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Intel Update 2024-08-10

Intel Update - August 10 - Fractured Factions

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Hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the Intel update for August the 4th through the 10th 2024 today we're going to do something a little bit different and I'm not going to talk uh about American news today I'm going to really spend most of the time talking about what's going on in the United Kingdom as well as the Middle East I know there have been a lot of incidents worthy of note in the United States that have been worthy of talking about this week. However um I you can read what I wrote this week in The Wire uh if you just read those that'll get a pretty good summary and I thought that dedicating the time this week to talking about the UK is a little bit more pressing due to the potential for things in Europe to spiral out of control so as many of you know uh there's a pretty big crisis going on in the United Kingdom right now and I thought that this would be a a very good opportunity to one point out the misinformation and propaganda that's going on uh and also for the American audience who doesn't give one Hoot about what goes on in Europe this is still a good learning opportunity you don't get very many chances in life these days at least to learn from others mistakes in the way that they're happening in the United Kingdom with regards to what might happen in the United States I'm not saying that what is happening in the United Kingdom is sort of a a good proxy for what's going on in the United States. But it might be some elements of it for sure so even for those of you who don't care about what goes on in Europe this might still be a a good learning opportun so what's happening in Europe uh right now in the United Kingdom there are well Mass unrest is the best way I can describe it initially this started as rioting uh in response to the stabbing and murder of three children in Southport uh as well as the the wounding of of others um for those of you who have not been keeping up with the UK's news over the past few years um the UK has been kind of the canary and the coal mine with regards to the violence and the uh really skewed system of operating when it comes to immigration so just for the American audience we've all probably seen the chart that has is being uh touted as being the chart that saved Donald Trump's life uh during his assassination attempt the chart that was actually on screen that caused him to turn his head uh to look at uh the screen this is that chart that he was looking at and this is uh detailing the illegal immigration uh that has occurred in the United States over the past few years well the UK has their own chart and here's what it looks like um so as you can see the non European uh non-eu member State immigration has just skyrocketed to extremely high levels in a very short period of time so this has caused a lot a lot a lot of problems hopefully as we all know riots and social unrest does not occur in a vacuum it does not just spring up out of nowhere for no reason there are reasons for people being upset being angry sometimes it's more stoking the fires sometimes it's more a genuine sentiment of how people feel and it's really challenging to discern that sometimes. But generally speaking people don't people are not just rioting in the UK just for no reason right now so this is the result of not just one uh horrific crime crime against children this is the culmination of years and years and years of the exact same situation occurring so this map shows all of the locations that I could find where there were demonstrations or violence or some sort of unrest over the past week and as you can see it's most major cities in the in the UK I lift a few off because I think that there are a lot of old uh outdated Clips um that are being touted as more recent and they're just and that's that's really inaccurate uh for instance one of the things that's kind of been going around is um people sharing clips of the uh leads riots uh from some time ago uh and trying to push them as they're real um there has been some activity in leads. But I'm not really sure how much of that is genuine uh but I have seen people showing old clips so just keep that in mind when you're when you're cruising social media um there are probably a lot of uh older Clips being uh pushed as current. But this is the chart that I've got you know just from me checking out social media and seeing where I can find some of these unrest sites. But again it's it's really hard to say how much of this is quite severe right you can put pens on a map while you want to but it really doesn't give you an idea as to how severe the rioting is in a certain area for instance I can tell you that you know down in Plymouth there really wasn't that much activity there's just some unrest and and local like protesters and counter protesters kind of you know fighting amongst each other. Whereas up in Sunderland things got pretty kinetic uh same thing over in Southport where all of this sort of started um Blackpool Manchester Liverpool this these kinds of Regions they're they're they're geographically close so the riots tended to spread um kind of in these little pockets there have also been demonstrations over in Ireland as well um not really many that I would really say are you know astronomically out of the ordinary um for instance up there in Belfast they've uh firebombed a few police cars they've rioted quite a bit you know burned down a few buildings here and there um so pretty much status quo uh especially in the context of the counter immigration protests that they themselves have been going through as well so you know not not really anything out of the ordinary there. Whereas in London you know things can get off there is a little bit more um more more telling I should say because London is basically the heart of the beast when it comes to a lot of these counter-protest movements so all in all there have been well British media which is none of which