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true believers

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Intel Update · 2024-10-19

Intel Update - October 19 - Paperwork and Drones

…see the number 5240 01 and think that it's all just one document this is not true there is a DOD manual 52401 and there is a Department of Defense directive 52401 I don't…
Intel Update · 2023-09-08

September 08 Intel Update: Hot Summer

…the world I don't know but at least Americans a good eighty percent of them will believe basically anything you tell them and can fall for even the most ridiculous of information operations so just…
The Wire · 2025-01-21

The Wire - January 21, 2025

…Additional details have confirmed that the attacker did indeed have terrorist ideations, (a detail that was deliberately covered up and denied from the very start, even though authorities knew this was true). AC:
Intel Update · 2026-03-28

Intel Update - March 28 - Casino of War

…However, let's make no mistake though in thinking that American bombing isn't doing anything at all, that's not true. We have devastated a substantial part of their economy, and it will take a…
The Wire · 2023-05-24

The Wire - May 24, 2023

…Of course, the situation is more complex than this (and it is unclear as to how true this is) but tense attitudes remain nonetheless. Analyst Comments: Information operations and the control of information continue to challenge…
Intel Update · 2024-06-22

Intel Update June 22 - Wildfires, Shipping, and Cyber Events

…one grid which placed uh the breakage on land uh so you know that's not obviously true so I'm working on nailing down the more specific Geo uh Geographic coordinates of where it sank…
The Wire · 2023-11-03

The Wire - November 3, 2023

…If the cessation of official Congressional flights into Israel is true, this is likely related to Hezbollah and/or Hamas increasing usage of MANPADs. So far, several Igla-1 (NATO: SA-18 GROUSE) and Strela-2…
The Wire · 2025-03-26

The Wire - March 26, 2025

…the chat is real, but also denying that anything damning was said (which is very obviously not true if a targeting timeline was posted). One possibility that must be considered is that these messages (or even…
The Wire · 2025-05-05

The Wire - May 5, 2025

…much as they might like with regards to taking on Iran (as hard as this is to believe). This is a bit of a stretch, but Israel announcing plans to "clean out that whole thing" (to…
The Wire · 2024-06-02

The Wire GRINTSUM: Social Tensions, Expanding Warfare, and Political Targeting

…you know the fact that people are asking that shows a lot I think um is it true I I mean I don't know it's hard to say you know um but again people…
Intel Update · 2025-12-13

Intel Update - Dec. 13 - Welcome to the Party

…Yeah, that's that's just not true, right? That that act is not going to cut it. You don't get to call yourself a victim if you try to murder somebody and you are…
The Wire · 2025-04-08

The Wire - April 8, 2025

…Just because something seems true, doesn't mean that it is....as rather poignantly confirmed yet again just yesterday. Satellite imagery from just a few days ago confirms nothing has moved at Bagram, and local Taliban…
Intel Update · 2025-09-13

Intel Update - September 13 - On The Brink

…That may or may not be true in time, but it sure does feel like it right now. So, right now, while things are still fresh, the situation is still very raw for a lot of…
Intel Update · 2024-07-13

Intel Update - July 13: Powerpoint, Parliament, and Power Projection

…this is this did not make it through its vetting process but I find that hard to believe you know what vetting process there is no vetting process anyone who's ever had to do a…
Analytic Techniques · 2024-03-25

Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

…t support your hypothesis or the one that you secretly or maybe subconsciously uh want to be true so if I was absolutely dead set on this being a false flag attack well I could just…
Intel Update · 2025-10-18

Intel Update - October 18 - Das Bote

…I don't know how true that is. I mean, it seems like it's a fairly chaotic situation down there. The times they are a changing. Destabilization is the name of the game in South…
S2 briefing · 2021-08-24

"Regular" Intel Brief NOT AFGHANISTAN UPDATE - 24 AUG 2021

…jones presents his arguments most people just don't believe it even if it's true right even if it's true most people don't believe it so most normal people as in people who…
SIGINT · 2023-02-11

Tactical SIGINT Part 2: Tracking Spy Planes

…now if the pilot turns the transponder off you can't track them anymore this is completely true however as we have pointed out many times before the most important word in that sentence is if…
Intel Update · 2024-12-22

Intel Update - Dec. 21 - Misaligned Judgement Calls

…a Jihad type event hard to say with this one it's not immediately clear I personally believe that it is however there's a lot of a lot of contradictory information out there about how…
The Wire · 2024-05-09

The Wire - May 9, 2024

…However, if true, this is also a de facto admission of everything that has been obvious to anyone who is familiar with U.S. kinetic targeting policy (such as described in JP-360). In Congress, Reps…