types of posts have been made several times before and they weren't true in the past, but it could happen. I don't want to neglect the fact that one day this could just be over. Personally, I don't think that's what's going to happen at all. I think that this war is going to drag on for a while longer, especially when we have a couple more months of strategic petroleum reserve left in the tank and the markets, the oil markets continue to be completely divorced from reality. some more mainstream sources are starting to catch on to what has been obvious for about 3 months now, which is that oil prices are not reflective of the situation at hand and that the bigger concern is the petroleum supply itself. As bad as prices are right now at the gas pump, it turns out that taking 20 million barrels per day out of the worldwide supply chain will eventually result in actual shortages of petroleum products. Uh the week before last, the United States has drained the strategic petroleum reserve at a higher rate than at any point in history. At least that's the claim that's going around. I don't know if the numbers actually match up, but it certainly seems to based on the charts. Gas is almost $5 per gallon in many places around the country, and this is actually artificially low. Like I said last week, gas prices should be much higher than they actually are right now. And one of the reasons that this has not happened is the wholesale draining of our strategic petroleum reserve. in addition to other nations doing the same from their end and a global tightening of the belt when it comes to petroleum products. So all in all, supply chain issues are seriously on the menu the longer this goes on. As we've known from the very start, time is a finite resource, and as of last night, there are even talks of extending the ceasefire by another 60 days. If that is the intent, we might be in a bit of a pickle because if we continue to drain these strategic reserves at the current rate of rise, we might not have that much time left before supply shortages begin and gas pumps in the US start running dry. Of course, this is not a major concern right now, even though it should be. But the Feds keep kicking that can down the road, and there's not a whole lot of uh expediency toward figuring this solution out. We're 91 days into this and there's not really a whole lot of interest in uh finding a solution anytime soon. It's like, well, let's schedule the meeting for two weeks from now. Well, okay. Uh but that's two weeks of very little oil making its way out of the region. So, not a super great look when the summertime travel season is just beginning right about now. And most Americans are going to be uh shaking their head at the gas pump unless something is done to fix this situation. And as of last night, it looks like many, many indicators are stacking up that point to the United States seeking more of a military solution rather than being interested in some sort of negotiation. But once again, a lot of this is going to be speculation. It'll be over when it's over, but right now it's not over. We just have to take it one day at a time and see what we can do on our end to be more prepared no matter what happens. So that's all I've got for today and let's wrap up with the Ghost Net reports for this week. Great net again all around this week and I think a lot of people are participating because weather is great this time of year. So I picked up way more people than I normally do from my own radio station. This week I heard quite a lot of people testing relaying messages around the world, testing other modes and frequencies. Some people trying to hit Australia, which is always really cool. I haven't hit Australia yet. That's pretty that would be pretty cool to uh do. It's pretty hard to hit Australia here from the east coast, but but otherwise, I saw a lot of people checking in to see who's up on the network and exchanging information completely off the grid. Radio networks like this one and others are really helpful when the power goes out, when the grid is completely down, and uh you have to operate completely offline, and maybe even in an environment where there's a lot of jamming. Resilient and capable communications are really helpful to have, especially when things are not going super well. So, that's all I've got for today. Thanks to all of you who support the work here on Patreon and thanks to all of you for sticking around as the summertime rolls in and everything gets more complicated. I have made some progress on the more educational material side of the house this week and I hope to have more at tech tutorials and more more well-rounded informational content out soon to help us navigate these strange and interesting times. There's never enough time in the day and I know that we're all trying to do our best. So, we'll continue on and try to stay one step ahead of the chaos as best we can. The goal of the Ghost Net and most of this other stuff too is to be an asset to the community even when times get tough and everything is collapsing around us. Hopefully things don't ever get that serious, but having these capabilities will be very handy and allow us to have the confidence to face whatever hardship comes next. So, let's get after it and I'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
S2 briefing · 2021-09-01

Aftermath

hello again everyone welcome back to the underground so it looks like we're done um the last u.s forces have pulled out of afghanistan and officially the afghan war is over now of course that does not mean that the work is done there are still a lot of people on the ground that need to get out and we will continue to do the best very very minimal work that we can do to help get those people out so let's go over a few updates on the situation in afghanistan as we wrap up this situation like i mentioned the u.s centcom commander has confirmed that hundreds of americans have been left behind now the hundreds the low hundreds number that they're giving us is almost certainly higher than that because if they're admitting to hundreds of people left behind hundreds of american citizens left behind then the number is almost certainly higher than that also efforts are underway to renovate muhammad karzai international airport with both turkey and qatar qatar partnering with the taliban to reopen the airport for international flights as far as timing on this they're still in negotiations for what exactly that's going to look like but this is very much a a very destroyed third world country airport now it really always has been but the resources that are going to be needed for civilian flights are are quite significant so it's going to be interesting to see how and what kind of civilian airline efforts are undertaken and how long that's going to take most people are thinking weeks at the very earliest some people are saying months we can't really speak intelligently on how long it's going to take because there's just so much destruction and it's oh you know afghanistan so it's really hard to gauge as to when civilian flights are going to open back up if they are going to open back up also the taliban is continuing their door-to-door executions of really anyone they can get their hands on that opposes them or is a threat to their regime this includes lots of women being kidnapped as wives for the taliban soldiers in addition to being sold into slavery now as far as sources for this information they're few and far between because the taliban is very uh very much a censorship uh driven organization so when you go on social media and you find and you just try to search for information in at least in english you're not going to find very much also in the native languages you're also not going to find very much either because simply people are having their cell phones taken away and the internet is being cut in places like that so that's why you're not going to see very much but it it's a very strong you know it's kind of like a a no kidding assessment that they're going door-to-door and we have seen videos of this over the past few weeks so it makes sense that they would continue that in shockingly significant numbers also the conflict in pan pancheer is continuing the northern alliance is continuing to make well i hesitate to use the word headway because they're not really gaining any terrain they're just preventing the taliban from advancing as fast as they possibly could however we are seeing taliban using blackhawk helicopters to conduct aviation operations in the panshire valley so you know it's probably going to be uh these helicopters are probably not going to operate for very for very long just because maintenance is going to be very very impossible uh it takes a lot of resources to keep the helicopter going in in peace time like just ask like any civilian helicopter pilot and you'll know or any really aviation pilot and they can tell you that helicopters and really any aviation asset requires a lot of resources just to keep functioning uh so even though we are seeing video after video after video of taliban flying blackhawks and things like that unless they get the parts which is a which could happen they're going to be running out of resources out of parts out of maintenance capabilities and things like that and then also there's a technology gap there's only so many people in afghanistan that know how to fly and uh a pastime of the a a who are the people flying these blackhawk helicopters we trained uh the people who are flying these blackhawks for the for the taliban those people have a very um they have a very long history of flying into mountains so a a fatalities from helicopter crashes was extremely high all throughout the afghan war and it really it only improved by marginal marginal means anybody who's ever had the misfortune of flying with an afghan pilot knows exactly what i'm talking about so there's definitely an expertise gap there and also we are receiving reports uh that the u.s government particularly the u.s state department is doing everything they can to stop private rescue efforts this includes things such as petitioning other bordering nations to make it difficult for private planes and aircraft to stage and refuel and resources and things like that so this makes sense we have seen is as shocking and as horrible and as biased as it may seem to say to say the cold hard truth of the matter is that the united states through every indication that we have been getting throughout this entire crisis the united states on the strategic level is doing everything they can to make sure that as few people get out of afghanistan as possible from the civilian side of things the military has military commanders on the ground have been documented uh time and time again preventing women and children from getting on flights uh we partnered directly with the taliban who and and gave them a list of people to not let through checkpoints right so it's like it's anyone who has been following this from just a casual nature knows that there's something abhorrently wrong and we hear based on what we've seen just overall the overall mood definitely seems to be that this is less about incompetence and more about an intentional act so even though again it seems biased to say this it really is a kind of simple assessment to make the to make the argument that hey look they're not really super concerned with getting survivors out because every american that gets out of afghanistan and back to the united states will have a story to tell and that story is not going to look positive for the biden regime so while they may not actively be taking measures to kill americans directly they are definitely doing everything they can to prevent people from leaving afghanistan like i know that might upset a lot of people to hear but it definitely seems from our side of the fence from what we have seen that at this point that definitely seems like that's taking place now of course military operations are military operations and there's a lot of clandestine stuff going on behind the scenes i'm sure uh but by and large from the diplomatic side of things this like we we have to stop like looking at this or at least we here have stopped looking at this as incompetence and more of an intentional act that's all i'm saying on that and this kind of goes into social media so we have seen over the past 24 hours significant censorship of uh the survivors of these horrendous attacks like one of the more famous ones that has come out has been the mother of one of the fallen marines uh was censored very strongly from facebook and instagram based on her posting stuff that is critical of the president um so you know that you have to remember the the white house publicly admitted through their press secretary just a few weeks ago that they are direct they are directing and flagging posts for facebook to remove did we just forget that somehow so of course the regime is directing or at least heavily involved in or the social media and the government which by now should be viewed as being the same entity are taking measures to make sure that their story does not get told so as bad as this sounds i i it really does seem to be the truth or at least again from what we see this is definitely happening and you know that goes into more stuff when it comes to the military so stories are coming out right now of the soldiers on the ground they actually had their last the last few soldiers that were on the ground actually had their flights delayed so that they could clean up uh feces and blood and trash and things uh and just horrendous debris for the taliban they have to they had to beautify h kaya before they left and pick up the trash um that while these attacks are going on while they're getting shot at with rockets and shot out with small arms they're being forced to clean things up by their leadership i cannot think of anything more abhorrent than that you just had your buddies killed a couple of days ago and now you're picking up trash for the taliban like that makes absolutely no sense whatsoever now there is a counter argument to that and i will explain the counter arguments as to why this was done and i will in hopefully in explaining this counter argument i will prove that a point i guess the counter argument is that the reason that this cleaning up was directed was to not to give the taliban any uh propaganda value for u.s troops leaving behind litter like mre rappers and things like that so not giving the taliban any way to say ah the americans are horrible people look what they left behind for us and stuff like that now that's the counter argument and hopefully just by me explaining that short counter argument you realize how dumb it is the taliban is our adversary okay they're an adversary we're leaving we're not coming back right at least for any significant time well with the current regime that we have we're not coming back even if there are americans on the ground um i would be very hard-pressed to find it forever going back to that country with the current situation that we're in so the some sergeant major or some general uh coming up with this idea of you know police call you know that shows that our military leadership is completely out of touch with this little thing we call warfare like i cannot think of of any competent military leader of any rank or pay grade they would look at the situation and say you know what we need to make sure they don't have propaganda value maybe the biggest propaganda value was the american citizens we left behind that's probably the biggest propaganda value we don't need to clean up our mre wrappers in the complete and utter wasteland that is afghanistan it is the third world country the place was filthy when we got there and on top of all of that you've you're you're forcing your soldiers to be even me even more demoralized than they already are so this again looks to be like a criminally negligent lapse in leadership and judgment which has become the term that i guess could describe the entirety of senior military leadership at this point as as to why anyone enlists in the military right now i have no clue after this after this the military recruiting is going to have a severe severely hard time getting anyone to enlist and i can't say that's a bad thing at this stage in the game because man i tell you it has just been one thing after another and really that's all all that's that's really just the mood for afghanistan for right now um like i mentioned private recovery efforts are underway but they're fighting tooth and nail there's really no organization level we don't have it's not like any private contractors have reaper drones out there they're operating with no air support and a hostile nation where their government doesn't want to even bring them home so a private contracting group gets stuck in afghanistan guess what they're they're stuck there right so our government has already made it perfectly clear that we're willing to leave american citizens on the ground in afghanistan so that means that any recovery efforts are going to have to realize the same exact thing so i know that this update is is kind of not really helpful for those dudes on the ground or or trying to get on the ground but that's because we don't really have any intelligence picture at all we're doing what we can but it's few and far between their social media is not helpful anymore we don't have as much anyone who has been in the area that has been providing us information you know without even knowing it through their social media they've already gone we've got tens of thousands of afghans literally walking on foot to the iran border we've got countless other people going off foot to the border we've got other people just trying to hunker down and hide so there's really not a whole lot when it comes to the intel picture that we can provide right now it just it and this is the part where it's horrible to be an analyst because you're just in the dark people expect you to have the answers and there are none like we can't find anything that would be very helpful because we're just so in the dark and just because you are in the dark it also means that people still are going to be counting on you it doesn't that the the fact that you're in the dark doesn't matter so that's why this is kind of a frustrating thing and that's why it's become less about the tactical level intelligence of the ground on the ground and more about strategic issues and that's why we've gotten all we've we've kind of taken a step back from what we have have been doing and even though we are still looking at kmz's and we're still putting out kmz's and we're still building things man i mean i i myself and the rest of the team here spent what 16 hours yesterday looking for anything that we could drop on a map couldn't find a single thing not a single uh point was created yesterday because we can't find anything and that's infuriating and just being helpless as an analyst is really hard to do it's really it's really difficult especially when we know that there are military assets out there that can share this information and can help things but they can't because their government is forcing them not to so that's why we haven't really focused so much on doing these intel braces we're not even going to go to the map today because like i said i don't have anything to show you on the map we do know that cash is running out in the country there's people are stacked up outside every every single bank in kabul and there's nothing there's no cash left so there's a problem there uh people are trying to get money for bribes to get through the taliban checkpoint for bribes for the iranian border uh crossing guards for bribes for the pakistani guys and there's just no cash uh even then how much money how much do you think the value of the afghan currency is it's probably not very much right now and again i'm sorry for going off on kind of a rant about this one today but that's really all there is left to do at least when it comes to these kinds of videos a lot of people again have a lot of opinions about this and we want to do a very long series on not just the afghan war but the extraction process this disastrous uh situation and we want to at least learn from it okay because we cannot change the past but we can definitely learn from it so we're compiling thoughts but right now a lot of us just don't know what to say so we don't really have any intel to share we don't know what to say because it's just there's just so much to say you don't even know where to begin um but i do want to address one idea and that idea is the question that we have gotten over and over and over again over the past well ever since we've existed as a coherent group with a name i guess and that question is what can we do to fix this um this has been something that we have been asked and other people have been asking and we ourselves have been asking ever since well really the problems became the problems in our society became severe enough for us to get together as a group of friends and want to do what we can to change it now obviously as time has gone on our our gut feeling of this situation is going to get much worse has proven to be correct unfortunately and as a result more and more people have been asking okay i've hit my limit enough is enough what can i do to fix this problem okay the the the long list of problems that are that our government our our society our culture our economy all of this stuff what can i do to help fix it okay and if i were forced like i'm some kind of authority on this i'm not i if if i were forced and if we here collectively our our answer has been to have many children raise them the right way and ask me that question again in 15 years that's the answer you want to fix our economy okay there's your answer have many kids raise them right ask me again in 15 years okay you want to fix our political regime okay same answer you want to fix service members dying from a totally preventable set of events there's your answer now let's walk that back because nobody wants to hear that answer and it's an unsatisfying answer i will admit it doesn't seem you you the answer is like you've got to be kidding me right like that's a response you know you ask what can i do to fix this and we say okay well have kids and raise them right and then we'll approach this when they're old enough and people are the answer to the the response is usually like okay well what you are you see like that's that's what that's all you got after all the stuff you put out that's really all you've got and the answer is yes um really all the stuff that we've put out previously if you want if people want our opinion and we know that people watch these videos we know that we have a a pretty significant audience like it's not just one guy out there watching our videos thousands of times we know that people watch our stuff and we know that people we just get an inbox full of stuff every day so people are looking for answers and even though we don't claim to be any have any kind of really good answer this is the one we've got and let me explain it let me explain why because this is not this should not be the last option but it is and let me explain why so let's start with holding the military accountable because that's where everybody's at right now like why did the military leave people behind why did the military fail this mission why did the military force those soldiers to clean up a base in front of the taliban and humiliating them as we're getting ready to leave the country why why is the military gone woke you know what how can we hold these guys accountable okay well the direct answer to that is is next is is really the bigger issue holding our politicians accountable now this is a question we get asked all the time this is the big one right how do we hold our politicians accountable okay well that's not really possible right now for a variety of reasons and really the only way to hold our politicians accountable is a couple of things uh either vote them out okay remove them from office via you know democratic or constitutional republic means right or civil disobedience be enough of a bee in their bonnet to where they change their behavior now the first option isn't really an option anymore right like we know our voting system is corrupted to the point to where i don't know if anybody really trusts it anymore um and since nobody really trusts it does it have any authority that's that's the real question that we're asking right civil disobedience is kind of the same it's kind of the same thread like it either works or it doesn't it's either a waste of time to do a protest or or it's disproportionately the stuff you'd have to do is disproportion you'd have to burn down a city like you know blm and antifa for anybody to listen to you and even then they just pander to you like you still just burn down your own city and you're the one who has to clean it up because they're just gonna do the minimum to get you off their back so right now neither of these options works but let's just examine the vote them out option okay well okay so our election laws are either a moot point or our law or our rule of law is crumbling right okay well how do you change that well you change congress okay well well you see how we're getting back to the same thing like well can should we use force to change congress well no obviously that's not going to work look at january 6. that was a peaceful demonstration you know look how that look at look at how that turned out any kind of force will be immediately shut down and then now you've got all your most dedicated people either in jail or dead so now we're back to voting vote the congress people out you know the laws are bad congress people write the laws so vote them out okay we're back to the same problem okay so voting doesn't really work that that's not something that is is practical in in a large sense right so so from that we've got we're back to two options we could go back to civil disobedience or we can go to the courts to change how laws are written and how things can work in that sphere right we can say if a district is being gerrymandered we can sue and maybe do something about it okay well again the the court system is not really in anyone's favor who who values this thing called liberty anymore but let's let's just examine the civil bd civil disobedience thing for just a second again is it effective right now i would hesitate to say probably no um and the only way to to make civil disobedience more effective is to change the education system okay well to change the education system you need a lot of other things but it's it's something that is is not an easy task to do right likewise with the courts okay you want to change the courts you want to get all these liberal judges or if nothing else get the political judges out and replace them with judges who are as impartial as can be and not quite literally activists in a robe you're going to have to change the institutions that even allow someone like that to be in the position to get a judge seat right so now we're back to really the same kind of option right it how would you do that well voting well that's that's not really an option either you know so do you see how we're starting to break this thing apart now fortunately institutions in education to change your education system and to change the institutions that enable certain groups but disable other groups well then you're coming back to the concept of strength in numbers ah okay so now we start realizing how how screwed we really are as an american people like so let's just recap right quick you know we can't hold our politicians accountable because our voting system is crap right and we can't fix our voting system because our congress people are crap and our congress people are crap because the voting system is crap and then we keep going on okay so well you know protesting doesn't work because they're inaffected by they just put up fences around themselves and laugh and cackle you know in their own little private basements right but if we keep going back and we keep going back we can realize that hey we can change that by having strength in numbers and the answer to have strengthening numbers is to have lots of kids and raise them to have a certain set of values that's that's it right that's that's your answer that's how we get this answer right there's really not a whole lot we can do right now to change our institutions to change our voting to change our education system to to change even if you wanted to erase the us government and replace it with something else it's not really a feasible effort to do so to how you got to walk it all the way back to creating the smallest unit of you know freedom which is the individual you have to create an individual you have to have kids and you have to have a lot of them so that when time comes you have a society that is willing to change things and and here's the thing though it doesn't just stop with having kids right because having you know having kids and having a lot of them and raising them to have a certain set of values that's not just the end game right we might not even get that far we have to actually stay alive long enough to do this right the times we live in are very rough right they're they're not exactly they're not exactly the hardest humans i've ever put up with but they're not they're not easy times to live in and in order to stay alive long enough to do this to avoid imprisonment to avoid forced medical procedures right to have the best chance at making those tiny humans and you know growing them up right we have to stay alive long enough to do this and in doing so to do to stay alive we have to accept that our rights have consequences and that significant lifestyle changes are needed and that means when you realize that that that even though we do have rights okay we don't really at the end of the day because all of these little other ways of changing things are are not as effective as they could be and since we're realizing that we're at this final step of okay significant lifestyle changes are needed in order to stay alive to have kids to have strength in numbers to change the education system to change the institutions to make civil disobedience work again to make our courts work again to make voting work again to make congress work again to make to to hold our politicians accountable to hold the military accountable that's how we drive our way back down through this and this takes a lot of time and this also means that our the all of those things i just mentioned are not exactly feasible options at this particular time the top three here this is what we've got this is what we should invest in heavily now we can do the other stuff too go to your local school board demand to know what your kid is is learning in school and if they're learning some stuff take them out of school simple as that it may not be easy as that but it is as simple as that right just because something is is simple doesn't mean it's easy right so there you go oh you don't like an institution don't engage in it and actively take measures to defy said institution right you can do these things but by and large it's only because the top three things here are your priority at least they're our priority and this is exactly what we're doing right now as we have spent hundreds of hours writing and filming and recording content for you guys from the original og podcast to these new youtube videos on education and things like that those top three values right there are what we're trying to trying to help with right so that's exactly what we're doing to to make to take this way forward but again these are not the only options there are other options so let's just talk about this idea of civil disobedience let's just take one of those things from the last slide and prove that we can actually still use it right if we use it right so there's this prevailing logic that uh a single protest does nothing and that's just kind of like what people see right you've got all kinds of of rallies going around and if they're if the rallies are of a certain ideology they're not going to work right you could have 12 blm activists protesting outside of a capital building and they get a law passed within 30 seconds but you've got tens of thousands of people who want freedom in the streets and it they're not only not only as a blind eye turn towards them but they're actively harmed in the process right so a single protest does nothing however if you combine it with other stuff if you protest with boycotting you do some economic warfare boycotts freaking work i know it doesn't seem like they do but they really do especially if you combine them with changing education systems right you don't have to you don't have to put up with propaganda you know you can educate and you can create content and you can push true education instead of indoctrination man that really does help too likewise strikes nobody can make you be a good worker right strikes do work and guess what most of the most of the systems and institutions that make this world go round are run by people who are freedom minded right i highly doubt i really highly doubt that a one of the largest you know uh concrete pouring companies in the united states which pours the foundations for skyscrapers i highly doubt that the dudes working on that crew the hundreds of guys they've got working around these experts right are i highly doubt that they are supportive of woke ideology i really don't think they are so there you go i highly doubt that the best paid welders in this country voted for joe biden right it's it's pretty clear that the systems and institutions that make our world go around not the leaders of these kind of these companies and things like that because that's that's another argument but the actual dude on the ground the dude with a stick welder in his hand the dude with a shovel in his hand who do they support okay what values do they have okay and more importantly what power do they have when they don't do their job kind of a lot right likewise if you're if it's not necessarily a manual labor type thing no one can make you think no one can make you think up better ways of tyrannizing them no one can make you innovate on behalf of a company so if you are working in a company where ideas and thoughts are the main commodity right the main way your company is making progress well guess what who says you have to have a great idea maybe you can just have a mediocre idea an idea that's mediocre enough for you to keep your job but not enough for them to continue continue their their tyrannical reign likewise we can even engage in social and cultural pressure you know we can change the cultural norms we can make it so that it's it's not a cool thing to do certain stuff right social and cultural pressure is definitely a huge factor maybe not on its own but when you add all these things up together and you add in an element of timed and coordinated uh organization for maximum effect man you're starting to get into some stuff that's really really effective now granted an organized citizenry is lethal to tyrants look at just look at it this way right look at all of the groups out there that have a name associated with their group and they are conservative groups okay look at how many of the leaders of those groups turned out to actually be either fbi agents or fbi informants okay so it's pretty clear that organization is very much a hazard it is a risk to the regime so they go through a lot of efforts the fbi's main goals right now is to prevent citizens from organizing against the government that's their main goal and it's been that way for years but it's really come out lately however you can prevent this or at least make it a little bit less effective here's the thing american citizens are much more hardened normally than these than the tyrants are and if you live a hardened lifestyle if you live a hard lifestyle it's going you're going to be less affected right nancy pelosi can't live without her 65 pint ice cream right she just can't like they can't live without going to the beauty salon they cannot live without going to their clubs or their vacation spots or martha's vineyard okay but can you but you can live without power and water and sewage and other public utilities right if you harden yourself so the people that are harder the people that are harder physically mentally emotionally those people are the ones who have the advantage right especially in the long run and if you harden yourself you're not as vulnerable as they think you are right they have the ability to cut your utility off okay they have the ability to cut your power off they can do like like california did and they directly called the utilities and told the utilities to shut off power and water to individual houses which disobeyed their coveted guidelines okay well here's the thing the reverse is not true you can't call up and say hey shut the power off to the governor's mansion because they passed a tyrannical law okay but here's the thing though if you are prepared to live without water to live without power to live without sewage to live without utilities of any kind they don't have any power over you so what can they do okay well they can take your property from you they can evict you right for not following covet guidelines well okay if you're prepared for that and if you can live in another area if you can have other property elsewhere again they have less power over you and that's really what this is all about is just being able to decrease a person's power over you which in essence increases your own power we also have to be aware of the idea of time all of this takes a lot of time okay this is going to this is not something that is going to happen quickly okay raising a kid is it takes a very long time and it takes a very long time before they ever before they are a contributing member to society or potential contributing member to society but we also have to remember the time is not an excuse for inaction right we have to be aware of those people in groups and organizations that claim uh that just make the claim of just wait the plan is in place just wait and see there's a secret organization out there and people are going to rise up and take care of it just wait right one of the most effective ways to prevent a group of people from rising up is to approach them as a friend and convince them that there is some kind of secret society that is working to further their own goals so just sit back and trust a plan right does that sound familiar to anybody again none of us here have one solid answer to help ease the pain of the world today nor do we have a solid answer as to how to move forward um we really i mean we don't know we're just some people on the internet at best we can point out what obviously will not work based on history or our own personal experiences and and we can offer a handful of things that seem like good ideas and for now that's a good start even though it's an unsatisfying one and perhaps that's a reflection of the times in which we live unsatisfying that's really why we have gone through so much effort to lay at least some groundwork from moving forward in our previous content all of our other stuff that's really one of our main goals to lay the groundwork everyone wants the quick and easy answer especially when they're angry and and people don't like it when ourselves and others point out that it's too late for any simple and easy fix our options have been reduced we've either done this ourselves or let others do it to us to the point to where the only things that can really get us going in the right direction even are the non-sexy and boring options the american spirit is ripe with the attitude of revolution and the removal of tyrants like that much is clear american the american spirit is a revolutionary one but directly this this is not going to work right we've proven that this is not going to work not only are direct actions not something that's going to work on a strategic level but even if it succeeds like what are you what are you going to do with it if you win if you ever throw the government what are you going to do you're just going to replace one tyrannical system with another right now our government is a reflection of society not the other way around we have a problem with cause and effect in today's world but if we raise a new generation of children that will grow up to be good human beings and that are educated moral and active leaders in their communities well that government will reflect that society because that society will not tolerate anything else and they will also be equipped skilled and knowledgeable enough to make sure that that's the case but while we're doing that while we're changing the next generation we've got to make it we we can't help anybody if we ourselves are either in jail for the rest of our lives or if we're dead we just can't help anybody if that's the case and as angry as we are here i don't i think i speak for all of us here when i say that the actions of the past couple weeks especially but really the past i would say several several months have made us more angry than anyone could possibly imagine but again anger doesn't really solve any problems it's a good motivator to getting to a point to where you can solve problems but it doesn't solve problems in and of itself we want to provide options in a world where the options are reduced and where people want to make you think that certain options don't exist right they will it's either get this experimental medical procedure or you can't work okay get this experimental medical procedure or we're gonna take your kids from you okay life in and of itself is never that black and white there's always another option there's usually very a lot of other options so we're trying to highlight those and offer more and more options as we move forward and we encourage others to do to do the same providing options maintaining capabilities when others can't and being an asset to your local community and to your family and to your team rather than a liability is what's going to help us get out of the situation that's how we're going to survive the next 10 to 20 years and regardless of what happens these such these things are not a bad thing to do sure other options might open up we might get a chance at changing our political systems without some kind of you know catastrophically bad event right we might get a chance at that and we can take that we can re-examine that when the time comes and of course local level on local levels things are different on state levels things are different and even within the federal government there are little ways that we can get ahead and beat them at their own game and all that kind of stuff but by and large what we're going to have to do is start from the ground up we're going to have to build a society that can then build a government they can then build a a culture they can then build an economy that's going to work and to do that we've got to make it so let's make it so let's not sweat the small stuff but let's also start small the only way to change the world is to start one step at a time and if that one step at a time involves changing one mind at a time that's perfectly fine because every mind that we can change now every person that we can encourage to be a good human being right now will help us in the future so let's keep moving forward and let's continue to do good things in the best way that we know how even if that means that at least for right now we might have to fight in the shade
Intel Update · 2025-10-12