are telling the truth um uh British media is claiming that there have been around 400 arrests I think it's probably more than that I don't know maybe maybe less in some areas I don't I don't really know so this is already a headache and a half uh to figure out what's going on because it's just there's just so much kinetic activity now I will say I will say uh right up front that right now about a week or so after the initial riots uh kind of calmed down uh the riots have shifted okay uh so we'll we'll talk more about this in just a moment when we get into the factions that are at play here. But I just want to from my own assessment you know based on the the extrapolation of raw data processing it here in my brain piece and then coming to a conclusion I think that most of the riots now are not really what the media is saying they are uh it seems like there was a lot of initial rioting crime looting the general bad parts of riots that tend to come out that occurred after said the situation got out of hand in places like Southport and Sunderland from that there hasn't really been that much rioting to the level of like like Street crime and just attacking people for no reason uh from the people that the UK is saying it's coming from um this is really hard to explain so I think it might be best to just jump right to explaining the factions at play here and we can maybe try to piece some of this together so let's go ahead and jump to the PowerPoint slides all right jumping to the Uber tactical graphic art studio let's talk about some of the groups that I've been able to kind of identify uh with regards to the protests and demonstrations and rioting and violence and all kinds of bad stuff going on in the UK right now so uh there's a lot of finger pointing amongst these groups and it's not really being accurately portrayed by the media I will state right up front that a lot of what I'm about to say is going to be very very offensive uh I'm trying to be the most accurate that I can be. However you know I there there's just no real way to talk about what's going on in the UK and be politically correct in any form or fashion a lot of people try to think that they're you know not politically correct. But the very minute they hear a sort of you know differing view than them they they just screech in you know incoherently so so I I just really want to encourage everyone to kind of keep an open mind realize I'm doing the best I can here and uh uh corrections may be needed in due time as more of these groups become a little bit more um sort of solidified I should say right now this is the best I've got so let's start off with the target let's start off with the people that all of this is about the the hardest to Define group I will I will call these people ethnic Britain of anglosaxon Heritage basically white guys in England uh these are most British citizens well I don't know about statistically. But most traditionally British citizens uh people who were born and raised in the United Kingdom uh in the Isles of Britain and have historically remained there for a period of time these are people who are of Caucasian Descent of anglo-saxon Heritage and their ancestors have been in the United Kingdom for a very long time the reason that I have to phrase it this way and use a whole lot of words instead of just saying white guys is because uh there is a lot of dissent as to what classifies a British citizen you know for instance a lot of people may come from India and say they're a naturalized citizen or you know they're a f they're a second generation immigrant and they have accepted absolutely 0% of British culture into their own sort of daily operating uh procedure uh which is why you see a lot of uh media misinformation so for instance um the guy that stabbed uh th those kids uh in Southport they're calling him a British citizen they're calling him a Welshman right or something like that uh because he is a citizen of the United Kingdom he is a British citizen so the media says he's British. However he is a Rwandan immigrant his parents are from Rwanda so it's really probably best to Define uh people not as British citizens in this case but more along the lines of um those who are of anglosaxon Heritage because these people uh are the people who are really being labeled as far right here's that magic label far right the United Kingdom government the British authorities are are slapping this label on this group of people right uh. Even though that's not the most accurate way to look at it so we'll come back to that in a moment now this group of people the ethnic angl uh these people are the most upset right now these are the people who are demonstrating protesting uh these people this this faction so to speak uh was rioting in in uh response to the events in Southport uh. However however uh for the most part I've seen not a lot of violence coming from this group of people not a lot of rioting mostly demonstrations now uh after the riots kind of calmed down it looks like this group of this faction at the moment is not rioting they are demonstrating they are protesting uh there are exceptions I will say that there are exceptions uh. However for the most part this is going to be very very important uh to mention when we talk about the semantics of what a riot actually is so that's this group the ethnic Britain uh of really Anglo you know descent right sort of along the these lines I will uh I will mention these guys right now because I I think it's important uh and this next faction is the ethn Nationalist or the National Socialist basically what we in America might slap this label on somewhat correctly the far right I hate this term far right because it's not really accurate uh. But generally when you when you think of dudes you know with you know swastikas and stuff like that this is the group that you tend to think of um the more Aryan Nation kind of guys this is this label appropriately I don't think it's offensive uh I think this is just kind of a self-applied label honestly now as far as these guys the British authorities this other