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The Wire · 2026-04-02

The Wire - April 2, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z April 2, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: COLONIAL PIPELINE SHUT DOWN BRIEFLY OVERNIGHT AFTER SUSTAINING DAMAGE IN GEORGIA. STRATEGIC BUILDUP CONTINUES IN MIDDLE EAST AS UNITED STATES BEGINS TARGETING CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE WITHIN IRAN.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Middle East: American targeting within Iran continues as Iranian forces continue to hit U.S. bases throughout the region. American bases in Kuwait have been hammered over the past few days, with ballistic missile strikes being reported at Camp Arifjan and Ali Al Salem Airbase. Within Iran, this morning the United States began more deliberate attacks on infrastructure which are not solely military targets. The B1 bridge west of Tehran was destroyed, which was not yet opened (it was still under construction) but would have been the largest bridge in the country and the main link between Tehran and Karaj. Analyst Comment: The Iranians are very likely to retaliate by hitting one (or several) critical bridges throughout the region, on the south side of the Persian Gulf. The King Fahd Bridge linking Bahrain with the mainland was already struck by the Iranians on the opening days of the war (when Saudi forces crossed the bridge to put down the Shia uprising/protests in Manama) so if they wanted to hit it again they've already demonstrated that they have the ability to do so. Iraq: This morning the US State Department issued another travel alert, specifically warning that attacks may escalate over the next 24-48 hours. Analyst Comment: This is probably in response to the kidnapping of American journalist Shelly Kittleson by Kataib Hezbollah two days ago (who still remains missing in Baghdad) but also the deteriorating security situation nationwide, which is being compounded by various Iraqi militia groups beginning to mobilize against American forces in the region. More strategically, the situation is Iraq has deteriorated to it's lowest point in years, and there is now a very real risk of some kind of insurgent uprising coming about, due to the opposing militant groups which have been stirred up by the situation in Iran. This will be an important situation to monitor over the next few weeks. India: Following weeks of petroleum disruptions nationwide, the first oil tanker arrived in Vadinar overnight, completing India's resumption of purchasing crude oil from Iran, which was originally halted in 2019. Analyst Comment: India had previously halted the purchase of Iranian oil due to American sanctions, but due to the war in the Middle East resulting in the US waiving oil export sanctions, India has resumed the purchase of oil from Iran. Indian media reports that the transaction was carried out in Chinese Yuan. -HomeFront- Georgia: Yesterday evening Colonial Pipeline's Line 1 was shut down after sustaining damage during drilling operations. The pipeline was shut down for several hours while repairs were conducted, and as of this morning Line 1 is fully functional. Analyst Comment: While this incident was not the result of malign action and it was resolved quickly, this was still a big deal. This is the largest gasoline pipeline network in the United States, and provides the vast majority of gasoline to the east coast. Considering the recent volatility in the oil markets, this outage occurring right before a major holiday weekend for travel was exceptionally poor timing. Washington D.C. - Several leadership changes have taken place this afternoon. Attorney General Pam Bondi has been relieved of her duties, with her Deputy Todd Blanche taking over her roles until a replacement is found. At the Pentagon, General Randy George was requested to take an early retirement, effective immediately, stepping down from his role as Army Chief of Staff. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: President Trump's address to the nation last night concluded without any major announcement of policy changes, and the speech was neither an announcement of the end of the war nor of any substantial increase of combat operations. Timeline wise, President Trump stated that the conflict will last 2-3 more weeks, though no official exit plan was conveyed. More generally, speeches by political officials are not usually reflective of the tactical situation on the ground and as it stands right now, the raw information available to the public continues to indicate another surge of military hardware and resources into the Middle East. Yesterday CENTCOM published their list of assets deployed to support Operation Epic Fury, which included many resources which have recently arrived in theater, such as the EA-37B COMPASS CALL platform (which is used for electronic warfare). This platform arrived on station yesterday, having been observed at Mildenhall Air Base on her way to the Middle East two days ago. Aircraft movements such as this one (and others) continue to indicate that operations are ramping up...not down. National-level reconnaissance and EW assets being moved into theater at this point (conducting their first combat deployment a full month after the war began), is not an indicator of the war coming to a close. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
The Wire · 2026-04-09

The Wire - April 9, 2026

//The Wire//2300Z April 9, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: IRAN CONFIRMS MINES LAID IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ, MERCHANT VESSELS REMAIN HESITANT TO TRANSIT STRAIT. ARMY DEPLOYED IN IRELAND TO CLEAR FUEL CRISIS PROTESTERS FROM ROADWAYS AS DEMONSTRATIONS SWEEP THE NATION.//  -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----   -International Events- Middle East: Around the region, missile and drone attacks in GCC states have ceased, with the UAE confirming that this was the first day where no munitions were fired at them from Iran. Last night Iranian forces effectively closed the Strait again, as indicated by recordings of radio transmissions from the Iranians warning tanker crews against attempting to transit the waterway without their permission. Strait of Hormuz: This morning IRGC-N forces published a nautical chart outlining the area in the Strait where they have laid naval mines. The number of mines laid remains unknown, and this document is the first acknowledgement that minelaying operations have been carried out within the Strait. Ireland: Over the past few days, protests related to the ongoing fuel crisis have been growing. These protests have largely taken the form of farmers and delivery drivers parking their vehicles on roadways and tram lines, to block the passage of other vehicles. This morning, Prime Minister Micheál Martin confirmed that the Irish Army is being deployed throughout the nation to remove the protesters vehicles from the roadways. Analyst Comment: The fuel crisis in Ireland is a complicated endeavor and it's not entirely just about fuel costs at this point. Initially, protesters primarily have been demonstrating against rising fuel costs brought on by the war in the Middle East. A few days ago this escalated when protesters took the accelerationist approach, and blocked the entrance to Whitegate Refinery in Cork Harbor to make the price of fuel go even higher and thus make the issue everyone's problem. As a secondary result of blocking the entry/exit of vehicles from Ireland's only refinery, roughly 40% of Ireland's gasoline supply was cut off in an instant, and prices not only skyrocketed, but now the sheer supply itself is also running out. The tertiary effect of this effort has spiraled into a larger movement that is no longer solely about fuel costs, but also about general corruption and anti-government sentiments. This has in turn resulted in other protesters taking to the roadways around the country to stop traffic, and effectively compound all of the previous demonstration tactics, which has now resulted in the Army being called up to clear roadways and restore some sort of order. -HomeFront- North Carolina: Yesterday the FBI arrested one former DoD civilian employee on charges of leaking classified information to a journalist. Courtney Williams (a former employee of U.S. Special Operations Command) was arrested after allegedly conveying classified material to Seth Harp for his book about alleged drug trafficking and criminal enterprises within JSOC. Williams appeared as a named source for some of the material in the piece, which allegedly included classified material. Analyst Comments: Contradicting media reports on the topic, the press release for this arrest confirms that this has nothing to do with the current conflict in Iran. Many media sources are claiming that this individual was the person who leaked details of the F-15 which was shot down over Iran a few days ago, however this is blatantly false. The DoJ states that the leaks of classified information occurred between 2022 and 2025, and contained information that Williams had access to when she worked for a clandestine military unit between 2010 and 2016. The DoJ has not made any comment regarding any arrest made specifically in conjunction with the current war in Iran. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: At the moment, Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. There is no US Navy presence to provide Freedom of Navigation, and the Iranians have threatened to destroy any vessel that attempts to pass without their permission. The potential confirmation of sea mines being laid in the Strait adds another complicating factor as if the Iranian's claims are true, someone is going to have to demine this region at some point. Doctrinally speaking, the chief concern with minefields is that even if no mines are laid, the accusation alone is enough to prevent anyone from entering the area until clearance operations have been conducted. Any vessel can be a minesweeper exactly one time, but most insurance companies are unlikely to support such endeavors for the vessels that they underwrite policies for. Conveniently, the safe route suggested by the IRGCN (to avoid the sea mines they have laid) takes commercial vessels through their waters via the Larak Island tollbooth route. So far, only a handful of vessels have transited the Strait, all of which used the Larak Island route and passed with Iranian permission. Analyst: S2A1 Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
S2 briefing · 2022-02-27

Ukraine War Update: On The Landing Grounds

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the ukrainian war intelligence update for saturday the 26th of february 2022. so let's get right to it i don't have too much information coming out of europe today i've really been focused on trying to figure out where the front lines are but there has been some pretty big news with regards to sanctions the eu has stated that they will be closing european union airspace to all russian aircraft we're still waiting on a bit of clarification on that because that would mean that more or less the entire continent of europe's airspace would be closed to russia and that would actually be a pretty significant move to counter russia's actions in ukraine but again russia would have had to have planned for this and could have guessed that this would happen so who really knows if this is going to affect russia that much plus russia has a lot of trading partners out in the far east and in the rest of asia so really trying to figure out what this is going to mean for russia and what the actual details are the european union has also agreed to cut off some russian banks from the swift banking system which i will admit i did not think they would do but again we will have to see what banks get cut off with these sanctions because as with all sanctions the devil is in the details and we'll have to actually go through and read the actual documents and not a news story on the documents to see what is actually going to happen to russia with regards to sanctions in russia alexander chulakov was found dead this morning allegedly taking his own life i say allegedly because much like other powerful figures in the world top-ranking politicians oligarchs and important people in russia do not normally meet to their end by natural or their own causes and alexander tulikov was the financial director for the entirety of gazprom russia's biggest energy monopoly and is the largest natural gas company in the world along these same lines and because i didn't have anywhere to put it there are rumors of dissension within the top-ranking politicians in russia again with propaganda flying everywhere from all sides at this point it's really hard to say what is actually going on and it is very unlikely that we're going to have any kind of information gathering capability behind closed doors in russia's top political sphere however rumors are running rampant right now that a lot of dissension is breaking out between some of the old guard in russian political structures and some of putin's closer friends and associates and things like that a lot allegedly a lot of people were kept in the dark in russian high society with regards to this ukraine situation and they're not too happy about it because like we're getting ready to talk about in a bit uh the invasion is not exactly going as smoothly as one would have hoped right it's not a complete and decisive uh conflict just yet uh russia is having to fight for every inch of terrain they get uh for the most part we'll talk about that again in on the fronts but i just wanted to mention that there are inklings of some dissension going on within within russia's political sphere much like the rest of europe which is completely and utterly disorganized in shambles with regards to the sanctions like i mentioned last time things aren't exactly perfect in russia either so i guess we'll have to see what comes of this we'll be on the lookout for any kind of indicators of squabbling going on but really i just wanted to point it out because it might be an it might be a factor for how this ukrainian conflict goes in the future i'm going to skip over the naval updates for today because i don't really have anything constructive to add and we'll talk about the black sea here in just a bit but moving on to the overall operating picture intel gaps are many and wide regarding the positions of the front lines at this stage russia continues her assault on all fronts though there has been a measurable decrease in the speed at which forces have been moving many russian units have been scattered on various fronts or are black on logistics like food water and ammunition much like yesterday russia's advance seems to be the most speedy down south along the crimean front but this is likely due to the open terrain and lack of significant populated areas to hold up the russians in places like urban centers or the more densely populated areas around the country russian forces are being observably bogged down by both ukrainian military actions and civilian efforts to slow their advance as to whether or not this will be effective enough time will have to tell on that again we are continuing to see russian forces being sent into action piecemeal which if you step back and look at things from a historical perspective is almost morbidly ironic considering the historical significance of this exact terrain it was almost 80 years ago that the german sixth army was advancing across what is now ukraine to fight that battle that would decide their fate at stalingrad which was renamed as volgograd after the war and both belligerents of the current war are echoing some of the same tactics used by both sides during the conflict during world war ii ukraine is taking the fight to the cities and letting their invader come deeper and deeper into their territory so that she stretches her supply lines thin russia is echoing the ghost of yetumenka by not taking advantage of the doctrine of massing her forces sending relatively smaller units into battle piecemeal when she should and could be sending in massive coordinated waves of troops ukraine on the other hand is a much smaller and more disadvantaged force but still somehow is managing to deny the russians the air even if it is mostly with shoulder-launched man pads russia seemingly ignorant or dismissive of the importance of air power has not yet dedicated enough aerial forces for this conflict and is now beginning to pay the price for it russia also largely relying on speed and rapidly advancing armored columns have begun to realize that a blitzkrieg might be an effective tactic but it requires fuel and logistics to make it work and putin surrounding himself with yes men instead of people who know what they are doing might be a pretty big reason for the losses that have been sustained taking the initiative to rapidly pierce deep into enemy terrain has been proven to withstand the test of time in the field of warfare but it does have its downsides punching deep into enemy terrain is all fine and dandy until you realize that you have no supplies and you are deep inside enemy terrain i think that all of these observations are utterly fascinating to those who study history and though i certainly don't think that this is an exact parallel to the stalingrad campaign these observations are plain as day to us here so i just wanted to point this out to anyone who might also be thinking along the same lines both the ukrainians and the russians are cherry-picking the best and sometimes the worst parts of their own history in order to fight this war before we get to each front let's briefly examine the iff markers that russia has been observed to be using since we're getting a lot of questions about this for the most part russian forces are using alphanumeric letters to identify friend or foe or iff this is extremely common for all militaries to do and extremely important for russia because ukraine has pretty much the same equipment so having some measure to tell each other apart is important however there has been some variation between the iff markers used some units stationed in the east have the letter v on their vehicles some from crimea have the letter o like the forces from belarus so just remember that as you see the thousands of videos or pictures that are coming out there's a little bit of variation between these on the northeastern front more or less a united front has emerged with russian forces linking up from cherniv konotop sumi and kharkiv i do want to caveat that by saying there's a big uncertainty bubble right there in the middle between kanotop and cherniv because we don't exactly know if this link up has occurred or not the troops in konatop have have been experiencing great difficulties just surviving over the past day or so so we don't really know if this nice flip we have drawn on the slide here is an accurate line or we don't we don't know if this is a complete line or if this is just pockets of front lines as russia moves forward either way this has occurred with great difficulty and at great cost to the russians like i mentioned locals in the vicinity of kanatop are reporting that russians are scavenging for fuel and supplies lots of single tanks and single btrs are also noticed to be driving around sometimes instead of in column form i don't know if this is an isolated event but it seems like some units in countertop have gotten lost or been the only survivors of their column it's hard to say the situation is far too fluid to make a judgment call either way but it is certain to say that the situation is quite serious in countertop for the russians this grants a little bit of credence to our earlier assessments that russian logistics are not nearly adequate enough for a slow-paced assault plus the downsides of russian doctrine are coming out now heavily relying on the battalion tactical group while an adequate tool for the task of invading a nation like ukraine still presents problems when it comes to the allocation of logistics bringing in btgs from all over russia and having them work together in a non-traditional command structure has got to be a logistical nightmare in other words the russian army is right now figuring out their logistical limits and they are figuring it out the hard way so over the coming days we will see how big of a problem logistics will be for the russians along the central part of the northeastern front sumi has been retaken by ukrainian forces with the assistance of local citizens who have been helping with the defense of their city with kiev being a primary target russia appears to have made the decision to break contact with ukrainian forces in the vicinity of sumi or tie up ukrainian forces so that other armor divisions can maneuver around sumi and head for kiev this is an interesting play for anyone who knows what the word salient means so if russia has indeed decided to encircle and bypass sumi this could be a significant vulnerability that ukraine could exploit if they try this tactic in other places along the eastern front not much new information to report it looks like a lot of the civilians out east have already started to kind of move away from the area so information is going to be kind of spotty probably from here on out on the eastern front we do know that an amphibious landing did occur in the vicinity of marapol though we don't know any other details besides that but this amphibious landing will be important for the rest of the southern front which we'll talk about now along the southern front the situation remains much the same with kirsan still in ukrainian hands though there is fighting in the city right now in the city might have been lost over the past few hours it's hard to tell there are also reports of russian troops fighting in miyakev right now just to the north of kirusan but again it's really uncertain and the front line is very fluid in this area so we'll have to wait and see what the line actually turns out to be and probably by tomorrow or a few days from now it's possible that russian troops are doing what they have done up in the northeast in sumi where some russian forces encircle a city and tie up ukrainian forces while other russian units maneuver around and bypass the city entirely whether or not russia has the forces to keep doing this leapfrog action remains to be seen but it seems to be attacked that they have started to use in the past couple of days along the eastern portion of the southern front advances continue to be made in the vicinity of mara pole and like i mentioned the amphibious forces that have landed in the vicinity of marapol will be very much needed in order to secure the city remember here in the south this terrain is wide open and this kind of terrain is exactly where russia maintains an overwhelming advantage which is why their advance has been so fast however that advantage rapidly diminishes in the urbanized areas and in areas that require the use of paratroopers to win decisively which we will talk about when we get to kiev along the western front not very much new to report moldova continues to accept refugees as does romania hungary and slovakia so there's that for those who are concerned about refugee movement in transnistria we've tried to do some digging and get to the bottom of what's been going on there and it looks like russia only has about one or two btgs worth of troops there so maybe maybe a thousand troops top that's just kind of a rough guess so that's really not enough to do anything with in fact the tensions with moldova right now moldova the rest of moldova supporting ukraine in this conflict that tension there has probably got those russian troops and transnistria a little bit more concerned with their own security than was conducting any kind of operation within ukraine plus just looking at the map the southwestern portion of ukraine is very much a low population density area so they've got to punch a long way before they actually get to anything that's militarily significant so is probably going to be very much an irrelevant front uh for this conflict but again we'll still keep an eye on it and see what goes on with russia taking more and more losses there's no telling what they might do up north on the northwestern front limited fighting has been observed within the outskirts of kiev but again we have one of those little uncertainty bubbles here because the terrain between chernobyl and kiev is highly dynamic and very fluid at this moment so we don't really know what's going on uh in in the area between chernobyl and kiev uh just other than fighting is occurring but it's it's very sporadic it's not like there's a fluid front line that we can draw for you but let's get into kiev in kiev proper fighting has broken out all around the city today as russian forces continue their attempts to use helicopter assault forces to conduct air assault operations to seize and hold critical targets that will allow fixed-wing operations bringing in even more troops efficiently in other words for those of you who don't speak staff officer russia has been putting a lot of troops on a lot of helicopters and flying them into locations near airports so that they can seize the airports and therefore allow bigger aircraft to land and offload troops and supplies the fight for kiev might be a long and drawn out affair so russia is going to have to seize all of the airports in the area for that fight to actually be a victory russia has also been conducting many devastating airborne paratrooper drops for the same reason and i say devastating because these attempts have been very costly for the russians ukrainian forces have learned quite a bit and have been taking advantage of every weapon system that they have and concentrating those weapon systems in and around all prospective paratrooper landing zones there are only so many places a helicopter or a paratrooper can land which is something that the ukrainians know full well and the russians learned today ukraine even shot down two il-76 over kiev today both of which were allegedly fully loaded with russian paratroopers we're still waiting on photos of the wreckages to confirm this with any certainty as always but that might take a while since one wreckage apparently came down a few miles outside of kiev in the vicinity of vasilkev and the other much further south about 20k out from the city if this is true and two il-76s have been shot down by a ukrainian su-27 as is being claimed this is going to sting for russia as these can carry between 150 and 200 paratroopers depending on configuration and what the pilot is willing to fly with as far as weight numbers wise it's not a huge blow to the forces that have already been committed for the invasion russia has hundreds of il-76s but it's not nothing more importantly this indicates that the ukrainian air force might still have some fight left in them maybe though i'm not really sure how but this definitely proves that russia has not been able to achieve aerial superiority in the skies over kiev just yet aerial superiority which will 100 percent be a requirement for this invasion to go much further also in kiev civil defense preparations by civilians are fully underway with dozens of photos and videos showing the thousands of molotov cocktails that civilians have prepared for the upcoming urban fighting molotov cocktails are a cheap and easy munition to make and one which is devastatingly effective against pretty much all armored vehicles when massed in concentration as has been observed during the ukrainian war so far 30 or 40 ukrainian citizens with 30 or 40 molotov cocktails in their hands taking on a single btr might not seem that effective but so far in the previous fighting this has been observed to be a very valuable tactic and that's not considering the psychological effectiveness of such a crude but gruesome weapon system additionally the interior ministry of ukraine has asked all citizens to turn off their cell phones or only use them in emergencies due to russia's capabilities to detect cell phone signals and therefore detect large groups of people which could be targeted easily again this highlights how important electronic warfare has become in modern conflict and how even civilians must consider the risks that their smartphone brings to the table along the civilian front not too many changes from yesterday although i would like to point out that ukraine's neighbors to the west poland slovakia hungary romania and moldova have been more than willing to accept ukrainian refugees there hasn't been any hang-ups on this on this part other than the traffic to get to the border it looks like that's going pretty smoothly right now but again we have to remember that even though it's a good thing to see nations stepping up and taking uh people away from combat zones who don't want to be in combat zones right it's good to see european nations accepting refugees from this conflict right we also have to remember that europe is a political entity and nation states are political entities and this invitation might not last uh forever so unfortunately we have to think about things like this as we know the invitations for afghan refugees just four months ago was handled with not as much good-naturedness as one might have hoped from european nations now again the afghan culture and the ukrainian culture is very different so i think that kind of a side note is the reason why nations in europe are kind of hesitant to take afghan refugees is because of cultural reasons but and and of course historical political stuff um but i do just want to point out that hey even though nation states are doing the right thing right now or at least trying to with regards to refugees that might not be the case forever just wanted to point that out and that's pretty much all i've got for now we've as a side project been working on a sort of a briefing of or this might just turn into a slide on one of these briefs of information that encapsulates world events that have happened while the world's eyes have been on ukraine because a lot of people are asking and rightfully so what else is happening while the world is you is distracted with ukraine and the answer is kind of a lot a lot of things are happening around the world everybody's asking us what do you think is going to happen about china what are they going to move on taiwan now because of this i don't know it seems like to answer that question just while i'm here i don't know i don't think so at the moment more than likely what china is going to do is wait a little bit longer and see what other sanctions europe comes up with because again russia and china are very different nations russia before this conflict and before their ruble dropped down to the bottom russia was not in as severe dire straits economically as china is china is barely functioning economically right now they've had a lot of economic problems and again the fight for taiwan is going to be a lot different fight than the ukrainian conflict so yes it is a valid concern to think that we might be witnessing global conflicts kicking off here but at the same time i would also like to stress that the fight for taiwan is going to be very very different and the nature of it's different is different strategically different operationally and different tactically so i don't think that is much of a concern at this stage that might change tomorrow who knows nobody really knows what china is going to do so i guess we'll have to call that and play that by ear as far as other stuff going on around the world we're also keeping an eye on the united states that is for us who for for those of us who are located here in the united states that is a much more pressing concern than ukraine even though ukraine's the ukrainian wars impacts are being felt here in the united states in the form of cyber attacks and just uncertainty and of course the market implications but some of the stuff that's been going on in the u.s with regards to um tracking protesters and intelligence collection on uh american citizens on u.s soil some of that stuff we'll have to get into a little bit deeper as time goes on i just wanted to let everybody know that we are thinking about it we are seeing this stuff and we're not neglecting it uh just because ukraine is still going on um we're trying to get as much out there as we possibly can but again we're a pretty small team here so we're doing what we can so again that's all i've got for right now thanks again everyone for your support and we'll see you next time and as always fight in the shade
S2 briefing · 2022-03-03

