Intel Update - Dec. 14 - No, It's Not Aliens

Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the Intel update for December 8th through the 14th 2024 so let's get right to it as you can probably expect uh based on the title of this video most of today I'm going to spend talking about the recent uh drone sightings or aircraft sightings in New Jersey I did not intend to talk about this at Great length I was going to talk about it sort of like how I did last week just kind of briefly. But uh apparently the internet has gone crazy over this so uh I think a little bit more more of a deeper dive is needed mostly because I'm interested in this from the angle of How It's Kind of a case study for analysis and information collection and things like that this is. However uh one of those contentious topics uh this is a topic that a lot of people get very very very uh emotionally involved in and and invested in in one way or the other so uh I have to be a little bit more delicate than I normally would be for some reason people don't really care if I talk for an hour and a half about Chinese H6 bombers they don't really care if I talk you know for an hour and a half on you know undersea cables. But when I talk about you know potentially unidentified aircraft a lot of people come out of the Woodworks um with a lot of vitriol and I think that the point gets gets missed a lot of times so just as my blanket disclaimer for today I'm not going to try to convince you of what is going on I'm just going to try to point out some things that I am thinking about and some of the things that may help you come to your own conclusion as what's happening in New Jersey bottom line up front I cannot say definitively what is going on in New Jersey. But I can explain about 80% of what's going on in New Jersey that last 20% to get the full well-rounded picture of what's going on is going to be a little bit hard uh to do at the moment because we just don't have that much information and rather than try to really really narrow down and and just drill down to find that last 20% of of the story I think that a much better way of thinking about this is to be okay with understanding that you you may not get the full story you probably won't get the full story and you have to be you have to accept that you're going to have to operate in an environment where you're going to have to make decisions based on incomplete information. But we'll get to that in just a moment so New Jersey what is going on well this started a few weeks ago uh with a few scattered reports of unidentified drones this is how people were reporting them unidentified drones uh really they should have said unidentified aircraft at that moment because we cannot be sure that these whatever these things are are autonomous they could be manned piloted aircraft. But anyway we'll call them drones because that's what the internet seems to think they are. Anyway couple of weeks ago people started reporting uh seeing drones at night over their houses over their homes in great quantities sometimes and uh it sort of snowballed from there so immediately we have kind of an initial incident. And then the the follow on once people started paying attention and I think that's one of the the more interesting and important things to consider uh with regards to what's going on so since this has hit the internet and people have gotten uh kind of uh spun up on this a few things have happened for one the local authorities have put out some very questionable information uh simply because they're they're Pro they they have very few resources on the ground a local police department has almost zero resources in some cases very much zero resources to track any kind of aerial object if we remember in terms of airspace it doesn't matter if it's an inch off the ground that's Federal that's a federal thing so uh in terms of tracking any kind of aerial threat that's largely going to be on the feds and the locals are not going to have the resources to do that so they've put out a lot of questionable information uh either um I don't think they're doing it intentionally. But for instance the governor's made statements they don't know what they are but they're investigating local PD uh the local sheriff's departments and local police departments have put out they don't know where they are the feds have come out and said they don't know where they are either um. But uh this has gone all the way up to to uh NORAD northcom kind of thing everyone has basically said the the federal stance all the way down to the local stance as we don't know where they are now of course all of this is is just raw information okay this is not intelligence raw information is raw information you have to process it using some sort of analytical method to arrive at a finished intelligence product unfortunately there's a lot of contradiction in the information that we're getting some localities say they're commercial aircraft some localities say they're military aircraft some localities say they they don't know what they are there's a lot of contradiction here so this is where we get very little traction with regards to a solid assessment of what these things are perhaps the most important uh bit of information is what many might consider to be an intelligence gap which is something that we don't know well the absence of information is not an intelligence Gap the absence of information on something is in fact in an informational uh data point so we'll get more into that in just a moment I don't want to get ahead of ourselves too quickly so let's talk about the top sort of five theories that the internet seems to think uh these uh craft aircraft are first theory is uh they're somehow government the government's lying and that they are some kind of uh military or CIA kind of drone or manned aircraft and they're doing testing in the New Jersey area around Fort Dicks around the the um classic testing sites right so that's Theory one Theory two is that they are a foreign adversary right so it is in fact a hostile aircraft and the government's trying to cover it up like they did the Chinese spy balloon sort of incident the third theory is that this is just all one big hoax like it got started based off of an erroneous report. And then once people started paying attention they started noticing all of these other hoax kind of things and this is all just one big game fourth theory is that this is mass hysteria that that we're not seeing anything that we started got started with one erroneous report and now people are seeing commercial aircraft and there are no drones whatsoever and the fifth theory is of course aliens right so don't need to go into that one too much because that one's kind of selfish explanatory again there's very little information to kind of point us in in the right direction here. But considering what I have seen all of the information that has come out all of the data points that I have seen all of the video and photo evidence that I have seen let's focus on uh a couple of theories let's focus on Theory one and Theory two for the moment because that has the most serious implications for the daily lives of of anyone out there right so let's let's talk about government controled drones or foreign or unknown adversary controlled drones so drilling down a little bit further into these theories uh the theory that they are government controlled can veryy widely so this is a theory that can can uh sort of um be in multiple categories if you want to think about it like that the first theory is the most benign right the the the government is testing these drones uh they're testing some kind of autonomous aircraft uh and they picked the busiest uh sector of you know commercial airspace in the United States to do it because they're trying to test vectoring uh maybe like some AI controlled aircraft through commercial airspace and that's what these drones are not a bad theory that would