The Wire - December 7, 2023

this is the wire for 1830 Zulu December 7th 2023 precedences routine information cut off at 1730 bottom line up front the United States begins involvement in the Venezuela Guyana dispute beginning with international events un Secretary General Antonio gutiz invokes article 99 of the United Nations Charter regarding the humanitarian crisis in Gaza analyst comment invoking article 99 is a rarely U ized and largely symbolic gesture intended to raise awareness on a particular issue in effect this action mostly schedules a meeting to discuss the Gaza issue this move is probably intended to keep the spotlight on the exceptionally desperate humanitarian crisis that is worsening within Gaza in South America yesterday a guyane military helicopter crashed due to possible bad weather in the eso near the Venezuelan border most of the Personnel on board were high ranking military officers due to the restrictive terrain rescue Crews have not yet accessed a crash site however Signs of Life have reportedly been observed from the air us southcom has announced that they will be conducting joint military exercises within guyana's airspace analyst comment The Joint nature of these exercises is probably overstated as Guyana has no attack aircraft whatsoever analyst comments for this wire the US military flights within esbo are probably intended to deter Venezuelan aggression in the region as well as to quietly serve as intelligence collection opportunity however the concept of deterrence assumes that the adversarial Force knows and understands the consequences of such action right now the chances are high for a random soldier in the jungle to fire off a man portable air defense system or man pad at any aircraft they do not visually recognize as such the risks of conducting these deterrence operations are very high relying on counter measures on board aircraft as a safety measure is also a risky gamble considering the adversary being one of the most technologically advanced military forces on the continent a shootdown incident involving a US aircraft would be a great justification for the US to become directly involved in what would immediately become a wider conflict this concludes the wire for 1830 Zulu December 7th 2023