Ukraine War Update: War of Words

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the ukrainian war intel update for march 2nd 2022. let's get right to it much like last time i don't really have a whole lot for the geopolitical sphere even though a lot has happened uh there's really not a whole lot worth talking about or commenting on i did want to briefly mention something that i thought was interesting and that is in russia there are extremely unconfirmed reports that valeri grassimov was fired by putin yesterday but i think these rumors are untrue firing the chief of staff for the russian armed forces during an invasion is something that is not very likely to happen even if the invasion is going badly so far it sounds like these reports are the result of western leadership trying to cast doubt on russia's leadership and this is a trend that has continued over the past few days because we've heard constantly that russia is losing and that putin has gone insane or that there has been rioting and mutiny among russian forces in belgorod or that a military coup is brewing in russia from russia's invasion failures none of this is verifiable to any degree and all of this is probably false the only way that i can think that putin would outright fire his version of the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff is if something so egregious occurred that it was worth losing face in the act of firing him and i highly doubt that that has occurred also in ukraine the evacuation issues have become more prevalent as more and more people try to egress to neighboring countries in the west but we'll talk more about that in a bit and in belarus things are heating up as well uh with belarus approving a referendum to give up their non-nuclear status so basically what this means is that belarus could be they they could be host to nuclear weapons in the future meaning that russia could deploy nuclear weapons to their terrain or belarus potentially could even get nuclear weapons of her own this is something that's pretty big when it comes to european politics but again this is just a direct result of russia and belarus trying to expand into the rest of europe any time that word nuclear gets turned around people tend to panic a little bit with this i wouldn't necessarily view it as anything more significant i mean if you just look at geography and how nuclear weapons work it doesn't really matter if there's a nuclear weapon in belarus or not because a nuclear weapon in belarus versus being launched from smolensk or briansk or something like that that doesn't really matter too much when it comes to that sort of thing but this is definitely a political play which we will talk about in just a bit before we go on i briefly wanted to mention a major warfare tactic that is being used in the information war right now by all sides and all players and that concept is called gaslighting those of you who have been downloading our slides should recognize this from several days ago but i've only found it prudent to verbally talk about right now for instance i pulled all of these graphics from various domestic abuse websites because that's how most people are aware of this psychological warfare tactic if you take a moment to read these graphics you might notice a lot of familiarity between these gaslighting tactics and pretty much everything that's been said by various political and social groups around the world over the past few years without getting too much into the weeds we are seeing gaslighting and other similar psychological tactics being the primary weapons of very powerful people around the world and this is becoming a significant problem for the ukrainian war causing someone to doubt their own sanity and reality is certainly where we are at with regards to most of the events that are being talked about in the world today of course a false tweet is not comparable at all to a grodd strike but those of us who are located outside of the combat zone and are trying to help people in the combat zone the information war becomes the primary fight for us and this is where we come to a standstill ourselves because right now the misinformation that is out there is so thick that it's not possible to know what's going on with any reliability for the most part the theme for this brief is that there's a lot happening but almost none of it is verifiable due to the blatant lies that are being told by all sides i go out of the way to make this distinction now because understanding this concept is an important lens with which to view what i'm about to say when we get to each front line moving to the overall operating picture much like last time the situation on the ground with regards to front line locations has become more ambiguous plus we also have to remember that russia is conducting this invasion mostly along surface roads it's not like uh when we think of a normal front lines of troops advancing across the countryside there isn't a whole lot of cross-country travel being used by the russians except for tactically uh in various uh situations where they need to maneuver off of a a hardpacked road right so for the most part it's not really it's not really doing justice to the invasion to kind of put lines on the map but it's kind of the best way to visualize it so we're still going to keep doing that but in any case forces to the north northeast and east have observably slowed down the pace of their advance this is mostly in the north as russian forces build up for the fight for kiev the southern front continues to be the front where most advances have occurred although much like the rest of the fronts the pace has slowed down over the past three days there have been reports slash rumors of the russian ministry of defense calling up reinforcements by way of more conscripts and there is some evidence to support this but it is difficult to determine what fronts are the priority for any reinforcements that arrive in theater or move forward into ukraine from forward operating bases along the russian and belarusian border in other words we don't know if russia is calling up troops from all over the country like they did for this initial initial invasion or if they're just moving guys they had pre-staged along the border this whole time so it's really unclear really hard to say which units are moving where so at this point our graphics showing each unit is very inaccurate speaking of belarus lukashenko has been more vocal than usual lately and very strongly indicating that belarus will be joining this conflict soon and it looks like belarusian forces have already joined the fight in certain areas and probably were part of the initial invasion as well belarus doesn't have a super large military but lukashenko clearly wants a piece of this action and since the only reason that he hasn't been mussolini in the streets is because putin is propping him up lukashenko's entire existence is dedicated to currying favor with putin so we will see belarus join this fight the question that remains unanswered is how much they will bring to the table as far as iff markers nothing really major new there have been a few new symbols or letters but it's really hard to tell if they're actually a new letter or if it's an older letter that's either due to combat damage kind of disfigured or if somebody painted it wrong or something that's really hard to tell but this is really what we were still sticking with as far as iff markers on the northeastern front we continue to see russian forces make very small limited advances and there appears to be a split in various uh forces and what i mean by that is forces that are west of kharkiv appear to be dedicated for the fight for kiev they were supposed to go further into the countryside but it looks like russia has determined that kiev is going to be a big fight which it is and they are pushing forces that probably were dedicated for other locations to kiev now forces that are taking kharkiv those forces are going to take that city as well again kharkiv is ukraine's second largest city so it's not a small town by any means so there's going to be a lot of forces dedicated for that also we're seeing that tactic of russia basically encircling or and or bypassing cities occurring as well the town of sumi has been taken and retaken it's changed changed hands a few times but again then we fall into the definition of or fall into the tactic of trying to define what taking a village actually means does it mean driving through it do you mean does that mean you took the village you know it's really hard to say so really what we're seeing is russia trying to tie down forces in some of these smaller cities like konatov and sumi and then larger forces bypassing these cities to head for their primary primary objectives which in this case are kiev and kharkiv we're even seeing forces starting to bypass kharkiv and head further to the south and east as they try to conduct a pincer operation from kharkiv all the way down to just off the slide to the eastern front and lugansk regions so we'll move down there now on the eastern front it's become clear to us that two major lines of effort have emerged one which is a sort of pincer movement or really just an advance on two different fronts two opposing fronts for the city of maripo forces in the occupied territories are trying to push to the west to cut off marple to the north and try to link up with the forces that have advanced from the south from crimea around the city uh to to pincer around it and cut off the city further moropole for all intents and purposes is more or less cut off right now from the outside world although there are pockets right it's not like there's an imaginary line stretched around the city right so breakout operations are certainly still possible for any ukrainian forces that wish to egress further back into ukraine's territory but it's unclear as to what ukraine's motives are for mario paul it looks like they're going to be trying to take that city or hold that city rather for the foreseeable future moving down south there appear to be three main lines of effort with one like i mentioned being dedicated to supporting marupul from the west another one appears to be piercing to the north most likely along the nipah river north to japanese and an additional unit that's pushing to the west uh to take the city of kerrson uh as of a few hours ago we've got the notification that kirsan has been taken or at least their mayor says so uh so ukrainians are admitting that uh russian units have taken kerosene and are actually trying to set up administrative areas uh already in the city further attempts to push west across the deneber are really hard to say right now most likely odessa will be assaulted with an amphibious assault very very soon if it hasn't occurred already by the time this video gets out because odessa is a major is a major port town and that's going to be a very critical avenue for things like trade and it's just a very populated city right so it's going to be a major target for the russian advance moving to the western front the front which is really the forgotten front because not really much has occurred here still continues to give us some information and that is this time to do with alexander lukashenko so yesterday belarusian dictator alexander lokashenko held a televised meeting with his security council to discuss the situation in ukraine what caught many people's eye was the map that he was standing in front of which showed a few interesting things so let's enhance if we enhance the image a bit we can clearly see that someone is planning an attack on moldova maybe again this could all be a deliberate mistake that is made to make us think that russia and belarus are going to invade moldova specifically transnistria next this map also shows ukraine being broken up into four administrative areas again hinting at the goal of a total eradication of the ukrainian state if this is genuinely russia's plan then the situation is far worse than we thought and russia's goals are far more ambitious than we thought but i myself am withholding judgment on this for now attacking transnistria would be a really really big deal even if it is a breakaway republic russian puppet state that would prove without a doubt that russia's intentions do not lie only within ukraine the other interesting part of this map is that it is slightly out of date and based on the lines of advance we can clearly see that things are not going as planned for the russians so many forces have had to change their plans and as we can now see the mad dash for kiev has begun so rather than following this map's scheme of advance every unit along the northern and northeastern front is headed for kiev but again this might be all a trick who knows russia has been known to genuinely accidentally leak very sensitive top secret information to the press such as the stuff that came out a few years ago about the canyon nuclear torpedo project and other gucci directorate stuff ordinarily it's a pretty bold move to show a map of your invasion on live tv but lukashenko is a pretty bold guy so it would make sense for him to show this map and boast about his military goals and if this is a deception operation i can't imagine what goal that deception operation would have it seems like there wouldn't be much to gain by leaking this intentionally as always we will have to wait and see if these lines of effort materialize and more importantly keep a closer eye on the situation in moldova on the northeastern front russian troops have begun stacking up for the assault on kiev which should be getting underway in earnest right about now but the russian advance has slowed to a crawl so much so that i would go as far as to say the advance to kiev has stalled at least temporarily as russia continues to stage troops russia has dedicated a lot of forces for the battle of kiev and those forces have been observed in what is now called the 40-mile convoy a vehicle stretching along the main highway south into kiev but we will talk about this in a moment let's zoom in a little closer in kiev various local tv towers have been struck resulting in television broadcast outages throughout the area this is something that again we should have expected honestly on the first day of this conflict it should also be noted that russia has announced that civilians who want to leave kiev kharkiv and other cities will not be harmed for trying to leave and at this stage we here have no reason to doubt that this policy will be honored uh russia may have indiscriminately targeted civilians passively with artillery and airstrikes but for the most part russian ground forces have not been targeting civilians and mass however seeing as the ukrainian resistance will be heavily concentrated in cities russia will also begin to conduct strikes in these locations as well artillery strikes have already been conducted in some parts of kiev and we expect that to continue and increase in severity over the coming days as russian troops begin to enter the city it's unlikely that russian forces will attempt to level the city it's more alike they'll probably be going for just pockets of resistance or military things military targets within the city but again russia's complete and utter lack of concern for collateral damage means that there's going to be a lot of damage throughout kiev over the coming days and that kind of leads us to something that we have been observing and thinking about this invasion since it began and that is the question of why is russia performing so poorly in this fight and for the entire western world who is fervently taking notes on this war this question keeps coming up as well why has russia not had a single notable action during this entire conflict yeah sure russia is still invading and they're not losing and they're still moving forward and making progress but it's almost like every goal they have achieved has been almost on accident there has been fierce fighting in places like kharkiv journey of chernobyl luhansk maripol and places like that and russia has won battles in these areas but it does not appear that russia has achieved a clear decisive total victory anywhere every battle they have fought has cost them dearly even in the skies russia doesn't maintain dominance every first lieutenant at every army unit that has ever existed wrote a term paper at some point detailing the importance of aerial superiority during an invasion and even people who have no understanding of warfare doctrine can see that russia should have achieved total and complete aerial superiority over the entire country of ukraine within the first few minutes of the invasion but they weren't able to do that and even three days after the invasion began they had two il-76s get shot down and then there's the 40-mile convoy headed to kiev let me tell you every single military service member who has ever driven a vehicle can look at that satellite imagery and cringe that is without a doubt the fattest target for an ambush that i have ever seen in my entire life remember these guys are not stacked up like this inside their own country no they are miles behind enemy lines in a country which has an active insurgency against them and this comes after some of their comrades down south got decimated by a ukrainian drone strike in this exact situation so all of these thoughts are not to push the western propaganda that russia is losing or demoralized we have no way to know that this is just a genuine observation that at this point is worth talking about anybody who has studied warfare for five minutes can plainly see that russia is making a lot of mistakes mistakes that are so serious that it makes you wonder if there's something here we don't know and that is certainly the case we're just spectating this like everyone else however one mistake that we see being made on the part of western military strategists is that they are grading russia's actions using a western textbook russia's style of warfare is different from ours and there are a lot of things that people tend to forget like vehicle spacing we here in the us are hypersensitive to that due to several decades of fighting insurgencies russia's last insurgency-ish fight was in georgia in 2008 and that wasn't a great learning exercise for russia with regards to counter-insurgency because they overwhelmingly won that conflict in just a few days but even going back to the chechen war russia has not had the same experience that the united states has and russia's military is certainly not an expeditionary one russia's reliance on rail to move the majority of her logistics and the doctrine of not really stressing truck-based transport at lower and lower echelon levels might be the main reason that russia is having logistical problems right now and the logistical stresses of pre-invasion training exercises is something to think about too remember these troops were on the border of ukraine for a couple weeks and just keeping a hundred and seventy-five thousand troops fed and warm in the field had to have been a logistical nightmare and that was before the invasion even began and we know that these logistical woes did exist because we saw a lot of soldiers being sent forward uh to staging areas along the border without winter gear or with sparse food supplies for the aviation threat another way to look at why we haven't really seen the skies full of russian aircraft is that they know the man pad threat is real what's the point of sending in your brand new shiny fighter jets or massive waves of ground attack aircraft against an enemy that's extremely dispersed dug in and with a single dude with a shoulder launched missile on every apartment rooftop even though russia has the capability to send in hundreds of aircraft every hour if they aren't willing to get a lot of them shot down in the process do they really have that capability same with the armored divisions we've seen rolling around we think of russia's actions in terms of total numbers and not the numbers that are actually being observed in practice sure we might see a column of vehicles in armor that is over 40 miles long with hundreds and hundreds of armored vehicles stretching out to take kiev but here's the thing at the very front of that column you're not fighting all 40 miles of it you're fighting just the first few vehicles again the warfare doctrine that armies around the world learn the hard way over time is that this sure-fire way to whittle down an overwhelming force is to take them on one at a time this concept goes all the way back to the gates of thermopylae and the story of the 300 spartans canalizing terrain even self-imposed canalizing terrain in the form of sticking to roads for ease of navigation is something that the russians don't appear to be too concerned with and with a civilian populace in full-on guerrilla warfare mode this is a decision that russia will regret later a lot of people are split along the following lines those that think that russia is intentionally holding back for some reason and actually does have the capability to fight better and those that think that the russian military is old and busted and doesn't actually have the capabilities that they claim they do going back to a cold war mentality that russia's power comes from the perception of her power in either case if russia is voluntarily or involuntarily not as effective as they should be the effect is the same they're not as effective as they should be whether they can't or they can but won't isn't super relevant to the 19 year old bmp driver outside of kiev or to the civilian defending their home i don't think that any one of these thoughts is the complete explanation for why russia doesn't seem to be doing as well as we might have guessed they would or why russia seems to be making a lot of poor decisions but maybe these random thoughts provide a different perspective or a different way of thinking about the russian military in general in any case russia is writing a lot of doctrine right now and they are writing it the hard way the same way the u.s wrote ours by gaining experience and maybe the biggest lesson that russia has learned from this conflict is that kiev is not tbilisi and ukraine is not georgia russia may start learning these lessons and if they are fully committed to taking kiev they might just win this war though win would be definitely too strong of a word whatever happens this will not be a total victory for russia russia's actions on the international stage have embarrassed herself even taking aside the obvious western propaganda and meaningless sanctions russia is supposed to be a superpower that should have taken ukraine on the first day much like the u.s and her overseas ambitions in the past expeditionary military operations to a country where the local populace doesn't want you there is a lot harder than it looks on the civilian front not too much to report other than the increasing tensions along evacuation routes to the west traffic is still atrociously bad along with the rail transport to the west trains are still running as far as we know and lots of people are cramming as many people as they can onto trains to get them to the west out of these areas but it's really hard to say when or where services might stop likewise with traffic there's really no good way to to show people how to get around it because every road is jammed heading to the west we aren't seeing too many problems or too many issues popping up although tensions are really high along the obviously the border zones there have been a few fights breaking out here and there along the border at various immigration controls and things like that um so it's really hard to to say exactly what's going on i wouldn't say that it's complete and total pandemonium no it's it's not like an all-out panic you know like a mad bat a mad dash to the border but there is there is tension there and uh the tensions are increasing and um it's just not really a super pleasant time right now so uh if we get any more information regarding the civilian front and how that's going to affect the civilian populace in the occupied territories we'll let you know before we close the day i wanted to mention just a few thoughts because there's a lot of there's a lot of ideological thoughts out there these days and it's really clear that a lot of the sources that are talking about ukraine are talking about in a certain way and like i mentioned in the beginning the situation for us has become a lot more complex and a lot more irritating when it comes to the information that is available to us about this war the information that we can use to make decisions about our own lives uh what i find myself doing really at this stage is just making observations and then taking steps to reduce my own personal vulnerabilities and increase my own capabilities those of you who have been listening to our stuff for a while you know that we're all about that we're all about reducing personal vulnerabilities and increasing capabilities no matter what the situation is right so rather than get bogged down in the ideological fighting over what belief is better or what piece of information is better or worse i find that it's a lot less stressful and a lot more productive to think about certain events and then the potential impacts like right now the reason that we're even talking about ukraine is that we generally don't think it's a super great idea for one nation to invade another especially in europe especially for the reasons that russia is claiming to have invaded for but i also don't want to engage in situations that might increase the risk of going to war with another superpower that internal conflict that debate over what opinion to have is not very useful to kind of flesh out in my mind plus i mean the world is such a different place today i mean remember how for two years now we've had that magical c word on our minds for the past two years barely an hour has gone by without us thinking about the virus for a lot of people that became their identity nothing more important than that however they felt about it and now the same thing is happening right now with ukraine a lot of people do not go five minutes without talking about or consuming the ukrainian war for political or social reasons so we want to avoid that and taking a step back reassessing what's actually going on and prioritizing what lessons to learn is sometimes necessary this isn't going to be the last event like this and we're looking into the future be it another invasion or some other worldwide polarizing event we've got to get in the right mindset for the next decade so that's all we've got for now i just wanted to briefly touch on how keeping the right mindset is important moving forward and as we move forward into this conflict we have to remember that information is going to be few and far between when the fighting for kiev begins in earnest there will be very little that we or anyone else can do for us our own goals are largely complete we chronicled the lead up to the invasion and the initial invasion itself our goals were to help provide enough information for people to make the decision to stay or leave ukraine and what avenues of approach to take to do so so in that regard our work is mostly done there seem to be very few people left in ukraine that have not either made the decision to stay or go what we will try to do moving forward is to provide our thoughts and lessons learned so as our information about the situation on the ground becomes more and more ambiguous we can still at least learn some lessons that will be helpful in making decisions in the future so we're not going anywhere but we also don't want to waste anyone's time if we don't have anything meaningful to add so thanks again everyone thank you for your support and we will see you next time and as always fight in the shade
How to Hide From Drones · 2020-11-22