explain why uh this Government testing if this Theory holds true that would explain why this testing takes place in congested airspace again why are they not out there at Groom Lake why are they not out there uh in Alaska or some of some of these other like you know very remote places where can they can easily test aircraft out of the public eye why are you testing aircraft in highly densely populated areas well it could be because of the airspace uh that that could be it so that's one Theory uh another vastly vastly more uh nefarious theory is that they're not actually testing they're operational and there is some kind of Mission Impossible esque threat out there some kind of Tom Clancy esque threat that's out there that the US government is trying trying to mitigate they're trying to like save the world right and they don't care that uh the public knows about their new secret toys right that's a very farfetched Theory. But I have seen it repeated quite a lot so I'll I'll kind of mention it underneath this category is that they are some kind of nuke nuke sniffing uh nuclear uh detection radiological detection uh aircraft and they're trying to find a missing nuclear warhead right this is what the internet kind of conjures up uh in terms of of this this sort of thing just right off the bat I think this this particular theory is very very unlikely because we already have purpose built aircraft for that and they fly without transponders on all the time and you know why why risk giving away a lot of State Secrets when you don't need to so radiological threats I mean they're fairly easy to track fairly easy to find so I don't know it just it just doesn't seem like that's a very likely Theory. But again please don't get B out of shape because I don't particularly ascribe to your favorite Theory I'm just trying to to move through this okay uh so uh the last Theory and I think this one holds a little bit of weight I don't know if this is um I I think this is absolutely 100% happening. But I don't know if this is I don't know if this is why the the whole uh incident has has gotten started to begin with and this theory is that this is all a propaganda campaign this is all a scop to get us to uh ban drones uh commercial or or civilian gray drones um yeah that's happening uh you've already gotten several politicians that are have put forth um bills to ban drones right or ban something you know anytime anytime a crisis happens a politicians already gotten something pre-written to to take away you know Liberties in this country so that's absolutely happening would they go to this length to do that. Though I mean they can just pencil up anything they don't need to go scare half the country because because of this if they wanted to tyrannize us they just do what they always do they're just going to pencil Whip It. Anyway right there's no real I don't think I personally don't think there's any real need to go to this great length to mess with us to get us to do something in terms of banning drones they could easily the drones are managed under the FAA right Federal agency executive branch they could do it with an executive order why why Bo. Anyway why bother with this so those are the the three main government control theories now let's let's step into nefarious land for a moment and let's let's examine the kind of alarm Bell sort of idea and that is that they may be foreign controlled well uh as I wrote In The Wire uh the very long wire report I wrote a few days ago um the Iranian Theory obviously is the most ridiculous thing I've ever heard in my life and it kind of embarrasses me that I have to treat it with a little bit of credibility because a politician said it. But no there's no way on this Earth that Iran has this capability uh to do this in New Jersey at the present time at the time that this occurred so that's just kind of very much not something possible now who else could do it well uh it could be malan actors on us soil uh you know it could be um some kind of intelligence gathering uh effort it could be some kind of probing sort of test response kind of thing that holds a lot more weight uh than the Iranians having some kind of you know drone carrier parked off the New Jersey coastline that's just not that's that's not very likely. However you know I would be very very surprised if the Chinese were not behind some of this at least some of these reports maybe not all of them. But if the Chinese were not taking advantage of all of this Insanity that's going on to spy on stuff like you know critical uh you know like Pik atini Arsenal for instance or you know big big military bases in the region I'd be I'd be kind of surprised if the Chinese did not want to do that so that's occurring like I would be willing to bet it's definitely occurring because we see this all around the world really American military bases being you know reporting drone flyovers and things like that so our foreign adversaries both at home and abroad are definitely using drones to spy on American military bases and here in the US spy on critical infrastructure that is 100% happening we've known this for many many years. But is that what's happening in 100% of the reports uh 100% of the time I don't know I don't think so uh it's hard to say sort of within that subset of theories of malign actions I think that now that people have realized that they can shoot at these things or or rather I mean it's ex I mean they'll throw you underneath the jail for shooting at one of these things uh. But now that people have realized that they are within Small Arms range of the ground uh I think what's what's happening is a lot of Tik Tock influencers are pushing people and encouraging people to shoot at these things and it turns out they're actually civilian airliners so what better way to conduct a terror attack without even actually having to do anything at all all you get is is you pay a Chinese click Farm to to boost a video and there you go now you've encouraged how many idiots on the ground to shoot at an american commercial airline and you didn't have to set foot in the United States at all that my dear friends is a very Sinister and nefarious thing and I think it's happening I think it's happening right now and I think it's probably to get worse so again this is very very dangerous uh this is not good uh and I I feel like I shouldn't have to say this. But I'm want to say it anyway just for the record do not shoot at these things because as I'll get to in a moment I haven't seen any photographs or videos of these things uh these aircraft that are not commercial aircraft every single photo and video I have seen has been of either commercial aircraft or a DJI quadcopter hovering in somebody's backyard I have not seen anything that actually tells me these things are military or or anything other than just commercial aircraft. But again please don't get bent out of shape that that's what I have seen right um but I just wanted to make that abundantly clear because there are people who are taking advantage of this right now and it's creating a very very dangerous situation and that just needs to be stressed exceptionally strongly because this is just this is getting out of hand which is why I'm talking about it for so long right so let's bring back in our our five kind of theories here that I've seen floating around let me just examine one of them in the context of risk assessment right so why do we care about this why is it worth dedicating so much time to this well because I think it's a textbook case of risk assessment right the likelihood that something will happen and the uh impact the damage that will occur if that thing does happen so for instance let's take the foreign adversary intelligence collection kind of thing so looking at our chart here if that's the theory that we're going with that these are some kind of uh you know armed you know IED Laden drone right uh the chances that something bad will