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Analytic Techniques · 2021-07-16

Geländetaufe

…in sight every single service member who has found themselves in a similar situation has at some point or another named a mountain or a tree or a river after some various rude part of the…
The Wire · 2024-08-16

The Wire - August 16, 2024

At some point, the thousands of hours of content from experts on the matter must reach a consensus. For many, there is already enough evidence in the public sphere to indicate how much of this nearly…
The Wire · 2024-03-08

The Wire - March 8, 2024

…At absolutely NO point, is it acceptable in any form or fashion for a grieving parent to be put in handcuffs in front of an array of reporter’s cameras, especially if that grieving family member…
The Wire · 2024-10-14

The Wire - October 14, 2024

…As such, entities responding to this crisis are not going to be able to lean on the “undisclosed threat” claims for too long; at some point the citizenry is going to wonder why, of all times…
The Wire · 2024-12-03

The Wire - December 3, 2024

…sense the minute but important details of how arrests have been carried out may be a moot point by the end of the day arresting elected officials and dragging them out of their offices in the…
The Wire · 2024-03-03

The Wire Weekly Rollup - March 3-9, 2024

lace these ideas are quite clear and merely common sense and point to one main idea care should be taken by authorities in the persecution of people who have nothing left to lose regardless of political…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 106

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

… Outline the main points and key assumptions and characterize the evidence supporting current analytic view.  Select one or more assumptions that appear the most susceptible to challenge.  Review the data used to determine…
The Wire · 2024-07-02

The Wire - July 2, 2024

…This textbook threatening language has evolved to the point of Leftist groups threatening a President, which normally is the most-forbidden topic that results in immediate investigation under normal circumstances. However, legalities aside, this does shift…
The Wire · 2024-04-29

The Wire - April 29, 2024

the Hague becomes involved to the point of issuing arrest warrants this will continue to highlight the vast differences in the style of warfare that Israel engages in. On the other hand, various pro-Palestine movements…
The Wire · 2025-01-29

The Wire - January 29, 2025

This has been known for some time, however the increasingly casual descriptions of this relationship must be noted as this has the potential to drag other nations into this fight at some point, if the "soft…
The Wire · 2025-05-21

The Wire - May 21, 2025

…During the visit, the main point of focus was the domestic situation in South Africa, with President Trump pressing Ramaphosa regarding the concerns of genocide within his nation. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Despite the smiles and…
The Wire · 2025-01-27

The Wire - January 27, 2025

As inflammatory as that idea may be for some, this plan is patently obvious at this point despite all of the efforts to gaslight and deflect from this truth. Of course, American discourse on this issue…
The Wire · 2025-03-21

The Wire - March 21, 2025

…Zelenskyy himself confirmed that a fresh shipment of F-16 fighter aircraft had arrived on Wednesday, however he did not specific their point of origin. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - Executive actions continue as before. President Trump…
The Wire · 2025-12-17

The Wire - December 17, 2025

…This is important because a major sticking point in this case is the complete lack of interior security camera footage. In response to the sheer disbelief in the lack of security camera footage of a mass…
The Wire · 2024-10-21

The Wire - October 21, 2024

…However, as naval drills are usually a display of hard-power, these moves indicate that this indirect diplomacy may at some point become more confrontational in nature. This dynamic will be most perceptible at the upcoming…
The Wire · 2026-05-05

The Wire - May 05, 2026

…In the Persian Gulf, the sudden disappearance of hundreds of vessels (or their "convergence" on one single point) on tracking maps is a classic case of both GPS jamming and AIS spoofing. Though many commentators have…
The Wire · 2024-03-24

The Wire Weekly Rollup - March 24-30, 2024

…as to the origins of these attackers is merely interested in their pound of Flesh at this point even to the traditionally rigidly thorough Federal Security Service it likely matters very little whether or not these…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 110

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…The analyst thinks in terms of likely or required precursor events that point towards and/or generates the possible event. The purpose is to identify two to three deviations from the original ten casual forces that…
The Wire · 2026-07-28

The Wire - July 28, 2026

…The situation has reached another point (much like has happened before) where the US can just as equally go all-in on another round of strikes, or the US could do nothing. Nevertheless, if strikes are…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 29

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…It also requires us to come up with a plausible motivation for the intruder—a motivation that is absent at this point. Either theory would be an adequate and plausible explanation. Both explain the same phenomenon…

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