How to Hide From Drones: Lessons Learned in Modern War

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground so today we're going to be taking a look at a very specific topic on small uas systems and different camouflage techniques and tactics that you can use to hide from them so camouflage itself is not a new topic but recent events more specifically this conflict the conflict between armenia and azerbaijan have catapulted small uas systems into the spotlight once again and this is not a concept this is not something that has been uh that is new either but during the second nagorno-karabakh war the war between armenia and azerbaijan small uas systems were a very decisive tool um you know whatever you want to call the war we call it the lawnmower war because one of the main reasons and and and tools that were used in that conflict which lasted only six weeks long was uas systems you had armenia and azerbaijan both using small uas systems in conjunction with modern day tools modern warfare uh you know things like guided you know munitions precision weapons or even artillery right so that sort of stuff combined with small uas systems using other modern war tools has been a wake-up call for a lot of people now those of us in the defense industry have known about this for a while and really the defense industry as a whole really started getting very serious about researching these small uas systems back in 2018 and actually long before that but most doctrine was essentially finalized in 2018. we've been we've known about it for gosh probably 10 years before that back back going all the way back to 2008 but the the main point is that small uas systems have been used by insurgent groups for a very long time most notably isis and this is where our sort of experience comes in with them um uas systems for the longest time have been regarded as sort of like a range toy for you know lack of a better term the taliban really didn't use them in afghanistan they still haven't to this day really use them at all um you've got some limited use of them you know attacking airfields you know like down in helmand and things like that but it really has just been you know uas one or two attacks a year and even though those aren't confirmed at all i don't think there actually is a confirmed case of a uas system being used to target something in afghanistan i think the first one was last year um actually now that i think about it but anyway i'm sure someone will comment below um without actual data but the point is that afghanistan is very different than iraq and syria and isis in iraq and syria used drones like the dji phantom quite extensively and they not only use them for observation but they use them for targeting they had you know the ability to remotely drop warheads mortars uh hand grenades and and all do this with multiple drones at the same time and then also have another drone overhead to videotape the whole thing for propaganda so you know a few years ago the defense community said whoa this stuff is that's no longer a range toy these things are killing people and i think one of the main turning points was when a drone was able to drop a hand grenade into an ammunition dump and it was being used by government forces the local government forces their local military and that was a wake-up call because that video was circulated uh all over the internet i'm sure you could find look it up and find it of essentially a football stadium or a cricket stadium imploding on itself because a small hand grenade was dropped in there into an ammunition dump so that was when the world started noticing that these small uas systems are huge and as such a lot of doctrine has come out lately we have stuff like the islamic state and drones by you know don rassler there come out in 2018 we even had updates to joint publication three tag zero one you know countering air missile threats that was updated to to talk a little bit about these uas systems or at least allude to it and then most importantly we have consumer grade or user grade or you know in the trenches viewpoints we have actual soldiers who are concerned about these things on the front lines as it were writing about these in blog posts and you know unit level tactics and training and stuff like this and this is why the this topic has become sort of reignited and one of the reasons that we're doing this series now is because now we can freely talk about a lot of this stuff um in in the open and one of the great things that has come out of the marine corps intelligence school down there in damn neck virginia great place highly recommend going there the one of the things they have done is create a camouflage sop for the marine corps and it's very interesting it's very short guide it takes a very sharp difference from it takes a very different viewpoint than most military doctrine i'm sure those of you out there that have been in the military can remember making flash cards to pass some kind of either advancement exam or some kind of soldier board or whatever um studying all this doctrine going flipping through field manuals that are just boring you know and and just really mind-numbingly boring stuff just to remember some kind of random statistic it's never going to freaking help you on the battlefield well the marine corps intelligence folks created this guide with a different viewpoint so a lot of people have been aware that camouflage as a entity has been around for a long time like i've said in fact it's been around for like hundreds of years like i mentioned but really we started to be concerned about it in warfare when aircraft started being used for for warfare for the very first time so this is a screenshot from a training video from 1941 showing soldiers how to camouflage things and also really just the importance of camouflage as a as a tactic and war and that has been around like i said for a very very long time the basics of camouflage have not changed the you know the earth the way that you interact with the earth and and how you can hide in a natural environment has really been the same since humans have been on this planet right you know dirt isn't purple you know it's brown it's been brown for a hundred years we know this and you know camouflage you know the techniques and materials have been upgraded but the general principles remain the same um however we can note that even though the basics haven't changed and you can quite literally get a field manual from the us army or any army in the world really back from world war ii or even world war one when they started to recognize the importance of camouflage but you could grab a field manual from world war ii look at that training film from 1941 and the principles have not changed it's still applicable to this day and it is vital now here's the thing just because it hasn't changed any does not mean that people do it right it's just like the whole simple versus complex argument right just because a problem is simple does not mean that it is isn't very difficult right so you know swimming across the atlantic is fairly straightforward you you go to the beach and you look towards the ocean get a compass bearing and you just swim right well that's pretty straightforward it's almost impossible to do that right so um it that's a that's something to to keep in mind is that these basics haven't changed and so we can rephrase the basics we can create this brand new cool product um but really the basics haven't really changed that much so we can just make it more palatable to more people so one of the things that was done um was there there were several different exercises that we can publicly talk about when it comes to camouflage detection and this is a screenshot from one of these after action reports talking about how this particular unit was very ill-equipped for camouflage so let's go through this after action report and we'll talk about some of these images and we'll talk about what it means for camouflage but also how to adapt that sort of thing to a civilian atmosphere right because not a whole lot of us are concerned about isis dropping a mortar on our head with a dji phantom however we are greatly concerned about maybe our local uh local law enforcement using a drone to observe things right or maybe you know the military using a drone or something like that that you know for whatever reason it good or bad right people are concerned about that so we wanted to talk about those concerns by using an actual doctrine product that's really good so yeah like i said you know these screenshots show that this is you know from a a raven or a dji phantom you know type small uas system and this shows that you know these vehicles had made really no attempt other than getting off the road they've made no attempt at really camouflaging themselves they're easily easily seen and in this next image like this this is a company-sized element they have made absolutely no attempt to try to camouflage themselves not only have they erected tarps on the surface but they've parked their vehicles right in the middle of the road right at intersection of roads there's no camouflaging heading anywhere inside and they've lined up their packs so that as an analyst if i see this image now i know that it's a company-sized element because i can count all the individual rucksacks there so there are we could probably spend an hour dissecting this one image and show exactly what was done wrong here but honestly we're not in the business of going down the ttps for a military unit like we are not military doctrine writers right we're trying to help ordinary people right so what does this mean to us well it means that a lot of that doctrine has been thrown out with a lot of different buzz words and a lot of people will recognize these words from like i said exams or soldier boards or whatever you know size shape color shadow shine contrast texture movement those different buzz words are used to describe different ways to uh conceal things different different methods of concealment you can use a whole bunch of words to say essentially the same thing and really that's what the doctrine is trying to get away from instead of memorizing a sort of acronym instead of memorizing a page document really this document this pdf that the marine corps put out the intel weenies over there the document they put out kind of goes against that and it's really just a list of simple eight simple things you don't have to memorize this there's no really big buzz words right it's just hey if you do these eight things this will be your 80 solution and that's what we're going to go over today we're going to go over this list of eight different things that you can do to prevent your detection from an a small uas system so they also came up with standards and that's really what more or less half the document is if you read into it and the standards are look we're not going to do this whole thing where we talk about learning objectives and like this is what you learned did you not learn this this is the standard quoting some kind of random field manual that nobody cares about this is basically saying hey this is what you need to do and this is what every marine needs to be able to do and it's very simple language right it's like you know all marines need to be able to know how to camouflage your helmet you know that sort of stuff it's really simple and that is one of the things that we like about this plan and this document and why this document will most likely be talked about but not by by uh more people than just us really so um let's go down this list of things and we'll talk about some of the screenshots within you know other aars and talk about you know how they apply to a civilian so first up is this image now this is quite an obvious image this looks like either sunset or sunrise probably sunset and you can see shadows very long these these vehicles are very very close together these labs you can see the bottom of the screen to have the uas operators they're not camouflaged at all they're just laying down in the in the bush um but their camouflage uniforms don't match with the area they're in so they're kind of obvious now the point with this very first one is imagine these taking these two labs you take this one right here and you take it and you move it off off screen a little bit well this image that you're looking at this is the field of view for this drone this particular asset so if you move things away you make it harder for the the same uh two vehicles to be seen in the same shot so like right here this is a very photogenic thing you can get two vehicles right there next to each other but if you move them apart from each other you disperse them and makes it harder to count and your sensor can only look at one at a time so that's uh that's something that's very very important also what's important is really the term dispersion what it was used for and created as a concept really since artillery was issued is what if a mortar round lands right there what if an artillery round lands right there that would take out both vehicles quite easily and that's uh that's no good so dispersing for a warfare type thing may mean dispersing to prevent everybody from getting killed all at once by a uh some kind of artillery munition or a bomb or something but really dispersion when it comes to civilian sector is hey if you spread far enough apart they can't see two people in the same frame so in the same you know field of view of the drone unless they're using something like some kind of other sensor that i'm not sure we can probably talk about like a gorgon stair type thing but the issue with this is that they're not dispersed they're right next to each other so that's why the first rule is to disperse into multiple small elements and displace often um that's just a key thing dispersion you know dispersing yourselves um dispersing your people is very very crucial and this is where it comes to once again the civilian factor you know um people who aren't trained are going to have a hard time with this if you're telling me that hey i'm getting shot at and i need to go you know on my own 100 feet that way um you know people are going to have you know a huge psychological effect and that's where the civilian sector comes in so you know it's scary for troops to be in a foxhole 100 feet away from your buddy your battle buddy and you know you start getting mortar rounds that's pretty scary for people who aren't experienced to that and it is terrifying for civilians you know if if it ever came to that um so the psychological impact of dispersion is is something that that has to be factored in as well and you have to train around it right also another thing to consider is that what we learned from the the armenia azerbaijan conflict is that modern war in modern war vehicles are going to offer a false sense of comfort i you know i can't tell you how sobering it was to watch these armored vehicles just get hammered and just peeled apart like a tin can because some off-the-wall cheap you know less than 50-pound drone was overhead and putting a laser spot on it for precision guided munition that was terrifying to watch and i'm sure it was terrifying for a lot of people who have been on the receiving end of some of those weapons before so it's very sobering is that we think that hey even the military gets the idea of oh staying in a vehicle is cover not anymore unless you can conceal that vehicle a lot of modern munitions can can punch right through a lot of that stuff so um yeah that's just something to consider for civilians yeah get out of your vehicle because there's no way a civilian vehicle can be camouflaged to the efficiency that a military vehicle can so that's something to consider up next is this next one this one is a pretty big one you can see these are you know uas operators again these guys i think we're doing some kind of tongue-in-cheek game where they were trying to find their doing some training exercises where they're trying to find their enemy uas operators and they did and now they're in a report that the whole internet is reading but they made no attempt to hide here they didn't get off the road there's shadows everywhere there's all kinds of stuff they they stick out like a sore thumb so what if we were to give them some camouflage so if we give them some tarps we put them on you know put some adequate camouflage that matches their background on the hoods we put some here on the side to take out those shadows put one here on the other side as well and then we put them working underneath the camouflage net they disappear they disappear even in the middle you know the open terrain they're going to disappear quite easily so that's why number two is to find a concealed sight and conform to the terrain you know use your to the train to your advantage like everybody has ever been taught when it comes to camouflage but one of the things that is hard for people to recognize and this happens this is why the us military gets hit with this all the time is do not stop in the open and for civilians it's a lot easier than the military because as you know the military likes to joke roughly 99 of the time is is spent sitting around waiting wondering what the hell the hold up is so that is a huge security thing if you're going to stop and you're going to stop for more than say 10 seconds prepare to stop for 30 minutes or more i cannot tell you how many times all of us here have either been in convoys or seen convoys just just stop on the road and like the worst possible place to stop the most obvious place for an ambush you know it's just it's just horrible the way that logistics works sometimes so if you have any control over this at all and civilians obviously do if you have to stop your vehicle in the open camouflage it as best you can you know throw a cami net over it over it that's better than not civilian vehicles are made to be shiny right so the there's no matte color on any civilian vehicle that comes out of a normal car lot right so having some kind of cover for that car is devastatingly effective especially when you're looking for a shiny car you don't see a shiny car you tend to move on now if you can't do that if you cannot camouflage your vehicle stop your vehicle get like if you're going to be stopped for a period of time don't get out and stand right next to the vehicle like these guys are doing move off sight move away preferably out of danger close range of whatever munition is coming at you and if you're a civilian and you're not so much worried about you know your your local sheriff's department dropping grenades on you or something like that if you're worried about being observed stay get away from your vehicle even just stepping offline you know off the line of your vehicle away from the road 100 feet with the right camouflage can work wonders so that's something to keep in mind too is to you know make sure that if you're going to stop stop when you can hide essentially another thing to keep in mind is night time being able to resist thermal traffic and and this image shows a dismounted company walking along the road because they forgot that at night there's this thing called thermal variation and the road is going to be quite considerably warmer still than the human body or colder depending on your area i think in this particular image it was colder the road was cold and the uh the leaves and the foliage around were were hot from the for the day so they were quite easily seen now if you take all those people right there that are on that road you move them off into offline just just off to the side of it a little bit and they disappear so people tend to have a very predator-like view of thermal imaging and thermal imaging it can be easily thwarted but it really depends on what kind of sensor you're up against and what kind of materials you have and really the environment also matters as well so basically everything matters you know the the point is is that the u.s military is trying to get into the mentality of getting get back into a pure you know peer versus peer a near pure adversarial conflict right we have spent decades learning how to fight insurgents with an ak in five rounds in the magazine we've spent decades trying to figure out how to fight that and honing our skills on that and we haven't other than the usual ntc rotation or deployment to poland or something like that we haven't really been focused on a war with like china which is why the uh you know comet on the marine corps and a lot of the marine corps staff have come up with you know new plans for things like you know reducing tanks and all that kind of stuff which you can read about on your own the point of that digression is to say that look in foreign countries yes the united states owns the night it is very hard to use sensors to your advantage in other countries but in america we have this thing called citizenship and that citizenship allows us to buy things that are itar controlled things like flear sensors for things like night vision goggles like right now i you know you can go buy night vision goggles that are better than the ones used by roughly 99.99 of the military and a lot of people do there's a lot of private companies out there that do that and that stuff's kind of going away like we had a whole episode on protected technology and how um that technology is going to go away because the military has realized that here at home they don't have the advantage they don't necessarily own the night anymore they rent it and you know the ability to you know i can't tell you how many people rely on infrared lasers to uh call in helicopters well if you've got night vision goggles you can see everything but if you don't have night vision goggles you can't see anything so a lot of our infrastructure is built around fighting you know people in the desert with no technology but at home we have that benefit of technology so use it if you've got it if you have night vision goggles there you go you can more easily come to the later steps we're going to talk about here in just a minute and up next is uh having the right set of camouflage and this is something that not a whole lot of people tend to grasp or they know they instinctively know but they don't really know they don't really follow it so rule number four is or guideline number four is camouflage everything blend with your surroundings this is like a no duh statement if i have ever seen one but the thing is is that your camouflage has to actually work so like here in this particular image these guys were doing the right thing like you know god bless them they were trying they got they didn't park in the middle of the field they parked off in the shadow or what was the shadow of a tree they're they're you know parked in such a way they've got their caminet out and everything but you know god bless them they're camping it's the wrong color so if we were to help them out a little bit here by grabbing a piece of that foliage and terrain and then moving it right over to cover them up guess what they disappear instantly if they had the right color they would be invisible right so for the civilian sector this matters a lot because i think that especially nowadays we tend to want to go for these gucci camouflages you know i remember when multicam came out and everybody wanted it because you couldn't buy it because it was this thing called w-2 scorpion and it was like this brand new camouflage that was so cool right and uh you know same thing with you know the nwu's for the navy they came with that you know guacamole colored camouflage that the navy seals were using or claimed to use and uh everybody loved it and so everybody wanted it but they couldn't buy it because it was proprietary and things like that so we tend to go after these gucci camouflages not necessarily because they work but because they're cool and i can tell you right now in our area multicam does not work it shines just like the old ucp you know grandma's couch camouflage it does not work in our particular area so we have to go with some old school stuff you know either m81 woodland which is now becoming its own gucci camouflage or you know depending on what type of area you're in maybe some swedish stuff if you're up in the mountains stuff like that so use the camouflage that works for your area and not the stuff that's just gucci and cool if it's a camouflage that works but it isn't quite sexy use it because it doesn't matter if it looks cool as long as it keeps you hidden that's the goal of camouflage so that's just something to to keep in mind as well is that don't necessarily buy camouflage because it's the next cool thing for everybody to to use buy camouflage because it works and then we come to this one which is this is interesting because one of the aars that we were using for this this was an image that showed success this showed an entire 60 millimeter section of 10 marines with their rucksacks and two tubes they showed this as a great success they're completely invisible well here's the thing we looked at this image and saw a failure and the failure was this uh we can look and see two tracks going everywhere this is what we in the the military or in the field really call a road you can see the two tracks of a tracked vehicle moving through the area and you can follow them you can even find one over there on the side going around this little grove of trees so the the killer one is this one right here going right to that grove of trees now the one way to improve this position if we're going to stay there for any period of time is to get rid of that so if we were to camouflage that you know it looks like it's a grass or some kind of terrain as it camouflage those tracks now look what you've done you've now made it look like that road doesn't exist and the road from the left going to the top of the image also intersects with that same image and it looks like you bypass that grove completely so that is awesome that's exactly what we want when it comes to that type of thing now here's another consideration mostly for the civilian sector as well is that what if you have a second ellipse now we haven't talked about cigarette very much on this channel just yet we have a video coming about sigint ellipses and and how that whole process works but suffice it to say the short version is that imagine a sensor on a drone or something picks up a signal coming from within this oblong shape called an ellipse we don't know where the person was standing when they made that transmission but the person could have been standing over here at this far end and made the transmission or they could have been standing over here and made the transmission we don't know but we know it came from somewhere within this ellipse right so the chances are it's probably going to be from this area and as an analyst if i look at this ellipse i'm going to say aha i know exactly where they were they came they made the they thought they were being sneaky and they are transmitting from this little grove that ordinarily would have been bypassed so that's why this next tactic is to minimize movement and minimize radio calls we're going to have well we've already had like three we've had hours talking about sigit and stuff like that when it comes to you know your local law enforcement's uh capabilities and even like you know some national guard units capabilities but we might have to to talk about that a little bit more in depth but the point is is that imcon you know emissions control is a huge thing it does not matter how well your camouflage like these guys if you erase the tire tracks and make it look like you're just a black hole in the world like you there's nothing there but natural vegetation if you make a you know cell phone call from that area guess what you've just ratted out your all and all that effort that you've gone through is for waste um so yeah that's something to consider so one must remember that movement you know we're not just talking about a moving target versus a static target we're talking moving from uh to and from a hide site is what bags most people most of the time especially when it comes to vehicles and vehicle traffic so and you know and also the radio call thing and radio traffic from a unique area like a grove of trees a very you know if there's a field and there's one tree in it and i detected a radio a transmission coming from a field guess where i'm going to go to that tree because i would guarantee there's an antenna strung up in it so that is why number five is so important and then lastly this this image is is kind of a departure from the military doctrine but this is a screen shot from an incident that occurred back in i think march of this year march of 2020 i might be mistaken on that one but this is a a drone that is operated by the new york police department and this drone depending on which story you believe or how what officially is publicly available basically what happened is this drone captured this kid or this guy practicing airsoft tactics on his roof and they dispatched a team to come arrest him and he was arrested using this drone footage so that is a huge concern um so number six and number seven while they are you know military oriented to you know sixes post air guards and 7 is to plan to operate under uas for the military what that means is hey be aware of what's going on be aware if there's a uas in the area be prepared to either continue mission regardless of it or take measures to take it down now obviously that's a little a little bit easier said than done in the military sphere but you know so adapting this to civilians is not exactly an easy thing to do but one must remember if you're going to be doing anything outside in an area that has persistent surveillance don't do anything that is firearms related there is already a slew of ai type software out there that can that can detect the shape of a firearm and and hone in hone in on that even youtube itself has this i'm wondering if this video is going to get flagged at some point and taken down because we have shown this particular image of a firearm so this will be very interesting to see but we also have to remember hostile activities that is a huge thing as well because what is hostile well you know to me a dude practicing airsoft stuff on the roof not necessarily hostile it's interesting to look at and i would freely admit if i was a drone operator and i saw this in new york city i wouldn't be inquisitive but if the dude just looks like he's training you know whatever it's just training if i saw this at a gun range i would not be surprised at all right but if you're in an area where that kind of thing is frowned upon or remember how the whole covet thing went down they were using drones to track down people in public parks you know that might be a hassle your mere presence might be a hostile activity and and sort of you know um consent to search really so these are scary technologies and our laws are kind of wacky right now so that's something to keep in mind really and there's a whole slew of electronic countermeasures out there for the military there's not so many for civilians and there's no electronic countermeasure for a drone for civilians that is legal that we know of because jamming in any form is currently illegal under u.s law so we can't really talk about those electronic countermeasures just yet but we can say they are out there so if you you know want to do your own research go ahead really one of the last points we wanted to make is one of the ones which is you know on the list which is to inspect your signature from the enemies pov and that's why we wanted to put this out because one of the to us when we read this statement we read training training training training is key and this is where um you know either getting your own drone or get having some kind of technology having a buddy you know come try to find you right that's going to be super super important in the coming days weeks months years right so that kind of thing it cannot be understated i cannot tell you how many times people who think they have you know have done really good camouflage stuff they've deployed five or six times but you know when you get them out there and they're having to hide from drones too it's different scenario right so you know when you're deploying to iraq and syria and afghanistan you don't have to build an observation post or a cop or something like that that has to be camouflaged from the air because your adversaries don't have drones at least not in anything you know significant right it's not like you're having to camouflage it like you know from bombers or anything like that but here at home you might have to so you like that's the number one thing is you know we're hiding from drones on our own soil essentially so having the ability to train being able to check your own signature make sure your camouflage works that is vital so you know just to remind everyone of this often repeated quote of you know the more you train in peace the less you bleed in war so that is very very true and even if that war is an information war so you know the more you train and information more the less you bleed the less information you bleed so that's why we wanted to put this video out solely for this last one here to encourage people to get training as much as possible and do the best you can because really the goal here is to be hard to kill that's the really main goal here for for everything that we do is to be a little bit harder to kill than the next guy i i don't think that it take you know for a lot of people it was a wake-up call to see a modern day tank get blasted into oblivion you know to to see a modern day helicopter a modern day uh you know fighter jet get shot down that stuff was very sobering for people and you know that's that's good because it encourages people to be harder to kill and hopefully we can encourage that a little bit as well yeah hopefully this video was helpful leave us a like comment subscribe below do all that jazz usual normal stuff so that we can make it through youtube's algorithms and let our content be seen by a lot of people if you want to download this video you can on lbry tv like i mentioned link of which is below hope if youtube still allows us to link stuff but yeah so that's there like i said we're going to have a lot more content coming out about this sort of camouflage topic particularly when it comes to thermal camouflage and and how that goes we've also got a lot of other videos planned but we wanted to put this out quickly because of you know the reason we've stayed it's very very important to to start training now so uh yeah if you've got an idea for an episode drop us a line go ahead and hit us up on any of our platforms key base email you name it we have it [Music] link up with us there if you've got a question we'll throw it in for question time we have a whole podcast series where if you have any questions shoot them to us in our inbox dm them to us on instagram or whatever platform and we'll do a podcast episode where we answer everybody's questions which has been quite fun for us to do so we really enjoy that we want to continue it so got any questions drop them below we'll throw them in our question time podcast episode and yeah we'll have more of this content coming to you very very soon so you guys know it be harder to kill fight in the shade and we'll see you next time s2 actually
S2 briefing · 2022-01-23