happen the probability the likelihood that something bad will happen is almost certain right you're not going to build one of these things and just fly around and look at things you're going to fly it around until you find a Target right so assuming for a moment again we're we're War gaming this here for a moment so again uh likelihood if the something bad will happen is very very high if this is indeed a a foreign uh adversary right again this is subjective to some degree I will admit um there are other ways of drilling down risk assessment a little bit a little bit more accurately there are a lot of questions and things like that you can go through. But just for now let's let's go with it so we can say that the likelihood of something bad happening is almost certain if these are if these are a foreign adversary now also if these are a foreign adversary how bad could it be what's the what's the the severity uh what's the consequence if this was some kind of mass armed drone attack like we might see in Ukraine or something well I would say that the damage could be catastrophic imagine if you've got just five of these drones and they've got five IEDs on board and they go to five different targets in the same area that could potentially be very very bad so again if we look at our risk management Matrix uh if we have an a likelihood of almost certain and a consequence of catastrophic you see we're over here in the black you know we're over here in in critical land which is why which is why we go through this process this is why we assume it it's a hostile attack. And then walk it back all right so we assume it's hostile and then walk it back just like we did with the Chinese spy balloon we start off holy cow these things are here to kill us. And then we walk it back once we realize uh what the situation is now the problem the problem is that we do have that Chinese spy balloon incident and more importantly we know what the government did in that case so our own risk assessment gets skewed a little bit. But we'll talk about that in just a moment so I go through all of this this risk assessment kind of line of thinking to lead into what I think is happening now again this was purely subjective purely my opinion based on very little tangible you know evidence really uh. But let me share what I think is is happening and how things have kind of unfold unfold fed and we will uh we we'll talk about it a little bit more in depth and and what it means right so here's what I think happened I think that the US government started off testing a drone or two maybe even a manned helicopter like the pivotal Arrow a few other experimental drones perhaps in the region uh just as kind of a testing thing. And then somebody saw it okay somebody saw the initial uh drone or something like that um and then a bunch of stuff happened so in short I think once that first observation occurred a lot more people started paying attention. And then we started getting more reports right and a lot of them turned out to be erroneous reports as as we'll talk about in just a moment so I think that this LED and and and a skewed decision-making process and a skewed risk assessment uh process and a skewed analytical process led to vastly more sightings okay so these are sightings that aren't really real and that has in turn led to mass hysteria and this is just snowballed into kind of an event that we just can't recover from right now I say all of that to say this I think the initial incidents were probably something we should pay attention to I'm not really paying attention to what's going on right now because it's just Mass hysteria it really is go on the internet and and and you will see a lot of people just panicking over nothing literally photographs so clear I can tell you what airline that commercial airline is is flying under and people are saying it's a drone or a UFO people are flipping the images around even Fox News took an image that was shot in in portrait and they turned it to landscape and of course it looks like a UFO. But if you straighten it back up the way the photograph was originally taken guess what it's a it's a like a Delta flight or something so I think this Mass hysteria that we've gotten into now is is causing this to snowball and it's just it's just too hot we're going to have to wait a few weeks for things to calm down and figure out what actually happened so it makes it very very very very hard for people like me to go back and find the initial reports because there are an awful lot of people in New Jersey who saw something there are an awful lot of people who have seen something and it's legitimate and I you know I believe them fully I I want to stress that I know what it's like to see something and everybody else dismiss you and say and and Gaslight you and just say no you didn't really see that so I'm not trying to do that right I know there's a lot of people out there who saw something legitimate who who have witnessed this thing who who have observed it and they're their intelligence people and they saw something unfortunately we're now in the realm of all of that legitimate good information being tainted by all the idiots out there so that's what I think is happening I think it's is now a combination it probably started off as being a legitimate thing. And then once people started paying attention it snowballed from there we've got bad reports from the locals who don't know what to do and I'm not saying they're doing this intentionally they just don't have a frame of reference for dealing with hostile aircraft they just don't after the Chinese spy balloon incident you know how many police departments you know had a round table and said hey what do we do if people start calling in about a hostile aircraft nobody nobody did this I don't know of any police jurisdiction that that said hey let's have a little war game right now let's talk about what we're going to do if the Chinese spy balloons show up again you know nobody did that not even big DOD did that uh as far as I know um so there's that uh also the fact is is that if you were a Chinese spy in New Jersey and you saw all this hysteria online you would take advantage of that you would absolutely start flying your own G DJI branded uh spy platforms out there you would absolutely take advantage of The Fray all these fake reports and all this hysteria to go do your own real reconnaissance right so now I think that's what we're seeing I think we're seeing a lot of hoers taking advantage of things we're seeing a lot of legitimate spying operations taking advantage of things and we're taking and we're seeing a lot of people who are not aware of what's going on out there um I saw a video last night of of someone showing uh a video of uh Tracer rounds and and Rocket fire hitting the ground from some unknown aerial platform well if you dig into it just a little bit more you realize that uh the Fort Dicks Maguire area is doing training right now there it's a large you know military base and they're doing aerial Gunnery they're you know shooting out you know with door Gunners and with their Apaches and things like that so this is standard. But now that people are looking at it it it's become a huge thing so again I I I'm I'm really interested in this uh in terms of what the initial reports are I'm very interested in this and the people who said these things hovered over the houses they hovered really really low somehow we don't have any photographic evidence of that. But people are saying it so we have to kind of like you know treat it with a little bit of of you know credibility uh at the moment just again going back that going back to that risk assessment mentality if somebody if if I've got 50 emails from people saying this thing hovered over my house you know at an altitude of like 100 feet or so you know I've got to look into that uh to some degree right I like all 100 people none of them gave me a photograph. But like