susie wilds

…Disasters (such as wind storms, hurricanes, typhoons, floods, tsunamis, wild fires, landslides, avalanches, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions) may occur without warning. Human-caused catastrophes (such as civil conflict, acts of terrorism, sabotage, or industrial accidents) may…

… It aids analysts and policymakers in anticipating what otherwise would be surprising developments by forcing them to challenge assumptions and consider possible wild cards or discontinuous events.  It generates indicators to monitor for signs…