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Intel Update · 2025-09-13

Intel Update - September 13 - On The Brink

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the Intel update for September 7th through the 13th, 2025. It would be an understatement to say that this week has been quite rough for all. So what I had planned to talk about will have to wait until next week. I'll cover the general events here in just a second, but today we're going to spend most of the time talking about some of the investigative efforts regarding the assassination of Charlie Kirk. As you guys might expect, I'm not going to show anything graphic or anything like that, but we are going to uh take a look at some of the details and sequence of events so that we can have a a better well-rounded picture of what happened and hopefully we can glean something from this and prevent this sort of horror from happening again. So, before we get into that, I I did want to acknowledge that uh this is not the only significant event that has taken place this week. We of course had the surfacing of footage of the horrific murder of Arena Zerka a few weeks ago. Now, that gut punch came out shortly before the Charlie Kirk shooting. So, it's been kind of a double whammy this week. A lot to process, a lot to think about, a lot of lessons to learn. And, uh, we'll get to that in due time. And things in the political sphere have changed quite a bit internationally over the past few days as well. We have the Unite the Kingdom events uh, which have drawn uh, several million people throughout the British Isles this morning, which are currently underway as I'm recording this. The French government has collapsed uh, with a new prime minister being selected. And of course, the same thing happened in Japan. Uh their prime minister resigned as well this week. And we also have tensions continuing in the Middle East in the form of multiple undersea cables being cut in the Red Sea. Most of these events I have already covered or I will plan to cover on Monday and in greater depth. I know that most Americans have been kind of focused on one event this week, so that's what we'll uh talk about here next. So, as nearly all of you have heard, the political commentator Charlie Kirk was assassinated at a college event in Utah a few days ago. The general overview of the story is that he was shot at a Turning Point USA style uh debate at Utah Valley University in Oram, just south of Salt Lake City. Right after the shot was fired, the shooter was able to egress from the area due to the fray from the shooting, but also due to several individuals acting suspiciously or taking credit for being the shooter in the crowd. Uh which afforded the real shooter time to eress from the area. Whether that's intentional or not, we'll we'll get into in a bit. But in either case, the shooter was able to evade capture for a couple of days before eventually being discovered, questioned, and detained by his family about three and a half hours south of the shooting site, and he was eventually turned in to authorities shortly thereafter. As far as the investigation goes, linking this individual who was detained to the shooting scene, the authorities have stated that he was detained wearing the same clothing as observed in the surveillance footage that they provided. And they state that they interviewed uh his roommate, which is an important detail we'll get into in a moment, but they stated that they interviewed his roommate who showed the investigators messages on Discord, which involved the shooter actually talking about some of the phrases and uh carvings, engravings that were made on the bullets themselves. So that's uh that's the most definitive link that this is the individual who conducted the shooting. As of right now, that is the general story of how things have transpired so far. There are a few minor details that uh have changed somewhat over uh over the media coverage of this horrific incident. There is a lot of speculation on a lot of different things. And today we are going to dig into some of the inconsistencies and details that don't necessarily add up regarding this horrific murder. Now, let me state right up front that I know that it is so easy to be contrarian. It is so incredibly fashionable to nitpick and drag every single issue and detail down a rabbit hole. And I say that as one of those inclined to do just that. Uh it is incredibly easy to convince people that everything is a scop these days. And with so much genuine manipulation and gaslighting on the internet these days, I don't blame anyone one bit for thinking that basically everything is a lie, including most of the details in this story, right, in this in this case. But I am aware of how delicate this issue is, right? It's it's fresh in our minds. This is people are still in a state of shock. Uh people are still in a state of grief and I am very aware of what people are feeling right now. That is why I'm going to try to cover what we know and what we don't know and what we need to figure out and as respectful of a manner as possible. No, we are not going to go off on a wild goose chase or, you know, start ragging on the feds just because. My only goal today is to bring information to light that may help identify Charlie's killer. and equally as importantly, anyone else who might be involved. We all owe it to Charlie to do the best that we can to urge this investigation to be conducted properly and that this investigation does not cut corners like all of the other high-profile political shootings so far. And right now, I have very serious concerns that might be uh happening. So zooming in just a little bit to get a slightly closer view of the sequence of events. We have the alleged shooters position on the roof of the lossi center or low center which provides clear line of sight just around the roof of the Sorenson student center to where the uh debate tent was set up on the quad. This exact position also jives with the other witness eyewitness testimony in the form of a video which someone took one of the students took from the ground showing someone on the roof that matches up with the geol location of where this shooter's position was discovered by investigators after the shooting. Some of the other stronger evidence that indicates that this was a shooting position includes the security camera footage from the computer science building. The computer science building had a security camera which you can see in the Google Street View of the parking lot which was peeking out over the parking lot and you can see the roof of the building where the shooter uh took the shot from. So if we take a look at the footage itself provided by the FBI, it's probably the the highest resolution footage that we have received so far. And it does indicate uh the the egress route taken by the shooter. So I've mapped that out as far as we can see. The footage picks up with the alleged shooter making his way north across the rooftop of the building before reaching the northeast corner, dropping to the ground and running uh continuing to run north across the grassy area between the parking lot and the uh walking path there. And the footage stops or is cut off when he reaches the road. As far as I'm aware, as of this morning, uh Saturday morning, this is the only footage that we have of the the suspect actually egressing from the area. So all of the other details regarding what happened after this uh have not been released to the public. So this is kind of what we've got to lean on for for the most part. Now just to address a minor discrepancy or not really a discrepancy but a clarification with this exact footage here. There are a lot of people that state that the shooter was not recorded on video. He absolutely was. There's no chance that he wasn't because the FOV, the field of view for this shot, this this imagery here includes the firing position. So, my personal guess is that the FBI started the footage after he's already run uh some distance away from where he took the shot, but guarantee the FBI has the footage of the shot being fired from this camera, if not others. So, they're just not releasing it to the public, probably for obvious reasons. Uh that's going to be a point of contention for a while. But again, this is a murder investigation. So, my guess is that that you're probably never going to see that footage. Either way, I just did want to address that that in the evidence that the FBI has provided so far, the shooting position that they have uh designated themselves that they have pointed out themselves is in the field of view of the video they provided from the camera on the northwest corner of the computer sciences building. So, that is a fact. Now, getting a little bit more down into the weeds. So far, there are many details that do not explicitly add up regarding the murder of Charlie Kirk. Right now, there are a lot of wild theories circulating. not all of which are being conveyed in a manner that is respectful. Throwing out hairbrain theories and baseless accusations is not usually helpful during a time of extreme grief, pain, and anger. However, if there are details that the FBI may have missed, we need to know, and we need to know right now. Every possible bit of consideration will be granted to allow for the leniency of details changing as the investigation continues and facts continue to be ironed out. However, in the interest of expediency and finding the real killer, some discrepancies need to be openly discussed. In short, a lot of mental gymnastics need to be conducted in order for the FBI's story to line up with their own evidence. I'll state right up front that the official sequence of events is certainly possible, right? It may be rare. It may be hard to believe, but it only had to line up one way, right? If it lined up another way, the shooting might not have happened. But in any case, in the interest of expediency, all possible details must be examined closely. The first bit of discrepancy and uh a little bit of criticism towards the FBI here is their handling of the surveillance footage. In short, they provided probably the most useless security footage to ever exist. Now, this security footage was adequate. Obviously, the killer's father uh probably saw it, or at least that's the story right now, is that he saw it and recognized uh his son from the security footage. And okay, happy happy ending, right? Well, as happy as one can can be. However, if we look at how this was handled during the investigation, this is a point of uh learning for the FBI. They did not provide very clear shots of this individual's face. So, this is the footage that they released. Uh you can see that this is a uh stairwell camera and the shooter would have looked directly at the camera uh as he's turning around uh this the the stairwell to go up to the next flight of stairs. They provided still images. They did not provide video. the video would have provided much needed context and when you try to take a screenshot of a very lowquality video to begin with. You get a lot of artifacting that the human eye cannot process or uh cannot make sense of. Just as a slight side note, human beings are apex predators, right? So, we process information in a very unique way, right? We're always looking out for certain details and we're able to recognize certain things in certain situations but not others. What I'm trying to say is is that the FBI providing these images was not very helpful. If they had provided a lower resolution video as opposed to still shots from that same video, it would have been a lot easier to recognize this individual. Human beings because we are predators, right? We we are uh you know the top of the food chain here. We naturally want to pick out details when movement is involved. So, if they had provided the image or the video of this guy walking up the stairwell as opposed to these still images, you could have censored the other people on the stairwell uh with black boxes or whatever. But if they provided the video, that would have been a lot better than providing still images where there's going to be artifacting. When the human eye looks at a video, our brains can process out that artifacting in the video a lot easier than if it were a still image. And you've got to, you know, start pixel peeping here. So that is just a point of improvement moving forward and something to remember for anyone out there who you know is either the witness of a crime or is trying to look at surveillance footage or anything like that. This is this is a point of learning, right? But in any case, the FBI provided us these images which resulted in the suspect's capture. And while we're examining this footage, let's talk about some of the clothing discrepancies. So I should note that the FBI has not actually made a whole lot of statements themselves. Most of the FBI's information has been conveyed via Governor Cox, the governor of Utah, whereas the FBI investigators have not really been in front of the camera. FBI director Cash Patel has been behind uh the podium speaking about this event, but most of what he has said so far has not really provided any details on the shooting. It's been about how great the FBI is in solving this case, which they didn't. It's a private citizen solved this case for them. So, that is an important thing to remember because of what I'm about to talk about now, which is that you want your investigators, you want the people involved or someone involved or a PAO if nothing else. You want someone involved who knows what they're talking about giving details to the public if you don't want a public outcry. And here's what I mean by that. You can read or watch Governor Cox's statements himself, but he made comments regarding the change of clothing of the suspect. So, according to Governor Cox, the suspect was observed uh wearing his original clothing here, this American flag t-shirt, dark colored hat, and jeans. So that was what he was originally observed going to the campus wearing. The statements from investigators are that he changed on the roof. So once he was in his shooting position on the roof of the building, he changed into a separate set of clothing or altered his appearance in some manner. What what that means, we don't know, but he apparently changed his clothes. That's the official story right now. Furthermore, sometime after the shooting, according to Governor Cox, quote, "At some point, the shooter transitioned back into his original clothing, the the clothing that we see in this image here, which he was arrested wearing." Uh, so that is the official story as of right now. Now, one of the reasons why I've been so hard on the FBI regarding this case is because they have had plenty of time to congratulate themselves on their investigative prowess. Yet, they have not had time to clarify whether or not they actually have the actual shooter in custody. I will account for this when we get to the end. Okay, this this may be wrong. Governor Cox may have been, you know, telling out of school. He may have gotten details slightly wrong. Okay, we will account for that. To me, in the video footage, it doesn't necessarily look like he's wearing anything different. It looks like he's wearing the same clothing, but the official story by the feds, right, their story is is that in this video clip, the video clip of him eressing from the site, he is wearing different clothing than what he was arrested wearing. Do you see how we have to have a mental gymnastics of well, he changed his clothes at some point? That's where we're starting to add in the first little pommel horse to our mental gymnastics uh display here. We'll go with this for now. Okay, we'll go with this as the official story for now. This is the the facts as the Feds state that they are. But confidence is not high. It's one of those cases where there's not enough information or there's not enough uh detail there to disprove it, to disprove the official story, but there's enough there to cast doubt, especially when it comes to the details that we know right now. But again, we're probably going to be watching this video well into the future, right? So, months or years down the line, this detail may have been addressed. Just just putting that out there. The other detail that I have spent some time trying to nail down with not much success, I will admit. The other detail is the rifle itself. The FBI stated that the rifle that was used in the murder had been recovered from a wooded area. And the FBI's own footage of the killer's escape on the rooftop. It is not entirely certain whether or not he has the rifle at that point or not. There are some frames that appear to show him holding a what we what we in the intel business call a long cylindrical object or LCO. I would not feel confident saying either way whether or not this suspect had an LCO had the rifle with him when he made his egress from the roof. It doesn't look like it. I will say that it doesn't look like it, but I I will not slap a high confidence or even a moderate confidence on that. It's low confidence all the way around. So that's just what we have so far. If the FBI wants to produce another frame from another camera, we know that there were a lot of cameras on campus. If they want to provide another frame that shows he had the rifle in his hand, I'll take it, right? I'll happily happily concede that he didn't leave the roof with a rifle. So, with regards to where the rifle was recovered, that is an unknown detail. We don't know the exact GPS coordinates of where that rifle was recovered from. We don't know if the suspect threw it off the roof and it just wasn't on camera. We don't know if the suspect carried the rifle with him or uh if he broke it down. Breaking down a an Mouser M98 is not not entirely a quick process. Um but I suppose it could be done. Not when you're trying to run for your life, right? To escape from the the shooting scene. But either way, what I'm trying to say is there's a lot of inconsistencies here with regards to the event from the moment the shot was fired to when the suspect was arrested. Right? There are gaps in the story, which is to be expected, but there are also details that are not entirely in line with what makes sense, right? So, that is an unknown. The location of where the rifle was discovered. Was the rifle carried by the suspect off of the roof or was it thrown off the roof? And where was the rifle actually recovered? What was the exact GPS coordinate of where it was found? Okay, that's a pretty big detail that we need to know. There were also people in the FBI's own footage walking around watching this guy run away from the scene. If he had a rifle, even if it was wrapped up in a towel, like they state or uh some kind of fabric covering, that's going to be something to question these people about. Did you happen to see this dude trying to run, you know, sprint away from this uh the shooting location with a gun barrel poking out somewhere? Because it does not seem like he made what we might in the business call a controlled exit. This dude was in flight mode, right? Absolutely moving as fast as possible with no consideration for uh evidence prevention, uh evidence collection prevention or any kind of concealment or anything. This dude was booking it, right? So, you would think there would be some kind of evidence that kind of indicates where he dropped the rifle or where the rifle became separated from the shooter. So, the point where the rifle transitioned out of the shooter's possession is a very critical point for what we'll talk about here in a moment. But for now, let's stick with the rifle and what I'm calling the magic scope. The magic scope here continues to be a point of discrepancy due to the alleged killer having clear photographs of himself shooting rifles on his social media pages. And these images show a clear measurement of his proper eye relief on display to the world. In short, this rifle recovered at the scene as it was would have been less than ideal for the shooter to have used it as it was configured. Considering that the shooter clearly had firearms experience, it is very unlikely that the shooter would have mounted the scope on this firearm this poorly. Anyone who has spent any sort of time whatsoever uh around any kind of ranged weapon like this would know that this scope is way too far back. You would not be able to see out of this scope very clearly at all. Is it impossible to use this way? No. Is it challenging? Yes. It is certainly possible for the FBI's version of events as released to the public to be true. This is why I've spent so much time on trying to investigate this magic scope situation here because it's important uh to understand and know when the rifle became separated from the shooter. This is a critical point of any investigation uh for for any shooting really. And it's important for a few different reasons because this is one of those details, right? The murder weapon. This is a critical part of the investigation. This is one of the most significant pieces of evidence that this guy is the guy who conducted the shooting. Right? The reason that I've taken an interest in this magic scope theory is that there are a couple of wildly different theories as to how this scope ended up in this configuration. Any investigator who looked at that rifle sitting in that box photographed by the FBI agents potato phone camera should have seen that scope in the wrong position. so far to the rear that it does not make sense. So, here are the four main theories that I can think of of why this photograph exists. I'm very interested in why this one photograph exists. So, the first theory is that the scope was properly mounted, right? It was uh forward where it should be, but it shifted into an improbable position during the escape. either it got jostled or knocked or even disassembled by the shooter if you want to believe that sequence of events, but it it got changed in some way after the shooting was conducted. So, it lost its zero uh and was jostled in some way to result in it being far to the rear as discovered in this image. The second theory is that the scope was never really properly positioned and that the shooter took that shot with a very suboptimal sight picture. I say this theory is pretty unlikely due to the suspect having some knowledge of firearms. We have photographs, many photographs of him shooting firearms with a proper sight picture, properly extended stock to uh fit his uh shooting profile, right? So, he knows what a proper sight picture is. And if he had shouldered this rifle, he would have immediately known the scope was in a wrong position. If this is how the the shot was taken. So, the second theory is possible. It's possible that this guy was an idiot and he just uh mounted his scope all wrong and by the time that he went to go conduct the shooting, he somehow made that shot with only seeing a very very compromised sight picture or he was not properly shouldering the rifle. There's a bunch of different things that you can nest under theory 2 here, but the the general theory is that it was never in the proper position. It was zeroed like this and it uh he somehow made the shot with it like this. The third theory is that he did make the shot with this scope in this position, but it wasn't his rifle. So, that is the theory which is most interesting to me. Remember, the text messages uh indicated that this individual picked up the rifle from a drop point. Now, did he put that drop point together like in like investigators are insinuating or did somebody else did this rifle belong to the shooter? We don't have these basic details. I've seen some information that suggests this rifle did not belong to the shooter and that it was illegally stolen or borrowed without the owner knowing about it. Uh so that might explain why this scope was all jacked up and it didn't fit the shooter. If somebody else was uh less proficient with firearms than he, they might have mounted the scope in this manner and that would have uh made sense, right, as to why this was uh the way that it was and that the shooter recognized this and that the shooter took the shot anyway uh managing with a scope that was mounted and zeroed uh the best he could. Right? So, that's theory number three. Personally, I think that theory is most likely, which is why I'm spending so much time talking about this investigation, because there may be other people involved here. The fourth theory, which is what I'll call the quote unquote fringe theory, is that he never was the shooter. He never shot this rifle. This rifle was left for people to conveniently find, and that's that, right? So, classic case of big assassinations where the murder weapon, the alleged murder weapon doesn't actually uh work, right? It's like finding a sniper's, you know, rifle that was used to kill a certain person and there's no firing pin or something inside it, right? The classic quintessential impossible rifle situation. I don't know how much weight there is behind that theory. Is is there ever any way to prove that at all? I I don't know. I highly doubt that the FBI is going to do a ranged ballistic test with this rifle. I very highly doubt that. What they are probably going to do is fire one round and one round only in their uh ballistics chamber to get a slug to compare the rifling uh and do rifling analysis on the slug uh if that if the slug is recovered from the crime scene which is for right now it has not been recovered. So, I would be very curious as to see uh the FBI story is if you take this to a 200 yard range, can this rifle as discovered at the crime scene, can this rifle even hit that target? Of course, you can always put a caveat on that, right? You can always say, "Look, uh the scope was damaged after uh after it fell off the roof." All right, fine. But you've got to account for that. And so far, they have not. Keep in mind that this magic scope theory here, this is the most gratuitous telling of events, right? This is giving every possible chance to the FBI for their own story to be correct. And it will be up for all of you to decide whether or not that is too much uh too much skewing to give them in their own favor. So either way, that's what I've got on the magic scope here. So that's it for the physical evidence recovered at the scene. Now, here is where I think the most suspicious part of the entire story comes out. The text messages. So, the FBI, if we recall, recovered text messages or some kind of digital platform messages. They claim it was Discord, but we'll get to that. They recovered text messages between the shooter and the shooter's roommate. That is a point of discrepancy. The shooter lived at home with his family. To the best of my knowledge, he did not have a roommate. So, who is this roommate? But that is what the FBI states uh that he had a roommate uh and this roommate was discussing the shooting with the killer to include the phrases that were engraved on the bullets uh that were recovered at the scene. To me, that is a pretty substantial bit of evidence that would turn the roommate into one of the lead suspects as being an accomplice. I'm just some guy on the internet, but that guy might be somebody to uh look into because as far as what Governor Cox said, once again, you want the FBI making FBI statements, not the governor of a state, right? But as far as what Governor Cox stated, the FBI took out their phone during the interview and took photographs, like shaky cam hand, you know, stabilized photographs of the roommate's phone showing these images or showing these text messages. So, I get it. That makes sense, right? For an investigator to do that during an interview. That's uh you know what I personally would have done, too. But the next step that probably would have been a wise move to take is to take out a plastic evidence baggie and seize that phone right then and there because you now have evidence. Okay? You have probable cause that concerns life and death. Again, I'm not a lawyer, but this would seem to be a case that overrides the Fourth Amendment protections against unreasonable search and seizure, right? Reasonable search and seizure is authorized, right? So again, uh I'm not sure if the FBI did that. It would have been wise for them to do so, but considering that the governor said they only took photographs of those Discord messages. I'm not entirely certain what the FBI did. And to be honest, there has been enough ridiculousness from the FBI in this case already to question the integrity of that. You would think, you would think the default is, well, of course, of course they took photos at first and then they seized the digital records. Well, here's the thing. What is Discord's story this morning? Immediately they said, "Oh, yeah. We found the the shooter's account. Uh, we know his username and have all the metadata for his account. Uh, but we didn't see anything incriminating. Who's to say they didn't just delete it?" The forensic the the digital forensics of this are always going to be questionable. Anytime the FBI is involved in anything to do with anything on the computer, any kind of digital evidence, it it's just very sketchy, right? Especially considering that the FBI has routinely routinely seized phones as evidence for the smallest possible crime. They've put people in holding cells for 48 hours without cause for the smallest possible crime or even when there was no crime committed. Yet, in this case, at least what Governor Cox says is their field agents decided that it was the best course of action to take photos, not even screenshots, but actual like camera photos of evidence that could not just blow the case wide open, but indicate that there are other people involved in a terrorist cell. Excuse me, but that is not exactly something that's quite comforting. Of course, I'm sure the FBI has got every possible excuse or explanation for all of that and they just say, "Ah, Governor Cox is wrong. We did seize the phone, but that's not what they said, and we have to go on what they said so far." So, if there was at least one other person involved in the attack, as in the alleged roommate who was discussing the attack with the alleged killer, if there's one guy involved, there's a good chance that a third or even more were likewise involved, too. As we have seen from the lunatics on the internet, the sometimes muchbeloved or much maligned skitso theorists on the internet, there have been a lot of people who have been identified in the Salt Lake City area specifically cheering uh celebrating or even saying that they wish Charlie Kirk harm on the day of the attack. So, your suspect list is not Tyler Robinson, you know, period. Your suspect list is Tyler Robinson plus anybody else he was talking to online. And based on the engravings that were found on the bullets that the FBI has confirmed, you know, nine different times now, this dude was terminally online. This dude was consuming so much online brain rot content that uh it's very unlikely that he was communicating with just himself, right? It's very likely that he had a group of people that he told about the attack or helped him plan the attack, right? And I say that because very recently the FBI field office in Salt Lake City, so this exact office has had its, you know, own set of personnel issues. The most recent agent in charge of this field office was Matab Sayed, who was an immigrant from Pakistan that joined the FBI after 9/11. Uh she was hired earlier this year in that role, but she was also rapidly fired after a few months uh with no real explanation, but allegedly due to incompetency. They've had big shakeups at this exact field offices in charge of investigating this. Right. So due to these developments, can can we be blamed? Can the American people be blamed for doubting the integrity of the process in this exact place at this exact time? I don't think so. I think that there's pretty big integrity problems here. So all of that out of the way, right? All of these discrepancies out of the way, let's balance this out a little bit here and let's let's let's reexamine from a higher level. Are we just going down useless rabbit holes or are we trying to get to the bottom of this case? Right. So, here are some normal things that seem suspicious right now but could be explained later on. Right? The the general thoughts and general concerns that are pertinent to pretty much every investigation. The first thing to remember is that details change. Okay? What is true right now might be false in just a couple hours, right? It must it may be false in just 5 minutes too, right? So you can't look at a press conference from two days ago and compare it to a press conference from three days ago. Now you can to some degree if there are major changes in the story, right? But little tiny details here and there. These can be indicators of a much more significant problem. I've tried to highlight some of those today. But they can also be nothing. They can be easily explained away. Right? The second thing to remember again highle wavetop stuff. The second thing to remember is that investigators are normally very bad at public speaking and they're not so great at conveying the details of their investigation to the public. We have seen enough people in shirts with logos on them standing behind a podium talking and speaking not so correctly regarding their own case. I don't say that as an insulting manner. It's just a fact. Okay, I get it. I I would rather, you know, an investigator be good at investigating rather than be good at public speaking and conveying details to the public. Uh but in this case it's important right because this will lead to confusion and contradictory details just like both Trump shootings uh the both assassination and attempts on President Trump's life and with this case and with other high-profile assassinations or assassination attempts even just around the world the the investigators are not so uh great at conveying these details to the public and the reason why is this third point which is that the priority is an investigation not informing the public right Contrary to popular belief, the average user scrolling Twitter for updates on a story is not the first person that an investigator thinks about when they're trying to convey information to the public, right? Their job is to investigate the crime and get the killer and get anybody who might be uh an accomplice, right? So, their top priority is not you, right? Their top priority is not the public. Their top priority is the investigation, which is perfectly respectable. That's perfectly fine. But it also just means that we've got to glean things a lot of times and we don't get a lot of help in explaining things. Right? And the fourth factor to remember which is probably the most important thing for everything I've said today is that investigators routinely withhold critical evidence from public view. They're not giving you the whole story. They're not going to give you the tape that they have of the shooting. That's not going to happen. They're not going to explain why that scope was in that manner. And they're not going to give you the GPS coordinate of where that rifle was found. It's just not going to happen. If the killer is the killer that they say, okay, fine. We'll accept that for now. But what I don't accept personally is that this guy acted alone. And that is the current story. I don't think he acted alone. All of the evidence so far, even their own evidence states that you have a suspect, the roommate, like you have a guy who has evidence of this guy communicating with other people, and there has been very little discussion of that. Right? I get it. They're working through other things, but considering that they say, you know, they start off a press conference, it was we got him. All right. You you know, well, yeah, you may have the shooter. I I'll buy that. Okay. The skeptic in me doesn't buy that. But I'll buy that for now. I'll give you that one. But what I won't give is the fact that you literally said you had a suspect that was an accomplice that admitted to being an accomplice and you're just going to let him walk, right? You're not you're not going to say, "Look, we're investigating other leads." In a couple of weeks, it may turn out that was a trick that they were actually investigating other people and they wanted to keep uh any accompllices that they were tracking down. They wanted to keep them from running. Fair enough. All right. But right now, it it doesn't necessarily look like it. It looks like they're rolling it up and they're putting a bow on it and calling it a day. The alleged killer confessing to the crime is going to halt most investigative efforts. And, you know, once they uh they're they're looking they're looking for every possible excuse for this to be a lone gunman situation, right? That's the That's what they're publicly insinuating. They may not be directly stating it, but they're insinuating. They are desperately trying for this to be just some, you know, crazy leftist activist. And they're not really publicly interested, at least publicly, again, interested in examining that this guy may have had help here. Right? Once again, all of that considered, right, we're going to be as gracious as possible to the FBI, even though they never give that consider consideration to anybody else. We're going to give them that. We're going to give them the graciousness of their own story being true and most of the details that they have stated being true. And because of that, there are three main narratives that could be potentially possible. Right? The first one is that everything, every single detail in the official story is correct. Robinson conducted the shooting. Robinson acted alone. And every single detail, every single discrepancy that I have found and others have found, some including some discrepancies that I have not mentioned yet. All of these uh discrepancies can easily be explained and there is a neat little bow for every little possible detail. Okay, that's the story number one. Story number three is the exact opposite, right? The fringe position, as I'll call it, because I don't know of what else to call it, right? The theory that Robinson was not the shooter. uh the rifle was staged, that his the clothing debacle was actually because he didn't change clothes. It was a different person, right? The security camera footage didn't look like him and the FBI conveniently has left out all the screenshots that show that show that fact, right? And that even if he was the shooter, he was the guy running off the roof. He was the guy who pulled the shot and he did have in that ri that rifle in his possession that there are others who were involved to some degree. So that is the what I'll call the fringe theory for now because again I don't have a better word for it. But the position that's in the middle narrative two here the plausible alternative to the official story is that Robinson conducted the shooting but he had help right either he planned the attack with the help of other people or he communicated with people before the attack which is confirmed by the authorities own statements on this. Right? So their statement that he acted alone yet he talked about the attack on discord with other people that is directly contradictory and there is no way they can square that circle right they are lying one way or the other either he talked with other people about the attack or he did not and those people who he talked about the attack with knew about the attack. Therefore in every court in the land they would be an accomplice. They would be an accessory if nothing else. And in terms of the magic scope, the rifle, right, the the he may have been the shooter, but it wasn't his rifle, right? It belonged to somebody else. And uh that additional person either knew or did not know how to mount a scope. And that can explain the magic scope theory away pretty easily. So those are the three main theories uh regarding the the three main narratives, I should say, regarding what happened here. Now, I guess spending all this time talking about this is probably a farce, right? because a personal confession to the murder that's you know hook line and sinker for the investigation. The suspect is alive and you know him confessing to the crime is going to halt most investigative efforts. So the details that are very contradictory right now they're probably going to remain contradictory for a while. Right? They've got their man. That's how they started the the press conference. We got him right. So because of that, the deductive reasoning that led this investigation and led to every bit of evidence along the way, that deductive reasoning is not going to transition to an inductive analysis of the facts that can't easily be explained. Details or facts or little little details, right, that can't be explained that that last puzzle piece that will not fit in the puzzle. Those pieces are just going to be set off to the side and we're just going to look at an incomplete puzzle forever, right? That's how these investigative efforts work. That's just how the situation develops. Most of the discrepancies identified so far are the types of discrepancies that often arise with any criminal case. Like I mentioned before, right? There are going to be discrepancies. But here's the thing. It is the job of the professional paid investigators with access to top secret investigative tools to investigate these crimes. Why do you think Palunteer has a half a trillion dollar market cap? Right? There's a reason for that. It is not up to us. It is not up to random volunteers on the internet with PowerPoint and some free time. This is not our job. The issue and the whole point for talking about this is that people like us cannot be certain that the skills of federal investigators are up to the task. Thus, the investigative efforts being undertaken all over social media, right? and the intense desire to ensure that not only this case is handled properly, but also that lessons are learned to ensure that the next killer does not evade capture as well. We owe it to Charlie to do this right. Right. And we only have one chance to get it right. So, closing today on on a more personal note, I guess I I would not consider myself to be one of Charlie's fans as I'm I'm not really involved in this his sphere of influence or or his politics or anything like that, but I am extremely angry about this murder myself. Um, I am mostly angry at myself uh for not working hard enough to soften the blow of what was to come, such as days like this. I know there are a lot of people out there who have seen a lot of bad things in life and and you guys know that there are some things that society at large should not be witnessed to. It would be better in my mind uh at this point if people were just to remain ignorant of the horrors of the world and the situation at hand and if they would just let people like me handle it quietly, right? And and let me have to wade through all of these horrific videos and all of these really bad things, right? I would really rather this not be aired on everyone's social media feed. Same thing with Arena Zeritzka, right? Like these these videos are very brutal, right? So half of me wants people to never see this kind of thing. Uh people people in polite society should never see this kind of thing. Uh they should just leave it to people like me. And the other half of me is no, they need to see it to understand uh how the situation is. And I think that my desire to uh not want people to see this kind of thing, that was a poor judgment call, it would seem because, you know, most people have seen it now anyway. Uh and and most people are becoming aware of how dark things can get. Look, you can't look at the Charlie Kirk assassination video. You cannot look at the video of Arena and not be completely out of your depth. And people like me who have spent a decade, you know, scrolling through Live Leak and uh U Vids in a professional manner to try to find these bad people. People like me could have done a better job at guiding these people through it. So I know there's a lot of people out there who says don't avert your eyes from this situation. Look at these videos. I I that's up for you to decide. But I'm saying that if you're going to adopt that position, then you need to help talk these people through it. Because I've seen a lot of people, there are a lot of people in my own sphere who are not used to seeing these horrific things. And they need someone to talk them through it. You can't just throw it at them and say, "Look, you know, you have to talk people through it. You have to help them understand what what what this means for the world and so on, right? You can't just be crass about it. You there has to be decorum. There has to be respect. There has to be understanding and there has to be a lot more delicacy with these kinds of things. People are not naturally inclined to look at this kind of thing and those people like me who are used to seeing this kind of thing uh we have to do what we can to help walk people through walk people through it. People in our own lives we have to do what we can to walk our own people through it. Right? There's going to be a lot of people. I know after the arena video came out, uh I know that a lot of people showed these things to their families so that they could cement how serious the world is today. I get it. That is your call. I'm just saying be careful and do what you can is if you're going to if you're going to take that stance, it is your responsibility to make sure that it's done in a manner that is actually going to be helpful and not just psychologically damaging. though. Overall, right now, emotions are extremely high, probably on par or even higher than the day that President Trump himself was shot. Kirk's death has been shocking for reasons that many people might not even understand right now. I'm seeing a lot of people, and I'm I guess I'm one of those people myself, who didn't really align with him on very much, but they are absolutely devastated by this. And I think they're devastated because of what this means. Uh it's not just the death of one person, it's the death of moderation. It's the death of peaceful talking and peaceful solutions. That may or may not be true in time, but it sure does feel like it right now. So, right now, while things are still fresh, the situation is still very raw for a lot of people at this point. Temperance, patience, and the pursuit of discernment are the best courses of action at this time. Nothing will be solved by knee-jerk reactions on either side of the political spectrum. Make no mistake, this is not about politics. This is a spiritual war more than anything else. This murder was a wake-up call for many. It was a wake-up call for conservatives who upon seeing the outcry of support for the killer might not have realized that the previous threats and rhetoric coming from u a good portion of the far left. Th those arguments were not hyperbole. Those threats were not uh empty. Likewise, on the left, it was a wake-up call for many who might not have realized what their ideology truly stands for. And upon seeing the absolutely sickening behavior from some of the far-left individuals and politicians over the past couple of days, there are indeed many average people who are on the political left who have made the decision that this behavior from those on their own team is not what they stand for themselves. We have to remember that if there were ever a time for grace to be afforded to those who regardless of political beliefs want to seek repentance and genuinely make an effort to stop this madness. Now is the time for that discernment and grace to be applied. We should all be so fortunate to upon our own death receive the honor and respect that Charlie Kirk has received from even his most staunch adversaries and enemies. Everyone has a role to fill in this world and it is the duty of those so capable to do what they can in order to ensure that this madness comes to an abrupt halt. What that looks like is going to be argued over time and it's going to vary from person to person. But now that the nation is on the precipice of the abyss, every single effort must be made. It must be made to bring us back from the brink. And that is exactly what we're going to do. I think that we're all going to use or we all should be using our skills uh to better civilization, to better humanity, and what that looks like. Again, it's going to be argued, right? We're going to argue about what are the best solutions for this, what are the best uh ways to to fix some of these issues. All right, we can we can do that. Um and we're going to be doing that over the next few days and weeks and months. But right now, uh we can take some time to reflect. Take some time to think about it. Take some time to think about what you can do to help stop this madness, to help bring a sense of honor and decorum to a place where there is no peace. Right? I'm not going to say everybody's going to hold hands and sing songs right over this. And I'm not saying that's the solution either. I'm just saying that there are a lot of ways to improve the situation around us. It's a very vague and broad statement, but I mean for it to be. There are ways to improve the world around us. There are. And we have gotten sloppy. We have gotten lazy. And we have every opportunity and every chance and every obligation to do what we can to do better. Think of this in the gym. Think of this when you're out and about in society. Think of this when
S2 briefing · 2025-04-13