if I've got 100 people in my inbox that say this happened and they saw it well you know I've got to look into that so it makes it hard when you've got a lot of fake reports and all the you know the Chinese spies come out of the woodwork and do you see how it's been kind of a long week here with this kind of thing so all in all I don't know what these things are I I don't know what is going on I know that something happened something is happening I don't know if it's still happening. Though because it could be just a runaway thing now we could in you know a week or so find out that the drones stopped flying five or six days ago they just did it for one night they did some testing for uh you know two or three nights. And then it kind of went away and people started seeing commercial aircraft it it could it could just be anything so again I'm sorry to kind of talk for half an hour on this and not really give you any closer answers. But just kind of Salvage this one today uh let's talk a little bit about some things to consider when it comes to these events happening more often or uh happening in the future because I can tell you I can tell you without a shadow of a doubt we may not know what this incident is we may not know what's going on in New Jersey right now. But the whole world is watching and the whole world is watching the American uh continent freak out over this and now now everybody from a YouTube prankster to a nation state knows that all they got to do is fly a weird looking drone over an area for a few nights in a row and the mass hysteria will will occur so if this incident has ensured this incident has ensured that this will happen again and it will happen somewhere else so with that in mind let's talk about some of the things uh that you can look out for and things to consider when it comes to this happening elsewhere so again I know pretty text heavy. But let's let's go through it a little bit first of all is the sourcing any time you see something that's crazy on the internet consider the source and I don't mean the account that posted the the video or the photograph I mean the original primary source for those of you who don't know what a primary source is the person who took the video so if I'm standing on a mountain top with my phone and I'm videoing a or or taking a picture of something I am the primary source okay almost none almost none of the photographs and the videos that I have seen have come from someone videoing something in the sky. And then turning around and posting it on their social media it has always come from a Content Farm it has always come from uh some kind of Engagement farming account that's known to do that so please consider the source and whether or not the source is the primary okay because if it's not the primary source that means it's a secondary or sometimes tertiary or sometimes eight or nine sources down the line and the same video gets gets repeated and repeated and repeated and guess what I can't interview I can't email I can't contact the person who took that initial video to ask them questions right I can't examine because most social media strips out the metadata of of of a file I can't examine the metadata I can't I can't get the geolocation of where they were at when they saw something so you see all these critical things that I need to perform an investigation I can't get because some content Farm is out there're pushing a video which is probably fake so again consider that and consider whether or not these cont content Farms have a financial interest in pushing very grainy Bigfoot Style videos right uh because they absolutely have a financial interest in most cases also we have to consider equipment and survivorship bias I'll talk about these at the same moment have you ever wondered have you ever wondered why all the videos of UFOs and all of the videos of Bigfoot are grainy awful quality videos have you ever wondered about why that may be the case now I'm not saying that they all are there are some that are I'm sure quite clear. However most of them are very very grainy very low quality why is that well because someone who's using their phone or using a lowquality camera out there they may look at this and see a blur okay and they think that blur is something else. However if somebody out there has got a big honken telephoto lens on a professional or even just a consumer grade camera like this one they may be able to look in see that's obviously not Bigfoot so I'm not going to take the picture or that's obviously a commercial aircraft I that's not a UFO or anything like that that may be why uh we don't see anything so someone who is standing on a mountain top and they've got this camera in their hand and they look and they look and they look and they see all right this is this is a commercial aircraft pretty cool makes maybe maybe make for a good photo. But it's not a UFO it's not a drone it's a it's a Delta flight or something they're on mountain top a but across the way across the valley on mountaintop B is Captain idiot here with his smartphone and he's getting the world's worst quality video because he can't see that it's not a UFO so he posts the the video online and here we go so again survivorship bias we are only seeing the grainy videos as UFOs or any kind of drone activity right because somebody with a better camera doesn't post the photo because they know it's a commercial aircraft they can see right so you have to remember equipment matters uh I would be very very very interested in somebody somebody getting a DSLR with a good telephoto lens at night I mean these things are lit up they're lighted so you don't even have to have night vision or thermal or anything just give me a photograph from a DSLR with a decent telephoto lens that's all I'm asking for and when people do that I know a lot of people have messaged me saying hey I've been out there I'm a professional photographer I've gone out there every single night I haven't seen a single UFO well yeah bet you how many commercial aircraft did you see I saw you know 30 to 40 commercial aircraft well Captain idiot over there on the next Mountain says I saw 40 UFOs do you see how we can have a survivorship bias kind of situation because people they they aren't able to discern that they're seeing a UFO. But the the guy across the hill over there is seeing commercial aircraft because he's got better equipment so again survivorship bias you only get the grainy videos because the clear videos that are taken show that it's something that is not noteworthy so again I don't want to burst anybody's bubble with this. But it's always been very fascinating to me I'm sorry I don't mean to be insulting or demeaning or anything but it's always been very very interesting to me about how everyone in the in their cousins got a camera like this nowadays. And yet we don't really get any good photos of anything so because there because the people who do have these cameras and do take pictures of these sorts of things they're in the right area they're in the access they see something they photograph it discern that okay that's a commercial aircraft. And then they move on right whereas the people who don't you know they're driving down the freeway and they got this they got their phone you know out their driver's side went out their windshield they don't have the perspective they don't have the equipment to see if if they have I guarantee you that right now at least in New Jersey I can't speak to everywhere else. But if you were to put a camera like this in the hand of all of those people who took those initial photographs You' probably see that it's just commercial aircraft. But again I don't wish to be insulting I don't wish to be demeaning it's just something that I've thought about because there's a lot of people who live in New Jersey a lot of professional photographers there and not seeing a whole lot of content from them on it because I think there's