Intel Update - October 11 - Selective Digital Panopticon

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the Intel update for October 5th through the 11th of 2025. The insanity continues again this week, so let's get right to it. Starting off here in the home front, the general state of unrest in many locations continues as before with regards to counter ice operations, most of which is focused in Portland and Chicago as usual, but we'll get more into that in a bit. Also in the United States, mostly in the western regions of the country, the digital surveillance of Christian churches continues at the behest of one particular foreign nation. And also this week there have been several developments with regards to disarmament campaigns. Most notably yesterday California signed into law AB 1127, which is a de facto ban on all Glocks. So, in typical fashion, there will probably be more outrage after the bill has passed rather than the lead up to it being passed and signed into law, but this bill bans any semi-automatic pistol which can accept a Glock switch or something similar to that effect, right? It's not just Glocks, but it's any other pistol that can take some sort of similar device. We all know how this goes, so I'm not going to harp on it too much, but rest assured I would be willing to bet that many other states are going to probably follow in the footsteps of California by figuring out a way of of banning firearms, not because the firearms themselves are illegal, but because they could be made into something that may be illegal. Of course, the majority of Glock switches are not actually used by proper lawful owners, they're used by gang members, and nobody ever really seems to be interested in policing that kind of activity, but we all know why that is. So, but that's the situation in the homeland for this week. And around the world, things have been a happenin' this week. We of course have the peace agreement in the Middle East between Israel and Hamas, which has gone into effect and seems to be holding as much as to be expected. Either way, the general rough approximate guidelines of the peace deal that have been agreed to by both sides have been undertaken. There has been a very sharp decline in hostilities between the two main belligerents here in this conflict, so that is a positive development. But once again, we will see if this sort of thing holds for any length of time. As one can probably guess by the way that I'm describing this, I do not have any faith at all that this ceasefire will hold for any length of time. The old rule of thumb is that there's no such thing as a peace agreement in the Middle East. It's just how long is the ceasefire going to last before the war kicks up again. I don't know how long it's going to last this time, but my guess is that this will not end, especially because Gaza still remains, right? That's that was a major strategic goal for Israel is to completely take over the entirety of Gaza and basically just make it not exist anymore as a region and just kind of absorb it into Israeli control and push the Palestinians somewhere else, right? That was a major strategic goal for them as a nation, and internal Israeli politics indicate that a lot of politicians in Israel are not happy that Netanyahu agreed to this peace deal. So, he is facing a lot of internal criticism because he is letting Gaza remain, at least for now. We shall see, but enough on that for now. Moving over to the Far East, that particular conflict has reignited in the form of both China and the United States engaging in a little bit of economic warfare on their own. Things have been rather tepid over the past couple of weeks with regards to China and the United States negotiating their trade deals. Things were looking up there for quite a while, and then China decided to, as of November 1st, implement a whole lot of export controls on things that the United States needs quite dearly, such as rare earth minerals like lithium and a few other things as well. So, that of course angered Washington quite a bit as you could probably expect. So, the White House came out with a 100% tariff on China to take effect on the same day. And the the meeting between the United States and China, there was supposed to be an in-face meeting between President Trump and Xi Jinping to take place soon, that meeting may or may not happen. That's really uncertain as to whether or not it's going to go forward. So, things are not really looking super great for the United States and China, but once again, this is economics in 2025, where the rules are made up and the points don't matter. So, in 2 weeks we may find out that things are doing swimmingly well and then all of this kind of goes away. Who knows? The books are being cooked to an absurd degree, so I don't know if anybody can ever really say what a country's national economic situation is at any given time, but suffice it to say that the economy kind of tanked a little bit upon the news that the White House was going to retaliate with the these tariffs once again. There were quite a few mysterious shorts on Bitcoin immediately before the White House announcement on the tariffs. So, there are already a lot of indicators of deception and insider trading and a general state of shenanigans being undertaken with this sort of thing. So, I don't know. We'll see how it works out, but that's the situation as it stands right now. Moving down south to talk about the strategic movement and the general state of the situation with regards to Venezuela, rest assured war with Venezuela is still on the menu, and the US Navy has quietly sent a couple of more destroyers down there to augment the naval forces that are still conducting lots of exercises, training, and a general preparation for war right off the coast of Venezuela. I don't think there was a strike on a narco boat this week, so we've gone a full 7 days without blowing up a cartel vessel, but the general situation still remains as before. The United States has not reduced any presence down off the coast of Venezuela. As a matter of fact, we've increased it quite a bit. So, depending on what the United States is trying to do, depending on the strategic goals, and what the US is looking to gain from any kind of action in Venezuela, we shall see. It may just be trying to strong-arm Maduro into something that the United States wants, which is obviously that's I mean that's obviously the low-hanging fruit of what's going on, but there are ways to strong-arm Maduro that don't involve actually conducting combat operations in his country. The question is whether or not the White House will decide if sending troops into Venezuela is going to be necessary for these strategic goals that we seek in Venezuela, whatever those are. Probably oil, but who knows? Either way, there's a lot of movement going on and certainly a lot to keep an eye on as we move forward. Moving back to the homeland, there have been a few kinetic events that have taken place this week. We'll talk about Portland and Chicago in in just a moment, or rather at the end, because there have been a quite a few questions as to what the overall strategic goal in these places are, and I think I can maybe clarify some things. But when it comes to actual kinetic events this week, there have been two major events. The first of which was the DC church bomber outside St. Matthew's Cathedral in Washington, D.C. That was a very interesting case because even though IED attacks and just generally crazy people with explosives tends to be kind of an American tradition at this point, this case was hosted to quite a bit of information manipulation, and I think that more eyes should be on this case considering the current threats against churches around the United States. I also wanted to mention the industrial explosion that took place in Tennessee yesterday. I didn't have time to slip it into the wire, but this was a very very kinetic explosion that took place in Tennessee at a major facility that produces explosives for the military. So, there have been many many casualties from this incident, and we'll get more into that in just a second. But the church bomber up first, one Lewis Jerry was arrested in Washington, D.C. after he caused a bit of a scene outside St. Matthew's Cathedral in Washington, D.C. last Sunday. It took a couple of days for the details of this case to come to light because it was initially downplayed quite heavily by the authorities and by local journalists who don't really don't really care to highlight any kind of threats against Christian churches. Initially, this was reported as just some crazy guy setting up a camping tent right on the front of the church steps here as you can see. This is why there wasn't that much focus on this kind of thing because it just looked like a crazy homeless guy who was trying to cause a scene. This happens in D.C. like every 15 minutes, okay? So, this is not really out of the realm of of normalcy for the area. Even with the, you know, deployment of troops to D.C., there's still a a lot of dystopian elements to the city, and this is one of those things that tends to kind of happen, right? So, the church noticed, or rather local authorities, I'm not sure if the church noticed first or if local authorities, who were kind of policing the area in advance, saw this guy first. Either way, he had set up his little encampment here on the front steps of the church around 6:00 in the morning before the Red Mass for the year. So again, a special mass dedicated to the Supreme Court justices at this particular church. The Red Mass is held more widely, of course, and is supposed to be a special day to pray for all of those who are involved in the criminal justice field and the the court system and things like that. But this particular church hosts the their Red Mass for the Supreme Court justices, and over the years a couple of justices have shown up to attend this mass, which takes place the the Sunday before the court calendar begins for the year. So, DC police, DC Metro Police, initially stated that all right, they made contact with the crazy guy trying to set up a homeless camp on the steps of the church. Obviously, can't do that sort of thing, so they were trying to, you know, get him up and relocate him to another area, and they found a Molotov on him. That's the initial story they told to the media. However, that's not what happened at all. This guy set up an encampment on the front steps of the church, and when he was first contacted by police who were trying to, you know, walk up to him and ask him what it what what he's doing, he said basically stay away from me, I've got explosives. I'll throw one at you if you come any closer kind of thing. So, this was already like a hostage situation, right right up front, right to start with. Turns out what he wanted police to do was read his nine-page manifesto of what seems to be mostly just insanity, which is what they did, and he they were able to get him to surrender and arrest him and move on from there. But the bomb squad showed up because of the IED threat, obviously, and they found 200 IEDs scattered throughout his possessions and inside his tent and backpacks and stuff like that. So, I have no idea what these IEDs looked like, but looking at this guy and the context of this and the alleged contents of his manifesto, I'm going to venture a wild guess that these 200 IEDs were probably Antifa specials, right? Little tiny um fireworks grade explosives which have shrapnel probably glued or taped to the outside of them. We see these a lot. So, they're still explosives. They're still lethal. They're still like a very dangerous terroristic threat, but it's not like this guy had 200 155 shells with pressure plates in his tent here, right? So, these 200 IEDs are probably very Antifa grade, meaning that they're very very small, but you know, they're still very dangerous. They're still like, you know, it's still a terrorist attack, right? And considering that the White House has really tried to sign a bunch of executive orders talking about domestic terrorism and things like that, here is your case. This is exactly the type of guy that you said from the White House that you were trying to target and there's been no comment on whether or not this guy's going to face federal terrorism charges. So, something to be aware of. We know this is not surprising in the slightest, but I did want to highlight it because there hasn't really been very much detail on the nuances of this case and I did want to highlight that. Now, moving down to Tennessee, the very unfortunate explosion at the Accurate Energetic Systems Explosives Factory in Bucks North. This was a major manufacturer for military grade explosives. You can see here from their website, these are all of the things that they manufactured at this facility, and you can see it's a lot of very very heavy heavy military explosives here. And as you can see by the helicopter footage of the blast, the place is gone. It's it was just a catastrophic detonation that occurred there. Whatever the cause was, we may never know as a matter of fact because there's just there's nothing but a crater left. As far as casualties go, officially 19 people are still missing, but looking at the before and after photos blast, I think we can be fairly confident these are all are all going to be fatalities, unfortunately. Once again, there is no indication of what took place here. There's no indication of well, you know, what what happened to cause this catastrophic explosion. This facility does have a history of safety violations, but that's not entirely abnormal for most industrial facilities these days. I mean, pretty much every explosives manufacturer has a history of safety violations at this point. So, I don't know if that's something that would factor into trying to establish causation. I don't know how normal that sort of thing would be at this type of facility. And I also don't know the nature of the safety violations because, again, they're making explosives for the military. It's not like they're really forthcoming with their information on on what exactly they do there and the exact nature of safety violations. This is definitely one of those national security things, so we're probably not going to get the truth as to what caused this catastrophic blast, but yeah, not not a great thing, for sure. And it does highlight every time one of these things happens, it does highlight the importance of being aware, paying attention, and each one of us doing what we can to make sure that we are as safe as possible, especially those who work in the industrial field. It's a very dangerous world out there just in general, and it would be a very good idea to try to make the world a little bit less dangerous, however you can do that. If that means being a little bit safer, being the OSHA stickler, you know, I know nobody likes to be that guy, right? Nobody likes to be that guy on the work site, but look, man, if your work site has the potential to turn into a crater, please consider being a stickler for safety and doing what you can to make sure that everybody goes home at the end of the day. Now, moving out west, something quite concerning that I wanted to mention again. I wrote a longer wire than normal on this topic, which of course is going to get a lot of pushback due to the nature of the nation involved with this, but I did want to mention once again that there is a targeted geofencing campaign underway at many mega churches in the western United States. So, for those of you who did not read the the wire report on this, there has been a major push by the government of Israel, the Israeli Foreign Ministry, to increase their image and increase their presence in American Christian churches. So, the Israeli government is trying to teach you about Christianity and how Christian churches need to support the government of Israel, specifically with regards to the October 7th attacks. Again, this is literally the most forbidden topic I have found so far to discuss, so, you know, there's really not much I can say, honestly, about it, but I do want to highlight the geofencing concerns because that's kind of a security thing. You guys can look into the media blitz on your own, but the the geofencing thing is something that's interesting because it's the first time that this sort of thing has happened specifically by a foreign nation-state in the context of targeting a place solely for the Christian faith. Just to get the disclaimer out, of course, targeted geofencing for advertising purposes happens literally all the time. As you're watching this on your phone, you are probably being surveilled by at least Google, who is associating your advertising ID with this particular content if you're watching it on, say, YouTube for example. And geofencing for advertising purposes has definitely been undertaken for a while now, right? How many times have you been in a city or been in a place without a VPN turned on and you suddenly start getting ads on Twitter, for instance, about a specific city policy or something like that? Or if you turn on a VPN and say you're, you know, you start getting ads in different languages from the nation where your VPN is located, right? Some of these are based on IP address, right? So, where your internet service provider is telling advertisers where you're located physically, but other times it is geographic, right? How many times have you gone into a store, for instance, and you go to your shopping at a particular store and then you go back out to the parking lot and you're sitting in your car getting ready to go home and you get in a pop-up ad from like Google Maps or something saying, "Hey, we see you visited the store. Would you like to leave a Google review for the store you just visited?" That is a geofenced advertising thing that links your geographic coordinate with your advertising ID. That's the kind of thing that is happening right now. The reason that I wanted to highlight it is because it's now happening to target specifically Christians who go to a Christian church. So, the way that this geofencing ad campaign is being undertaken, and once again, this is using their own documentation from their FARA registration paperwork. So, please, please, please, please, please look at this document. Do not believe me in my explanation of things. Go read the document yourself and you'll see how dystopian this kind of thing is. But the general gist of how this works is you've got your cell phone in your pocket, you show up to worship services on Sunday morning at a specific time before services begin, and you take your cell phone into the church. Well, now your cell phone, because it has location services turned on and because your smartphone has an associated advertising ID, now the Israeli government is able to discern that your advertising ID is now linked with this establishment. And because you're standing in a specific circle, a geographic circle, around that church, because you're standing there at a certain time, they can push ads to your phone specifically that have one purpose, at least according to their documents. The one purpose is to encourage you to think a certain way about the October 7th attacks. Now, how will this work out in in practice, right? It's not like you're going to get an emergency alert push notification from, you know, like the emergency alert system or something like that. What it what it means is you're going to see ads apps. So, if you were so inclined to pull up Twitter, for instance, at a certain time of day while standing in church, you will probably get an ad that is encouraging you to think a certain way about the nation-state of Israel or about the October 7th attacks. That's what this media campaign is for. Depending on the apps that you have on your phone, it could also be a cross-platform sort of thing. So, a lot of people have a weather app on their phone, right? And that weather app is generally going to request location services. And a lot of people also have push notifications turned on for their weather app a lot of times, and depending on the weather app that you use, you may get ads as push notifications. If you've got like a kind of a more sketchy weather app, right? A lot of the free ones are like that. So, this is just speculating, but this is how I can see this working out in practice is you may get a push notification from your weather app that says, "Hey, by the way, look at this documentation about the October 7th attacks while you're standing in church." That's what this whole campaign is about, and that's what their own documentation states. So, that's why I wanted to focus on this because, you know, this is a foreign nation-state targeting Christians for simply being inside a church. And what are they targeting them for? They're targeting them to get them to think a certain way about a nation-state and to get them to think a certain way about a historical event. That's how you know that the narrative is true, by the way, when you have to get advertisements rammed down your throat when you're trying to worship the Lord Jesus Christ. So, yeah, that's probably the most I can say about this sort of thing. I would encourage you to just check out the primary source documents right from the dot gov website yourself and form your own opinions about what's going on here because there's only so much I can say. Now, when it comes to what to do about this and what to do to mitigate the effects of this strategy, the first thing to do is to check out the list of churches that are being targeted by the Israeli government so far. I will put in this video, I will embed in it so that it makes it onto as many platforms as possible, a scroll, a video scroll, of the list itself. It's a few hundred churches, so I will make sure to to put this in in its entirety. I know it's kind of boring to scroll through, but I'll put it in here anyway just so that you guys can have it for the record. But in terms of what you can do to mitigate this sort of thing, it must be noted right up front that this is not new, okay? This is not a new thing. I'm only mentioning it because it is faith-based and it is a foreign government who does it, and because I have the documentation, right? The Israeli government did what they're supposed to do, and they filed a FARA registration, right? This company filed a Foreign Agent Registration Act packet to the US government. So, we have the documentation. If they were a little bit more surreptitious, or if they went through the effort of cloaking this more in a shell corporation sort of thing, then we wouldn't even know. We would not know about this. We would not have their PowerPoint slides. We would not have any of the data that this is occurring. Again, this is 100% a case of survivorship bias. We have the paperwork in front of us, so we have to make decisions off of the paperwork we have. We cannot make decisions based off of the paperwork that we don't have, but, you know, surveillance operations that are still ongoing. So, maybe, just maybe, this will be a way of encouraging Christians to think in terms of not just them to being targeted because they are Americans, but being targeted because they go to church, because they are at worship services by foreign nations. And, of course, the follow-on effects from all of that, you know. The government says this is 100% legal and is not doing anything to stop this, obviously, because of the nation involved, but also because, well, you know, they've pencil-whipped this sort of thing into being legal over the years. So, in terms of mitigation, there's not a whole lot you can do. You can go all Jason Bourne and put your phone in a Faraday bag when you go to church, or before you go to church, turn off location services, put your device in airplane mode. At the very minimum, that may help. It may not help, but it may help. A lot of times, Bluetooth is also being used to link advertising IDs together. So, even if you are you turn your data off, even if you turn off your location services, your advertising ID is being linked with other Bluetooth devices around you. So, your phone is listening for any Bluetooth devices that are around, and it can be used to associate you that way with your advertising ID. Yeah, this is pretty much squarely in the realm of digital panopticon kind of thing, and it's pretty dystopian, but welcome welcome to the reality of the way the world's been for about 20 years now. It's just getting a little bit more interesting because even foreign nation-states are doing this sort of thing. They're doing it openly with very nice PowerPoint slides on this sort of thing. So, you can do it if you want. You can put your phone in a Faraday bag before you go to church, so that maybe your phone isn't going to know that you're sitting in church. You can turn off location services. You can some depending on which apps you're using and which operating systems and stuff like that, you may be able to go in and reset your advertising ID. I think Google has that as an option, but yeah, there's not a whole lot you can do. This may have happened before in the past. We just didn't know that it was being very subtle, you know? But, there's a big difference between minor surveillance that is being conducted in secret, or the general gist, or the general understanding that all Americans live under that, yeah, the NSA is probably surveilling me, right? Every American kind of operates under that assumption nowadays, but it that's a that's a big difference from that general abstract, yeah, the feds are probably surveilling me for some reason. The Palantir databases, right, are sucking up every bit of data about me, right? There's a big difference between that general gist, that abstract view, and a foreign government openly advertising, proudly so, proudly advertising that they are targeting Christians in the biggest ever geofencing campaign where they are siphoning up your data solely for the purposes of propaganda. They're not trying to sell you a T-shirt. They're not trying to get you to buy a cheeseburger, right? They're trying to sell an idea about a historical event to you. So, maybe you see why I'm a little bit concerned about that sort of thing. Again, because it is a targeting of Christians, there will be very little media coverage of it, and people will generally not want to care about this sort of thing because, again, that's just kind of the way things are nowadays. But, I wanted to focus on it because this is very important to me. Even though the churches that they are targeting are are not my churches, right? They're mostly mega-churches out west, but still, something to keep an eye on, something to be aware of, and something to start prodding people to be a little bit more serious with regards to living daily life. And, unfortunately, that now includes church life. So, now moving over to the counter-ICE efforts in both Portland and Chicago. Let's let's let's dig into this a little bit because this has become quite a complicated thing that hopefully we can discuss and and get to some sort of understanding with regards to what's going on with regards to counter-ICE efforts around the country. I wanted to highlight Portland and Chicago because these cities are both the point of consolidation for counter-ICE efforts in in these areas, but they're also very different, right? So, there's a lot of overlap between the two, but there's also a lot of differences between the two. So, let's start with Portland first. Portland is, of course, Portland, right? Portland is internationally infamous for being a very big far-left, communist, socialist, antifa Mecca, right? And, that's why they're resisting counter-immigration efforts there. Most of the counter-ICE efforts in Portland have arisen from a few different demographics. The first group are the immigrants themselves, which are a smaller group compared to the rest of the country, right? There are far fewer Mexicans in Portland than in Los Angeles, for instance. There are still enough illegal immigrants in Portland to cause trouble, but for the most part, most of the unrest in Portland is coming from the usual suspects, antifa, right? Portland is second to Seattle, a major antifa hub for the region. So, that's where a lot of this unrest is coming from, antifa trying to cause problems because they are antifa. The reason that Portland is worthy of note is because there's just a lot of them there. So, see this image that was posted by the Department of Homeland Security and a bunch of other sources, this was going around on a lot of these anarchist platforms and social media, where, by the way, they just maintain free control, right? If you're a leftist or an antifa member in the United States, you can post terrorist threats, you know, openly in on the internet, and nothing will happen to you, right? Yeah, I know, surprising because Trump's in the White House, and we have a hugely conservative government now, right? Allegedly. Yeah, no, antifa still has been given a pass by the DOJ to do whatever they want. Now, you can argue there's intelligence collection being undertaken. I very strongly doubt that because most of the people who work at the FBI, and most of the people who work at the DOJ, are far-left militants themselves, right? These people physically participated in a lot of these marches for these, you know, causes to show solidarity. So, whether or not the White House specifically, and, you know, Trump's core staff are trying to weed this out, I don't know. All I know is what's happening, which is antifa has no natural predators, which is why they're able to get away with stuff like this. Today, probably by the time this brief comes out, antifa is openly advertising and encouraging people to shine lasers at helicopters, specifically US military Black Hawks and federal and border patrol Black Hawks that are flying over the city to conduct raids. Yeah, very bold move. But, for those of you who think that the military's going to crack down on this, I would probably say probably not. The the laser thing was used in Korea for their protests a few years ago to bring down drones and things like that, and it worked quite well because people are correct in that if you are a lone, single individual, and you shine a laser at a military helicopter with very fancy optics and a laser of its own, you're going to have a bad time. But, if you've got 400 people in the street, and they're all doing it, all at the same time, and no one is interested in arresting these people, guess what? They're going to get away with it. Now, for those concerned about how normal this will become by leftist groups and leftist organizations around the country, there are some tools at the federal and military level that can help mitigate the effects of lasers being used on aircraft, but maybe we'll talk about that at a later time. I'm kind of curious as to how this is going to work out, especially in Portland, because this is the first time that they have openly stated they're going to commit a felony, and I'm curious as to how that's going to work out for them. But, anyway, that's Portland. Chicago is a whole other animal. Now, there's a lot of overlap between the two, but why is Chicago upset with the counter-ICE operations? It's not really antifa in Chicago that's causing a problem, though they do have an antifa presence there. Of course, antifa is going to be in every major city, and even some minor cities around the country, but mostly Chicago is upset for one reason alone, gangs. Chicago is upset because a gangs in Chicago run rampant, and they control the streets, and they control a lot of these places where immigrants are congregating. So, drug dealers are going to get it really upset if you remove their clientele from their ecosystems, and you remove their drug trafficking networks from their systems. So, that's why Chicago is upset, and that's why people are trying to take the fight to ICE officials there. Of course, it's also a political thing. A lot of the attacks on the ICE facility in Broadview have taken place due to the elderly, far-left, but also elderly individuals who don't really have anything better to do but protest and cause problems. That's kind of a nationwide problem, but it's also low-level stuff. The more serious stuff, like vehicle ramming attacks, shootings, snipings, things like that, those tend to be because of straight-up cartels being involved, and they don't like ICE taking taking the fight to their criminal enterprises, or far-left activism, right? So, a lot of these vehicle ramming attacks and a lot of these straight-up attacks on ICE are just due to politics, right? That's really the only way that you can encourage crime to not be policed is due to some kind of political thing, or because you're a criminal yourself. And, that tends to be how things have worked out in Chicago so far. So, Portland and Chicago are two very different cities, and they're taking the fight to ICE. They're conducting these counter-ICE operations. They're learning. They're growing. They're organizing. They're They're getting better funding, but they're two very different cities with a little bit of overlap between the two of them. So, that's why I wanted to talk about this in a little bit more depth because there's a lot of discernment that's needed. Yes, it is a very, very, very hard mission that has no real winning solution that's easy to get to. On the one hand, you've got federal agencies like ICE, which are trying, I think I think they're genuinely trying to do what they can, at least some district supervisors are definitely trying to do the best they can to prevent terrorists from harming American citizens, whereas in some other areas, we're totally fine with a foreign government, you know, surveilling Christians going to church and trying to target them with propaganda because we've pencil whipped that into being legal and we're just perfectly okay with that, right? So, there are some things that are doing good and some things that are not going so well with regards to counterinsurgency in the homeland, but we're here now, right? And we have to do the best that we can. And if we have to talk these things out without exactly knowing the exact perfect answer for things, well, that's what we kind of have to do. So, we'll continue to do that and keep an eye on the situation as we go forward. Now, moving over to the United Kingdom, jolly old England is not doing so jolly these days. There has been a lot of pushback with regards to the straight-up authoritarianism that's kind of underway in the United Kingdom, which is kind of ironic because a lot of the talk of authoritarianism is coming from within Keir Starmer's own party, right? And one of the things that's kind of come to light this past week has been the "no Coke for you" law, which is a new law that was instituted to ban restaurants and establishments who have, you know, soft drinks on tap. They are no longer allowed by law to offer you a refill for certain beverages, right? For your health, right? That's the kind of way that they're framing it. What is it really? What's really going on here? It's the same exact thing that happened in the United States with the paper straws. It has no real impact on anybody because obviously people are just going to go buy another drink, right? So, there if they want a refill, they're just going to buy another one for however much it costs. It doesn't prevent you from buying another, it just prevents a free refill. So, what is this? Well, this is a great example in power dynamics for for governments. And what this is is something trivial that the government can dominate a citizenry with that that impacts the citizenry on a personal level, but it's trivial. It has to be trivial. That's the That's the important part because what they want to say with this is we can we can impact you on such a trivial meaningless way, but we're still going to dominate you, right? The fact that it's a trivial is and has no real bearing on anything is the important part. They want to make sure that you know who's in charge. That's why the paper straws thing, which are wrapped in plastic, right? It's so trivial. It's so meaningless. It's so useless, right? But, it impacts you on a personal level and it's a way for the government to impact your daily life. It's definitely a psyop. It's definitely a The more, I guess, doctrinal term is information operation. Yet, really it's just a a domination thing. So, that's what that's all about, but the the British people have gotten a little bit upset about it. We've seen these psyops in America many times over the years and yeah, that's kind of what what that's about. So, the other thing that I thought was rather interesting is the developments with the digital ID concerns, which have deteriorated since the digital ID scheme has come to light. So, as you might expect, resistance to the digital ID scheme has been rather high throughout the United Kingdom. Basically, nobody, left or right, wants the digital ID scheme to come into fruition because of, well, many reasons. It's not just privacy, it's more of a data security thing. If you put all of your eggs in one basket, when a ransomware thief steals that basket, you've got yourself a bit of a problem. But again, it's often the little and seemingly meaningless details that kind of catch my eye on stuff like this. And this was the case with this article from The Guardian. At face value, all right, fine. You read the headline, it says, "Explainer: Why does the UK need digital IDs and what data will they include? Starmer's proposal has been criticized by rivals and civil liberties groups and campaigners worry about people without smartphones." Okay, so fairly standard mainstream media article from The Guardian, right? But here's the thing that caught my eye. This is how they chose to write this article. So, if you scroll down a little bit on the page, the whole article is is formatted like this section here on the right. And the first section is, "Why do the people of the UK need a digital ID?" And the second question is, "Why is Tony Blair involved?" Now, isn't that an interesting way of writing an article? Isn't that very fascinating? Sometimes the things that they say and the things that they choose to say and the things they choose to not say. This article to me was utterly fascinating because it is a perfect example of how articles are written sometimes, betraying what the article's really about. It's almost like reading a Soviet newspaper from like, you know, the height of the Khrushchev era, where they can't really talk about something directly, but they can definitely talk about it indirectly. So, this article's headline is trying to explain why does the UK need digital IDs and what what's the digital ID thing about. And the first two things they choose to talk about are, "Why do we even need this and why is Tony Blair involved?" The fact that they wrote these in this order and wrote about them at all, you know, why is Tony Blair involved? That shows you who's controlling the marionette strings with this, right? And I find that to be utterly fascinating to the point of hilarity that this is how they wrote this article. It's not like they started with, you know, "Well, you know, there's immigration, right?" Or cuz that's what the British government's perspective is, "Oh, we're doing this because of immigration." No, that's not what The Guardian says. The Guardian is trying to ask a rhetorical question or try to ask a question that the citizens are asking, which is, "Why do we need this and why is Tony Blair involved?" That is hilarious. And it kind of shows you what everybody's thinking about this sort of thing. Even though The Guardian's articles are, you know, it's The Guardian, right? So, anyway, I thought that was interesting that this is going over so poorly that they had to literally ask these questions and try to answer them in the most politically correct way right up front. And that's what the article's about. And I think this is interesting. For those of you who have mentally checked out because this is about the UK and you don't really care, I will I will see your Guardian article and raise you a Fox News article. This was published a couple of days ago on October 9th and the title of this Fox News, again, Fox News article is, "UK faces backlash over mandatory digital ID. Could US be next?" Seems like a fairly standard headline for Fox News, something you should probably would just scroll past, you know, unless you're watching it on TV, I guess. But the subheading betrays what Fox News is trying to push. The subheading reads, "Digital ID expert says controversy stems from fear, poor conception and lack of education." That's why I chose the Fox News article on this because Fox News, which has historically been the conservative alt-right boogeyman news group newsflash, it's not. Even Fox News is trying to push people to accept a digital ID here in the United States. Now, I could pull any other article from CNN, MSNBC, ABC, NBC, all of these other, you know, the the the traditionally more leftist groups. Even the AP would probably have something positive to say about digital ID. But I chose this one specifically to show you that this is truly a bicameral effort. This is a bipartisan effort to try to shape perception here in the United States. So, when Fox News, of all places, is trying to get people to accept a digital ID and, "Oh, no, no, no, these fears are unjust. You just need to be educated. You need to be educated about what's going on with this digital ID thing." Yeah, that's something to be aware of. You can kind of see where where the the tides are are shifting on that sort of thing. But we all know how this goes, right? That's why I put these these images on the slide with this article because we know how this goes. We we've heard this before. The United States, guess what? We have had a national ID effort, the REAL ID effort, right? Remember that push from a few years back? In Congress, we had liberal politicians and conservative politicians unite together, uniparty style, to pass the REAL ID Act so that we had all 50 states, you know, all the states which wanted to participate in this program to have REAL IDs, right? To have identification documents, driver's licenses, which would be of one sort of same standard for things like TSA and interstate travel. There was this massive push from a bunch of conservative politicians, a bunch of liberal politicians. They both were talking about how great this was going to be for security and immigration and, you know, counterterrorism and things like that. And what happened? This week we found out that a lot of states were just issuing driver's licenses, CDLs, with no name given on them. These people can get on a plane with no name given driver's licenses because they're REAL ID compliant driver's licenses, right? So, yeah, we all know how this goes. We all know what's going on, but I thought it was very interesting in typical fashion cuz I tend to focus on things that probably don't really matter in the long run, but I found it was interesting, so I wanted to talk about it. But anyway, I find it very interesting that we're going to lock you down, we're going to make sure that you have this digital ID, but I wonder how many people in the UK and eventually in the US when this comes to the US, I wonder how many people are going to have a digital ID on their phone that says "no name given." Probably quite a few because they don't want these people's actual names, they don't want them in biometrics so that when they commit crimes, they have no record, right? Because I mean, you don't even know their name or anything about them, right? So, anyway, I thought that was kind of interesting how the digital panopticon is certainly here. However, that panopticon has blind spots in a few areas. So, some people get surveilled more than others, particularly if you go to church on Sunday. But if you're at an Antifa riot and you're shining lasers at helicopters, there's probably not going to be much that happens to you. So, anyway, selective digital panopticon sort of situation, which contributes to the very interesting times that we live in and the challenges we have to work through. So, so that's pretty much all I have for today and let's roll up with the intercepted Ghost Net reports where we can try to get a little get ahead of the information crackdown and try to increase our resiliency in a more off-grid, more radio-based way. This is the Ghost Net communications plan. It's a ham radio plan mostly, shortwave radio or HF high-frequency radio is a very interesting tool that we can use to communicate with people over long distances without having any sort of infrastructure in between. We created this Ghost Net plan so that we could all kind of get on the same page and have a more resilient way of exchanging information, not just for an emergency use or more of a hobby sort of thing, but more of a practical thing. I have been working on improving the Ghost Net over time to try to integrate some other systems and things like that. So, there is a MeshTastic channel for the Ghost Net. There There are also VHF and UHF options for those of you who just have the ubiquitous Baofeng, right? The infamous little radio that could, right? So, if all you have is a a cheap radio, don't feel left out. You can definitely engage with it. It's probably not going to be very effective for line of sight stuff. This is more of an HF thing so that we can connect people from all over the world together kind of at the same time. And that's kind of hard to do with line of sight, especially if you don't have repeater networks. This is heavily more of an autonomous kind of thing, decentralized sort of information exchange system. And as we can see, there's a lot of information being exchanged every week and even throughout the week. It's not the greatest thing since sliced bread, but it is one way that we can stay connected, especially if if everything goes out, if the internet goes out, if power goes out, if everybody's disconnected from one another, this is how we can exchange information over long distances fairly effectively. So, thank you to all of you who make the Ghost Net great. Thank you to all of you who participate in that and thank you to all you guys out there who are just listen only. Even if you're just listening and you and you don't have a license and so you can't transmit, it's good that you're participating in it anyway and trying to do the best you can to stay informed. So, that's all I have for today. Here are the sources for this week's reports. You can also grab the links and primary source material if I can if I can snag it on each Obsidian page for each wire report throughout the day. So, so even though I'm taking the wire reports from Obsidian and pasting them into social media, right? You don't see the source material on social media, you can click that link and then go to my Obsidian page where I have all of the other links. I have to do it this way because a lot of social media pages simply just deprioritize if they see that I have a lot of links in a in a post, they will just block that post and only I can see it, right? This is the way the world works, unfortunately. That's why my wire reports don't get pushed by Twitter's algorithm too much because even one link is enough to deprioritize this. But my priority is the information, not necessarily reach a lot of times on Twitter at least. And I want to make sure you guys can get access to the the primary source material if you want to investigate further, which you definitely should if you want to look at the primary sources that I use to make each wire report. I do the best I can to try to put those there. So, there's always more research to be had. There's always more ways to verify that information is true in today's age of significant information manipulation efforts, it's always good to try to get to the bottom of the truth as best you can, right? So, thank you to all of you who have stuck around. Thank you to all of you on Patreon who support me there and keep this work going. I really do appreciate it. Couldn't do it without you guys. So, thank you for that and I will see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update · 2026-04-05

Intel Update - April 4 - A Running Start?