Incorrect Update - April 12 - Two If By Sea

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the Intel update for April 6th through the 12th, 2025. It's been a very busy week, like I say all the time nowadays, but in this case, I'm afraid that this week has been a swing and a mess on my part, at least from a research perspective, which we'll get to in a moment. Sometimes Intel work is like that. A lot of times you have to do an awful lot of work to come up with a giant pile of nothing or just get stuck at some step along the way. So, I'm afraid I've been a little bit preoccupied with uh some research that hasn't really panned out. So, I haven't had much time to dig much uh into what has happened around the world this week, but let's go ahead and talk about the global strategic concerns right up front. And in the United States this week, the trade war has continued. So, lots of ups and downs, not a whole lot to sink our teeth into. We're just going to have to wait and see. When things are chaotic, it's probably a good idea to let things pan out and see how it works. As far as the tariffs go, it looks like most of the tariffs uh on on the rest of the planet from the United States have either been paused for 90 days or they have been reduced to 10% uh for 90 days while negotiations are ongoing. At the moment, the big tariff conflict appears to be between the United States and China, both of which are digging in. So, as things stand right now, the United States has a 145% tariff on Chinese imports and China has a 125% tariff on American imports. This has obviously amounted to what is essentially a trade embargo between the two nations. Uh, this is very obviously not something that is economically sustainable in the long run. So, I would expect by this week to have some more information on Chinese American trade negotiations. More specifically around the United States, aviation concerns have continued to grow over the past month or so. Since the election, there have been a lot of shakeups at the FAA and various uh airports around the country regarding personnel and things like that. But the past few weeks have been rather kinetic. For instance, there was a fist fight between air traffic controllers earlier this month in the tower during flight operations in Washington DC. Uh this is coupled with a couple of days ago a couple of aircraft clipped wings in Washington DC. There have also been a few highle retirements. For instance, uh the chief of all air traffic control doctrine and management retired announced his retirement earlier this week. So, it's a fairly kinetic time. Of course, the media is going to focus on things like the the plane crashes and problems with general aviation that are more typical and not really out of the norm. But when it comes to other things like fist fights at airports becoming a huge problem now, even apparently amongst staff it seems, and other things that are adjacent to the aviation community, these concerns are beginning to mount and uh there's been increased scrutiny on the way that air traffic control is handled throughout the country. Moving over to Eastern Europe, the situation with regards to the Ukrainian war continues really without much change. However, this week the United States and Russia have begun more direct negotiations with regards to how this conflict is going to shake out. This is not really new. The United States and Russia have been working on this for a few weeks now. However, the talks are beginning to become a little bit more high level and a little bit more publicly high level. So, this is probably a positive tone for the the how the Ukrainian war is hopefully going to come to an end, but no real public progress has been made. Sometimes that's uh that's the way that it is. And uh sometimes in the world of diplomacy, no news is good news. So uh nothing bad has happened so far between the United States and Russia. So that's that's probably a positive thing for now. Moving down to the Middle East, the strategic buildup continues as before. I know we're tired of hearing about it, but it still continues and it's still continuing to get more and more substantial. The grand questions are starting to be asked on the on the national stage of is this buildup for Yemen or is this build up for Iran or is this build up for somewhere else? Uh who knows? It's really hard to say at this moment, but the the buildup does continue. The United States, more specifically, has continued bombing nearly daily in Yemen, and we'll talk about which assets are conducting that bombing here in a moment. But over in Diego Garcia, where we're going to be spending most of our time today again, there have been a lot of indications and warnings of uh increased logistical efforts. So, we'll talk about that in just a moment. Though, moving to the strategic movement tracker, our fleet tracker for this week, things have remained very much the same as before. The Nimus has arrived in the Pacific theater and is cutting some circles out there in the North Pacific Ocean at the moment. The USS Euima has been in and out of Port Norfolk for a few days now. I think she's conducting some sort of exercise, probably some follow-on training regarding the exercise a couple of weeks ago. No real indications and warnings of a major deployment, but both the Euima and the Wasp have been seen moving in and out of Norfolk a little bit more often than is normal. So, we'll see how that works out. But either way, they are not a factor. Neither of these flat tops are a factor for what's going on in the Middle East. That is squarely on the Truman and the Carl Vincent. The Truman is in the Red Sea and the Carl Vincson was observed off the coast of Oman a few hours ago. We don't have an exact location for either of these carrier strike groups obviously because you know operational security. However, aircraft uh who have been conducting logistics flights to these carrier strike groups have been observed on ADSB. So, we can kind of get a general gist of where they're located. And the Carl Vincson was definitely off the coast of Oman at least a few hours ago. Both of these carriers, their mission is somewhat ambiguous, but it's very very likely that both of these carriers are conducting strikes in Yemen. We've seen a very sharp increase and at least the Houthi is reporting things blowing up. So the SNCOM has announced various bombing campaigns. The White House has been talking about it quite a lot. It's hard to pin the tail on the donkey as to which carrier is doing which bombings, but that's the kind of situation as it stands for now. Moving down to Diego Garcia. I don't want to hyperfixate on this location too much in the grand scheme, the big picture of things, but I do have a lot of satellite images to cover. I've already bought them, so I might as well talk about them. Uh, this image is from the sixth is probably the best image I have this week of the South Parking Apron. As we can see, six B2s are still there. Six tankers are still there. Hangers still may or may not have bombers in them. Probably empty, but you never know. One of the more interesting images this week came from April 8th. Again, this is a commercial imagery, so please forgive the Looney Tunesque distortions on this image. I can't really help it that much, but this image shows that three of the B2s were missing. So, three B2s and three KC135 Stratakers were missing. Now, again, most people might say, "All right, fine. They're aircraft. They were off bombing something in Yemen or doing something." However, a little analytical rule of thumb is that when you're looking at satellite imagery from an intelligence perspective and you're trying to figure out what's going on, sometimes the time of day that the image was taken is more valuable than what's in the image. In this case, we have three missing bombers and three missing tankers. Now, you may say one of two things happened. Either one, those bombers are secretly in those hangers uh hiding and they're doing some kind of something on the bombers that they don't want satellites to see. Very good theory. But a more likely theory is that the three bombers took off and they took each a tanker with them wherever they went. Now again, time of day matters. This image was taken at 0443 Zulu time, which works out to be around about4 to 11 local time. So middle of the day, more or less, around lunchtime. So this image was taken during the daytime. So what? Well, for one, one of the main theories as to why these B2s are here is because of the story, the narrative that's being pushed either by a lot of so-called oent pages on Twitter or by the White House or the Pentagon themselves or everyone is basically saying these B2s are for Yemen and they're conducting bombings in Yemen. And that may be true. That may be true. However, the Houthis have not reported a single daytime bombing at all. uh certainly not with large bombs that are going to be delivered by a B2. Now, there have been hellfire strikes here and there from drones. Uh there have been a few sporadic bombings during the daytime. We have footage of this, so we know these this has occurred, but the Houthis have mostly reported these very large scale bombings. The the large targeting, the large deliberate targeting, not the dynamic stuff, the deliberate stuff, which is what B2s are going to be doing. That kind of targeting has taken place during the nighttime, which makes sense. So, if the B2s are missing during the day and they're not bombing in Yemen, where are they? Where did they go? That I cannot speculate on. I do not know. You can make the argument that it's it was a training flight. These that three B2s took off uh with their tankers and they flew somewhere for training. I don't know why you're going to break multiple world records to land at this place and and conduct a forward deployment like you've never done before just to do some localized training. That's not something that B2s normally do. I don't know. I'm sure there's plenty of theories out there, but I thought it was interesting that it does not make any sense for these bombers to be gone during the daytime if they're conducting bombings in Yemen when no bombings have been reported in Yemen. So, that was kind of an interesting tidbit from the April 8th. Also kind of interesting as we can see there are two C5 galaxies sitting on the runway. And just to show my homework a little bit, you can 1,00% say that these are in fact C5s and not C17s as many people have claimed. These are C5s because I can load this satellite imagery into ArcGIS and do what's called point mineration. Basically, I can measure things with a very very good accuracy. the end. If I were to use my measuring tool here to measure the wingspan of whatever aircraft is on the runway, I can compare that to what the US Air Force says is the wingspan of a C5 Galaxy. And in this case, I'm off by a couple of meters. So, with a resolution, uh, image resolution of 1 meter, I'm off by two pixels. So, sorry about that. But either way, uh, pretty close. So, we can say with a pretty good certainty that these are two C5s sitting here delivering cargo to Diego Garcia. So, pretty interesting stuff. Other images I already got this week are from April 9th. Again, the analyst nightmare of clouds over the target. This has been the bane of existence for most military analysts who look at imagery since uh World War II, and it's still the same today. I can't afford a synthetic aperture radar image to punch through these clouds. And and a lot of the satellite images uh that we can buy images from commercially, they don't have infrared either, so it doesn't help us out too much. But we can still see a handful of B2s peeking through the clouds. And the next day, we also have a free satellite shot. Sentinel 2 imagery from April 10th confirms that all six bombers are back at base along with their respective strat tankers. And we do have one C5 parked on the runway as well. And one of the interesting notes from this image is that one of the B2s appears to be maneuvering. So either she's just taxiing around, testing something, maintenance checks, whatever, or she's returning or departing. Either way, kind of an interesting image, even if it is a low quality rendering. Now, one of the things that we have to be mindful of when it comes to looking at runways and blurry images of aircraft is hyperfixation. A lot of people are looking at this island, and a lot of people are looking at this parking apron here. And the US government knows, the Pentagon, and whoever federal agencies are watching this video right now certainly know that people like me are watching this to get a feel for basically if we're going to go to war or not. And because the national intelligence agencies are watching this, they may be inclined and the forces at this island may be inclined to pull a little bit of a sneaky. So, while we're looking down here at the South Apron, it's easy to forget that this isn't the only parking area on this airfield. There is a North Apron. So, I did get a shot of the North Apron just to confirm. I already had a hunch, but I did get an image to confirm that no, there is nothing going on at the north parking apron. is uh an unused portion of the base normally, but I would have expected maybe a C5 or C17 to park here if the south south apron gets a little bit full. Uh so if we start to see more strategic assets start to stage here, we'll have to keep on an eye on the North Apron, too. But for now, the situation here is Nister or nothing significant to report. A giant fat nothing. And even though nothing is occurring at this part of the air base, this is a good reminder to avoid slipping into the analytical trap of failing to zoom out. And to zoom out this week, I did. If we were to go back to our Sentinel imagery and zoom out quite a bit, there have not just been aviation concerns this week, but also maritime concerns. So, even though you guys have not seen this work, I have been tracking the ships as they have been coming and going from Diego Garcia simply because I'm interested to see if this location is starting to be used more as a jumping off point for very uh long-term military operations. And unfortunately, my research has been rather inconclusive this week. I did find two unidentified vessels that seem to be rather new to me over the past few weeks or so. And I will share with you some of my homework in trying to identify these vessels. So, one of the reasons we may want to be mindful of this is again taking a more holistic approach. Just tracking B2s, as cool as it is, and looking at these very, very expensive aircraft on satellite imagery is is interesting. If we're trying to get a much more bigger picture of things, you're not going to be able to fly in enough bombs on a C5 or C17 to sustain a long-term bombing campaign, right? You're going to need ships. And in this case, these two ships caught my eye. Now, before we jump into what these two vessels are and their true identities, I had to jump back in here after I have recorded this brief. I have edited it. I have even uploaded it. It's all good to go. And in classic fashion, the very minute that I finished the upload for this briefing today here on Sunday, April 12th, I have identified this vessel. So, in short, all of what I'm about to talk about, highlighting my thought processes and all the images and all of the analysis work on my end, all of this is kind of irrelevant now. So, if you want to skip past it, please feel free to do so. But I wanted to leave it in to show you some of the things that I think about and the things I was working toward. And if you want to, you can actually see some of the analytical mistakes that I made going through this. some key assumptions right up front that actually are very very inaccurate. Now, I did start off with this sort of okay, but it really did kind of bug me that some of the data points that I identified never really sat quite right. Anyway, I'll start to go through my process now and kind of jump back and show you what I was thinking and then I'll cut back in at the end and tell you exactly what this vessel is because it's not a supply vessel. Well, technically it is, but not really. Anyway, we'll we'll get to that in a moment. But for now, here's what I started with. Now, the first one, uh, which we'll call composite tanker number one. This was very obviously a a tanker of some kind. Completely normal, not nothing out of the ordinary. It doesn't seem to have visited this location very often, at least based on my um limited research, but it's still going to be delivering fuel probably for the aircraft at this base. Maybe oil, too. Who knows? Probably a variety of petroleum products, to be honest. Either way, we've got a pretty good jumping off point for what vessel that is. The other vessel is a rather unique one. Uh this is very obviously a supply vessel, an auxiliary. And to me personally, uh it looks like a Louiswis and Clark class dry goods auxiliary. Uh that's generally what they're called. Um now I scrolled back through all of the Sentinel imagery and found out when she arrived at this location. That's a pretty good place to start from. When did she get there? That maybe help us figure out which one which vessel it is. And it appears to have arrived between March 11th and March 18th. Some people claimed that she is the USNS Guadalupe on social media. We'll get to that in a moment. But overall, uh, my appointments for this time for this vessel is that she's approximately 213 to 215 m, at least from my rather garbage imagery. So, I'll show you that. Now, one of the reasons I don't think she's the Guadalupe, even though that's what's being claimed right now, is that her whole configuration looks different. Guadalupe has got a pointy bow, and this one has a rather blunted beak, so to speak. It just doesn't look the same. Uh there the folks on the Guadalupe is rather large as well. Doesn't really match. However, if we look at a Louiswis and Clark class auxiliary, it looks very similar to that. It looks like the small folks there in the squared off portion of the bow looks a little bit more accurate. And we can even go a little bit further. Go to Norfolk Naval Station, our favorite naval base for getting top- down imagery of US Navy auxiliary ships. And we look at a Henry J. Kaiser class replenishment oiler and our our satellite image of our vessel that's uh in the harbor at Dega Garcia. And you can see it doesn't really match. It's not the same vessel. However, it does look a lot more like uh a Louiswis and Clark class dry cargo or ammunition ship, right? So, you know, this is generally the kind of back pocket research that most of you will never see, but it's being done in the background. Anyway, I just thought I would share this time around. So again, I got multiple images of these vessels throughout the week, and I was really kind of interested to find out what is the name of this auxiliary ship here, and I got way down into the weeds by creating a table of every single Louis Clark class auxiliary ship with a goal of finding out uh through process of elimination which this which vessel this could be. Again, there are easier ways of doing this, but I I wanted to do the hard work this time around. This is some kind of like junior level intel guy stuff. So, I wanted to do this work uh just to build familiarity with where these vessels are located normally. And through my own work, I was able to basically narrow down uh which vessel this could be. If it is a Louiswis and Clark class auxiliary, it's got to be one of these three because all the ones in red here, uh it obviously can't be those ships. So, I thought, well, you know, none of these were really good fits either. So, I thought, well, maybe it's not. Maybe it's not a Louiswis and Clark. But I measured multiple times from multiple images and the measurements I was getting are not the best. I mean, it could be a lot of different things. I think probably the image from April 5th is the best image I could get of this particular vessel, but again, not really conclusive. Uh it it does look like a Louiswis and Clark class, but it may not be. Um the tanker, it seems a little bit more clear in this image from April 5th. So, uh, the claims that this is the tanker Stenna imperative that that does kind of match the Stenna line of oilers or tankers, excuse me. Uh, those are very impossible to tell apart on satellite imagery. The only way to tell these apart is again by AIS and uh by really good imagery, much better imagery than we can get from a satellite. So, I did work through, just to show my work, I did work through uh one of the classic ways that we track and uh categorize ships since World War II. So, believe it or not, the US Navy uh specifically the Office of Naval Intelligence still does do this by hand. Uh the they classify the whole configuration and what we call the upright sequence. This is done by hand still to this day. So, I pulled the upright sequence for the STA imperative. I found a side shot of the Stenna imperative and I did the upright sequence myself. Now again, this is really nerdy stuff. It doesn't really help you that much, but this is kind of an interesting little bit of Navy lore. This goes back again to the days of World War II uh when imagine you're a submarine captain in the North Atlantic. You're you're hunting merchants and uh you need to know which merchant you sink, right? How do you for instance on all those History Channel documentaries, how do we know the gross tonnage of vessels that were sunk? Well, I'll tell you how we know. The submarine captain looked through his periscope and conducted an analysis of the upright sequence of whichever ship he was getting ready to shoot a torpedo at. And from that upright sequence, we could then determine what ship it was, especially if it's in the dark. Uh all you see is a silhouette and you see masts and funnels and cranes. And you can uh categorize the hole shape and superructure. Well, if you've got a big database or in many cases just a a book, you know, on board the ship of which vessel it is, you know, you can generally kind of put two and two together as to which submarine sank which ship. And that that research combined with the losses, for instance, during the Battle of the Atlantic, the losses on the Allied side, you know, which ship was sunk, you know, at which location and uh on what day, you can narrow down and figure out which ship it is. But this doctrine carries forward to today. So determining the upright sequence for commercial ships is very very important when it comes to trying to identify commercial merchant vessels. And in this case uh it's a little bit subjective. Uh but I did the upright sequence as mast mast crane funnel crane just identifying the features you can see. Again we're looking for big features on board the ship. There is a little bit of room for debate. Modern ships are not like World War II ships. So for instance, in this in this particular image, you could the analyst could make the argument that that second mass there is a king post. But in any case, this is generally what we're going with. And if we also do the same thing with the hole configuration, in this case, it is a raised one uh hole configuration. Some might argue it's a flushed hole. Either way, it's just more data in our pocket. it doesn't really matter because the the upright sequence and the whole configuration for our ship that we see here in the imagery matches pretty good. Uh so we're going to say with a fairly high confidence this is probably the Stenna Imperative as claimed. Again, World War II, we've made a lot of development since then and we have uh really overly watermarked drone shots of some of these uh vessels as well. And we can compare that to the open- source Sentinel imagery. And we can compare it to the image uh the paid commercial image and it seems to match pretty pretty dang close. So as far as the tanker goes, yeah, it's just an imperative most likely. We can also uh check the AIS data. Again, some of you may say, well, why didn't you check the AIS tracking data? I did. Almost all vessels shut off their transponder before they get within a thousand miles of this island. Again, it's a very decently secret place. And uh there is an AIS transponder or receiver here. And none of the vessels who go to this island turn their transponder on. So it's very much a kind of a blacked out place, which is understandable considering it's, you know, largely military use. So that's kind of where I'm stuck at here. One of the reasons why I can't identify this vessel is uh there are a few theories here, uh which you can read on your own. It could be that I'm just stupid and am missing something completely. This could be a standard thing that maybe this isn't a buildup of resources at Diego Garcia. I went through and I looked through the past four years of Sentinel images. Every single time an image was taken, I looked at it and from my own eye, I can't really I mean, there are routine logistics shipments to this island, but I can't say I can't determine right now. I don't have enough data to determine if what I'm seeing in this image, for instance, is anything abnormal. I maybe it's not abnormal. I don't know. Another thing to remember is maybe I'm just misidentifying this vessel. Maybe it could be something else. Maybe it's uh maybe it's a foreign vessel. Who knows? I measured it. I did all this uh point mineration on it and it matches as best I can to a Louiswis and Clark class auxiliary. Another theory is that well maybe the Sentinel imagery is misleading. Maybe they're trying to pull a sneaky on us. Again, coming back to the military deception possibility. Here are uh the past few images where I think this vessel arrived uh at this location and anchored in this spot. And as you can see based on the kind of yellow orange circles, it's been there since at least March 18th. Now, there was a gap of time between March 11 and March 18 where there was no satellite coverage. So, she arrived somewhere between 11 and 18. But maybe she didn't. Maybe that's a different vessel. Uh, it's pretty cloudy. So, maybe she really arrived on the 31st. There's no telling. I mean, maybe they're maybe they're trying to play a shell game here and telling different commercial ships to to anchor in the same spot to make it look like it's been one single ship this entire time when in actuality it's been multiple ships. That's a possibility, too. I say that because if we go back to my chart here of who it could possibly be, uh, based on the images, well, we've got the our three contenders. You can see the dates here. The dates are not matching up. So, something is wrong along here. It's far more likely that I'm just wrong and that I have done something incorrectly up until this stage than than it is for a sort of ghost ship to exist. Ships don't just, you know, appear, right? So, all right. Just to save everyone some time, uh, in the comment section down below, I can confirm 100% that I was wrong. This is not a Louiswis and Clark class dry cargo ship. The entire internet is wrong as well. Twitter is wrong. All of the multi-million dollar think tanks and probably CIA funded naval warfare publications are also incorrect. I have figured out what this ship is. This vessel is the USS Emory S Land AS39. And some of you out there may say, "What in the Sam Hill kind of vessel is that?" Well, my friends, this is a submarine tender. I would like to state for the record that I'm not entirely at fault here, okay? Uh because this ship is not supposed to be here. So, the Emory S Land is one of two ships left of her type in the entire US Navy fleet. There is the USS Emory S Land and the USS Frank Cable. Like I mentioned earlier, it didn't really make a whole lot of sense. There was something a little bit nagging to me about this vessel being called something that it wasn't right to start with. And then the uh actual like AIS data indicated that well, it doesn't it can't really be a Louiswis and Clark vessel either. It doesn't I mean the imagery is kind of bad, but I mean it's almost the same dimensions as a Louiswis and Clark vessel. However, what I was measuring is the helellipad off the rear end. And if you'll see at the very very top image, the the satellite image that I bought here shows a cutout in the uh helipad. So, it's like an offset helipad. And that was the thing that kind of got me going to think maybe this is maybe this is not a Louiswis and Clark class vessel because they they have a helellipad that's obviously uh contained within the hole and it it it just looks different. So anyway, I kind of had an epiphany. It came to me that this is actually a submarine tender, the USS Emory S land, and that's definitely what it is. If you look at all the images you can Google on your own, it's definitely what it is. Now, for those of you who feel a little bit charitable with wasting your time for the past few minutes, this is still very important. So, I was originally concerned about this ship coming to this area to deliver bombs. Well, we know that's not the case now. This ship is here to take care of submarines. This is a submarine tender. So, what does that tell us? So it tells us that the US Navy is going to be running attack subs out of Diego Garcia. Now, now the more astute of you, if you research the USS Emiry Sand and the submarine tender class of ships, you may find that, "Wow, wait a minute. She's been here before." And you would be correct. The USS Emory S Land was stationed in Diego Garcia almost 15 years ago. That's a long time. Right now, here's the kicker with this. There's only two of these vessels left. The Emiries Land and the Frank Cable. Now, the Frank Cable is supposed to be stationed in Guam and the MRA land is supposed to be stationed here in Diego Garcia. Now, here's the kicker. I've got a lot of documentations that state that this ship, the Emory Land, was actually transferred to Guam and the Frank Cable was sent to the west coast of America, back to Seattle, right? So, quite the twist of fate, isn't it? It's not exactly what we were talking about, but in unraveling this mystery of what this ship is, we've actually uncovered something rather new. That's why I couldn't find this ship going back a little ways in the imagery because well, she wasn't there. She was in Guam. And now, at least as of a few months ago, maybe even a couple of years, she's been stationed here in Diego Garcia a little bit more permanently. So, how long has she been at Diego Garcia? I don't know because my sentinel imagery is not that great. During the wintertime, there are sometimes many, many months where I can't get a good image of anything because of cloud cover. So again, I've gone through years and years and years of uh this this area worth of imagery, and I can't find the this this ship here passed a few months ago. So when she got here, she got here in the probably in the middle of March, like I had originally theorized, between March 11th and March 18th. So I don't know. You guys tell me. What do you think? I mean, this is kind of interesting. No, it's not the ship we were expecting it to be, but it is very, very interesting in a completely different manner. So, once again, not particularly new. This is rather old information to be honest, but I think it's kind of interesting and and it does highlight that we're looking at militarizing Diego Garcia a little bit more often because otherwise, why would she be here, right? Again, an island in the middle of the Indian Ocean is very helpful for running submarines uh out of uh the Middle East, so that you know, the submarines that are accompanying the carrier strike groups don't have to wait so long without going uh with mail and uh things like that. So, it's kind of interesting. I don't know if this is a smoking gun that points to, holy cow, we're going to be having more submarine operations out of Diego Garcia. I don't know, this may be the same baseline. So, it doesn't really help us make any more decisions about the seriousness of what's going on at Diego Garcia, but it is very, very interesting. and I I found it to be uh quite the thrilling hunt to fi find out what this vessel is. So either way, this is kind of the research that I have done this week. These are the the facts that we can sink our teeth into. And unfortunately, you know, this this does highlight the difference between journalism and intelligence. If we were to just talk about just the raw facts, hey, there's two ships in the harbor, right? Uh and we don't go into the analysis of what that means or we don't do any of the research to determine what vessel it could be. we we're not going to highlight any of these discrepancies. So the world of intelligence is of course different from the world of journalism. Uh journalism is supposed to tell you just the facts whereas intelligence is supposed to help you make decisions based on incomplete information. And in this case there's a lot of incomplete information. Sometimes that's that happens but either way it is a very good uh week for learning lessons and kind of getting back to the basics of good intel habits to have. Don't hyperfixate on one thing. I know I've hyperfixated on these ships this week, but don't focus on just the aircraft. Don't focus on just this island. This island doesn't really matter that much in the grand scheme of things. It's all little breadcrumbs. All little breadcrumbs of information we're trying to put together. It's like uh it's like a paint by numbers thing. We're trying to paint a picture here, but we've only got like two colors and we can only fill in 30% of the of the spots on the on the painting. So, not going to be a very pretty picture. And you may have to still look at that picture and make a decision. That's kind of what this is all about. showing my homework to uh detail some of the more in-depth things that that we talk about and work through and some of the conclusions we have to come to uh based on very very incomplete and oftentimes conflicting information. So, I know not very interesting, very very boring, but that's what I have for this week. That's pretty much all I've been able to focus on and and work through with regards to what's going on around the Middle East. Now, I do have a couple of things I'm not going to talk about just yet. I do have a couple of other locations. I have not, as you might be led to believe by what I've talked about so far, I have not been focusing only on Diego Garcia. There are a few other places to watch. And watching them, I have been. So, I will hope to have a little bit more information. We have to start developing these things out. We've got to start somewhere, right? So, I'll hope to hopefully have a little bit more information on that over the next month. It's going to take a while for my my work to come to fruition on this to kind of figure out are we going to war with Iran or not or are we doing something else. But either way, wrapping up today with the intercepted ghost net reports. It's been a pretty light week this week, which is kind of understandable this time of year. It's always pretty light. Everybody wants to be outdoors and uh not playing with radio stuff. But that's the eternal battle, isn't it? It's always a uh challenge to keep from being complacent. And uh we most certainly have to remember to not get complacent. Make sure you know how to use your stuff. Make sure you have a plan for communicating with people you need to communicate with if and when communications goes down. We still have to remember submarine cables are still being cut. China is uh still tapping or trying to manipulate or cut or anchor drag over cables all of the time. It's become a very common thing to do. So again, don't be complacent. Realize that the internet may go out for certain parts of the world and it may be hard to figure out what's going on. So, as we all know, you cannot really easily create a communications plan after a disaster. You kind of have to plan on what you're going to do beforehand. And the ghost net is at least a stop gap measure in that regard. So, that's all I have for today. Here are the sources as usual. And thank you guys all for sticking with me today. I know it's been kind of a whole lot of nothing this week. Uh even though there have been definitely a lot of things going on, it's just not a whole lot of conclusive uh activities that we can kind of really get any sort of closure on, I guess. But either way, I'm going to continue keeping a very broad view on things and we'll see what uh see what next week brings. Hopefully, we'll have some more information there. But until then, thank you for all of your support. It really helps when uh when I've got to go through a lot of satellite images and it really helps a lot, too. And uh keeping the mapping project I've got going. So, that that definitely does help quite a bit. So, thank you all for that and I will see you next time.
Intel Update · 2026-01-23