a survivorship bias thing going on another thing to consider is what I'm calling the sketchy government response and that is how this response to these drones right has differed from the Chinese spy balloon incident okay the Chinese spy balloon incident was very very embarrassing for the US government why one because they didn't plan on the incident okay so they they they did not plan it they had no hand in it and. Therefore the bigger Factor they had no control over it China was bending us over the barrel and we had no recourse for it that the Pentagon or the White House was willing to take until after uh the spot job was done right so the US government was very embarrassed by that they had no ability to control things they um you could see there was a visible flustering people got very upset they were a little annoyed during press briefings so you can see that's a whole different Dynamic to what is going on now the US government now has said don't worry about it and basically they there there's no response you know it's it's very very strange uh now a lot of you may say well of course they're just lying they're just covering it up they're they're trying to take up for China or take up for an insurgent and they're trying to encourage insurgents to attack us while they're saying nothing's going on that's very very true uh that could happen. But my own Instinct again pure opinion here my instinct is telling me you're seeing the response of a government who knows what's going on and has control over it notice what I said take take very good care to notice what I said you're you're watching the response of a government that knows what's going on and has control over it you're not watching the response of a government who knows what's going on. But doesn't have control over it like the Spy balloon the US government knew what was going on with the Spy balloon and they had no control over it now you you're watching the response of a government who knows what's going on and probably has some control over it do you see how that's my hairbrain Theory right now now it seems to me like the dod both knows exactly what's going on and they have a hand in it somehow otherwise they'd be a little bit more upset they'd be a little bit more nervous if there if the Iranians or some other you know malign actor was out there flying drones you know over power plants or military bases they'd be a little bit more upset than they are I think because they don't care about American Homeland defense they care about being embarrassed that's what they care about so you know nobody's embarrassed over this nobody's a little annoyed nobody's you know tense or tur during an interview they're just like ah don't worry about it well what does that do for one one it gets all the skitso all up in arms because anytime the government says don't worry about something you should absolutely worry about that thing uh so there's that. But is that what's happening in this case I don't know I think the government's given us the vibe that they know what's going on they have a hand in it and this is just a last last hurah of uh you know the dod messing with with us or doing something I don't know. But that's what it seems like to me so again I did not mean to talk about this in this much depth but I figured now is as good a time as any because this has just got out of control uh so let's again talk about some things to check okay if you want to be a little bit more proactive uh. Even if you completely disagree and you don't trust me fine don't trust me like do your own research on this sort of thing think for yourself like don't listen to what somebody else is saying examine what does that work confirmed mean examine the sourcing of things think critically right I can't do that for you right so uh if you're wanting if you. Even if you completely disagree with things you think I'm some kind of shill or or some kind of secret government agent or something or or grand cover up or something go with that think that all you want right. But here are some things to check if you want to be a little bit more active a little bit more proactive and you want to try to dig down and figure out what the truth of these things really is the first one the first mistake I see a lot of people use is with regards to aircraft tracking apps please understand how aircraft tracking works I've seen a lot of people try to be proactive and try to like do the right thing. But they miss a step okay or they do something slightly wrong and what they'll do is you you may see this all the time all over the internet all over Twitter right now which is hey I saw this thing I saw this drone here's this grainy video I checked flight tracking apps and nothing was there and that must mean it's a drone right no it doesn't mean it's a drone it doesn't mean it's anything because you may one. First of all that could be a lie okay second of all they could be using the flight tracking app incorrectly okay. First of all a lot of the flight tracking apps will if you download an app to your phone for instance if you download a flight tracking app to your phone a lot of times those apps are paid and the free version limits the number of aircraft you can see you see where we may be going with this so again you download a free you know flight tracking app and it's not going to show you all the aircraft another big error people make is choosing the wrong one uh because shocker not all of the transponder modes that are out there with regards to tracking aircraft show up online uh for instance uh Flight Radar 24 uh does not have all of the aircraft and they are well known well known to censor aircraft the like military aircraft or um some kind some types of mode S aircraft if you want the best flight tracking website that there is adsb exchange is probably your best shot. But even with adsb exchange there are some things to be aware of for instance in the screenshot here off to the side make sure you haven't deselected something I've seen a couple of screenshots from people uh or or people have sent me a couple of messages where they say oh look my flight tracking up doesn't show anything. And then sure enough enough I look and see they have deselected all of the commercial aircraft on their map so of course not going to see anything they've deselected it so again just make sure you're using flight trackers correctly make sure you're aware of how adsb works because guess what adsb is only one of many different ways of tracking aircraft there are other ways and not all of the platforms and websites out there use all of them uh mode s for instance mode s is it's it's a paradox it's kind of older. But newer a lot of military aircraft do not even have adsb it's not that they're flying without their transponder the aircraft just doesn't have the hardware on the actual aircraft itself to use adsv a lot of them use mode s uh and that's kind of a hard thing to do because uh a hard thing to track at least because you've got to have multiple receivers a lot of times it's called multilateration again we're getting into the nerd realm of things. But please my bottom line here for this one is just make sure that you are aware of a few things one make sure you're using the app or the website correctly okay and two make sure you understand that not every aircraft is going to appear uh on a flight tracking website because not all of the flight tracking websites have all of the aircraft okay sometimes they just don't show up it doesn't mean they're flying with their transponder off it just means that the sensors used by that website right to feed data into that website maybe they just don't have coverage in that area now now for instance in New Jersey coverage is pretty good um. But there are a lot of different transponder modes and not of them not all of them show up so just be advised to that normally this isn't an issue because out of the tens of thousands of aircraft