Hello again, everyone, and welcome back to the Underground. This is the Intel update for March 29th through April 4th, 2026. Happy Easter one and all for those who celebrated this week, and I hope everyone is able to find a little bit of peace this weekend, because around the world the flavor continues to be war and the follow-on effects of it. It's already become a very crazy year, so let's get right to it. The global impact of the two wars in the Middle East continues to be felt as the second and third-order effects are starting to become more serious. On the diplomatic front this week, things are getting pretty complicated as most of our European allies have either refused to take part in the American foray in Iran, or they have otherwise denied the use of their airspace or staging bases for continuing the war. This has complicated the situation quite a bit and made things a little bit more challenging on the American front as the United States has had to figure out logistical means of continuing the fight. On the economic front, supply chain disruptions are underway as raw materials are either unable to transit the Strait of Hormuz or the production facilities themselves throughout the Middle East have sustained damage during the war. So, continuing the theme from last week, the Strait of Hormuz being restricted is really only just half of the problem. The other half of the problem is that fertilizer, aluminum, and helium production facilities have been hit with ballistic missiles and are therefore severely damaged. This has resulted in about 46% of the world's supply of fertilizer being cut off right during the peak planting season for most crops around the world. Agricultural news is not exactly the most exciting thing these days, however, this is going to be a major, major problem in the next few months, especially through out Southeast Asia and the rest of the Third World if shipments of fertilizer are not resumed. A bit closer to home this week, terrorism concerns remain paramount here in the United States. Obviously, for the past month or so, we've all been kind of more focused on things popping off in the Middle East, or at least I've been more focused on that due to the seriousness of that situation, but here at home concerns are probably even more important for us in the homeland, things that are going to affect us more on a day-to-day basis. This week within the United States, most of the news has been centered around general crime as the warmer weather is usually correlated with an increase in crime season. Mass shootings, which are mostly of the gang shooting variety, crime sprees, and the general states of standard unrest are pretty common nationwide, which has become fairly standard this time of year. One detail that would be wise to monitor over the next few weeks is the sharp decline in immigration enforcement operations, as well as fraud investigations. Again, just a couple of months ago, we were really on the edge of our seats wondering if Minneapolis was going to be a major problem for the nation, and all of that civil unrest stopped when the federal government stopped the aggressive counter-illegal immigration efforts. I hate to say it, ladies and gentlemen, but the mass deportations are over. Minneapolis was the peak, and we can argue about how effective all of this was, for sure, but we're basically done with the high-profile ICE surges. President Trump himself has made it exceptionally clear that his priority is to reduce focus on illegal immigrant workers, and also reduce ICE operations to return to more of the low-level, low-intensity raids and efforts like this. And now that the war in the Middle East is on, the focus on fraud has been reduced as well. The Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, is basically non-existent at this point, and the focus on scandals such as the Somali fraud situation, is basically just a local law enforcement issue right now. Vice President Vance has been placed in charge of the anti-fraud initiatives, but he has been very quiet on social media over the past few weeks since the war began, which is understandable, I guess, but it's hard to determine how serious of an initiative this is. So, even though the kinetic activity in the US has been comparatively light as we are focused on other stuff, we will certainly have to be on our toes over the next few weeks, as always, because we can't really know how world events are going to impact the homeland. Moving to the Middle East for this week, we can see that the conflict continues to expand, and at this point, more or less the entire globe is involved to to degree. Maybe not directly, but indirectly for sure. Within the Middle East itself, no one is safe as missiles and drones are continuing to target most of the region. Iranian attacks have not decreased at all. They have actually increased substantially this week, at least according to the various ministries of defense for the Gulf states. Just taking the UAE as an example, this week they reported intercepting 108 missiles and 269 drones, which is a sharp increase from last week, which reported only 57 missiles and 124 drones. So, roughly double the number of drones and missiles uh being used for attacks in the Middle East in just one country. So, remember, this is just the interceptions that are being reported. The UAE does not report the missiles and drones that make it through their air defenses to actually impact their targets. So, we're definitely dealing with incomplete information, but even just taking what they have intercepted as a benchmark, Iranian missile and drone attacks on the UAE have doubled from last week. Concerning the American military presence in the region, Iranian targeting efforts have also increased substantially. Many of the missiles and drones that have been reported by the UAE, for example, came from the Iranians targeting Al Dhafra Air Base, which has been getting pounded every single day. Similarly, Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia has been yet another Air Base heavily targeted by Iranian attacks, most notably this week by taking out the E-3 Sentry parked on a taxiway at this installation. Following that attack, American forces are still using this Air Base and are still using the same parking areas, even knowing that the Iranians can hit this location rather easily. In Bahrain, what is now the former headquarters for the US Navy's Fifth Fleet in Manama has been more or less completely destroyed. In the early days of the war, right after the missiles started flying, it became very clear that this naval base was a main target for the Iranians. So, the US military dispersed their personnel to civilian hotels around the city, which did work to reduce casualties, but once those hotels started getting hit a few weeks ago, the Navy started pulling everybody out of the city. So, over the past week or so, the decision was made to relocate the last remaining service members and their families who were told to grab only what they could carry in a go bag and get on a plane, which indicates the urgency at which this movement was carried out. As of this morning, the withdrawal has completed and the command of Fifth Fleet's headquarters has been relocated from Bahrain to Norfolk, Virginia. Other bases around the region have been getting hit hard as well in a similar manner as on the first day of the war when the Iranians were just hitting everything in range. Due to American HIMARS missile strikes being launched from Kuwait, bases throughout the country have been hit very hard. Camp Arifjan, Camp Buehring, and Ali Al Salem Air Base have been struck daily this week, which is significant because all three of these bases are not really that fortified. I didn't want to point this out earlier for obvious reasons, but it's kind of a moot point now as the Iranians have figured this out. These bases are traditionally not considered to be front-line bases, so there aren't really many defenses at these locations and terrain-wise, it's just open desert. There really normally aren't any efforts to dig in here. These are, or at least were, staging bases for movement around the region. For example, Ali Al Salem Air Base has an ice cream shop and Arifjan has a Pizza Hut and a Burger King last I remember. I think a KFC as well. Concerning fortifications, after the invasion of Iraq, not much was done to harden any of the bases in Kuwait and nearly all of them just rely on the simple T-walls for fortifications. No HESCO barriers, nothing underground, basically it's just what you see is what you get. Again, I wasn't going to mention this initially, but the Iranians have figured it out and various former CENTCOM officials themselves have gone on TV and spilled the beans on how little these bases are actually protected, so I guess it's kind of a wash at this point. The Iranians already know. But anyway, these bases are not really combat bases and what's even worse, the Iranians have somehow figured out that the United States did not fortify these bases at all before the war either because the United States did not think that the Iranians would strike our bases in the region. This is directly what President Trump himself said. He directly stated that he didn't think that they would hit our bases. And if that was not clear and confirmed enough for you, the Pentagon has posted emergency solicitations for pre-fab concrete bunkers for immediate delivery within just a few days. So now we're backtracking and actually trying to get our guys some protection over there because they're not getting it where they're at. So concerning the situation in the Middle East, it's not good in terms of our bases there. We have bases that are normally filled with fobbits such as myself, which normally would be basically a garrison environment. Now these bases are being hit daily. Bases which used to be in the rear are now front-line fighting positions. It must be quite a unique phenomenon and I I don't think anybody who's ever been stationed in Kuwait during the GWOT era has ever thought about digging a fighting hole to sleep in at night because there are literally massage parlors and green bean coffee shops on these bases. But now they're going to hit with missiles and now they're having to sandbag their positions, right? They're on the front line and there's really not much that can be done to fortify these positions quickly enough to defend against a ballistic missile strike. As much as OPSEC is definitely a concern, there's always going to be some private schmuckatelli who gets on TikTok and posts a video of the missile hitting his base. So yeah, it's not good. They've been pretty good about OPSEC so far, but we can definitely see that there's not a whole lot you can do if you get hit or you know, your if your ticket's about to be punched by an Iranian missile, there's not a whole lot you can do about it. Bunker or not, concrete or not. But either way, it's become quite clear that our bases are not super great right now and there's not a whole lot we can do about it. But these are just our static positions. Again, we also have other positions as well around the region and of course we have the air war which continues on as before. This week the war has gotten quite tense as we've had several American aircraft shot down either over the over Iran itself or over the Strait of Hormuz or somewhere throughout the region, right? I don't want to comment on that too much at the moment because rescue operations are ongoing and we don't want to impact that negatively in any form or fashion. So, we're just going to have to wait and let them do their job and get those guys out of harm's way as best they can. But, just suffice it to say for now that the situation is is rather rather tense. So, all of that being considered and recognizing that this week has pointed out that this is in fact a pretty hard fight here. This is a hot shooting war. This is not an insurgency. This is not a counterinsurgency. This is a shooting war here. All of that in consideration, what comes next? What grand strategy are we working with here? And considering the events of this week, how is this war likely to develop over the next week both in terms of the war on the ground and the impacts to the homeland even? Well, to get to these impacts, we have to backtrack a little bit and understand a little bit of warfare doctrine that I failed to cover last week. If we want to understand how this is going to impact our ability to live our lives in the homeland, we have to keep our eye on what the general plan is. Our lives within the homeland are going to be changed based on the plan ahead. We are in this 9/11 era of generational change. You're living in it right now. And so far, no strategic plan has been conveyed at all. And here's exactly what I mean by that. Cracking open a bit of warfare doctrine, we can see that there are three levels of warfare. Many of you have probably seen this before, but for those of you who are not aware, we have strategic, operational, and tactical levels of pretty much everything from planning to communications and even goals and objectives that we might want to meet. Some people might consider a fourth level grand strategy at the a way at the top which provides the overall strategic vision for the war. But, generally speaking, if you crack open any warfare publication, you're going to see probably this chart: strategic, operational, and tactical. Now, I know that this might also be a little bit hard to understand without an example. So, let's use the Vietnam War as a sample for what we're talking about here. Starting at the very top, we have grand strategy. As our friend Carl von Clausewitz once said, "War is a continuation of politics by other means." Well, at this level, at the grand strategy level, we're starting to blend this political strategy and this military strategy together. This is at the stage where a politician says, "This is the grand strategy that I want to implement and we're looking for a military solution for this problem." So, using the Vietnam example, we might say that the grand strategy of the Vietnam War or sending troops into Vietnam is that we will reduce the USSR's power and influence around the world. Again, this is a grand strategy idea. So, we're going to reduce the Soviet Union's power around the world. Again, we're being very, very wave top at this level. Getting into the pyramid itself with a strategic example, to achieve this grand strategy, the military strategy here is that we will reduce the overall communist influence within Southeast Asia. For those of you who are Vietnam history buffs, you might recognize this as containment theory. But again, we're at the very wave top strategic level where we're starting to get a little bit more specific with what our goals are. Moving down the chart, we get into operational. This is where we get that word operations from, right? So, now we're talking what military operations are we going to conduct in order to meet this objective. And in this case, we might say something along the lines of we're going to destroy the enemy's ability to move freely within North Vietnam. Again, this is a military objective, cause and effect. We have a mission and we have a desired end state for that mission. And finally, at the very bottom, where most of us tend to think most of the time because we tend to not be a military strategist in our everyday life, something that we might say on the tactical level of warfare is, "Hey, we're going to go drop bombs on that enemy encampment over there or we're going to carry out this bombing campaign on the Ho Chi Minh Trail to ensure that the North Vietnamese cannot carry out resupply operations during the monsoon season." That's what we might say on the tactical level. And once again, with all of this in mind, let's take a look at what the United States has said our strategic goals actually are. The first goal is to obliterate Iran's missiles and production capacity. The second goal is to annihilate its navy. Number three is to sever its support for terrorist proxies. And number four is to ensure that it never acquires a nuclear weapon. This is what the United States has said our strategic goals are in this fight, and if we look at this in terms of what everyone would consider to be warfare doctrine, the levels of warfare, strategic, operational, and tactical, we can see that not a lot of these are actually strategic goals at all. These are more tactical level things. And maybe we can see why nearly every single military strategist offering commentary on the war has stated that the United States has not actually stated what the grand strategy or the overall strategy actually is. We have only been given tactical level goals by the Pentagon and the White House. We're going to blow up your bridges, we're going to blow up your civilian power plants, we're going to blow up your missile sites and things like that. That's all tactical level stuff. So, that's what the United States is trying to do. These are the four bullet points that they keep putting out there in terms of saying what their grand strategy is. Now, let's take a look at the other side for a moment. Let's see what Iran's strategic goals are. What are the Iranians trying to do? Well, mostly overall, their grand strategy is simply to survive. Again, they are the defender. The defender always has the advantage over the attacker. And in this case, their goal is simply to survive. More specifically, their goal is to keep the regime in power, right? That's how they're going to survive this war. And to do that, to keep that regime in power, and to supplement their national defense, they're going to have to maintain missile and drone production. Yeah, even though we're bombing them, they're going to have to keep up their supply of drones at some point. In addition to these like hard requirements for them to sustain their their operations for any length of time, they're also going to have to keep control of the Strait of Hormuz to some degree, or at least maintain a lot of influence over it. They may eventually capitulate, or they may eventually strike a deal with the United States and open up the Strait of Hormuz to the United States and Israel once again, but what they really need to do is keep the fear in the global markets that they can blow up any ship that goes through the strait if they so choose, right? So, in terms of controlling the Strait of Hormuz, they don't necessarily have to physically go out there and, you know, halt who goes there, anybody who tries to go through it. They just have to make everybody scared that they might start shooting ships again. That would be enough to control the Strait of Hormuz for them, at least. And finally, they also have to maintain freedom of maneuver within their own territory. That's just kind of a boilerplate expectation of any nation-state that hopes to survive a conflict. They have to maintain movement within their own country. So, finally, we come to the ultimate question. Are we winning? Well, again, we cannot really say with any certainty because the United States has not actually conveyed any strategic goals. Everything on the list is on a tactical level, except for maybe objective three, the severing support for international terrorist proxies. That could be more of an operational thing. You could probably argue that, but everything else is just a target list of things to bomb, and that's not a strategic plan. A list of targets to bomb in H- in HPTL, a high-priority target list, or a high-payoff target list, that is not a strategic plan. That is a means to achieve that strategic plan. You can only assess whether or not a nation is winning a war based on whether or not they are meeting their strategic objectives, and we have no strategic objectives to assess. So, it's kind of a moot point. But, nevertheless, we have to analyze what we've been given. So, let's rephrase the question to align with more doctrine that's harder to refute. Is the United States meeting her declared military objectives? Well, let's bring up the chart and find out. So, first up, the United States has not obliterated the Iranians' missile and drone supply. I really do, in fact, hate to be that guy, but if we're going to be trying to be as correct as possible here, we have to use doctrinal terms, and obliterate is not one of those. Normally, what we have to use is one of what we call the five D's: deny, disrupt, degrade, destroy, and/or deceive. So, if we were to rephrase the White House's question, I don't know exactly what they mean. Do they mean to destroy the Iranians' ballistic missile supply? If that's their goal, then the answer is no, you're not going to do that. You're not going to destroy all of the Iranians ballistic missile and drone uh stockpile. It's just not going to happen. But, if the White House means to obliterate as in disrupt, yeah, they could disrupt. They We've already done that for sure. If we blow up a single drone, that's a drone they can't launch, right? And we've done a lot of that. We've blown up a lot of bases that they use to uh make these drones as well. So, disrupt, degrade, sure. Deny them the ability to launch missiles? Yeah, maybe we can even impact that. But, destroy? I don't know. Uh and I guess it really gets into semantics land of what do they mean by that word obliterate? But, anyway, since we have to live in a world where we have to go off of something, we have to make decisions and make assessments, and we have to form opinions based off of incomplete information, we have to just admit that the United States is not reducing the number of missile and drone attacks that are striking our bases in the Middle East. We're not doing that. So, if that is the standard by which this first bullet point is being met or is intended to be met, the answer is no. We are not meeting this objective. So, what about the next one? Uh annihilate the Iranian Navy. Again, we're not using doctrinal terms here. This is more emotional language. Annihilate, what does annihilate mean? I don't know. And also, we have to be specific. The Iranian Navy, which Navy? Because there are two of them. There is the IRIN, the Islamic Republic of Iran Navy, which is more of their conventional surface fleet of frigates and corvettes, things like that. And then, they also have their IRGCN, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, which is their fast boat Navy, their uh what we might call a brown water Navy, but they are the actually the more formidable force when it comes to the Iranians. Again, the Iranians have a very different uh military structure than most Western nations would have. And when we say annihilate the Iranian Navy, we have to be really specific because, and again, this is debatable. I'm sorry for all the squids out there who might get a little upset about this, but destroying the IRIN, all of the corvettes and the frigates and sinking them with your submarines and things like that. That's not the impressive part. Sure, this is combat effective. It is. However, the surface fleet of the Iranians was never really the biggest threat. Sinking a lot of older frigates is not as as significant in terms of maintaining control of the Strait of Hormuz as sinking a lot of their smaller fast boats that they have in caves and things like that. So, has the United States Navy destroyed the IRIN? The answer to that is probably yes. However, were those naval forces intended to be used in warfare? No, because most of them were sunk pierside. So, even the Iranians were not planning to use them against the United States and the Iranians knew we were coming. So, if you're asking yourself, "Well, why did the the Iranian Navy not put to sea when they knew we were going to attack?" Well, mostly because they wanted to front-load the their effort into the IRGC-N, which is the bigger navy. And as far as I know, the White House and the Pentagon have completely ignored the fact that the IRGC-N exists and is not really being targeted. So, for any journalists out there who wants a free news story, just look up the difference between the IRIN and the IRGC-N and then ask the Pentagon, "Hey, you know, we know that you guys have been advertising really heavily that you're you've sunk a bunch of Iranian ships, but what about the IRGC-N? What about those fast boats? Have you been able to effectively get good effects on target with those guys?" Because so far they're acting like the Iranian Navy is one succinct thing when in essence they're not. They're two completely different navies, two completely different command structures, and two completely different rules of engagement and authority and all that stuff. So, when we talk about annihilating the Iranian Navy, we have to be very specific again, and this is why I have to give this one a partial. This is a partial success because yes, we have destroyed a good chunk of the IRIN. So, yeah, the Iranian surface fleet, the traditional navy that they have, yeah, those guys are combat ineffective. So, that is a success. However, what is the bigger threat right now to shipping? The IRGC-N. That has always been the biggest threat and the United States sinking the lesser threat does not really help us get an idea of what the bigger threat actually is. So, I have to give this one a partial. Next one up, next goal is severing support for terrorist proxies. Well, this one has not happened at all as the Iranian proxies in Iraq and in Lebanon are mobilizing and they're conducting targeting of their own right now. So, this goal is a this this goal right now is a hard no. We're nowhere near reaching this goal at the moment. And finally, we arrive at our main goal or at least the goal that has really just been most of the focus for most of the talking points and speeches on the war, which is the goal of not allowing the Iranians to achieve a nuclear weapon. Now, this one's a hot button topic, I know. This one many of you are going to debate, I know and this is going to be a pretty nasty knife fight in the comment section, I know. But, let's come at it from as objective of a of a position as we possibly can. So, if you were in the camp of the Iranians did not have a nuclear weapon and they were not really trying that hard to get one, then you will say that technically, yes, this goal is successful. We have achieved the goal of no Iranian nukes because the Iranians were never trying to get one in the first place. So, mission accomplished. However, if you disagree with that and you think that the Iranians were trying to get a nuclear weapon, first of all, it's going to be rather hard to square the circle of Operation Midnight Hammer because I myself got berated by a lot of you out there for daring to suggest that Operation Midnight Hammer might not have been a success despite the White House leading, literally, they literally led with the high with the headline of Iran's nuclear facilities have been obliterated and suggestions otherwise are fake news. People like me read that and said, "Okay, all right, fair enough, but, you know, um whatever, I guess." But, you're going to have to pick which one is true because you can't have Operation Midnight Hammer being true and this war being true at the same time. It's it's hard to square that circle, I'll say. You can probably, you know, lawyer your way around it, but for the most part, you've got to figure out which one you're going to try to support here. If you want to know what I personally think, I think that the Iranians were trying to straddle the fence. I think that they were trying to enrich to a certain point, to a certain percentage, whatever that percentage is, you can debate, but then they were going to stop short of actually building a gun-type nuclear device. This was so that they could be dangerous enough to be a strategic deterrent to avoid Gaddafi's mistake, right? But not so dangerous that they're going to warrant a full-blown international, you know, ISAF corporation, you know, co-cooperative effort like we gave Saddam. So, they were trying to prevent Saddam's mistake, too, right? This is not a particularly groundbreaking theory, right? This is This is actually been the boilerplate textbook explanation for the Iranian nuclear program for pretty much everybody, every agency, for the vast majority of time, right up until midnight hammer last year. But, again, this is all very debatable. Form your own opinion, I don't care. But, what I think that pretty much all of us would agree with right now, after the war has begun, is that the Iranians are certainly going to get a nuclear weapon now, or at least they're going to try. They would be complete idiots to not get a nuclear weapon at this point. And honestly, they don't actually have to make one themselves. There have been rumors flying around for many, many years that Pakistan would be willing to give them enough enriched uranium to make a gun-type device. Maybe not an implosion device, okay? But probably a gun-type device, or maybe even a fully built weapon to test or something with Pakistani advisers on scene, who knows? So, getting back to our handy chart here, you know, are we meeting the goal of ensuring that Iran would never get a nuclear weapon? Again, it is subjective, but I would argue not only no, are we not doing that, but we are guaranteeing that they are going to build one now. So, that's it for the American objectives and the American goals in this war so far. This is what we are saying our goals are, We're not meeting those objectives, anywhere near those objectives just yet. So, on the other hand, let's bring up the Iranian chart. Let's crush through this one right quick. The Iranians' goal of surviving, yeah, they've survived. Keeping the regime in power, yep, they've maintained that goal, yeah. Killing their leadership, the killing the Ayatollah, we have not removed the position of Ayatollah, we have just made a new one. So, the regime and the system of governance, the their political system is still in place, so they have achieved that goal. Their goal of maintaining missile and drone production, maybe. I'm going to say maybe on that one because we have destroyed a lot of their factories and drone production facilities. However, I'm not sure if anybody else caught this, but the other day Marco Rubio alluded to the Iranians being able to still build and produce new drones. So, maybe I'm reading too much into that, I don't know, but I think the Iranians are still able to build these things to some degree. It's not like they're dealing with a static supply, right? are not working through just a stockpile of drones in crates that they have way back in the back of a dark cave. No, they're able to produce drones to some degree still. But, I don't have any data on how much of or what type they're able to produce. I don't think I mean, it can't be that much. Surely, if they had the ability to build 100% of their drone supply underground, why would they have above ground factories at all, right? So, surely we're doing something by blowing up most of their country, but I don't know what it is and it's going to be debatable. It's not going to be at the open source anyway, so I'm going to give this one a maybe for now. And finally, the last two, control the Strait of Hormuz, yeah, the Iranians absolutely indisputably control the Strait of Hormuz. The US Navy is not able to get within 100 miles of the Strait. And of course, maintain freedom of maneuver within their own terrain, yeah, absolutely, they control their own territory, at least for now until we put boots on the ground, if that is the chosen course of action. So, that's where things stand right now. The United States is struggling to meet her own stated military objectives while the Iranians are able to undeniably meet most of theirs. It's unfortunate. I don't like saying this because I am American and I hope that we win just on principle, I suppose, because you going to you have to root for the nation that you're in. However, we have to be clear about this. And we have to be realistic if we're having any any chance of success. So, one thing that I would also like to mention is the gigantic elephant on the slide here, uh which has been down in the corner this entire time, which is uh the list of Israeli goals for the war. Again, the United States is not in this war by ourselves, are we? So, we don't have to worry about the American strategic goals or the Iranian strategic goals alone. There's another player that's involved in this. Remember, multiple White House officials and even Trump himself admitted that this war was only carried out because of the Israelis. You don't have to like it. You don't have to agree with me. But, no matter how much they try to walk it back, that's what they said. And in this case, uh what is undeniable is that the Israelis have different goals than the United States, as any foreign nation would be expected to have, right? There may be overlap on some things, which we can argue about, I'm sure, but by and large, separate nation-states have differing goals. They just do. When Russia went to war in Ukraine, Belarus was right there, weren't they? Belarus was right there. Lukashenka was right there. But, Belarus and Russia, despite being on the same side during the Ukrainian war, they also have different military objectives. They just do because they're different countries. If they were the same exact country, they would have the same exact objectives, but they're not. And the same thing is uh the case with the United States and Israel. And I think that many people, please don't shoot me for thinking this, but I think that most people right now are starting to realize that the United States and Israel have vastly differing objectives. Maybe we can get into this a little bit later on if I can figure out how to talk about this without assuming too much danger on my part. But, for right now, I just want to make it abundantly clear that when it comes to the strategic goals of the war, there are three main entities here that have a lot to say in how the war goes. So, with all of this being said, what do we do? What are we going to do now? The United States has not met her goals for the war. So, how might we meet these objectives? Well, throughout the past few weeks, I've been doing a lot of wargaming myself to try to figure out what the United States might actually do. After all, things don't seem to be going super well in the war and they raised the enlistment age. So, I'm technically eligible again and if things go sideways in this war and I myself get drafted, I'm going to be rather upset that I didn't think these things out beforehand. Anyway, that's a long way down the road, I think, for for sure. But anyway, there are three main plans that I can think of, which according to very leaky media are actively being considered. Once again, I want to remind you that I am not supporting any of these. I'm just trying to analyze what I think that might be done. So, the first one, course of action one, COA1, is a direct assault on the islands. Again, this is something not particularly surprising. The United States has been floating this for a while. A lot of strategists and military generals have floated the ideas of maybe taking some of the islands, Qeshm Island, Khark Island, Larak Island, the Strait of Hormuz, maybe Hormuz Island itself, who knows. Maybe Abu Musa is another target as well they might go for. Either way, island assault, right? Island hopping throughout the Strait of Hormuz with the eventual goal of trying to seize some terrain in the strait and maybe somehow stop the Iranian missiles that are being launched at commercial shipping through the strait. It could also be more of a confidence thing as well because personally I I don't think that anybody would ever realize that taking an island in the strait is going to do very much because the missiles and the drones, the anti-ship cruise missiles and the drones that are used to target the merchant shipping, they're being launched from the mountains about 15 miles back from the coast. So, you're going to have to go kind of a long way in uh to to actually open up the Strait of Hormuz. But anyway, that's COA 1, direct assault on the islands. COA 2 is a little bit more sane, uh but also harder to do. And this is a new concept that the Marines came up with, a comparatively new concept. It's It started being put into the fleet back in I think 2017, 2018, but it has been theorized for a very long time before that. And this is the idea of the Expeditionary Advanced Base Operations, or EABO, or EAB, depending on how you want to say it. EABO is a new concept, again, from the Marine Corps, which was developed for the Pacific. This is uh the one of the core components of their island hopping theory for a potential conflict with China. And the goal of EABO uh kind of stuff is to have distributed bases set up. So, learning from what's going on in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia and the UAE, where our bases like, you know, Camp Arifjan, Camp Buehring, Camp Al Asad, Al Udeid, Al Dhafra, these these bases which are just big bases with a big fence They're getting hit pretty hard, aren't they? Because the enemy can find out where they are. Well, the core tenant of EABO is to distribute that stuff. Spread out, disperse. That is the goal of EABO. And since we have good comms and we have pretty uh variable logistics, we can set up little miniature bases that are not necessarily one specific location. We could spread that stuff out over a long period or or or a wide space. In the Pacific, the goal of this is to say, drop a couple of platoons of infantry on an island and they hold that for a period of time, and the next island over can hold their logistics, and the next island over can hold their uh forward arming and refueling point, the FARP. And next, another little island can be the airstrip, and they can just spread out so that a Chinese cruise missile can't come in and ruin their day so easily. Well, considering that this is a new idea, this has just entered the fleet in in terms of doctrine for the MAGTF, the Marines might be uh chomping at the bit to put this into action because I'm looking at this through the lens of the MAGTF and I'm looking at this through the lens of the MEU and I think that the Marines think they can do it and I think that's what they're probably trying to plan for. Use the EABO concept to establish command and control throughout the region so that they don't necessarily have to have one base in one place. This would be smart. This is what I would do. Uh kind of what the Iranians actually did. The Iranians already did this over in Syria. For those who don't know, during the bulk of the GWOT, most of Syria was used basically as a playground for the Iranians and they ran supplies, they had little fobs of their own and all conveniently they were all along the border. There were a lot of little fobs, little bases, little supply shacks, right? Just just inside Iran that were they would use to send missiles into Afghanistan, missiles and rockets and things like that. Rockets really. They knew that we couldn't touch them, they knew that we couldn't bomb them so that's what they did. Same thing in, you know, Cambodia and Laos during Vietnam. The Viet Cong did the same thing. Well, why can't we just reverse uno card these bad boys and do it to them, too? Set up a few EABO um hubs, I guess as you should say it. Set up a few EABOs throughout Iraq and Kuwait and Saudi Arabia and all these other places, right? And start just carrying out an insurgent style attack against the Iranians. This is not a grand a secret here that I'm revealing. This is actually literally in the textbook. So, if you want to go grab yourself a smart book, one of the MAGTF smart binders, you'll see that this is a bulk of that publication and I think that's probably what the Marines are pitching to the White House right now. It's probably one of the one of the lead COAs. Now, here's the thing. One of the critical aspects of the EABO is the fact that you could do this while within range of the enemy WEZ, you know, the weapons engagement zone. So, basically you're talking about setting up a an infrastructure of military posts, bases and ecosystems when the enemy can hit you at any point. That's why this is such a delicate process here and this is why this is such an important thing the Marines have been trying to hammer out. It's not really been combat tested. So, let's think about that. It's not really been combat tested. This is still more or less general theory than uh any kind of practicality thing, but it's it's doctrine now. It's in the book. There's books written on it. So, the EABO is kind of an it's it's technically more of a newer thing, but it has been talked about for a while. So, the Marines, I know out there have been we've been talking about this for 10 15 years, but really it's just been kind of cemented in doctrine over the past I don't know five or so years, maybe. And I think that they may think they could drop a few EABOs throughout the region, take a few islands in the strait, uh and this would this would uh work with the next uh rather unfortunate COA, which is COA 3. Uh so, I'll move to that one now, which is what a lot of the mainstream media's going with, and uh this is the hairbrained theory, uh which is the idea of pushing in a helicopter assault force or a half into somewhere like Natanz or Fordow or maybe uh some of the more remote areas of eastern Iran and start coming out at them from the eastern side of the country. Now, I I should not have to uh point out how serious of an idea this is, but let's just take the events of the past 24 hours as kind of a bit of a case study sample to figure out what what how bad of an idea this this potentially is. So, regarding the combat search and rescue operations that are uh kind of ongoing in the western part of Iran, think about it like this. Uh we sent two Pave Hawks and a C-130 or MC-130, whatever, uh into western Iran. Standard C's are a package with a very special dudes who are the absolute tip of the spear, the absolute best of the best. These guys are the best at what they do, and we sent these guys into Iran, and two of their Pave Hawks got shot up to the point of where they sustained quite a bit of damage. So, at least that's what mainstream media's reporting. Is that true? I don't know, but the idea remains. We sent a bunch of special forces into western Iran on a standard rescue mission, and they got shot up pretty bad. And they're continuing to get shot up pretty bad. So, I don't think we have uh too much success uh in in store if we end up sending a bunch of conventional army airborne air assault UH-60s into Iran somehow. Now, for those of you who don't necessarily have a military background, and you're not exactly a uh an expert on things like the concept of the air assault or airborne operations, let me just convey to you that anybody out there who's got a copy of the 101st Airborne Division's gold book, their uh air assault manual, if you've got a hard copy of that in your house somewhere or on your bookshelf, chances are your eyes right now are the size of dinner plates as I explain that they're trying to launch or they're trying to set the narrative for a half into Iran. Now, of course, it is possible. Anything's possible, right? We can put anybody anywhere. The question is, how long can we keep them there, and can we keep them there without killing everyone involved? And so far, uh unfortunately, we have to kind of take what Fox News is pushing as some sort of indicator of policy because that's how it's worked out so far, and it does seem like they may uh have on the table some kind of half raid somewhere in the country, maybe not into mainland Iran, maybe into an island. I don't know. Either way, these are the three COAs that I'm seeing floating out there in the ether sphere, which are seriously being considered. So, once again, just for the record, I want to be on the record stating that I don't think that these courses of action, these plans that are currently being floated out in the open at least, I don't think any of these are viable military objectives. I don't think any of these are good idea, and I hope we don't do it, but I think that the reason that I'm talking about this is because I I can see through the doctrine that they may try this. The EABO concept would work in a partner nation. That's one of the keys to the EABO working. You can't just put an EABO behind enemy lines in Iran itself, but they may try. Again, the helicopter assault force, traditionally we do not conduct half raids when the enemy force maintains over the horizon targeting capability and the landing zones are going to be saturated with targeting. We don't typically do half raids in that environment, right? There has to be some level of permissiveness for a conventional helicopter assault force raid to actually work. Or we have to limit or reduce the enemy capacity or capability at those landing sites and I don't think we can do it. Or rather, we can do it. We can put guys anywhere on the ground in Iran. We can put them probably on the ground right outside the Ayatollah's new apartment, but getting them back out again, that's the hard part, isn't it? Now, I must also state that I do have other plans that I have identified and I'm working through just purely based on my own scouring of the maps. I've been conducting terrain analysis. I have really just put the magnifying glass to every place in Iran as best I can and just for my own research in conjunction with what targets are being struck or more accurately not being struck, there are a few other places they could go. So, for the moment, I don't want to give the Iranians any ideas. Again, this would not be a super great idea to put this out in the open. So, I'm going to keep my thoughts to myself on that for now, but there are a few other options out there. They have equal chance of success with this, which is minimal. This is a high risk, minimal success, high risk, low reward mission set and that's just the way that it's going to be until you can reduce the ability for the Iranians to stop their missile and drone attacks and so far we're not even close to doing that, at least based on what we've seen so far. So, while the drones and the missiles are still flying, we still have these concerns and it's just not going to be feasible to put boots on ground, but again, they may try anyway and definitely keep everybody in your prayers if that's the case. But in a more grand sense, coming back again, wrapping this up in terms of grand strategy, all of these plans are possible. They're all possible. They're just not feasible and none of these plans that are being floated right now would actually assist in achieving the goals that have been stated, at least not without a military mobilization, the likes of which the United States has never seen before. Imagine the invasion of Iraq like times five. Like they're going to have to draft people. You want to go scoop the last Iranian Shaheed drone out of a cave? You're going to have to mobilize a million people, and I just don't think they're going to do that right now. It's preposterous. Maybe if things drag on for a little while longer, I don't know, but at the risk of using, you know, unnecessarily do humanizing language, it's kind of like, you know, an antiseptic, right? You can have some bleach hit a, you know, hit a cleaning service with 99.99% effectiveness, but that last .01%, you know, that's going to be some pretty nasty stuff, right? So, you know, again, I don't like using language like that, but it's best I can think of. And right now, the Iranians, yeah, you could knock out 90%, you could knock out 95% of their missile production and drone capacity, but all the Iranians have to do, the Iranians just have to hit one merchant vessel in the Strait That's all they got to do, and that's enough for Lloyd's of London to cancel insurance policies. That's all they got to do. They just got to hit one target a day, and so far they've been hitting hundreds of targets a day since this war began, and now it's starting to ramp up in effectiveness now that I suspect, again, speculation, but I suspect the Iranians are getting a lot of intelligence, a lot more intelligence than the Russians and the Chinese. It's impossible to know this for sure, but their missile attacks are increasing in both number and in their effectiveness. So, again, coming back to what the United States might do, you know, these plans, yeah, they're in the textbook, to be sure, but none of these plans are viable military objectives without a lot of pre-shaping fires that have not yet been conducted. We would need to build staging areas before we could get within helicopter range of any significant Iranian target, because again, our staging areas right now, which is basically every single base in Kuwait, is a staging area, that's what it was intended for, and that's what those bases are meant for. They're getting hit. So, you can't start putting tens of thousands of troops on the ground in these places, establishing a beachhead near the coastline, launching waves of helicopters from either Kuwait or Aldhafra. This is just not going to be feasible while the Iranians still possess a significant over-the-horizon targeting capability. It's just not going to be feasible. This is why it's it's so unfeasible that this is why most people don't seem to think that any of this will ever come to pass. This is why I used such serious language last week because conducting some sort of raid within Ir
ATAK / WinTAK · 2021-03-16