Intel Update - Jan. 23 - Pandora's Box

Hello again everyone, and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for January 18th through the 23rd, 2026. Yes, you heard that correctly. I'm a day early because I'm right in the path of some pretty gnarly winter weather, and I fully expect it to be needed for other stuff tomorrow. I may end up doing a standard wire report tomorrow just to keep coverage, but I haven't decided yet. It really just depends on how this weather system develops. Either way, it's been a busy week like always, so let's get to it. Around the world, the general focus has been on the boring world of diplomacy, mostly centered around the World Economic Forum, which has taken place this week. As most world leaders have taken part in this event, not much else has been scheduled, and it will take a while to comb through all of the speeches of what's been covered at the summit this year, but it's always a good idea to keep an eye on what the Bond villains of the world are planning, so more on that later. Separately, American aspirations for Greenland continue amid the Europeans getting a little squirrely about the entire affair. There has been a lot of rhetoric back and forth on the issue, and Denmark is getting a little annoyed that they aren't being taken seriously, but if they didn't want that to happen, they probably shouldn't have been Danish in the first place, but anyway, the United States is looking to either purchase Greenland outright or bring the landmass under some sort of American ownership situation in exchange for something, probably NATO funding or some such. Either way, the talks continue, so we'll see how this develops because the United States is getting Greenland one way or another. The question is what we give up in return and how this will impact the relationship with NATO. Otherwise, around the world, the attentions in the Middle East remain the same as before as demonstrated by the strategic movement for this week. Generally speaking, it's not a terrible idea to keep an eye on the massive forces that are staged around the world, and in this case, the United States is moving a carrier strike group into the region of the Arabian Sea, which is pretty standard, but if the United States wants to conduct strikes in Iran, this will be something to keep an eye on. As far as strategic aviation for this week, it's pretty much the same as last week, a steady increase of forces in the region, but nothing really major to be worried about at the moment. Now, moving back to the United States this week, again, the focus is once again on Minneapolis, but mostly in the context of how things are going to develop in Maine. And in Minneapolis, there are many different things that are helpful for assessing what's going to go on in Maine, at least when it comes to funding and organization. Some of you have asked me to cover some of the groups in play in Minneapolis, which are driving much of the unrest, which I'll cover today. Now, right up front, this is a much taller order than you might think because there are dozens of groups in Minneapolis alone which are driving a lot of this unrest. Even if I had a whole team of 100 people, I couldn't even scratch the surface, so here is a brief overview of some of the groups that are more kinetic than others. One of the biggest groups in play is actually the local government of Minneapolis and the state of Minnesota at large. And we have to be very specific with our language here because this is not a case of the local city and state government simply not enforcing laws or something like that. This is happening, to be sure, but we must be aware that this is not simply intentional negligence. City officials are directly driving a lot of this unrest and chaos. They are not simply standing back, fanning the flames, and refusing to arrest anyone. They are directly on the ground participating in these events themselves. For example, one of the individuals who conducted the raid on City's Church is also a government employee. Jamal or Jamaal Lundy was identified as one of the members who occupied the church, and he actually identified himself in the footage of the incident because he is currently running for public office. Currently, Lundy is not only married to a city councilor, Anika Bowie, but he is also currently an employee of the Hennepin County Attorney's Office, the same law enforcement organization that is in charge of the investigation of the crimes that took place at City's Church. This is why no arrests have been made by local law enforcement. Their own employees took part in the attack, and the attorney general himself was interviewed on the ground a short distance away from the church itself on the day of the incident. And in interviews after the incident, he gave his approval for this type of targeting. So, in short, the direct and self-admitted involvement of government officials specifically now makes the targeting of City's Church, for example, a textbook case of state-sponsored terrorism as per the current definition of terrorism set forth by US Code Title 18, Section 2331, which specifically includes acts that, quote, intimidate or coerce a civilian population. Per the law that was passed, which in this case is actually the Patriot Act, ironically, terrorism does not have to include the use of violence. Coercion or the threat of violence is good enough to get a criminal charge. I know before everybody jumps in the comments, this is probably going to be a Pam Bondi special where nothing of substance is going to be done. You may get two or three arrests like we've seen already, but it's really going to be for show, and probably 6 months down the line, the charges going to be dropped. That's my personal guess. But, government employees themselves being directly involved in the crimes that they are committing and also being responsible for investigating themselves, you know, this is a bit of a sticky situation now. But, government agencies and government personnel and elected officials aside, what about the other groups that are not explicitly controlled by government agencies? The two main lines of effort in Minneapolis that are organizing the more regular and routine protests are the Defend the 612 and ICE Watch organizations. Now, it must be noted that tracking these groups is easier than most because they all use their real names and post openly on social media, but when it comes to categorizing insurgent groups in general, it's like trying to nail Jell-O to the wall most of the time. These are really amorphous blobs of organizations, and they're not really as solidified as we might want to think that they are. They're more organized than you think, but they're also not organized enough to make this easy. In the case of the Defend the 612, these guys are responsible for the Soylent grade efforts to follow around ICE and directly interfere with arrest operations. ICE Watch is the more overarching national level initiative to do the same, but because it's more of a strategic effort, ICE Watch focuses mostly on intelligence and reconnaissance, such that it is. So, chances are if you see an overweight pronoun user blowing a whistle on the street, it's because they're linked up with ICE Watch and feeding information into their databases. Again, it may be laughable to call a lot of these efforts reconnaissance and intelligence collection, but that's really what it is, even if it is kind of silly and a little bit laughable in in most cases. Definitely don't underestimate these groups. They can definitely learn a lot, and they are learning a lot every day that goes by, so don't underestimate that for sure. On the political fronts, no domestic insurgency would be complete without a political arm, and in the case of Minneapolis, this is mostly the Democratic Socialists of America, or DSA. Under normal circumstances, this organization is again a complete joke. They don't have a physical address, and all of their meeting locations are basically just public libraries where a dozen or so members get together to muse about communism and not showering. However, with the unrest ticked up a notch throughout the city, these groups are capitalizing on the labor unions, which are also quite upset about ICE conducting operations throughout the city. So, whenever you see a labor union strike in Minneapolis, take a closer look at the photos because I guarantee you you'll find a DSA representative there or some signage promoting a communist revolution. So, when we say that these are liberal commies, that is quite literally their own description. Their main campaign goal is to seize power, eradicate capitalism, and put most of us in labor camps. That's what they say themselves. But again, as amateurish and silly as it is, one of their main ways of doing this is to link up with the Socialist Rifle Association, or SRA. Once again, under normal circumstances, this is kind of a laughable effort, but this is the main communist firearms organization that works to promote firearms training in more leftist areas and among leftist groups. Now, I know that many people, mostly libertarians, are inclined to see rifle and think friend, but rest assured, these people openly state that they want to kill you. This is not a Second Amendment group. They are wanting to get firearms to commit terrorist attacks with them. This is a lot different than 2A advocacy or, you know, gun rights in general. Their goals are violent, and I'm personally rather interested in why this group has not been designated as a terrorist organization by now. But anyway, these guys are the ones linked to most of the attacks on ICE facilities because nine times out of 10, whenever some redditor shoots up a school or an ICE facility, you look at their social media accounts, and they're usually a member of the SRA. Once again, this group is generally goofy most of the time, but this organization is also the recruiting pool for more deliberate terrorist attacks around the United States, so that's something to keep in mind. Separately, but importantly due to the recent arrests, Black Lives Matter is also a substantial force on the ground in Minneapolis, but this is mostly due to funding. BLM is a very large organization that dominates the NGO scene throughout the city and has gained positions of power in most government agencies after the George Floyd bend the knee years, right? However, BLM has a big caveat. They don't get along so well with the other demographic in the city, the Somalis. It may be surprising to those who have been living under a rock, but turns out just because they're black doesn't mean that they get along. And in Minneapolis, the population of African Americans does not get along at all with the Somalians. So, that's always a point of friction because in most cases, they are competing for the same fraud money via aid programs. This is demonstrated by the rather sketchy businesses owned by the people who have been arrested so far, the BLM activists who were arrested in conjunction with the City's Church incident, so yeah, they're all kind of trying to get their piece of the pie, and in a lot of cases, they don't really get along so well. And this isn't made any better because as of late, the BLM movement in Minneapolis has been kind of sidelined as a voting block because the politicians have realized that they can just import Somalis and have an easier time in laundering tax dollars back to their own re-election campaigns. But this is a whole other abyss of corruption, so suffice it to say for now that when it comes to the civil unrest in Minneapolis, there are a lot of competing interests. And there's also a pretty good chunk of the black population in Minneapolis that doesn't like either side. The Somalis are generally well disliked because they are turning the city into a moot issue, but also, a lot of black citizens in Minneapolis don't like BLM because of how they burned the city down after George Floyd, which, as we all know, turned out to largely be for nothing, so there's plenty of friction all around. And of course, on a national scale, we cannot forget to mention the overarching organization that has their talents in everything, Antifa. Now, for the most part, Antifa's presence in Minneapolis is purely on an individual level. Unlike in Portland and Seattle, Antifa does not have sections of the city that are their turf. They don't dominate the terrain here like they do in Seattle and Portland. However, their presence is growing and like all the other groups mentioned so far, they are trying to take advantage of the crisis to get a bigger foothold in the city. Now, that wraps up the more foot soldier efforts that are present in the city. There are a bunch of other smaller groups and clubs that are active such as student organizations at the university, but really the biggest player in all of this by a long shot are the NGOs or non-government organizations. In Minneapolis, there are thousands of NGOs and these are the big ones to watch because the NGOs are the ones that handle nearly 100% of the funding for these unrest operations. So, we have a deadly combo here. They provide nearly all of the funding, personnel, and organization, but they are also basically immune from prosecution because no politician or government agency wants to go after NGOs because of who is running most of these NGOs. And in the case of Minneapolis, turns out there are a lot of different groups. As a matter of fact, if you go to my border crisis map and zoom all the way out. If you're wondering what all these yellow diamonds are, these are safe houses and organizations that are actively working to conceal illegal immigrants and protect them from detention. That's why the icon for these is a suspected safe house, right? Because these uh locations need to be investigated. And it turns out almost all of these points are also trying to help fund a lot of the unrest when it comes to targeting ICE. So, they're not just providing resources and benefits and stuff like that to illegals in the area. They're also funding and helping to provide manpower for a lot of the demonstrations against ICE. So, tracking these thousands of groups like this is is just so pervasive throughout the country that it's just too much for one person to log. So, please don't think that this is the complete picture. I have really just scratched the surface and I've got almost 2,000 on my list so far. So, the situation is much worse than it seems by just looking at the map even though all these icons are literally covering the land mass of this country, I'm still only scratching the surface. So, this truly is a case of opening Pandora's Box in that tackling these NGOs is such an insurmountable task that no one wants to even acknowledge that it's a problem. The budget for the coffee machine at most of these agencies is more than I make in a whole year and they have whole teams of attorneys on retainer that have funding akin to the GDP of Greenland just for the city of Minneapolis alone. And another concern is just how pervasive this is nationwide. Minneapolis is no special case. They're not even the worst when it comes to the cities that are uh helping to conceal people from ICE. New York City is probably among the top. Uh Los Angeles is another one. But these are just the cities that I've started to to look into a little bit more uh a little bit more intensely. And as DHS surge operations move to Maine, these Norman Rockwell small towns throughout America tend to be host to a significant uh counter ICE operations. Just like I wrote yesterday, I found one immigrant aid group, one NGO, which has a network of other NGOs and on their own website, they have a list of 112 different partners and members within just this one organization for just the state of Maine. There are only 32 Starbucks coffee shops in the whole state. So, there are three times more immigration support centers than there are Starbucks, which are on every street corner in America. So, we've got a bit of a pickle here, don't we? Uh we have a bit of a data problem and just typing out the names of all these groups is just too much data. It's just too much. There's not one, there's 10,000, right? And we also have a policing problem because these groups have been allowed to develop doctrine that rivals even a lot of military units, right? At least in terms of scale. Now, we may be tempted to look at these activist groups and chuckle at how they view the world through the lens of Reddit, but make no mistake, these NGOs are one of the biggest problems that the United States faces today and so far, no one left or right has wanted to even mention the problem because it would implicate very powerful donors. So, that's the strategic wave top overview of the organizational situation as it stands right now. In terms of the tactical situation on the ground in Minneapolis, it's pretty much status quo. I'll have to uh summarize the more uh kinetic events in a wire report, but strategically, for me this week, it's been incredibly data heavy as I've been putting a lot of man-hours into working on my maps. So, for those of you who want to take a look at the more boring side of what I do pretty much every day, check out my mapping products at the links below. I have two main maps on ArcGIS, the common intelligence picture, which is probably what most of you want, and I also have a separate map called the border crisis map, which is solely dedicated to tracking immigration issues. I would like to have all of this data on one map and just call it, you know, the map, uh but there are so many data points that it's actually kind of hard to load in a web browser sometimes. So, I've had to keep it separate for now. And of course, for those of you who might like to bring this data into ATAC, uh such as for conducting your own risk assessments and analysis and stuff like that for your local area, I have KMZs on my GitHub page for those who want them. Now, these KMZs are not auto-updating. They're not network link KMLs uh for now. So, I would say maybe once a week or so, if you want to get a fresh KMZ, uh just go into GitHub and download it and throw it into ATAC if you want. I know GitHub is not the easiest thing to use for the layperson. It's kind of it's kind of dumb if you're just trying to use it for downloads, but it works for me really well because sometimes I'm updating these KMZs several times a day and it's easier for me to just uh push the updates to the website. So, so that's pretty much what I have for now. I'm sorry if this isn't as uh in-depth as I wanted to go today, but I've run out of time and uh you know, we've got storm preparations to make here. So, with that, let's wrap up today with this week in history and I need to come up with a catchier name than that, but anyway, this time last year, we were still working through quite a few issues that kind of just fizzled out. So, firstly, we were working through the Palisades fire crisis and President Trump was being inaugurated. So, it's been 1 year since President Trump assumed office and it has been a crazy year, hasn't it? All the way around. So, looking back to 2025 around the world, much more sinister plots were unfolding such as the coup that never was, which was uh continuing in South Korea. There was a little bit of a spat there for a couple of months. It looked uh pretty dicey, but South Korean politics is pretty crazy as usual and uh this this case was no exception. So, that was kind of exciting to track for a little while last year. And also, a little bit more sinisterly, the trial of the Southport killer was ongoing and at the time, the gag orders on the details of that trial were just coming to light for the very first time and in hindsight, that was a watershed moment which changed the fate of the United Kingdom forever. So, we were just starting to figure out just how bad that um murder spree was back then and things have kind of snowballed from there, haven't they? Over the past year. So, personally, I find it quite interesting that 2026 started off much the same as 2025 did. A lot of very, very horrific things coming to light, but also a lot of hope to change things for the better. And that's a good way to look at things, I think. Acknowledge the challenges, but always end on what you can do to change things even if that's just changing yourself. And with that, let's finish up with the Ghost Net reports for today. This week was a really good net. I got a lot of messages, saw a lot of new check-ins, a lot of uh message traffic back and forth, a lot of news reports being exchanged, which is fantastic to see. And this week is a little bit more important than usual because at least for those of you who are in the same region as myself, we have some once-in-a-lifetime winter weather that is supposed to sweep across the nation from Texas to Virginia. So, a good chunk of the country and I would imagine that most of us will be losing power for quite a while. So, we've got a lot of snow and ice scheduled to descend on the region on Saturday, but also next week, temperatures are supposed to not get above freezing for most of the region for many days. So, the snow and ice won't be melting anytime soon. Oh, and high winds are also forecasted too, at least for where I'm at. So, definitely be safe out there. This storm is no joke this time. Uh I know the local media chop at the bit to sensationalize this kind of thing, but I've been looking at the raw data myself and this looks like a big one. So, definitely do what you can, remain as flexible as possible, and uh for the Ghost Nets specifically, I myself I'm going to be leaving my radios on and running throughout the whole uh crisis just in case uh anybody needs to send a message or exchange some information. I'll I'll be monitoring the whole time. Uh so, otherwise, other than radio stuff, I have the capability to stay online in some way no matter what happens. So, I I plan to keep wire reports flowing as best I can, but it'll be pretty annoying to be snowed in for a couple of weeks, I think. So, I guess we'll have to see how it all works out. It might be nothing or it might be calamity. There's really no telling, but personally, I'm making the last-minute preparations for a more widespread disaster situation. So, and staying prepared is always a good thing. So, that's all I have for today. Thank you again, everyone, for your support. I don't say that nearly enough. I really do appreciate it as it's what keeps me going and able to build all these daily reports, products, and maps, and stuff. So, could not do it without all of you, that's for sure. So, thanks again and I'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update · 2025-11-16