that fly around this country every day I don't know there may be five or six uh per state that just don't show up on you know the radar uh for instance you know like for me for me in my area I've got a lot of you know hilly terrain a lot of low-flying aircraft and guess what I'll have an aircraft fly over my house house and it doesn't show up on the website because there's nobody in my area feeding in to like flat Radar 24 or adsb exchange so it doesn't happen. But my own little off-grid uh flight tracker clearly sees it right so just something to be mindful of um something else to be mindful of is please know how to report information if you see something strange or out of the ordinary please understand and know how to report this kind of thing so for instance I hear have uh the salt report size activity location and time that's the bare minimum okay again more of a military kind of thing um. But really just the short version is we need to know how many you're seeing what are they doing where are you and where is the thing that you see if you can if you can get a compass bearing on it that'd be really helpful and the time of day that you see it with those four data points I can isolate it and determine whether or not it's a commercial aircraft okay very easy this just that's all you need so if you're thinking about posting a viral video or if you're looking at a viral video about something ask what's the salt report you know what's the salute report if you want to be a little bit more you know technical with it or slightly different version of the report. But salt reports are the bare bare minimum right also know your equipment if you are trying to take a photograph and try to take a video of it please understand how your phone camera works okay because you may or you may not um be getting all of the detail for instance even with say like a DSLR or something uh a raw photo if you're shooting in raw or instead of just just in jpeg you're going to get a lot more detail you're going to get a lot more um a lot more information stored in that file that people like me can use to analyze so if I had a preference I would say look set your DSLR to shoot and raw. And then also if want to most cameras have the ability to shoot in raw and jpeg the raw is what you need if you're trying to do any kind of imagery analysis so that you can have a lot more dynamic range to work with you can you'll see it's like night and day uh throwing images and some kind of editing software with regards to that so again I would be willing to bet that probably 99% of these drone reports could easily be determined to be commercial aircraft if somebody would just shoot and raw uh shoot and raw with with a DSLR or or shooting the high possible uh mode for your phone camera and also be mindful that when you upload a photograph to social media social media is going to absolutely destroy the quality of that photo it's going to compress it quite a bit. Even if you tell it not to it's still going to do it so just be mindful of that and also uh this is more of a kind of a psychological thing I guess. But be aware of human nature on this um most of the time like I have written here most of the time people are going to see what they want to see not what they actually see right so we need to to be mindful if we're if we are observers and if we are uh observing something we need just the facts okay you can add in your analysis you can say well this is what I think it was. But for people like me we need the wrong information I let me take care of the analysis right your analysis is is definitely something that I I can note. But don't tell me you saw a drone tell you saw an object okay that was marked in this way flying in this direction you know do you see start S give me the raw details. And then at the end you can tell me you think it was a drone okay because for somebody trying to aggregate this information like maybe Inn S2 shop right you may be getting reports from all over the place and people are interjecting their their analysis into it. But if I've got say five people who are in the same general area and four of of them tell me exact like a perfect salt report or a perfect salute report and this the last guy says well it was a drone now I've got to go back to that one guy and ask him the other details you see we're slowing down we're losing the ability to to move fast with this and and it makes it harder to figure out what's going on uh with with most of this so again ensuring a neutral State of Mind is very very important I can tell you without a shadow of it out if you go outside tonight and you go out there with the intention of trying to find ET or find a drone guess what you're going to find you're going to find ET or you're going to find a drone that's how the human brain works if you go out there with the goal of seeing something you're going to find it that's what happens you're going to to rule out all of the other information and narrow down on the one piece of information that confirms your bias confirmation bias right so just be mindful of that and also be mindful of the fact that that right now in the United States we are definitely primed we are even after covid even after the most intense information operations in human history right people are so primed they are so ready to believe anything they're so ready to to for for something strange right they're they crave it right they crave the ET Landings they may not want to say that that they they do. But people are primed and ready for a little bit of in misinformation a little bit of propaganda that little drop in the pond is just going to spread so just be mindful that we are in a time when people will buy stories Hook Line and Sinker just on the Merit of it okay there's not a lot of critical thinking going on right now unfortunately and that's just kind of the way that it is so when when times are like this we need to be extra careful okay we need to be extra careful we need to have a lot more detail we need to to do a lot more due diligence and we may need to spend a lot more time on things um because right now there's a lot of people that are scared they people that are absolutely terrified they're terrified at everything from Aliens to you know Iranian drones and that's not a good environment to to operate in it really isn't so we need to to do our due diligence to make sure that we're observing things in the most correct way now that doesn't mean we're just going to be blind to what's going on here this doesn't mean we're just going to immediately discount all of this it's just crazy people no we're not going to do that. But we're going to examine things in a way that is more accurate and more reassuring and more professional and things like that and this really leads into my LA to to one of my last points here which is personal Readiness okay like I said in the beginning we can explain maybe 80% of this stuff. But that last 20% is an unknown I don't know if it's Mal actors planning a terror attack and they're trying to stir people up and get people conditioned for I don't know if it's the government trying to make us all look like fools I don't know if it's a YouTube hoaxer trying trying to make us all look like fools either. But I can tell you that 80% of this we can safely discount as as not being a thing but that last 20% that's going to call call you to be a little bit more ready so what are you doing okay let's just assume let's go back to the beginning that risk assessment let's assume that it's a hostile action and your government doesn't care about you what are you doing about it right like I have written here if the average ET you know Hunter is going to outpace you in terms of r you know what are you doing you know if the average internet skitso out there can perform a little bit more you know analysis than you that may be slightly off. But they're at least doing it right so what are you doing to improve yourself