ATP 2-33.4, page 130
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
2014 public edition (Archive.org)
Searchable page text (OCR / PDF)
Appendix B
B-6
ATP 2-33.4
18 August 2014
Table B-5. Population indicators (continued)
Indicators of Aggressive Behavior Within the Population (continued)
Close connections between diplomatic personnel of hostile countries and local opposition groups.
Communications between opposition groups and external supporters.
Increase of disaffected youth gatherings, such as student protests or demonstrations.
Establishment of organizations of unexplained origin and with unclear or nebulous aims.
Establishment of new organizations that replace an existing organizational structure with identical aims.
Appearance of many new members in existing organizations, such as labor unions.
Infiltration of student organizations by known agitators.
Appearance of new organizations stressing grievances or interests of repressed or minority groups.
Reports of large donations to new or revamped organizations.
Reports of payment to locals for engaging in subversive or hostile activities.
Reports of the formation of opposition paramilitary or militia organizations.
Reports of lists of targets for planned opposition attacks.
Appearance of “professional” agitators in gatherings or demonstrations that result in violence.
Evidence of paid and armed demonstrators’ participation in riots or violent protests.
Significant increase in thefts, armed robberies, and violent crime in rural areas; increase in bank
robberies in urban areas.
Opposition-Directed Aggressive Behavior Within the Population
Refusal of population to pay, or unusual difficulty in collecting rent, taxes, or loan payments.
Trends of demonstrated hostility toward government forces or the mission force.
Unexplained disappearance of the population or avoidance of certain areas.
Unexplained disappearance or relocation of children and adolescents.
Reported incidents of attempted recruitment to join new movements or underground organizations.
Criminals and disaffected youth who appear to be acting with and for the opposition.
Reports of extortion and other coercion by opposition elements to obtain financial support.
Use of fear tactics to coerce, control, or influence the local population.
Surveillance of host-nation government or mission force facilities and personnel.
Activities Directed Against the Government or Mission Force Within the Population
Failure of police and informer nets to report accurate information, which may indicate sources are actively
supporting opposition elements or the sources are intimidated.
Decreasing success of government law enforcement or military infiltration of opposition or disaffected
organizations.
Assassination or disappearance of government intelligence sources.
Reports of attempts to bribe or blackmail government officials, law enforcement employees, or mission
personnel.
Classified information leaked to the media.
Sudden affluence of certain government and law enforcement personnel.
Recurring failure of government or mission force raids on suspected opposition organizations or illegal
activities apparently due to forewarning.
Increased hostile or illegal activity against the government, its law enforcement and military organizations,
foreigners, minority groups, or competing political, ethnic, linguistic, or religious groups.
Demonstrations against government forces, minority groups, or foreigners designed to instigate violent
confrontations with government or mission forces.
Increased antigovernment or mission force rhetoric in local media.