Intel Update - November 15 - Possible Happening Inbound...maybe

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for November 9th through the 15th, 2025. Good grief, the insanity has continued this week, hasn't it? Not a whole lot of domestic news this week. However, there have been a lot of potential happenings that have appeared on the forefront, which may become a bit of a thing over the next few months or so. But let's start with global strategic concerns as usual. Unfortunately, our friends across the pond in the United Kingdom as well as in France and throughout Western Europe at large really have experienced quite a few stabbing attacks this week. Continuing the trend over the past few months, there have also been a few attacks that have come to light in England specifically that occurred a long time ago, sometimes even a few years ago. And their trial is now just becoming publicized. So there there have been a few of those throughout much of Europe at large over the past few months. Down in Central and South America, tensions continue to rise in Mexico, mostly along the lines of Mexico and the Mexican government being more or less a narco state. This is of course extremely obvious, but it's still concern for the locals there. And tensions have been kind of rising over the past few months. The general sentiment just on the ground, whether it's true or not remains to be seen, but what the protesters are saying in Mexico is that they have kind of accepted the fact that Mexico is a narco state, but they are a little upset that Claudia Shinbal has become a little bit more open and not really trying to hide her cartel affiliations. As we recall, the last election season had more murders than normal for Mexico. So, it's not really anything revolutionary or groundbreaking or shocking or anything. We've kind of known this for a long time and Mexicans have known this for a very long time as well. But a lot of the demonstrators and a lot of the groups, they're protesting for a lot of different reasons, but the general sentiment from what I've been able to tell is that a lot of people want a true kind of return to form where Mexico's government and Mexico's authority are going to pretend like they aren't directly run by the cartels. So, you know, just like be a little bit more elegant with your corruption. That's that's kind of the the atmospheric so far. But it's a little early in the day right now, but there have been a few images come out of the protest. They've already graffitied up the fence they welded around uh the presidential residence there in Mexico City. We'll see how it turns out. Clearly, the Mexican government is expecting a pretty big turnout today, but it may or may not occur. Who knows? Apathy is a huge thing in Mexico for understandable reasons. I mean, a lot of people don't want to demonstrate in Mexico because, well, they think that demonstrating isn't going to isn't going to work. I don't know. We'll see. But the situation in Mexico is definitely continuing to worsen, especially considering the United States involvement in the Caribbean Sea, especially when it comes to Venezuela. So, the situation with Venezuela continues as before, but things have started to escalate. We'll get to Venezuela in just a moment on the strategic movement slide next, but here in the United States, there have been quite a few potential maybe possible happenings that are on the menu for the next couple of weeks. Digital ID has quietly made a debut in the United States in a larger role than it has in the past. So we'll we'll get to that in a moment. There have been quite a few economic indicators to be aware of for the general state of the American homeland that would probably be good to be aware of. And of course we have the Kudigra, the Epstein emails this week. So suffice it to say this week has been quite a few different cans of worms to get into. But for strategic movement, let's talk Venezuela for a moment. We are still in this will they won't they kind of arrangement. In terms of forces on station, the Euima ARG is still there. The Gerald Ford carrier strike group has now made her way into the Caribbean theater. So the fact of the matter that cannot be disputed is that a lot of US Navy forces are in the region and they are continuing to conduct strikes pretty much daily or at least every other day on random narco vessels that are transiting around the Caribbean. One item of note on the strategic strikes that are being conducted in the Caribbean Sea. There are a lot of misconceptions about these strikes and and the Pentagon has not done a super great job at explaining what they're doing and it's not my job to do that for them. They can definitely speak for themselves. But I did want to point out a a brief misconception that a lot of people have messaged me and have sent to me. A lot of people seem to think that these narco vessels that they are striking are coming to the United States directly and that's that's not true. So a lot of people think that what they're doing is they're coming up to a drug trafficking area, right? They're parking a fast boat on the beach. They're loading up, you know, bundles and bags of cocaine and they are taking those fast boats and driving them up to the beach in Florida. That is not what's happening. These fast boats are not coming into the United States directly at least. What they are doing is they are shuttling these precursors and they're shuttling these materials around between islands in the in the Caribbean. That's how it works. So, when you see a politician get in front of a camera and say, "Oh, well, these strikes are illegal because these boats couldn't make it to the United States." Well, for one, that conveys a couple of things. One, it conveys the person speaking doesn't know what they're talking about. They don't know how drug trafficking actually works. So, I may have to dig more into that a little bit and explain how that how how these things are working out. But, but that also tacitly implies that the United States has never conducted a legitimate strike since the American Revolution, which that's a political decision. If you want to have a political opinion on that, fine. I'm just explaining the the nuts and bolts of how this is how this works. And what they're doing in the Caribbean is they're striking boats that are that are making their way along known trafficking routes between islands. So that's what they're doing. No, these boats are not driving up onto the beach in Miami and offloading a bunch of cocaine. These narco submarines, they're not going into a port, you know, in Louisiana, right? They're offloading these things usually, wink wink, in Mexico, right? Mexico turns out has a lot of coastline, doesn't it? And not a lot of uh government agents are really interested in stopping drug trafficking in Mexico. So that's how it works. It's a lot safer to send a lot of drugs by sea because there aren't a whole lot of enemies out there on the ocean except for now the US Navy. Whereas if you were trying to traffic drugs from Colombia, which is a huge producer of narcotics, Venezuela, interestingly, doesn't really produce that much, but we'll probably get more into that later on. But anyway, for Colombia, for instance, it's a lot harder and it's a lot more logistically challenging and there's a lot more potential for risk on the part of the cartels to send drugs by land. That's why they send these drugs by sea. So, just a little point of clarification as we get started with this potential war because I have a sneaking suspicion that we're going to be probably striking Venezuela pretty soon, at least by year's end is my guess. But I've been wrong before, been wrong many, many times. So, my guesses aren't really worth that much. But there is a very sharp distinction and there's a very sharp difference between striking narcoats and the counter narcotics mission and what's going on in Venezuela, right? Those are two very different things. So the Pentagon to to balance things out here, the Pentagon is definitely speaking out of both sides of their mouth here because the mission and the objective in Venezuela is probably not counter narco. If we're going to be doing that, then maybe we should be bombing Panama and Colombia and Bolivia and places like that where they have they produce a substantial portion of the drug trade there. But the United States is focused on Venezuela probably because what everyone's thinking is probably true. We want regime change there. We want Maduro out probably for oil or natural gas. But there's probably also a lot of other uh interests at play here. So, another thing to consider just while I'm on the topic, notice what has not happened. You would think that these narcotics traffickers would stop sending, you know, drugs by sea, right? And send them by land if they know that they might get killed by a hellfire missile or some kind of artillery round, right? But they're not they're not slowing this down. So the United States expanding the war at sea might intentionally or indirectly have the goal of trying to move a lot of these drugs by land and thus cause a lot of other problems. So blockading these cartels from using the sea. Now they've got to send drugs through each other's territory and potentially maybe spark spark off a narco war as if there aren't a dozen already underway right now throughout the entire central and south American continents. So I don't know. There's a lot of speculation. I'm just saying that things are probably going to come to a head if they have if they aren't going to come to a head by the end of the year. I will be surprised. The United States may just turn this into a very very expensive game of whack-a-ole. It's not like we haven't done that before. But either way, it's certainly something that's going to be on the menu and to be aware of for a long time. So that's it for strategic movement. Let's switch gears quite significantly and talk about the growing elephant in the room, which is the collection of events that have occurred over the past few weeks or really just the past couple of days on the economic front. Now, I'm no economist for sure and I'm definitely not in the world of finance. However, some things do catch my eye occasionally and again, I'm coming at things from more of a national security risk assessment kind of angle, right? So, there's some overlap, but not a lot. But when there is overlap, I like to talk about it. And this week has been pretty intense. For one, we have some shenanigans going on with the number crunchers in DC. As many mainstream outlets have reported this week, the jobs report and the consumer price index report for October is probably never going to be released. At least that's what the White House has stated. This narrative is changing by the hour. So, I don't actually know what the latest version of this is. I've seen reports that the White House says, "Yeah, the the jobs report will come out, but it's not going to have unemployment data." So, I don't know. There's probably some shenanigans on this, but I can tell you this has raised a lot of eyebrows because the jobs report is extremely crucial for determining how the United States is doing on the economic front. Same thing with the CPI. So, when this doesn't come out, then it tends to make people think that there's a little bit of data manipulation on this and they want to probably hide it because jobs are not doing so well. And at the very moment that investors want some reassurance that the economy is not tanking or is not about to have a pretty big market correction now we don't have any data to make decisions. So that's concerning for what it's worth. Goldman Sachs produced their own numbers and they say the job market has uh shrunk by around 50,000 jobs. So we're down 50,000 for the month of October. I don't know if you want to trust them or not but that's just what their numbers are. So don't shoot the messenger here. Right. This probably does line up with a general downtrend because cryptocurrency for those of you who aren't in the crypto game, crypto had a brief what we might call crash a few days ago. So, Bitcoin is down underneath 100,000 uh as of this morning and this has led many people the word on the street at least the word on the street is that the bare market is here for crypto. Personally, I don't know. I'm not predicting anything. I'm just saying what people are saying, right? And this is kind of coupled with some other slightly concerning news uh in the world of the more traditional finance or financial markets such as hedge funds. A few days ago, Michael Bur announced that he is going to shut down his hedge fund. And the reason for shutting down his hedge fund is pretty interesting. Essentially, if you read the letter uh announcing the closure, he says basically the market is too uh insane for him to be able to predict where it's going. So, that's definitely an indicator. You can't debate that. That is definitely an indicator of something. What that is an indicator of, I don't know, but I know that people are going to argue about it while they're losing their shirt in the process. But another bit of concerning news is that Warren Buffett, of course, Warren Buffett announced his uh stepping down from Birkshire Hathaway. He is retiring uh as the CEO of uh the rather infamous group. This is not new. He announced this a while back, but it's now um coming into fruition at the at the end of the year. I don't know. All I'm saying is that there's been a lot of things happen that have caused people to get a little bugeyed this week in the world of economics, especially when it comes to things like the the potential AI bubble, right? The general sentiment this week with AI is that this uh game of musical chairs might come to a halt pretty soon. I don't know if that's true or not, but there have been rumors. It seem it certainly seems like open AI is moving toward potentially getting a government bailout at some point. So, that's probably a pretty big indicator that things aren't going super well and that the AI bubble might be getting ready to pop within the next, you know, few years at least. There's no real telling how this is going to work out, but I find it very interesting that all this kind of has come together over the past couple of weeks. And it hasn't necessarily been a very good look. So, I'm just giving you the very early indication and warning to do your own research on this, but uh I guess we'll have to see. Now, switching gears to something that's sort of related. The digital ID concerns that we have had for the United Kingdom have indeed made their way to the United States. So, for Apple users, digital ID is here. And the way that this digital ID has been implemented is very, very interesting. So, right up front, this digital ID concept is a new function in Apple Wallet to allow you to upload and uh just input the data from your pre-existing identification documents. They started with the passport. So, the US passport can now be input into the digital ID portion of the Apple wallet. And now you can use this because they now have a partnership with TSA. Look at how quickly that happened. They now have a partnership with TSA to allow you to use your phone as your passport at 250 different airports in the United States. In the same exact notice that Apple uh announced this partnership with TSA, they also stated that 11 US states are now incorporating their state drivers licenses or their state IDs into the system as well. So coming back to more of a wavetop view, this is not entirely a new concept, right? We've known about this for quite a while and TSA has actually had, you know, subscriptionbased services to fasttrack through security and things like that. So that's not particularly new. What's interesting and what is new is the scale at which this has been implemented. We went from okay uh we'll have like things like TSA pre-check and stuff like that to now we're going to roll this out to every iPhone user. It's going to be at 250 airports, so most airports, most big airports around the United States. And now it is going to incorporate driver's licenses. And we did this all in one single press press release. Oh, and by the way, it's now inside Apple Wallet. So now it would be probably quite easy for Apple to link your passport to your credit card, right? Isn't that interesting how quickly this has just been implemented and rolled out and nobody's paid attention to this, right? It just kind of happened overnight. Right now it's using your pre-existing IDs, right? So you can see how they're trying to sell this, right? You can see how they're trying to implement this and say, "Oh, well this is not the same thing that's going on in the UK with like this mass Orwellian crackdown on your, you know, your digital existence, right? It's not the same thing at all. We're just, you know, digitizing your passport. How bad can that be? Well, look at how fast they've implemented this, right? In 2 weeks time or 2 months time, I may be telling you about this new idea the US government's got with regards to a digital currency that's going to be linked to your digital ID. Man, you know, of course, that's speculation, but it's been moving pretty fast. So, I I wanted to make everyone aware of how quickly this this kind of thing can sneak up on you because that's how these things tend to work. And not to get too political here, but it seems like the Trump slump is definitely real. Whenever we have these really big data privacy concerns, a lot of conservatives tend to ignore them because they think that everything's all fine because they're guys in the White House. The political left, of course, does the same thing. All political parties do the same thing. But it seems like specifically with with President Trump, we've got a lot of these these data security concerns, right, with things like AI and Palunteer and the partnership between a private company, which is now working directly for a government agency. So, are they still a private company? I don't know. That's up for you to decide. But either way, it's very interesting how this has kind of slipped by and is being advertised as a feature, right? And meanwhile, our friends across the pond in the UK are protesting very strongly the implementation of digital ID in their country and yet here we advertise it as a selling feature. So very interesting how things have worked out. Similarly, something also to be aware of, unfortunately, Unfortunately, for those of you who have eyes and the ability to read, more Epstein emails have been released, and not a lot of them are familyfriendly. So, what has happened this week with the Epstein file release? Well, for those of you who have not been following it, the House Oversight Committee on Government Reform has been commissioned to examine the Epstein issue and any and all communications and things like that, the Epstein files, right? And just as a side note, what do we mean when we say the Epstein files? Well, really any digital file pertaining to the case. So, we're talking about internal uh emails and documents that were part of previous criminal trials of Jeffrey Epstein, previous witness statements, uh things that came out in civil trials, stuff like that, right? Colloquially we also mean when we say the Epstein files we mean the client list essentially the master list if which probably doesn't exist in its current form but there is a a list that we can compile of people who were clients of Jeffrey Epstein. So, just to get that right out of the gate, there's probably not just a master list of, you know, a word document with a list of names on it of people who were customers of Epstein, right? But we can certainly compile that data from the tens of thousands of pages, if not hundreds of thousands of pages of documents linked to Epstein and the various criminal trials that he was a part of over the years. So, right out of the gate, we've got to be accurate about what documents we're talking about. There's been a lot of conjecture, a lot of colloquialisms that we need to be, you know, kind of iron out before we get into this. So, as this situation has developed, there have been releases of documents over the years. There were the releases before Epstein became a household name, right? Before he became famous, the FBI had released quite a few records from his original indictments. So, we have that data already. Over the years, a lot of that data has been re-released, right? So his trafficking network once it became known that this was not just a simple case of you know some freak getting rolled up here. This was actually a much wider scandal than just one guy, right? This was more of a a a larger network. More scrutiny was placed on it. more documents came to light and so you know we're on right this of course all came to a head and rocketed Epstein's name to being a household name unfortunately when he was suspiciously found dead in his cell where he was serving his sentence for one of the many convictions that he had uh been involved in right and we have to have this baseline understanding of where we're starting from because we have to remember how do investigations work does an investigator come upon one single file of evidence and then immediately know exactly everything that happened and we know the full truth right up front. We don't have to do any investigating. It's all laid out right there. No, that's not how investigations work. Investigations take time. Contrary to popular belief, life is not an episode of Law and Order SVU. You cannot wrap up a nice case with a nice, neat little bow and have the entire mystery solved for you in an hour, right? It takes time. The reason that I'm talking about this is because at a certain point, it became quite clear that this is not just a human trafficking situation. Yes, this was probably a very large human trafficking network. However, it became quite clear over time that this was less of a human trafficking network and probably more of a blackmail operation. And that is where we find ourselves today. I personally am interested in the Epstein case because of the potential for this to be a very serious national security issue. If you're going to tell me that potentially the president of the United States and senior defense officials and senior policy makers for the United States are being actively blackmailed, then we've got a little bit of a situation, don't we? As horrible as it as it may be, right? If you're telling me that someone who has the potential to launch nuclear warheads is potentially blackmailed, that's a little bit different than trafficking hundreds of people, right? You're talking about the lives of hundreds of millions versus the lives of a few hundred victims, which is where this comes out of the criminal justice space and into the realm of national security. That's why Epstein matters for anybody who is unaware. That's why I care about this case. Unfortunately, the truth is not that easy to get at, is it? And this week has been no exception. So, the House Oversight Committee has been charged with investigating this, and this week they have released a few emails. Now, the way that they released the emails have been very, very interesting. Now, politics-wise, the House Oversight Committee absolutely has it in for Donald Trump. They personally don't like him. They're trying to get him. So, this is definitely tr this is attempted to be a gotcha Trump kind of thing. However, pushing the politics aside, I'm interested in the truth. And if they have something that's true, I'm very interested in it. But what they have done so far is they've slowwalked the release. And that's what got my attention. So, in the in the realm of political blackmail, a very common tactic you'll see is what we call a slowwalk release. meaning that they will release one document or two documents. You know, two or three pages here, two or three pages there. And what is this meant to do? This is a warning. It's a shot across the bow to say, "Ah, we've got this. We've got this email string, and we're going to release the first email in this email string, but we're not going to release the whole thing yet." And what is this intended to do? This is intended to apply pressure, right? Blackmail only works if the person's allowing themselves to be blackmailed, right? So, if a blackmail operation comes to an end, they're going to have to start releasing some of that blackmail, right? Some of that incriminating information. And by doing that slowly, maybe they maybe they can drag out the effectiveness of uh what is a an operation coming to an end. So, I think that's probably what's happening so far. Now, I say that with hesitation because there are tens of thousands of pages of documents that have been released. So, on the first day, the House Oversight Committee released like three pages of emails. the second day they released like I don't know five or six pages and then I think yesterday they released 20,000 pages but I haven't had time to go through those 20,000 pages to see how many of these are duplicates because as we all know going back to the great binder scandal the great saga of our failing civilization. A lot of stuff that the US government and these various committees and the White House themselves tend to release has already been released and they're openly lying in saying that these are newly released documents and they're not. They're just the old stuff that doesn't really matter or heavily redacted is my personal favorite. You know, heavily redacted documents being released is a is a classic pastime. So So there's that. Those are a whole series of concerns that we can kind of get into later, but for brevity, let's just leave it there. another series of concerns. For those of you who want to investigate this on your own, you need to be aware of something and I'll share it with you right now. So, there is a trick there is a tactic that is frequently used by politicians and government employees in general to evade Freedom of Information Act requests. So, one thing that they will that they love to do, and you see this all the time, it makes life miserable to try to get around this kind of thing. So, it's a very effective tactic, but what they'll do is they'll misspell things. they will misspell a name or they will use nicknames or they will intentionally like add a letter or take a letter out of a name. So that say for instance a lot of the Hillary Clinton documents which were released a few years ago, remember the whole Hillary Clinton email scandal? Well, a lot of people got spun up over that and filed a Freedom of Information Act requests and one of the things that they would do in the emails is spell the word Hillary wrong. So, if you did a Freedom of Information Act request that specifies you would like any and all emails that contain the name Hillary Rodm Clinton, well, guess what? If there's a misspelling, technically they're complying with your request. They're not going to give you an email that has the word Hillary Clinton spelled with an extra I, right? So, Hillary Clinton, her actual name is spelled without the extra I, whereas Hillary the name often times has an extra I in it. Well, if you did a Freedom of Information Act request for her actual legal name, but somebody had spelled her name wrong, like leaving out the L, you know, leaving out the second L, that's a common one, too. That email would not come out in your foyer request. Another thing that they did at the time was use HRC. So, if you did a foy foyer request for Hillary Rodm Clinton, guess what? If the email had the word HRC in it referring to her, the email would not come up. And that is exactly what is is being uh used here in these Epstein emails as well. The name Epstein is misspelled all over the place. The name Donald Trump is misspelled all over the place. And a lot of other high-ranking politicians have their names misspelled. This is not fat fingering this. This is not just people being stupid. No, because these emails have autocorrect, right? What are they doing? They're trying to use vernacular to avoid a Freedom of Information Act request in the future because they know these emails are probably going to be logged somewhere. It is utterly maddening for sure. But this is what separates politicians from you and I, right? Politicians a lot of times develop this very unique almost instinctive skill to be able to avoid a Government Freedom of Information Act request being applicable to a lot of their stuff. So that's why if you do a keyword search for Epstein in a lot of these things or uh do a keyword search for Donald Trump, not a lot of it will come up because they're referring to him as Donnie here or Donnie T or something like that or any kind of misspelling is very very common. Sometimes it is innocent like just you know typos. But typos are 1,000% used by government employees to avoid Freedom of Information Act requests in the future. It's just a passive thing that they do. It's like breathing, right? They don't even think about it. They just do it. That's something to keep in mind as you're trying to investigate this stuff. So, all of that little analytical stuff is kind of interesting, right? A lot of these like research techniques are kind of interesting, but really we want to cut to the meat of the matter here, right? We want to know are these thing are these documents real and why does this matter, right? So, let's just run through a couple of possibilities here just so we don't upset anybody and let's examine what's the what's the potential outcome of this. So, the first theory is that all of these documents as they are released are genuine and everything in the emails is true, right? It's all true, right? Let's just That's the first theory. Well, that's the nuclear option, isn't it? Right. The impact of that is well, you know, if they're releasing this this exceptionally damning information on Trump himself and other people and donors because I think Trump's probably protecting a lot of his donors more than himself. But anyway, if if everything is true and all of these claims are genuine and everything is the the full truth, right? If that's the case, that's really the nuclear option. That means that, you know, your black mailer is releasing the information. And that means the blackmail operation is coming to an end. This operation is wrapping up and societal upheaval inbound kind of situation, right? Why they haven't released them up until now, I don't know. You can debate that. There's arguments on both sides of that. I'm not getting into that right now. I'm just talking about the possibilities. The next possibilities are that the documents are missing context, meaning they're releasing sections of email chains that they've had for a long time, but they're not releasing the whole chain. Right? So that can matter quite a bit. Another possibility that's in the same kind of realm is that the documents are genuine. Like these emails were not doctorred. They're real documents, but the content are either jokes or lies, right? As in Jeffrey Epstein, when he's emailing somebody, he's telling a lie. Or Mark Epste, his brother, when he's telling when he's emailing somebody, he's telling a lie or he's making a joke or something like that. Context is everything in emails. I hate to be the context guy, right? We require context, right? I hate to be that guy, but I cannot make a decision on world events if you're only going to give me a few emails in an email chain. I want the whole chain, right? So that you can see is what the flow of the conversation is. Unfortunately, these people, again, just like the whole spelling mistakes, these people are just so great at not putting all of the context in one email, nice and wrapped up for us to read. These people speak with a forked tongue, right? So, it's very hard to figure out what exactly they're saying. Look, if I was if I received these emails from somebody, I wouldn't know what in the Sam Hill they're talking about because the context is context is missing. They'll have conversations where they'll send half of the conversation via text, like a like a cell phone text, but then they'll send they'll reference that in an email. So, you don't know what the other half of the conversation is. It is utterly maddening. That's why people have had such a hard time figuring this stuff out because these people just naturally speak like a snake, right? It's not easy to figure out what they're saying. So that's why I think it's important to remember, you know, context is is helpful, but even more than that, even more than the general context of one email chain, the overall context is certainly more helpful, too. And we just don't get that from a lot of these emails. You have to build it. You have to figure out what's going on because let me tell you, the federal government isn't helping us any. The FBI is not trustworthy on this. No federal agencies on this. And the Democrats who are bringing this about, they're not trustworthy either because they have ulterior motives. So they may be willing to doctor things. Now that leads into the last possibility which is the documents that they are releasing right now are fake meaning that uh they are uh complete fabrications or partial fabrications and that this is tainting and muddying the waters of between what's real and what's fake. I think this possibility is probably quite minimal. I don't know if they'd be that stupid to to doctor an email like that. I mean it's pretty it's easier just to selectively release things. That's how politicians work. They don't often fabricate outright easily disprovable lies. what they tend to do is tell halftruths, right? But the possibility does remain that some of these documents are fake, especially ones that make their way onto social media. So hard to say. I don't know. But I think that if the documents are fake, I really certainly hope they don't. I hope the Democrats, if they're trying to get to the truth, even if they're trying to get to the truth for the wrong reasons. If they're trying to do that, fine. Fair enough. Whatever. That's their role in life, I guess. But I hope they haven't doctorred anything because here's what's going to happen. Out of the million pages of documents that have been released, if there is a single sentence that has been fabricated in any of this Epstein stuff, I will tell you exactly what's going to happen. Trump and the White House are going to come out and say, "Look, see, it's all fake." Right? It's going to give Trump cart blanch to basically say this whole Epste thing is a hoax. And we know that it's not a hoax. I don't care how much he keeps saying it. It's not a hoax. This is a very real thing. This is a thing that happened. There is so much overwhelming evidence on this case that it's not a hoax. There are elements of it that are not true, I'm sure, right? And we don't have the whole picture, which is probably the most dangerous outcome anyway, not having the full story of this. And we may never get the full story. I don't think we're ever going to get the full story. But if there is even a single paragraph or a single sentence that has been forged or selectively cropped or something like that, Trump is going to have an easy get out of jail free card and that the whole process is now tainted. So, so even though they're doing this for the wrong reasons, I certainly hope for their sake that they haven't forged anything because personally, I want the truth. I want the full truth no matter who's implicated, no matter how bad this this looks and no matter how many heroes come out of this uh not really smelling like a rose. So, I want the truth. And if they forged anything, that's going to make this hard to get. So, all of that being said, why does this matter? Right? This Epstein thing, I know all of you are probably just absolutely tired with it. The reason that that I wanted to think about this is because this is a very high level issue, right? No one really knows what what would happen if the true Epstein client list were to be released, right? We've got to be real about this. We don't really know. It's sort of like using nuclear weapons for the first time in warfare. We don't really know what what was going to happen when we did that, right? In Japan. So, same thing with this. This is a information nuke, right? A truth nuke, right? We don't really know what's going to happen and we got to be prepared here. And this matters for international relations and generally the state of Western civilization. I know it's not really been in the American news because who cares, right? But Prince Andrew or the formerly Prince Andrew has been stripped of all his royal titles. He's now just some guy. He's now no longer a member of the royal ruling class in the United Kingdom. So, he's just a private citizen now. He has no longer any kind of royal protections. Do you think maybe there was a link there? Do you think maybe that something's coming down the pipeline that people are trying to prepare for? perhaps the revelation of some blackmail documents, right? I don't know. Speculation abounds, right? It's all speculation, but it certainly does seem to have quite a bit of an impact on things. It has been very, very obvious for a long time, and I'm choosing my words extremely carefully here. It has been very, very clear for a very long time that the Jeffrey Epstein network was definitely a human trafficking network for sure. Uh, but what was it for? It wasn't just for entertainment purposes. This was an intelligence operation. It is extremely likely based off of the information that we have that Jeffrey Epstein ran a network to entra politicians, powerful people, big political donors even into doing things on his island that he would record on videotape to blackmail them with later. And furthermore, the part that's probably going to get me in trouble is that it was it's very likely that Epste was working for a nation state level thing, probably MSAD. I know that it's quite kind of a dangerous time in YouTube land to be talking about this sort of thing because well, YouTube's on another purge uh once more, but we've also got to tell the truth here. And in terms of what I care about, right, which is national security and kind of the fate of Western civilization, I don't really know how to reconcile what we do when we find out that this was probably an intelligence operation to enable Jeffrey Epstein to run a network which would videotape politicians doing very, very bad things so that MSAD had leverage on them. And that might explain the way the world is today. That's why I'm concerned about this because it certainly seems like there's a thumb on the scale of international relations. It certainly seems like we have a certain the United States lately, maybe for a longer time than we realize, but maybe there has been a lot of uh international decisions made, a lot of bombs dropped, a lot of carriers moved around because some politicians are on videotape doing things they shouldn't be doing. If we had said that out in the open three or four years ago, we would have been cancelled by our own people, right? our own side, our own friends would have denounced us for saying, "How dare you? How dare you say that?" Well, now it's an American discourse because it's just become so hard to ignore. So maybe it's safe to say it. I don't know. But I've I mean like good grief, how much more evidence do you need? Like it it seems pretty clear as to what was going on here. But despite that, a lot of people just haven't been aware. They don't know what's going on. They're going to be very confused. And I say all of that in the context of realizing that a lot of the normies, you know, people who are just, you know, not terminally online like a lot of us these days, a lot of them are going to be very very confused. A lot of the American populace, a lot of the the people, especially in the the conservative realm are they're not going to understand why you are able to not have to look anything up, but suddenly you know who's involved, right? they're going to be very confused as to why we're able to predict certain world events and why we're able to predict the way things are going to go. You know, policy decisions on the federal government, right? I can look at any number of policy decisions made by the US government this week and say that's never going to happen or that's that's probably going to be a lie. And the reason that this is such an important consideration these days is because there's still a lot of forbidden knowledge in the court of social and public opinion and in society today. There are still a lot of things that you're not allowed unless you want to be dragged through the ringer. You're not allowed to let people know that you know, right? There's still a lot of that going on. So whether we want to acknowledge it or not, it happens, right? You still have to, you know, keep your mouth shut at work a lot of times when you're, you know, co-workers are saying this that or the other. We have to not make that reply in the family group chat sort of thing. A lot of people are in that, a lot of people are in that boat. And because of that, things are going to be a little bit hard to do moving forward, right? Because truth is the end goal. At least it is for me. I want to get to the truth, right? No matter how inconvenient it is. The issue is that a lot of people are not ready for the truth. They don't want to hear it because they have a specific worldview that they want to keep keep living under. The issue where I feel compelled to wade into these sorts of things is when it comes to risk, right? I want to prevent people from having harm come to them, right? That's what I personally want to do. That's why I do all of this, right? I want to help people make their own risk assessment decisions and I want to keep civilization rolling. That's really what I want to do. The issue is is is that if you're rejecting the truth, then you're rejecting data that's going to help you make a risk assessment. If the Jeffrey Epstein network means that the president of the United States was blackmailed by a foreign nation state to make certain policy decisions, or else they're going to release emails or pictures or videos of him doing things he shouldn't be doing. If that is true, let's just say that it is true for a moment, doesn't that mean you're going to have to be making some risk assessment decisions on what to do at a certain point in time, right? Whether it's true or not, hey, that's up for you guys to decide. I'm not going to tell you what to believe. But if these things are true, we have to make some pretty serious decisions here, right? Everything from voting to your choice of career to where you want to position yourself so that you're going to have maximum mobility and and flexibility in a few years time. All of these things matter, right? That's why everybody's so focused on the Middle East because a lot of this is centered there. A lot of this conflict is centered there in one way or another on one side or another. A lot of this conflict goes back there, right? And I guess wrapping all of this up with one final thought is that making decisions with incomplete information is going to be a very very valuable skill over the next few years. It is already quite valuable, but we're having to make decisions based off of incomplete information quite a lot. Like for me personally, this is just my personal opinion, right? I have seen enough of this Epstein stuff to know that I can make certain decisions based off of that. I have seen enough to make me understand that, you know, we're we're definitely not voting our way out of this. That's a catchphrase these days, but it's definitely true. Now, what's the alternative? There's an implication behind that, of course, but I don't think it's the implication everyone thinks. I think that in the long run, when it comes to living daily life, it just means that you're not going to find a solution in the current electoral system. It's going to have to be probably more cultural than anything else. But anyway, I digress. The point is making decisions based off of incomplete information is helpful. It really is. And personally, I've seen enough I've seen enough of this Epstein stuff to make a decision. I think that a lot of politicians in the United States to include Trump to some degree or even to a lot of degree. I don't know. I think a lot of them are being blackmailed. And I think a lot of foreign policy decisions are being made based on that blackmail. And even farther than that, I think a lot of speech crime crackdown, right? The fact that we even have speech crimes in America comes from this blackmail. I think the erosion of our first amendment and our the erosion of our second amendment comes from the realization that the decisions of what goes on in America are not exactly being made in Washington DC. A lot of them are being made in New York or elsewhere. And considering the state of things, that's something to be aware of. So, I'm okay with making decisions on off of incomplete information. Will we ever know what happened with Jeffrey Epstein's network? Will we ever know which politicians he blackmailed? I very highly doubt it. I very highly doubt we're ever going to get to the truth. But we have enough information to make decisions in my opinion. At the end of the day, it's all a farce, right? I think I just wasted a lot of your time today. I think I wasted a lot of time because we all come back to this same thing. No matter what happens in Washington, it is up for you to decide what to do with your life. I lived through all this crazy crackdowns and everything from the left and from the right over the past few years. But at no point at no point did Joe Biden kick in my door and prevent me from doing push-ups that day. At no point was I prevented from eating healthy. Right? At no point was I prevented from reading books. Granted, some of these books are kind of hard to find these days, but you know what? You can still find what you need to read. At no point was I prevented from praying in my own head, right? We can still have a lot of freedom to do the things that we need to do. We can still have a lot of maneuverability and we can still improve ourselves. And let's get out of that slump. Let's start improving ourselves. Let's do more of that. We can definitely do all of that. No matter what scandals come out and no matter how much disturbing content comes out regarding these emails, we can still improve ourselves and prepare for having a little bit more maneuverability when the time comes. So hopefully we can put this Epstein stuff to bed for a little bit. I don't think so. It's never going to go away. I don't want it to go away. I want it to kind of constantly be a reminder of what the uni party really means. When we say uni party, what does that really mean? Well, I think Epstein probably tells us. So, I think this whole Epstein thing helps us figure out what that word uni party really means. But anyway, for now, I think that's probably a good way to roll things up for today. You guys have heard me talk quite enough this week already, so let's go ahead and roll things up with the intercepted ghost net reports. And this week, it has been a massacre with regards to radio signals. I don't know about anybody else, but uh the solar weather this week has not been super great for me, but I still did get uh some messages. I don't know if some of the some of these messages might have been from last week. I can't remember honestly, but some people were able to get out and uh send some messages on HF radio. That's one of those things for those of you who aren't super huge radio nerds. Space weather is just weird, man. It is weird. It's not something that you can categorize. Now, sometimes you can say with solar weather at least, sometimes you can say, "All right, uh the bands are going to be closed, meaning that the solar weather is going to be rather poor. or the geomagnetic interference all the way up there in the ionosphere. All that stuff where radio signals fling about, right? The sun is going to spit out some energy that's going to make that go all wonky for a little bit and it means you're not going to be able to send radio messages very far. Sometimes that happens, but sometimes the sun is weird. Sometimes the Earth does some weird stuff way up there in the atmosphere. And sometimes it means you may have mixed results. You may be like me and be able to transmit exactly 4 and 1/2 ft or it means that you might be able to talk to somebody on the other side of the planet because the atmosphere is doing some weird stuff. It's hard to predict. There are ways to get a little bit more accurate with it, but generally speaking for the non-radio people, whenever this solar weather stuff flares up, it doesn't automatically mean no radios, right? It doesn't automatically mean that. It just means get prepared for the weird. And that's been the case this week. Throughout the week, I've gotten SNR requests or like check-ins, you know, check-in messages, people testing their uh their radius from a long way off and then like 15 minutes later, nothing, right? Like I can't can't hear anybody's. But it just proves that even during the weirdest of weather times, we can still get some messages across, right? So So I'm glad that some of us were at least able to get some messages out this week. So that's all I have for today. Here are the sources as usual. Dig into them if you dare. And of course, again, an easier clickable
Intel Update · 2025-09-27