faction over here the British authorities are trying to make these guys the ethnic Britain seem like these guys they're trying to paint every white guy in the UK is being an ethn Nationalist and that's just not true it's not true uh there I have not seen hardly any of these guys at all uh you will you would be very hard pressed right now in the UK to find anybody uh slinging up an old Roman salute right you'd be very hardpressed to find anybody waving around a swastic a flag uh otherwise the Daily Mail would have it on their front page right uh now that doesn't that doesn't mean they don't exist I'm sure they do. However the British government has targeted these guys so much over the years that they're underground and they're not going to be active they're not going to take the bait now now that doesn't mean they're not active in other countries I saw a video the other day I'll see if I can find it again I might not be able to find it again of uh ethn nationalists self-described you know National socialists marching in Croatia so you know it's like these groups do exist I'm not going to say they don't exist um they exist here in the United States as well it's just I think the labels that that the authorities are trying to put on these people they're trying to lump in all Anglo Saxons into this group and it's just not true uh they're they're just not the same so if you want to be more technically correct um we can just kind of move these guys off to the side because they're just I don't think they're a factor um the real old school you know proper ethnonationalists they're just not that act I mean they're active on social media uh obviously. But in real life I'm just not seeing them at protests in the UK and I have I've been looking and I just don't I just don't see them uh what I do see is a lot of a lot of uh regular British guys just out there in the street now again this group right here has been persecuted the most out of all of these groups over the past few years so they've probably got pretty good at operating so my guess is after some time and after these riots and the unrest kind of reaches a point of stability the ethn nationalists will try to are probably going to try to um uh make themselves known a little bit more. But you know I hate I hate using these terms because it's it's really hard to describe and I feel like there's a lot of inaccurate um fear-mongering labels put on a lot of these groups. But anyway so we've got the ethnic Britain over here um let's jump over to the other side of the aisle for a moment let's talk about some of the more uh well traditionally leftist groups all right let's leave the Muslim Defense League for a moment let's talk more about the climate activists antifa or the International workers of the world the Communist and socialists and the pro Palestine movements now these guys oh man this is a rabbit hole and a half um so these groups traditionally don't work that well together um. But there is a lot of crossover that that's contradictory but that's the way these groups operate so for instance um you've got antifa and the iww guys mostly being Communists and socialist so you'll have basically all of the members of antifa will probably be members of some sort of communist or socialist society likewise you'll probably have a lot of Communists uh being climate activists. But not necessarily antifa conversely you'll have a lot of pro Palestine dudes being involved in climate agenda stuff but not necessarily antifa or communist but they do work with the same people who are sometimes members of the same organization if this is complicated and Confused using I understand uh. But this is the way that this is kind of worked out um you may be tempted to do this right here you might be tempted to stack all of these guys together and put them as part of all of the same group I don't think that's accurate I don't think that that that would be an accurate way of doing it we have to do this sometimes for Simplicity sake um. But most of the time that's not the way this works because the prop Palestine movement just for example is largely Muslim a lot of the people who are pro Palestine are uh well they're they're either of Islamic faith or they're just not of the belief systems that these guys are uh who tend to be more atheist sort of thing so you've got religion kind of uh being a factor as well. However you've got a lot of pro Palestine guys like I said being climate activists. At the same time which is why you'll see the same people show up uh uh to Target elbet systems you know do kind of a counter Israeli thing. But you'll see the same people show up to do something with the climate or something or or be a member of a socialist or communist Society or organization so it's really complicated you see how this is kind of a big problem now like I said I I don't like grouping these people together because it's not the most accurate way of describing it uh if we want to get into semantics land we can talk about all these differences in more depth. But for Simplicity sake I have to kind of group these guys together for now because these people are the most of the people who are rioting right now now what is a riot well that word is kind of a Charged uh kind of a Charged term see here in the United States a riot usually look something like this you know burning down Minneapolis that tends to be what we call a riot in the United Kingdom a riot could just be a protest in which a police officer gets shouted at um you know it it could there could be no violence there could be no property damage everybody could pick up trash as they leave the place. But the British media and the British authorities still call it a riot so generally speaking when I use the term Riot I'm talking about destruction of uh an unreasonable nature meaning things get broken property damage occurs people get attacked there's firebombings stuff is more kinetic than just a Rowdy protest in which people get shouted at um. But that definition is different from what the authorities in the United Kingdom say so these guys the these