Ukraine: The Clock is Ticking

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the ukrainian war intelligence update for sunday the 23rd of january 2022 as always this is being recorded the day prior on the 22nd of january starting with the european geopolitical update one of the major bits of information that has come out over the past 24 hours has been the united states evacuating their embassy in kiev nbc staff have been given the notice to start evacuating this is not a very rushed evacuation this is more of a more deliberate evacuation and due to the united states history recent history with evacuations failures this is most likely a preemptive evacuation to get all as many non-combatants out of the way as possible so that they don't face a political defeat yet again something also that was interesting that actually happened quite a while ago but is becoming more relevant with the the times is russia passing legislation or rather guidance regarding mass graves so this is something that would that happened back in december actually on december 20th this was uh finally approved and this is uh you can actually read it yourself if you speak russian for those of you who don't this is coming from the russian civil defense and the translated title is the urgent burial of corpses in wartime and peace time the general regulations for this so this is something that's kind of interesting because this is something that you would expect from cold war russia right like that they very much love their psyops right so you would expect moscow to pass something like this or put forth regulations regarding mass graves of civilians and things like that as a scare tactic right that's what you'd normally think this of well they actually haven't been they did this very quietly so me personally i'm kind of on the fence as to the psyop value of this because no western media has picked this up very few people have have actually followed you know what the duma does and and what regulations are passed by various uh you know government agencies within russia and this was quietly done only a couple of places i've seen actually have have actually figured this out and read the documents it's only a 20-page document but since it's in russian most people you know can't read it but in any case i think it's very interesting that it's more i think that it's it's less of a psyop and more of a logistical constraint right this is a logistical attempt to realize that hey russia saw at least in the conflict that has happened already in ukraine they saw a lot of casualties you also have to remember russia is dealing with the chechen war grazing places like that in which they have a lot of experience with conflicts and fighting in civilian urbanized areas and they've seen a lot of casualties so they're starting to you know cross their tees and dot their eyes when it comes to logistics of so many casualties coming out because of this so again this might be a cold war era psyop that the russians just love doing or this could be a legitimate uh logistical problem that the russians are trying to solve before they get into this conflict and uh they're trying to you know get this and get their uh stuff in order uh in any case this is becoming more relevant because this document and this guidance fault comes into effect on february the first so is this cut this is coming up and i thought hey even though this happened a while ago this is still relevant also within russia there is a massive massive naval exercise underway in the north sea this is interesting because once again the north sea is kind of russia's you know home plate when it comes to their naval forces and they've got a lot of their experimental stuff up there that's really the home fleet is where where russia keeps theirs in north sea it's interesting because this time of year it's extremely cold usually you're not going to have a whole lot of activity coming out of the north fleet north fleet this time of year but again russia trying to pull out all the stops to either politically pressure or military militarily position for as much as they possibly can and i i did want to mention that this exercise the declared areas for this exercise a lot of those areas fall within norway's economic exclusion zone so norway's territorial waters russia's conducting exercises in something that doesn't happen very often they've done this in the past or they've you know they've declared uh they've dropped no tams uh for these specific areas and uh kind of overlapped norway a little bit when relations are not so great but they've done it again so again worth mentioning another russian move over the past 24 hours is russia decla or demanding actually a return to the 1997 nato borders essentially what russia has demanded is something quite outlandish wherever you're at on the spectrum of of this this incident here russia has um essentially wants romania and bulgaria to be kicked out of nato and for nato's armies to be pulled out of romania which is this is an outlandish and utterly ridiculous uh uh demand that would that would be very akin to the united states demanding that brics break up as a as a economic partnership that just doesn't work right so to me this sounds like uh russia demanding something that they know without a shadow of a doubt that nato is not going to do just so that russia can seem like the reasonable one in this which is what russia has been trying to do the entire time and you know we've got a lot of political stuff going on here in the united states and people are picking sides on this kind of thing and and uh talking about you know the military-industrial complex versus the uh historical agreements we've had with ukraine and i you know whatever but i think that's probably going to complicate things a little bit more because russia declaring or demanding uh things that are impossible also kind of interesting is germany doubling down with their lack of support for ukraine not only are they refusing to give ukraine weapons themselves but they are also trying to prevent estonia from giving aid to ukraine so this is kind of another little diplomatic spat over some howitzers that estonia is trying to give to ukraine howitzers which were oh man the history of this goes back a long ways and it's ridiculous it's utterly ridiculous uh howitzers that were stored in the former east germany and then they were sold to like some other european nation and now estonia has them and now germany says that since they were stored here we still own them it's such a ridiculous thing that germany is trying to prevent another independent nation from sending their own weapons to another independent nation but again i guess we'll see how that works out to me i just i'm reading this you know as an as an american i can't help but think this is very interesting and speaking of interesting uh the great russian fleet the flotilla that is heading presumably to the black sea i've got just a little bit more information on that so this is the minsk this is actually an archival photo i tried to get as much of a beam on shot as i possibly could but i wanted to show you that uh like last time i mentioned that it would be kind of a sucky journey if these vessels these landing craft these amphibious landing craft were loaded with soldiers and i think they are because based on this archival photo we can do a little bit of hip pocket imagery analysis so for all you imagery analysts out there take a chill pill because i'm working with powerpoint here and that is that you can you can take a look and do some very basic analysis and see that you know the average human being is six feet tall right and there's a guy standing on the deck we can cross-reference this with a guy who's obviously standing up straight six feet there on that part of that leaning up against that stanchion there and what we can do is we can do a little bit of magic here and start measuring things we can also confirm this six feet height based on the number which which size we know and we can determine that based on what we can see in this image is as least distorted as we can get it that the minsk has 16 ish feet of freeboard when unburdened meaning from the from the deck of the ship down to the water line is about 16 feet now of course this will vary in c state and change based on a lot of different stuff but my point is this this is an image of the minsk as it that was taken as it was transiting through the baltic straits and again this is the this is the other side of the ship uh but it is again as close to a beam shot as we could find straight on uh perpendicular to the side and of course the sea c-state's more turbulent which excuse the results a little bit but um since this is a rough approximation we can enhance right and bring it in and we can do the same overlay that same graphic and see that uh the minsk as she was transiting through the baltic straits has about 12-ish feet of bree of freeboard so you can see quite obviously she's riding low and it's even more apparent with the quarter lev which is riding a little bit lower again the sea state's a little throwing things off a little bit but we can see that these ships have something on board they might have a full complement we don't know i'm sure some someone out there in the ocean world has figured out which units are on board already but we're still tracking that down in any case i wanted to show that hey these these ships have got some teeth on board so i guess we'll have to see where they go next moving to the overall uh sit temp for the ukrainian theater i wanted to show that we have kind of a lot of updates regarding the forces that we had templated for the last slide really the the biggest updates i want to show you on this particular slide are the s 400 battalions uh that we mentioned last time uh turns out they're not uh they're not battalions they're they're actually uh divisions so quite a lot more uh sam capability within uh belarus right now and our assessment is that these s 400s are not so much there for ukraine obviously the one situated to the south kind of is but the other one to the west the other division out west in belarus it's kind of spread around the countryside that's really as a message for nato it's not going to be as effective where it's positioned and you know granted these will provide a lot of help for maintaining that top level air cover for ukraine which is going to force the aircraft ukrainian air force to fly a little lower uh and thus right into the jaws of the sa-7 traps right that have been used by russian forces in ukraine for a while now so that's a common tactic and the s-400s would be great in that role so that makes sense as to why they're there also we have seen an increase in activity around the 20th guards army stationed in they've honestly been there for a long time but we're seeing a lot of cargo moving through this area to support units and various subordinate units of the 20th guards army as of the past 24 hours likewise further south down in viliuki we've seen the third motorized full division have a lot of activity around their little footprint area for over the past couple of days they've been fully established now for a while for a few weeks but we're starting to see a lot more activity with them we'll come back to them in just a minute so let's jump to the fronts for the northeastern front like i mentioned we have the third motorized rifle division hanging out around vilyuki we'll talk about them in just a second what i wanted to mention here are the units stationed slightly to the east of korsk which are the 138th motor rifle division and the 25th motor rifle division they moved into this area sometime between a couple of days ago and a couple of weeks ago don't know when they got there but that's where they're at we've got pictures of them circulating on social media and also up in razny that is the 90th guards tank division we don't know if the whole division is there but we know that at least three btgs from that division are located in that area moving to the eastern front the third motorized raffle division is more or less fully established in the village area with the 752nd motorized raffled regiment and the 237th tank regiment hanging out in salote also they have spread out slightly further east the 252nd motorized rifle regiment and the 99th special artillery regiment and bogoshar moving down south to rostov the eighth combined arms army headquarters has seen a lot of activity lately mostly moving around the 150th motorized rifle division which is stationed there those are forces that are permanently stationed in rostov that's a massive army complex for the russians obviously uh considering that's a good access point to really the rest of europe for them hanging out to the east almost off the slide is the 20th separate motor rifle division which is stationed in volgograd now those guys have been there for a while uh the only reason i wanted to mention this is because this unit used to be a brigade but it was upgraded to a division last month so they're most likely preparing for some kind of action either reinforcing or whatever they're doing but you don't reinforce the unit and upgrade its strength without having a plan for that and then the further down south we have in krasnodar the 47th missile brigade and the 238th artillery brigade uh these guys have been stationed there again for a long time just wanted to put them on the map because they will most likely be major players if and when this thing kicks off also before we moved on i wanted to kind of update this graphic by showing what the front line actually looks like now the front line is not really a border if you go and you search on google or any other mapping service you'll you'll see the map the line that we have drawn as well this solid red line that's like the the furthest most point of russian controlled territory however using this this uh dashed line as a reference you can see that fighting is occurring in between the dashed line and the solid line so this is a very wide uh front as you can see there's a lot of fighting that has been taking place in this this zone this sort of very much militarized zone i should say it that way moving down south to the southern front we have seen a little bit of activity on the crimean peninsula not so much but uh we did want to add in the units that we do know are there because they're they're normally stationed there which is the 810th naval infantry brigade the 126 separate coastal defense brigade and the eighth artillery regiment which are hanging out around sevestopol and maybe a little bit to the east as well and then circling back around to the biela russian border the northwestern front has seen a little bit of activity mostly units moving closer and closer to the borders so in the town of belarus we mentioned last time this btg that we were able to geo locate this is not a btg anymore this is actually a brigade now specifically the 38th motor rifle brigade so we'll give them the 38th flashing there and designate them as such also in the gomel region we have a bella russian unit which is the 38th guards air assault brigade they're one of the more specialized and elite units within the beale ocean military so i just wanted to template them on the slide because we know that they're there and that's pretty much it i did want them to show though where these units are in belarus because this is the graphic that the uh mod of belarus has put forward showing where their exercises are taking place now let me flip back and forth and you can see that this is where belarus says they're conducting military exercises and with the exception of the airborne units which we don't know where they're at this is where we have units templated in belarus so as you can see none of these units here on the eastern side of belarus down near the border with ukraine none of these guys are supposed to be there even according to belarus's own graphic so i think that's kind of interesting and shows that this claim of an exercise is is all a sham right it's all just a ploy to get uh forces closer to the border without nato doing anything now jumping back to our overall map here i want to talk a little bit about theories of maneuver and to do that i have to talk a little bit of politics um and that is the minor incursion uh scandal that has occurred within the american white house over the past couple of days so um biden himself has made a lot of gaffes a lot of misquotes and he's said a lot of offensive stuff even before uh taking office so he has a very long history of political gaffes right and he's said some pretty bad stuff over the years but i think that this seemingly innocuous statement that he made when he was talking about that a minor incursion is a different story right that's a different story when it comes to ukraine so ukraine an invasion is bad but in a minor incursion that's a different story right that kind of attitude whatever the wording of the actual quote is is irrelevant that attitude that was conveyed uh is a game changer so even though the white house came back immediately and did damage control on this on this gaff right saying that biden misspoke and that their policy regarding ukraine hasn't changed and you know blah blah blah right i still think this is a really big deal because the world is watching and even though the leaders of other countries in europe do not have any respect for biden's cognitive abilities and they know that he's prone to misspeaking the music stops when this minor incursion quote dropped because that simple misstep which i personally think was 100 intentional but either way this has given putin permission to invade i don't know how much more clear the united states can can make it that the u.s political leadership is perfectly supportive of this invasion as long as russia doesn't go too far and upset our friends to the west and all of this political stuff as annoying as it is to talk about when we're trying to count tanks this is important some pretty smart dude once said that war is a continuation of politics by other means and this situation could not be a more perfect example of that so when it comes to russia's overall tactics it's really hard to say what's going to happen because what russia can do will differ from what they will do so on the eastern front we might see a minor incursion right a straight-up invasion to the east uh because there's been fighting there in the past it's relatively uh abandoned from a civilian perspective area it's really just a front line it has been a front line for a very long time for many many years now people in the area understand and know what's going on they know it's a war zone so in theory at least you might have fewer civilian casualties if you were to invade into the area that's already a well-known war zone i don't know maybe they might also try to launch with an amphibious landing first and take the city of odessa they might do that they might not land in odessa they might land in the city they already more or less exert a lot of influence over which is maripole to the east they might land troops anywhere along the coastline of ukraine they might land them in crimea just as a simple way of moving a lot of troops around and then drive them up i would think that would not work so well but you know anything's possible i guess right generally speaking i should also point out that a lot of military strategists focus on the dnipa river right the nipper river is a huge a huge body of water uh it's it's not insignificant it's it's um you're going to need some kind of bridge or special craft to get across it right it's not a mud puddle here and a lot of people think that that is kind of like a diplomatic stopping point uh in years past when we've we and others have theorized about when russia invades fully will they stop at that river and and most people seem to think in the past that yes russia will drive as far as the nipper river and that will be kind of their way of exerting influence and taking back that part of ukraine and then further on they'll decide to cross it and when they've gotten a lot more supplies and things set up because remember these btgs are not really good for logistical support right so they can easily overrun their own supply lines and russia has a long history of of doing exactly that uh to some people invading russia so russia doesn't want to to repeat the lessons that they taught to others right however i think that with each passing day and seeing the number of forces that we have in the area now what we're talking i'll give the low ball estimate of 60 btgs 60 btgs in the area that's a lot of people that's a lot of forces and you i don't think you'd need that to to take uh the eastern part of ukraine if that's all you were going to do you wouldn't need all these forces historically i should mention that in talks with diplomats and military strategists throughout europe uh the general theory has been that since the cold war i should say that your uh that russia can take um a nation or or two nations one or two balkan nations with around 30 btgs um and this is a quote that is a statistic right just a made-up theory right that has been repeated at so many military conferences i've i've lost count and if that quote is true if that you know idea is is valid i should say then we're sitting at 60 we're sitting at double that for ukraine right so they've got more troops than what they need then again ukraine's been spending the past what seven eight years now recovering from uh what they what their mistakes of demilitarizing right so now ukraine has got some teeth as well um this is not going to be an easy fight for for anyone involved i think the general consensus is that ukraine is going to lose no matter what but again you also have to remember ukraine whatever you think about it whatever you read in the news or watch on vice right about the ukrainian military you also have to remember they're fighting for their homeland right and again like i mentioned whether or not another foreign nation should fight for someone else's homeland is is irrelevant in that debate because ukraine is fighting for their home and you never want to underestimate the group of people that are fighting for their homeland because they're quite literally fending off a foreign invader so again very important thing to consider because these dudes have been fighting to the last man for years now and that was only during during the fight for the dawn bass really they've been fighting to to literally the last man in every unit in many cases i should say so there's a lot of things that can happen uh i will point out though that as far as what russia is going to have to do russia's got some tall orders right and they're going to have to be quick about it because the spring thaw is about to occur in just a few weeks and really when we talk about the spring thaw what we mean is look at this terrain look at this this terrain to the south and to the east of ukraine that's open tank country that's what russian tanks were made to just punch through really easily but you also have to remember that ukraine would have the advantage when the when the spring thaw happens meaning that tanks while they are of course you know more or less all-terrain vehicles right they have trouble maneuvering in mud just like everything and we're talking you know mud up to your up to your freaking neck here in some of the parts of this country and you get tanks stuck your armored columns start slowing down that's going to tip the scales in the favor of ukraine who are going to have to use a lot more asymmetric tactics uh when it comes to taking out a lot of this russian armor and if russia wants to get in to ukraine do what they got to do and then get their armored columns and their btgs out again um that's going to be a tall order to do because the the clock is ticking so that's why that's that's why all this urgency that's why if you look around you're saying russia's going to do it any day now well it's because the clock's ticking right they only have so many they only have so much time before they start losing the overwhelming advantage or pieces of the overwhelming advantage that they currently have now when it comes to actual locations kharkiv will have to be taken very quickly they're going to have to take car cave quickly in order to provide support for the assault on dinipro so nipro is a city right there on the nipper river and it is a crucial hub for central ukraine so this is going to be very important for russia to take quickly if that's what their goal is they're going to have to punch all the way to the nipple river and if that that's going to have to be what stops them because that's really the only geographic feature that can stop russia in eastern ukraine everything else is very open and there's plenty of roads to drive on so you don't even have to go cross country most of the time so kiev is also another massive military target uh but again bringing the politics back into it for a minute depending on what nato does russia might leave ukraine's capital alone for the time being i don't know it all depends on what russia really wants to do then russia might launch a minor incursion right to the south uh into the war zone area that's already there link up with crimea which they already have tried to do quite a bit and then punch north who knows right it all depends on what nato's reaction is going to be if nato comes down like a freaking sledgehammer on russia and starts you know using russian tactics against them which is unlikely i should mention but if they do that then russia might say oh um don't want to tick off nato too much but right now we're seeing a very much permission being given by the big dogs in nato which are the united states and some of the other more significant military powers so right now i think putin and russia has got they've they've got all they need uh to do this they've got the permission they've got the logistical constraints they've got the energy crisis going on in europe which is complicating things and giving russia the advantage on the economic front when it comes to that kind of stuff so you know i i should also mention that this just just stacking on top of how confident russia is i should also point out that russia has left herself extremely vulnerable to a counter-attack by nato um almost comically vulnerable right it's almost like it's a joke um and again this is very very remote but the forces that have been moved around for this shindig are not something that can hold their own against nato right the btg as interesting of an idea as it is and the btg i should mention is the right tool for this task right the btg is a great style of unit to use in ukraine again it's what it was made for essentially but the btg as a concept is not super great for the powers of nato right this is we're not seeing russia mobilize her entire military we're just seeing her mobilize btgs cherry-picked from here and there we're not seeing main human wave infantry divisions being stood up or anything like that like you would normally see if nato's nato counterattacks were a concern so russia leaving herself vulnerable to a counter-attack by nato that just kind of points to to how confident russia is that nato's not going to do anything at all so if nothing else even if you don't know what nato is going to do i can tell you what russia thinks russia is betting very strongly on uh nato not doing anything uh anything significant that is and we've seen that over the past couple of weeks because i can tell you that that russia has been in the mood to call all the bluffs of nato so nato is not gonna it is not gonna do anything significant because russia is gonna be right there to call those bets so that's all we've got for now uh stay tuned for some more disturbingly outdated maps here from us in the future uh we'll continue these briefs as long as this becomes as long as this is an interesting thing to follow for people and uh yeah i guess we'll have to see uh what the next few days and weeks bring because we don't have that much much more time before russia has got to start moving either either committing one way or the other either invading or start moving all of these troops and men back to where they came from for the for the spring times i guess we'll have to see how that all works out but in any case we'll be here doing what we can so thank you again for watching thanks again for your support and we will see you next time and as always fight in the shade
S2 briefing · 2022-06-11