Intel Update - September 27 - The Hornet's Nest

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for September 21st through the 27th, 2025. It's been one of those weeks again where it seems like a whole year's worth of events have transpired over the past few days. So, let's get right to it and talk about some of the things that have been of note this week. This week, the theme is war and speech on many fronts and for many different reasons. Both here at home and overseas in the United Kingdom, speech concerns have been paramount this week with various congressional testimonies in Washington confirming what we already know from the co era of censorship on platforms like YouTube, Google, and other social media platforms, but also overseas in a same same but different kind of way. The speech concerns throughout the United Kingdom have become rather serious, as one might expect based on the implementation a few weeks ago of the online safety act and the recent hard push to uh silence any sort of dissenting opinion on social events and things like immigration, things have gotten quite serious around the UK. Like I pointed out in the wire last night, one of the biggest problems with the speech crimes and the random arrests in the middle of the night uh that are being carried out throughout the UK is that there are gag orders on a lot of the people that are being arrested. So it's very popular these days to fling around words like you know the stazzi or the you know secret police or things like that but that's quite literally what's happening in the UK at this point. But how widespread this is nobody seems to know. All we know is that a lot of big voices and even small voices are being snatched off the street or from their homes and being thrown in prison for a couple hours uh and charged with various speech crimes because they uh under their anxiety laws. So in the UK, if you call someone anxiety on social media, you can be arrested for that. It doesn't even have to be a comment or anything. It can just be a simple repost or even something that you simply looked at. uh it it's gotten quite dystopian and uh we shall see what the general public does with this recent push for a national mandatory digital ID. Will this be the final straw or will this be just the start of something else? I do not know. So, I'm sorry to say the situation in the UK is rather up in the air at the moment. There's not really any sort of conclusion at the moment. The bright side is that this is going to force more people to start investing more in their communications infrastructure as best they can. And there are some ways to uh improve the situation on that front, but more on that later. On the theme of warfare, uh here in the United States, things are not doing so well on the domestic unrest front, especially with the recent announcements this morning, which are causing more questions than answers, which we'll get to in a moment. But also down south in the Caribbean Sea, where war appears to be on the menu still. So, moving down south, let's talk strategic movement. And once again, uh really the only strategic movement that I'm kind of focusing on that I'm aware of, uh is the deployments to the Caribbean Sea. So everything remains as before as far as I can tell. I haven't had much time to update these slides and figure out where a lot of these vessels are at if ships go a long time without making a port call. It's kind of hard to find out where they're at. So that's just the nature of ship tracking. It's been that way since we had to track ships with, you know, spotter planes and biplanes and things like that back in the day. Same same in today's world. uh when ships go out to sea and they get out of uh AIS tracking range and they turn off their transponders or they just get out of range of transponders, we don't know where they're at. So most of these ship trackers uh from various websites and things like that are stale by a few days to weeks. So that's why there isn't very much change on this sort of thing. However, various media groups are saying that the White House and the Pentagon are preparing to conduct kinetic strikes within Venezuela, not just uh not just narco vessels. So that's pretty much it. It's just rumor at the moment. However, President Trump uh does not have a very good poker face when it comes to military things as evidenced by uh the strikes in Iran, uh the involvement with uh things in the Middle East in general and stuff like that. So, when a journalist asked President Trump, were we considering uh striking targets within Venezuela? He said, "We'll see." Uh which most people seem to assume is a giant yes, but we're not going to say just yet. That's a pretty solid assessment. Maduro is the kind of guy where bluffing doesn't really work. And President Trump has proven that on the military front, he doesn't bluff. You know, when we're talking about invading or uh striking or bombing something, we end up doing it in some form or fashion a few weeks later. So, it makes perfect sense. I would expect it. Honestly, it would not surprise me in the slightest. So, that's why I'm continuing to talk about Venezuela and kind of keep that on my radar for a while because, you know, it's been a while since the US has uh toppled a regime in South America. But I guess uh I guess we're due for another one here pretty soon. But who knows? I guess we'll have to see how that works out. More pressingly here on the home front. There have been a lot of kinetic events this week. I'm going to do a deep dive on this at some point. Uh so please just give me some time. But for right now, most of the unrest is going to be centered in Portland or has been centered in Portland, but it will kick up here probably this afternoon and also Chicago. So, we'll talk more about the unrest here in just a moment because as I was putting together these slides this morning, some more uh more current information came out on that which is going to probably change things this coming week. But just to mention the other kinetic events that have occurred this week, we of course had the shooting at Dellis Air Force Base at the front gate. I don't know what this was in this case. Probably gang initiation or if not just some uh crazy guy who decided that it would be a great idea to shoot at the front gate of a military base. Either way, the base personnel obliged and put him in the hospital. So, when they release his name, I I haven't seen his name uh the name of the suspect yet. We'll we'll figure out what this guy's deal was. But it was just one guy, so status quo. But in the context of the other shootings this week, I did want to mention it because in Dallas, we of course have the ICE ambush, which was the sniper attack at one of the ICE detention facilities in Dallas. Just to cut right to the chase on this one, it looks like it was probably another far-left terrorist kind of thing. The feds have not released any of the details on the shooting, but apparently he had a bunch of handwritten notes either on him or in his vehicle or something to that effect, which allegedly state, again, I can't confirm this because I don't have the documents, but the feds are saying that his the notes they found on this guy state that he intentionally wiped his own digital fingerprint, so he wiped all his social media accounts so we couldn't do the standard thing that, you know, the internet does and find everything out about this guy once he's dead, you know. So, that would explain why we haven't been able to find anything on him if that's true. Uh, the other detail is that he intentionally said that he wanted to conduct a terrorist attack. So, once again, don't have the primary source material, so I can't tell you if that's true or not. I'm just telling you what the feds say. And so far, it kind of lines up with the meticulous level of planning this guy would had to have gone through. This was not just some nut job who, you know, spur the moment decided to take a pistol and charge at a facility. No, this guy actually planned it. It was it was more deliberate, more planned, and well, you know, it's just kind of the sign of the times and the escalation of forces occurring all around the United States. And speaking of the information front, I wanted to briefly mention this because most of you should already know. This is kind of uh you know water under the bridge at this point, but congressional testimony did come out this week that once again confirmed that the Biden White House did in fact order platforms like YouTube, Facebook, Twitter, Google in general to censor specific social media posts and specific ideas in direct violation of the First Amendment. It's about a smoking gun as you can get. I will link of course the mainstream media article from the Washington Times which is a uh normie friendly source for those of you who want to share it around and also the raw link directly to the government portal where you can download the congressional findings report on this uh sort of thing. But yeah, I mean it's pretty smoking gun. I don't want to dwell on it too much because it's kind of again something that we've already known for many many years. But yeah, it's just uh important to to be aware of especially in the context of what's going on in the UK. Now moving to the more time-sensitive news. This morning things are a happening in Washington DC. A couple hours ago, President Trump posted this rather important notice to Truth Social and only to Truth Social as far as I can see, which he is fond of doing. But still, apparently, he has ordered the deployment of troops to Portland uh to protect war ravaged Portland and any of our ICE facilities under siege from attack by Antifa and other domestic terrorists. So yeah, uh that's kind of developing right now. My guess is uh things are going to get pretty hot uh here over the next few days, especially in places like Portland, Seattle, Chicago, New York, your big your big Antifa uh strongholds, right? Especially in places like Seattle where they no kidding actually do control like parts of the city, right? There are places of of the city where like the police just won't go. uh they they may not admit it, but they don't uh because Antifa runs a good portion of some of the uh territory of of Seattle. Same thing in Portland, but it's a little bit more spread out in Portland. But either way, very important development if we're going to start uh deploying troops to Portland. Probably, my guess, just shooting from the hip here, my guess is it's probably going to look a lot like Los Angeles. I don't know if they're going to send the Marines or when he says troops, he doesn't say National Guard, Marines, or anything. My guess is probably National Guard to help guard some of the ice facilities because if you look at a lot of the ice facilities in uh Portland, they're very vulnerable uh to swarming attacks that Antifa is known for. And if they want to get more kinetic, then they're going to need some backup. So, this is definitely shifting into more of a kinetic sort of thing. And you've definitely got uh every single political person involved in this uh in the local areas of places like Chicago and Portland. They are stoking the fires. They are getting people riled up right again. And it's uh not looking great uh when it when it comes to toning things down. I don't think they're going to be toning things down anytime soon. So, they've been looking for a way to stick it to the Trump administration regime or whatever for a while now. And I think they found it. And that way to do that is domestic terrorism. And I'm not talking about the the cheap stuff they talk about in Congress. I'm talking about actual, no kidding, legit terrorism. People like me don't throw the word terrorism around very lightly uh these days. So when I say terrorism, just know that I'm talking about the real kind. I'm not talking about you got called the wrong pronoun on social media or something like that. That's not terrorism. And just as a side note, what you may be wondering why Portland instead of Chicago? I have a sneaking suspicion as to why they're starting to crack down in Portland first when they've been talking about Chicago for a while now. And that was the event that occurred last night in which the great warrior poet himself, Ice Cube, had his tour bus firebombed by Antifa terrorists who possibly potentially maybe thought that the word ICE in Ice Cube was actually related to Immigration and Customs Enforcement. This is going out on a limb just a little bit, but I have a sneaking suspicion that somebody saw ice on his on his tour bus or something to do with people around him wearing like ice cube t-shirts. They saw ice and they took one of their EDC Molotov cocktails as one does and decided to firebomb the the bus and that was probably the last straw for Trump and a lot of the money that is flowing in and out of Portland. So, it would seem that President Trump has deemed that the day does require an AK, at least in Portland. So, we're going to see how this works out, but my guess is it might be a pretty spicy next couple of weeks. We'll have to see though. Uh, last time the National Guard got sent into Portland, they didn't really do much. They had their hands tied and they watched buildings burn. So, maybe things have changed. I don't know. We'll see. But keep your head on a swivel, that's for sure. So, that's all I have for the United States for this week. Uh much more to come next week, I'm afraid. But let's move over to Northern Europe for right now and let's discuss another phenomenon of the internet that is uh I think probably going to develop over the next few weeks, and that is the drone reports throughout Scandinavia at large. So, right up front, there are shenanigans of foot with these drone reports, just like in New Jersey. Uh it started with legitimate drone reports that actually shut down uh Copenhagen airport as well as the the port there and a few a few random other airports around Denmark. These were legit reports. Uh there were quite clearly photographed and videoed by ground personnel and passengers after aircraft had already been, you know, cleared from the airspace and there's these drones still flying around. So the initial reports on the first day and maybe the second day or even the third day, these were legit, right? These were like serious enough to where they shut down airspace for a good portion of the region at the time and I guess even now the speculation was that it's either one of two things. It's either Russia trying to poke or it's Ukraine trying to poke. Either Russia trying to assert dominance because they're the ones who even admitted to violating the airspaces of several different uh air air corridors over the past few days. So they've done that quite a bit and Russia's known for this sort of thing. So it wouldn't really be that surprising if Russia tried to send some unarmed drones over Denmark just to poke, you know. But the other side of the coin is that it might be Ukraine trying to false flag people into thinking it's Russia and stuff like that. I don't know. You take your pick, you know, whatever theory you want. It doesn't really matter. I don't care either way. The drone reports were real at first, but now they've kind of spun out of control. So after these first fixedwing drone reports emerged in Denmark, more reports came out on that same day a few hours later in Oslo in Norway. These reports were also genuine. A couple of uh dudes from Singapore were flying a quadcopter over a military installation. So we know what was going on there. A little bit of spying act activity going on. So not particularly rare. Uh this kind of thing happens probably hundreds of times a week throughout various sensitive sites around Europe. But the timing of it made everybody start freaking out again. And you guys know it. When people start looking at the sky at night, they start seeing things. And like clockwork, uh, now there were multiple reports of drones every single night for the past few nights in Europe. And the real drones that are legit that were confirmed, confirmed by military sources, confirmed by civilian air traffic control, and resulted in airspace being shut down, those are now hard to pick out from the initial stuff. And of course, like I mentioned before, fifth generation warfare, information warfare is a huge part of living in society today. And what did I catch a few days ago? Well, I caught several bot accounts pushing the same photographs of alleged drones from New Jersey. These scammers were going back a few months ago, finding those pictures and reposting them and saying, "Look, drones are over Oslo again." You know, and it turns out it's just a picture of, you know, a 737 at night, you know, trying to land at the airport. Just be advised there's a lot of fake stuff circulating right now. It's literally a nightmare trying to sort this stuff out. I'm not that interested in it, but considering that Russia, Ukraine, the war is kind of still quite dynamic. Uh, and there's, you know, advances being made on all fronts, you know, this is kind of a thing to be aware of. But because some random dude is running 400 accounts in Mumbai and is trying to engagement farm, it makes it hard for people to find out exactly what's going on in the world. So that's kind of the challenge moving forward in this, you know, current time and it's just something to be aware of as we move forward. So I think with that we will roll up today with the intercepted ghost net reports or rather my failures this week. That's right ladies and gentlemen, I was sabotaged right during the ghost net window. I was the victim of a critical telecommunication sabotage operation carried out by the highest ranking authorities. meaning that a squirrel chewed down my radio antenna during a rainstorm and I couldn't go out to fix it lest I be struck by lightning. As strange as this is, this is actually kind of a common thing. So, just kind of a reminder that Murphy's law will strike when you least expect it, right? That's the whole point of it. And in this case, it quite literally uh came down and my SWR went garbage right during the heaviest rainstorm when my Starlink also was not working due to the heavy rain. So everything compounded to prevent me from accessing my own radio network this week. Anyway, these things happen. It's not a big deal, but I don't have any uh screenshots for you this week. Hopefully, it was a good net, but it's also a reminder that we're still in hurricane season. So, there is still over the next few days going to be some kind of tropical depressionish weather system, whatever it is at this point. I don't know, off the east coast. So, from Florida probably all the way to Virginia, you're going to have a lot of uh pretty good sized rainbands coming in and might it might affect things over the next few weeks because apparently it's supposed to get here right around Thursday. So, right around radioet time. So, but either way, no time like the present to make sure that your radio uh stuff's all good to go and that your perimeter is set and your security details are posted to make sure that the covert Black Ops squirrel team cannot infiltrate and ruin your communications networks. But either way, we'll call it a day this week and uh we'll get back to it on Monday and hopefully uh the nation doesn't burn down between now and then. But if it does, I'll have a report written on it. So, but thank you guys for all of your support. I really do appreciate it. It really does help keep things going here. And I will see you next time.
Intel Update

Intel Update - June 13 - The Boiling Frog

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the Until Update for June 7th through the 13th, 2026. The spicy summer continues on and things are moving very quickly once again this week. So, let's get right to it. Here at home, the situation remains much the same this week with the impact of the Carmelo Anthony trial not being taken super well and the resulting cascading effects of the verdict really enlightening a lot of people as to the level of hatred that is present throughout the situation. Like it or not, uh there is a lot of social tension that has been building for uh decades at this point. And as a result, the random stabbings and attacks that are taking place in Europe are also taking place here at home for much the same reasons. Speaking of our friends across the pond, this week all eyes have been focused on the rapidly deteriorating situation in Northern Ireland as mass unrest has broken out throughout Belfast after the attempted beheading of a man by a Sudin national earlier this week. The subsequent riots have continued since that night and after a few days of Irishmen burning down migrant housing projects. The migrant populations throughout the United Kingdom at large are making moves of their own with resistance beginning to build. On the ground in Northern Ireland, the Irish are engaging in what has been coined uh Belfast evictions which in this case has mostly taken the form of migrant run or inhabited HMOs or houses of multiple occupancy being targeted which are being used by NOS's to house immigrants. Once again, the mapping situation here might be a little bit uh confusing to kind of understand, but when you look at the UK proper, you see a bunch of red diamonds. Well, most of these uh points are migrant housing projects. It just depends on where you're at. The ownership might be a little bit different. For instance, in the Republic of Ireland, all of the places down south and ROI proper, these are IPAs centers. And looking at the map, you might be a little bit misled by thinking, "Oh, well, there's there's fewer in Northern Ireland. Uh there's not as much migrant uh situation going on up there." Well, no. It's just that there's no database for me to pull from. Uh because these are again mostly like nested within NOS's and places that are really hard to find. So again, from my perspective, this is an intelligence gap. I'm working on it. Uh but rest assured, uh the local Irish know exactly where these places are located, and for the most part, the ethnic Irish in Northern Ireland and the ethnic British in Northern Ireland, they've pretty much had enough on both sides. and various paramilitary groups throughout the city are continuing to display their effectiveness in carrying out operations. Once again, Northern Ireland, very tenuous region on a regular Tuesday. Firebombings are kind of like their national sport there. So, it was no surprise that conflict kicked off in Belfast, especially with the brutality of the video that was circulating the internet earlier this week. So far, from what I can tell in terms of who's actually carrying out these operations, it's not as organized as you might think. It's I would say it's more coordinated. Coordinated, but not like top down organized by like a hierarchy. So there's no like one group who's claiming to command all of these paramilitaries. There's no like rigid structure. A lot of it is just Irishmen doing what they know how to do best. Now again, as far as the factions that are engaging in this, well, it's hard to figure out who they actually are because pretty much everybody is wearing black block clothing. Again, all black clothing, black balaclavas, sweatshirts, pants, all that kind of stuff. So over here in the United States, that generally means Antifa. In this case in Northern Ireland, it does not mean that. Uh, so when you're looking at the videos as an American, do not think that these are Antifa. No, sir Reeba. These are definitely not Antifa. There are random Antifa throughout Northern Ireland and the ROI proper and also in England, the UK. They're hugely pro-immigrant uh for obvious reasons, right? So Antifa throughout Northern Ireland have been completely vanished from the streets uh once the other two factions got involved. From my own research, much of the unrest has come from the olster loyalist side of uh the cities, these districts which have historically been more Protestant. But I will also say that there are Catholic nationalist neighborhoods where there are a lot of HMOs being targeted and burned down, you know, firebombed, right? So both sides are engaging in, I guess, what we should probably classify as ironically, you know, like separate but equal firebombings. They're just handling it in their own neighborhoods uh to avoid, you know, historic clashes and things like that. It's not as serious as it used to be back in the day in some areas, but in some areas it is. And it would be very very optimistic to say that the Protestants and Catholics in Northern Ireland have put aside their differences over this issue. That is very clearly not happened. Uh but a little bit of neutrality is definitely present throughout the city right now regarding the migrant issue because this is less about factions and more about the whole of the population wanting these people out of their country. So the obvious statement that must be made, right, is that the longer this goes on, the higher chance there is for collateral damage. Of course, of course, of course. It goes without saying that generally speaking, riots and unrest are not really good for stability and uh innocent people tend to get harmed in some way regardless. So that's always a concern. Fire is a very dangerous weapon and it should be treated as such most certainly and you can't really predict what's going on here. Now again, I would say that the rioters have most certainly not engaged in what I would call completely random violence. They are using violence. Absolutely, for sure. But it's targeted. For instance, you haven't heard of anybody stabbed to death over this yet, have you? And and to be honest, I'm quite surprised about that. I'm I'm surprised there have not been um people disappear uh over this because things in Belfast, well, they're uh they're pretty hot right now. So anyway, that has not happened yet. Things may get ugly. It may get a lot more ugly. It probably will get a lot more ugly. And also, the longer this goes on, the higher chance there is for migrant factions to start fighting back. So, these migrant hotels, they are protected structures, right? They've got police guarding them, so they can do whatever they want to on the inside. And uh yeah, if the migrants ever decide to organize themselves, then there might be a little bit of a situation. So, right now, most of the violence is is one-sided. I'm trying to map it out as best I can. it's pretty hard to do so because most of the uh rioters have basically forbade any sort of media coverage of their actions. So opssek is very very much in play in Belfast on both the Protestant and Catholic side. So again, I don't need to tell the Europeans this, but for the Americans, if you want to learn how to run an intelligence operation in your community, these guys know how to do it. Now you may not agree with their means, their measures or anything like that, but again from an academic perspective, Northern Ireland is one of the top probably five histories of the world to study to understand how things can develop uh over time. So again, I'll just leave it at that. This is Northern Ireland is of course a bigger issue than I can mention in just one day. But yeah, very very tenuous time and it serves again as a good framework for the United States and what might happen here. Maybe not in terms of the rioting but also what happened before it. Right? Again, many people are looking at the TV. They're seeing buses and trains on fire. And what they're not seeing is all of the stuff that goes on behind the scenes when it comes to community awareness, community activism, all of the peaceful things that they tried before this. And then the incident that was the straw that broke the camel's back. Well, they were already set up to do this long ago. So again, you may not agree with their methods, but this is a very, very important academic subject to study, and we're watching history play out in real time. That is for sure. Same story across the sea up in Scotland. Adding to the public anger this week has been the complete vindication of the Dundyax girl up in Scotland, which has come about following the conviction of two Bulgarians who were at the center of the scandal last year. For those that don't remember the case, the general recap is uh this was a viral video that appears to show a very young girl threatening the person taking the video with a hatchet and a very large knife, telling them to uh leave her alone. And when this video hit the timeline, a lot of people demonized the girl, saying that she was some kind of hoodlm or gang member or something like that. It may be strange for uh an American audience to uh make that conclusion. Uh I think many of us looked at that video from an American perspective and said, "Well, of course, the person taking the video is the the one that we should be looking into here." Most people throughout Scotland also thought the same thing, but there was also a lot of people who essentially said these girls were in the wrong. And this was not made any better by police Scotland targeting these girls quite heavily. Uh up until it became quite clear as to what actually happened. So, as it turned out, the person taking the video claiming to be the victim was actually the aggressor. These two individuals were convicted of targeting the girls. And just like it was stated in the video, the younger girl was actually beaten and assaulted by the Bellof siblings here. So, what actually happened in this case? Well, it turns out these two were probably trying to snatch a child. And they were so confident in the two-tier policing model that when they failed, they called the police themselves and claimed racism. These individuals knew based on instinct alone that if they attempted to commit a crime, and in this case, they failed. The kids defended themselves with weapons. Uh they could always call the police and their wouldbe victim would be the one who gets in trouble. Does that sound familiar? It certainly should because that's exactly what happened in the Noak murder case down in Southampton down in the south of England. So again, not super great. Scotland's got their own version of Henry Noak. Again, these girls thankfully uh survive the encounter. They're probably going to catch weapons charges if they have not done so already. I think that was actually initially reported, but I don't know the status of it because again, they're juveniles. So these records are it's not as hard and fast as like a criminal adult record. So again hopefully uh these girls are treated like the heroes that they are uh because these two people were up to no good. Also the other side of the coin that makes this especially worse especially in the United Kingdom is the fact that these two are of Romani ethnic descent which is making the entire situation worse. This is because the Roma people uh originally a nomadic ethnic tribe or clan from northern India which kind of scattered throughout Europe in the 9th century I believe. Uh anyway, this group of people, the Roma people, they're often referred to somewhat disparagingly, as in nearly always disparagingly, as gypsies. And they're generally not looked upon too favorably by most Europeans due to there being a long history of tension there. So, so just for we Americans, there's a lot more going on under the hood culturally with this one. And in this case, it's not exactly making those sentiments against, you know, gypsies in Europe any better. So, police Scotland also immediately siding with them instead of the Scottish girls has also not gone unnoticed. This being the default reaction is troubling beyond measure. And this is one of a thousand similar cases such as again the Henry Noak murder which has caused concern throughout the continent. So, both of these cases highlight the seriousness of the two-tier policing model and also how it is routinely used by migrants to target locals because they know that in every single police encounter that there is on the street, they're going to side with the migrants. They just know this. As if this was not enough, yesterday evening, another gruesome stabbing was conducted. This time down south in England. A foreign man with a knife walked up behind a young white girl and stabbed her in the neck in Burnley, just uh north of Manchester. And in this case, the video was also immediately leaked. So, the asalent has not been identified by name just yet, but this attack has the potential to stoke the English up once again. Probably not to the level of Northern Ireland, but we have multiple different attacks which are in the minds of the British right now. Protests are still going on regarding the Henry Noak murder. They're still holding demonstrations and memorials for him and uh the anniversary of the Southport massacre is actually coming up at the end of next month. So again, there's a lot of these issues that are fresh in in in the British mind. So, Western Europe has had a rather busy week. The knife attack in Belfast has resulted in large-scale demonstrations and riots. In Scotland, the vindication of the Dundyax girl has confirmed how slanted police Scotland is on an institutional level. and the knife attacks on innocent and unsuspecting people has led to most ethnic Europeans looking over their shoulder a bit more deliberately in public this week. So that's what we've got going on in Western Europe for now. Hope you guys brought your stab vests. Keep your head on a swivel and stay frosty. Meanwhile, things in the Middle East are not going much better despite the claims of imminent peace allegedly being right around the corner. So, let's have a brief recap of what's taking place on the battlefield this week. Last weekend, the war flared up again with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones being exchanged between Iran, the United States, Israel, Qatar, Bahrain, Jordan, and Kuwait. So far, every day this week, one of these uh parties has struck something. So, the United States has hit everything from the South Pars gas field to a dozen different military targets up and down the Iranian coastline, mostly centering around the major port of Bandar Abbas in the straight of Hormuz. But there have been reports of strikes in Thran. I just I just don't know what's actually been hit yet. I don't have a lot of fidelity on exactly what has been targeted just yet because I'm waiting on better satellite imagery which has not arrived yet. But based on the United States claiming to use at least 49 tomahawk missiles. The attacks at the beginning of the week were by no means small engagements. Just for a bit of context, the US has used about 850 tomahawk missiles so far during this war. So the use of about 50 on Sunday or Monday night was no small feat. On the rhetorical front, there has been a whole lot of talk this week. And in timehonored tradition, at this point, nearly all of it turned out to be a load of malarkey. One of the biggest and very dubious claims that has been made is the alleged secret operation to smuggle 100 million barrels of oil out of the Persian Gulf. This allegedly took place since last month, but this figure possibly is a total of the past 3 months. It's hard to say. This all stems from President Trump revealing the operation during an Oval Office interview and also a post which confirmed it on truth social. This operation which has not the name of which has not been released is alleged to have used secret means to sneak or smuggle ships through the straight of Hormuz without the Iranians knowing about it. No further details have been provided on this and that's the entire story as it's been disclosed and confirmed by the White House. Now then there are obviously many problems with this story. For one, it doesn't make a whole lot of sense just logically because 100 million barrels of oil, that sounds like an awful lot, doesn't it? But it's actually only about 5 days worth of pre-war traffic. So, if we just take the story at face value, as the White House has authorized us to believe, the United States is using two aircraft carrier strike groups, one amphibious ready group, and the 82nd Airborne, which is still on station, and flying comet air patrols, all to just get 5 days worth of oil over a period of 1 to 3 months. So again, it's not really a question of can it be done. It's a question of can you do it at scale and what is the cost of doing so. Well, in this case, we know the cost. We can tell the cost is two aircraft carriers, one ARG, five or six other special forces platforms, a good chunk of the 82nd Airborne, and that's the price for getting 5 days worth of oil. So logically, it's not a super great position to be in. Certainly nothing worth bragging about, that's for sure. But there's another series of problems as well. The math isn't mathing. We can actually see which ships transit the straight even with their transponders turned off. For those who are unaware, some of the largest corporations and well-funded organizations in the world are in the maritime shipping community. Corporate espionage and intelligence collection is big business. And some of these companies are investing a staggering amount of money to track their own ships, but also those of competitors. If you have ever tried to get an enterprise level license for a website like Marine Traffic, you know how much money is in this ecosystem. In fact, there is so much vested interest in tracking the world of shipping that many firms don't even rely on AIS tracking. They're using synthetic aperture radar or SAR sensors on satellites to visually confirm marine traffic. What this means is that the world can see where ships are located even with their transponders turned off. Once again, the military situation is not as simple as simply a ship turning off their transponder and being invisible. It is simply impossible to hide in this region. And over the past three and a half to four months of the war, there have been about five to six days all total where there is no SAR coverage of the region. Throughout this entire war in the Persian Gulf at least, we've gotten really good coverage of uh synthetic aperture radar sensors over where the ships are located. And once again, the math isn't mathing. The people who have the access to these very expensive images have stated that they are not seeing any unaccounted for traffic. So basically they're saying that or there's the implication that this 100 million barrels of oil is just completely made up like it never happened at all. Now I personally cannot verify this myself because each one of these satellite images, believe it or not, each one of these images costs about $5 to $8,000 a piece and they take images several times a day. So we have to kind of go on somebody else's word. Again, I don't like doing that, but I'm kind of having to tap into what's already been done by others here. And in this case, a lot of these people who are in this maritime shipping community are saying that it's just not adding up. 100 million barrels of oil unaccounted for. For one, it's got to go somewhere. So, who is reporting getting a 100 million barrels of oil out of the Persian Gulf over a period of 1 to 3 months? We don't really know the time period. So, let's just say a month. 100 million barrels in an oil of oil in a month. Well, that's going to be reflected somewhere. It's not like they just left the Persian Gulf and just vanished, right? It had to go somewhere. So, where did it go? It's kind of hard to verify that 100 million barrel thing because one or two ships is absolutely possible. Maybe even a dozen ships shuttling back and forth short distances or even traveling at flank speed to squeeze in between these satellite passes. Sure thing. Like abs. I'm not saying that's not possible. I I think that the US has probably snuck out quite a bit of oil out of the Middle East. But what does that term quite a bit mean? Is this one super tanker a week or are we talking 10 super tankers an hour? We just need to know, right? It takes more than 24 hours to transit the straight for many of these larger vessels. So the length of time that it takes generally means that we're going to see them on each satellite pass. But again, giving the White House as much credence as possible, even though they probably don't deserve it, right at this point, it's theoretically possible that smaller, faster boats could be blockade running to some degree. The issue here is once again scale. We should be seeing thousands of transits over a period of weeks to make up that 100 million barrel figure, and we're just not seeing it. So, what is actually going on? Is this just completely fabricated from the ground up to calm the markets and make uh a lot of people uh very very rich in the stock market? I don't know. Uh but I can speculate. And I speculate that the US is using two or three ships as temporary shuttles. And I think what they're doing is they make runs each night through the straight eastbound out of the Gulf with incredibly heavy top cover in the form of Apache gunships, drones, F-16s, F-18s, surface drones, submarines, whatever. uh they're guided through the minefield and once they make it out through the toughest part once they get into the Gulf of Oman they conduct shipto- ship transfers. Tanker Trackers has seen this already a couple of uh couple of times over the past few months and it doesn't take a genius to see what they're doing here. They're moving oil from one ship to another in a place where it's not normally conducted which means that that ship which is offloading is probably going to go right back through the straight. Right? This is not really a secret operation, which is probably why the White House felt comfortable in leaking it because you can't hide a tanker. Like, you're going to have to see it somewhere. Anyway, they don't go too far. So, they just blip in and out of the straight. Uh because the Iranians are tracking these ships, at least with whatever radar they have. And of course, they have the corporate options as well, just like the rest of us do. So to the Iranians, it looks like normal regional traffic, but in reality, it's a grand shell game of moving crude from ship to ship to ship to ship so as to conceal the fact that oil is actually making its way out eventually through all these different shell uh transfers. This has been long suspected since the war began. And honestly, I just kind of I put it in the back of my mind. I thought it was just an a general baseline expectation for what the US is doing because it would make sense for the United States to try every single trick in the book to get as much oil out as possible. The problem is once again scale. It is simply not possible to take up the slack this way. So there's always going to be a deficit. In addition to the sneakery that has been confirmed to be used so far by the president himself saying this is what's been going on. I also think that something else has been going on too. I suspect that that 100 million barrel figure comes from other ways as well. I think that it's a total and I don't think they want people to know where it came from. I personally think again this is speculation just based off of a gut feeling here. I think that the US has been secretly paying the Iranian toll to get some ships out. Certainly not in all cases. Uh but I think that since there has been uh deception confirmed throughout this entire affair, it would be foolish to think that the US would not also play a bit of a shell game with the Iranians to get some oil out via third party nation states. So what the Iranians think is a tanker of oil going to Singapore. Actually, it just meets up somewhere else and transfers that oil over and that oil comes to the United States. But again, the problem of scale is the indisputable figure here. So, let's quickly just uh break out the calculator and hopefully not get kicked out of the history museum and run through the numbers. Before the war, about 20 million barrels transited the straight every day outbound. The Saudi East West pipeline can make up about 7 million barrels per day. So, that brings us down to a deficit of 13 million barrels per day. The Immiradi pipeline to Fuja can do about a million barrels. So, we're down to about 12 million. The US uh is also draining the strategic petroleum reserve at an increasing rate. So all total over a period of three months or so that might be maybe a million uh barrels per day spread out. It's hard to say. Plus this whole arrangement since gas has gotten quite expensive. This becomes kind of a self-fulfilling prophecy to some degree because prices get high and many Americans can't travel during the peak travel season. So demand is sharply reduced which might be another million or two barrels per day that is not needed. And the Chinese have reduced their demand to an unknown amount, too. So, all in all, the deficit that exists has been reduced. So, we're not really talking about a deficit of 20 million barrels. We're talking about a deficit of, I don't know, maybe 4 to 8 million barrels of oil per day. There are people who can calculate this, but one uh wrench I can throw into the engine is that this is an unknown factor because some of these pipeline sources have been shut down for a considerable amount of time. For example, the Saudi East West pipeline, which carries that that coveted 7 million barrels of oil per day. Well, guess what? It's been hit several times. It was targeted by Iran during the early days of the war. And it was only about a month after the conflict went into effect that it was actually started producing that 7 million barrels of oil per day. So, the Saudis rushed that pipeline into operational status. So, it hasn't been doing 7 million barrels since the war began. And of course, that adds into the deficit. So that's why you can't really calculate these things. Same thing with the Emirati pipeline to Fjyra. Fjyra oil industry city has been hit like a dozen times so far. And you can't really tell me that that's not going to cause some issues, right? If you're looking at an oil tank burning in Fujiro, well, I don't think we're going to be exporting that oil if it's on fire. So generally speaking, it's really hard to calculate these sorts of things. Nobody really knows the true number of what is the deficit, which really just compounds the whole problem with the war, doesn't it? No belligerent is interested in telling the truth regarding the war, which is understandable to some degree. Like opsec military operations totally understand that. You may disagree with it in many cases. That's fine. But you have to understand that that's kind of the way that it works in warfare sometimes. I'm not expecting the Pentagon to be completely and totally honest about, you know, a shootown incident or some kind of targeting effort that was successful. That's fine. What what really is kind of grinding gears here is that they're lying about things that we can easily tell that they're lying about. In the short term, uh, this is really just kind of the state of things. I guess it doesn't really matter if you're not telling the truth anymore in the short term. I would still argue though, in the long term, however, this cannot be the way things remain forever. This will become even more paramount as the talk of a potential ground operation has returned. Uh, so that's still on the menu. Yesterday, uh, President Trump directly stated that the United States will seize Car Island soon. Now, many people, I would think probably most people at this point think that this is probably just a negotiating tactic. It could be uh this could be interpreted as, you know, its face value as the truth or it could be a flatout lie for negotiating purposes or it could be intentional misdirection for any number of reasons. Maybe he's trying to get the Iranians to think that we're going to take Car Island and really we're going to hit him somewhere else. I don't know. Uh either way, I do know that the pundits that are in the president's circle have been begging for a ground invasion for weeks, and it has almost come to fruition a couple of times so far. So, as discussed ad nauseium for months, Car Island would be one of the worst possible places to conduct an amphibious operation. But the warfare manuals have long been thrown out the window so far during this conflict. So, there's no real telling what might happen. So, at the end of week 15 of this war, uh, we're not really any closer to the situation being resolved, which should come at no surprise despite all of the rhetoric that's been flying around. Hopefully, some sort of progress is made tomorrow, as has been claimed, but we'll just have to wait and see. The possibilities are quite literally equal in opposites, right? Either we're going to start bombing again tomorrow, or we're actually going to have a document signed and start moving towards uh the road to peace. It could go either way, and it's mostly 50/50 at this point. So, we're just going to have to wait and see and hope that everything works out for the better. So, thankfully that's all I have for today. So, let's go ahead and finish up with the Ghostnet reports for this week. Once again, a good time to engage in a little bit of off-grid information sharing around the world. This week, a lot of you took to the airwaves to share local reports, do a bit of testing, and really keep those skills sharp by using our radio tools to make sure that no matter what happens, large scale communications networks can still be relied upon to keep us all informed of what's going on around us. Oh, and before I forget, since we are talking the world of radio, I do have a brief announcement to make. I will be having an interview next month with a fellow YouTuber, the tech prepper. I know that many of us are in the same spaces, so of course he needs no introduction, but he runs a shortwave listening program every month over on WBCQ, a shortwave broadcast station. So, this is pretty exciting because it's not going to be a standard podcast sort of thing. As I understand it, it's broadcast only. So if you want to tune in to listen, you will either need a web SDR or a shortwave listening radio to hear it, which is pretty cool, I think. So definitely motivation to work through getting on board with listenonly shortwave radio. And I will have more details on it once we get a little bit closer to it, but I just want to give you the early uh early warning, right, that uh this is something to look forward to uh for the end of next month. So more to come on that later on. Otherwise, I have been experimenting with a few different improvements to the process over the past few months. And I think that right now a lot of very exciting things are being worked on in the world of radio. So, I hope to revamp the Ghost Net plan sometime later this year. But TBD on that. We'll see how it works out. For now, we can keep trucking along and doing what we can to stay ready for the interesting times ahead and the interesting times that seem to already be upon us in some ways. So, that's all I have for today. Thank you again to all of the supporters on Patreon which help keep the project going. I could not do it without all of you. And thanks again to everyone for sticking with me while we all try to figure out how the changing world is going to affect us all. We're all trying to do the best we can and that's all we can do. So, let's keep at it, keep moving forward, and I'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update · 2026-05-17