ATAK (WinTAK) How To: Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance: A Primer

[Music] hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground so today we're going to be taking a look at atac or more specifically wintac and how you can use it to plan missions so as you can probably guess atac is a very useful platform and it can do a lot of things in fact it can do so many things that people have a hard time trying to contextualize and sort of understand exactly what atac can do so today we're going to be running through a fictitious scenario and showing how atac can be a valuable mission asset in the civilian world as well so we're really not going to go over any one particular feature today we're just going to be playing around and messing around with wintec and showing you some of the different things that it can do attacking or wintec in this case is not perfect in fact atac the whole tack family of products wintac is is by far the the most undesirable in the atac community because it has a lot of issues and it's not really a priority for development it's not quite as as gucci as the atac apps however we find that using wintac for mission planning is pretty useful considering that you have the power of a pc computer and you can use a mouse and other things as well you can it's not it's easier to do things on a laptop than on a phone so let's uh let's go through our fictitious mission scenario all right so exercise exercise exercise all that jazz mission scenario you have received reporting through local information sources that unknown aircraft have been staging at your local airport intelligence reported through your human networks indicates that the aircraft are staging at the airport with more aircraft arriving periodically your mission is to establish a covert observation post from which a rotating team can observe aircraft landing at the airport once the covert observation post is complete your task is to conduct visual reconnaissance of the airport as well as any aircraft landing or taking off you are required to log every aircraft that may be on the ground and where they are parked reporting back sitreps every hour you are responsible for your own support there will be no chance of aerial resupply and ground-based resupply will not be guaranteed as a result you are responsible for all mission planning and have nearly unlimited leeway for how you complete this mission so yeah in the civilian world this might be all of the information that you get no formal pirs no eeis your entire intelligence collection mission might result from a five minute phone call or a text message exchange and it's your job to organize plan and carry out the mission you do not have a battle staff to help you you will usually be on your own so for all of the real military and government analysts out there please keep this in mind as we're going through this we're looking at this through the lens of the civilian world and as such we do have a few assumed factors for this exercise to make it a little bit more easy in the training environment for one the weather we will assume a broken cloud ceiling at 15 000 feet msl above mean sea level that will move into a full overcast ceiling by the time we sp or hit the start point precipitation is not expected during the duration of this mission the elevation of the airport is right at around 5700 feet so that means that as we're standing on the ground we're going to have about 9 300 feet of clear air space over our heads this is good for evading detection for unmanned aerial systems that won't be able to fly down below the cloud ceiling so really we're just looking at terrain masking from terrestrial collection efforts if there are any and as far as electronic surveillance we're going to assume that cell phone stingrays will be operational in nearby city and that aircraft landing in the airport might have like gilgamesh boxes or dirt boxes on board as well and on the counter surveillance front we're going to assume that limited counter surveillance efforts will be conducted but they will be limited to the immediate perimeter of the airport so that's pretty much it just a quick and dirty hey let's go figure out what's going on over there type mission all right so here we are in wintec so also just for simplicity's sake and to avoid a lot of the frustration that comes with a an online imagery source i have go i've went ahead and downloaded to my computer imagery for this area so in this green box here it's already pre-loaded so we're going to first the first thing we're going to do is load in our sort of target right we're not actually connecting targeting here but we need somewhere to to uh to go off so we're going to go up here to the top left click import manager and import files because lucky enough our source gave us a kmz so as you see i already have a few here but i'm going to click this one and that's going to be it it's going to take a minute to load okay thank you import manager so let's go over here to our overlays see it kind of glitched out for a second all right here we go let's see file overlays we've got kml loaded in there and as you can see we have our target airport kmz and that's it there's only one point in there see this is what happens when you're in the sort of civilian world you're not going to get a full pir list and it's not going to be specific you might just get a grid and that's it so uh just as a side note i've got another one loaded in here just from messing around a little bit but so if you wanted to delete another one just to make things more simple you go up here select it and delete and that'll delete it so now really we've only got this 1kml file is one target right there and that zooms it to it so uh when i'm looking at this airport i'm looking at it looks like a fairly civilian style airport right nothing super duper special about it i did choose this location randomly this airport has really no major significance i only picked it because uh it has a lot of good terrain nearby so that we could use our 3d functionality in wintec pretty well so i just picked it because it it will allow us to check that out a little easier all right so the first thing i want to do is figure out where i'm going to put my lpop and as you remember one of the very few requirements of this mission is to be able to see the runway be able to see the parking zones uh see aircraft on the tarmac and be able to identify them so we need to be close enough to figure that out but we also need to be close enough or further far enough away to where we're going to avoid that counter surveillance and avoid that stingray electronic surveillance down here to the southeast and they said in the urban area so what we're going to do is i'm just just looking at this i can look and say all right cool it looks like there's a mountain range here this is more of a valley floor here i'm going to guess that my recon site is going to be up in this area somewhere this is just me looking down at it on the map but let's be absolutely sure so what we're going to do to figure out what you can see [Music] from the ground we're going to do what's called a view shed now a lot of people tend to sort of explain the view shed a little bit wonky but it's actually quite simple so let me go ahead and zoom in here to what i want to be able to see from far away and let's go ahead and zoom in here today to the aircraft parking area so what i'm going to want to do is go to elevation tools let that load for just a second now on your computer of course this will be much faster the only reason that it slows because i'm not using a terribly good computer for this and the screen recording software takes a lot of a lot of cpu power so once we've got elevation tools opened up here we have three menus at the top we're going to click view shed and what we're going to do is uh set our height above marker at five feet we're just going to leave that there i'll explain what that means in a minute just remember that it is set at five feet now we're going to set our radius to be something quite big in this case 15 kilometers and we're going to keep the intensity at right around 40 or so we'll show you what that means in a minute but basically the 40 is just to make sure that you can still see the ground you can do 100 then you won't be able to see anything but um next we're going to select the marker so we're going to click this button right here as you can see right here on the map you see tap a marker or location on the map pretty simple we're just going to click on the map so this is a view shed i'm going to go ahead and exit out for just a second i'll show you what this means and the way view sheds work is if you are a five foot person or in this case a five foot target uh standing at this little eyeball symbol you can see everything in green there's clear line of sight to everything in the green everything in red you can't see so as if we go ahead and and tilt the map a little bit you can see that obviously the low-lying areas are in red because you're probably obscured by things like buildings and other terrain features but if you look upwards towards the more higher terrain you can see obviously this mountain here you can you'll be able to see and then over here you won't uh you won't be able to see that from the ground because you come up over this ridge so this is very handy this allows you to more easily select and figure out a good site to go from so this is of course one of many tools and the reason that i set this at 15k you know obviously it's obviously not ideal to be able to surveil a target from you know 10 miles away or so but this just shows the function so let me go ahead and pick a good spot and we'll come back to this in just a second all right so i've got a good spot picked out and what i'm going to do is turn off the view shed for just a second so i'm going to open up my elevation tools again go over here and click remove view shed and we will come back to that in just a second and let me turn on the point that i found by going to overlays let that load for just a second yeah it's really slow here let's go to spot spot marker there we go and that's the place i found so this is just you know of course a good training exercise right so as you can see it's here let me go ahead and tilt the map for you a little bit if it doesn't want to freeze up on me there we go so you see it's right here up on this hill um it's got not a whole lot of cover there um but we'll we're not really so much concerned about that right now are we so um yeah this is a decently good spot it's right up there on the ridge line honestly i would probably move it down so that you could move it down to like the military crest here so you're not silhouetted against the ridgeline there but whatever this works for training exercises so what i'm going to do is tilt this back north and we're going to do another view just to make absolutely certain that this spot can see the target and it gives us some ideas of what this place can see so let's go over to view shed we'll do it 15k again five feet above marker so a five foot person standing at this point right here i'm gonna do it a little bit down the hill a little ways and let's go ahead select the marker and click right there that should give us on this side of the ridge and yeah that's a pretty good once i zoom out here that's a pretty good view shed so as you can see if i'm if i'm a five foot person or sitting in a five foot above the ground level position at that little eyeball i can see the entirety of the target this position is not too bad it gives me good command of the a good portion of the valley a good portion of the city down here as well but then it also is right there on that ridge line right there on that edge of being able to pop back over pop back into the red and not be have direct line of sight to the target which is always a good thing just in case right so this looks like a pretty good site now of course we could do a lot of other videos selecting this sort of thing but this is really just to show the the uh the features of atac so let's say that this is the site i want so let me go ahead and turn off or actually let me leave the view shed on i was going to turn it off but let me let me go ahead and put some contour lines on the map here in the elevation tools as well let me show the lines i'm going to leave them as this sort of orangish color let me let me make them yellow actually so you can see them a little better so yeah this does confirm to me that yup i'm right there on that nice ridge line it looks like it does get a little steeper over here and it's a nice sloping downhill area and then there's another valley over here looks like a looks like a box canyon or something going up this way yeah there's a lot of different a lot of different stuff going on here so i'm going to go ahead and turn those contour lines back off and i'm going to go to my view shed and turn my view shed off i'm going to turn the heat map on just to just play around a little bit show you what the heat map is this shows you the high spots are red low spots are blue as you can see that shows you how that works not as not as ideal and obviously the more you zoom in the more detail you're gonna get but it's heat maps are not really a good thing unless you're building a product or product or something like that all right so let's turn that heat map off and let's let's get out of this and let's say that we need to get to this site obviously right we need to get there somehow so i'm going to start looking around and let's say that i am going to find a good spot to park let's see here i found one earlier when i was just messing around i think this one's it yeah so this is a good looks like a good two-track road but just in case we want to verify that that road is wide enough for a vehicle to get down let's go ahead and go to the range and bearing up here at the top left and then we can click measure and then we can click and drag to measure there we go and then once we sorry hang on things hang up just a second we could tell a lot of stuff about it we could open up the metadata over here once it loads and it will tell us that that is 13 feet across or 4 meters or 0.00 nautical miles right and which what bearing it's along as well and mills as well if you need that sort of thing so that's that's kind of handy to have so this tells us that road is in fact 13 feet across and that is more than enough for us so let's go ahead let's go ahead and cancel that and we will delete that as well all right so we're going to let's say that we want to park right here um just me looking at this map just from not really being familiar to all this area it looks like a pretty well used especially well used for considering how remote this area is and the elevation profile this area is insane but it looks like there's a nice little maybe a little stream dry riverbed right there so let's go ahead and say we're going to park right here so what we're going to do is i know i skipped right over dropping a point so i'll show you how to drop a point right now using the point dropper let that load for just a second all right so over here on the point dropper this is the kind of cool part you have a lot of different icons and stuff that you can use so we're just going to use the spot map for a while these are just different colored dots all right different colored dots that you can put on the map we're going to use green for now so let's say that i want to use this road for infill and then break off and hide a vehicle or something let's say let's try right about there all right so let's go ahead that comes across as g1 it automatically named labels it green one right so let's go ahead and change that name to vdo vehicle dismount operations this is where we're going to park our vehicle and get out and start walking alright so if we want to do that what we can do is we can use attack to figure out the best way to get up there so let's say that you can see this is kind of a good distance away here let's see how far it is via as the crow flies all right looks like 3 750 feet right so let's put that in kilometers yep so a little over a k right so that's as the crow flies and as you can see that is going to be a very if we were to walk straight there that's going to be a pretty significant elevation change and handy for us right here on the range and bearing page at the bottom right you can click elevation profile and this is an interesting tool this is one of the more interesting things and more useful things that atac does it will tell you over a period of distance how uh how much elevation gain you're going to have so as you can see here the elevation gain or loss in this case since we we did it from the the point down to here instead of from the video up to the point it's 460 feet of elevation change so that's not insignificant especially if you're carrying like a hundred pound rook or something like that and a lot of equipment you could see along where this elevation change goes uh just by clicking and dragging like that so this shows you at what point the elevation is at and we'll cover this this tool a lot more in a separate video but let's say that i don't want to um i don't want to go along this this straight route i want to want to take my time and i want to come up come up this hill here and then take this ridge line down we're going to do this a few times so don't worry so let's go to making a route we want to have a route so that we can follow it right so let's wait for this to load click routes up here and then we're going to add a new route and we're going to make this route we'll call this route yellow and it will be a walking route it will be an infill and it will be our primary and it will be ascending right so let's start dropping points as you can see then once i clicked okay over here we now have this nifty thing up here on our toolbar and we can start making points so uh the vdo is now our point one right so let's keep going over here and then i'm going to use my keyboard here the wasd keys will allow you to move this sideways and also your arrow keys so whatever's more comfortable for you for me it's wasd because i'm right-handed using the mouse with my right hand and use you know wasd with my left so let's see here let's go ahead and follow follow up keeping some cover down right make sure that i'm not really taking too much effort into this this is going to be if i was really going to do this for real i would take a lot more time and effort using that elevation tool to sort of follow the contours up you know just like any other hiking trip really alright so we're up here at the top of this ridge say i don't want to go to the very top of the ridge i want to maintain that military crest back down here so i click and drag these points so that we're on we're out of visual range of the target and then we're going to continue down this ridge line more or less staying out of the view of the target probably should have left on the view shed down there at the target for for now but whatever all right we're going to follow this all the way down all the way down all the way down and then we pop up over the ridge line and we are there so there you go that's how you make a route in wintec or atac then we're going to click end editing and it's going to be right there so let's go ahead and zoom out and we'll look at this all right so that's our pretty that's our good route right there and it will show us what we see along the way so if you have multiple points along the way you can add in points as well but say i wanted to do another one say i wanted to to take a little bit more indirect route or i wanted an alternate route back to the vehicle in case i get compromised or something you always wanted an alternate route so let's go ahead and make a new route we're going to make this route let's see here what do you guys think let's just do blue it will be again a walking route and this will be infill and it will be secondary and okay let's go ahead and drive this one again let's let's go this way this time now usually you want to have different infills on different uh different sides of the objectives that you can come from different angles if you need be depending on which way the wind's blowing all that kind of stuff but i say we take the lower route and then we we just kind of hump it up over this hill here which is going to be a pretty good elevation change for us and there we go just for simplicity's sake we'll make it easy there we go all right so we've got two different routes for infill we could use these for xfil we could change them whatever whatever you wanted to do that's how you make routes and the cool part is is that say i was trying to choose between these two what i could do is go over here to the route details and click elevation profile and it will tell me how hard that trip will be as you can see grab our slider over here it's going to be not a whole lot of elevation gain a lot of elevation gain and then here at the end it sort of sort of goes up as we pop up over that hill so that's kind of interesting it's really helpful for planning hiking routes um a lot of other stuff as well so let's go ahead and and choose let me choose let me do the same thing with uh route yellow here do the elevation tool again and we'll see oh the elevator tool is still locked on the other one sorry hang on just a second route two we're gonna change this to route let's see route yellow just for simplicity's sake let's take that elevation route again let's see what we got here so this one it looks like you actually go downhill for a good amount of time for a little bit and you start coming up and then it's a slow steady incline this one looks like it's a lot harsher actually but then once you're up there on top of that ridge as you can see it levels out pretty good for the rest of the way so this one might be advantageous for some things depending on what you're trying to do you know if you find that you you'd like to the weather is permitting and you want to have this part of your journey right here climbing up that mountain at that point in time to be the uh strenuous part you could do that otherwise you could take the other easier route or you could go one way and then come back the other either way whatever you want to do so i'm going to change this to route blue and that will work for that just so that we can have that nice and neat for later right so we're done editing those routes and let's let's say that we want to add some phase lines here phase lines are a good way of in case you're going up there not not up there by yourself and you're reporting back your position to someone else like a headquarters element or just family back at home what you can do is add in phase lines and this is a good way to demonstrate the drawing tool so let me get we get rid of our routes over here let's go to our drawing tool right here i'm just going to click draw polyline and this is it i'm just going to say pick a good spot for a phase line let's see right here see if you remember we were going downhill until we got right here and then this right here this section from here to here was the most difficult part so i'm going to put a phase line right there for route yellow i'm going to end the shape and let's see we're going to do this and i'm going to name it let's call it phase line hmm let's go with spongebob see doesn't have to be anything super super duper special um i'm going to hesitate to name it yellow because our routes are yellow so i'm going to pick orange i know spongebob is obviously not orange but that kind of helps a little bit then i'm going to go over here and see there we've got phase line spongebob and this is so that say that you're trying to radio back and you don't have anybody tracking you like every step you take right you're actually having to expend resources to transmit your position you could say hey we just passed phase line spongebob it's a milestone in your trek so let's put one right there and let's put another one up here right as you get to the ridge because if anything's going to happen it's when you get to the very top of this elevation and you might have some kind of adversarial force on the other side something might happen if there's anything going to happen it's going to be right here at this point so let's go ahead and draw another polyline let's put it like right about here in that shape and we'll call this one once it loads call this one baseline patrick we'll make it magenta there we go and close that out and then let's put one more in there because if you remember this is not along the very top of the ridge line because as we remember we don't want to silhouette ourselves we want to not not have visual range of the contact until we're almost in position so let's put another phase line right about here that way somebody if we said this phase line right if we cross this phase line right here we'll know that we're almost there on top of the objective so let's go ahead and drop another one in there we'll drop it like right here so that's a good one see if it loads and we'll call this one phase line squid word we will make it let's see sort of light blue that'll work so yeah that's sort of keeping a theme it kind of helps kind of helps things as well i'm not going to put phase lines for blue here uh just because of you know time constraints and it's once you've done a couple of these you'll know how to do the others so now we've got a product that's starting to take place here now let's say for instance that like i said you know cell phone jamming is kind of an issue right so what i'm going to want to do is go back here to our target let's say right here in the city and i want to avoid direct line of sight to the city so i'm going to go over here to elevation tools once again we're going to do another view shed once again drop one let's drop it right there i'm sorry i forgot to select it drop it right there and let's close that out for a second let's see if it reaches all the way to our target yeah it does alright cool so if i'm in this red here i'm not going to be in direct line of sight to this city which means that if i'm using a cell phone i'm most likely going to be connecting to towers over here to the north right unless i pop over this ridge line then there's most likely a cell tower somewhere down here now if your uh communications dudes and your operation dudes or or whoever is on top of their stuff they can give you a kmz of all of the cell towers in this area so you can more accurately make your route to avoid any potential electronic surveillance but we don't have that capability so what we're going to do is set up a good spot that we can pop back over to to make a radio call back north back to say maybe our vehicle right and where we have a bigger repeater so let's go ahead and drop another point right here in this red spot this will be our good radio zone it's nice and clear there's not a whole lot of uh vegetation but we want to we want to stick we don't want to be out in the open we want to be able to get in there very easily without our footprints coming around so let's go ahead and put it right about so right about here use a point dropper again let's see if we have a different symbol here maybe a different symbol that we can use let's see markers now okay generic icons no these are all numbers i forgot let's say google's probably got something look here yeah sure why not we'll just use that for the telephone for a while and that will be our point and we can change the name of it to uh radio site there you go and so you can start building these products and start start putting these things together um just by using atac and because a lot of times you're you're stuck using google earth to kind of figure out okay what's a good you know what's a good place to put you know our radio things like that um where's a good site to set up well you know this is a lot easier and as you can see the 3d the 3d element of atac is not as good as google the reason that it's kind of hanging up here is because even i i've used this for quite a while now and even i don't i'm not used to it yet because to swivel this way to swivel along this axis you have to hold down your right mouse and then to swivel up and down you have to hold down mouse three your scroll wheel click and then holding down left mouse allows you to just move your eyeball point around so it takes a little bit of getting used to it is very different from google as when you start using this if you were used to having the google uh scroll wheel uh key doing everything you're gonna have to adapt um but yeah so this is this is how a product starts coming together all right now let's say i need an emergency egress route let's say i need to get the heck out of there because there's some kind of weather or storm or something like that well looks like i can make it down to this road here pretty good and then i can just follow that road all the way up to my vehicle or something like that or say that i need supplies something like that i can put in another point let's go ahead and drop in another point here this site right here looks like the last sorry hung up there for a second this site here looks like the last little bit see where it starts looks like there's a ridge line right here or some kind of soft ridge line that kind of obscures so you can be seen from the city down there but right here you can't be looks like a nice wide area right here with a blind curve around it so i can put in a resupply point right there let me put in um use i'll just use another spot i'll put a put an orange point we'll put that as uh potential resupply resupply one we'll just make it like that see there you go and this is pretty cool and you know a lot of us are familiar with doing this in either something like palantir or gaia or even something like google earth if you're if you're not one of the high speed dudes you don't have access to those tools but for the civilian side this is really a very very powerful tool because you can make these mission graphics and things like that and you don't have to uh don't really have to have a huge amount of of resources and also if someone's here using this when tag you can connect with a network so that you can actually monitor this stuff real time so say you've got dudes sitting in this lpop right and they are observing down there well you'll see on your map when they start dropping points so you can even call in threats and say look hey look i see there's a vehicle somewhere so i can just go ahead right click real quick make it a hostile point and boom send it to them instantly uh okay so yeah here are our uh here's our operation right this is just a very bare bones route it's it's basically just a hiking gps file that you can load into a gps but if you're using atac you have the ability to do a lot of different things say that you're coming up here you're almost to phase line spongebob here and you spot a uh a game camera or something like that and you want to kind of avoid that so that you're not you know being surveilled say that it's right here you can very quickly right click and drop a point right there and this is a contact and you can change this and edit this here in the thing i don't know if i would label this as a contact or just a point because it's kind of static the game camera is a static thing but let's just put this in there sorry my keyboard is hanging up for just a second there we go and there you go you can put a game camera right there or something like that you can change the symbol on this if you were to drop a point and all that kind of stuff but this is most likely what your your dude in the field is going to be doing uh from the actual atac app it takes a half a second to drop a point and you can convert it to whatever you want here back at your home sort of station right so let's say that you make it all the way up here to your lpop site and you say you know i really don't like it let me go ahead and move it a little bit let's go ahead and move it down the hill a little ways say that like that's a better spot there you go that's how you move a target so you click on it and then you've got this nice radial menu here and without even having to edit anything you can go ahead and click that button and that turns it into a nice more precision tool right and then you can move it around say i want to move it around to let's see right there in the shade of that bush that'll be a good spot right so say that that's that's your your new lpop site uh and once you get established and things like that you can use other different symbols and things down here on your target so say that you are you're in position here and you're looking at your uh your vehicles here on the ground looks like let's see if there's any military vehicles for real here in this image i don't really see any unless there's like a c12 or something down there that looks like a civilian aircraft let's see yeah now it looks just like normal civilian traffic but let's just say that a uh a c-130 or something lands in the parks like right here well what you can do is go ahead and drop a point and then instead of spot map we can go down here to vehicles there you go what did i say c130 there you go click c130 drop it right there and that will drop the actual size of the c130 on the map which is pretty cool and yeah so that's how you do that and you can of course change it by moving around moving the heading around and things like that so from your radial menu that's how you change which direction that it's pointed in let's say it's parked right there just like that and let's say that it's actually not there it's moved back a little bit move it back a little ways oh it's too far it's in the building move it forward a little bit yeah that's that's a good parking spot for it and as you can see here that shows the actual size of that aircraft on the ground and that's very helpful for mission planning and things like that so yeah that's pretty much how you can use atac for just a simple let's go see what's going on over there mission and you can make it much more of instead of just being hey let's go up there and see what we can see it can actually be a legitimate planned operation now of course this is uh this is not even baby steps this is like way before baby steps when it comes to things like actual military operation planning and the you know mdmp and stuff like that but this does give a lot of people a very simple uh way to use atac in their everyday missions for the civilian world now for the military world obviously atac has so many other uses that we can't even possibly cover all of them but for the civilian side of things we will be covering a lot more stuff like this so hopefully this was helpful for everyone um if you have any questions just please let us know drop them in the comments box below we have about a dozen different videos already uh being planned to show you how to do specific things within atac and then it's up to you it's to to have the flexibility to put all this stuff together so uh if you're just trying to use this to plan an operation like this a very small level operation that it's fine you can use atac for that as well so yeah this was just a very short primer on how you can use atac to increase your your mission you know planning efforts and things like that and really be sort of you know a very good asset to your team or family or just you know yourself or whatnot so yeah please be on the lookout for the future videos we're going to have coming out on atac we're going to show you how to do a lot of cool different stuff in atac but this this time around we just wanted to show you some of the very basic features um and stuff that you know maybe hasn't quite been talked about in a civilian context just yet so um we're going to be you know talking a little bit a little bit of doctrine in the future a little bit of atac tactics things stuff like that but this time we're just trying to get you just show you what the flavors are out there for you to choose from when it comes to atex so yeah that's really all we've got for now make sure to like comment and subscribe if you think that this stuff was useful and make sure to follow us on our other platforms as well just so you don't miss any of our other content that's all we've got for this time so always remember to fight in the shade you
Intel Update · 2025-11-16