groups right here tend to be rioting uh more so than anybody else now uh let's talk a little bit about uh this group here the pro Palestine guys let me bring that to the front here so there's a little bit of cross over here because because because these guys the anglos uh the ethnic Britains they tend to be um more anti-immigration that's the the Crux of their sort of argument is you know keep Britain for the British sort of thing um these guys are attacking each other now there is another faction I want to bring in here which is growing uh which is the Muslim Defense League now if we're going to rate these guys on a scale of 0 to 10 uh in terms of violence these guys are an 11 the Muslim Defense League is was created in response to the English Defense League which was basically I think it I think the English Defense League was a combination of these guys the ethn nationalists and ethnic Britain who probably didn't probably didn't know I don't know for sure the edl is not really around anymore um I I don't really know a whole lot of the history behind that. But I would say that the English Defense League is nowhere near the Muslim Defense League these guys are in my opinion seriously Bad Dudes uh these guys are doing roving gang these are the guys who uh tend to have like roving gangs of people just beating people with sticks uh enforcing Sheria law um doing all kinds of dominating things it is just just not a very good thing so uh in terms of rioting these guys are like the the tip top of the of the of the scale in terms of rioting now is there crossover between the Muslim Defense League and the sort of pro Palestine movement yes of course uh mostly along religious lines. But how close is this relationship I don't know why do I not know well because there's another faction that is complicating things uh immensely and this is the most uh diverse group of all that I should have put into multiple categories and that is uh the British citizens not of Anglo heritage basically the second generation immigrants or like the first generation immigrants who have been in the UK for a very long time um the this group of people is the most complex and they can occupy a bunch of different um sort of positions I should say for instance so you got the Muslim Defense League here there are a lot of people who are siding with them uh because well they they just uh they run home to Mama right they run home to their Heritage and their culture and their religion more so than their nation state uh and if that seems inflammatory to you well let me just remind you that the former first minister of Scotland humza yussef has literally stated over the past couple of days that he could return to his traditionally uh Muslim Homeland so you know this is something that is is is not that has not gone unnoticed you know when you've got even you know the the leader of a Nation stating you know the very minute that their policies don't get um uh adopted they run home to their Homeland well that causes the question well well if you're going to abandon you know your Homeland then why are you here in the first place we the ethnic Britains so to speak speaking from their perspective we the Anglo uh population we don't have a Homeland to go to so why don't you just go back to your Homeland sort of thing do you see how this can get really out of control really quickly and how these people here the British citizens not of Anglo Heritage can both uh be accepted into this group the the the ethnic Britains group or the Muslim Defense League route and the pro Palestine and the the whole pro-immigration route uh you've got these people here uh sometimes being targeted by the Muslim Defense League uh because they they are not Muslim you have to remember the United Kingdom has a huge Hindu population and a huge sik population and I have seen reports or indications and warnings so to speak that Muslims are attacking these guys um because they're not Islamic so so we can see how complicated this is already becoming right this is already just insane with regards to politics and religion and culture and all these different kinds of uh things going on here uh I will say that there is growing and there's straight up adversarial relationship between the the ethnic Britain and the Muslim Defense League guys that is a straight up like war of Bruin right there uh that is not good uh there's a lot of conflict there there's probably very little hope of reconciliation. However the ethnic Britain with the British citizens not of angular Heritage um you know these guys are even kind of uh getting the short end of the stick sometimes and there's conflict that is brewing for sure between these groups of people uh because of well battle lines are forming and when the battle lines form you know this is what tends to happen all these guys tend to sort of conglomerate together uh. Even though they they don't normally operate together that tends to be things the way things work out and in the more extreme case you've got these guys allying with these guys. And then of course the police take the side of the the immigrants and there's your battle line you know um I don't necessarily know how accurate this is I I think it's very inaccurate to be honest uh because there's just too many factions that play here you know I don't know if things are going to shake out this way with the battle line kind of forming along these these stratifications here you know I think that really as time goes on these guys right here are probably going to side with these guys uh after a period of time some of them at least. Whereas a lot of them are going to go back to their go back to their own Heritage you know uh their their own culture but I think you'll probably see climate activists drop out of the because you know throwing a can of soup on a van go painting is a is a lot different than taking a Molotov to the face these guys Pro palestin movements will probably start to morph into the Muslim Defense League these guys will probably align themselves more so with the British authorities uh over time just because