Intel Update - May 16 - Flashpoint

Hello again, everyone, and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for May 10th of 2016 2026. Things are getting crazier by the day, and we're going to be a little bit more spicy today with the topics we have to cover, so let's get right to it. This week, the more serious consequences are starting to emerge as we arrive at today 77 of the war in the Persian Gulf. Shortages of petroleum products and distillates are beginning, and multiple companies are issuing warnings of impending supply chain outages. Throughout Europe, the migration crisis has come to a head once again with high-profile murders and new migration centers being implanted throughout the continent to the sharp disapproval of native populations. Right now, as I'm recording this, throughout the United Kingdom, large-scale protests and counter-protests are underway throughout the nation as the United Kingdom demonstrations bring large crowds to London. Within our own hemisphere, Cuba is on the menu once again, and high-profile diplomatic endeavors have taken place this week just off the coast of Florida. And within the homeland itself, the governance situation is not going super well, and disapproval is high on a variety of issues. All the while, violence from the usual suspects continues to be the norm around the country. Moving to strategic movement for this week, most major deployments continue from last week, with the biggest change being that the Ford Carrier Strike Group has arrived home in Virginia from her long deployment. Just as a bit of context for how long the Ford has actually been at sea, I'll have to check the actual numbers, but I think she's been at sea for well over 300 days, which is the longest deployment that any American aircraft carrier has seen since Vietnam. So, she was definitely stressed beyond her max, and she suffered a lot of catastrophic damage from the toilet situation in Venezuela to the laundry fire situation in the Middle East, the Ford has had one very arduous deployment. So far, the Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group is slated to replace her in the Middle East. I don't know if they've departed port yet and formed up or not. It is interesting, though, that the Ford did not wait for the Ike to get on station. Usually, they conduct handover in region, but I guess the Ford said, "We've had enough," so they came on back early a little bit, or rather late, because this was a long deployment. But But any case, the Eisenhower is uh to take up station somewhere in CENTCOM. However they want to work that out is up to them. But either way, there will be a total of three aircraft carriers in the region once again in a week or so. Bottom line, there has been no cessation of American assets in the Middle East at the present time. Everything has been in a state of resupply, reconfigure, all that kind of stuff. And everything is still in place and ready to resume fighting if that is the chosen option moving forward. Around the homeland this week, there are several items of note to be aware of from a risk management perspective. A lot of the time we may be tempted to ignore a security concern because we don't want to get called names or get slapped with a label or some kind of ist or ism or whatever. And since nobody else wants to talk about this stuff in public, I will because it has very real security implications. You know when I caveat stuff like that, we have to read between the lines quite a bit. And this week there have been many potential flash points that may or may not escalate into something more serious over the next few weeks. But nobody in the counterterrorism or security space wants to talk about it. For one, we have the Chud the Builder scandal, which took place in Tennessee a few days ago. For those of you who don't know what this is all about, fear not. I'm also late to the party, but Chud the Builder is the screen name for Dalton Eatherly, who is a social media influencer, content streamer sort of figure who is infamous for conducting what is being described as like rage bait style content, street interviews, confrontations, uh stuff like that. A lot of his content is either political or mostly racial in nature or focused on that issue. So, a few days ago he was involved in a defensive shooting outside the Clarksville Courthouse in Tennessee after a black man attacked him, resulting in Eatherly shooting the individual. And let me just say, details on the whole incident are really sketchy. I don't think that any content was being made at the time, so I don't think this was one of those confrontations gone wrong kind of situations, but again, I don't know. Right up front, nobody wants to say whether this was a good shoot or not because of the kind of content that this individual makes, I guess. I don't really know. I don't really watch live stream stuff myself. So, I'm kind of in the normie camp myself with this, I guess, but I haven't seen the evidence, but I can guess because of what happened afterwards. So, the judge set the bail really high despite the fact that Eagley did not kill the guy and the courthouse surveillance tape of the incident has not been released. There was also a police officer right there during the entire incident and his body cam is apparently not available or something like that. I don't know. So, regardless of anyone's feelings on Eagley personally or on the style of content he creates, this is now a huge racial thing that's kind of in society now. So, and I think that the multiple videos of the incident not being leaked yet is quite telling because, well, we all know how this goes, right? It's also a free speech sort of thing now. Uh there's that angle to it as well because this is now an issue to answer the question of whether or not insulting speech justifies a physical attack. That's the question that's being asked. So, the risk assessment part of this trial is to decide whether or not minorities have the right to attack someone because they thought they overheard a racial slur. That's really what we're dealing with here. Nobody wants to say it. Again, people get offended by everything nowadays. Even conservatives get really offended about stuff like this, but that's kind of the issue that's on the table and the court's going to have to decide that and I don't think it's looking super great, but again, this just happened a couple of days ago. The complicating factors are his own social media posts, which are going to make it very, very easy for the prosecution to put him away or secure a conviction. So, in effect, if you want to think of it simply, this is like a very high stakes version of the Shiloh Hendrix case. The issue here is that we're not entirely certain that this guy, Chud the Builder, did anything wrong. He might have just been randomly attacked. We just don't know. He also could have instigated the thing. Again, we don't know. There's 15 different video angles of this and nobody seems to have any of them, and the the one video that has leaked is extremely blurry. It's like a Bigfoot video, right? So, I think we know how this is going to work out, but the bottom line that I wanted to mention this today is because it's setting conditions. So, this is going to set conditions for a lot of rhetoric, a lot of tensions, a lot of other problems that are going to compound this summer. This is also just the first landmine that we have to know about today because in a similar vein, there are two other big trials on the menu for the next few weeks. In North Carolina, the De Carlos Brown Jr. situation remains unresolved for the time being after Brown has been found incompetent to stand trial for the murder of Irena Zaretska. No hate crime charges have been filed, and Brown has been determined to be incompetent to stand trial on the charges that do remain. So, it's not really clear as to what's going to happen to him. There are still a few competency hearings, and the next one I think is on June 9th, but it's not really clear how this is going to work out because the defense is literally trying to get him released from custody into psychiatric care. I don't know if that's going to happen, but this is the uncomfortable truth that we seem to be living in right now in the United States, and from a risk management perspective, people might scowl and click their teeth, but the fact of the matter is that if you're a minority in this country, you can kill a white guy or a white girl on a train, a judge labels you incompetent to stand trial, and then you just get out. That seems to be a very common thing from murder one all the way up at the Irena Zaretska level all the way down to smaller crimes. So, this whole trend of oh, they're too mentally unwell to go through a trial, well, let's just let them out. You know, that's the alternative solution that's selected, and I think they're trying to go for it. I think they're trying to go for it with this situation in Charlotte. I think they're going to do it. I don't know if they're going to succeed, but I think they're trying for it, and if that occurs, if De Carlos Brown gets off for the murder of Irena Zaretska because he's too mentally ill to stand trial, I think that's going to be kind of like an O.J. Simpson situation times a million. So, once again, is another political topic that nobody wants to talk about, but look man, I I got to warn you guys if your city is going to be burning down here, and I think that that might actually happen if some of these trials end up with a lot of these criminals walking even after conducting very brutal murders. And I say that not because the victims in this case are going to riot or anything like that, but because when these criminals get off, when they're let off by a judge or, you know, something you know, you you basically get away with murder, other murders are going to happen because now they know that murder is legal as long as you say you're crazy first. That's the kind of situation we find ourselves in, and we're just kind of tiptoeing around it, you know? Uh and sometimes we just got to got to say it like it is, and this is the way that it is, especially with the situation in Texas. In a couple of weeks, the Carmelo Anthony trial is set to begin, and this one is also not looking good, either. So, this is the trial for the murder of Austin Metcalfe, who was murdered by Carmelo Anthony, who stabbed him in the heart during a track meet at Memorial High School in April of last year. Note that I did not say allegedly murdered, because Anthony has confessed to the crime. He himself specifically said, and I quote, "I'm not alleged, I did it." Even though his lawyers have claimed self-defense on his part, so this is now a self-defense trial to begin in a couple of weeks. And we'll see how it goes, because once again, this is a huge racial thing at this point, with Anthony's family setting up a massive GoFundMe campaign for him, the killer. A lot of very high-profile and prominent attorneys and social media figures in the black community have rallied behind Anthony, saying that that this was a good thing, and supporting him for killing this kid at the track meet. So, I've covered all of this abhorrent behavior before, trying to be as neutral as possible, but this was a very public event. It's captured on video. There's a thousand witnesses to this crime, and the killer confessed to it right then and there. Again, seems fairly open and shut, you know, at face value on a societal level. Again, that's what trials are for, to, you know, iron out things that are not so open and shut, but still, this one's pretty pretty clear as to what's really the driving factor behind this. So, that's on the menu to be aware of over the next few weeks because this has really stirred up a lot of racial hatred all around, and of course, that drives up risk. Since we're basically jumping on top of landmine topics today, I also wanted to mention that many states have revamped their food stamp programs over the past 2 months to delist a lot of foods and products from what is eligible to purchase by EBT cards. Now, this is another hot-button issue, and I'm not bringing this up to examine the entire program itself. The whole, um, idea of welfare in the United States, that's a big issue. I'm specifically talking about one component of it because this could be a factor moving into the summertime. So, we've got the perfect storm for what I'd call cultural violence, uh, because a lot of people are being told that they can't buy certain foods with their EBT cards, which is a problem for a major fraud scheme that many people might not be aware of, which is the selling of plates on Facebook. Many of you may have seen this parenthetically or seen people talk about this. This has been going on for quite literally decades. Uh, it's not all fraudulent, but a lot of it is because this is a major way of laundering EBT money. The scam works by someone going to the grocery store and buying a lot of food with their EBT card, and they take it home, they package it up, and they resell it for a profit. Once again, the scale at which this is occurring is staggering. One woman in Michigan was arrested on fraud charges a few months ago because she was using her EBT card to literally buy supplies for her professional brick-and-mortar bakery. She was running an entire storefront where the stock and supply for her business was paid for by EBT. It's pretty easy to be a small business owner when you have exactly zero overhead and free supplies being provided by the taxpayer. And now that a lot of goods have been delisted from EBT in the first place, this is now a major income source that has taken a huge hit over the past few months. So, in isolation, this doesn't really matter a lot, right? But you couple this with gasoline prices getting super high and you've got the perfect storm for crime because a lot of this income is fixed, but gas prices take money out of the pockets of Americans universally. But at the state level, you might say, "Okay, you're getting a thousand dollars worth of EBT per month and because you're delisting a lot of products, now you're saying that that person can only launder half of that, so $500. And now you're spending double the money that you normally would on gas to ride around town." So, again, gas prices complicate everything. Same with drug dealers and human traffickers, high gas prices are serving as an unofficial tax on everybody. And now that we have not one but three high-profile, highly racially motivated criminal trials on the menu, things are not looking super great on the civil unrest front and the natives are a bit restless, if you get my meaning. Once again, I want to add another closing caveat. There's always going to be this angle to push a lot more of the societal division and a lot of this is being done intentionally, I think. I think that the the the tensions are intentionally being stoked by a lot of people, parties, media figures, stuff like that. So, I don't want to don't want to make this out to be like a complete apocalyptic Armageddon here for the summertime, but I'm saying that the conditions are starting to line up for that eventuality. Some of it's organic, though. Some of it's just tensions that have been there for a very long time. Some of it is probably being stoked. I don't know. All I can say is that the dominoes are stacking up. Will the Will those dominoes fall over? I don't know. I can just tell you that the dominoes are stacked up, right? So, it's up for you to decide what to think about this sort of stuff from a planning perspective. So, So, bottom line, everyone's asking, "Does this mean we're going to have another summer of Floyd again or another summer of love?" I don't know. I don't think so unless something major happens. It's more likely that a lot of these gas prices are just going to drive people crazy and you're going to have a lot more low-level crime, organized stuff like the whole BLM riots of the past few years. That's going to take a lot more organizational effort and that's That's not materialized just yet. But, for those of you guys who have to rely on public transit or you have to walk, you know, to work through a city and it's not a super great area, uh keep your head on a swivel. Just be careful. All right? So, you know, situation normal. Just be careful. So, yeah, I'll just leave it at that. Talked about this too much already, but this does lead into another growing concern that is becoming more realistic with every passing day, which are the supply chain disruptions that are coming about from the war in the Middle East cutting off a good chunk of the global energy supply. This week, several companies and automotive groups have warned that they are having to cut back on oil changes because there is a growing shortage of certain weights of motor oil. Some companies are dealing with a 40 to 50% drop in the availability of some petroleum products, which is staggering. It is far too early to panic, but it would not be a bad idea to start thinking about what your needs might be if this conflict continues for much longer, which I think it will. You all know how panic buying sets in super quickly and in this case, once the word gets out to the normies, it's going to be on like Donkey Kong, possibly quite literally, and store shelves are very likely to be wiped out by people who think that they need to buy 10 years worth of oil changes all at once. So, that's going to be fun to deal with over the next few weeks, but the petroleum sector is is slow to change and shortages take a very long time to materialize because we're dealing with a slow drip problem set. 20% of the world's energy supply being offline due to the war is a big deal, but it's also not 100%. So, that means that there's a bit of elasticity to the markets, and the biggest impact that the war is having right now is high prices for everything. But, motor oil and other distillates coming into short supply is definitely a canary in the coal mine for more serious logistical problems later on. Right now, it's still in the early stages, though. Another canary in the coal mine to be aware of on the forefront over the next few weeks is Cuba. Since the war in the Middle East slipped into more of a long-term problem, increased rhetoric has been issued by the White House regarding American aspirations for Cuba. In short, a lot of talk was circulating, mostly originating from remarks made by President Trump himself, indicating that the US might seek to conduct some sort of military operation in Cuba to obtain control over the nation in a similar manner as to how the operation in Venezuela worked out. Maybe not the operation itself, but the follow-on effect, as in Venezuela becoming a puppet state for the United States. Well, the United States wants the same thing for Cuba. Weeks ago, this was just talk, and nobody really took it seriously, kind of like the Greenland aspirations. Um, and right now, it still looks fairly unlikely, but less unlikely than before. American delegations of diplomats have visited Cuba to conduct talks, and the American blockade of Cuba is a very strong move to tighten the screws on the Cubans. Once again, the United States has completely, full stop, shut off all the energy supply to Cuba. That is not an embargo, that is a straight-up blockade. If you want to be doctrinally correct, you can crack open your textbook and say that this is an act of war, but we don't really care about terms and words and things anymore, so I guess that doesn't really matter. Either way, the Cubans are hurting right now. Most of that is being done by their own government over the past few years, but a lot of that is now starting to be more directly uh, result of American action. So, the Leeden Doctrine is most certainly at play with Cuba, which is the idea that every 10 years or so, the United States needs to pick up some small crappy little country and throw it against the wall just to show the world we mean business. At least that's the quote, which is the origin of the doctrine. So, whether you agree with it or not, this is most certainly a good chunk of President Trump's mentality towards foreign policy, especially when it comes to smaller nations. It's what we did in Venezuela. It's what we're trying to do in Cuba. It'll have to look a lot differently, but in any case, just want to set the groundwork for me dropping a lot of red diamonds on Cuba in the next few weeks because as we all know, Sun Tzu always said that when you're in a war with multiple nations on multiple fronts, it always helps to open up another front. And that definitely seems like our plan. So, we'll definitely see how it goes, but I'm going to start preparing for that like I said a couple of weeks ago. I'm going to actually do it for real this time. Going to start preparing for Cuba just in case the United States seems to be interested in that sort of thing. So, moving overseas to the United Kingdom, tensions remain rather high due to the revelation of a rather grizzly murder that took place a couple of years ago coming to light this week. So, what happened back in 2023 and why is this case both so interesting and also so incredibly tragic? In December of 2023, Henry Noack was stabbed by Vikram DeGua on the street in Southampton. At first glance, this appeared to be a rather routine uh, stabbing attack with neither the victim nor the perpetrator knowing or really interacting with with each other before the incident. Noack, being stabbed with a ceremonial Sikh dagger, was severely wounded and called for police while trying to escape. DeGua continued to pursue the victim. He followed him down the street, stabbing him multiple times, and eventually when police arrived, DeGua, the stabber, told police that the victim had made a racial comment toward him. The responding officers promptly arrested Noak, who was still bleeding rather profusely from the stabbing and placed him in handcuffs. Over a period of several minutes, Noak bled out on the street. The entire attack was captured on video on the victim's phone, which had been found in Deeg's pocket as he robbed the victim after stabbing him. Due to the nature of the British legal system, in nearly all high-profile cases, the fact that a crime occurred in the first place is obscured so the general public is not aware of crimes when they take place, and in this case, the crime occurred 3 years ago, but the details are just being known now. The reason for talking about this incident now, years after the fact, is twofold. For one, if we don't talk about it now, then we never will, and this could be another Southport moment, and more unrest is possible due to the horrific details of the crime. Secondly, this crime is bringing about very specific cultural considerations that are tough to talk about, but must be noted purely from a threat analysis perspective. This information is useful for you if you live in the United Kingdom, but it also will benefit you if you live in Canada or the United States. So, the Sikh community has a very particular reputation around the Western world, as the Sikh culture is not just a religious sect or movement, but there is also a very strong nationalist movement which seeks to use violence to achieve their goals, or at least it has since the 1980s. Within India itself, many major terror attacks have been conducted by the Sikh community, and many notable Sikh political leaders have actually been exiled from India, having been convicted of terrorism at some point during the Khalistan uprising incidents back in the 1980s. These guys did pretty much everything. They brought down civilian airliners with explosives, small arms attacks, hostage stuff, all kinds of violent attacks throughout India, mostly in their own region they were trying to seek autonomy within. So, this is kind of like India's version of the PLF. If you guys remember that from the 1960s and 1970s, all that violence and the airline hijackings and bombings and all kinds of stuff like that that was occurring in Europe and the Middle East. Well, India was dealing with that within India itself from the Sikh community. Cut to today and many of this organizational leadership has actually ended up settling down in the Western world such as in Canada and the United Kingdom, both of which are nations that require this back pocket knowledge to be conveyed in hushed tones because it's in effect illegal to know this information in public. It is unfortunate to talk about because it's a very complicated issue and because you're dealing with this sort of religious aspect to it. You don't want to re- you know, insult somebody's religion, right? That really gets you nowhere, but this information is critical for one's survival because as angry as Britons are about this case, the Sikh community is starting to rally around their own flag. Tensions have been growing among the Sikh community throughout Europe for a while and the details of this case are likely to cause further confrontations and incidents. Also, the officers which helped to murder Noac, if you want to phrase it like that, which I certainly would, it's possible these guys are still on the police force and therefore public interest remains in figuring out if the officers who handcuffed a man and let him bleed out to death were of the same national origin and culture as the attacker because if that's the case and it may be, I don't know, it's speculation, but if that's the case, if there's a link there, yeah, this could get even more ugly than it already is. Unfortunately, these cultural aspects are a major part of the case because in the United Kingdom, Sikhs have been granted a religious exemption for the ban on carrying knives and Kirpan, the murderer in this case, was open carrying an 8-in ceremonial knife at the time at which he used to conduct the murder. So, while everyone else in the United Kingdom has to go to extreme lengths to comply with UK knife law, the Sikhs have been granted permission under a religious exemption that allows them to carry long daggers known as kirpans. That alone would be a very, very hot button topic in British society and even in like Canadian society where the same kind of crackdown on, you know, weapons and stuff like that is a big concern there, too. The other issue, and I think the main issue, is why does this religious exemption exist? Again, this is one of the articles of the Sikh faith because all Sikhs are required to carry a blade on their person. And in their religion, this dagger is exclusively intended to be used as a weapon. To put this in context, imagine if Pope Leo said that all Catholics had to carry around a Beretta and shoot anyone who is perceived to be in violation of the Vatican's policies. To us, the first part sounds kind of entertaining, but the second part, the idea of carrying around a weapon for the exclusive purposes of hurting people for religious reasons, that's absolutely insane. We don't do that here in Western society, but within the Sikh faith, which is heavily centered around violence, and since the 1980s, they have linked their cultural aspirations with their religious aspirations, to them this is normal. So, if you Google this, they try to say that it's for self-defense and that the five K's of Sikhism are all about defending the weak or something like that. But, if you scratch away the paint, you see that this is really just a bit of word play because they have the concept of Dharam Yudh, which loosely translates to holy war or war for justice. This concept within Sikhism is the reason for why India has had a problem with counterterrorism in Punjabi territory. And if you read a lot of internal Indian politics, I know nobody really wants to do that, but it's very interesting from a counterterrorism perspective. If you read a lot of their internal news about internal counterterrorism and and policing stuff, they're having a really big problem with this, and they've had a big problem with this over the years because the Sikhs use this belief system to justify terrorism as part of the Khalistan independence movement. So, in the West, this {quote} defending the weak and self-defense aspect of their faith, these guys are not the Mandalorian, okay? These guys are not just trying to immortalize like the second amendment in their faith. This is really just a cover that allows them to carry knives and be ready at all times to carry out attacks against anyone who they subjectively perceive to be against them. So again, anytime we talk about defense and self-defense, it gets kind of cagey because everybody has a bunch of different views on that sort of topic, which is understandable. However, we have to look at this through the context of this specific region on earth and the belief system that came from this region, which again is not it's not universal to all Indian people. It is not It is not Hinduism. This is Sikhism. This is a different thing. And again, even in the United States, this is a big deal because many of you may have been familiar with Sikh culture through our kind of problems we've been having with trucking. So trucking in the United States, Indian dude, you know, runs off the road, kills somebody. There have been a few high-profile crimes like that occur over the past couple of years, which have gotten a lot of attention on the Sikh community and occasionally, as in nearly 100% of the time, what you will do is look at the cab, look at the the photos from the actual crime scene itself, and you'll see the same guy on all the trucks. So again, I went down this rabbit hole a while ago. So just to digress for a bit because this kind of matters in the context of talking about Sikhism. If you see this on the highway, this is what this is. A lot of times you'll see this on a lot of more Sikh truck drivers. They have these decals all over their trucks of this guy this guy with a turban carrying an AK-47. So what is this about? This is a decal. These are images of a guy called Sidhu Moose Wala. He is as a Sikh rapper who was killed in a gunfight a few years ago, and since then he's become kind of a musical or artistic expression of Sikh nationality, ethno-nationalism, that sort of thing. So, that's what this is all about. If you're kind of confused as to why you're seeing do pictures of do the same guy with an AK on the side of a trailer or a truck, you know, a big rig going down the highway, this is probably what you're dealing with. So, think like the Punjabi version of like the Crips and the Bloods kind of arrangement. This is what's going on within India politics. Again, nobody cares. Nobody should have to care about internal Indian politics in a small region in Central India. But, because this culture is literally in governance in a lot of the world now, it's worth being aware of. I've been looking at this for a while now, and again, I have to put the boilerplate statement on there. I don't know if everybody's like this. This could just be a cultural thing. It's kind of foreign to the United States, but it's here now, and you know, it's here to Western Europe. The United Kingdom is, of course, having to deal with it more strongly than the than the United States does. The context from which we're talking about this. And again, I can't say that all Sikhs of, you know, all 20 million Sikhs or however many there are, I don't know if everyone in this culture is on board with this kind of ethno-religious nationalism violence kind of mentality. I don't I don't know if everyone's on board with that. I'm sure there are probably varying degrees of it. However, when it comes to the United Kingdom knife laws and the kid that got stabbed to death on the street, I cannot speak to anything but the data. And the raw fact is that in the United Kingdom, 100% of Sikhs have been granted an exemption to carry weapons in the UK, and 100% of Sikhs are required to do so by their religion. It's not a personal, it's not an insult, it's just a fact that this particular belief system is completely alien to the West. And by their own admission, they do not assimilate, nor are they compatible with Western culture. Because if they were compatible and they wanted to assimilate, they would not get laws changed to accommodate them, and those laws would not involve them being able to carry a weapon everywhere they're going to go so they can kill their political enemies if they so choose. You can bring this into the self-defense space if you wish. I'm not taking it there. I'm just saying that the Sikhs somehow have the right to carry weapons, daggers, machetes on the streets without any question whatsoever. And if you question that, you're going to get arrested. And the ethnic Britons have they they can't even get a Swiss Army knife, right? That's the reasoning before the censorship in this case. It has everything to do with the knife itself, the religious aspect to it, the culture behind all of this, the political stuff, the decals on the trucks. It's all one big mess. This was not a random stabbing attack. It was a Sikh using his kirpan as intended. These weapons are carried by Sikhs for them to kill people with it. So we have hostile intent and hostile action. And they have been allowed to do so via the religious exemption in the UK. Coming back to the actual case itself, which is why I've spent so much time on this today, is there's another factor to this as well, which is honestly the least surprising detail of the case, which is that Diguva is not the only person on trial. His mother took the bloody knife and hid it in the family home, aiding Diguva in covering up the crime. So she's on trial as well for aiding and abetting the murder. Several other family members on that night were also arrested and initially charged, but these charges were dropped over the past 2 years. So you've got people who probably knew about the crime, were trying to cover it up, but they couldn't stick them with anything and they're just walking around. This involvement with the Sikh community closing ranks to protect one of their own, this is likely to exacerbate tribal violence on the streets of Britain for the foreseeable future because right now the Punjabi communities of London are trying to figure out how to keep that kirpan exemption. And as a result, even more adversarial perspectives are likely to emerge. I would expect many Sikhs to start carrying larger kirpans in public throughout the United Kingdom to dominate and flex on the laws being tailored specifically to them. That's just kind of their style. And once again, I'm not trying to dunk on anybody's religion. I really don't want to do that because again, it gets you nowhere. But if your gurus require you to carry a long knife and that you are to use that long knife to carry out a holy war and I also cannot carry a knife myself to defend myself from you, we're going to have a problem. And that problem has manifested in this case for the British people. I know ethnic Britons, everyone who lives in the UK who listens to me are probably fuming about that because you may not know this as an American, but in the UK, intent is a huge part of British knife law. If you're carrying a plastic fork in your pocket and you tell a police officer that you intended to carry that plastic fork to defend yourself with, you go straight to jail because it's extremely, extremely, extremely illegal to carry anything expressly for the purposes of self-defense. If you have a potato in your pocket and you say that's for self-defense, straight to jail. Do not collect $200. You are toasted. But if you're a Sikh and you say that my religion says that I have to carry this machete so that if I think a holy war is justified, I can murder people, the British police will arrest anyone who disagrees with you. That's the That's the level of of seriousness we're dealing with here. So, this case completely revolves around cultural and religious lines and also line of action on the part of the police. And all of this is why this case was buried for as long as possible, years in fact. So, now that the truth is out, tensions will remain palpable while Deegol's trial continues, which is why it's worth getting to the bottom of this cultural issue. Once we go down into the weeds, we can see that there are really four completely separate issues which have a high potential of driving unrest and violence moving forward. For one, we've got the Sikhs being allowed to carry weapons, but ethnic British citizens not being allowed to do the same. So, there's thing one. Secondly, the British police instinctively sided with a murderer who was covered in blood and arrested the 18-year-old kid who was actively bleeding to death. That's your second issue. Thirdly, the reason for why the Sikhs even carry the blade in the first place is very concerning because there's a lot of history and cultural violence behind it. And fourthly, the British government covered all of this up for years. So, once again, many different aspects four flashpoints to emerge, all of which are really tough concerns to even talk about in the first place. So, enough of Punjabi land. I know everyone's tired of of it, but I wanted to get that out there because this is kind of a complex uh canary in the coal mine, I should say, for a lot of the issues going on in the United States as well. So, worth talking about in a long-form format anyway. So, finally, I wanted to wrap up today with a few notes from the recent presidential state visit to to China. As with all diplomatic visits, 99% of this trip was useless banter and tourism, but that last 1% can get pretty interesting. First of all, the objective of the trip itself is not entirely clear. The State Department can church it up with flowery language all they want, but it's not really clear as to why the president and a huge delegation would take a trip abroad while their nation is at war. To me, that alone is pretty interesting because it implies there is a reason as to why a trip to China is more important than the war that we're actively fighting, but anyway, whatever that reason is, I don't know, but it's still interesting. Secondly, by far the most interesting part of the trip came from an offhand remark made by President Trump on board Air Force One as they were heading back to the US Thursday night. I will play the clip just in its entirety because it touches on the Taiwan issue, and this is probably one of the more interesting parts of the diplomatic endeavor, so here's the clip. Would the US defend Taiwan if it came to it? I don't want to say that. I'm not going to say that. There's There's one person that knows that. You know who it is? Me. I'm the only person. That question was asked to me today by President Xi. I said, "I don't talk about that." He asked you today. He asked you if you would send troops, if you would defend He asked me if I'd defend them. I said, "I don't talk about that." He told him that. I know it's a little hard to hear. I'm sorry about that. The audio was not great when it was being recorded, but the gist of the conversation kind of came out. Now, obviously, we cannot put a whole lot of weight on one short clip. That's really a bad idea when it comes to President Trump because he himself is not exactly a man who has hard and fast positions on anything. But, in this clip, a couple of things happened. For one, President Trump stating that he will not reveal as to if the US will defend Taiwan. That's completely normal. In fact, this is a continuation of the very long train of China policy, which back during the Kissinger era was referred to as strategic ambiguity. Meaning that the United States would not reveal whether or not we will militarily back Taiwan. So, we're going to leave that as a question for China to figure out. Will they, won't they? Will they defend? Will they Will they will not defend? If we If the Chinese do this, will the United States do that? Again, strategic ambiguity. No real hard red lines in the sand or in the island chain, so to speak. Anything to deal with Taiwan in the diplomatic spaces has been handled incredibly delicately over the years. And, like him or not, it is undeniable that President Trump often, and rather ironically, acts like a bull in a china shop on pretty much everything he does, for better or for worse. And so, he let slip that there would be a war if China invaded Taiwan. Whether he means that or not, I don't know. It could be a lie. It could be a genuine thing. I don't know. He changes his mind a lot and doesn't really speak plainly on stuff like this, which is fair enough, I guess, but it's still interesting. However, the most interesting part about this short exchange on Air Force One is that President Trump said that Xi asked him the same question directly. And kind of hilariously, you can even see the journalist who asked him the question kind of taken aback by this because if this is true, and I want to stress that this is a big if, this is very surprising. The Chinese, just as a matter of cultural and diplomatic policy, they absolutely never ask direct questions like this, let alone President Xi. So, if this actually happened, we might be closer to Taiwan kicking off than we might think. Granted, this is a huge debate right now, so some say the timeline is for 2027 invasion, others say that China is never actually going to invade. Uh they're actually not going to use military force at all, but rather take over diplomatically, and all of the military force that we're seeing them use is actually for other aspirations throughout the maybe second and third island chains. Hope not on that front, but I, you know, that that's the argument anyway. I don't know what to think personally on that front. It's all in the international space, and it's kind of hard to figure out who's going to do what because there's so many factors to consider, but the bottom line is that the Far East is not looking to stay in their period of peace and tranquility for too much longer. And President Xi directly asking Trump to his face, "Hey, are you guys going to get involved in Taiwan if we go take it?" If he's asking that directly, mhm, that's not a very good sign. But again, we're placing a lot of weight on a very short exchange and personal testimony from one person, not something that we can make a whole lot of decisions off of, but again, indications and warnings are stacking up. So, knowing how the American involvement in Iran has worked out, the Chinese have been taking a lot of notes on that endeavor. They have been very, very interested in how our war has gone out gone on in the Middle East, and this uh situation becoming a little bit of a fiasco here has maybe emboldened them to think that they might have a chance against the United States in the Pacific now since we've depleted our stockpiles for the moment. Their whole defense policy is hundreds of thousands of anti-ship cruise missiles and they already know that the Iranians who only launched a few hundred missiles at us, you know, all total throughout this conflict directly at our ships. China with hundreds of thousands of munitions is that's pretty significant and they know that they probably have the upper hand at least to when it comes to Taiwan. So, so they might attack before we can rebuild our own military stockpiles because they know without a doubt that we cannot defend Taiwan. Taiwan is off the table. It just is. You may not like it. I don't like it, but it is. Uh based on how the war in Iran has gone. But, on the other hand, the Chinese are also looking at how the most technologically advanced military in the world is having a really tough time winning a war against a vastly inferior foe or at least a foe that is vastly inferior on paper. And that imbalance is taking place mostly due to terrain. If Iran looked like Iraq, we would have won the war 5 minutes into it, right? But, it's not. Iran is nothing in the world but hundreds of trillions of tons of granite. So, maybe the Chinese are second-guessing the success that their own operations might have in Taiwan. Other than these very tiny aspects of the trip, not much else came out of the state visit from what I can see. No real commitments to anything were achieved on either side, just very coy statements from the Chinese as you would expect. I'd expect nothing less. And right now, the trip mostly appears to be a giant pile of nothing other than buying a bit of time to focus on things other than the current war that the US is fighting in the Middle East. So, that's where we stand for today. Flashpoints all around both overseas, in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, and also here at home with a lot of domestic unpleasantness being plopped on our plates this week. And our friendly redcoats across the seas having to deal with a lot of complicated issues as well. Thankfully, all of this uh rather unfortunate topics that we have to cover sometimes, these have given us some idea of what to prepare for and how important it is to remain situationally aware and keep your head on a swivel. High gas prices make people do crazy stuff all around and right now it is a very high risk time for any of the dozen or so bubbling tensions to reach another flash point. We don't have to do them in gloom, don't ever do that, don't ever black pill, no black pilling allowed, but we have to be aware, we have to be attentive, we have to talk about unfortunate things sometimes even if it's a little embarrassing or culturally inappropriate or we have to talk about it just purely because you need the information to be able to survive walking down the street sometimes. So with that, let's roll it up for today and talk about the Ghost Net reports for this week. Once again, this radio net that we use to exchange information around the world is very, very helpful sometimes. And it was a good net all around from everyone. Now that the summertime weather has arrived for most of us, a lot more people are joining the party, which is always good to see. The more mundane weekly testing and practice sessions are not always super high speed. They're just not. But in our case, this isn't just practice, this is also practical utility, right? So we can find some interesting information that many of us might not have heard before, which is always good to see. It's already been a pretty crazy year and with hurricane and wildfire season upon us once again, it's a good time to dust off the comms gear and make sure everything works. Even if you are not into the world of HF radio or Meshtastic, if you don't want to get into anything like that, if it's too much of an investment, there's always free or low-budget ways to get into this stuff, but even then the the educational barrier is pretty high. Working on that, going to bring that barrier down. There's a lot of other dudes out there doing good stuff to make sure that radio is more accessible to more people. Even so, you can always make sure that your own radios work, make sure that you have good communications plan put together, even if you don't have radios at all. Just make sure that if you haven't heard from somebody in a while, make sure you have a plan for that. Just so that you have a way to know how how get in touch with friends and family just in case regular lines of communication fail. Cyber attack season is also here and constant. That's a yearly thing. It's always going around, but these things always tend to come around when there's times of international tension and conflicts and stuff like that. And you never really know when a server is going to go down somewhere just due to some random hacking group getting a hold of things. So, again, just being prepared, doing the bare minimum to make sure that you know what to do and you have some kind of plan ahead of time. That's going to help out quite a lot. That's all I have for today, everyone. I know things are getting a little heavy out there in the world, but it's going to be okay. We're we're going to take things one day at a time and do the best we can. That's all we can do, anyway. So, thanks for sticking with me and all of my research and geospatial data is all available, all for free at the links below along with all of my source material that I use throughout the week. I'm still working on the A-TAC series. It's It's a lot of work a lot of work to get this stuff done, but I'm going to try to power through a lot of this more A-TAC and communications kind of doctrine and tutorials and educational stuff this summer time and we'll see how it works out. I hope it I hope it helps a lot. So, if you're interested in using A-TAC or communications or stuff, check out the playlist on my YouTube channel and you will be able to find all of the prior content I've made on that in addition to the new stuff that I'm trying to make. So, thanks again, everyone, and I'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update