Intel Update - November 15 - Possible Happening Inbound...maybe

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for November 9th through the 15th, 2025. Good grief, the insanity has continued this week, hasn't it? Not a whole lot of domestic news this week. However, there have been a lot of potential happenings that have appeared on the forefront, which may become a bit of a thing over the next few months or so. But let's start with global strategic concerns as usual. Unfortunately, our friends across the pond in the United Kingdom as well as in France and throughout Western Europe at large really have experienced quite a few stabbing attacks this week. Continuing the trend over the past few months, there have also been a few attacks that have come to light in England specifically that occurred a long time ago, sometimes even a few years ago. And their trial is now just becoming publicized. So there there have been a few of those throughout much of Europe at large over the past few months. Down in Central and South America, tensions continue to rise in Mexico, mostly along the lines of Mexico and the Mexican government being more or less a narco state. This is of course extremely obvious, but it's still concern for the locals there. And tensions have been kind of rising over the past few months. The general sentiment just on the ground, whether it's true or not remains to be seen, but what the protesters are saying in Mexico is that they have kind of accepted the fact that Mexico is a narco state, but they are a little upset that Claudia Shinbal has become a little bit more open and not really trying to hide her cartel affiliations. As we recall, the last election season had more murders than normal for Mexico. So, it's not really anything revolutionary or groundbreaking or shocking or anything. We've kind of known this for a long time and Mexicans have known this for a very long time as well. But a lot of the demonstrators and a lot of the groups, they're protesting for a lot of different reasons, but the general sentiment from what I've been able to tell is that a lot of people want a true kind of return to form where Mexico's government and Mexico's authority are going to pretend like they aren't directly run by the cartels. So, you know, just like be a little bit more elegant with your corruption. That's that's kind of the the atmospheric so far. But it's a little early in the day right now, but there have been a few images come out of the protest. They've already graffitied up the fence they welded around uh the presidential residence there in Mexico City. We'll see how it turns out. Clearly, the Mexican government is expecting a pretty big turnout today, but it may or may not occur. Who knows? Apathy is a huge thing in Mexico for understandable reasons. I mean, a lot of people don't want to demonstrate in Mexico because, well, they think that demonstrating isn't going to isn't going to work. I don't know. We'll see. But the situation in Mexico is definitely continuing to worsen, especially considering the United States involvement in the Caribbean Sea, especially when it comes to Venezuela. So, the situation with Venezuela continues as before, but things have started to escalate. We'll get to Venezuela in just a moment on the strategic movement slide next, but here in the United States, there have been quite a few potential maybe possible happenings that are on the menu for the next couple of weeks. Digital ID has quietly made a debut in the United States in a larger role than it has in the past. So we'll we'll get to that in a moment. There have been quite a few economic indicators to be aware of for the general state of the American homeland that would probably be good to be aware of. And of course we have the Kudigra, the Epstein emails this week. So suffice it to say this week has been quite a few different cans of worms to get into. But for strategic movement, let's talk Venezuela for a moment. We are still in this will they won't they kind of arrangement. In terms of forces on station, the Euima ARG is still there. The Gerald Ford carrier strike group has now made her way into the Caribbean theater. So the fact of the matter that cannot be disputed is that a lot of US Navy forces are in the region and they are continuing to conduct strikes pretty much daily or at least every other day on random narco vessels that are transiting around the Caribbean. One item of note on the strategic strikes that are being conducted in the Caribbean Sea. There are a lot of misconceptions about these strikes and and the Pentagon has not done a super great job at explaining what they're doing and it's not my job to do that for them. They can definitely speak for themselves. But I did want to point out a a brief misconception that a lot of people have messaged me and have sent to me. A lot of people seem to think that these narco vessels that they are striking are coming to the United States directly and that's that's not true. So a lot of people think that what they're doing is they're coming up to a drug trafficking area, right? They're parking a fast boat on the beach. They're loading up, you know, bundles and bags of cocaine and they are taking those fast boats and driving them up to the beach in Florida. That is not what's happening. These fast boats are not coming into the United States directly at least. What they are doing is they are shuttling these precursors and they're shuttling these materials around between islands in the in the Caribbean. That's how it works. So, when you see a politician get in front of a camera and say, "Oh, well, these strikes are illegal because these boats couldn't make it to the United States." Well, for one, that conveys a couple of things. One, it conveys the person speaking doesn't know what they're talking about. They don't know how drug trafficking actually works. So, I may have to dig more into that a little bit and explain how that how how these things are working out. But, but that also tacitly implies that the United States has never conducted a legitimate strike since the American Revolution, which that's a political decision. If you want to have a political opinion on that, fine. I'm just explaining the the nuts and bolts of how this is how this works. And what they're doing in the Caribbean is they're striking boats that are that are making their way along known trafficking routes between islands. So that's what they're doing. No, these boats are not driving up onto the beach in Miami and offloading a bunch of cocaine. These narco submarines, they're not going into a port, you know, in Louisiana, right? They're offloading these things usually, wink wink, in Mexico, right? Mexico turns out has a lot of coastline, doesn't it? And not a lot of uh government agents are really interested in stopping drug trafficking in Mexico. So that's how it works. It's a lot safer to send a lot of drugs by sea because there aren't a whole lot of enemies out there on the ocean except for now the US Navy. Whereas if you were trying to traffic drugs from Colombia, which is a huge producer of narcotics, Venezuela, interestingly, doesn't really produce that much, but we'll probably get more into that later on. But anyway, for Colombia, for instance, it's a lot harder and it's a lot more logistically challenging and there's a lot more potential for risk on the part of the cartels to send drugs by land. That's why they send these drugs by sea. So, just a little point of clarification as we get started with this potential war because I have a sneaking suspicion that we're going to be probably striking Venezuela pretty soon, at least by year's end is my guess. But I've been wrong before, been wrong many, many times. So, my guesses aren't really worth that much. But there is a very sharp distinction and there's a very sharp difference between striking narcoats and the counter narcotics mission and what's going on in Venezuela, right? Those are two very different things. So the Pentagon to to balance things out here, the Pentagon is definitely speaking out of both sides of their mouth here because the mission and the objective in Venezuela is probably not counter narco. If we're going to be doing that, then maybe we should be bombing Panama and Colombia and Bolivia and places like that where they have they produce a substantial portion of the drug trade there. But the United States is focused on Venezuela probably because what everyone's thinking is probably true. We want regime change there. We want Maduro out probably for oil or natural gas. But there's probably also a lot of other uh interests at play here. So, another thing to consider just while I'm on the topic, notice what has not happened. You would think that these narcotics traffickers would stop sending, you know, drugs by sea, right? And send them by land if they know that they might get killed by a hellfire missile or some kind of artillery round, right? But they're not they're not slowing this down. So the United States expanding the war at sea might intentionally or indirectly have the goal of trying to move a lot of these drugs by land and thus cause a lot of other problems. So blockading these cartels from using the sea. Now they've got to send drugs through each other's territory and potentially maybe spark spark off a narco war as if there aren't a dozen already underway right now throughout the entire central and south American continents. So I don't know. There's a lot of speculation. I'm just saying that things are probably going to come to a head if they have if they aren't going to come to a head by the end of the year. I will be surprised. The United States may just turn this into a very very expensive game of whack-a-ole. It's not like we haven't done that before. But either way, it's certainly something that's going to be on the menu and to be aware of for a long time. So that's it for strategic movement. Let's switch gears quite significantly and talk about the growing elephant in the room, which is the collection of events that have occurred over the past few weeks or really just the past couple of days on the economic front. Now, I'm no economist for sure and I'm definitely not in the world of finance. However, some things do catch my eye occasionally and again, I'm coming at things from more of a national security risk assessment kind of angle, right? So, there's some overlap, but not a lot. But when there is overlap, I like to talk about it. And this week has been pretty intense. For one, we have some shenanigans going on with the number crunchers in DC. As many mainstream outlets have reported this week, the jobs report and the consumer price index report for October is probably never going to be released. At least that's what the White House has stated. This narrative is changing by the hour. So, I don't actually know what the latest version of this is. I've seen reports that the White House says, "Yeah, the the jobs report will come out, but it's not going to have unemployment data." So, I don't know. There's probably some shenanigans on this, but I can tell you this has raised a lot of eyebrows because the jobs report is extremely crucial for determining how the United States is doing on the economic front. Same thing with the CPI. So, when this doesn't come out, then it tends to make people think that there's a little bit of data manipulation on this and they want to probably hide it because jobs are not doing so well. And at the very moment that investors want some reassurance that the economy is not tanking or is not about to have a pretty big market correction now we don't have any data to make decisions. So that's concerning for what it's worth. Goldman Sachs produced their own numbers and they say the job market has uh shrunk by around 50,000 jobs. So we're down 50,000 for the month of October. I don't know if you want to trust them or not but that's just what their numbers are. So don't shoot the messenger here. Right. This probably does line up with a general downtrend because cryptocurrency for those of you who aren't in the crypto game, crypto had a brief what we might call crash a few days ago. So, Bitcoin is down underneath 100,000 uh as of this morning and this has led many people the word on the street at least the word on the street is that the bare market is here for crypto. Personally, I don't know. I'm not predicting anything. I'm just saying what people are saying, right? And this is kind of coupled with some other slightly concerning news uh in the world of the more traditional finance or financial markets such as hedge funds. A few days ago, Michael Bur announced that he is going to shut down his hedge fund. And the reason for shutting down his hedge fund is pretty interesting. Essentially, if you read the letter uh announcing the closure, he says basically the market is too uh insane for him to be able to predict where it's going. So, that's definitely an indicator. You can't debate that. That is definitely an indicator of something. What that is an indicator of, I don't know, but I know that people are going to argue about it while they're losing their shirt in the process. But another bit of concerning news is that Warren Buffett, of course, Warren Buffett announced his uh stepping down from Birkshire Hathaway. He is retiring uh as the CEO of uh the rather infamous group. This is not new. He announced this a while back, but it's now um coming into fruition at the at the end of the year. I don't know. All I'm saying is that there's been a lot of things happen that have caused people to get a little bugeyed this week in the world of economics, especially when it comes to things like the the potential AI bubble, right? The general sentiment this week with AI is that this uh game of musical chairs might come to a halt pretty soon. I don't know if that's true or not, but there have been rumors. It seem it certainly seems like open AI is moving toward potentially getting a government bailout at some point. So, that's probably a pretty big indicator that things aren't going super well and that the AI bubble might be getting ready to pop within the next, you know, few years at least. There's no real telling how this is going to work out, but I find it very interesting that all this kind of has come together over the past couple of weeks. And it hasn't necessarily been a very good look. So, I'm just giving you the very early indication and warning to do your own research on this, but uh I guess we'll have to see. Now, switching gears to something that's sort of related. The digital ID concerns that we have had for the United Kingdom have indeed made their way to the United States. So, for Apple users, digital ID is here. And the way that this digital ID has been implemented is very, very interesting. So, right up front, this digital ID concept is a new function in Apple Wallet to allow you to upload and uh just input the data from your pre-existing identification documents. They started with the passport. So, the US passport can now be input into the digital ID portion of the Apple wallet. And now you can use this because they now have a partnership with TSA. Look at how quickly that happened. They now have a partnership with TSA to allow you to use your phone as your passport at 250 different airports in the United States. In the same exact notice that Apple uh announced this partnership with TSA, they also stated that 11 US states are now incorporating their state drivers licenses or their state IDs into the system as well. So coming back to more of a wavetop view, this is not entirely a new concept, right? We've known about this for quite a while and TSA has actually had, you know, subscriptionbased services to fasttrack through security and things like that. So that's not particularly new. What's interesting and what is new is the scale at which this has been implemented. We went from okay uh we'll have like things like TSA pre-check and stuff like that to now we're going to roll this out to every iPhone user. It's going to be at 250 airports, so most airports, most big airports around the United States. And now it is going to incorporate driver's licenses. And we did this all in one single press press release. Oh, and by the way, it's now inside Apple Wallet. So now it would be probably quite easy for Apple to link your passport to your credit card, right? Isn't that interesting how quickly this has just been implemented and rolled out and nobody's paid attention to this, right? It just kind of happened overnight. Right now it's using your pre-existing IDs, right? So you can see how they're trying to sell this, right? You can see how they're trying to implement this and say, "Oh, well this is not the same thing that's going on in the UK with like this mass Orwellian crackdown on your, you know, your digital existence, right? It's not the same thing at all. We're just, you know, digitizing your passport. How bad can that be? Well, look at how fast they've implemented this, right? In 2 weeks time or 2 months time, I may be telling you about this new idea the US government's got with regards to a digital currency that's going to be linked to your digital ID. Man, you know, of course, that's speculation, but it's been moving pretty fast. So, I I wanted to make everyone aware of how quickly this this kind of thing can sneak up on you because that's how these things tend to work. And not to get too political here, but it seems like the Trump slump is definitely real. Whenever we have these really big data privacy concerns, a lot of conservatives tend to ignore them because they think that everything's all fine because they're guys in the White House. The political left, of course, does the same thing. All political parties do the same thing. But it seems like specifically with with President Trump, we've got a lot of these these data security concerns, right, with things like AI and Palunteer and the partnership between a private company, which is now working directly for a government agency. So, are they still a private company? I don't know. That's up for you to decide. But either way, it's very interesting how this has kind of slipped by and is being advertised as a feature, right? And meanwhile, our friends across the pond in the UK are protesting very strongly the implementation of digital ID in their country and yet here we advertise it as a selling feature. So very interesting how things have worked out. Similarly, something also to be aware of, unfortunately, Unfortunately, for those of you who have eyes and the ability to read, more Epstein emails have been released, and not a lot of them are familyfriendly. So, what has happened this week with the Epstein file release? Well, for those of you who have not been following it, the House Oversight Committee on Government Reform has been commissioned to examine the Epstein issue and any and all communications and things like that, the Epstein files, right? And just as a side note, what do we mean when we say the Epstein files? Well, really any digital file pertaining to the case. So, we're talking about internal uh emails and documents that were part of previous criminal trials of Jeffrey Epstein, previous witness statements, uh things that came out in civil trials, stuff like that, right? Colloquially we also mean when we say the Epstein files we mean the client list essentially the master list if which probably doesn't exist in its current form but there is a a list that we can compile of people who were clients of Jeffrey Epstein. So, just to get that right out of the gate, there's probably not just a master list of, you know, a word document with a list of names on it of people who were customers of Epstein, right? But we can certainly compile that data from the tens of thousands of pages, if not hundreds of thousands of pages of documents linked to Epstein and the various criminal trials that he was a part of over the years. So, right out of the gate, we've got to be accurate about what documents we're talking about. There's been a lot of conjecture, a lot of colloquialisms that we need to be, you know, kind of iron out before we get into this. So, as this situation has developed, there have been releases of documents over the years. There were the releases before Epstein became a household name, right? Before he became famous, the FBI had released quite a few records from his original indictments. So, we have that data already. Over the years, a lot of that data has been re-released, right? So his trafficking network once it became known that this was not just a simple case of you know some freak getting rolled up here. This was actually a much wider scandal than just one guy, right? This was more of a a a larger network. More scrutiny was placed on it. more documents came to light and so you know we're on right this of course all came to a head and rocketed Epstein's name to being a household name unfortunately when he was suspiciously found dead in his cell where he was serving his sentence for one of the many convictions that he had uh been involved in right and we have to have this baseline understanding of where we're starting from because we have to remember how do investigations work does an investigator come upon one single file of evidence and then immediately know exactly everything that happened and we know the full truth right up front. We don't have to do any investigating. It's all laid out right there. No, that's not how investigations work. Investigations take time. Contrary to popular belief, life is not an episode of Law and Order SVU. You cannot wrap up a nice case with a nice, neat little bow and have the entire mystery solved for you in an hour, right? It takes time. The reason that I'm talking about this is because at a certain point, it became quite clear that this is not just a human trafficking situation. Yes, this was probably a very large human trafficking network. However, it became quite clear over time that this was less of a human trafficking network and probably more of a blackmail operation. And that is where we find ourselves today. I personally am interested in the Epstein case because of the potential for this to be a very serious national security issue. If you're going to tell me that potentially the president of the United States and senior defense officials and senior policy makers for the United States are being actively blackmailed, then we've got a little bit of a situation, don't we? As horrible as it as it may be, right? If you're telling me that someone who has the potential to launch nuclear warheads is potentially blackmailed, that's a little bit different than trafficking hundreds of people, right? You're talking about the lives of hundreds of millions versus the lives of a few hundred victims, which is where this comes out of the criminal justice space and into the realm of national security. That's why Epstein matters for anybody who is unaware. That's why I care about this case. Unfortunately, the truth is not that easy to get at, is it? And this week has been no exception. So, the House Oversight Committee has been charged with investigating this, and this week they have released a few emails. Now, the way that they released the emails have been very, very interesting. Now, politics-wise, the House Oversight Committee absolutely has it in for Donald Trump. They personally don't like him. They're trying to get him. So, this is definitely tr this is attempted to be a gotcha Trump kind of thing. However, pushing the politics aside, I'm interested in the truth. And if they have something that's true, I'm very interested in it. But what they have done so far is they've slowwalked the release. And that's what got my attention. So, in the in the realm of political blackmail, a very common tactic you'll see is what we call a slowwalk release. meaning that they will release one document or two documents. You know, two or three pages here, two or three pages there. And what is this meant to do? This is a warning. It's a shot across the bow to say, "Ah, we've got this. We've got this email string, and we're going to release the first email in this email string, but we're not going to release the whole thing yet." And what is this intended to do? This is intended to apply pressure, right? Blackmail only works if the person's allowing themselves to be blackmailed, right? So, if a blackmail operation comes to an end, they're going to have to start releasing some of that blackmail, right? Some of that incriminating information. And by doing that slowly, maybe they maybe they can drag out the effectiveness of uh what is a an operation coming to an end. So, I think that's probably what's happening so far. Now, I say that with hesitation because there are tens of thousands of pages of documents that have been released. So, on the first day, the House Oversight Committee released like three pages of emails. the second day they released like I don't know five or six pages and then I think yesterday they released 20,000 pages but I haven't had time to go through those 20,000 pages to see how many of these are duplicates because as we all know going back to the great binder scandal the great saga of our failing civilization. A lot of stuff that the US government and these various committees and the White House themselves tend to release has already been released and they're openly lying in saying that these are newly released documents and they're not. They're just the old stuff that doesn't really matter or heavily redacted is my personal favorite. You know, heavily redacted documents being released is a is a classic pastime. So So there's that. Those are a whole series of concerns that we can kind of get into later, but for brevity, let's just leave it there. another series of concerns. For those of you who want to investigate this on your own, you need to be aware of something and I'll share it with you right now. So, there is a trick there is a tactic that is frequently used by politicians and government employees in general to evade Freedom of Information Act requests. So, one thing that they will that they love to do, and you see this all the time, it makes life miserable to try to get around this kind of thing. So, it's a very effective tactic, but what they'll do is they'll misspell things. they will misspell a name or they will use nicknames or they will intentionally like add a letter or take a letter out of a name. So that say for instance a lot of the Hillary Clinton documents which were released a few years ago, remember the whole Hillary Clinton email scandal? Well, a lot of people got spun up over that and filed a Freedom of Information Act requests and one of the things that they would do in the emails is spell the word Hillary wrong. So, if you did a Freedom of Information Act request that specifies you would like any and all emails that contain the name Hillary Rodm Clinton, well, guess what? If there's a misspelling, technically they're complying with your request. They're not going to give you an email that has the word Hillary Clinton spelled with an extra I, right? So, Hillary Clinton, her actual name is spelled without the extra I, whereas Hillary the name often times has an extra I in it. Well, if you did a Freedom of Information Act request for her actual legal name, but somebody had spelled her name wrong, like leaving out the L, you know, leaving out the second L, that's a common one, too. That email would not come out in your foyer request. Another thing that they did at the time was use HRC. So, if you did a foy foyer request for Hillary Rodm Clinton, guess what? If the email had the word HRC in it referring to her, the email would not come up. And that is exactly what is is being uh used here in these Epstein emails as well. The name Epstein is misspelled all over the place. The name Donald Trump is misspelled all over the place. And a lot of other high-ranking politicians have their names misspelled. This is not fat fingering this. This is not just people being stupid. No, because these emails have autocorrect, right? What are they doing? They're trying to use vernacular to avoid a Freedom of Information Act request in the future because they know these emails are probably going to be logged somewhere. It is utterly maddening for sure. But this is what separates politicians from you and I, right? Politicians a lot of times develop this very unique almost instinctive skill to be able to avoid a Government Freedom of Information Act request being applicable to a lot of their stuff. So that's why if you do a keyword search for Epstein in a lot of these things or uh do a keyword search for Donald Trump, not a lot of it will come up because they're referring to him as Donnie here or Donnie T or something like that or any kind of misspelling is very very common. Sometimes it is innocent like just you know typos. But typos are 1,000% used by government employees to avoid Freedom of Information Act requests in the future. It's just a passive thing that they do. It's like breathing, right? They don't even think about it. They just do it. That's something to keep in mind as you're trying to investigate this stuff. So, all of that little analytical stuff is kind of interesting, right? A lot of these like research techniques are kind of interesting, but really we want to cut to the meat of the matter here, right? We want to know are these thing are these documents real and why does this matter, right? So, let's just run through a couple of possibilities here just so we don't upset anybody and let's examine what's the what's the potential outcome of this. So, the first theory is that all of these documents as they are released are genuine and everything in the emails is true, right? It's all true, right? Let's just That's the first theory. Well, that's the nuclear option, isn't it? Right. The impact of that is well, you know, if they're releasing this this exceptionally damning information on Trump himself and other people and donors because I think Trump's probably protecting a lot of his donors more than himself. But anyway, if if everything is true and all of these claims are genuine and everything is the the full truth, right? If that's the case, that's really the nuclear option. That means that, you know, your black mailer is releasing the information. And that means the blackmail operation is coming to an end. This operation is wrapping up and societal upheaval inbound kind of situation, right? Why they haven't released them up until now, I don't know. You can debate that. There's arguments on both sides of that. I'm not getting into that right now. I'm just talking about the possibilities. The next possibilities are that the documents are missing context, meaning they're releasing sections of email chains that they've had for a long time, but they're not releasing the whole chain. Right? So that can matter quite a bit. Another possibility that's in the same kind of realm is that the documents are genuine. Like these emails were not doctorred. They're real documents, but the content are either jokes or lies, right? As in Jeffrey Epstein, when he's emailing somebody, he's telling a lie. Or Mark Epste, his brother, when he's telling when he's emailing somebody, he's telling a lie or he's making a joke or something like that. Context is everything in emails. I hate to be the context guy, right? We require context, right? I hate to be that guy, but I cannot make a decision on world events if you're only going to give me a few emails in an email chain. I want the whole chain, right? So that you can see is what the flow of the conversation is. Unfortunately, these people, again, just like the whole spelling mistakes, these people are just so great at not putting all of the context in one email, nice and wrapped up for us to read. These people speak with a forked tongue, right? So, it's very hard to figure out what exactly they're saying. Look, if I was if I received these emails from somebody, I wouldn't know what in the Sam Hill they're talking about because the context is context is missing. They'll have conversations where they'll send half of the conversation via text, like a like a cell phone text, but then they'll send they'll reference that in an email. So, you don't know what the other half of the conversation is. It is utterly maddening. That's why people have had such a hard time figuring this stuff out because these people just naturally speak like a snake, right? It's not easy to figure out what they're saying. So that's why I think it's important to remember, you know, context is is helpful, but even more than that, even more than the general context of one email chain, the overall context is certainly more helpful, too. And we just don't get that from a lot of these emails. You have to build it. You have to figure out what's going on because let me tell you, the federal government isn't helping us any. The FBI is not trustworthy on this. No federal agencies on this. And the Democrats who are bringing this about, they're not trustworthy either because they have ulterior motives. So they may be willing to doctor things. Now that leads into the last possibility which is the documents that they are releasing right now are fake meaning that uh they are uh complete fabrications or partial fabrications and that this is tainting and muddying the waters of between what's real and what's fake. I think this possibility is probably quite minimal. I don't know if they'd be that stupid to to doctor an email like that. I mean it's pretty it's easier just to selectively release things. That's how politicians work. They don't often fabricate outright easily disprovable lies. what they tend to do is tell halftruths, right? But the possibility does remain that some of these documents are fake, especially ones that make their way onto social media. So hard to say. I don't know. But I think that if the documents are fake, I really certainly hope they don't. I hope the Democrats, if they're trying to get to the truth, even if they're trying to get to the truth for the wrong reasons. If they're trying to do that, fine. Fair enough. Whatever. That's their role in life, I guess. But I hope they haven't doctorred anything because here's what's going to happen. Out of the million pages of documents that have been released, if there is a single sentence that has been fabricated in any of this Epstein stuff, I will tell you exactly what's going to happen. Trump and the White House are going to come out and say, "Look, see, it's all fake." Right? It's going to give Trump cart blanch to basically say this whole Epste thing is a hoax. And we know that it's not a hoax. I don't care how much he keeps saying it. It's not a hoax. This is a very real thing. This is a thing that happened. There is so much overwhelming evidence on this case that it's not a hoax. There are elements of it that are not true, I'm sure, right? And we don't have the whole picture, which is probably the most dangerous outcome anyway, not having the full story of this. And we may never get the full story. I don't think we're ever going to get the full story. But if there is even a single paragraph or a single sentence that has been forged or selectively cropped or something like that, Trump is going to have an easy get out of jail free card and that the whole process is now tainted. So, so even though they're doing this for the wrong reasons, I certainly hope for their sake that they haven't forged anything because personally, I want the truth. I want the full truth no matter who's implicated, no matter how bad this this looks and no matter how many heroes come out of this uh not really smelling like a rose. So, I want the truth. And if they forged anything, that's going to make this hard to get. So, all of that being said, why does this matter? Right? This Epstein thing, I know all of you are probably just absolutely tired with it. The reason that that I wanted to think about this is because this is a very high level issue, right? No one really knows what what would happen if the true Epstein client list were to be released, right? We've got to be real about this. We don't really know. It's sort of like using nuclear weapons for the first time in warfare. We don't really know what what was going to happen when we did that, right? In Japan. So, same thing with this. This is a information nuke, right? A truth nuke, right? We don't really know what's going to happen and we got to be prepared here. And this matters for international relations and generally the state of Western civilization. I know it's not really been in the American news because who cares, right? But Prince Andrew or the formerly Prince Andrew has been stripped of all his royal titles. He's now just some guy. He's now no longer a member of the royal ruling class in the United Kingdom. So, he's just a private citizen now. He has no longer any kind of royal protections. Do you think maybe there was a link there? Do you think maybe that something's coming down the pipeline that people are trying to prepare for? perhaps the revelation of some blackmail documents, right? I don't know. Speculation abounds, right? It's all speculation, but it certainly does seem to have quite a bit of an impact on things. It has been very, very obvious for a long time, and I'm choosing my words extremely carefully here. It has been very, very clear for a very long time that the Jeffrey Epstein network was definitely a human trafficking network for sure. Uh, but what was it for? It wasn't just for entertainment purposes. This was an intelligence operation. It is extremely likely based off of the information that we have that Jeffrey Epstein ran a network to entra politicians, powerful people, big political donors even into doing things on his island that he would record on videotape to blackmail them with later. And furthermore, the part that's probably going to get me in trouble is that it was it's very likely that Epste was working for a nation state level thing, probably MSAD. I know that it's quite kind of a dangerous time in YouTube land to be talking about this sort of thing because well, YouTube's on another purge uh once more, but we've also got to tell the truth here. And in terms of what I care about, right, which is national security and kind of the fate of Western civilization, I don't really know how to reconcile what we do when we find out that this was probably an intelligence operation to enable Jeffrey Epstein to run a network which would videotape politicians doing very, very bad things so that MSAD had leverage on them. And that might explain the way the world is today. That's why I'm concerned about this because it certainly seems like there's a thumb on the scale of international relations. It certainly seems like we have a certain the United States lately, maybe for a longer time than we realize, but maybe there has been a lot of uh international decisions made, a lot of bombs dropped, a lot of carriers moved around because some politicians are on videotape doing things they shouldn't be doing. If we had said that out in the open three or four years ago, we would have been cancelled by our own people, right? our own side, our own friends would have denounced us for saying, "How dare you? How dare you say that?" Well, now it's an American discourse because it's just become so hard to ignore. So maybe it's safe to say it. I don't know. But I've I mean like good grief, how much more evidence do you need? Like it it seems pretty clear as to what was going on here. But despite that, a lot of people just haven't been aware. They don't know what's going on. They're going to be very confused. And I say all of that in the context of realizing that a lot of the normies, you know, people who are just, you know, not terminally online like a lot of us these days, a lot of them are going to be very very confused. A lot of the American populace, a lot of the the people, especially in the the conservative realm are they're not going to understand why you are able to not have to look anything up, but suddenly you know who's involved, right? they're going to be very confused as to why we're able to predict certain world events and why we're able to predict the way things are going to go. You know, policy decisions on the federal government, right? I can look at any number of policy decisions made by the US government this week and say that's never going to happen or that's that's probably going to be a lie. And the reason that this is such an important consideration these days is because there's still a lot of forbidden knowledge in the court of social and public opinion and in society today. There are still a lot of things that you're not allowed unless you want to be dragged through the ringer. You're not allowed to let people know that you know, right? There's still a lot of that going on. So whether we want to acknowledge it or not, it happens, right? You still have to, you know, keep your mouth shut at work a lot of times when you're, you know, co-workers are saying this that or the other. We have to not make that reply in the family group chat sort of thing. A lot of people are in that, a lot of people are in that boat. And because of that, things are going to be a little bit hard to do moving forward, right? Because truth is the end goal. At least it is for me. I want to get to the truth, right? No matter how inconvenient it is. The issue is that a lot of people are not ready for the truth. They don't want to hear it because they have a specific worldview that they want to keep keep living under. The issue where I feel compelled to wade into these sorts of things is when it comes to risk, right? I want to prevent people from having harm come to them, right? That's what I personally want to do. That's why I do all of this, right? I want to help people make their own risk assessment decisions and I want to keep civilization rolling. That's really what I want to do. The issue is is is that if you're rejecting the truth, then you're rejecting data that's going to help you make a risk assessment. If the Jeffrey Epstein network means that the president of the United States was blackmailed by a foreign nation state to make certain policy decisions, or else they're going to release emails or pictures or videos of him doing things he shouldn't be doing. If that is true, let's just say that it is true for a moment, doesn't that mean you're going to have to be making some risk assessment decisions on what to do at a certain point in time, right? Whether it's true or not, hey, that's up for you guys to decide. I'm not going to tell you what to believe. But if these things are true, we have to make some pretty serious decisions here, right? Everything from voting to your choice of career to where you want to position yourself so that you're going to have maximum mobility and and flexibility in a few years time. All of these things matter, right? That's why everybody's so focused on the Middle East because a lot of this is centered there. A lot of this conflict is centered there in one way or another on one side or another. A lot of this conflict goes back there, right? And I guess wrapping all of this up with one final thought is that making decisions with incomplete information is going to be a very very valuable skill over the next few years. It is already quite valuable, but we're having to make decisions based off of incomplete information quite a lot. Like for me personally, this is just my personal opinion, right? I have seen enough of this Epstein stuff to know that I can make certain decisions based off of that. I have seen enough to make me understand that, you know, we're we're definitely not voting our way out of this. That's a catchphrase these days, but it's definitely true. Now, what's the alternative? There's an implication behind that, of course, but I don't think it's the implication everyone thinks. I think that in the long run, when it comes to living daily life, it just means that you're not going to find a solution in the current electoral system. It's going to have to be probably more cultural than anything else. But anyway, I digress. The point is making decisions based off of incomplete information is helpful. It really is. And personally, I've seen enough I've seen enough of this Epstein stuff to make a decision. I think that a lot of politicians in the United States to include Trump to some degree or even to a lot of degree. I don't know. I think a lot of them are being blackmailed. And I think a lot of foreign policy decisions are being made based on that blackmail. And even farther than that, I think a lot of speech crime crackdown, right? The fact that we even have speech crimes in America comes from this blackmail. I think the erosion of our first amendment and our the erosion of our second amendment comes from the realization that the decisions of what goes on in America are not exactly being made in Washington DC. A lot of them are being made in New York or elsewhere. And considering the state of things, that's something to be aware of. So, I'm okay with making decisions on off of incomplete information. Will we ever know what happened with Jeffrey Epstein's network? Will we ever know which politicians he blackmailed? I very highly doubt it. I very highly doubt we're ever going to get to the truth. But we have enough information to make decisions in my opinion. At the end of the day, it's all a farce, right? I think I just wasted a lot of your time today. I think I wasted a lot of time because we all come back to this same thing. No matter what happens in Washington, it is up for you to decide what to do with your life. I lived through all this crazy crackdowns and everything from the left and from the right over the past few years. But at no point at no point did Joe Biden kick in my door and prevent me from doing push-ups that day. At no point was I prevented from eating healthy. Right? At no point was I prevented from reading books. Granted, some of these books are kind of hard to find these days, but you know what? You can still find what you need to read. At no point was I prevented from praying in my own head, right? We can still have a lot of freedom to do the things that we need to do. We can still have a lot of maneuverability and we can still improve ourselves. And let's get out of that slump. Let's start improving ourselves. Let's do more of that. We can definitely do all of that. No matter what scandals come out and no matter how much disturbing content comes out regarding these emails, we can still improve ourselves and prepare for having a little bit more maneuverability when the time comes. So hopefully we can put this Epstein stuff to bed for a little bit. I don't think so. It's never going to go away. I don't want it to go away. I want it to kind of constantly be a reminder of what the uni party really means. When we say uni party, what does that really mean? Well, I think Epstein probably tells us. So, I think this whole Epstein thing helps us figure out what that word uni party really means. But anyway, for now, I think that's probably a good way to roll things up for today. You guys have heard me talk quite enough this week already, so let's go ahead and roll things up with the intercepted ghost net reports. And this week, it has been a massacre with regards to radio signals. I don't know about anybody else, but uh the solar weather this week has not been super great for me, but I still did get uh some messages. I don't know if some of the some of these messages might have been from last week. I can't remember honestly, but some people were able to get out and uh send some messages on HF radio. That's one of those things for those of you who aren't super huge radio nerds. Space weather is just weird, man. It is weird. It's not something that you can categorize. Now, sometimes you can say with solar weather at least, sometimes you can say, "All right, uh the bands are going to be closed, meaning that the solar weather is going to be rather poor. or the geomagnetic interference all the way up there in the ionosphere. All that stuff where radio signals fling about, right? The sun is going to spit out some energy that's going to make that go all wonky for a little bit and it means you're not going to be able to send radio messages very far. Sometimes that happens, but sometimes the sun is weird. Sometimes the Earth does some weird stuff way up there in the atmosphere. And sometimes it means you may have mixed results. You may be like me and be able to transmit exactly 4 and 1/2 ft or it means that you might be able to talk to somebody on the other side of the planet because the atmosphere is doing some weird stuff. It's hard to predict. There are ways to get a little bit more accurate with it, but generally speaking for the non-radio people, whenever this solar weather stuff flares up, it doesn't automatically mean no radios, right? It doesn't automatically mean that. It just means get prepared for the weird. And that's been the case this week. Throughout the week, I've gotten SNR requests or like check-ins, you know, check-in messages, people testing their uh their radius from a long way off and then like 15 minutes later, nothing, right? Like I can't can't hear anybody's. But it just proves that even during the weirdest of weather times, we can still get some messages across, right? So So I'm glad that some of us were at least able to get some messages out this week. So that's all I have for today. Here are the sources as usual. Dig into them if you dare. And of course, again, an easier clickable
Intel Update · 2025-06-07