that's how that works out politically so this maybe and the other nationalist will probably try to to to infiltrate or sort of skew the ethnic Britains. But I again I don't know if these movements are can be considered to be the same anymore um you know being an ethnonationalist in say like 1995 in Britain is a lot different than being you know an ethnic an ethnonationalist in today's society it's just a different way of it's just a different definition I guess you know when I was growing up you know and there you know the early late 90s early 2000s you know the sort of quote unquote Nazis in society were like you know the Aryan Brotherhood guys the the skin head kind of organizations and people like that you know that tended to be the the way that worked out and there was a lot of um societal outcasting so to speak uh with these groups nowadays I I mean it's just not you know an ethnonationalist in 2024 is not the same as a skin head in 1992 you know so I don't know maybe the same thing is going on in Britain. But it seems to me like there is both a shifting of this definition here um and a sort of morphing into this and and a closing of these kinds of ideas more so than anything else the problem being is that is that these guys the British authorities want to claim that basically every white guy in the UK is a Nazi and that's just not true it's just it's just ridiculous so um. Anyway this is the overview the very very complex tangled web overview of the factions that I've been able to find so far uh now like I've kind of hinted at uh there are other factors that play here so let's jump to a different slide here and let's just cut right to the chase with what people might consider to be a little bit more more helpful uh and that is the factional groupings in terms of the violence potential so looking here at this slide uh we have got I've got four categories here there surely are more. But let's just put These Guys these groups these ideologies or whatever in these four groups so as you might imagine right squarely in this box uh are are most ethnic Britain of angala sax and Heritage most of the dudes protesting out there they don't necessarily mind uh the old school immigrants they just oppose the ones that have come to the UK with no verification with vetting and they're bringing violence you know they're not assimilating at all into British culture they're they're um they're just causing Havoc so this is what these people tend to believe now of course I'll bring in the other category here the ethn nationalists national socialists whatever um these guys oppose all immigration for obvious reasons now I will say uh that the there is becoming this group right here is is Shifting um I maybe I should put it in both boxes here uh because there are those who within the the ethnic basically all the white guys in the UK there's there's there's a split there's those who oppose a recent immigration. And then there's those who oppose uh basically all immigration now they they've hit their limit and the Pendulum has swung back and now they occupy a position of opposing all immigration legal or not right we see the same thing in the United States you know we we say hey look uh even the legal immigration is is not helping out the United States or at least so people think so you see that sort of same thing happen uh. But I don't know how I don't know how far I should put this into e either box I'll just say that there are a lot of ethnic Brits that now oppose all immigration uh and the things that come with it so um let's go ahead and drop in some others here uh let's see pro-immigration antiviolence well hm who could be in that category well obviously the British citizens not of Anglo Heritage there are a lot of people in the UK that are very Pro immigration. But they don't want to use violence to achieve those means uh I know that a lot of people would have you not believe this but it seems like that is a factor I think it's becoming less of a factor so everyone in this pro-immigration antiviolence uh box is shifting into this box they're shifting from this box to this box more so than these guys are shifting into this box so for instance from these latest Southport riots this this was traditionally over the past few years where this the ethnic Britain lied uh now it's shifting it's not completely over here it's I'll tell you that it's not completely over here it's more of a a uh a duality there. Whereas a lot of people have have immediately jumped faster than the Britain have jumped uh into this box the pro-immigration and pro-violence to achieve those means so who else would be in this pro-immigration Pro violence category well I think we can all kind of I think we can kind of all guess as to who might be in that category we've got the Communist socialists iww antifa uh let's see here obviously the British authorities and police because you know just because they are law enforcement they are by default able to use violence to achieve their goals uh so being able to use violence to achieve political goals puts them in this category and they're also Pro immigration so again thinking kind of outside the box you have to really ironically thinking outside the box while putting them in the box uh you have to realize that this is the way this is working out uh in a lot of cases so um yeah not super great for the British people for sure now we've got two more here let's talk about the prop Palestine guys well I think it's debatable a lot of people would be tempted to just put him over here I don't think so I think the pro Palestine movement is like ah straddling here I think some prop Palestine movements and groups they are well. First of all they're all pro-immigration okay there is not a Palestinian Society or movement uh in society that is anti-immigration they're all pro-immigration which is paradoxical considering that their their cause right they're trying to rally for a Homeland a sort of um ethnostate of their own and it's a little hard to argue when you're saying that the British people should not be able to do the same for