Intel Update - June 6 - Mowing the Lawn

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground. This is the intel update for May 31st through June 6th, 2026. The summertime is already cooking pretty quickly, so let's get right to it with the events that mattered this week. Around the world this week, the Anglosphere has been working through some domestic issues with both the Henry Noak and Austin Medaf murders being the catalyst for the English-speaking world being fed up with the stuff and because of how things are developing, civil tensions will remain on the menu for the next few weeks. Otherwise, the familiar aroma of tear gas and body odor has wafted down from New Jersey. As the usual, suspects have remained protesting at the Delaney Hall detention facility in Newark and generally trashing the place more than it already was. Overseas, the Israeli style ceasefire remains in place with kinetic engagements remaining daily occurrences throughout Iran and the Persian Gulf this week. In Lebanon, the war continues as before with the IDF continuing to push north into Lebanon and air strikes have remained common throughout the Lebanese countryside as well as a few targeted assassination strikes in Beirut. Otherwise, the Russians have been fighting a pretty hot war down in Mali and the General Sahel region of Africa with FPV drone attacks being used by various insurgent groups. This week, the Russian Africa Corps has also started to use FPV drones to take the fight to JNIM insurgents. Likewise, JNIM and the FLA insurgent groups are also learning quite well with JNIM militants starting to use drones for real-time forward observation to walk mortars onto Russian positions throughout the country. So, the wars in Africa remain pretty hot and a lot of al-Qaeda linked groups are learning how to streamline the use of drones for offensive attacks. All of the current conflicts taking place around the world continue to heat up, which is to be expected this time of year. But the global energy crisis and the oil shock that is originating from the war in the Middle East is raising the stakes for all of these different conflicts. Here at home around the United States, things are just as spicy as last week, both on the civil unrest front and the political front. I've not mentioned it throughout the week because I didn't have a good spot to put it in a report, but this week, legislation has been introduced within the 2027 National Defense Authorization Act to allegedly merge the Israeli military with the United States Armed Forces. Section 224 of this bill is the problem. And I've been trying to figure out how bad this really is because it sure sounds like Congress is trying to unify the Israeli military industry with our own. As in, when it comes to military technology and intelligence, they will be considered the same as America. Once again, I have not had enough time to look into this myself. And to be honest, this is completely unsurprising and probably not that much different than how things are right now. But I did want to mention it for those of you who want to do some more research on your own. It looks to be another step towards the United States losing a lot of autonomy at the behest of a much smaller foreign nation around the world. And that's pretty concerning, especially considering this involves military technology. So, we don't have to worry about the Israelis stealing our military secrets if we just unify them and make them part of the US armed forces apparently. So, that's the concern with this and I'm going to look into this a little bit more. But, they've been trying to do this for a few years. A few representatives have been trying to uh put this in various NDAAS over the years. Either way, something to keep an eye on. I did want to mention it because it's kind of important. Otherwise around the country, the other main concern this week has been the discovery of new world screwworm in the southwest, which has been spreading throughout South and Central America for many months now. This disease is known to absolutely devastate cattle herds as the flesh-eating parasite causes festering wounds that usually lead to the death of the cattle due to infection, blood loss, and all kinds of bad stuff. So at the wavetop level, this leads to pretty harsh economic losses, potentially in the billions of dollars if this hard to eradicate disease spreads throughout the American cattle herds. Right now, there's not much that can be done uh by the average person to mitigate this disease. But being aware of what's going on in the agricultural community is important, especially since beef prices keep going up. And if this disease spreads more widely, this is going to cause a lot of losses that drive beef prices up and availability down even further. So definitely something to be aware of as we await the latest data from the USDA regarding how bad this crisis is. Right now, a lot of smaller farmers are trying to get a federal disaster declaration regarding this disease. I don't know if they've actually made that happen just yet, but they're trying to pressure the White House to make that happen. Texas has already declared this to be an emergency and various forms or other to unlock funding and research bandwidth and all kinds of resources to try to combat this disease. But again, hard to say how this is going to work out. This is more of a strategic concern. Of course, we first mentioned this uh last year, actually. So, now that there have been two confirmed cases as of this morning, we're going to have to see how this works out over the next few weeks. Also, around the nation this week, civil unrest has been a concern for two locations. The Delaney Hall detention facility in Newark and also the ongoing Carmelo Anthony murder trial that began this week in Texas. In New Jersey, the civil unrest surrounding the Delaney detention facility has continued to escalate as activist groups have begun to organize riots more effectively and persistently. The New Jersey State Police have been deployed on and off at the site. However, over the past few days, it's really just been the ICE erro teams which have been defending the compound. Riers have begun attacking vehicles entering and exiting the facility and generally causing mayhem as usual. They're actively trying to get ICE agents to shoot them as most of them are screaming uh to be like Renee Good, the woman who was shot in Minneapolis for hitting an ICE agent with her car which contributed to the riots there. So, they are most certainly trying to take a lot of the tactics, techniques, and procedures that they learned in Minneapolis and apply them to Newark. Whether or not things are going to escalate that far is anybody's guess. Uh, right now, Delaney Hall is certainly progressing toward that level of riots. Though, for now, these riots are mostly confined to the area immediately adjacent to the detention facility. So, we're going to have to see how this works out over the next week. But, this is most certainly a war zone around this little area in the industrial part of the city. So yeah, not looking good on the civil unrest front when it comes to anti-ICE riots and demonstrations. Back in Texas this week, the Carmelo Anthony trial began earlier this week, much to the anger of local groups. Jury intimidation has been a mainstay with efforts being made to stalk and track down jurors during the initial selection process. This is to be expected to some degree by journalists who are rather unscrupulous sometimes with the ways that they try to figure out who's on the jury and is mostly confined to the fairly low-level attempts at the moment. But it's something to be aware of because a jury has not been sequestered during this case and the crowd outside the courtroom is already calling for the murder of white people. So that's not super great. Not to be unexpected, but still not super great considering the security threats that are present. And this could get out of hand pretty quickly. Right now, there are a few different factions on the ground getting rowdy outside the courthouse. So I'll just mention them now. The first main faction are various Pan-African elements, which is more of an ideology than a strictly organized group. Along with them, uh, various Black Hebrew, Israelite organizations have been observed on site. They're mostly confined to blowing horns in the parking lot of the courthouse, but they're definitely on site. A few of you remember these, uh, groups, which have become rather interesting over the past few years, but the black Hebrew Israelites are there. And these guys are much smaller in numbers, but they're also more organized. And this is also more of a national group as well. So again, it's it's more of a militant style organization. usually pretty harmless and just strange, but you never know because adding fuel to the fire, Jake Lang has arrived on scene. Yes, the infamous Jake Lang is in Texas uh causing a little bit of a ruckus. He showed up to do what he always tends to do, which is further stoke up the unrest and the overall situation remains tense because the clashes between his group and the black separatist group, well, that didn't go so well and they're pretty much the standard textbook definition of a powder keg waiting to be ignited. So, based on the trial beginning on Thursday, uh, and the evidence presented so far, it's hard to say when a verdict will be reached, but I'm guessing that it will probably be this coming week that we enter into the period of more potential for unrest. I think riots are going to happen no matter what, but if Anthony is found guilty, this is probably not going to go over so well. So, two big points of potential unrest on the horizon in New Jersey and in Texas. And depending on how this next week goes, these hotspots may stay localized or there may be more concerted efforts to expand to other areas. It's really too soon to tell at the moment, but we'll be on the lookout for any unrest popping up as usual. Moving to the Middle East this week. My oh my, it has been rather busy. Bottom line, everyone has been shooting at each other, but it's not as severe as before. Almost immediately after I released last night's report, more engagements took place, which at the moment appear to be the most significant strikes since a ceasefire, alleged ceasefire went into effect. Throughout the week, the United States has been conducting routine strikes on Keshum Island as well as on the mainland up and down the eastern side of the street of Hormuz. This targeting has mostly continued the trend from last week where the US strikes something and the Iranians retaliate and then the US pretends like we never started it in the first place. So, they retaliate to the retaliation. All the while, Sentcom is starting to lie a little bit more openly about Iranian munitions being intercepted because there have been several instances this week where Sentcom claims that the Iranian missiles were intercepted, but we have highresolution imagery of impact craters. So, just to recap, let's go through the list of targets that have been hit this week, which should help illustrate that the war is actually back on and everyone is just lying about it. On May 31st, an American MQ1 drone was shot down by the Iranians in what they claim is their airspace. Sentcom claims that it was flying over international waters, but the wreckage washed up on the beach in Iran. So, you can decide what the truth is. On the same night, a few hours later, or maybe even a few minutes later, I don't really know. Uh, Sentcom conducted strikes on Keshum Island and also near the town of Geruk on the eastern coast of the Straight of Hormuz. Later on that same night, still on the night of May 31st, the Iranians counterattacked by launching ballistic missiles and drones targeting Kuwait. From here, one whole day elapsed. And on the night of June 1st, the United States targeted a ship in the Gulf of Oman which was trying to run the American blockade. This ship was struck kinetically and disabled. Later on that night, moving from June 1st to June 2nd, another round of targeting took place. The Iranians launched missiles at Kuwait International Airport as well as Ali Al- Salm Air Base in Kuwait. In addition to strikes in Bahrain, which I have not geoloccated just yet. Similarly, the United States conducted strikes on Keshum Island and also possibly on the eastern coast of the street of Hammuz. Once again, I don't know which side fired first on this specific night, but by now the strikes were becoming more routine instead of being classified as an attack and then a subsequent counterattack or an attack and then a retaliation. Things were moving toward a more routine and steady targeting effort even by Tuesday of this week. However, this series of strikes in Kuwait was heavily lied about by the United States, and we've got the receipts. Sentincom directly stated on June 2nd that all the missiles failed to hit their targets and that three were intercepted successfully by the United States. Furthermore, in this post, Sentcom also stated that the US shot down several Iranian drones and also conducted more strikes on Ketchum Island. A few hours later, Sentcom got caught lying because at the same time, they also published one of their hilarious fact checks which confirms that Iran successfully hit Kuwait International Airport. As if that wasn't enough, we also have the actual video of the drone hitting the roof of the airport and the engine of the Iranian drone was recovered from the debris. So, Sentcom is stepping on their own selves uh by confirming that they lied about all of the missiles and drones being intercepted. Even more so, we also have fresh satellite imagery of Ali Oselum air base showing that one of the drone hangers was taken out by the Iranians either by a missile or a drone strike. So, Zentcom is once again caught in another blatant lie which the internet figured out in 5 seconds and they also contradicted themselves on their own social media page within a few hours. Once again, the Iranians knew exactly what they hit. They had pretty good battle damage assessment from their own satellite which they owned themselves. So, the only people that sitcom was trying to fool are the American taxpayer. continuing the trend we've been observing since this war began. But anyway, from this point on, strikes continued fairly regularly, and on June 3rd, the war on the high seas continued as the United States Navy was engaged by the Iranians in the Strait of Hormuz. As usual, engagements that take place over the water are nearly impossible to geollocate. Unless we see a sinking ship or an oil slick in a satellite image, but on the night of June 3rd, the US possibly tried to do something in the straight, we're not really sure what. Speculating a bit, my guess is that the Navy tried to escort some more civilian ships, but the Iranians fired upon them with drones and cruise missiles. Sentcom expressly stated in one of their infamous fact check posts that they were not driven back out of the straight by Iranian missile attacks. So, I'll let you make the decision on what the truth is for this engagement. Nevertheless, this brings us through the night and into the next morning, June 4th, when the Iranians struck the Omani oil terminals at Mina Alahal. According to the Omanis, this caused them to have a bit of downtime before coming back online later that day. I don't know about all that, but that's what the Omanis claim. And finally, we arrive at June 5th, yesterday, when the United States and Iran launched the largest attacks on each other so far during this ceasefire that isn't really a ceasefire. Munitions were absolutely zipping through the sky last night. And I'm not exactly sure of who hit what, but throughout the evening, the Iranians launched several ballistic missiles toward Kuwait and Bahrain. and the United States struck two radio towers, one on Keshum Island and another at the IRGCN base in Giruk. This is the first footage that Sentcom has provided this week regarding the strikes they have conducted. So, we were able to geollocate these two strikes very easily. As for the others throughout the week, I don't know where they impacted exactly. We're just going to have to wait for another good satellite pass that doesn't have so much cloud cover to figure out maybe exactly what the US hit. It also could be that the US hit stuff that didn't really leave a crater. But nevertheless, we arrive at this morning and using the Kuwaiti army's figure, a total of seven Iranian ballistic missiles were launched overnight. Of course, they claimed to have intercepted all of them, but we know how that goes. Similarly, in Bahrain, missile impacts were reported and something is currently on fire inside the perimeter of what used to be the headquarters of Fifth Fleet, which was almost completely destroyed during the early stages of the war 3 months ago. Now, shifting to the more important part of this equation, at least for those of us in the United States who are just trying to get by these days, the status of merchant shipping through the straight. So far, the situation remains pretty tense, and it seems to be a mostly free-for-all situation most of the time. There are conflicting reports on how many civilian ships are trying to make their way through the straight along with the circumstances of their crossing, which seems to matter quite a bit. For example, there are non-American aligned ships which are transiting the straight via the Iranian route. This has been taking place since the ceasefire went into effect weeks ago. And these ships have no trouble. Uh they pay the Iranian toll fee and the cross without being targeted. If they stop in an Iranian port or if they are linked to Iran in some way, maybe even arbitrarily, the US is going to pick them up once they cross into the Gulf of Oman, though. So counting these is a little bit more challenging. But for the most part, the third party uh I guess you should call them neutral maybe vessels, they're trying to get out and they're having no problem as long as they pay the Iranians. Separately, there are American aligned ships which are attempting to transit through the minefield which are actively being targeted by the Iranians. Even today, there are reports that a total of four merchants attempted to make the crossing under the cover of darkness early this morning, but one of them was struck, prompting the other three to turn back. I haven't confirmed that or not. I just saw that this morning uh making the rounds. But this would jive with what we've seen so far throughout the week for throughout the past few weeks actually where there tries to be a small convoy. They try to get one or two vessels out. Some seem to make it through uh but others tend to get targeted. On the flip side, some American aligned merchants have been able to sneak out, presumably sneak out, which we can confirm rather easily, but this does take a lot of time. It's not like a super tanker can just disappear. It's going to be really easy to beam count and figure out where these ships are located eventually. They're not just going to disappear. So, if we have a ship that was supposed to be inside the Persian Gulf by our last tally, but suddenly it pops up off the coast of Malaysia a few days or even weeks later on, well, we know that they made it out somehow. Now, how did they make it out? Did they take the southern route through the Omani waters and sneak out? Or did they go through the Iranian route and pay the toll or did they take the Omani route but secretly pay the Iranian toll in Bitcoin? That I do not know. But I have a sneaking suspicion that this is a little bit of a complicated situation and it's not as simple as toll route, no toll route, or sneaking out or not sneaking out. I think that there may be a little bit of play in both sides to get some ships through, which is perfectly fair enough for a lot of companies and ship captains that are trying to make their way through. They don't want to get hit with an Iranian missile, but they also don't want Marines coming and stealing their boat. So trying to play both sides to some degree and cooperate to the point to where both sides feel that they wouldn't target a ship is this seems to be a conversation that's happening quite a bit throughout the maritime world at least in the region. Again, this is all just a personal guess, but it would make sense for some of the smaller vessels which are trying to keep a lower profile and just get out of the area unscathed. So all of this really results in the war dragging on as before. We're over three months into this and all sides remain very far from a peace deal, at least in terms of the general points of agreement. From all the talk and statements from diplomats on both sides over the past week, it's not like they're very close to a deal. There have been really no direct meetings for a few weeks now, and all diplomatic efforts are being carried out through a grand game of telephone through intermediaries. So, none of this bodess particularly well for the global oil crisis. In fact, things are probably going to get rather serious for us here on the home front rather soon as our fuel prices continue to remain high. Even though the United States is draining the strategic petroleum reserve just to keep prices low. As far as where we go from here, uh the options for the United States are fairly limited. The longer the war goes on, the more power and advantage the Iranians have. This is just a basic fact. I mean, there's really no getting around that, unfortunately. Much like getting involved in a land war in Asia, entering into a war of attrition with Persia is probably not the best idea. But this week, the United States has continued the Israeli tactic of mowing the lawn and conducted regular strikes every few days so as to slowly fight the war without breaking the threshold for a major offensive campaign. This is exactly what the Iranians themselves said that they did not want to slip into. Aragi has talked about this many times over the past few weeks. They don't want to slip into this situation where their nation is subjected to an operation midnight hammer every six months or so just so that the US can keep their thumb on them. From the Iranians perspective, that's perfectly fine. I don't think they're going to be able to avoid that. I think we're just going to continue doing that forever. But they also don't want a peace deal where the Iranians stop shooting, but the US bombs them every month or so, every time BB makes a phone call. Personally, again, I think this is a bit of a pipe dream on the part of the Iranians. And they've already found themselves in a state of getting mowed down, so to speak, for no reason on a Tuesday, which we've even seen during this ceasefire. So, but that's their business to sort out however they want. And how long they are willing to put up with this and whether or not they're willing to cross that threshold and start conducting more serious attacks, well, that's going to be up to them. So, the US is most certainly trying to target them to uh start the war back again. and we'll see if they take the bait and we'll see if they feel like they're forced to take the bait, which they might be. I don't know. We'll have to see. So, that's pretty much where we find ourselves for today. Summertime civil unrest on the menu for the homeland in both terms of immigration riots and also criminal trials that are driving social disscent around the nation. And since high gas prices also have a way of making everybody a little bit more insane, this makes everything worse. And high diesel costs also drive up prices for literally everything. And there's really no end in sight, at least not uh readily available at the moment. So, pretty much a standard summertime situation at this point. Not a whole lot we can do about the grand strategic things, but we can most certainly try to be as best prepared as we can and be aware of the long-term effects of all this stuff coming to a head in a few months. And with that, let's go ahead and wrap up today with the intercepted ghost net reports for this week. This week was fantastic once again. lots of people exchanging information on the off-grid radio network and getting some really good use out of it. I'm working on some things behind the scenes on the communications front which I hope will supplement our more decentralized communication capabilities and help us be a little bit more prepared in the long run. Lots of cool radio stuff has become a lot more feasible and easier to use. But more to come on that. And I hope that in the meantime, we can get some really good use out of the ghost net as a way of not just having an emergency communication plan already built just in case we need it, but also to use that plan in a more routine way to exchange information every week to keep our skills sharp. So, that's all I have for today. Kind of a short week, I think, but that's okay sometimes. Thank you to all of you on Patreon who keep this project going. Thank you to all of you for watching, and I'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
Intel Update · 2026-05-02