Intel Update - June 7 - Drones, Germs, and Steal-ing

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for June 1st through the 7th, 2025. It would appear that the summertime antics are in full swing once again as many significant things have occurred over the past week or so. So let's dive in and take a look at what's happened around the world. Though the world is pretty much on fire as usual today, we're going to spend most of this time talking about things that have occurred in the United States and in Russia or Ukraine. Here at home, we've had everything from political theatrics to domestic terrorism threats, both from malign actors located within the United States and from foreign nation states. Like I say all the time, it is hard to determine if the crime waves that we've seen throughout the United States are any higher than the standard baseline for this time of year or if this is just riot season again. But nevertheless, things have remained fairly kinetic around the country. Across the way, things are not much better in Europe. Though there have been quite a few political developments that are rather interesting this week in Europe. Most of the attention has really been focused on Ukraine as usual. Bottom line, the war in Ukraine continues and peace is nowhere in sight. This is most sharply demonstrated by Ukraine's operation spiderweb, their attack on various Russian military bases throughout the Russian homeland, as well as Russia's retaliation, which so far has mostly taken the form of limited missile strikes uh on Kiev proper, mostly the industrial sector of the city. So sources are dubious at best. This is the Ukraine war, right? And misinformation and propaganda is a huge part uh it's a huge tool used by both sides. So, it's hard to figure out what's actually going on. This is not the first few weeks of the war where uh before the propaganda machines got spun up. So, you know, we're kind of here at the latest stage propaganda kind of situation. So, it's hard to figure out exactly what's going on. However, Russia has struck a few targets in Kiev, mostly in the industrial sector, factories, uh military sides, things like that, but it hasn't really been the the big one that everyone's kind of expecting from uh Russia with regards to their response for Ukraine's attack, right? So, if we recall, the last time Ukraine made significant gains such as the their foray in Kursk, the Kursk offensive, Russia launched an IRBM. So, Russia launching a few cruise missiles and a few uh short-range ballistic missiles here and there, that's not really proportionate to what Ukraine did to them with this sneak attack. So, definitely uh keep an eye on this. I'm definitely going to be watching out for to to see what Russia's proper response is going to be. They may not do anything more than this, but I highly doubt it. They're going to have to respond in some way. And just to hammer home the significance of this attack, let's scroll over to Windtac where I will show you some products that I have for Operation Spiderweb. All right, so here we are on the map. So I know that this may look a little bit different uh for some of you out there who uh are used to my ArcGIS maps. This is not ArcGIS. Uh many of you may recognize this as WindC. So this is the Windows version of ATAC or the TAC ecosystem. Now, I know I'm getting a little bit ahead of myself by introducing a new thing without uh kind of any explanation. However, I did want to use WINTAC today to illustrate what's going on in Russia because a kind viewer submitted a data package for me. Uh they went ahead and plotted all of the things that were damaged and destroyed in Russia. And it's a little bit uh more helpful to have a a 3D view of the world that I can more easily uh show with my screen capture software. So, for those of you who are already spun up on ATAC and the TAC ecosystem and you say, "Hey, I want this uh for myself." Fear not. Uh all of these icons here are the kinetic activity tracker and the border crisis tracker, both of which are KMZ's that I have published on my GitHub page. So, if you want to emulate exactly what I have here, you can certainly do so if you wish. I've been updating these KMZs fairly often. And I try to do it once a day, but uh loading in a static KMZ is not uh not the easiest thing to manage if you have to change it out every day. So once every few days seems to be a good medium. But today we're not talking ATAC. Today we are talking Russia. So let's go over here to the European continent and see what is going on. As we can see, a lot of these locations that have been attacked, key military bases, key airfields deep inside Russia's interior have been attacked. Uh this is a pretty big deal. A lot of people may not understand the significance of this, but I'm sure many a white paper will be written by a junior lieutenant uh through all throughout the US military on this topic. So give it some time and you'll definitely see some stuff being written about this. For now though, the very wave top level is understanding that because Ukraine has cracked open this can, now we have a whole lot of concerns that we well we we've always had these concerns, but they've mostly largely just been theoretical. So the reason that these bases were chosen is if you'll notice, they're roughly around the same latitude. Why is this? Well, because of Russia's defense doctrine, which is kind of interesting. So just dipping our toes slightly into a little bit of cold war history to understand why this is so important. Russia is a very special country much like the United States in many ways. In the United States, uh the reason why we have a comparatively easy time with territorial defense is largely because of these two things right here, the large Pacific Ocean and the large Atlantic Ocean. And also the Arctic uh that is very very hard for armies to march their way through. So the United States compared to say I don't know most of Europe, it's very very hard for an adversary to just suddenly appear on our borders and want to cause a ruckus, right? Well, Russia is very similar in that while she doesn't have large oceans to protect herself from uh any adversaries that may seek to cause problems for the homeland, Russia does have a lot of space to play with. We all know the classic phrase, right? the classic blunder, never get involved in a land war in Asia. And the reason for that phrase is, well, many reasons, but it also applies to Russia. So, so what does this Ukrainian attack really mean? Well, look at where these attacks took place. They took place thousands of miles in some cases all the way on the other side of the earth from Ukraine. Now, is this because Ukraine has some kind of super secret long-range weapon? No. They were just able to get spies in uh probably through Kazakhstan and uh they were able to make their way to their targets and this was a very big secret squirrel operation, right? So it's not like Ukraine launched a cruise missile from Ukraine and it struck, you know, way over here in the in the Pacific. No, they they were able to um have a fairly large intelligence victory. Now Ukraine is most certainly celebrating this victory and of course they will. I don't blame them for doing so. Here's the problem though. Um, because Russia has such big space and because Russia is so vulnerable, right, a lot of their defenses are mostly just here. A lot of uh Russia's territorial defense is located along her western border with the European continent, right? So, the fact that these attacks were taking so uh so far behind the enemy lines, so to speak, right? This means very simply that nowhere is safe. So at the risk of digressing too much, I just wanted to cement this idea home and really convey the idea that Russia for many many decades uh to include the height of the Soviet Union made a lot of assumptions about her own defense. Right? Russia assumed that well our big size and our uh spread out forces all the way around our country, right? uh that's going to be a pretty good defense, right? So those, you know, uh pesky Americans, if they were to nuke us or something like that, you know, they're going to have to have a lot of weapons to cover pretty much all of the targets that they would have to do. Well, Ukraine, which is a nation which at least before the war and before American support, Ukraine had the GDP of Nebraska, uh roughly. So now, of course, that's a misleading statement because Ukraine has received hundreds of billions of dollars in support publicly and a lot privately as well. That's not being counted as part of those official metrics. But by and large, Russia's assumptions about uh her territorial defense may not be as accurate as they once were. And this is important. So for all of you out there who don't give one hoot about Ukraine and Russia, here's the bottom line. Ukraine's attack has proven, at least to Russia, that Russia's own preconceived notions about her defense and her doctrine and, you know, the whole idea of why Russia is a very, very big military power. All of these preconceived notions maybe not have been thrown out the window, but they're definitely called into question. Russia thought she was safe because she had a large size. Russia thought she was safe because she could spread her military bases out throughout the whole countryside. and you don't really have to defend so much, right? But Ukraine carrying out this attack proved to Russia that Russia's own preconceived notions about her defense may be inaccurate or outdated. And because Russia was wrong, or maybe has maybe not wrong, but maybe has outdated views of her own territorial defense, a similar nation, which has had similar understandings about her own defense, may want to pay attention. Just point blank. if somebody wanted to conduct the same kind of attack here in the United States, we couldn't do anything about it. So, just something to consider. That's why it's kind of important. That's why I've uh been kind of thinking about it. And a lot of people are going to be writing a lot of papers about this for sure. So, um the thing that I'm thinking about is all right, it's it's one and done. It's interesting. We'll write some write some papers on it and do a deep dive on it, but it's not the end, right? The war continues on. And unfortunately, now that this can has been cracked, we have to be concerned about this sort of thing here at home. I'm not saying that there's uh any direct threat to the homeland on this at the moment. I'm just saying I would not be surprised. So, if one day we get a rather unfortunate wire and things get very very spicy very very quickly, don't uh don't think that there wasn't anyone uh who was not predicting this. So, it's not just me. It's anybody and everybody who can see the writing on the wall. So anyway, I thought that was very very interesting and uh kind of a more helpful way to show this in a semi 3D manner. So I'll be updating my KMZs over the next uh few days and weeks to kind of incorporate this sort of thing. I'm going to have to create a few more layers, so please be advised there's going to be a lot of changes on this. Uh I have not incorporated uh this data package just yet. uh I probably will do so, but I'm trying to figure out how I best want to do it. So, uh just please give me some more time on that. But yeah, I thought that was kind of an interesting way to show this data. All right, back to the slides. With regards to strategic movement, there is really nothing significant to report. Uh the aircraft are still at Diego Garcia. There's still deployed there. Construction on various airfields still continues in the Pacific. All the carriers that were underway last week are still underway. And it's really pretty much the status quo. This of course is not too meaningful of information honestly because uh it tends to lull people into a false sense of security by thinking ah well you know we're not deploying any carriers or you know ARGs anywhere um that means that nothing's going on. No that's not true. It just means that uh the potential for a you know air campaign is kind of reduced. So I don't know. I find it very interesting that those B-52s landed at Diego Garcia right before uh Ukraine unleashed their drone attack on Russia's bombers. So, I'm wondering if maybe they're not necessarily there for operational reasons, but for uh reasons of keeping them out of the way. I don't know. That's just kind of a theory. Have no evidence to back that up, but it's something to think about with regards to strategic movement. Moving to the kinetic activity tracker for this week. It has been rather busy around the country. Lots of additions this week. mostly on the border map, but quite a few kinetic things going on as well. So, let's hop right to it with the more concerning icon on the map, which is the biological terror attack or possible biological terror attack, which occurred in the Midwest, specifically within Michigan. Earlier this week, the DOJ announced the arrest of two Chinese nationals, Chinese citizens, uh, by the name of Young King Xian and Zeon Leu, who were arrested for trying to bring a fungus into the United States, which is classified as a potential aggerrorism weapon. This is not something that we tend to focus on so much. However, this is a very serious problem uh, and a very serious threat vector that China has most certainly taken a very, very big interest in. Of course, these two researchers were working at the University of Michigan to allegedly study uh this kind of bioweapon. Now, I think we can all see through this and see what's going on here, but I find it very very interesting that the University of Michigan connection is there, as you would expect. Now, of course, the the media is uh taking two perspectives with this. The first perspective that the mainstream media is taking is that this is the end of the earth and that the fall of western civilization was prevented by intercepting this uh these these samples at the airport. The other perspective is that uh well this this substance appears naturally in the wild pretty much everywhere in America. So it's no big deal. As we probably can guess, the truth is somewhere in between these two extremes. This is absolutely not like anthrax or anything. It's not something that severe. However, it is a problem when you've got two card carrying members of the Chinese Communist Party who signed a letter, I think in 2022, pledging allegiance to the uh People's Republic of China. That's a problem uh when they're handling things that are classified as potential aggerrorism agents. One thing that not a lot of people have remarked on is the timing of this. These individuals were arrested earlier this week. However, the crime took place last year. Almost a year went by between when their samples were intercepted and they were detained at uh the airport for these substances and when they were arrested. I personally would be very curious as to find out where they were and what they were doing for the past year after trying to commit a bioteterror attack here in the United States. Very very interesting to know that information because it certainly seems like they were just allowed to kind of walk around and continue doing what they were doing. So yeah, it's not like they were just intercepted. they've actually had quite a long time to make other preparations and smuggle in more things and things like that. So, yeah, something to be mindful of. I would be very curious as to find out what was going on. Now, of course, I am not completely naive and I understand that it's very likely that the feds let these two people go once they were flagged and tagged basically after this little stunt and their samples were taken away from them. They probably had a van parked outside their house for a year. And once the the feds rolled up their investigation and developed their networks and they figured a we can't really get much more out of this. Only then did they arrest these two people, but that's always a possibility, you know. Uh so you don't want to rule it out. I personally wouldn't give the feds that much credit, but that's just me. It's possible that a lot of personnel changes that occurred earlier this year because of the election. Uh a lot of people figured out a lot of these older investigations and now they're trying to act on them. I don't know. But I do find it interesting that the arrest took place almost a year after the crime. You would think that with something this serious that would be arrested at the scene and, you know, thrown in a cell forever, but I don't know. That's not what happened. Clearly, they were just arrested earlier this week. Speaking of sketchy incidents, let's move out west for a moment and talk about the terror attack or arson attack or I'm not really sure how you want to call it or label it. Even the feds themselves seem to not really know how to label this, but we'll just call it the Boulder, Colorado incident. This was, of course, the Molotov attack on a persistent protest that was occurring outside the old uh the old historic courthouse there in Boulder. I'm not going to go into too much detail because I'm sure a lot of you have been oversaturated on this kind of attack. However, I have received a lot of messages from locals who are very much aware of this area. And from what I can gather, Pearl Street alone is a rather infamous area. It's very much a uh politically challenging area to be in. As we can see, there's a lot of social issues. So, I'll just say that this area is a very is very much a an area where a lot of social issues tend to clash. A lot of activists around pretty much all the time. Kind of like Portland and Seattle. There are some streets which are basically just I don't know First Amendment zones or whatever you want to call it now. But basically, a lot of people who just want to make their calls heard. They tend to hang out in this general area depending on the time of year and depending on what issue is hot at a particular given moment. In this case, there have been a few pro-Israel demonstrations that have really just been persistent demonstrations. And what I mean by that is it's basically just people getting lawn chairs and sitting uh out in the park there with signs. And that's pretty much it. It's not really much more than that. It's mostly the elderly who have been partaking in these demonstrations. But in this case, earlier this week, uh this individual who does not appear to be very um well wrapped too tight decided to attack one of these demonstrations that had been there for a while. Uh so he lit a molotov and threw it and this is why he is shirtless because he also set himself on fire as one commonly does throwing molotovs. I have not seen any update on how the people are doing who were attacked. I don't know their condition or anything. I saw reports that say that two people were very severely burned, but I haven't seen any follow-up information on that. No one was killed in the attack. So, uh there's that. But in terms of casualties and and those who were wounded, I I just don't know. Again, the suspect as well, his whole life has been kind of released and been the focus of, you know, mainstream media as well as authorities. So, I'm I'm not going to go into too much detail on that. But again, it's just a kind of constant reminder that as summertime comes, these persistent demonstrations, people who have a lot of free time on their hand to kind of demonstrate their whatever cause they wish to, you know, put out there, they're going to be out on street corners and because of this, you're going to have more risk, right? In this case, the closure area here, as you can see, the evacuation zone lasted for over 24 hours. So, I thought that was very, very interesting. And I think they were I think the local authorities were trying to uh I think they were trying to keep demonstrations from clashing again. So they basically just kept everybody out of that area for a couple of days. It wasn't just a few hours. It was several days. Uh and this evacuation zone eventually shrunk down and was cancelled. But still, you may find that because a couple of groups protesting issues you've probably never even heard of because they decided to have a a battle royale in the street. you may find that the city center of a particular area is closed down for a while. Just something to keep in mind as as we move forward into the summer. In the exact same vein, as I am recording this this morning, there are what I would consider largescale riots in Los Angeles. This is mostly taking place at the federal detention facility, the federal building uh there in central Los Angeles. And largely it is uh pro-immigration, counter ICE kinds of unrest. So far, it's pretty much your standard riot. It hasn't gotten too out of hand. They've broken a lot of things, destroyed a lot of vehicles. Uh they appear to be very well funded uh this time around, which is a huge indicator because they've got pre-made signs made uh which are not cheap. They've got vehicles that are driving around that have been made up with signs on them. So, something to be mindful of. the funding level. If a protest shows up and they appear to all have very professionally done signs, they all are wearing matching t-shirts, they're all show up at all the same time, they've coordinated traffic, they've got staging areas. If it appears to be a more professional uh situation, you know, be mindful of that. This is the kind of indicator for something going wrong uh with with a lot of these demonstrators. I know a lot of people will be quick to point out that a lot of these protesters are paid. I can't verify that for sure. For sure. I don't know if anybody can really. It makes perfect sense, but at the end of the day, I'm thinking more tactically on the ground. It doesn't matter if a person's paid or not. If you get hit in the face with a brick, it's going to be a bad day for you. So, just please be mindful of uh the civil unrest going on throughout Los Angeles today and throughout the weekend. Also, something to be aware of. Uh please be on the lookout for this individual up in the Washington State area. This is one Travis Decker. He is the lead suspect in the very gruesome murder of his three children uh at the Rock Island campground just uh east of Seattle just west of Levvenworth. I've been following this one personally because unlike a lot of the other gruesome murders around the country, at least for the first day or so of the manh hunt for this individual, there was a decently good chance that he might be discovered. He left his vehicle at the at the murder site and it's assessed that he was on foot traveling throughout some of these trails throughout the area. So, I wanted to put the notice out to make people aware of this individual because we got to catch this guy. And uh it looks like based on the search area, the extremely rugged terrain, it's probably going to be a member of the public who comes across him first. Now, the initial search area was closed off to the public. uh the local authorities and the state officials and now the FBI who's involved in this. They do not want uh help from local citizens locating this guy during the first few days of the search. I don't know why, but I suspect that it probably has to do with a lot of the rugged terrain. Every single year, uh the county sheriff has got to go out there and rescue people from this exact location. So, it's very very hard uh to find people who want to be found out here. Uh, and that makes for a very challenging search for a fugitive. So, someone who does not want to be found is not going to be found unless they make mistakes. And the reason that I wanted to highlight this is because uh this individual has already made some pretty big mistakes. As of right now, local authorities think they've narrowed down his position to the Pacific Crest Trail. Uh, so he could have gone north or south uh up and down that trail. It's it's hard to say. I can't there's nothing in the in the public view that indicates which direction he went. I can say that the the PCT intersects a lot of other trails in this area. So, if he is truly a fugitive, he's probably going to be using these trails as handrails uh more rather than just walking down the trail. He could also be prepared. He could have cashed supplies. He could also be out of the country by now. Enough time has had has passed to where he could be long gone. But local authorities seem rather adamant, and I don't know why, but I suspect it has to do with the intelligence they have. uh local authorities seem rather adamant that he is still in the local area. So since this uh trail and these the parks in this general area are about to get the flood of people uh into them for recreational purposes, a lot of backpackers uh start moving into this area uh this time of year. Please be on the lookout uh in case you find this individual alive or deceased. So I know a rather gruesome end for the day, but uh that's pretty much all I have. Let's go ahead and wrap things up with the intercepted ghost net reports. And this week was a very fascinating ghost net uh session because right at the time that Russia launched her counterattack against Ukraine uh at least with regards to uh the precursor attacks like the missiles striking Kiev uh that occurred during the ghost net window. So people were talking back and forth about these missiles being launched all in an off-grid manner. So I think that's a very fascinating development. I think that's very good to see. It's very interesting to see information being exchanged on geopolitical issues around the world via HF radio in a way that cannot be censored. You know, in case somebody gets upset and turns off Starlink, in case some malign actor wants to take down a cell tower in your area, you can still get world news through HF or shortwave radio. So once again, thank you guys for contributing to this uh Ghostnap project. Uh you it is really all of you who contribute to this that make it a great thing. And once I get a few other projects uh out of the way, I plan to make it a lot better. So, that's pretty much all I have for today. Here are the sources as usual. Again, links are on my Obsidian page. The KMLs and KMZs for uh most of what I've talked about today are already available on my GitHub page. And all of my other mapping products are, of course, in the description box below. So, thank you all for watching and thank you for all of your support. And I will see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update · 2025-10-19

Intel Update - October 18 - Das Bote

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for October 12th through the 18th, 2025. This week has been kind of a mixed bag. There have been a lot of kinetic things going on around the world, but most of those kinetic things have also been taking place over the past few months. So, this week has been a little bit more nebulous in terms of world events, which has possibly tempted us to be a little bit more complacent. Rest assured, there's plenty of activity going on around the world. So, let's get right to it. First up here in the homeland this week has been a continuation of the civil unrest in places like Portland and Chicago and New York. ICE operations continue. Counter ICE operations continue. This morning, as I'm recording this, the No Kings protests are supposed to be underway nationwide. It's pretty much the same story as before, but again, it would not be a good idea to be complacent with these things. So, if you look at the map on their own website, they're clearly using or reusing the same map as before. So, all of these uh listings that I have clicked around and found are the same as the first round of No King's Protest. So, they're clearly doing the same thing over again. They're trying to make it look like there are demonstrations in places where there aren't. If we recall from the very first round of uh No King's Protests, most of these events never happened because why? It was a SCOP the first time. I know we suspected this the first time and we kind of said there's no way these events are going to happen or if they are, you can look and see that they're scheduled at different times. So they've got the same group of people, the same group of paid demonstrators being busted around from from event to event to event in an area. So instead of one big protest that takes place all day, you've got 15minute protests that occur in 30 different places. So it looks like there's 30 different protests on their own little map here. So again, this is very much manipulation of of information. And so because of that, we might be tempted to be a little bit more, you know, lax, especially considering that the last time I I kid you not, they emptied out a lot of retirement homes so as to pad their protest numbers. Now, again, we can be complacent with even this idea, too, because you might be tempted to think, "Oh, well, these, you know, these people are elderly. They're living in an old folks home, and they don't know what's going on, right? They just, you know, they just like the chance to get out, right?" Unfortunately, many of these people actually are quite cognizant of their belief systems and actions. And a lot of them, you know, even the elderly, very much endorsing of this behavior. So, you know, there's give and take. There's a little bit of, well, they're they're taking advantage. They're exploiting the elderly for to pad their protests. And then there's also the other side of things where the only people that agree with these people are, you know, the extreme elderly, right? So, it's kind of a mixed bag. It doesn't really look good for their cause. I mean, a lot of people are expecting mass pandemonium from these no kings things, but it it just turns out to be mostly the elderly uh on the street a lot of times. That doesn't mean that things can get pretty kinetic in some areas. Like I wrote yesterday, it's it's pretty likely that some small local groups, particularly in the usual places, Chicago, Portland, uh these people will take advantage of the chaos or rather the attention and uh try to cause some problems. So, for the most part, there's this very unique blend this week of legitimate terroristic kind of concerns, but also there are events that aren't really that big of a deal, but they're trying to make them a big deal. So trying to discern which one's which is uh pretty challenging sometimes, but generally speaking, you can look at the demonstration and see if this is going to be a low-level thing or is this going to be more of a highle thing. So it's going to vary widely uh across the country. So speaking of variation, moving down south in South and Central America, the war continues as before with Venezuela. A full-blown war has not yet been declared. However, the United States has sunk two vessels this week. one of which was the typical fastboat, but the other one was a narco submarines. Either way, the United States is certainly not backing down from Venezuela. There's been some rhetoric on whether or not this is a posturing thing and this is uh Trump's classic style of trying to, you know, bully a foreign nation uh into doing what the United States wants. That tends to be uh the way things work out sometimes. And honestly, that would probably not be a bad tactic to use against uh Maduro and Venezuela because that's just kind of the thing that Central American nations and South American nations tend to respond to the most. Some have made the argument that the decision's already been made to launch a ground invasion of Venezuela to replace Maduro. I don't know about that. There's really no way to know. All I know is that it ain't over until the fat lady sings. And so far, everything that we have down in South and Central America can be moved right back to the United States fairly easily. But also, the United States could invade Venezuela pretty easily. So, clearly there's a there's a lot of bluffing going on, but I think it's probably more strong arm and less bluffing than anything else. But, I guess we'll have to see. I'm continuing to build products and work on the IPB or the intelligence preparation of the battle space for Venezuela, just in case things start getting pretty spicy because around the northern part of South America, things are not looking so great. uh such as in Ecuador. Ecuador is currently on fire mostly in many different ways. So Ecuador has been pretty hot for a while now, but nobody cares cuz it's a small nation. It doesn't really have that much impact on things except things like the drug trade. So either way, we'll get into that in a bit. Over in the Middle East, the ceasefire between Hamas and Israel has reached ceasefireish territory. It is still holding for the most part, but we have to remember how things work in the Middle East. There's no such thing as a ceasefire or a peace agreement. there's just temporary halts in the fightings. And even still, when there are ceasefires, there really aren't ceasefires. So, there are skirmishes back and forth. Israel has done a couple of air strikes. They've uh shot a few people with sniper uh and sniper attacks. Same thing with Hamas and Gaza. So, you know, the the crossber fires between the two continues. It's just that the major bombings and the major assaults have stopped for now. probably the best we can hope for at the moment uh in terms of regional stability, but we'll see if it lasts, right? That's the classic phrase being uttered around the Middle East. We'll see. Over in the United Kingdom, the digital ID roll out has begun with uh a small sample group. So, they're starting to roll the ID out with veterans. We'll get into that more in just a bit, but suffice it to say, people are not very happy. Perhaps equally as irritated are the Afghans and Pakistanis who are currently at war with each other. They have taken on the classic south or western Asian mentality of conducting an attack, bombing their enemy, and then immediately withdrawing and declaring a ceasefire. And they both have done this. So the Taliban and Afghanistan will get their convoys. They'll get their whatever rockets or mortars or whatever we left them, roll up to a Pakistan checkpoint, shoot it up, immediately withdraw, and then 5 seconds later say ceasefire. Right? We'd like to agree to a ceasefire. And then Pakistan does the same thing. They bomb cobble and say ceasefire, right? So depending on which news source you read, which honestly I don't trust any news source with this particular war because they're they're both insane. Uh but the general story has been bomb ceasefire, bomb ceasefire, bomb ceasefire. So like there's there's no telling what's going on. Each one of them wants to engage in tit fortat warfare right before the ceasefire. It's you know it's kind of like they always want to get the last word in. So my guess is that this will probably continue for a while. India has also been poking the bear quite a bit and encouraging the Taliban to attack their mortal enemy Pakistan. So, same story as always pretty much. But either way, India and Pakistan engaging in a bit of a proxy war using the Taliban as the intermediary is a little concerning considering India and Pakistan both allegedly have nuclear weapons. Always something to keep an eye on. I know nobody cares about India or Pakistan. Uh but still something to be mindful of when they're engaging in a ground war with an insurgency. Down in Africa, the nation of Madagascar has entered into a state of well, a failed state. Their government has collapsed. A military ruling council. Honestly, really just the general of a small military unit that happened to be in the capital at the time has seized power more or less. And the president has fled on a French military jet. Uh although he still tries to maintain some kind of control over the country, but good luck with that. Either way, Madagascar is not doing so hot. It has been the latest in the African nations to fall. Uh but again, it's a fairly standard African coup, so we'll see how it works out. And finally, the trade war between the United States and China is utterly confusing, especially with regards to the flip-flop of the White House becoming rather concerning uh when it comes to the will they won't they status of tariffs. First, the tariffs are on at 100% hardline strong arm kind of position, and then 5 minutes later in an interview, uh everything's fine, everything's reversed, we're not doing anything. So, I don't know what's going on, but we'll get into it a little bit anyway because there's a couple of things in the world of finance that may be interesting for this week. When it comes to strategic movement this week, it's pretty much status quo. A pretty good chunk of the US Navy is still parked off the coast of Venezuela preparing for whatever they have in mind down there. And that's really uh the big bulk of concern for this week. Uh same as always, pretty much. And for kinetic events here in the homeland, again, uh Portland and Chicago unrest continue as before. It's just that it's settled into a kind of a slump of uh complacency, I think, and people are just kind of accepting the fact that these very dangerous times have have settled upon many major US cities when it comes to immigration. Speaking of insurgency, this week, a Hamas fighter, an alleged Hamas fighter. Really, he wasn't really a member of technically a member of Hamas. He was a member of a splinter group, so it's just easier to call him a Hamas fighter. But this dude was picked up in Louisiana by the DOJ uh for taking part in the October 7th attacks in 2023. So again, I thought that was kind of an interesting thing. Yes, the FBI does have a task force for investigating these sorts of things. So there may be more. Who knows? But I find it kind of interesting that a Hamas fighter turned up here in the US. I don't think very many people are surprised, but I think it's kind of interesting. And also, like I mentioned, the No Kings protests are taking place today around the country. We'll see how it turns out. My guess is there will probably be a shooting or two at random events around the country, possibly due to accidents or misidentifications like last time. Who knows? But we'll see. I don't have much to touch on in the US this week except for one kind of interesting item of note, which is the world of finance has been very interesting this week. I am personally not a finance guy. I'm only looking at this through the lens of international stability and trying to use the financial markets and what's going on there as a way of gauging how uh international sentiment is kind of flowing, right? You can kind of tell these things sometimes and it looks to be like a pretty big period of uncertainty, right? That's kind of the theme this week in finance is uncertainty and there have been a few things that have kind of exacerbated that. So, first of all, the the tariff threats last Friday uh caused the markets to crash quite a bit, especially uh the crypto market. So, Bitcoin took a dive after that as as you could probably imagine, which a lot of finance guys have have commented on. But I found it interesting that insider trading appears to be a fairly good constant. I know, shocking, right? Somebody in the president's circle having insider knowledge and making financial decisions on that. I'm shocked, shocked, I say. But anyway, this whale uh closed a $127 million short on Bitcoin just a few minutes before President Trump announced the tariffs on China. So yeah, not super great. Looks pretty suspicious. I find it very very interesting that that all of this kind of happens within the past week or so, especially in conjunction with what happened in the world of crypto a couple of days ago. The Department of Justice announced a few days ago that they conducted the largest Bitcoin seizure in history. At the time of the seizure, it was roughly 15 billion US dollars worth of Bitcoin, just for perspective. So, a pretty big seizure. The current Dr. Evil mastermind behind this is Chen Xi. And this was this was not a small thing. This was a uh pretty big seizure of crypto. And the reason that this was such a big seizure of crypto is because they were making a lot of crypto off of this. Uh it was a pretty big scam. They had created a large large Fortune 500 company style organization for scamming people over the internet. So for those of you who don't know what pig butchering scams are, it's this is basically like a combination of your Nigerian prince and a honeypot scam. So what they'll do is they'll find people, they'll target people in mass uh on places like Tinder or other dating apps. It's usually where they kind of hang out and they're playing the long game. uh they will befriend someone, start start an online relationship with someone and eventually get them to invest crypto. We see where this is going. Invest crypto in this fake company and they'll make it look real slick. They'll make it real good. They'll even provide some return on investment. You know, like, oh, you've made so much crypto today. Look at this. Put more in and put more in and put more in. And they're fattening the pig up, as we can see the name of this scam. And then eventually one day once they've decided they've fattened this pig up as much as they can, they disappear. They cut and run because it's crypto, not your keys, not your crypto, right? So they make off with a lot of money. Interestingly enough, the DOJ, to the best of my knowledge, I will I'm going to dig dig more into this, but to the best of my knowledge, they have not exactly stated how they seize this crypto. My suspicion, this is pure speculation, my suspicion is they found the seed phrases uh that this company was using to store all their crypto on these various wallets. So once you have the seed phrase, you've got the crypto and that's probably what they did. found that to be very interesting especially in the context of crypto being kind of in the news and also President Trump creating the national strategic Bitcoin reserves whereas previously the previous uh policy was to whenever the FBI or the DOJ were able to actually gain access to seized Bitcoin the policy was to just sell it for US dollars. Well, now the US government now holds this crypto. So they're not selling these 100,000 plus Bitcoin, right? which is interesting because it now means that the US government is now a major holder of crypto. Uh, and the crypto world right now is very volatile as it always is, but especially lately. So, what does all this mean? I have no clue, but I thought I'd mention it anyway because even though it looks like nothing's happening in the world or nothing happening in Washington, it's pretty busy and there's some pretty significant uh indicators of global instability all around the planet. Very interesting stuff though. Now, let's move down to Ecuador for a minute and and briefly touch on what's going on there. Sorry, I haven't made a map for Ecuador just yet. Ecuador is, like I mentioned earlier, on fire. Uh, in some cases, quite literally, there have been quite a few IED attacks to strike Ecuador. These IED attacks have mostly been carried out, I don't know if how how coordinated they are, but they've mostly been carried out by a lot of mining groups, or rather gangs affiliated with illegal mining of natural resources and minerals throughout Ecuador. the government's uh declared a lot of military immobilizations to crack down on this illegal mining which is of course used to fund narco trafficking and things like that. So it's a very complicated web of of dissatisfaction down in South America. I know same story as always but still the people of Ecuador have not been very happy with the uh president Nabboa. A lot of people, a lot of locals are saying that he has conducted a lot of false flag attacks against himself to make it look like people are attacking him so that he has justification to lock down the country and deploy the military. I don't know how true that is. I mean, it seems like it's a fairly chaotic situation down there. The times they are a changing. Destabilization is the name of the game in South America. I think it probably always has been, but still. And speaking of Venezuela, it has again been very kinetic this week. We now have a total of six sunk vessels. Five fast boats sunk and one submarine sunk. Venezuela seems to certainly be quite convinced the US Navy and the US Marine Corps is going to go in and wreck their country. So Venezuela has shut down most of the uh crossber checkpoints and crossings around their country. Granted, it's not like they had a particularly high amount of crossber traffic anyway, but they've they've started fortifying things and they've started uh putting a lot of blockades up to make it hard to transit around the country. Whether or not the United States is going to go into Venezuela remains to be seen. However, Venezuela seems fair fairly convinced the threat's real enough uh real enough for them to do drills, not like it's going to help them that much. Uh but still, they're preparing for the worst, which, you know, may be a goal. It may be all a scop to get them to exhaust their resources, but still the tensions remain high regardless. Similarly, switching gears all the way over to jolly old England, the situation in the UK has not gotten any better. As a matter of fact, it's gotten quite a bit worse with regards to the digital ID. One of the interesting things that a lot of uh citizens in the UK have noticed is every day that goes by, they add some mysterious thing that the digital ID will be required for. So, initially it wasn't for anything. It was the digital ID was for things like voting and to have a job and that was basically it. Well, over time the government says, "Oh, well, it's going to be required for this and this and this and this and this." And suddenly they've just added a new thing every day. So, uh, yesterday they added alcohol purchases. So, now if you want to get a pint, you know, at your local pub, you've now got to have a cell phone on you and scan your digital ID, you know. So, that's that's not gone over super well. There's been a pretty good mass uprising with regards to protests over the digital ID. Doesn't matter one one bit in the UK. I'm sorry to say protesting in the street does not do one lick of good because the government is just doing whatever they want to do. There is absolutely no concern for anyone, even their own constituents whatsoever. The only thing that protesting does in the UK right now, and I think this is why people continue to protest, uh, is that it shows the public just how many people are on their side. Because one of the big things is when you ban protests and people don't protest, even if they they don't agree with something, protests are demonstrations in the street of the sheer number of people that may be on your side. So if the protests were not happening, people might be sitting in their home alone, you know, just like during COVID and they and they may be thinking to themselves, man, I don't agree with X, you know, I don't agree with this issue, but because they don't see people in the street, they think that they may be alone in their idea. But the British people have made it quite clear that this is a something that the majority of the population does not want. Most people do not want this ID thing and doesn't matter. They're doing it anyway and they've actually started rolling it out already. So the British government yesterday said they're starting to roll out uh the digital ID with veterans. So 300,000 veterans uh will be issued with digital IDs. And I'm sure that will go over swimmingly, but we'll see. My guess is that it's going to be pretty disastrous because it's a government app and well it doesn't matter if you're the UK or the US. Government apps don't tend to work super well. So I guess we'll see how that works. But my guess is that it's going to go over not very well at all. But they are moving towards this at breakneck pace. If you recall they first mentioned this digital ID thing just a couple of weeks ago and now it's being implemented. Now granted, digital ID and well, a national ID of some sort has been in the works for decades now, but really it's kind of interesting how how much they've stomped on the gas with regards to implementing this around society. And once again, for the Americans who don't really care what's going on in the UK, here's the link to you. The news stands this week have been full of articles on a wide array of topics. everything from Denver signing contracts with Flock to use their AI uh flown drones around the city without a warrant or anything like that. Same thing with judges ruling that police departments can now use Flock cameras out of the warrant in Virginia. Then of course we have the recent news which broke last night that Flock is going to be partnering with Ring, Amazon's Ring services, so that all Ring cameras are now going to be Flock cameras. So even though we in the United States don't really have anything at all to do with a national ID system in the UK, you might actually be indirectly involved due to the intelligence sharing agreements between the United States and Britain. So something to be mindful of. Not a whole lot you can do about it anyway, but I try to keep an eye on these sorts of things just so that we don't become complacent. So we'll keep our eyes open. We'll keep an eye on all these uh things going on around the world and we'll try to do the best we can to not be complacent. And though I may be quite a bit biased on this, one of the ways that you can do that is, you know, working on basic skills like communications. How's that for a segue into the Ghostnet Reports for this week? I know radio is hard and it kind of sucks a lot of the time, but it's it's something that's going to be pretty helpful. I think it's already proven its utility and this week is no exception. A lot of reports, a lot of news, a lot of people sharing information completely off-grid. You do not need internet access for this and this is a good way for people to exchange information over long distances. I am quietly working on improving this uh quite a bit to integrate it so that it works with a few other things, not just JSA call, but some of you already know about the projects I'm working on uh that are uh in the world of communications and battle tracking and stuff like that. So hopefully I'll be able to tie a lot of this stuff together in due time. But for now, the Ghost Net is a great way to exchange information with each other, keep our skills sharp, not get complacent, and continue moving forward. That's all I have for today. Thank you guys all for watching. Thank you for all of your participation and support over the years. I really do appreciate it's what it's what keeps this project going. So, thank you all for that. Here are the sources for this week as usual. And you can always find my research on my Obsidian page if you want to double check any of the uh reports throughout the week. So, that's all I have for today. Thank you guys again and I'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update · 2021-08-06

Intelligence Briefing: Shortages, Governmental Actions, and the "Freak Out" Point.