what are you doing to prepare for these kinds of things you know um again we can't live pegged out at you know Threat Level Midnight forever. But we can at least take some considerations we can say all right well this is a good opportunity to learn and this is a good opportunity to improve so for instance you know medical just simple stuff right are you carrying an ifac at all times this is 2024 you know why if you're not doing that why aren't you and more importantly out there for those people out there who have families who are you know obviously you know a little kid's not going to carry an IAC or something like that you know a lot of times people spouses are just not interested um so you have to weigh that you have to weigh that into account and are you carrying a large enough ifac to cover several family members who might not be as prepared you know minded as you are so again these are the kinds of things that you need to think about uh in terms of something as crazy as an internet phenomenon becoming potentially something vastly serious I don't know you know by the time this video comes out these things could turn and can turn hostile and we find out that it was some kind of mass terror attack being planned and and orchestrated I don't know I can't tell you what the future brings. But I can tell you that preparing for some of these more severe outcomes is probably a pretty good idea comms again we're dealing with aircraft here potentially drones maybe unmanned aircraft maybe manned. But I can tell you if the government knows that it's a drone guess what's going to happen they're going to jam that sucker if it turns hostile most likely you know if NORAD gets involved or if northcom gets involved or somebody gets involved they're going to be jamming a couple of different things one they're going to be jamming The Ground Control stations so they're going to be jamming Wi-Fi they're going to be jaming satcom any satcom to it just like the Chinese spy balloon and they're probably going to be jamming any kind of cellular transmission so for instance if big DOD if the big if the Pentagon decides ah these things are actually bad and we're going to have to take them down you don't want to be at work one day sitting at your desk. And then suddenly the whole state of New Jersey goes black because you know the the Pentagon has decided to deploy assets to jam the entire Eastern Seaboard right so you don't want that kind of thing happening uh so again what is your lost contact plan if you're sitting at work and the government decides or somebody decides we're going to jam these things now because we're going to be taking them down can are you prepared for that are you prepared to realize hm I've been sitting on my desk I normally get a text from my spouse every day at lunch I haven't gotten that text today what's going on do you have a plan for what to do if that happens so having a lost contact plan in the event of a comm's blackout is very important especially now more broadly does your community have a plan again I unfortunately have the the rather unfortunate luck of being the poster child for somebody who lives in a community which is not exactly uh friendly so I understand if people out there if most people or if many people I don't know how many. But if if many people out there have or live in communities that are not super not super uh friendly um it's unfortunate but a lot of people do okay a lot of people have not of great neighbors a lot of people live in cities where they may not even know who lives around them right and good luck finding that out. But anyway for the people who do live in good communities where anything short of your neighbor trying to kill you right uh if you live in a sort of amiable environment do you have a plan do you have any kind of um communication between all of you any kind of um uh intelligence collection you know every neighborhood is got a gossip Circle well let's turn that gossip circle into something productive right uh is there a way of sharing information more accurately more quickly Off the Grid if necessary do you see where we're going with this it's just maybe um increases preparedness a little bit without looking like you're prepare increasing preparedness right so that's the kind of thing that I'm thinking about uh if you're super prepared and if you've got like a really good team or something like that you may want to put together a set of PS or priority intelligence requirements basically a Master list of if this thing happens if you know 2A happens call me or do this right that's basically what it is so you may you can write down a lot of scenarios and things like that and say all right situation 3F has occurred this is what we need to to to be notified we need to tell everyone uh about you know 3F happening right so again something to keep in mind I don't think a lot of people are going to be using something is is professional as a p. But you might who knows maybe small teams uh might might do something like that but and. Finally the last thing I wanted to kind of remind people of is is to just know your gear right know your equipment know the your your your gear when it comes to medical Firearms bugout bags whatever right anything you may need uh know where critical phone numbers are stored know where all of your Communications details are stored you know uh have all of this stuff ready to go at a moment's notice because the last time you want to you want to find out all your flashlights out of batteries is when there's a potentially hostile aircraft that just crashed in your neighborhood you know at 1: in the morning that's the last time you want to find that out again not something a lot of people do. But I thought I would remind everyone just in case and to to wrap things up with a a rather radical shift for a moment uh I wanted to address something that that has come to my attention i' I've seen it and I wanted to to address it because dou dozens of you have sent me emails messages about it and I'm sorry I haven't responded to all of you uh. But the the reason that I I think that I wanted to spend so much today talking about this this New Jersey stuff is because things in the Middle East are changing and they're not changing for the better and again this shifts radically out of the realm of you know hunting for UFOs and into the realm of national sort of diplomacy National counterterrorism kind of thing. But um you have to remember all of this is kind of coming to me at the same exact time and I think that it's kind of an interesting way of of looking at things so again I wanted to address the one thing a lot of you have told me about which is the recent interview that Sarah Adams did on the Shawn Ryan Show uh for those of you who Haven not seen this interview it's almost two hours long very highly recommend you checking it out I will link it below if you have not seen it already um essentially the bottom line of this interview is I think the key takeaway is um uh Sarah Adams made a lot of claims with regards to the potential for Terror attacks and essentially it's one of those interviews where you come away from it and think okay you know a mass terror attack is incoming um it is a very very big very big deal and I'll kind of let the the interview kind of um kind of think about that. But but one of the things that I can definitely personally attest to as Anonymous of a source as I am you know my own personal testimony is this uh what's happened in Syria over the past week or two has really highlighted one thing for me it's highlighted many things. But one very important thing and if you if you don't care about Syria care about this okay or at least think about this Syria has proven that Al-Qaeda has changed and they have changed in the way that they have been able to unite historic enemies to create kind of uh Sarah calls it the Islamic Army concept uh that's as good a theory as any. But it's like a