Intel Update - May 2 - Tactical Limbo

Hello again, everyone, and welcome back to the Underground. This is the Intel update for April 26th through May 2nd, 2026. So, let's get right to it. Around the world, the various conflicts we have been keeping an eye on over the past few weeks have continued on with a few new conflicts popping off this week. In the Middle East, the very tenuous ceasefire continues between the United States and Iran as the White House has dug in for the long haul when it comes to the Strait of Hormuz being closed, and no resolution appears imminent. This conflict hindering fuel and fertilizer shipments to much of the world has started to impact other conflicts as well, such as the civil war that has been ongoing in Myanmar or Burma for many years. This energy crisis has exacerbated all of the tensions that normally exist throughout Southeast Asia, and even between China and Japan, tensions are growing as the Far East is also realizing that a global realignment of the world's energy systems is probably unavoidable at this point. Over in Africa, a civil war is brewing in Mali as various groups of Al-Qaeda-linked insurgents have taken over much of the country. Russian forces and mercenaries have been very active in Mali over the past few days attempting to push back the advancing fighters from the major villages and cities, but it's been a tough fight due to the widespread nature of the fighting. The two main groups which are fighting the Russians and the somewhat inept Malian armed forces are JNIM or Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimin, as well as the FLA or Azawad Liberation Front. Both groups, which are comparatively new as in they've come about in the past 10 years or so, have been operating freely in the open deserts and smaller villages for several years, but a few days ago they decided that a general uprising was in order, and many different groups have conducted attacks in the capital city of Bamako, as well as Kidal in the northeast of the country, with light skirmishes being reported in many of the smaller towns along the Niger River such as Timbuktu and Gao. Fighting is still intense in some areas, and the Russians have been carrying out artillery and drone strikes for about a week now, so the situation is quite kinetic all around. The biggest impact that this will have for the United States is fairly minimal, but having a black hole power vacuum anywhere in Africa always results in very bad groups popping up and a whole lot of terrorism. Depending on how this unrest develops and how this particular war shakes out, we may see another humanitarian crisis and mass waves of refugees making their way to Europe and or the United States. So, that's always a concern whenever a civil war pops off in Africa, but this is an issue for later on. Right now, it's just something to be aware of so that if and when it spreads to other nations like Burkina Faso and Niger, we'll already be spun up on the trouble that is brewing. Here at home, the flavor this week has been violence, protests, and immigration concerns. I know we're all shocked, shocked I say, at the round of shootings and murders that have transpired this week, but all of these attacks are already constant reminder to be careful and pay attention to threats as they pop up. Yesterday's stabbing at a high school in Tacoma turned out to be exactly what everyone thought, a fight between students which turned into a mass stabbing, so not really a terrorism kind of thing. Also, several raids have been conducted at the various Somali daycares in Minneapolis roughly 4 months after the height of those scandals. Nearly all of these daycares and fraud centers kind of shut down on their own a few months ago once the heat got turned up and their operations got exposed by Nick Shirley and others. But, the raids were carried out nonetheless, and we'll see what comes of these alleged investigations. There have also been a series of rather grizzly murders and horrific crimes that have taken place around the nation this week. General crime season is upon us once again, and I'm plotting all of the bad stuff on my maps so that anyone so interested can be aware of what's going on, but I also don't want to just eat up your time today by describing dozens of brutal murders and abuse cases that now fill the news cycle permanently. It's good to be aware, but it's not good to constantly soak this stuff in all the time because there's no shortage of things to blackpill about, and that's not really productive. Just know that it's summertime, and inner-city crime from the youths is once again at a height, so it's a good idea to stay strapped in the cities if you can. In Washington this week, we also had the third or fourth presidential assassination attempted depending on how you want to count the various attempts so far. The rather infamous Hinckley Hilton in Washington, D.C. was hosted to yet another assassination attempt on President Trump, Vice President Vance, most of the cabinet, and senior congressional leadership. Looking at the actual floor plan of the hotel, it's quite clear that the suspect got incredibly close to one of the doorways into the International Ballroom where the VIPs were located, and there will be endless debate and scrutiny on the U.S. Secret Service response to this attack, which we can get to in due time. Right now, though, since time is of the essence, I would personally be concerned with the level of protection provided by the U.S. Secret Service. Fool me once, right? One nearly successful attempt is a fluke, two is a concern, and three is a pattern. Well, we can't get fooled again, and it's very clear that the concerns of the U.S. Secret Service being able to do their one and only job are not unjustified. Otherwise, around the nation, the May Day protests concluded largely without much notice, though in a few far-left strongholds like New York and Washington, D.C., the protests were more decently sized both in terms of attendance and the average attendee. Interestingly enough, a lot of the more organized groups that typically attend the more communist holidays are actually quite divided by the events in the Middle East, so there are often a lot of internal disputes based on people picking sides in that war. So, it turns out that at least some of the unrest was actually between protesters who supported one thing but not the other thing, and well, we know how that goes. Also, just as a reminder, there's still a guy up on the Frederick Douglass Memorial Bridge in Washington, D.C. It's a one-man protest. He's set a tent up up there on top of one of the arches on the bridge, and it looks like everyone's kind of forgotten that he's there. So, I don't know if they're going to go up there and get him down or just let him kind of come down on his own once he runs out of food or something. I don't know. No one's really paying attention to it, so they might just let it go for now. I don't know. We'll have to see, but it's kind of interesting that a lot of these protests just took place, and since most of the country seems to have protest fatigue, I don't know how much people were paying attention to a lot of these protests. Protests became kind of a daily thing. It's uh a lot of people are kind of burned out on it, it seems. At least the general population is kind of carrying on as normal. But, that's pretty much the homeland for this week. Over in the United Kingdom this week, terrorism concerns remain elevated as the long-term effects of mass migration have resulted in substantial terrorism concerns as enough of a foothold has been achieved by insurgent groups that the more violent groups have freedom of maneuver throughout much of the nation. We've known about this for a very long time, and everyone is well aware of what's happening around the nation, and this is absolutely a case of some people importing the Third World into Britain so as to dilute the ethnic population. And now that they've done that, the people that orchestrated this plan don't like the fact that the people they imported wholesale are actually quite violent toward the same people who imported them. Unfortunately, this is another lightning rod topic that is not really suited to get into detail in this format. If you understand what's going on, I don't need to elaborate, and if you don't understand what's going on, the elaborating is not going to help. So, it's best to just know that this is a complicated issue, and there's really no pleasant way to describe what's going on, but this week has been rather tenuous due to the terror attacks which have been daily occurrences for a long time. The attack in Golders Green this week has served as the catalyst to jolt the British government into doing something, which at the moment is mostly taking the form of increased counterterrorism patrols and presence at public venues, in addition to raising the national terrorism level. Just for context, the national terrorism level in the United Kingdom is much like the United States in that it is not retroactive, but proactive, meaning that this level is not increased because an attack happened, but because an attack is expected to happen. Of course, this is kind of a special case because of the attack in Golders Green. They may have decided to retroactively raise the terrorism level to show that they're doing something, but because this is a proactive assessment, right? Because this is now a a signaling that an attack is quote highly likely within the next few months, many people are asking, "Wait a minute, so you mean this is not over yet?" This has been kind of a point of confusion and contention among British politicians and authorities who are trying to kind of smooth over the situation because we've got both a retroactive community policing kind of problem in Golders Green going on, but we also have future threats which are starting to pop up. So, it's kind of hard to balance this. Are we are we being retroactive or are we being proactive? It's hard to say what what the British authorities are trying to do at the moment. There have been a few raids taking place over the past few days, but they're not really related to very much of anything, such as the Web House in Crewe, which was raided a few days ago. This was and I suppose continues to be the base of operations for what can only be described as a quasi-Islamic-based cult called the Ahmadiyya Religion of Peace and Light. This relatively new religious movement had set up shop in an abandoned orphanage, the Web House in Crewe, and a few days ago this compound was raided by hundreds of police officers, possibly due to this facility being well-known, and in the context of terrorism concerns, this facility was an easy target for raids because it had been known as an epicenter of human trafficking and actual slavery. People were being kept at this facility and forced to work against their will. So, this new religion kind of aspect to it is also really more of an offshoot of Shia Islam, but it's also been disavowed by most of the Shia mosques in the area who are saying, "Yeah, these guys are not us," which made this facility perfect for a raid because it also meant that the majority Muslim areas around the facility wouldn't be too upset because most of the Muslim population viewed these guys as a cult. So, this facility getting rolled up checked a lot of boxes by allowing the police to actually arrest a terrorist for once, but also not upset the Sunni population by raiding a legitimate mosque or something like that. And as of yesterday, forensic teams were observed digging inside the compound, which is never really a good sign, especially in the context of what was allegedly going on at this location. So, we'll have to see what comes of this specific investigation, and most importantly, the community reaction to it, as well as the national outcome of what all of this terrorism stuff is about. A lot of questions are being asked which don't have very easy or convenient or even pleasant answers. I am not British, so I don't know if the terrorism concern is legitimately higher than it has been in the past few months and years, or if this is a knee-jerk reaction to some of the more high-profile attacks that have taken place over the past couple of days. I just don't know. We'll We're going to have to see. It's probably quite debatable, but either way, the situation domestically in the UK is not doing super well at the moment. So, moving to the Middle East for this week, there has been mostly no change from last week. However, just because it's all quiet on the Middle Eastern front doesn't mean that trouble isn't brewing, and it most certainly is. When it comes to the global energy crisis, the situation is getting more serious with each passing day. The Strait of Hormuz remains fully closed to Western-aligned vessels with only local traffic and some Chinese ships successfully transiting the choke point with permission and coordination with the Iranians. The American blockade continues as before with the US Navy interdicting several sanctioned vessels over the past week. Some of these vessels have just been boarded and searched for contraband, and other vessels have actually been commandeered due to having a falsified registration or otherwise were a part of the shadow fleet of cargo vessels that were moving sanctioned cargo around the world. Of note, TankerTrackers, the main company that monitors commercial shipping around the world, has confirmed through their own research that the American blockade is somewhat porous, and at least a small number of sanctioned vessels have transited through the American blockade, even though the terms of the blockade as described by the United States would indicate that some of the vessels should have been stopped. There's been no official explanation for this, and we're also way down into the weeds by examining each and every hull that is moving through the region at this point, but that's still kind of an interesting development worth making note of, I think. Additionally, the Iranians are skirting the blockade in other more indirect ways. For instance, some locals are reporting a sharp increase in cargo trucks transiting the various roadways into Pakistan. So, the Iranians appear to be driving cargo by land across the land border with Pakistan, then loading that cargo into Pakistani ships departing from Pakistani ports. So, that has been a really slick way to get around the American blockade, but again, volume is probably the biggest issue there. Also, we must remember that there are petroleum and gas pipelines going into Pakistan from Iran, as we can see if I turn on the pipeline layer on the map. Of course, the volume through these is fairly minimal and not as much as their main oil terminal on Kharg Island, but this does go to show that the obsession with Kharg Island isn't really capturing the full picture, because the Iranians can always export some oil through Pakistan, and thus keep some of their income. Some vessels have also been observed hugging the coastline and trying to use Pakistani territorial waters to bypass the American blockade, which hasn't really worked out, because they still have to transit the entire Indian Ocean, where the US is interdicting ships, but it's been interesting to watch a few ships try this trick. One other detail to remember is that technically, Iran shares a border with Russia, though through the Caspian Sea. So, it's not exactly a land border, but Russian ships can always transport cargo between Russia and Iran via this waterway. During the early days of the war, the Israelis knew this and bombed many of the major port facilities on the Caspian Sea coastline, but it's been several weeks, and it's not like they can bomb the entire inland ocean, so the Iranians will always be able to get some spicy cargo into their country if they so desire. On the diplomatic front, things are not going well. The United States has issued so many ultimatums and extensions to those ultimatums that it's been hard to keep track of, but for the most part, the situation remains stagnant, and we're officially at the "They have our phone number" stage of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran. Due to this tactical limbo situation, many companies are scrambling to make alternative arrangements while the ceasefire is still in place, which has most notably been observed in the aviation community. This morning, the UAE announced the full resumption of all civil aviation within their nation, so flights are starting to return to normal, or at least the new normal that has settled in across the region. Down at the more tactical level, Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz and has continued to dig in and make repairs during the ceasefire period. The IRGC and the fast boat navy, as we'll call them, remains largely intact and has been conducting various combat patrols up and down the Iranian coastline, but especially within the Strait of Hormuz. Commercial shipping through the strait has remained minimal, and many commercial shipping groups are still trying to figure out what to do, because they still have ships that are trapped within the Persian Gulf, or otherwise, their income loss is just too great with this waterway closed. Many shipping companies are also looking to the future when or if the situation gets resolved. Even if the strait opens up tomorrow, fully and completely, for real this time, insurance rates are certainly not going back to the level that they were at before the war. The Iranians have proven to the corporate world that the risks to transiting this waterway are extreme, and the United States has proven that we do not have the capability to alleviate that risk. Timeline-wise, there's really no way to know how long this is going to last. Even if the strait were to open up right now, there will be mass famine throughout much of the world, simply because the fertilizer shipments are too late. It's just too late for some of that. In the first world, impacts are already being felt, even though the seriousness of the situation is not really being reflected in the markets. On Wall Street, the points are made up and the rules don't matter, so that's kind of where we're at at this point. The futures markets are eventually going to have to acknowledge reality, but right now, that's still not happening. So, on the economic front, things are just kind of stagnant. Right now, the ceasefire is holding, but both sides are making preparations for future combat actions, so we're not exactly out of the woods just yet. Considering that a huge portion of the military decision-making strategy is often displayed by Fox News, it's helpful to know what they are saying, and I've unfortunately delved into that this week, and most of the pundits and warhawks which have made appearances on Fox have been pushing the president, as in, they have his phone number and they are actively giving the president counsel. They've been pushing him to conduct one last big strike mission to blow up the civilian infrastructure within Iran, and then we roll up the operation and leave. I don't have the time or energy to get into this can of worms, but that's the rhetoric that is being pushed. Moving forward into the next few weeks, the potential courses of action that I see are mostly twofold. One, that we resume bombing again, with the warhawks winning the day and the "Just one more bombing run" idea getting us sucked back into the war, because that last bombing sort is an awful lot like a last cigarette. There's never really just one last mission, ever. Or, the other course of action is that the United States carries on pretty much like we're doing right now, the strait remaining closed, and the Korean War approach that I mentioned last week coming more into effect, meaning that we don't really have a resumption of hostilities, but we also don't resolve the impacts of what's already happened, either. If things stay as they stand right now, this would be a strategic loss for the United States. People are going to argue about that. I mean, you can argue whether this is a Pyrrhic victory or if this is just a straight-up loss, but if things stay as they are right now, this would be a straight-up loss for the United States, for sure. But again, things can change, who knows? For now, it's really hard to determine what the White House is going to do. They could resume bombing again tonight if they wanted to, or we could drag this out for a few decades and never really get to a solution. Europe is going to be crippled first when it comes to the fuel crisis, and Southeast Asia will starve to death because they can't get enough fertilizer to grow food. And based on the character that we've seen so far, that's honestly the most likely outcome for at least right now. All bets are off, though, if we start bombing again, so we'll just have to wait and see how it all works out. And on that note, that's really all I have for today, so let's roll into the Intercepted Ghost Net reports for this week. Once again, another great net. I've been really trying to work on the Android version of JSA call. Some people have reported some bugs here and there. Again, it's it just came out. It's it's a new thing, so my guess is that it'll get better with due time, and they've been pumping out a lot of updates over the past few weeks, so hopefully this will start getting a lot better and a lot more feasible, because I tell you, it's really nice to be able to just plug your phone into your radio and not have to worry with a laptop running Windows or Linux or anything like that, so. Either way, it's really good to see alternative means of exchanging information working out in the real world. We are certainly not out of the woods of these censorship eras, just that the things we're being censored about nowadays are a lot different from the past, maybe, but we still have censorship concerns, that's for sure, and strengthening these alternative ways of exchanging information is going to be vastly more important as time goes on. Tough times make tough people, and we can all do with a little bit of toughening up these days, I think, so let's keep at it and let's do the best we can. So, thank you all for sticking with me today. Thank you for all of your support, and we'll see you next time. And as always, fight in the shade.
The Wire · 2026-07-27

The Wire - July 27, 2026

This is the wire for 2300 Zulu July 27th 2026. Precedence is routine. Information cut off is 2200. Bottom line up front. Weekend shooting reported at Seattle festival. Vehicle ramming attack reported in Berlin. Stabbing attack reported in Paris. Iranian targeting continues to strike locations throughout Middle East. US has not responded yet. Beginning with international events in the Middle East. After the intense Iranian targeting of American positions Friday evening, sporadic Iranian drone strikes have been reported throughout the region. Other than targeting American positions, Iranian drone attacks have also been observed striking Kurdish militia encampments in northeastern Iraq. On the American side, Sentcom has not disclosed any strikes within Iran for several days. In the Red Sea Horn of Africa region, nearly the entire Jazan refinery in Saudi Arabia remains on fire following the Houthi targeting on Saturday. As of last night, fire detection satellites indicated that most of the facility has been totally destroyed and satellite imagery from yesterday indicates a very large fire at this facility is still burning and the smoke plume stretches over 50 mi to the south. In Europe this morning, Iran issued a public condemnation of the Ukrainian targeting of a Russian vessel. Over the weekend, a Ukrainian drone struck a Russian vessel which resulted in the death of one crew member. This crew member happens to be an Iranian citizen which prompted Foreign Minister Arachi to issue a statement of outrage. analyst comment. It is very unlikely that the Ukrainians would have known that one random crew member on board a vessel was technically Iranian, but intentional or not, this incident is another step towards linking the war with Europe with the conflict in the Middle East. In Germany on Sunday, a vehicle ramming attack was reported at the Pride Festival in Berlin. One asalent rammed his vehicle into a crowd in the vicinity of the tear garden west of the Brandenburgg Gate, killing one person and wounding 29 others. After the ramming, the suspect exited the vehicle and reportedly stabbed several people with a machete before fleeing the scene. This prompted a nationwide manhunt for the asalent that was carried out Sunday afternoon. By Sunday evening, the suspect had been located in a residential area of Spando. Once located, the suspect allegedly tried to stab the arresting officers, which resulted in the suspect being shot and killed. The suspect was identified as Abdul Balout, who had reportedly just been released from a juvenile detention facility. In France this morning, a stabbing attack was reported in Paris near Porta Deichi. One asalant stabbed three women on the street before being restrained by bystanders and an off-duty police officer. While being held down by responding citizens, the attacker claimed that the attack was Islamic in nature, prompting the government to classify this incident as a terror attack. On the home front in Washington State yesterday, a shooting was reported at the Bite of Seattle Food Festival at the Seattle Center. Multiple black or Middle Eastern males began shooting at each other inside a crowd at the event, which resulted in three people killed and four others wounded. Analyst comment. This incident was initially reported as a mass shooting. However, the multiple shooters were not targeting the crowd as this was almost certainly a gang or cultural shooting. As a result of the cultural implications, Seattle police have not released the name of the suspect or suspects they have in custody, nor have they released the photo of the suspect, which remains at large. Analyst Thomas for this wire. Despite the substantial Iranian targeting over the past few days, the American response so far has been very minimal and no meaningful strikes have been conducted since Friday night within Iran. This is probably a reflection of the calm before the storm as the United States continues to stage assets for a large-scale attack sometime soon. Over the weekend, many phone calls were likely made which may have delayed whatever American targeting was planned to take place as several Iranian and Houthi targeting efforts appear to have been more substantial than expected. The Houthi strike on the Jazan refinery was very clearly an extremely devastating strike from the Houthis which probably caused the Saudis pause regarding how much hurt the Houthies can bring to the table. Similarly, the heavy targeting of air bill and the Patriot battery at this base has likely resulted in a degradation of air defenses in this sector. How bad the damage is is anyone's guess, but based on the scorch marks observed from space last week, it is hard to imagine this air defense site remaining operational. The Iranians have also claimed to have struck half a dozen other air defense sites throughout the region, but these can't be verified until better satellite imagery is available, which might take some time due to the deliberate censorship of imagery as mandated by the US government. Over the past few weeks, anecdotal evidence from locals on the ground throughout the region has increasingly indicated fewer and fewer successful interceptions of Iranian munitions. These reports are very hard to quantify as most of the time it's a shepherd looking up and visually seeing the interceptors missed the Iranian missile or no interceptors being launched in the first place. Obviously, these reports are about as unconfirmed as they can get, but the smoking craters that are visible on satellite imagery add a lot of credence to the general theory that for whatever reason, interceptions are not as effective as advertised. However, as it stands, the US will probably respond in some way, not just because of the scale of the Iranian missile strikes, but also the fact that this targeting and the collapse of the ceasefire has resulted in the straight of Hormuz remaining fully closed. What the response will be or when it will be carried out, only time will tell. This concludes the wire for 2300 Zillow July 27th, 2026.
The Wire · 2026-07-27

The Wire - July 27, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z July 27, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: WEEKEND SHOOTING REPORTED AT SEATTLE FESTIVAL. VEHICLE RAMMING ATTACK REPORTED IN BERLIN. STABBING ATTACK REPORTED IN PARIS. IRANIAN TARGETING CONTINUES TO STRIKE LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT MIDDLE EAST, U.S. HAS NOT RESPONDED YET.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: After the intense Iranian targeting of American positions Friday evening, sporadic Iranian drone strikes have been reported throughout the region. Other than targeting American positions, Iranian drone attacks have also been observed striking Kurdish militia encampments in northeastern Iraq. On the American side, CENTCOM has not disclosed any strikes within Iran for several days. Red Sea/HOA: Nearly the entire Jazan Refinery in Saudi Arabia remains on fire following the Houthi targeting on Saturday. As of last night, fire detection satellites indicated that most of the facility has been totally destroyed and satellite imagery from yesterday indicates a very large fire at this facility is still burning and the smoke plume stretches over 50 miles to the south. Europe: This morning Iran issued a public condemnation of the Ukrainian targeting of a Russian vessel. Over the weekend a Ukrainian drone struck a Russian vessel, which resulted in the death of one crew member. This crew member happened to be an Iranian citizen, which prompted Foreign Minister Araghchi to issue a statement of outrage. Analyst Comment: It is very unlikely that the Ukrainians would have known that one random crewmember onboard a vessel was technically Iranian, but intentional or not, this incident is another step towards linking the war in Europe with the conflict in the Middle East. Germany: On Sunday, a vehicle ramming attack was reported at the Pride festival in Berlin. One assailant ramming his vehicle into a crowd in the vicinity of the Tiergarden west of the Brandenburg Gate, killing one person and wounding 29 others. After the ramming, the suspect exited the vehicle and reportedly stabbed several people with a machete, before fleeing the scene. This prompted a nationwide manhunt for the assailant that was carried out Sunday afternoon. By Sunday evening, the suspect had been located in a residential area of Spandau. Once located, the suspect allegedly tried to stab the arresting officers, which resulted in the suspect being shot and killed. The suspect was identified as Abdul Ballout, who had reportedly just been released from a juvenile detention facility. France: This morning a stabbing attack was reported in Paris, near Porte de Clichy. One assailant stabbed 3x women on the street, before being restrained by bystanders and an off-duty police officer. While being held down by responding citizens, the attacker claimed that the attack was Islamic in nature, prompting the government to classify this incident as a terror attack. -HomeFront- Washington: Yesterday a shooting was reported at the Bite of Seattle food festival at the Seattle Center. Multiple black/Middle Eastern males began shooting at each other inside a crowd at the event, which resulted in 3x people killed, and 4x others wounded. Analyst Comment: This incident was initially reported as a mass shooting, however the multiple shooters were not targeting the crowd, as this was almost certainly a gang/cultural shooting. As a result of the cultural implications, Seattle Police have not released the name of the suspect(s) they have in custody, nor have they released the photo of the suspect which remains at large. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Despite the substantial Iranian targeting over the past few days, the American response has so far been very minimal and no meaningful strikes have been conducted since Friday night within Iran. This is probably a reflection of the calm before the storm, as the United States continues to stage assets for a large scale attack sometime soon. Over the weekend, many phone calls were likely made which may have delayed whatever American targeting was planned to take place, as several Iranian/Houthi targeting efforts appear to have been more substantial than expected. The Houthi strike on the Jazan Refinery was very clearly an extremely devastating strike from the Houthis, which probably caused the Saudis pause regarding how much hurt the Houthis can bring to the table. Similarly, the heavy targeting of Erbil (and Patriot battery at this base) has likely resulted in a degradation of air defenses in this sector. How bad the damage is, is anyone's guess, but based on the scorch marks observed from space last week, it is hard to imagine this air defense site remaining operational. The Iranians have also claimed to have struck half a dozen other air defense sites throughout the region, but these can't be verified until better satellite imagery is available. Which might take time due to the deliberate censorship of imagery as mandated by the U.S. government. Over the past few weeks, anecdotal evidence from locals on the ground throughout the region has increasingly indicated fewer and fewer successful interceptions of Iranian munitions. These reports are very hard to quantify as most of the time it's a shepherd looking up and visually seeing the interceptors miss the Iranian missile, or no interceptors being launched in the first place. Obviously, these reports are about as unconfirmed as it can get, but the smoking craters that are visible on satellite imagery add a lot of credence to the general theory that, for whatever reason, interceptions are not as effective as advertised. However, as it stands the U.S. will probably respond in some way, not just because of the scale of the Iranian missile strikes, but also the fact that this targeting (and the collapse of the ceasefire) has resulted in the Strait of Hormuz remaining fully closed. What that response will be or when it will be carried out, only time will tell. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269 Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
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Ukraine War Update: On The Steppe

…right now it's there's a lot of russian vessels in the med and in the black sea we don't know exactly where they're at but i'll come back to these russian…
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…Same story in the Black Sea. Russia is now routinely striking Ukrainian ships and the port of Adessa with long-range drones and unmanned surface vessels and all sides keep hitting hard this summer fighting season…
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The Wire - July 16, 2026

…The war in Ukraine has continued to expand, with attacks on Russian merchant vessels remaining constant in the Black Sea. Russia has likewise retaliated by striking Ukrainian vessels also located within the Black Sea, as well…
The Wire · 2026-07-16

The Wire - July 16, 2026

…The war in Ukraine has continued to expand, with attacks on Russian merchant vessels remaining constant in the Black Sea. Russia has likewise retaliated by striking Ukrainian vessels also located within the Black Sea, as well…
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…explain this behavior in September of last year. Additionally, Ukraine has made good use of long-range drones as well, with a total of three tanker vessels reportedly being targeted in the Black Sea just off…
The Wire · 2026-05-29

The Wire - May 29, 2026

…explain this behavior in September of last year. Additionally, Ukraine has made good use of long-range drones as well, with a total of three tanker vessels reportedly being targeted in the Black Sea just off…