hello again everyone and welcome back to another intelligence briefing with the s2 underground uh now right to start with right to begin with many of you might have noticed that this briefing is not live this is not a live stream this is a pre-recorded video and this is for two reasons or a couple of reasons for one my personal schedule right now is not very conducive to doing this particular briefing live or at least in a time of day where most people would be able to watch it and two these live events are people seem to find that that it's difficult for them to find afterwards so if you missed a live briefing it's not very easy to find it on our channel um and it's difficult for us to manually upload to other sites like odyssey and things like that whereas a normal video seems to reach many many more people and that's really the goal i suppose and on top of all that we can easily see if youtube is going to censor us when we upload the video we get little flags on our end if things are not like fit for advertisers or things like that and so yeah if we did a live stream that youtube you know didn't like uh they would shut it off and would lose all of that footage and just kind of be wasted effort right so in the interest of continuing to speak freely with kind of one of our more one of i know one of my more spicy briefings uh we thought it would be a good idea to just try putting this out as a normal video and see what happens so this video may seem to be live as i have instructed our editor to edit this as little as possible which he was all happy to to oblige me on so fear not as usual this briefing will be complete with all of my own unique speech patterns and general lack of professionalism so with that out of the way let's get right to it with the weather so as one can see weather for the american southeast really the whole east coast and a significant portion of the midwest is going to have really low cloud ceilings over the next 12 hours which is really great for avoiding things like visual surveillance releases surveillance packages that are going to be available to lower levels of authority right like we mentioned in our recent uh synthetic aperture radar video that we put out um certain assets can punch right through weather so it doesn't really matter however most of the time we're talking full motion video just a normal video camera on a really expensive drone they're going to have trouble seeing through clouds so for those of you that have been asking us in dms and emails and things like that why are we talking about the weather well this is kind of a taste as as to how normal military briefings go go down normal military operations briefings almost always start with the weather and then they push over to s2 do the intelligence part and then push forth into operations and things like that so that's why we're talking about the weather just to get people kind of used to hey maybe looking up and saying you know realizing hey this is really good surveillance whether if i were to be surveilled or looking up and saying hey you know the cloud's overhead probably not going to be surveilled today so that's why we're covering it also just want to briefly mention on the bottom right hand corner of the screen you can see that the lunar illumination the cycle is 7.8 so we are in a what's called a red aluminum cycle meaning it's going to be a dark dark outside at night time more dark than normal because the the moon is is going to be very very dark so this means that if you were using night vision devices outside you're still going to have trouble using them in a lot of areas particularly if you have cloud cover so if you've got really strong cloud cover and really no moon no lunar illumination it's going to be hard even with some very nice night vision goggles to be seen so something to keep in mind for planning purposes and just to get people in the the mindset of seeing weather um also likewise moving forward over the next 18 hours these are where your clouds are going to be as you can see overcast skies in the pacific northwest right on the coastal region basically where everybody lives and um also in the american north east so the uh new england area is going to have a lot of cloud cover as well really really spotty stuff throughout the rest of the american southeast and the american southwest so yeah there you go low-level clouds are going to be in mid-level clouds and as you can see on this slide higher level clouds as well all right so enough about the weather let's push forward into no tams and this is a short one nothing uh nothing really major to report i did see that there was a there were a couple of vip ones a couple of presidential ones for you know the president or vice president moving to their homes for the weekend so um didn't really feel like you know putting those on the slide because honestly doesn't really matter because they do that every single weekend but other than that nothing really major you can go check it out yourself if you're in an area where no tams might be of interest but i didn't really see nothing really caught my eye as being important for at least the next couple of days now of course no tams change right so and we don't do these briefings every single day right so chances are if you're reading this you probably if you're watching this after it you know premiered or after it went live you're going to want to check just to make sure nothing popped up five minutes after this briefing was over so because no tams come and go very very quickly and again if you don't know what i'm talking about with no tams don't worry we have a specific video on no tams on our channel so check that out and that will explain everything about that moving forward into the civil unrest forecast made a little bit of a change to this slide as you can see california and new york are kind of scary red right now and i did want to put that highlight that on this particular slide because we are seeing since those two states have instituted a passport system for the um the the v word that we cannot mention on youtube without being censored um we're starting to see a lot of resistance to that maybe not enough to matter but certainly not enough to change the way their these totalitarian states work but enough to be like i need to be aware of what's going on so if you're in california or new york make sure that you're aware of any demonstrations going on or things like that because you might have trouble navigating now granted the types of people that are going to be the the demographics that are going to be protesting against the passport system are not the kind of people that will drag you out of your car and beat you to death in the street unlike literally all these other cities that are on the slide um so that's something to keep in mind but you know just also i just wanted to throw that out there that california and new york are they're um they're not a great place right now but you know as we all as we all know so there you go on that all the other states no major change pretty much status quo for how you know violence is skyrocketing in most american cities so there you go on that um so yeah that's pretty much all we have for civil unrest forecast if you're in a major american city you already know this already so there you go moving forward into logistics uh so right to start with i'd like to mention that the chip shortage these the global semiconductor computer chip shortage uh is still very severe it's gotten worse um but it's also gotten slightly better in that electronics manufacturers are starting to retool to work around it so they're able they're innovating around the problem which is good um but i'm i'm not entirely certain i'm certainly not an expert on this uh but a lot of people aren't it's quite clear that this retooling is not going to be everyone's savior for instance samsung just announced i think today or maybe yesterday that they are launching an investigation an internal investigation to try to figure out what's the deal because they're reporting quarterly losses due to sales dropping due to their prices going up so there you go on that also apple is reporting the same thing apple is is projecting that they're going to not have losses so much as not have as many gains as they were expecting in the next quarter due to this chip shortage driving prices up and things like that so and driving availability down also as we can see the lot of red dots on the slide today the water shortage out west as quite literally everyone has predicted months ago the shortage has gotten worse it's it's becoming a reality it's coming into fruition right now so if you are in if you're located in any of these affected states but especially california i personally would be pulling out all the stops to make sure that you have a way to stockpile a good amount of water a way to collect rainwater if the government officials don't arrest you for trying to collect rainwater like they will in california you know things like that because as we have found out from the recent sort of communist overlords that control pretty much everything in states like that when emergencies happen like legitimate genuine emergencies not ones that are planned right but like things like natural disasters when they happen they're so much worse than we ever could have expected because of the way the situation is right so it's also important to remember that california did shut off utilities to people who were accused of violating social distancing mandates last year they shut their water and the power off uh so you know again as with most things in today's presentation this is not a conspiracy theory this is not even a conspiracy this is undeniable history we've passed into history this stuff has already happened this stuff has actually happened um so we're not even talking about preparing for things that might happen uh no we're talking about uh preparing even more for things that have already happened right so um water is going to be on everyone's minds out in the in the west uh moving forward it really depends on how these other states control things like the the waterfall in the colorado river it's hard to say how this is going to turn out but i can guarantee you that the politicians in some of these more totalitarian places like california will seize every single opportunity to restrict water as much as they can so there you go if they need if the and this is the perfect excuse for them to do so so there you go also in a similar vein but not quite nearly as important as drinking water is the liquor shortage in vermont north carolina and ohio so for those of you that don't know all three of these states i believe i know north carolina and ohio are i don't know about vermont they are abc states so the government the state government there is a commission called the alcoholic beverage commission where government controls the distribution of alcoholic beverages which is almost certainly the root cause of this liquor shortage right because after after all we know how state control of the means of production work out so sharp increases in demand um which is what this is supposed to be allegedly from news sources which you know how trustworthy are they the word on the street allegedly is that demand for alcohol in these particular states rose just like every other state in america but because they have abc mandates you can't just go to any normal store and there's no liquor store in the corner it's it's going to be an abc store that's government-run owned and operated and then the government orders the amount of alcohol they don't understand how and they're not able to keep up with a capitalist system like buying and selling goods and services right so of course systems like this fail when demand increases sharply um but honestly even i know i've been to all three of these states and i can tell you that even just on a normal day they're probably going to have shortages just that's just how the system works right in those three states so there you go if you're in vermont north carolina or ohio you probably already know about this but this is something a little taste for those of you who don't you know like us don't live in those states it's interesting to to kind of observe how that works right also i briefly wanted to touch on plastics i don't really myself understand a whole lot about this but the the sort of tweet headline sound bite is that plastics manufacturers and the makers of composite materials and things like that in the gulf states are having a hard time uh producing those plastics and and composites uh the article that i'm sourcing for this is a very interesting article from a market research analyst in that field highly technical well it's not really that technical but it's technical enough to where um it's worth a read so check the sources slide out at the end of this briefing if you wanted to read more and uh yeah so you know bottom line is i don't know how this is going to affect the rest of the country i'm not i'm not really seeing you know none of us here who have uh helped me kind of look out for for shortages on this have really seen plastics being in short supply like we saw last year with plastics from china being in short supply like the packaging you know plastic and and sort of foam packaging uh shortage during covet last year um not really sure how that's going to shake out here in the united states it might not be severe it might be really severe but i just wanted to bring that to everyone's attention and to you know encourage everybody to go read that article because it's interesting um also something that is not nearly even worth mentioning but i thought i'd mention it anyway is that starbucks or starbucks places around the country are having trouble with their inventory so things like syrups and artificial sweeteners are in low supply at random places around the country i can't really get a beat on where it's at because it seems to be kind of random which makes sense for a franchise that sends their supplies you know through different networks and things i don't really know much more than that because i don't really support starbucks at all and let's be honest the demographic of people that would get on twitter to scream about how their soy latte doesn't have enough splenda in it uh is also the kind of people that you know would make a mountain out of a molehill so i don't know if this is genuine or if this is some some sort of indicator for how things are going to go for other restaurants or eateries or whatever in the future so just wanted to point that out there who knows not really that interesting but there you go all right pushing forward into critical infrastructure and concerns so this is a critical infrastructure slide all four of these things are really nationwide so i didn't really put them on the map and the first one is something i'm going to talk about in in great detail here in a minute but i did want to mention that with the institution with with several states instituting or planning the institute or trying to institute uh passport uh controls for medical passport controls right i would be willing to bet this is just kind of like one of those analytical hunches where i would be willing to bet that in the very near future we're going to start seeing medical care and food service is being denied to people who don't have such a medical passport right that's exactly what's happening in new york and california the places that are being targeted are food distribution centers places where you can go get food are the number one places why this passport system is being instituted you control the food you control people's access to the food you control the people right so it kind of makes sense so i'll talk about that a little bit later but sort of in a similar vein i didn't want to mention that as sort of a personal anecdote which has almost zero analytical value but i did want to share that inflation at least in our local area here where both i myself and a few of our staff members live here in the mid-atlantic region of the united states inflation is most definitely a factor just to give you a personal anecdote i knew this doesn't really mean jack at all especially from an analytical standpoint one person's story doesn't really matter uh is that i went shopping for groceries two weeks ago and i went shopping again today and i paid double almost exactly double the price for uh meats all meats and you know beef chicken and pork and uh almost double for certain certain kinds of vegetables so that's concerning um i was my literally i i paid more for groceries today than i have in my entire life and my needs have not expanded at all um you know sure every time i go shopping i try to to stock up you know like you know prepping in the long term right make sure you get just a can an extra can of everything right so we're not talking like i'm going out and buying you know tens of thousands of dollars worth of groceries i'm just like a normal you know family's worth of groceries right and it was double um so that's kind of shocking very shocking to me uh even though it's something that literally every single person with a fourth grader's [Music] knowledge of economics understands so just keep that in mind i know a lot of people right now are kind of freaking out on the interwebs talking about food shortages and things like that um but i just did want to share my own personal anecdote of inflation and how it is most certainly a a thing uh moving forward so yeah not super great i know this this might not be a thing you know again one person's story is probably not indicative of the rest of the country um but i you know if for anyone out there who's in a similar boat uh you know there you go you've got your confirmation that it is happening to at least one other person right so there you go uh moving for switching gears quite significantly is number three uh which is the joint cyber defense collaborative and this is um some quite terrifying stuff not necessarily because it's anything new but because of how it's branded essentially the pentagon the department of defense is partnering with private companies like netflix amazon google uh other companies like that to essentially spy on a lot of stuff uh essentially remember how when edward snowden leaked everything everybody was shocked you know shocked shocked i say to learn that um google and facebook were collaborating with the fbi and the nsa illegally right people were shocked to learn that out well guess what the joint cyber defense collaborative which uh the official press release i have linked in the sources source documents for this episode um they're touting it like it's a good thing like companies are not going to help the federal government prevent cyber attacks but if you read the fine print it's basically just they're freely admitting openly mockingly to your face that they're spying on you once again illegally so there you go and then also switching gears quite significantly as well there was a report i saw that came out a couple of days ago specifically referencing hospital systems the digital systems and the the cyber you know networks and things that are in most north american hospitals apparently this is the statistic grab line from the whole study is that apparently 80 of hospitals in north america are at quote an extreme risk of some kind of crippling cyber attack now again this is one of those very highly technical documents i would highly suggest you read the sore stock in this on this but you know this is one of those uh things where you're like okay well no duh that's exactly you know what we could we could have guessed that well you know there you go there's at least some experts in the cyber security field are screaming about this now as well so there you go on that so pushing forward into significant governmental actions i've got two slides for you today on this so here we go uh first and foremost again the source dock of which is in the sources there has been a this is a couple of weeks old but there has been a significant amount of um consternation surrounding the dhs training for mass vaccinations so here here's the skinny um for those of you that have had a history in like like i have i have a history of uh you know defense defense and and um natural disaster preparedness things like that you know working for like the county guys or something like that for you know disaster preparedness they have these online courses i mean you can go online and learn how to be a certified national weather service weather spotter you know it's free you take like a 30 minute course and there you go stuff like that one of these courses popped up on one of these websites where you can do this online training stuff or even physical training that you can register for in which the training subject was teaching local volunteers how and other federal or federal local state whatever agencies how to conduct quarantine operations in rural areas so obviously people got a lot you know very freaked out about it um honestly i'm in the in today's age i would be concerned about it as well however if this kind of thing happened 10 years ago nobody would really bat an eye because yeah of course you're expecting your county that's that's what happens you know think if if ebola like like legit like like a legitimate a highly contagious disease broke out in the united states you'd expect you know some kind of you know county or local assistance right you know maybe not everybody but at least that's what governmental agencies are supposed to be for i know this kind of an oxymoron at this point but uh point is is that this exact training course if it were to have appeared online 10 years ago nobody would have batted an eye but because of what it means today with everybody including ourselves being very concerned with soldiers kicking in our door in the middle of the night to shove a needle in our arm um it doesn't look very good for the department of homeland security and considering the department of homeland security is um uh a complete joke now uh as really they have been for you know since they were created uh it's very concerning so there you go on that i'm not sure if i'd be you know be a panic level over it but i just didn't want to point that out that that did happen uh also uh when it comes to election stuff um twitter uh you know good old jack is back at it again uh purging several accounts that were covering and exposing the um inconsistencies i'll say it that way so youtube doesn't ban me the inconsistencies in the election audits of arizona wisconsin nevada and georgia the all four of those states which by the way are having some very interesting things coming out about them that i don't really want to delve into because i don't really know how um i think it would take a lot of time to dig into that and then would probably just get banned anyway but there's a lot of people talking about it already so it's not like it's it's being you know ignored um conservative twitter and conservative sites are really are you know putting it right at the forefront so go there if you want to learn what's going on with the election stuff third i just wanted to have this kind of on record for when social media and really all media kind of forgets this happened but uh cuomo um has gotten is gotten uh gotten in quite a bit of trouble even as even his own attorney general released a report against him basically the report that was released that confirmed that the sexual harassment complaints against him were in fact true um and even the the federal regime is saying that he should resign so very interesting stuff i'm sure we'll probably see something in a few days but i would be highly surprised if he goes away that quickly cnn is interestingly refusing to cover the story which is actually not that interesting considering that his brother is a cnn reporter so there you go also number four the white house is now openly censoring social media so this happened a few weeks ago as well uh the white house through their press secretary and and basically through a lot of their spokespeople is now clearly openly and not even trying to hide the fact that they are ordering social media websites to censor their enemies this came out when it came to during a press conference in which the the white house press secretary confirmed that they were directing facebook to delete certain content from their platform so there you go um if you didn't take anything away from this briefing i feel like this briefing has like five or six like every bullet point in it is like hmm that's uh yeah that's not good um and yeah this is one of those where it's like we're talking i'm talking about it quite casually but it could not be more serious um so yeah there you go white house is now openly censoring social media and directly ordering them if that doesn't show you that's media all media in the united states is now working for the federal government i don't know what will so yeah uh and also number five this is an interesting one um and the universities are requiring uh the the medical procedure that shall not be named right uh now this is interesting this is how they're doing i've seen this in a few different universities a few different people who are who are sadly college students right now and kind of can't get out of it without having to pay back a lot of either student loans or something like that they have sent us a lot of information and oh man this is so sneaky so what they'll do is for those of you that don't understand how you know college works i hate to be condescending but there is a registration period and then a period goes by um it depends on what university is but you register for classes then classes begin then there's a drop date for classes so what people are seeing is that the universities are waiting for the the our registration to complete and then they're saying they're they're saying before you know the semester even starts hey we're not going to mandate masks we're not going to mandate any of this if we're not going to mandate medical procedures and things like that to get students to register and then once students are registered uh and or past the drop date for the class they're saying oh well you know now we're going to mandate mass for everyone oh now we're going to mandate you get an experimental medical procedure that kind of stuff so they're waiting until students are financially obligated to finish the term or else lose a significant amount of money and potentially void their their student aid federal aid and things like that so they can control them i think that's just you know just completely dastardly but it's genius it's like a genius and how evil it is but it seems like most universities are trying to do that is because we all know how universities work now so i thought i'd mention that for anybody who's who's out there who might be a student or is registering for classes if you if your university has come out and stated we're not going to mandate this we're going to not make it we're we're not going to mandate that just watch and see what happens after the drop date for your course or after courses have begun um and the the ad drop period um has passed right so that you can't drop the course without losing your money just wait and see what happens i i guarantee you you'll be in for some nasty surprises there uh so continuing on with uh this uh series of significant governmental actions um keeping in theme with the the experimental medical procedure that shall not be named uh number six here is that the is what um the military uh community has been talking about and rightfully freaking out about for a while now which is the secretary of defense seeking approval to mandate uh this experimental medical procedure before its fda approved so yeah soldiers everywhere who have a heart and realize what's going on are freaking out over this because they really have no option for those of you that don't understand how the military operates there you have no choice the choice is either get out of the military and accept an other than honorable discharge or maybe even a general discharge or some kind of discharge for refusing to get a medical procedure like i personally know a lot of people who got kicked out of the military for refusing to get the flu shot and um yeah that's a shame uh that the military's like that but that's just the way it is and unfortunately service members are put in a very bad choice between having to choose between two very bad choices so i did want to mention it because it is going on it is happening and for posterity's sake i just wanted to have it on the record that this is the day that we're talking about it essentially so there you go switching gears quite significantly but still keeping in the theme of a significant action is apple has decided that they are going to be scanning your personal photos yeah even more so than they already do now i did put this here because apple is according to the other bullet where which i just briefed that companies are now starting to partner with national defense entities you now see why this is why apple is now considered by us to be the government now apple is doing this under the guise of something quite noble they are pretending to develop this technology and institute it on iphones uh to scan your foot to scan a person's photos and determine and detect and report uh child abuse and and um illicit content like that however as literally every single human being on the planet can obviously see it's that's most likely going to be either a a lie or two a uh a diversion to be able to spy on your devices even more so than apple already does so there you go yet another reason to avoid smartphone usage as much as possible so you know something to to definitely keep in mind keep your eye on it because apple loves sneaking these things in all tech companies love sneaking these things in so there you go all right number eight is something keeping you know moving back to the military category uh the military has announced that they are stockpiling 500 million doses of this experimental drug um allegedly now this is from an army times article that again is in the is in the sources for this even the army times like based on their la based on their uh the way it's written maybe i'm biased and i'm reading between the lines when there's nothing there but it seems like whoever wrote the army times article is even thinking that the army's excuse that oh these are for internationally used like they're going to go to people in africa even the harmony times writer thinks that's bs so yeah it's most likely going to be used for something more nefarious than simply helping out another developing nation um and combined with you know the military lust or the senior military lust for going door-to-door yeah well we can we can put two and two together quite quickly it doesn't really take a genius to figure that out now as far as again on the freakout meter how much to freak out i wouldn't necessarily completely freak out just yet but i mean geez there have already been like eight things i've already talked about in this briefing that are worth freaking out over so i don't know take that for what you will i guess another one of those freak out things is number nine which is the michigan air national guard in upcoming exercises will be intentionally closing a highway and a public highway interstate and using it as an improvised landing strip now the military analysts out there will tell you that this is not necessarily a bad thing this is kind of a national defense thing it makes a lot of sense to be able to to train and things like that for foreign invasion and stuff like that here's the deal though uh out of all of the with every single state's national guard um reporting funding problems right to where they can't even get basic very basic infantry training level skills and things like that we cannot even develop basic soldiers skills why then is the michigan air national guard of all places the national guard for freaking michigan right why are they training to land on an improvised landing strip oh by the way which will be the very first time in us history this has ever happened yeah interesting um i don't know if this is more as nefarious as a lot of uh conservative sites are making this out to be um but i do think that it's uh it's there's something fishy going on either somebody's trying to dump some funding uh so that they can get uh at the end of the fiscal year which were coming up on the end of the fiscal year right so they're trying to dump some funding so that they can get more next year or they're just incompetent or some general wanted to get their pet project across and made a deal with the governor for more funding who knows or it could be what everybody seems to think it is on the internet which is something to ferish training for the american military to target uh americans which we think is a thing but i'm just not sure if this is going to be a a representative representative situation of that i don't know but i did want to mention it you can research it on your own so yeah there you go on that and then for number 10 i made a mistake i made yet another mistake on these slides there's a mistake in every slide i put the joint cyber defense collaborative on there twice so i already talked about that so we'll just go ahead and skip that last one because i already talked about it now moving forward into what we get asked a lot understandably a lot of people out there are asking at what level should we be freaking out or or something like that or um what what kind of concerns should i have and things like that like i cannot tell you how many like i'm sure the guy who man's our instagram account just gets bombarded every day i know when i check our email account we get bombarded every day and you know don't don't get this wrong we're not trying to say don't contact us we're just saying that a lot of people are very upset and i i completely understand it i really do i'm very upset um but here is where i wanted to spread a little bit of optimism okay and i wanted to do that via this sort of format and we can do this with every single with a lot of different issues but i just wanted to show you uh what how i'm trying to think about things when i see something really gargantuanly bad happen in the news or something like that and i think oh my god the the end is not right uh this is the thought process i go through so i go through a three-step thought process for a lot of this stuff that i see that's just horrifically bad first of all is what what happened okay and second is what would if i were looking through the lens of a totalitarian dictator if i wanted to be king emperor of the universe what would i have to do in order to make that original thing more effective right and lastly i think because of those mistakes how can i take advantage of a person who isn't as effective as they could be so here let me let me run through the first one and show you what i'm talking about so what the regime did was recommend masks slash the experimental drug that cannot be named right so they've recommended it okay they didn't they haven't mandated it yet right they haven't mandated it yet for for citizens okay so what a totalitarian dictator would need to do in order to get compliance is mandate that stuff immediately for every person and go door to door and make sure that it happens right and you know that might happen one day uh every day that goes by it seems like we're creeping towards that um but right now we have to admit that if resistance to this kind of stuff is possible in the first place if they're giving us a choice right recommending is not recommending is coercing but it's not mandating right they're giving us an option right and if that's possible then it will lead to resistance in other areas you know if they were to come out and say masks and the experimental drug are mandatory for every u.s citizen to get your resistance would fall sharply because people just don't see a way out well now they're offered a way out people are offered a way to not participate in that and since that happens uh that resistance can spread to other areas so there you go they're just not as effective as as they as they can be right same thing with coercing people into staying inside right stay indoors save lives right yeah all that bs right well here's the thing they're just coercing people right they're tricking people using propaganda and things like that a totalitarian dictator in order to be fully effective would have to order this at you know at gunpoint like in australia right people are literally having to show their papers to the police to leave their freaking houses right that's what would have to happen in the united states right and since that's not happening we can take advantage of that every minute of freedom that we have is a minute of freedom that we have to stockpile you know collect and collect intel you know prepare for the lockdowns for when they for when you know the gun point does come right if that does happen right so there you go we can take advantage of that even though it seems like that first event right you know the government's coercing people into staying inside their houses well we can turn that into a positive thing um without too much effort at all just by looking at the other side of the coin right they're not as effective as they could be likewise this is for the military guys out there purging the military of dissidents like we remember hey you know the us government is now looking at your facebook page soldier you know that's how it works right well here's the thing though they didn't purge everybody they did not purge every single person in the united states military that does not agree with the regime or senior military leadership in fact quite the opposite has occurred right whoever is left in the military right those only a handful of people have been kicked out of the military for being quote unquote extremists right i.e they liked the wrong thing on facebook and their command found out about it right the majority of the military that's left right is now covertly operating with the same beliefs that they had before so now they're getting used to operating in a covert environment they're getting used to hiding their beliefs from their command because there you go and if they're willing to hide their beliefs from their command they're willing to hide other beliefs from their command you see how that works and you know in classic fashion right classic us history right the us military has created more adversaries within its own ranks than it has stopped outside its ranks right so there you go by trying to purge but not being completely effective right which is not something the regime could have done in the first place right by purging as many by purging just a few people they have ticked off everybody else right or or mostly everybody else and now they're underground right so there you go on that likewise with the thing that everybody's concerned about is infringing on gun rights right the regime has of course infringed on pretty much every human right that there is but especially gun rights but but what a totalitarian dictator would have to do right in order to be fully effective is literally a surprise raid on every single human being who owns a gun in the united states at the same exact time right it's going to be coordinated at every level federal state local and even like sub-local groups would have to be coordinated to all strike at once to get every single gun right this is not australia where you can have a gun buyback program and every person in the entire country shows up and gives up their guns willingly this is america we don't do that here granted there are a lot of you know flood types out there that would gladly hand in their guns um because daddy government told them to uh the fact of the matter is is that the resistance to this kind of stuff has never been stronger than it is today right so the the interesting tidbit that a lot of people have mentioned this is not just you know me trying to be an internet you know um professor or anything the interesting part that a lot of people have noticed is that the regime has infringed so much that ordinary people ordinary people who um don't who don't um who think that you know some gun laws are good and things like that those people are now openly and regularly violating laws you know just a couple of years ago people would be terrified to even have a stock and an ar pistol in the same exact room because they were terrified that the atf would raid them and say ah you're you have the capability of doing so well you know now the vast majority of gun owners simply ignore most gun laws so there you go um i guess the moral of the story for talking about this particular issue is that every single day that goes by and this middle column here right this this list of stuff that a total dictator would have to do every day that goes by and this middle column doesn't happen is a day that we can use to our advantage right so that is a bit of good news i know that not a lot of time we don't talk about good news a lot but it's really important to keep things in perspective keep things grounded and stuff like that and up next is something that i wanted to talk about um because this is something that i just you know on a whim one day created because i i we we kept getting a lot of dms for this and you're going to get a different answer if you ask every single person here what books would you recommend so i created on goodreads a reading list if you're interested in learning more or you want to figure out where to begin or if you're interested in the field of intelligence or military history or things like that if you want a list of books to read to that we think that i think would help get us out of the situation that we're in this is where you need to go now i will be the first to admit that i do not like this platform since it's owned by amazon but it's the easiest thing to use it catalogs it's able to catalog our books here the literally stacks of thousands of books that we have here in our shop it's really easy to transfer them over to this platform and most importantly you don't need an account to view the books that i've dropped on here which is nice i would also mention that this list is far from com really far from complete i've only got a couple hundred on there so far i'm trying to progressively add books as i can get to them and they had you know ads specific shelves for specific topics um [Music] so yeah like i mentioned we're often asked what books would recommend for people that are new to the field of intel and stuff like that so we've got a specific list for that you know and if you got the basics down and you want something a little bit more advanced well you know we've got a a higher level more challenging advanced intel bookshelf as well so check it out if you're interested uh you know we are always reading new books here and so i'm you know i'm really the main person who is adding books to this list most of our staff here is constantly sending me books to add to the list that i either totally forgot about or even haven't read yet so i will completely and be grateful for any books that anyone can recommend i'm absolutely opening the floodgates and requesting that if you've got a book that's really good and you think is is very handy to to to know uh please send it to us or or drop it in the comments below we've got a channel on key base and i think element as well for reading list recommendations and things like that so that would be very very handy so we can add to the list so yeah and pushing forward into international issues the bottom line is there's a lot of stuff going on in the world and i did not have enough time or the bandwidth to find the hundreds of things that are going on in the world to add to this slide but i will briefly mention that the china the chinese nuclear power plant that's leaking is still leaking and shocker is leaking worse than what they told us um surprising for communists i know right um and a lot of experts are now warning that uh it might actually melt down i don't really know about that um i think that the chinese would absolutely sacrifice their people in order to make sure it didn't melt down because a meltdown is something that's hard to keep within the confines of state control especially with western media having an eye on it but who knows we might uh wake up one morning and see uh see a plume but i don't know we'll see i guess also france france is not letting us down with their um uh massive anti-anti-lock down protests which are currently underway in the country they know how to do it right the the friendship really people knock the french for well being french i suppose but uh they really know how to protest so i i think it's been kind of entertaining to at least watch some of the stuff they're doing and it's it's very helpful to know that at least some people in europe are willing to resist so that's very good to know because europe is um europe's dealing with a lot of stuff right now um so yeah also iran if you wanted to um look this up iran has allegedly hijacked another oil tanker there's really not much information on this right now but the united kingdom that's why i have the same bullet for each each one is that the united kingdom is heavily involved a counter piracy company in the united kingdom was heavily involved trying to say uh hey iran just stole another oil tanker we think now in a few days we'll probably know a little bit more but it would not surprise me at all considering israel has been very very much all about targeting iran shipping oil to syria so it would make sense that iran is having to confiscate or or hijack more um oil tankers so they can that's just what iranians do right the the irony regime i should say uh and then finally the united kingdom is in uh some hot water of their own because uh apparently there are mass food shortages and resource shortages in that country which is being blamed on brexit it's that sounds about right to be honest because of logistical complexities that come with brexit if you haven't been following brexit it's too much to get into right now but uh just suffice it to say that people in the united kingdom are are reporting shortages of pretty much everything um either as a legitimate shortage or there's a driver shortage because of brexit uh people are certain people aren't allowed to you know drive for things like that and um food is you know rotting in the fields and things like that in a few select areas so uh yeah not super great for the uk um it's not i would not classify it as quite an emergency level yet but it is interesting to see that food shortages are most certainly a theme on the international front at this time so before i uh i ended today i just wanted to do like a little mini a little mini podcast and take a minute to check in with everybody and see how everybody's doing and really just to say keep on keeping on and try not to let things get to you too much like i mentioned earlier pretty much everything in this briefing today is worth panicking over even though we're not panicking it's just people everywhere are getting burned out left and right and i find even myself well especially myself just without the energy to view things as they really are anymore in a lot of cases there are a lot of dudes on the internet screaming about this or that these days and unfortunately a lot of them are right yes we are living in unprecedented times times yes our government is legitimately trying to use communism to usher in totalitarianism or whatever it certainly seems like it right you know you know things are not going super great right now we're not confused as to what's going on right i think most people know what's going on to some degree right at this point anyone who doesn't even see the tiniest bit of what's going on i can't help them like none of our staff here can help them there's nothing we can write there's nothing we can produce that can help people like that um they are beyond saving at this point um at least at this time right it may change in the future but you know it's unfortunate um at least the effort required to help a person dig themselves out of the ideological hole they've dug would be disproportionate to the number of people that we could help right so yeah i mean if you go back and you listen to a lot of our previous content really mostly our original og podcast you'll notice how much we've all changed we here try to be as analytical as possible neutral will be the wrong word because neutrality is what journalism is supposed to be and we're not journalists right analysts are supposed to use their skills and experiences to advocate for a certain course of action that's what analysis is right and the very definition requires that analysts be continually at odds with each other um a team of analysts that all agree on everything you know all the time they're that's that's a worthless team right now that means that you might have people um you know this doesn't apply just to analysts like us but you you know normal people as well so you might have people who have different freakout points right like i was mentioning earlier if that that makes sense you know like for instance if i see a a bomb disposal technician running right you know i'm going to break h
Intel Update · 2025-04-05