themselves so again to avoid the hypocrisy uh these guys have of some kind are sometimes in both camps here same thing with the climate activists um it's really easy to get somebody again to glue themselves to the road. But it's a little bit harder to to get that person to commit a a stronger act of violence so for some groups for some people they've just jumped straight to violence like the more kinetic climate activists like um things like that. But it's going to be I think it's going to be a hard cell for like groups such as for instance just stop oil it's going to be a harder cell for them to jump from gluing themselves to the road and chaining themelves to things to firebombing stuff um that is a a hor it's not that much of a jump I guess. But it is a jump and I feel like we have to kind of acknowledge that so that's why I'm putting these guys kind of straddling both there uh. Whereas places like the Muslim Defense League uh various Islamic groups throughout the UK like they they violence is their goal a lot of times so you know of course they're going to be in the Pro violence category and of course the Communist socialist societies these guys have um they're they're Pro violence. But they also are not as capable so I'll kind of like should I say they're antiviolence if they're not that capable I don't know I'll just move them kind of over here on the side uh. Whereas the Muslim Defense League guys they're kind of like off the chart here in terms of capabilities and motivations uh so yeah that's that's kind of how I think this all works out again I could be all washed up I'm sure I angered quite a lot of people in talking about these groupings. But I think that this is somewhat of an important thing to understand especially for the United States because we're tempted we're tempted to to go back to this chart here we're tempted to put all of these people you know in the same in the same bucket and uh just for Simplicity sake when in actuality it it's really not working out that way um there are plenty there are plenty of other factors at play here so hopefully this very tangled web of an overview uh helps you understand things somewhat and I'm sorry I know it's slightly disorganized way to show the information. But uh this is the best I could do for a Saturday morning and and I really wanted to to to cover this deep dive uh on the UK uh specifically uh due to the propaganda that is being portrayed by the British media I say this in the most literal sense I I'm seeing the British media approaching North Korean levels of propaganda with the with these riots I have not seen a single a sing not a single British Media Group that will tell you the differences between these the the the media is directly like in America we have problems with our media colluding with government so that a private company right is now a government agency right um we we we have these problems within the UK it's very severe um the the if I had a nickel for every time uh the British media said the word far right when referencing to just regular white guys in the UK who probably voted for you know Rishi sunak or something like that even people who are politically liberal. But because they're because they're ethnically British they get labeled as far right man if I had a nickel for every time that happened I'd be a billionaire U because that's all that you see they're saying that the only level of violence is coming from the far right okay well. First of all the far right the the ethn Nationalist or national socialist the Nazis the swasti Toten dudes where are they like I haven't seen them on the street they're online I can tell you they're online for sure uh. But they're not in the street they're not that stupid uh but the ethnic Britains are out there in the street you know you know just the average British citizen is out there you know um trying to demonstrate against the police and against the you know basically it's not even really multi-tiered it's just anti-white policing um they've had enough of it and they're demonstrating. But according to the British government and the British media they're far right like that's that's one of the biggest lies that I've seen from British media in a while they're also ignoring the British media is completely ignoring the violence from these guys the violence from them like the Muslim Defense League guys which is it's not really as solidified as people would have you believe so don't so don't think that I'm uh saying that the Muslim Defense League is just just huge organization I don't think it is really it's the best way to describe just roving bands of Muslim dudes who are going out there with sticks and 2x4s and swords and machetes and stuff and they're attacking people randomly um that are in like their neighborhood or spheres of influence or you know influential areas and the cops are letting them do it so the the media is ignoring that at all completely almost all the injuries almost all these the injuries so far that I have seen have come from these dudes you know or or the police cracking heads and stuff like that so you know it's one of those things where it's so it's so absurd it's so absurd that we're here now that we have to kind of discuss these sorts of things. But you know I thought this might be helpful uh even for an American audience who's trying to figure out what's going on here so again big Lessons Learned for the United States is factions exist factions matter definitions matter definitions matter too uh and putting understanding that uh who who says what is important as well the British authorities say that these guy like if I were to build this chart here from the British Authority's perspective it wouldn't even look like this so you have to realize you're taking someone's word for it when you hear someone say that activity over there is far right what do they mean you know what belief system do they are they talking about here uh what activity is it uh who is it committed by and who's it committed against you see it's it it's really really complicated you can't just say bad guy