Passive Air Defense and the Viet Cong

for it seems now more certain than ever that the bloody experience of vietnam is to end in a stalemate but it is increasingly clear to this reporter that the only rational way out then will be to negotiate not as victors but as an honorable people who lived up to their pledge to defend democracy and did the best they could when it comes to civil defense through the ages one of the most important topics is that of air defense that is defending against attacking aircraft so today let's take a look at some of the doctrine and lessons learned in the field of defense from aerial attack and what better way to do that than not through the eyes of just united states military doctrine but also the doctrine of one of the united states most formidable foes the viet cong now before we begin we have to yet again point out how large of a topic this is the vietnam war was the origin of most western suppression of enemy air defense doctrine and also the national liberation forces commonly known as the viet cong or vietnamese communists was one of the most dedicated civil defense organizations in recent memory we thought that this unique combination of factors makes a good platform to discuss the concepts of passive air defense from the side of the americans and that of the vietnamese if this seems a bit disorganized it's because it is us military doctrine is always written from the perspective of a global superpower that has near peer concerns or is trying to counter an insurgency but when it comes to average american citizens learning and studying warfare we often have to come at this from a different perspective so there's a mismatch we're studying the doctrine of the superpower but we have the resources and capabilities of the small hamlet in northern vietnam and when it comes to studying the vietnam war it's really easy to get overwhelmed not only was the war in vietnam an extremely complex and horrific conflict but so is the topic of passive air defense doctrine in this field has been developed ever since the first world war when aircraft were first used in mass to attack either other aircraft or ground targets so please understand that we cannot cover everything under the sun in the field of defending against an aerial attack but we can cover the basics so let's get to it when it comes to defending against attacking aircraft the preparations for such are usually divided into two categories passive defenses and active defenses in short passive defenses are the things that you can do to passively protect yourself or your unit from an attack and active defenses are mostly things like shooting back and directly engaging the hostile aircraft today we will be talking about passive defenses as active defenses is a whole other thing that we will talk about in a different video but understanding passive air defense is key to discussing more kinetic options later and to begin talking about passive air defense we actually briefly have to talk about something that's more in the camp of active air defense this seems a bit backwards but it will make sense later the absolute first step in passive air defense is to make the decision of whether or not to engage an aircraft if it begins attacking you this decision needs to be made now because it dictates everything else including your passive defenses now this decision is not simply a yes or no question but you need to get the criteria set before you even consider anything else you might decide okay we're going to engage rotary wing aircraft helicopters if they pop up over that ridge line over there but we're not going to engage fixed-wing fighters or you might decide alright we're going to attack helicopters that land at these potential helicopter landing zones near us but if they just fly by overhead on a recon don't take the bait and to show how important this concept is let's take a look at the doctrine of the vietcong fighting in vietnam cambodia and laos during the vietnam war captured vc documents indicate that charlie would place high priority on observation again with their doctrine pointing out how important it is to decide first whether or not to engage one captured document from early in the war states that in case aircraft are flying over densely populated areas where people are working or are gathered in a meeting and have not dropped bombs air defense elements are not permitted to shoot unless the people have withdrawn after that shooted aircraft only when they begin bombardment or landing of troops in this example the vietcong encouraged their fighters not to engage because engaging the aircraft would only reveal their position and the people that would bear the brunt of american retaliation were the civilians living in the village civilians that might not look too kindly upon the vc the next time they showed up if the vc brought nothing but destruction with them this is not just a confirmation of how important passive air defense is but also the importance that the viet cong placed on winning and keeping the hearts and minds of the local populace which is something that is absolutely vital in every single facet of conflict yet somehow overlooked in many cases so whatever is decided whatever criteria or scenarios are decided on as soon as that decision is made ensure that it is clearly disseminated to the entire team or unit make sure everyone knows what the plan is and what their role in that plan is now for the real meat of the matter passive air defense most passive air defense is intended to protect you from attack without you actually doing much work at all i.e passive right and as such passive air defense itself is broken up into two main categories attack avoidance making sure the attack never happens in the first place and damage mitigation measures to decrease damage that might occur if preventing the attack fails so up first avoiding the attack in the first place the main way of doing this is camouflage if we take a look at what the americans think on this various us military manuals further break this down into yet more doctrine to memorize for instance army training publication 3-01.8 breaks this down into three further categories sitting discipline and construction sitting is the practice of selecting the best spot for an air defense again like we mentioned in the beginning if you have made the decision to engage or not engage attacking aircraft you might choose different spots depending on what you decide again the vietcong had this concept down pat for charlie campsites and temporary hole-up sites were raided based on three criteria number one the hamlets of the village and the area surrounding them must provide terrain favorable to defensive operations number two the areas surrounding the defended perimeter must provide little protection for attacking gvn troops and number three finally there must be no obstacles such as rivers or highways that impede a subsequent withdrawal so for the vietcong the concept was pretty simple a good site afforded good protection for them little or no protection for the enemy and was easy to escape from if things got hairy this is not just useful for air defense but for defense against ground attack as well we can also see how important it was to choose a good sight based on whether or not we plan to engage aircraft a site that offers the most protection from an attack might not be the same site that offers the best chance of success if we ourselves need to engage for instance a position deep down in a steep valley will limit the number of vectors that an aircraft can use to attack us due to terrain so if we're trying to get as much cover as possible deep down in the valley might be an option however if we're planning to engage high up on the ridgelines might be a better place where we can engage aircraft from a similar altitude that aircraft might be flying at or better yet fire down upon helicopters that might be landing in the valley below this is very similar to what the vietcong did during the battle of outback though the terrain for this battle was mostly flat the vc were able to pick positions that offered the most defense from americans landing troops in helicopters by exercising patience and exploiting the overconfidence and over reliance on technology by attacking arvin and u.s forces the viet cong were able to successfully engage 15 american helicopters landing in the rice paddies across from their position destroying five helicopters in the process and securing the first major victory for the viet cong in the vietnam war we will examine this pivotal battle further when we talk about active air defenses but the key takeaway for now is that the viet cong through superior passive air defense were able to camouflage and conceal their true numbers which were much larger than u.s military intelligence indicated the vc were also able to conceal their positions until arvind forces were just 30 yards away positions that were specifically located to provide concentration of fire on helicopter landing zones passive air defense is crucial for active air defense to work and this battle proved it in the prelude to this battle the viet cong picked the absolute best terrain to defend and their choice of sitting in the right spot ensured their success up next is discipline discipline refers to overall camouflage discipline not leaving tracks that an aircraft can spot using the best personal camouflage and camouflaging equipment as best one can again the vc demonstrated superior tactics in this category as well which they are infamous for the vietcong have been one of if not the most disciplined fighting force that the united states has ever fought against this is not just because the vc were willing to accept astounding casualty rates but because they rigidly adhered to camouflage practices and this discipline goes back to before the viet cong even existed the french fighting the viet minh the predecessor to the viet cong in indochina in the 1950s learned this all too well in his book street without joy the french debacle in indochina bernard fall describes this camouflage discipline very accurately in the following passage he writes here and there a small group of men advancing single file through the high grass was caught in the open by a french reconnaissance plane but by the time the plane had made a second sweep the enemy would have disappeared from the path and blended into the surrounding countryside in view of the french mastery of the air the viet minh troops had made a veritable fetish out of camouflage the greatest pains would be taken even in safe rear areas to camouflage anything which could offer the french a suitable target this constant emphasis on camouflage carried out relentlessly even when at rest made the communist soldier as well as the civilian population unbeatable masters at the game the palm leaf helmet of the communist soldier with its constantly worn camouflage net on it was the major trademark of the regular in addition every regular vietmen soldier on the march carried a large wire mesh disk on his back and head adorned with the foliage of the terrain through which he was passing as soon as the terrain changed it was a responsibility of each soldier to change the camouflage of the man ahead of him as the surroundings changed rarely would a communist unit be in too much of a hurry to not take the time to change camouflage when it left a dark green forest to enter a lighter green grassland area or the marshy brown of a rice field about to be harvested i just know the little bastards are somewhere around here was the standard complaint of the french reconnaissance pilots but go and find them in this mess finally we come to construction constructing both cover and concealment as required using natural materials hiding blending and disguising one's position from overhead observation in the years following the war the elaborate jungle fortifications of the vietcong called home have become legendary and the dedication to surviving b-52 bombing raids was a huge part of the average vietcong soldier's worries in fact chiron nu tang wrote a lot about this in his book a vietcong memoir an inside account of the vietnam war and its aftermath though he was a very high ranking individual by the time he had to resort to hiding in the jungle he spends a lot of time talking about how terrifying and devastating the b-52 bombing raids were and how much time soldiers spent defending against them for the most part vietcong soldiers would prefer to egress from the area entirely in advance of a b-52 bombing run but truong recounts just how much dedication was given to the constant digging of earthworks tunnels and jungle fortifications he writes when neither sick nor fighting the gorillas spend their time building bunkers raising vegetables and training constant training it was a life of hiding and preparation hiding from attacks preparing to meet attacks or training to carry out their own missions if there was a half-day break in some movement either away from or toward an engagement they would dig trenches and bunkers within this category we also find the use of decoys to lure enemy aircraft into attacking positions that are empty rather than the truly important positions again captured viet cong documents from 1962 and 63 highlight the importance that charlie placed on decoys early in the war recently enemy artillery shelling and strikes have been relentlessly conducted against our routes combat fortifications sites of repeated attacks by friendly forces frequently used assembly areas such as road junctions and intersections uncamouflaged trenches etc to prevent the enemy from bombarding the villages we must use deception by setting up dummy troop locations in little frequented areas far away from roads and hamlets these dummy positions must be camouflaged but not thoroughly enough to make it impossible for the enemy to see them a dummy anti-aircraft position will be set up two or three hundred meters away in order to attract the enemy fire and avoid his destruction of villages and hamlets now to me all of this is well and good but breaking things out into sitting discipline and construction sound kind of redundant to me the entire subject of attack avoidance can be summed up in one word camouflage so if you want to skip reading a couple of chapters of army manuals you can summarize this very simply and quickly attack avoidance is simply following the absolute best camouflage practices which will reduce the chances of an adversary using the factors of recognition to locate and identify you plus the caveat of choosing the best location will allow you to either engage aircraft or have cover from attacking aircraft depending on what you want to do so camouflage your position as best you can and if you need to engage aircraft choose a good spot for it the other category in the field of passive air defense is damage mitigation now camouflage itself is a form of damage mitigation after all an enemy cannot usually hit what they cannot see but the other way is dispersion dispersion is one of the most important basic soldier tasks in existence and it is one of the hardest things for untrained or scared personnel to do dispersion is simply the act of spreading out your forces so that a single munition cannot cause many casualties clumped together in groups and that creates a juicy target for even just a single 30 millimeter round again we see how the vietcong used dispersion to their advantage in conjunction with camouflage one viet kong soldier writes next to hoamai is ben min campsite this campsite is regarded as a very good one the site is large and is covered with dense foliage too the width of the campsite gives us a special advantage it confuses the gvn artillery about where to shell now the concept of dispersion is an utterly terrifying concept for those who are not experienced with getting shot at for a living for civilians or non-combatants living in our modern world there is nothing so terrifying as lying in a foxhole alone while an aircraft is attacking your position humans naturally want to be together with their team when they're getting shot at so care must be taken to ensure that everyone disperses appropriately despite the fear this also often applies to professional soldiers as well especially those who are used to having aerial superiority on their side and off the other way around the good news is that attacks from ground to aircraft are very survivable if the right precautions are taken of course there are thousands of possible munitions that aircraft can carry but for the most part your average pilot is going to be looking for juicy targets equipment vehicles emplacements fortifications really anything but a single guy in a foxhole and if your group or unit is nothing but a bunch of dispersed individuals and foxholes that will make you a very hard target so let's recap passive air defense consists of two parts attack avoidance and damage mitigation before doing anything decide on the criteria for fighting back and engaging the attacking aircraft avoiding the attack is as simple as embracing the best tenets of camouflage and based on your decision to engage picking the best location in which to either take cover or engage the aircraft and just in case you can't avoid an attack disperse your forces as much as feasible in order to mitigate the damage that does occur from an attack so as we can see it's pretty simple but let's briefly sidestep for a minute and talk about special considerations for convoys convoys being attacked from the air and from the ground have been a kind of hot topic lately so we can briefly touch on some specific tactics that can be used to passively protect convoys from aerial attack convoy defense is another big topic but since we're talking about it now let's go over some passive air defense tactics for convoys convoys by their very nature are very different from static locations in placements or installations convoys naturally consist of large objects all arranged in a line usually traveling on a road surface that is different from their color so we've got some serious breaches of camouflage doctrine here right off the bat if we look at the factors of recognition we can see how troubling this is position vehicles are positioned on the most conspicuous thing in the area the road shape long lines of vehicles can be seen from extreme distances from the air and naturally draw the eye shadow the shadow underneath vehicles in combination with a smooth road surface is very eye-catching texture vehicles will have a different texture than that of the road surface especially in the rain color unless driving on a dirt road in the desert it's unlikely that vehicles will match the color of the road's surface movement convoys by their very nature have to move and the dust that is often kicked up by convoys can be seen for miles away shine windshields and windows can't really be covered up because they are needed to drive and for security presenting shine hazards so we can see when it comes to passive air defenses for the convoy we have got quite a few challenges to overcome choosing good routes that offer natural concealment in the first place would be preferred though when it comes to military convoys even the convoy commander might not have the authority to deviate the route so in these cases you might be stuck if you can choose your route you will obviously have to weigh your priorities you might want to stick to tarmac to avoid dust being kicked up but if the only paved road in the area is an ied alley you might want to put up with the aerial threats that dust brings and roll across country then again you might be more concerned about leaving tracks or even worse getting stuck or bogged down in the mud on the open field or any other number of problems that might come up by traveling cross country the point is when planning your convoy route make sure to take these things into consideration we're not just concerned about ieds anymore there are certainly threats in the skies now too the timing of the convoy can also help greatly scheduling the convoy for night time even in an age where no one truly owns the night anymore would be preferred nighttime conditions make detection more difficult even with all of the high-tech surveillance equipment out there just like pretty much everything else take advantage of bad weather to travel by notice a trend here like clockwork traveling in bad weather during precipitation or with an overcast sky at a low altitude is paramount as we have stated many times bad weather is your friend when it comes to avoiding aerial surveillance now it's not foolproof of course and most fixed-wing ground attack aircraft can operate just fine in the rain but again all we're trying to do is reduce vulnerabilities not eliminate them entirely that concept also applies to reducing shine or glare from vehicle glass such as windows headlights tail lights and the windshield now to be honest there's not much that can be done about this in most cases the manuals tell you to cover as much glass as possible with mud or a poncho or even paint it with a non-reflective paint in reality very few people are going to do this but it is not unheard of for units to paint over windshields leaving just a small viewing port for the driver to see through though this is very very dangerous and not really practical for a convoy on the move speaking of being on the move one of the main defenses for military vehicles at least is the use of smoke to obscure the precise location of a vehicle now smoke is a big topic and we're going to talk a lot more about this when it comes to active defenses but it's worth mentioning now because smoke must be planned for remember how we said you have to make the decision of whether or not to engage before anything else well the use of smoke is super important to consider as well because if your convoy's plan is to engage the aircraft the use of smoke will impact your ability to engage the aircraft you don't want to pop smoke and blind your gunner who's trying to lay down some hate at an attacking aircraft you've got to choose what you're going to do and communicate that effectively to everyone ahead of time especially if you plan to use smoke smoke is normally used after you've already been detected like for instance if the aircraft has already made its attack run you can pop smoke and maybe confuse sensors just a little bit because as we know even just avoiding a missile hitting your vehicle from a few feet away that can mean the difference between life and death right so if we can confuse the aerial platform sensors by just a few feet that might make the difference smoke can also be a helpful decoy to distract from the true location of your assets before you're spotted too smoke draws the eye so it might be helpful to use smoke to direct the attention of observation aircraft which will surely check it out as with all other decoys the use of such decoys is not without risk if the enemy knows that a certain tactic you're doing is a decoy or a fake out they will be even more intent on discovering the real target since decoys are often located next to high value targets so when it comes to defense against convoys it also sounds quite simple maybe with a couple of extra steps to make sure camouflage efforts are effective well not so fast this is a great example of the trouble you can get into if you only read u.s military manuals you see all of this sounds well and good until it's you in the convoy then we have some contradictions for instance a common russian tactic is for helicopters to serve as a sort of aerial indirect fire platform the russians in particular are fond of this climbing attack in which they approach ground targets at high speed and low altitude then pull their nose up at a steep angle climbing up in altitude sharply at the top of their arc they fire their rockets at a steep angle at targets very far away slinging their rockets as far as they can while still being far away from the target we saw this kind of tactic being used in ukraine kind of a lot and many western observers think that this tactic is done in order to avoid man-pad threats which which makes sense or because pilots are scared to get close to their target but the mi24 actually has fire control systems on board to assist with this type of targeting so it's definitely more doctrinal than we think it's not just some you know russian bubba pilot just slinging rockets because he's too scared to get to the target now it's actually more doctrinal than we actually think but in any case it's hard to imagine unguided rockets being slung out of a launch tube in this manner being accurate at all and the observations in the field confirm this it's a very inaccurate way to fire rockets so what's the moral of the story and why does this matter to convoys well this specific tactic is just an illustration of how a convoy might not know that they are under an aerial attack they might think it's a ground attack or an ambush and the choice of what to do varies widely based on this distinction for instance the global war on terror has brought us classics like counter ambush tactics at this point it's pretty much common knowledge that if your convoy gets ambushed you do not stop you push through it you what quote get off the x or out of the kill box makes sense for ground convoys right we've gotten really good at this but what if that ambush turned out to be an aircraft attacking from so far away that you didn't see it in that case pushing through it and getting off the x might make it easier for an aircraft to target you especially if you were a hit in a wooded tree line and you push through it and to get into the open into an open clearing in that case pushing through it might make it easier for an aircraft to target you or make it more difficult for friendly air defenses to engage the aircraft in the heat of the moment when you're getting shot at or explosions are going off right outside your door when you only have seconds to react what are you going to do are you going to break out your vehicles and disperse them in a herringbone pattern or are you going to push through it just in case it's an ambush you don't know what's happening all you see is explosions up and down the convoy what if it is an ambush and you decide to disperse now you've got your convoys scattered on the x pretty much the worst thing that you could do what if a vehicle is disabled does that change your decision clearly these are hard decisions to make and we cannot possibly indicate what the right decision might be in a simple video here however we can say that generally speaking it is better to make a decision and stick with it rather than be indecisive in this situation even if you make the wrong decision this is preferable to not making a decision at all the whole concept of passive air defense is very simple but simple does not mean easy and all of these simple steps will require significant effort dedication and discipline over time to be as effective as possible and remember passive air defense is the first step in active air defense which we will cover next so stay tuned and if you want some further reading on the subject check out these publications and resources so thanks again for watching thanks for all of your support and we will see you next time and as always find in the shade
S2 briefing · 2020-12-22