higher level Islamic Unity kind of culture we have all heard of Isis right the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria or just is in the early days the Islamic State well what is that well that was a an effort to take some of the more extreme parts of uh you know uh Islam unite them underneath a nation state a caliphate right a an Islamic kind of system of governance or Empire if you want to use that term well Syria uh which I don't think Sarah uh talked about this directly in the interview. But I think what's going on in Syria very highlights and confirms what she's talking about is true and and I have known this to be true for some time a lot of the the the older groups uh that been out there have have kind of let bygones be bygones for a while and they have they have successfully United uh more so than I think the West is is aware of so uh again going back a few years people think think of Islamic State they think okay well this is a massive califate it collapsed it grew very quickly and it collapsed very quickly because the United States was targeting things like that well while that was going on the old school guys Al-Qaeda has been working and they've been working hard uh and um I think the very bottom line for this is that we have now been given evidence in Syria where the more you read about Syria the more you realize how complicated it is. But through all of that complicatedness it all comes back to Al-Qaeda right it all comes back to one uh centralized organization that is running all of these smaller groups which is why people are a little bit concerned right this HTS group why how did they come from they came from Al-Qaeda. But they work with ISIS right a lot of their guys are former Isis but they're fighting Isis well it's all under the al-Qaeda umbrella so what does this mean for us well it it means that an attack is coming on the Homeland it's it's definitely going to happen um. But it probably will not come from the people who you think that it might come from uh so you may see this Splinter Group this lone wolf attack right that's occurring and a lot L of the Insurgent groups have changed their tactics like Sarah pointed out this is definitely something that I have observed I don't know how true it is. But I have come to this conclusion as well that a lot of these Insurgent groups a lot of these Lone Wolf attackers aren't really Lone Wolf they're getting their instructions from somewhere now is it coming directly from Al-Qaeda probably not it's coming through different channels. But basically um this means that we're at a a period in in time of of of heightened risk right for some kind of terror attack now again there's a debate as to whether or not or there there's a debate rather about how serious this threat is I think it's very serious. But I think that the the the attack is going to happen either way but who we blame it on is going to be very very different you know uh that's just kind of what I think and it's been kind of a universal truth for some time now unfortunately the very minute that you say something like that uh every bit all the warhawks come out and say w well we need to invade another Middle Eastern country I'm I'm definitely advocating for that uh I'm just telling you what what I think and I think that we've been overdue for something for a long time and we you know in the kind of Intel World ENT or not we have to work on indications and warnings right we have to work on um a lot of speculation a lot of times and I think Syria what's going on in Syria. Even though the American people do not talk about it a lot they don't care this is a demonstration this is Syria is your Canary in the coal mine okay that Insurgent groups being probably financed by the CIA and Al-Qaeda. At the same time have been able to basically run circles around even the CIA and do what they want at the end of the day so again I think largely again pure speculation. But I think the CIA drove what's what's happening in in Syria uh to wrap things up before the end of the Biden regime and I think that's why that happened. But the fact that it was actually successful I should be caused for concern because usually the CIA fouras in the Middle East don't have the intended effect at least not what the CIA wants so yeah it's I know it's big speculation land. But but yeah I just wanted to briefly talk about that because so many of you have pointed to this interview to me and I and I feel like I had to kind of address it and. Even though I'm going to talk about it at Great length in a in in just a few days uh hopefully because because again I'm trying to temper my my own biases here because it just so happens to be that uh this month's book club offering is the attack by Kurt schlicker and uh yeah so it's kind of the same thing right it's a fictional novel right uh that I'm kind of writing notes on and it's basically what if October 7th the October 7th attack in Israel occurred in the United States and this comes out the same we like I'm reading this the same week this interview comes out and the same week that we see all these drone things same week that Syria collapses and I'm just like oh goodness gracious we've got so many of these things occurring. At the same time and I thought well I'm I'm going to have to. Finally crack the seal on that and start talking about a little bit more directly because I've been thinking about this for some time ever ever since I don't know maybe about 2015 this has kind of been what I've been expecting so again I'll get more into that later I've already been way too verbos today so I I'll kind of call it there and we'll see uh we'll see what I can come up with with regards to the notes um for this book uh in the context of what may actually happen here in the US so again counterterrorism is not an easy job it's not uh you need a lot of money to make to to be effective and you need a lot of uh experience and you have to work really really really hard and um it's just not something that a lot of people can do and perhaps more perplexingly and to tie this again back to the New Jersey thing the government either doesn't care they know what's going on and they still don't care or they know what's going on and they're controlling it or they're just inconfidentes either way pick your own favorite Theory does that change your personal responsibility no it doesn't doesn't matter if it's Ed the Dead Terrorist or anything on a UFO flying down to land in New Jersey somewhere it doesn't matter your personal responsibility Remains the same you're going to still need the same level level of Readiness you're still going to need the same level of community you're going to still need the same level of of analytical thinking risk assessment right basy and thinking any kind of you know structured analytical technique you're still going to need all that stuff regardless of what it is if it's some YouTube prankster out there making a fool of you guess what doesn't matter you've just learned something and you've improved so. Even if it turns out to be something completely ridiculous you're still at an advantage right so. Anyway that's kind of my very long- winded uh take on that so far I don't know how I don't know how helpful this is going to be for anybody. But I hope that it is um and I hope that I'm able to to get a little bit more coherent thoughts together uh next week I know I say that every week. But I guess we'll kind of see how things go uh in terms of what actually occurs because right now there doesn't really seem to be a whole lot of new developments with regards to these New Jersey drones right. But anyway I guess we'll see what next week brings but until then uh thank you guys all for putting up with my sort of topical brief today uh and thank you for all of your support I really do mean that uh I couldn't be doing it without you guys so thank you for that and we will. See you next time and as always fight in the shade.