there or good guy there um it's really comes down to factional Allegiance Heritage culture religion's a big one um Family Ties uh things like that and of course the the the government threat of violence over the whole thing so very complicated not pleasant to talk about for sure I'm probably going to have to chop this one to bits just to make sure that it's able to survive publishing at this point. But yeah um not pleasant not pleasant all around I don't wish violence on anybody uh but I also um under I I understand to some degree um you know it's more of like a a mutual understanding at some point and and like the old phrase goes you know Politics the very minute that first round goes past your head politics goes out the window you know know and it just comes down to to other other types of allegiances sometimes religion sometimes cultural sometimes both um and uh that's that's what unfortunately uh things result in sometimes so I think I've talked that one to death let's move over to another contentious topic and that is Iran so what is going on in the Middle East why is uh the world on pins and needles if it looks like nothing's going to happen well let's let's talk a little bit about this because I can write about it all in the wire all I want to. But really it it it it's hard to capture the Nuance of some of these things and how heavily I wait an idea uh in text form sometimes so let me just talk about this for just a moment I should note that again much like the UK there's really no way to talk about what's going on in the Middle East without angering somebody so you know all I can do is share the analysis that I've sort of come up with at the end of the day it's all opinion. Anyway so how valuable that is to you is up for you to decide uh but a lot of people seem to be incapable of understanding the the concept of taking in information taking in raw details extrapolating that data analyzing it processing it. And then coming to a conclusion it's almost like unless you have a degree in the field uh you're not allowed to talk about it uh it's almost like if you don't have experience in the real world talking about these issues you can't talk about it you know and. Even though I have both of these I'm still not allowed to talk about it uh so so Israel strikes uh Iranian officials in um Iran and in Beirut in Lebanon and nothing's happened why is nothing happened well this is the longer I'll say this the longer it goes without Iran doing anything uh the the opinions start to widen more so right when Israel did this the next few days after Iran issued their you know you know requisite rhetoric uh everybody panicked right the the Navy moved a bunch of resources into the region we're starting to send fighter squadrons we reposition bombers into the Middle East like the United States has moved some serious stuff here like some seriously big defense stuff every nation in Europe has basically said get out of Lebanon and get out now um most Nations have issued no Tams uh over Iranian or Israeli or Lebanese airspace saying don't fly here because there's probably going to be missiles or something it's been pandemonium for like a week now um you know so I don't know I mean I don't have that much information either way um it seems like what what I what I say don't M doesn't matter clearly the US government thinks something's going on clearly NATO thinks something's going on clearly the European Union member states think that Iran is preparing for a massive massive attack on Israel I don't know uh the that that's one idea is that the reason for this delay is that is is that Iran is is trying to prepare for a much larger offensive and they need some time to do it and they're trying to get Israeli Israeli forces complacent uh there's that theory the other theory is that Iran is probably not going to do squat uh they're just not interested in escalating the situation I've seen some reports the fact that it's being pushed by Western media should probably be a hint. But I wanted to mention it any I mentioned it yesterday so I want to mention it again there's talks and there's some there's some level of um Credence to be given to the idea that maybe internal Iranian politics is at play here uh a lot of Western media is trying to say that the newly elected president U pishan is trying to um kind of quell the situation uh. Whereas ayatolla and the irgc Chiefs and all the uh uh military leadership is all about targeting Israel directly you know with like you know very sub substantial attacks the president doesn't want to do that. And so he's he's like trying to pump the brakes on this sort of thing I don't know uh honestly from an Iranian perspective uh it it would make sense for Iran to be to be a little hesitant um again this is kind of an inflammatory idea. But I think that the just my own personal opinion is I think Israel is far more likely to Nuke Iran than Iran to Nuke Israel uh I think that uh it's become and you see this you see this uh repeated and replicated throughout Every Nation on Earth's defense policy is that there's this General assumption that whenever Israel gets kind of backed into a corner um they'll nuke the planet uh I don't know how accurate that is. But I could tell you people feel it people think it um and whether Israel is whether that's a SC up to make people think that or you know whether it's actually true I don't know. But Iran might not be willing to gamble I can tell you that the Iranians are probably less willing to gamble uh with the Israelis than the Israelis willing to gamble with the Iranians either way like I pointed out in the wire uh report I think that it's uh the longer that this goes on and Iran doesn't do anything the more likely it is for Netanyahu to not be able to hold his Wad and launch another attack on Iran to kind of poke him even more you know that that's that's netanyahu's policy I don't know if it's I don't know how well that's replicated throughout Israeli Society. But it's definitely Netanyahu like C can we talk about this now a little bit more openly like look man you know nyaho