Religion Under Tyranny: How to Practice Religion in 2021

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground so today we have a sort of special seasonal episode for you uh in which we're going to talk about some considerations uh for conducting religious activities or practicing your religion under a tyrannical or oppressive system so uh right up front i just want to say that this is the i think eighth time we're recording this so forgive us if things don't quite match up because this is a very very hot topic a very very hot topic for a lot of people especially as we move forward into the height of the holiday season for 2020 and we have to realize that the the reason that we're talking about this is is really two-fold and the first reason that we're talking about this is that a lot of the coveted lockdown procedures or whatever we're calling those uh lockdowns now would be you know tyrannical oppressive maneuvers or legitimate you know medical things whatever you want to call it you have to realize that most of these coveted lockdown procedures are in direct conflict with the nature of religion so the nature of the coveted lockdowns and the nature of religion itself they're at odds with each other so even if you didn't have a tyrannical system you know that's a particularly tyrannical system that's trying to lock things down you know medicine isn't always at odds with religion right um but we have to realize that now a lot of tyrants are taking advantage of that so the nature of these code lockdowns you know in a sort of anti-societal lockdown procedure and you know over on this corner you've got you know your church or your religious activity which is a very community based a very person based very person to person very personal thing for a lot of people when you sort of put those two in the same arena they there tends to be a lot of conflict there and then also like i mentioned we have a so purely nefarious like there's no ifans or busts there's a pure nefarious activity going on when it comes to religion in a lot of areas particularly places like either texas or new york where politicians are ordering police officers to arrest people for conducting religious activities because those religious activities either defy some kind of coveted thing or just because they don't like them so you know even though the stuff we're going to be talking about today is mostly worst case scenario we also wanted to make this video survivable for the future so even though as we move forward into the 2020 holiday season you know the height of that we also wanted to point out that this video is meant to last for multiple years so even though we don't live entirely in a sort of chinese communist lockdown on religion situation here in america in 2020 2021 might be different thus the video right so we also wanted to point out that like i mentioned when people think of religious persecution they tend to think of things like you know the pilgrims coming over from europe even though that's not necessarily a perfect story that's what people tend to think of they don't necessarily think of anything modern and that's what we're coming at it from today we're coming at it from the modern perspective you know chinese religious persecution persecution of our religious activities in europe uh things like that um and as a result we wanted to once again point out that it's not our job to tell anyone what to do when it comes to their religion that's just not only is it none of our business but no one should be doing that um and you know like i mentioned we have filmed this a lot of times and the reason for that is it's very difficult to word things in such a way that isn't offensive or you know crass or some something wrong with it just doesn't quite sound right i can't tell you how many i've spent about six hours filming this so far and it's you know every time i'll just say something that doesn't sound right or it's just like man i you know that that did not come out right so forgive us if that's what happens we also wanted to point out that the writers that gave me uh the talking points for this episode today are not religious people and we did that on purpose we wanted people to write this from a non-religious perspective because of their ability to look from the outside in right so whether or not we have staff here that's extremely religious some people you know that are atheists or agnostic or whatever you want to call it and so we we had a think tank together and we wanted to write this from the perspective of someone who is not involved in really any organized religion right now but has knowledge of it right so if we don't get things necessarily quite right please forgive us we're not intending to be offensive or or anything bad we're just trying to come at this from an analytical standpoint so that should you know help out i'm sure that the comment section will blow up but we wanted to make it very very clear as with a lot of our stuff that tends to be inflammatory we have to spend a few minutes at the beginning talking about why we're coming at this and you know just to kind of make sure that everybody knows we're coming at this from a purely good and honest you know perspective so with that out of the way let's jump right into the first category and that is undercover agents so one of the things that has happened um for many many years now is people particularly law enforcement but other groups as well just the cases we have for law enforcement um groups or people uh infiltrating a religious activity in order to surveil it or conduct some kind of intelligence gathering and the example we have here on the slide is a screenshot from a video that was taken i can't remember some time ago it's not labeled here for me of three new york police officers i don't know if they were sheriffs or if they were nypd but these three guys decided that it would be a good idea to conduct a surveillance operation following i think it was the summer of 2020 actually because they were conducting surveillance of protest activity in a predominantly jewish community as a result of the george floyd protests earlier this year and they decided to go about doing that by dressing up in traditional jewish clothing they were wearing you know i forget the names but they were wearing traditional hats they had traditional jewish hairstyles they were they looked um to an outsider who is not jewish they looked like you know jewish people of the jewish faith uh coming or going you know from the synagogue or something like that they blended in to the crowd however and this points to one of the first bullet points here is that generally speaking outside infiltrators are extremely easy to identify when it comes to like surveillance so when this video showed up on the internet people of the jew people in that jewish community and really every jewish community that we saw there were tens of thousands of comments just slamming these guys they were wearing you know the wrong sized hats they were the reason they got noticed in the first place is that they were using cell phones on the sabbath which is not permitted in the jewish faith so they made a huge mistake there and that got attention put on them and then people started looking at you know some of their other clothing and some of the ways they were acting and it was just like they were sticking out like sore thumbs to people of the jewish faith so um that's something that's kind of easy one of the undercover agents sort of thing is easy to get out of the way uh right to start with um now it must also be noted that the nature of religion in most religions on earth tends to be very altruistic in nature you know people it's most religion had teaches tenants of of being good you know helping your neighbor things like that so some people will want to be that good-natured person and let in uh someone to a religious activity that is obviously an infiltrator right so we have that going on but we also have to realize that you don't want to be paranoid to the point to where your you know congregation or parishioners or whoever um start being paranoid towards one another right that's not something that we want but we did want to point out that you know law enforcement has routinely uh posed as religious personnel um when it comes to surveillance so that is definitely a thing to watch out for um so yeah that that's the news article that shows that they were caught using the cell phone uh on the the shabbat or the sabbath and then another thing to think about is the concept of informant neighbors so a lot of people nowadays are being taught by their government or their politicians to call in or report religious activities or really any like gathering activities they disguise it as gatherings so for instance you know the governor of oregon the governor of new york a lot of these governors are setting up either hotlines so that people can snitch on each other or things like that and thankfully the internet has been quite hostile to this idea but even though people have quit you know were quick to jump to like oh you know some karen you know calls in a you know a party or something like that we have to realize that today it may be a joke today it may not be a thing that we take seriously but tomorrow it could be a security threat so your karen neighbor or for lack of a better a less offensive term to people who are actually named karen out there um someone who is who is calling in these you know reporting they're sitting at their window with their phone in their hand you know calling the police to report their neighbor for walking their dog or something people who do that um they could very well be a security threat tomorrow so um we also have to remember that like i said on the previous slide that you know most major religions teach this sort of love thy neighbor sentiment right but this feeling is most certainly often more often than not not mutual when it comes to these coveted things so just remember that even though you want to be a kind person to someone else they know they may not be a kind person to you and when it comes to that someone not being kind could result in your door getting kicked in so um we have to realize that this is you know something apart from religion that the social engineering that governments have done on people as part of this covet thing that social engineering has worked it has been very effective because we have changed our culture in less than a year's time and there haven't really been any congressional laws telling people to do it it's all been either executive orders or just federal recommendations right so so we have to remember that even though we may have the best intentions for people and that we may want people to be uh you know safe and secure and things like that others may not so uh just keep that in mind and then another thing that is very contentious now and this slide is one of the main reasons why we've recorded this so many times is because i haven't found a good way to say this i'm just going to come out and say it is that a lot of religious activities particularly churches that have a hierarchical structure such as catholicism right you know have different layers of authority within the church a lot of these religious structures have been very tyrannical towards their own people people of their own faith right so the leadership of many religious institutions are quite frankly willing collaborators of infringements on their own religion right i can't tell you how many articles i have read that state that all these covet procedures are not persecution they are not persecution they're not infringing on your religious freedoms whatsoever but that's not true like this is just blanket propaganda that's put out by the church to infringe on itself which none of us here quite understand right and we have to realize that since that's the case this division right you have people that want to get together in a you know a small group or a group of like maybe 100 or so you know like most churches in the united states or synagogues or mosques right they want to get together in a group of maybe 100 or so or less and some people will want to do have an underground secret church that the government doesn't know about and other people within that congregation won't right so this division division within a religious institution almost always results in some kind of conflict breaking out now the severity of that is you know different you know it varies right over time um but since like i said most religions have a very strong sense of community and these internal problems could be very very severe so i guess to sort of sum up this this sentiment i would say that we must recognize that even now even in late you know mid-december 2020 which is when we're filming this we have to recognize that some people will want to comply more or less than you and that is something that that we have we don't have a solution for we have not figured out how to approach that other than just saying that is the case right we don't have a solution but we know it's true that some people will want to comply more than you some people will want to comply less than you some people will want to comply with every single thing the government says some people will want to comply with none of the government what the government says and there's very very different reasons for doing so so we must recognize that there's different thresholds there's different lines in the sand some people don't even have a line right so when it comes to religion which is you know teaches morals and things like that we have the potential for conflict there and the next up is the concept of transportation so if you wanted to have a under an underground church a secret you know house church or something like that you have to realize that we we got to look back at when this when this coveted stuff first happened right when this um when these coveted lock downs first happened i have personally driven through many military checkpoints and many police checkpoints when it comes to uh the coveted stuff so i remember having to to talk to either police officers or soldiers um say and explain to them why i was driving on the road so um we we got to recognize that the first time around when these checkpoints when active duty soldiers were manning military police checkpoints on u.s soil and no one said anything about it or very few people did right they they were effective they happened no one shut them down they just sort of everybody just kind of agreed to it right since that happened the first time it's most likely going to happen again and we're going to have these perpetual perpetually increasing levels of lockdown so just keep that in mind is that you're going to have transportation issues as we come forward into the next few years honestly so that's something to think about and like i mentioned another real solution for this to to the religious tyranny of say your governor or your mayor or something says no churches can can have in-person you know meetings whatsoever well this is where we you know come back to like i mentioned at the beginning we come back to the uh the playbook of chinese christians um house churches the concept of the house church a secret church in someone's literally in someone's house or home they have become extremely popular and quite effective in concealing underground religious activity in fact the chinese government itself even if they do find a house church a lot of times they if it's just 10 to 15 people or so uh they tend to just leave it alone or or just kind of turn a blind eye because they know that there are millions of these secret house churches all over mainland china so even the chinese government understands that they can't get them all so by decentralizing by having a decentralized nature of things uh having a covert church just in someone's house right it's very effective so you know that's what we're preparing to set up here in the future if things get much worse now when it comes to that you also have to remember that all aspects of the house church must be considered you've got to talk about you've got to consider things like how are people getting in and out of you know the church are they coming into the front door through the back door is there a secret entrance is there some kind of something that neighbors would notice would external surveillance betray the existence of the church in the first place you know stuff like that has to be considered quite quite significantly and then another thing that must be considered for specifically house churches um is the the stuff within the church right so although most religions on earth don't really have a whole lot of gear right they don't have a whole lot of of what government forces would most likely label as contraband right things that betray what was what's going on in a particular area so for instance if you know if you walk into a a a house somebody's residential area and they've got stacks of chairs in the corner or stacks of prayer rugs in the corner they've got you know whole bookshelves full of neatly arranged bibles you know religious artwork and thing and like you know child's crafts and things on the walls well you know what it looks gonna look like a church right there are very few churches in the world regardless of religion right regardless of what religion it is there are very few religious structures that you can walk into anywhere in the world and not know that it's a religious structure so um you know casual observers would instantly notice hey there's some religious activity going on here right so you've got to consider that a lot of these things are going to have to be stored covertly there's no bigger giveaway that house church is going down than to see you know like i mentioned stacks of bibles and shares right so this is where we get into the sort of dual use dual use nature of things and if you if you don't know what the nature of a dual use is it's something that can function in one way but can also function in another way for instance if you had large groups of chairs in your you know living room or something well that's going to imply that there's a large gathering of people there and there's really no way to camouflage that to make it look like it was something natural whereas if you have a bunch of you know like children's art you know on the wall you could say that it's your own kid's art right so you know you could do things like instead of having a bunch of either song books or or bibles or religious texts or whatever karan's you know instead of having them stacked up neatly on a bookshelf spread them out spread them out throughout the house right spread them out throughout multiple bookshelves so that it makes it like you just happen to collect them instead of they're there for you know people to come and use right you know everything also things like you know religious you know sacraments and things like that you know don't really know the terms for a lot of you know religious implements and items but if you have them in a specific area you you might want to you know move them around a little bit to make it look like it's something