Intel Update - April 5 - The Rubicon

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for March 30th through April 5th, 2025. So let's get right to it. Starting off with our new slide again. It has been a very busy week for strategic movement around the world. On the home front, obviously the biggest concern this week has been largely economic in nature as the White House has released its reciprocal tariff plan, which we'll get to in a moment. The effects of this are largely still working out. Things are happening very, very quickly. So it's probably going to be a few more days before we see any real solid changes. Right now, things are just too fluid to to determine exactly how things are going to stand. Nevertheless, over in Eastern Europe, the war continues in Ukraine as before. Ukraine has very much fallen out of the news cycle as the economic impacts and things in the Middle East are heating up. But unfortunately, no developments on that for this week. Over in the Far East, the Chinese naval drills in the vicinity of Taiwan have concluded, largely without any big changes other than every time China does one of these drills, they learn something new. And this time around it it was really more of a focus on combined arms warfare and getting service branches to work with one another and improve communications and logistics and command and control things like this things that you would absolutely need to to be very sharp on if if you're going to invade a nation like Taiwan. So China has most certainly been practicing that and they have learned quite a bit. But most eyes around the world have been focused on the Middle East this week as what I'm hesitantly calling the surge has continued. Cargo flights from both Europe and from Southeast Asia have most certainly been flooding into the region, adding to the concerns that this whole force buildup in the Middle East might not actually be a bluff or any kind of power projection role primarily. But we'll get into that in just a moment. Speaking of strategic movements, I've created a a very rudimentary fleet tracker here just to add a little bit more context with regards to what is going on with regards to strategic movement. So the past week has been host to significant American naval activity on the west coast. The USS Nimttz carrier strike group has deployed on a standard rotation to the far east. The Carl Vincson CSG was the one that was stationed in the Pacific. However, Sentcom announced uh earlier a few a few days ago that they will be taking operational control of the Carl Vincent. So, there will be two aircraft carriers in Sentcom's AO until further notice essentially. So, right now in the Middle East supporting various operations in the Middle East are the Harry S. Truman carrier strike group and the Carl Vincson carrier strike group. The Vincent's probably going to make their way into the Indian Ocean right about now, right as this brief comes out. So having two aircraft carriers in the Middle East is not entirely an oh my gosh, we're going to war tomorrow kind of indicator, but it is something to be mindful of, except for the fact that there aren't two aircraft carriers in the Middle East. There are actually three. The French are also in theater. The Charles Zagal carrier strike group is wrapping up her deployment to the Middle East. It was a standard training deployment. Nothing out of the ordinary, but as of I think this morning, she was still spotted in Djibouti. So, uh, you know, she's still on station kind of in the region, and it's going to be interesting to see if we're expecting some kind of shenanigans to go down in the Middle East over the next couple of weeks. You may see her either kind of linger on station for a bit or shoot and scoot really quickly back up uh to her home waters to to rest and refit so that she could come back out again if needed. Once again, this is really the only carrier in NATO that's uh you know operationally like deployable at the moment as far as I know. So something to keep an eye on for sure. Also unconfirmed reporting this week. I I did want to mention it because even though we can't confirm it, this is one of those closed source things, but uh some closed source reporting that, you know, mainstream media journalists are getting directly from their contacts in the Pentagon states that at least one THAAD battery and at least two Patriot batteries have been deployed from Paycom to the Middle East. The THAAD battery looks like it probably came from South Korea because there were a lot of uh there was a a boost a noticeable increase in C17 and C5 traffic out of South Korea a few days ago which was a little bit odd and now we're kind of just putting two and two together. It's a very loose assessment but it makes sense that a a THAAD system would be deployed from South Korea to the Middle East. Same thing with the Euima. I've been keeping an eye on the USS Euima LHD7 which is once again not slated for deployment anytime soon. She just wrapped up a pretty big exercise uh in the Atlantic a few days ago or a couple weeks ago at least and she's going through various modernization processes right now. So right now she's been moving around a lot though. There are a lot of indications and warnings that she may be getting ready for a deployment and it's nothing scheduled as far as I know. So that'll be something to keep an eye on. unscheduled deployments of very large naval assets or non-standard deployments of naval assets or transferring one aircraft carrier from one AO to another that these are big indications for something going on. Of course, there are always counter arguments for that, but this is the real deal as it stands right now. Drilling down a little bit more specifically to the North American continent. I have continued to update what I'm I'm very loosely calling the domestic terrorism tracker. My goal for this is maybe a little bit hard to convey at the moment, but but generally speaking, this data set uh among others that I'm working on, this data set in particular is meant to track all of the things that are not necessarily just routine street crime, but a little bit a little bit more high-profile than that. It started off as tracking all the various domestic terrorism events, but as we all know, I I don't particularly like that word terrorism because, well, it can be used in a bunch of different ways and it's a very very loose definition. So, if anybody has any better idea for what I should call this, please let me know. But yeah, this is uh kind of the good baseline I'm laying down. And and the reason that I'm I'm trying to do this is so that we can look at charts like this. Uh again, this is very primitive. I've got much prettier ones in the works, but we can see that the latter half of the month of March experienced a burst of vandalism activity, but also other types of activities. You can start to see more colors come into the chart there at that point in time as well. we can start to see a diversification of these styles of more political politically motivated attacks. So again, I know it's super boring. It's not super helpful for most of you out there. I know a lot of you just want the just want the story, right? But these are the things that I'm working on kind of behind the scenes that will paint a more clear picture later. I promise it will make it will make sense later on. So switching gears back to the economic front, let's talk about the North American trade tariffs as they are being implemented by the White House. These are the charts produced by the White House. So, you're seeing the primary source material for which trade tariffs are going to go into effect with which nation. Again, it's a lot of data to take in, but really we only need to take a look at uh the first chart here. Even though we've got a total of eight charts, really the the first one is where most of the data is centered. So, now let me state right up front and I am most certainly not an economist. I really can't comment on a lot of these economic things with any accuracy. And as with anything in the world of economics, there is a lot of very vicious and vitriolic debate on a lot of this stuff. But let me just share with you two things that I'm kind of thinking about that might be helpful for you over the next week or so while we're still waiting to see how these things kind of shake out. First of all, the immediate impact is largely going to be with industries which can't easily and quickly bring manufacturing back home. So all of this aside, let's talk solutions for a moment. It's never a good idea to panic. Panic is never helpful. it's it's it doesn't really help us at all in any situation really. But being mindful of the impacts that could happen very very quickly uh in the world of logistics is very very helpful. Bottom line, if you need to buy something, know where that thing is made. Again, I don't have to tell you guys this. This is all just common sense kind of stuff. But considering that we are uh crossing the Rubicon or looking at the Rubicon in many ways these days, it's just important to recognize where we are at and take it from there, right? But anyway, we shall see, I suppose. So, let's move over to our favorite island in the middle of the Indian Ocean, Diego Garcia. As many of you noted this week, I updated some products regarding the V2 spirits that have been observed at Diego Garcia for deployed. This imagery is not open source imagery. Well, technically it is, uh, but it's not free. you got to pay for it. This is commercial satellite imagery from March 30th showing five B2s. And we got some imagery a little bit more recently from April 1st that shows all six. So, at the moment, we have confirmed that at least six B2 Spirit bombers are for deployed to Diego Garcia along with at least six KC 135 Strata tankers for refueling, obviously. Now, we can get way down into the weeds with this, but I did want to briefly mention because I forgot to mention last time, these uh pillshaped objects uh just to the north of the runway there, these are indeed hangers for B2 Spirit bombers. So, when it comes to numbers, theoretically, technically, there could be as many as 10. Four in the hangers and six out on the runway. Now, I personally do not think this is likely. I think that the six that we see are the six that are there. Why do I think this? Well, essentially because we were able to bean count. Uh this is something that kind of goes back to the world of intelligence and the Cold War and essentially looking at satellite images and counting the beans as they move around on the map. In this case, airframes. Many an imagery analyst has made their living off of bean counting for their career, tracking the Soviets and Russian ships in and out of port like the Hunt for October, things like that. So, we can do the same thing nowadays with things like strategic aircraft. So, I will state that it is technically possible for four more B2 Spirit bombers to have sneakily taken off from Whiteman Air Force Base and flown halfway around the world to land here and not be imaged by a satellite and very hush hush gone right into the hangers. I don't think that's very very likely. Uh because all six of these we were able to track and we were able to know how many were on the way because of the aviation traffic as they were able to uh they had to communicate with air traffic control transiting various airspace uh corridors and things like that. Like I mentioned last week, there are only 20 of these around the country. So we only have 20 B2 bombers in existence. But I failed to mention last week that not all of them are operational. And as of the congressional hearings on various military budget stuff from last year, the Pentagon states that their testimony is at least that 11 are operational. So this means that right here on this image, you are looking at over half of America's entire long range stealth bomber force. That's a pretty big deal. B2s do fly around the world. They are seen doing exercises. Uh they even targeted the Houthis a while back couple of months ago, as a matter of fact. So, they do get around, but four deploying six to one base, I mean, these that's pretty rare. I don't I don't know if I've ever seen that before. I don't think I've ever seen this many B2s in one place outside of Whiteitman Air Force Base. If it's a bluff, it's one that we've never made before. So, that's all I can say so far. But, but more generally speaking, if we just acknowledge the fact that there are these six bombers are here and we've deployed such a huge number of these bombers to this one base in the middle of nowhere. What are they for? Well, in short, probably this place. This is Iran's Natan's nuclear site. So, this is one of, I believe, two facilities, which are kind of like the main nuclear facilities for the uh Iranian development of nuclear weapons. The Iranians have a lot of nuclear sites sprinkled all around their country, but this is one of the main ones that would probably be used. And and let me explain why. So, if we add some overlays here, we can see this is you normal nuclear facility, right? We've got the standard stuff that you might expect, of course, processing facilities for all kinds of precursor materials. We've got underground enrichment halls and uh facilities for enriching uranium and the processing of various minerals and all kinds of administrative buildings and power plants and transportation facilities. All kinds of stuff. It's just a military base that conducts enrichment of uranium, right? No surprises here. Well, well, the real secret of why these B2s are probably at Diego or Seia lies a little bit to the south. So, if we shift our map just a little bit to the south, we can still see the main base at the top of the slide here. We can look down into the mountains a little ways. And this, my friends, is probably why these B2s are a dig a Garcia. It may look like a nondescript mountain to to you and me, but rest assured, there are a lot a lot a lot of underground facilities here. And as we can see by the hardened bunker entrances here at the bottom left, there is an entire labyrinth of underground storage facilities that may or may not already contain nuclear weapons. So either way, this is probably why the B2s are here. Because if we take a more datacentric approach, we can just do 5 minutes of research on the internet and find out that to target an underground facility that's potentially hundreds of feet underground, you would need exactly one type of munition, the GBU57, otherwise colloquially known as the bunker buster. Now, there are a few other munitions that work as as well with these types of things. However, this is the tool for the job. If you're trying to use the correct tool for the correct job, this is exactly the only tool you would probably use to take out these facilities. Again, there are other options, but if we're thinking like a general, this is what you would need. You would need a bunch of B2s carrying a bunch of GBU57s and dropping these bombs not on, of course, not on the entrances, but on where the main underground storage halls and facilities are located. So, this is the deck stacked, right? We have half of our bombers overseas at some Podunk Island in the middle of nowhere. And these bombers, the B2s that are at Diego Garcia, fun fact, they are the only bombers that are currently, at least publicly, currently certified to carry the GBU57. So, we've got the right tools for the job, the right platforms to carry those tools in the theater and stationed at a base which is within range of these facilities. So, this is why we're trying to unfold the mystery. Is this a bluff or is this something else? This is where the grand question comes in. Has the Rubicon been crossed? Because as far as I can tell right now, there are many different theories about what's going on in the Middle East. Not just with the B2s, though that is a fascinating aspect of it. The B2s, the carriers were moving around, moving THADs and and Patriots around. You know, we're we're starting to add up a lot of random facts and random details that are starting to paint a picture. And so far there are two main theories. So the first theory is that this is all power projection. The United States doesn't really intend to do this. But we want to make the Iranians think that we will. And because of that, the Pentagon and Sentcom is undergoing this very elaborate, very very elaborate demonstration of power, which still by the way falls into the aspect of military deception because uh demonstration is a type of military deception, right? It is it is an ambiguity decreasing operation. meaning that it's a it's an operation that is intended to make your adversary more certain of what your plan is. Right? So, if you're an Iranian general right now, it sure does look like the United States is getting ready to bomb your country, doesn't it? So, that's kind of theory one. Theory two is a lot more nefarious and it's a lot more black pilling, if you if you will. So, the the other theory is that this is not a a bullying move. This is not a move intended to force the Iranians to be scared, but this is actually a legitimate wartime preparation. This is what we would see uh if we're actually going to war with Iran and uh that's really it. It's not really I mean if they're scared about it, then that's you know a side benefit. But essentially the second theory is that the Rubicon has been crossed. And just as a side note for those of you who don't know what this this reference is to crossing the Rubicon, this is an analogy that goes back to the time of Julius Caesar back in uh 48 49 BC I believe in which Julius Caesar, right, was kind of puttering around with his army in the district of Gaul uh where he was governor at the time and and an actual river really more of a small stream than anything else separated his district from the administrative boundary of Rome. And at the time it was illegal. It was an act of war. it was a huge deal to cross over that river Rubicon uh with an army. And Julius Caesar knew this and as his army was crossing over this river, he knew that he that that once he crossed over to the other side that he would essentially be committing treason and he would be committed to his attack. So there was no turning back once you've crossed the Rubicon. You've kind of committed to your military advance. So today, in short, the term crossing the Rubicon is essentially synonymous with crossing a point of no return. Now, the second theory, like I mentioned, is that maybe the White House is standing in the Rubicon right now. Maybe they're not fully committed right now to a war with Iran. Or maybe they are. Who knows? I mean, if a decision had been made, if Trump had secretly and covertly made a decision weeks ago to go to war with Iran, and all we're doing is checking down the calendar, you wouldn't see anything different. So, that's kind of one of the big bits of evidence uh that's stacking up to say that maybe theory 2 has a lot of weight as well. Of course, we want to think it's just power projection. We want to think that it is indeed just a just a posturing move to get the Iranians to do what we want. Um now, again, the original question of why are we involved in any of this at all? Well, that's another story for another time. But seeing as we're here now, the American people are trying to figure out is their government trying to bluff Iran or is their government committing them committing the American people to another Giwat. And at the moment, I'm sorry I don't have a good answer for you. There are a lot of other sub theories that that maybe come about. Like for instance, there's a lot of credence to the theory that well maybe it's not for the Iranians. Maybe it's not for any of these complexes, underground bunkers where the Iranians are storing nuclear material. Maybe that's not what we're going for. Maybe it's the maybe it's the Houthis. I'm not going to say there isn't a lot of evidence to say, well, maybe we maybe we deployed half of our long-range bombers to, you know, take out the Houthies. I mean, it would definitely be using a cannon to kill a mosquito, but I don't know. It's a new era. It's a new Pentagon. Maybe they're maybe they think they can do it. I don't know. The Rubicon idea is definitely a central aspect and will be important to think about over the next few weeks as more and more evidence starts stacking up. It's all based on a balance. What do you think? Where is the reasonable doubt? Is there more evidence in pile A or is there more evidence in pile B? So, all in all, I know this is not particularly helpful, but uh generally speaking, this is kind of where we're at. There are going to be a lot more indications and warnings uh come about over the next few days, weeks, months, years. and uh trying to keep a a more neutral perspective and acknowledging the the very serious concerns when they do appear is is going to be critical because I think a lot of times we're tempted to stick our heads in the sand and say, "No, this isn't happening and no, it's just a big bluff." And that may not be the best uh perspective moving forward. If nothing else, that's why I'm kind of paying attention to this because, you know, I I I I'm not saying it's happening. Don't don't misunderstand me. I'm not saying that it's happening, but I see the potential for us to get dragged into another very bad conflict in the Middle East and I'm I'm a little bit concerned about that. So, that's why I buy these satellite images. That's why I keep an eye on this. And, you know, hopefully I'll look like a fool. You know, I would I would really be happy if I look like a complete idiot for spending so much time on this in a few weeks and all these planes go home and everything's hunky dory again. I would be the happiest person in the world. But until that happens, uh, I've got to keep buying satellite images. So, so wrapping things up for today. I know I've talked way too long, too much coffee today, I'm afraid. But wrapping things up with the ghost net. I'm afraid that I missed the ghost net window this week. I was preoccupied with some other stuff. And uh, by the time I got on, I only heard a few uh, SNR requests. So, that's to that's totally my fault. But anyway, the propagation by the time I got on wasn't too wasn't too great anyway. So, if you were out there, I probably wouldn't have heard you anyway. I'm trying to work on my antenna, doing a little bit of uh spring cleaning with antenna work and things like that. So, you guys know how it is. I'm I'm no different than than all of you who make this network a great thing. So, I've still got to get my practice reps into just like everybody else. So, so that's pretty much all I have for today. Uh here are the sources as usual. And you guys know the drill. Clickable links are on my Obsidian page for each day of reporting. Thank you all for watching. Thank you for sticking with me this time. I will keep working on the projects I'm working on. I've got some other irons in the fire, too, and we'll see how that pans out next week. But hopefully we'll get some more good news next week. So, thank you guys all for watching. Thank you for all of your support. I couldn't do it without you. I seriously mean that. And I will see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update · 2026-01-23

Intel Update - Jan. 23 - Pandora's Box

Hello again everyone, and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for January 18th through the 23rd, 2026. Yes, you heard that correctly. I'm a day early because I'm right in the path of some pretty gnarly winter weather, and I fully expect it to be needed for other stuff tomorrow. I may end up doing a standard wire report tomorrow just to keep coverage, but I haven't decided yet. It really just depends on how this weather system develops. Either way, it's been a busy week like always, so let's get to it. Around the world, the general focus has been on the boring world of diplomacy, mostly centered around the World Economic Forum, which has taken place this week. As most world leaders have taken part in this event, not much else has been scheduled, and it will take a while to comb through all of the speeches of what's been covered at the summit this year, but it's always a good idea to keep an eye on what the Bond villains of the world are planning, so more on that later. Separately, American aspirations for Greenland continue amid the Europeans getting a little squirrely about the entire affair. There has been a lot of rhetoric back and forth on the issue, and Denmark is getting a little annoyed that they aren't being taken seriously, but if they didn't want that to happen, they probably shouldn't have been Danish in the first place, but anyway, the United States is looking to either purchase Greenland outright or bring the landmass under some sort of American ownership situation in exchange for something, probably NATO funding or some such. Either way, the talks continue, so we'll see how this develops because the United States is getting Greenland one way or another. The question is what we give up in return and how this will impact the relationship with NATO. Otherwise, around the world, the attentions in the Middle East remain the same as before as demonstrated by the strategic movement for this week. Generally speaking, it's not a terrible idea to keep an eye on the massive forces that are staged around the world, and in this case, the United States is moving a carrier strike group into the region of the Arabian Sea, which is pretty standard, but if the United States wants to conduct strikes in Iran, this will be something to keep an eye on. As far as strategic aviation for this week, it's pretty much the same as last week, a steady increase of forces in the region, but nothing really major to be worried about at the moment. Now, moving back to the United States this week, again, the focus is once again on Minneapolis, but mostly in the context of how things are going to develop in Maine. And in Minneapolis, there are many different things that are helpful for assessing what's going to go on in Maine, at least when it comes to funding and organization. Some of you have asked me to cover some of the groups in play in Minneapolis, which are driving much of the unrest, which I'll cover today. Now, right up front, this is a much taller order than you might think because there are dozens of groups in Minneapolis alone which are driving a lot of this unrest. Even if I had a whole team of 100 people, I couldn't even scratch the surface, so here is a brief overview of some of the groups that are more kinetic than others. One of the biggest groups in play is actually the local government of Minneapolis and the state of Minnesota at large. And we have to be very specific with our language here because this is not a case of the local city and state government simply not enforcing laws or something like that. This is happening, to be sure, but we must be aware that this is not simply intentional negligence. City officials are directly driving a lot of this unrest and chaos. They are not simply standing back, fanning the flames, and refusing to arrest anyone. They are directly on the ground participating in these events themselves. For example, one of the individuals who conducted the raid on City's Church is also a government employee. Jamal or Jamaal Lundy was identified as one of the members who occupied the church, and he actually identified himself in the footage of the incident because he is currently running for public office. Currently, Lundy is not only married to a city councilor, Anika Bowie, but he is also currently an employee of the Hennepin County Attorney's Office, the same law enforcement organization that is in charge of the investigation of the crimes that took place at City's Church. This is why no arrests have been made by local law enforcement. Their own employees took part in the attack, and the attorney general himself was interviewed on the ground a short distance away from the church itself on the day of the incident. And in interviews after the incident, he gave his approval for this type of targeting. So, in short, the direct and self-admitted involvement of government officials specifically now makes the targeting of City's Church, for example, a textbook case of state-sponsored terrorism as per the current definition of terrorism set forth by US Code Title 18, Section 2331, which specifically includes acts that, quote, intimidate or coerce a civilian population. Per the law that was passed, which in this case is actually the Patriot Act, ironically, terrorism does not have to include the use of violence. Coercion or the threat of violence is good enough to get a criminal charge. I know before everybody jumps in the comments, this is probably going to be a Pam Bondi special where nothing of substance is going to be done. You may get two or three arrests like we've seen already, but it's really going to be for show, and probably 6 months down the line, the charges going to be dropped. That's my personal guess. But, government employees themselves being directly involved in the crimes that they are committing and also being responsible for investigating themselves, you know, this is a bit of a sticky situation now. But, government agencies and government personnel and elected officials aside, what about the other groups that are not explicitly controlled by government agencies? The two main lines of effort in Minneapolis that are organizing the more regular and routine protests are the Defend the 612 and ICE Watch organizations. Now, it must be noted that tracking these groups is easier than most because they all use their real names and post openly on social media, but when it comes to categorizing insurgent groups in general, it's like trying to nail Jell-O to the wall most of the time. These are really amorphous blobs of organizations, and they're not really as solidified as we might want to think that they are. They're more organized than you think, but they're also not organized enough to make this easy. In the case of the Defend the 612, these guys are responsible for the Soylent grade efforts to follow around ICE and directly interfere with arrest operations. ICE Watch is the more overarching national level initiative to do the same, but because it's more of a strategic effort, ICE Watch focuses mostly on intelligence and reconnaissance, such that it is. So, chances are if you see an overweight pronoun user blowing a whistle on the street, it's because they're linked up with ICE Watch and feeding information into their databases. Again, it may be laughable to call a lot of these efforts reconnaissance and intelligence collection, but that's really what it is, even if it is kind of silly and a little bit laughable in in most cases. Definitely don't underestimate these groups. They can definitely learn a lot, and they are learning a lot every day that goes by, so don't underestimate that for sure. On the political fronts, no domestic insurgency would be complete without a political arm, and in the case of Minneapolis, this is mostly the Democratic Socialists of America, or DSA. Under normal circumstances, this organization is again a complete joke. They don't have a physical address, and all of their meeting locations are basically just public libraries where a dozen or so members get together to muse about communism and not showering. However, with the unrest ticked up a notch throughout the city, these groups are capitalizing on the labor unions, which are also quite upset about ICE conducting operations throughout the city. So, whenever you see a labor union strike in Minneapolis, take a closer look at the photos because I guarantee you you'll find a DSA representative there or some signage promoting a communist revolution. So, when we say that these are liberal commies, that is quite literally their own description. Their main campaign goal is to seize power, eradicate capitalism, and put most of us in labor camps. That's what they say themselves. But again, as amateurish and silly as it is, one of their main ways of doing this is to link up with the Socialist Rifle Association, or SRA. Once again, under normal circumstances, this is kind of a laughable effort, but this is the main communist firearms organization that works to promote firearms training in more leftist areas and among leftist groups. Now, I know that many people, mostly libertarians, are inclined to see rifle and think friend, but rest assured, these people openly state that they want to kill you. This is not a Second Amendment group. They are wanting to get firearms to commit terrorist attacks with them. This is a lot different than 2A advocacy or, you know, gun rights in general. Their goals are violent, and I'm personally rather interested in why this group has not been designated as a terrorist organization by now. But anyway, these guys are the ones linked to most of the attacks on ICE facilities because nine times out of 10, whenever some redditor shoots up a school or an ICE facility, you look at their social media accounts, and they're usually a member of the SRA. Once again, this group is generally goofy most of the time, but this organization is also the recruiting pool for more deliberate terrorist attacks around the United States, so that's something to keep in mind. Separately, but importantly due to the recent arrests, Black Lives Matter is also a substantial force on the ground in Minneapolis, but this is mostly due to funding. BLM is a very large organization that dominates the NGO scene throughout the city and has gained positions of power in most government agencies after the George Floyd bend the knee years, right? However, BLM has a big caveat. They don't get along so well with the other demographic in the city, the Somalis. It may be surprising to those who have been living under a rock, but turns out just because they're black doesn't mean that they get along. And in Minneapolis, the population of African Americans does not get along at all with the Somalians. So, that's always a point of friction because in most cases, they are competing for the same fraud money via aid programs. This is demonstrated by the rather sketchy businesses owned by the people who have been arrested so far, the BLM activists who were arrested in conjunction with the City's Church incident, so yeah, they're all kind of trying to get their piece of the pie, and in a lot of cases, they don't really get along so well. And this isn't made any better because as of late, the BLM movement in Minneapolis has been kind of sidelined as a voting block because the politicians have realized that they can just import Somalis and have an easier time in laundering tax dollars back to their own re-election campaigns. But this is a whole other abyss of corruption, so suffice it to say for now that when it comes to the civil unrest in Minneapolis, there are a lot of competing interests. And there's also a pretty good chunk of the black population in Minneapolis that doesn't like either side. The Somalis are generally well disliked because they are turning the city into a moot issue, but also, a lot of black citizens in Minneapolis don't like BLM because of how they burned the city down after George Floyd, which, as we all know, turned out to largely be for nothing, so there's plenty of friction all around. And of course, on a national scale, we cannot forget to mention the overarching organization that has their talents in everything, Antifa. Now, for the most part, Antifa's presence in Minneapolis is purely on an individual level. Unlike in Portland and Seattle, Antifa does not have sections of the city that are their turf. They don't dominate the terrain here like they do in Seattle and Portland. However, their presence is growing and like all the other groups mentioned so far, they are trying to take advantage of the crisis to get a bigger foothold in the city. Now, that wraps up the more foot soldier efforts that are present in the city. There are a bunch of other smaller groups and clubs that are active such as student organizations at the university, but really the biggest player in all of this by a long shot are the NGOs or non-government organizations. In Minneapolis, there are thousands of NGOs and these are the big ones to watch because the NGOs are the ones that handle nearly 100% of the funding for these unrest operations. So, we have a deadly combo here. They provide nearly all of the funding, personnel, and organization, but they are also basically immune from prosecution because no politician or government agency wants to go after NGOs because of who is running most of these NGOs. And in the case of Minneapolis, turns out there are a lot of different groups. As a matter of fact, if you go to my border crisis map and zoom all the way out. If you're wondering what all these yellow diamonds are, these are safe houses and organizations that are actively working to conceal illegal immigrants and protect them from detention. That's why the icon for these is a suspected safe house, right? Because these uh locations need to be investigated. And it turns out almost all of these points are also trying to help fund a lot of the unrest when it comes to targeting ICE. So, they're not just providing resources and benefits and stuff like that to illegals in the area. They're also funding and helping to provide manpower for a lot of the demonstrations against ICE. So, tracking these thousands of groups like this is is just so pervasive throughout the country that it's just too much for one person to log. So, please don't think that this is the complete picture. I have really just scratched the surface and I've got almost 2,000 on my list so far. So, the situation is much worse than it seems by just looking at the map even though all these icons are literally covering the land mass of this country, I'm still only scratching the surface. So, this truly is a case of opening Pandora's Box in that tackling these NGOs is such an insurmountable task that no one wants to even acknowledge that it's a problem. The budget for the coffee machine at most of these agencies is more than I make in a whole year and they have whole teams of attorneys on retainer that have funding akin to the GDP of Greenland just for the city of Minneapolis alone. And another concern is just how pervasive this is nationwide. Minneapolis is no special case. They're not even the worst when it comes to the cities that are uh helping to conceal people from ICE. New York City is probably among the top. Uh Los Angeles is another one. But these are just the cities that I've started to to look into a little bit more uh a little bit more intensely. And as DHS surge operations move to Maine, these Norman Rockwell small towns throughout America tend to be host to a significant uh counter ICE operations. Just like I wrote yesterday, I found one immigrant aid group, one NGO, which has a network of other NGOs and on their own website, they have a list of 112 different partners and members within just this one organization for just the state of Maine. There are only 32 Starbucks coffee shops in the whole state. So, there are three times more immigration support centers than there are Starbucks, which are on every street corner in America. So, we've got a bit of a pickle here, don't we? Uh we have a bit of a data problem and just typing out the names of all these groups is just too much data. It's just too much. There's not one, there's 10,000, right? And we also have a policing problem because these groups have been allowed to develop doctrine that rivals even a lot of military units, right? At least in terms of scale. Now, we may be tempted to look at these activist groups and chuckle at how they view the world through the lens of Reddit, but make no mistake, these NGOs are one of the biggest problems that the United States faces today and so far, no one left or right has wanted to even mention the problem because it would implicate very powerful donors. So, that's the strategic wave top overview of the organizational situation as it stands right now. In terms of the tactical situation on the ground in Minneapolis, it's pretty much status quo. I'll have to uh summarize the more uh kinetic events in a wire report, but strategically, for me this week, it's been incredibly data heavy as I've been putting a lot of man-hours into working on my maps. So, for those of you who want to take a look at the more boring side of what I do pretty much every day, check out my mapping products at the links below. I have two main maps on ArcGIS, the common intelligence picture, which is probably what most of you want, and I also have a separate map called the border crisis map, which is solely dedicated to tracking immigration issues. I would like to have all of this data on one map and just call it, you know, the map, uh but there are so many data points that it's actually kind of hard to load in a web browser sometimes. So, I've had to keep it separate for now. And of course, for those of you who might like to bring this data into ATAC, uh such as for conducting your own risk assessments and analysis and stuff like that for your local area, I have KMZs on my GitHub page for those who want them. Now, these KMZs are not auto-updating. They're not network link KMLs uh for now. So, I would say maybe once a week or so, if you want to get a fresh KMZ, uh just go into GitHub and download it and throw it into ATAC if you want. I know GitHub is not the easiest thing to use for the layperson. It's kind of it's kind of dumb if you're just trying to use it for downloads, but it works for me really well because sometimes I'm updating these KMZs several times a day and it's easier for me to just uh push the updates to the website. So, so that's pretty much what I have for now. I'm sorry if this isn't as uh in-depth as I wanted to go today, but I've run out of time and uh you know, we've got storm preparations to make here. So, with that, let's wrap up today with this week in history and I need to come up with a catchier name than that, but anyway, this time last year, we were still working through quite a few issues that kind of just fizzled out. So, firstly, we were working through the Palisades fire crisis and President Trump was being inaugurated. So, it's been 1 year since President Trump assumed office and it has been a crazy year, hasn't it? All the way around. So, looking back to 2025 around the world, much more sinister plots were unfolding such as the coup that never was, which was uh continuing in South Korea. There was a little bit of a spat there for a couple of months. It looked uh pretty dicey, but South Korean politics is pretty crazy as usual and uh this this case was no exception. So, that was kind of exciting to track for a little while last year. And also, a little bit more sinisterly, the trial of the Southport killer was ongoing and at the time, the gag orders on the details of that trial were just coming to light for the very first time and in hindsight, that was a watershed moment which changed the fate of the United Kingdom forever. So, we were just starting to figure out just how bad that um murder spree was back then and things have kind of snowballed from there, haven't they? Over the past year. So, personally, I find it quite interesting that 2026 started off much the same as 2025 did. A lot of very, very horrific things coming to light, but also a lot of hope to change things for the better. And that's a good way to look at things, I think. Acknowledge the challenges, but always end on what you can do to change things even if that's just changing yourself. And with that, let's finish up with the Ghost Net reports for today. This week was a really good net. I got a lot of messages, saw a lot of new check-ins, a lot of uh message traffic back and forth, a lot of news reports being exchanged, which is fantastic to see. And this week is a little bit more important than usual because at least for those of you who are in the same region as myself, we have some once-in-a-lifetime winter weather that is supposed to sweep across the nation from Texas to Virginia. So, a good chunk of the country and I would imagine that most of us will be losing power for quite a while. So, we've got a lot of snow and ice scheduled to descend on the region on Saturday, but also next week, temperatures are supposed to not get above freezing for most of the region for many days. So, the snow and ice won't be melting anytime soon. Oh, and high winds are also forecasted too, at least for where I'm at. So, definitely be safe out there. This storm is no joke this time. Uh I know the local media chop at the bit to sensationalize this kind of thing, but I've been looking at the raw data myself and this looks like a big one. So, definitely do what you can, remain as flexible as possible, and uh for the Ghost Nets specifically, I myself I'm going to be leaving my radios on and running throughout the whole uh crisis just in case uh anybody needs to send a message or exchange some information. I'll I'll be monitoring the whole time. Uh so, otherwise, other than radio stuff, I have the capability to stay online in some way no matter what happens. So, I I plan to keep wire reports flowing as best I can, but it'll be pretty annoying to be snowed in for a couple of weeks, I think. So, I guess we'll have to see how it all works out. It might be nothing or it might be calamity. There's really no telling, but personally, I'm making the last-minute preparations for a more widespread disaster situation. So, and staying prepared is always a good thing. So, that's all I have for today. Thank you again, everyone, for your support. I don't say that nearly enough. I really do appreciate it as it's what keeps me going and able to build all these daily reports, products, and maps, and stuff. So, could not do it without all of you, that's for sure. So, thanks again and I'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.