is definitely trying to provoke a war with Iran he's trying to drag the us into it that's my own opinion uh based on how far this has gone so I don't know he might be he might be successful I just think that it's very unlikely for nuclear war to break out over this in any case very unlikely. But I think that in the 0.00001% chance that nuclear war does start I don't think it's going to be Iran that starts it um uh the Iranians are they're more likely to to be aligned with Russia and China two other factors that not a lot of people try to try to bring into you got to remember take Israel out of it for a minute Iran's making moves man they've opened up major transcontinental Railways over the past few months increased trade with China they've increased trade with with Russia and Turkmenistan and turkey and all these other places I think I'll have to look that up. But you know the the brics Nations Russia uh in particular is trying to help move oil uh from the Middle East through to China and natural gas as well so you've got a lot of these logistical things uh kind of linking all these nations together so um in American society we we tend to like look at it as an Iran versus Israel thing and we forget that there's things in the periphery that we're not looking at here and I think a lot one of the bigger factors at play here is probably other diplomatic things not just Israel versus Iran so the Iranians I don't know I mean they're they're they're pretty bold traditionally speaking I mean Ayatollah is pretty bold they're not really known for backing down uh they're not really known for being the bigger person either in a diplomatic spat with Israel um. But they may I mean I don't know it's it it really just depends um I think all of us really just conjecture to be honest most of the time like it's just kind of a waste of time uh to to really dig super deep on this um I think for most Americans the most value you can have for this is just making sure your gas Tank's topped up making sure that you know you've got good coms you've got uh you know decently you know okay view of world events um financially speaking just you know making sure that you know you're resilient on that front just in case something happens in the Middle East and the stock market crashes or something like that you know some kind of dip occurs or something like that I know there's not a whole lot of way to predict that sort of thing. But you know it's it's just sort of a very hard topic to kind of really say how it matters to be honest so yeah I just don't really know what much more to say about this other than you know clearly the United States uh is expecting something to happen and I think I think it may be worth considering that if nothing happens they may poke something to happen I don't know I mean that's Israeli policy does that extend to Americans I don't know you know Israel has no problem provoking Iran. But does the United States I don't know would the United States provoke Iran uh if Israel wanted us to depends on how that would look but probably I mean I don't know a lot of this stuff is just unknowns and it probably doesn't really matter for most people out there. But I just think that since everybody's just kind of just wait we're all tense and we're all kind of waiting for the Iranians to make their move I don't think the Iranians making a move is is the only metric we should track we should be looking at what's happening in Israel too you know the Israelis might make another move they might not wait for the Iranians to make a move the Russians may make a move uh they're kind of tied up in kers right now that's a whole other Scandal I'll have to talk about next week I'm sure uh. But yeah just looking at it in terms of just waiting for Iran to make a move is probably not the best way of looking at it but despite that guess what Washington is looking at it like that the dod is looking at it like that everybody's just kind of waiting uh for something that might not occur or if it does occur it's not going to look like what they think it is so I don't know we'll we'll be able to tell if Iran does something and it's just like minimal we'll know this is all a this is all a farce we'll all know this is ah this is just Iran Saving Face and tensions will calm down I am sure that it infuriates Netanyahu whenever Iran launches just some kind of piss poor attack that's really like no threat to them because if they're able to intercept all the mun only like one makes it to their target they can't really claim that Iran threatens them you know if this super Grand you know Hellfire and brimstone attack from Iran doesn't really do anything well then netanyahu's power declines because of that so I don't know either way uh it's a hard topic to talk about so I guess that pretty much wraps up all of the complexities of what's going on in the world today with regards to you know the British Isles and uh what's going on in the Middle East I know it's been kind of hard to bring a lot of these thoughts together in a coherent manner um and sorry I'm a little bit more of verbose than normal today. But either way uh these are some pretty complex issues and I think you know unless we talk these sorts of things out we're not really going to come to any sort of learning or um understanding on any of this sort of stuff so keeping an open mind is important. But uh also not letting that open mind be influenced by very obvious um information shaping operations as important so you know just. Moving forward I think that's going to be hard enough as is so um thank you guys all for watching I I think I've covered pretty much everything I want to cover uh I'll talk more about some more uh events that have occurred uh in Monday's wire as usual all the things that kind of happen over the weekend I sort of summarize on Monday as well um. But for now that's all I've got I'll spare you guys much more of my talking uh into Oblivion so uh thank you all for watching and we will. See you next time and as always fight in the shade.

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