that you would own as a homeowner and not something that's set up as for like a church purpose right and then also we have to remember that certain religions have very specific things that could give away the presence of either religious activity or large groups of people so right now as we're filming this in you know like i said mid-december 2020 there aren't any governmental agencies or politicians cracking down on religion specifically they're not saying you can't practice your religion what they're doing is saying it's a de facto ban right they're saying that you can't have groups of more than six people in your home well that would preclude a church service right so that is something that it's not necessarily a straight-up ban of religion that's not what's happening it's a de facto ban on a lot of religion and we have to realize that a lot of different religions have different things that could betray them so for instance this is one that that came out earlier this year and we when we thought of it when it happened in september i believe it was september we were thinking hmm that's a good way to surveil people um so for those of you that aren't of the jewish faith the the holiday of sukkot or sukkot however you pronounce it sorry i'm probably butchering that it's a jewish holiday um in which very specific things have to happen so people of the jewish faith have to build what's called a temporary structure called asuka and these are very small structures you can see what they look like here on the um on the slide and there's various different ways of doing it but one of the very key key parts of the religious ceremony or holiday right is it has to be outside so if you look at a sukkah if you see a suka in someone's yard you know that they're jewish right you know the people who are you know of the jewish faith live there meaning that that's a good way if you're going around you could just be driving around on the road and you could see um you know that they mark them down as being a religious um pious person right so that's something that would make it very easy for someone a casual observer to either persecute or surveil someone right likewise you know um the you know people of the islamic faith also have ramadan and ramadan is has a lot of these kind of considerations things like fasting during the holy month of ramadan during the day meaning that you know people of the islamic faith can't eat or you know or drink anything during daylight hours so from sunrise to sunset um they tend to be very weak people tend to be very tired you know it's a very it's meant to be a very you know not a whole lot of work being done and for those of you who are in the military and served overseas in a predominantly muslim nation you you know that terror or insurgent groups take advantage of ramadans particularly in afghanistan every single year it's like clockwork as soon as ramadan begins terror attacks spike because they know that the a a the afghan national army or the amp afghan national police or any sort of authority figure within afghanistan they're going to be practicing ramadan but the insurgents are the terrorists the members of the taliban since they are on jihad seeing as they're they're on jihad they don't need to fast they don't need to partake in the mandates of ramadan so you've got a an insurgent group which is well fed rested doesn't have to pray five times a day they you know they don't have to do all these religious things in ramadan and then you have another group over here like the afghan national army they're going to be you know very tired very weak afghanistan is a very hard country to live in just normally i can't imagine how difficult it must be to not eat or drink anything during daylight hours um so you can imagine the forced disparity there so that is something that could potentially be betraying as well and also when the sun sets there are usually pretty good feasts so if i was some sort of governmental agency that wanted to catalog and go down the streets and see who's partying after hours i would definitely make note of these ramadan parties which tend to happen after sunset when when you can finally break the fast and uh it tends to be a more community affair so that's something for the islamic faith that not a whole lot of people know about and then of course you know christianity is pretty it's kind of an easy one anything that if you have you know a nativity scene in your yard as opposed to like you know some other sort of holiday thing people people know that you're probably a little bit more religious than than the average bear right so really you know any religious holiday is subject to scrutiny and surveillance because regardless of what religion it is usually the religious holidays of any particular religion involve people coming together right like i said in the beginning religion tends to be bringing people together so um you know holiday decorations that are more religious based tend to pinpoint people from the outside outside surveillance if that's you know something that's going on and then another thing to consider is that if you have it like this particular house church in china from a few years ago there are audio visual requirements to running a church right you have to have projectors audio systems computers other technical stuff to make things you know go right you have to have you know storage for different kinds of media you know at least in christianity you know music tends to be a very very common unifying thing so if you've got a you know very if you're if you've got a group of 50 people or so in a cramped apartment that are singing singing songs well your neighbors on all sides of you will probably hear that and report it so um you know singing religious music other audible clues that there's a lot of people in one area those are dead giveaways of religious activity so it's kind of hard to get around but it's something that you have to think about if you're going to want to set up one of these house churches and then another thing is just concealment right so one thing that has been this is not necessarily unique to religious considerations this is just like what we've been doing for a long time which is using these old school wartime tactics to help internal security so like blackout curtains perfect example of this like um you know if you use blackout curtains no one knows if you are awake or if you're asleep no one knows from the outside they can't see the lights on inside your house so that's something that would be helpful as well so for instance if you live in an area where everybody goes to bed around the same time and it's you know either rural or it's like kind of a i think it's like a subdivision set up if you live in something like that where there aren't you know groups of 100 people you know coming to a single house at one in the morning you know these kind of blackout curtains might be able to help because it allows you to sort of blend in with the rest of the neighborhood when it comes to the lights being on or off another thing that might be helpful not necessarily just for religious activities but things like birthdays and other other events which in which people get together is the concept of a faraday box or a some sort of box for your cell phone right it doesn't necessarily have to be a faraday box it could be just a normal box that you keep by the front door but a good practice i don't know if it would be easy to consider to convince people to do even we hear the s2 underground have a hard time convincing people to do it but it's something that you could do so like those of us who work in the intelligence profession they know that you know no phones of any kind are allowed in a secured area and usually outside the door of that secured area there's like a little phone booth there's either little lockers or something like a little table or something for you to put your phone so that you you know put your phone you come out you come out of your office you know every couple hours check your phone and go back in that's how it works in the intel community and this would be a great thing to implement for the civilian sector um you could even make it a fun holiday tradition where you know you force people to leave their smartphones at the door so that you could you know reconnect with friends and family without technology without anybody scrolling or you know snapchatting or anything like that but regardless it's going to be a pretty hard sell to make um but the reason that we're talking about this is because mobile technology particularly smartphones or as we like to call them spy satellites in your pocket smartphones are definitely 100 thousand percent being used to track people as as part of this coronavirus stuff so this whole um contact tracing right we like to call it contact tracing in society because um surveillance and intelligence collection sounds bad but that's exactly what it is it's tracking your exact location um so that whoever either private company or governmental forces can find you right so even though a lot of these contact tracing either apps or procedures are voluntary at the moment a lot of times they're not and and by the time we figure out that they're not voluntary it will be too late so they're not going to tell us that it's involuntary until they start enforcing it so um you know this sort of thing is something that we have to think about the sort of technical intelligence this electronic intelligence that's going on you know even though it may be a hard sell to get you know aunt sally to to to drop her her cell phone off at the door you know it's something that that might be necessary as we move forward into the future and you know years from now another thing that not a whole lot of people know about is the concept of mazent or measurement and signatures intelligence so imagine is something that not a whole lot of people even within the intelligence community know either about or they don't really know how to explain it because it's not an image it's not necessary it's not really a you know something that's like you know electronics not signs it's just it's measurement and signatures intelligence and one of the things that we think of when it comes to this is alpr systems or automated license plate reader systems so for lack of a better term or lack of an easier way of explaining this there are a lot of police cars public cameras security cameras and public traffic lights a lot of times are set up with these alpr systems and what they do is they scan it's a camera type system and it scans your license plate and what it does is it will tag your license plate with a geo coordinate meaning that hey camera number so and so saw this license plate heading this direction at this time and then that is put into a database so that people can you know so that law enforcement can allegedly use it to uh track stolen cars it makes it easy so that oh you know the license plate number blank was stolen you know two hours ago put it out on the system oh that license plate just popped over over here this intersection so let's go there and check it out that's what it was invented for but now we're starting to see these license plate readers be used to track people in their homes or in their own neighborhoods right so all it takes is a police car driving by your house to pick up your luck because these are 360 degree cameras a lot of times drive a police car driving by your house with it with it turned on the officer inside probably has no idea that it's even happening or in a lot of cases it's just automated and no one you know knows right so that if their camera happens to see a license plate it will flash up an alert for the officer so they can say oh oh dang look this this car's stolen um so it's automatic um a lot of times but you don't want your license plate in a database right so a simple solution would be to just back into your driveways the license plate isn't facing the road that way it just completely defeats the system now i know a lot of states out there have license plates that go on the front of your vehicle as well um so i don't have a really good solution for that other than just trying to park in such a way that if a car were driving by with a camera on it couldn't see your license plate so that's something that we've got to consider as we move forward now you know of course i'm not saying that this is happening oh my gosh they're surveilling our neighborhoods right now no i'm not saying that we don't even have any evidence of that happening it's just limited anecdotal stuff that's not really solid intel but we are saying that it's definitely going to happen in the future so this technology exists now the potential exists now but as we move forward into a new age of i hate to use buzzwords but you know like coveted tyranny right this is something that is probably going to happen very soon and then something else which is very interesting this is another concept that is we have to start realizing what is legal and what isn't legal in terms of what is actually going to be done about it so for instance thermal imaging so a lot of you probably have heard of the 2006 case of uh really it actually goes back to i think 2001 of police officers using thermal imaging to they were just parked on the street and they were using the thermal imaging to view to look at this guy's house to determine that he would he had like a a marijuana grow going on because the marijuana grow lights apparently get very very hot so the police looked through their thermal imaging system saw that his house was hot used that to get a search warrant and they busted him for marijuana well he fired he filed a fourth amendment complaint and went all the way to the supreme court the supreme court says yep law enforcement do not have the ability to using thermal imaging to search a place from the street is a violation of the fourth amendment you have to get a warrant first and then you can use your thermal imaging so that was back in 2006. but here's the deal just because the supreme court rules on something does not mean that something very very similar is already being infringed upon by a lower court so even though the supreme court ruled that thermal imaging is a blatant violation of the fourth amendment we have things like stingray devices so yeah like i said the supreme court ruled that the authorities scanning their home with infrared camera without a warrant constituted an unreasonable search and seizure bar search by the barred by the fourth amendment so moving forward to 2014 in tacoma washington um one of the very interesting things that happened was that from 2009 to 2014 um the county of you know tacoma their superior court judges unknowingly signed more than 170 orders the tacoma police and other law enforcement agencies say authorize them to use a device that allows investigators to track a suspect cell phone but also sweep cell phone data from innocent people nearby so here's the deal you've got in 2001 or really 2006 when the supreme court ruled on a 2006 supreme court says you can't use thermal devices without a warrant because that is a violation of a fourth amendment fast forward to 2014 after that ruling you've got tacoma police department lying to judges and telling them that they're not that they're signing a warrant for this but really it's for blanket surveillance and things like that so yeah these judges signed more than 170 orders for the tacoma police department but here's the kicker they did not know that they were signing these orders and also all 22 of these superior court judges first learned of the police department's cell phone site simulator the stingray they only learned what they signed the warrant for because the news media caught on to it so that's a huge thing as well so we need to stop looking at things from like oh the supreme court said this but you know so you can't do that well guess what you know you change the situation slightly oh it's not a thermal imaging device it's an electronic surveillance device instead well now that particular case has to go all the way to the supreme court as well so and it's unlikely to do so so um that's what we wanted to mention is that there are other systems out there just because the law says xyz does not mean that our nation's law enforcement will follow xyz it means that you know some you know it provides opportunity for doing good but not necessarily providing the infrastructure for it so that's what we wanted to mention as well so sort of wrapping up this very meandering and kind of random episode in which we try to speak very delicately about these sort of issues we wanted to say that we need to start being proactive and not reactive we we need to start thinking ahead instead of trying to play catch-up and really that's going to have to happen from each individual person it's going to have to be each individual church i do know that you know here at the usg underground project we may or may not be setting up you know places for these these churches right that might us you know start popping up so we need to start thinking about this sort of thing i i you know i understand that the nature of religion itself is that a lot of people would really rather you know not be around if they can't practice their religion and you know that's a person's choice but what we're trying to do is walk that line between practicing your religion in the most practical way possible also being as safe as possible about it so that's what we wanted to talk about today you know i'm sorry this is kind of once again like a very random sort of episode but it's kind of a hard topic to talk about it really is it's very difficult to talk about a lot of this stuff so yeah that's all we've got for this episode uh remember to check out our other content we have all kinds of stuff on youtube we've got videos on how to hide people in your home if if it comes to that we've got podcasts talking about it as well we've got a quite successful mini series of many hours of content on how to avoid some of this electronic surveillance and how how you can basically be a human being in 2020 or 2021 and not be surveilled as much as say somebody else so make sure to check that out 10 if you like the this youtube channel and the youtube content we have check us out on our podcast which we'll link below chances are if you like our youtube content you'll also like our podcast even if you're not really a podcast person we get that all the time people saying hey i'm not really a podcast person but i really enjoy the content you put on your podcast so check that out if you want if you also don't want to support youtube or if this youtube video gets removed we also upload all of our youtube content to lbry.tv which we will also link below that is a decentralized system that can never be taken offline so even if youtube decides to ban us for whatever reason we'll still be on lbry.tv so with that that's all we have for this time hopefully it was helpful we're probably going to put out more content on this in the future but until then we will see you next time so always remember to fight in the shade s2 actually out
Intel Update · 2022-05-20

May 20 Intel Update: Shortages, Fuel, and Russia

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the intel update for friday the 20th of may 2022 and it is being recorded the day prior on the 19th of may so let's get to it got a lot of stuff to talk about today so i'm just going to start off with critical infrastructure concerns and really the the kind of oddball out is uh the twitter slash elon musk debacle situation that everyone's been following uh over the past few weeks um really i don't have a whole lot to say about this um it seems like the deal for elon musk to purchase twitter is still kind of on hold slash limbo due to third party audits revealing that a significant portion of twitter twitter accounts are actually fake which is something that was not disclosed by twitter as part of the agreement so i guess we'll have to see how this works out the only reason i'm mentioning it is because again everyone's been talking about it and i guess social media like twitter especially twitter um people rely on it whether or not you like it or not i'd personally despise twitter no matter who owns it i just don't like it as a platform but despite how i feel about it it doesn't really matter it's still a huge communications platform for a lot of people on the planet so um i guess we'll have to keep an eye on this and see how it goes my guess is that elon musk will probably eventually end up buying twitter and seeing how that goes as far as whether or not it will be a good platform or not after that i don't know i highly doubt it um despite what many people might seem to think on the internet i personally don't think that um really any billionaire is the savior of mankind right so um i have so i have serious reservations and and i'm highly doubtful in anyone actually being able to provide social media in such a way that it's productive because i don't think that most social media especially twitter is a place where any kind of rationalism can thrive so i will be very interested to see how it goes and i think really the biggest part is the second and third order effects of this uh if i almost think that it's probably not a good thing uh because if elon musk takes over twitter and it's he's publicly stated that he is no longer a democrat and he is going to vote republican in this next election um the fact that he said that makes me think that there's going to be a a whole lot of conservatives uh rushing back to twitter uh because they've been banned from twitter and it's kind of obvious that twitter is a leftist platform i think that a lot of people are going to rush right back to twitter and we're just going to continue this goat rodeo for the next few years and i don't think that's productive i think that there needs to be another answer that's why we've been working on our our own solutions to this problem i don't think that twitter is going to be a safe haven for anyone and i don't think that it's going to be very much different than in the past you might have a lot more conservatives on it but i think that at the end of the day it's still a money-making platform and i don't think that it's a place for any kind of free speech to to take place so being like i mentioned the second and third order effects are going to be interesting to see what happens from this but other than that i'm really not interested in really following the my new details of of who owns twitter at any particular moment what i'm vastly more interested in is number two there which are the food distribution center fires which finally someone has noticed that an awful lot of food distribution centers production facilities packaging factories and warehouses have burned down lately now the mind my mind immediately thinks huh interesting isn't it this plays directly into the themes of food shortages being instigated by the government now i will say that there is very little evidence either way it's just a gut feeling that there's something fishy going on when at a time when food security has never impacted more people in the united states rationing is already at an all-time high since the great depression suddenly food distribution centers start burning down weird isn't it i don't know about anyone else but i don't believe in coincidences the the correlation in this example is way too strong to ignore even if there's really no evidence to indicate causation there's no evidence to indicate what's exactly happening so we're going to keep an eye on it obviously and i agree that that all of these warehouses burning down is more suspect than a than a ballot drop box but i really don't have anything at all to point fingers at any entity for the reason behind these fires but i would say that it's awfully convenient for the us government who is constantly and consistently trying to target the u.s citizenry such as the infant formula shortage moving on to number three the infant formula shortage is the result of a few things for one a few months ago i'm pretty sure most people don't remember but a few months ago there was a nationwide contamination of infant formula causing huge disruptions in the market again as we've said many times in the field of logistics a single factory being offline for just a short time results in widespread shortages and significant logistical challenges immediately however the shortage has directly been made worse by the us government in the form of the fda not allowing major factories to come back online until they meet us government standards now i must say that i do not know if this is a situation of the us government holding these factories hostage by forcing them to meet unmutable standards which is slowing production or if it's something else i think i think that's the case but i'm not really sure it could also be a case of manufacturers dragging their feet for a variety of reasons but again i'm inclined to think that the us government has a huge hand in this because of what happened immediately after the story of infant formula shortages going viral almost immediately this was used by pro-abortion activists as a way to push their ideology i cannot tell you how many times i have seen pro-abortion activists directly saying oh you can't feed your infant well you should have aborted it i have seen that specific line a lot brought to you from the same regime that said if you had an electric car you wouldn't be affected by fuel prices and shortages the same exact mentality has been applied to having children and i can barely contain my own anger just to get through this but this is what i'm seeing so yeah there is a lot of evil in the world these days and things like this confirm it so for the specific shortages of infant formula the fact that this has now gone viral means that there will be shortages everywhere there will also be shortages of things that parents with infants also need as well the rationale being once parents realize that the logistical supply chains relating to their infant are vulnerable they will buy as much stuff as they possibly can not just formula we're talking other baby supplies as well at least that's probably what i would do if i had an infinite home i'd be stockpiling as much of everything as possible so i'm not going to patronize parents by saying only buy what you need and don't panic buy because i know that's a futile effort when it comes to newborns instincts take over and we just have to realize that panic buying is going to happen so hopefully production capacity will be able to meet demand and we'll uh we'll get through this but in the meantime things are are not going to be super great along those lines moving on to number four fuel shortages as literally everyone in the country knows the entire country is suffering from high gas prices and availability issues as well so it's kind of a twofer right what's a much bigger problem than high gasoline prices is diesel shortages right now there is a shortage of diesel fuel all along the east coast which is going to wreak havoc on industry and the logistical transport of everything so availability is an issue but so is cost commercial truckers are kind of freaking out over this and rightly so because in many cases across the country the costs are so high that they can't even break even uh if it takes four thousand dollars worth of fuel to transport cargo from a to b and you're going to get paid three thousand dollars to do that that's a net loss so right now we're seeing a lot of trucking outfits especially independent drivers taking losses due to these high diesel prices and and other shipping costs and things high gas prices for standard gasoline are also going to sharply increase pretty soon at least that's what the internet seems to think i've seen some estimates by professional logistical think tanks that are expecting gasoline to possibly hit 10 dollars per gallon by the end of this year and i don't say that lightly and i don't say that to freak everybody out but right now a lot of gas stations are retooling or reprogramming their their pumps to account for double-digit gas prices so next time you're fueling up check and see if the pump has been retrofitted and had the screen replaced to actually add an additional place for an extra digit that alone is a pretty big indicator because gas stations are not going to go through that expense which surely is pretty high unless they truly believe the gas prices will get that high i i personally can't even imagine gas hitting double digits just just me thinking about it in the past i would have thought that some kind of civil rebellion would break out long before gas prices get close to double digits especially since we know that the earth has enough petroleum to last humanity like another thousand years or so what i mean is is clearly these gas prices are a politician's invention and the result of political decisions it's not a supply thing domestic gas prices are clearly being influenced by the federal regime which is all too happy to find a way to target the average american and since we're sucking all of our strategic reserves dry the federal regime is creating the conditions for things to get really really bad later so even if things stay the way they are with regards to fuel shortages and prices we're screwed but does anyone want to take a guess as to when the next cyber attack on a pipeline or pol processing facility is going to be a cyber attack that the fbi will magically be able to solve a week after it shuts everything down exactly everyone should expect that by now cyber attacks that are attributable to no single actor and yet the federal government is able to magically solve the problem after the damage has been done i would consider that a new norm in this fifth generation war so with all this cheery stuff out of the way let's move into something more exciting significant governmental actions and up first is number one uh the issue of the army's new recruitment ad for the psyop community the perpetual pain in my rear i wasn't even going to talk about it but i figured i probably should because it has a slight variation of our logo in it and for those that haven't been following us for a while we have no affiliation with army socom or really any government agency or service branch at this point the ghost icon actually comes from a historical military unit that i personally thought was kind of cool because i like to study military history and i once did a term paper on them so i picked that because i we needed a logo for instagram a couple of years ago and a buddy of mine spent exactly four minutes drawing this so and after a while it just stuck um and recently other groups agencies and organizations have picked up the ghost logo and used it as well including army psyops which is which makes sense because they're the descendant of that original military unit they're trying to look to history to rebrand the psyop community into something vastly better than it is so they're bringing back an icon from their glory days which i understand to be honest and since we're not talking about it as far as the analysis of the video i think that it's hilarious and also tragic at the same time you would think that the people who would be able to read the room the most would be the psyop community but apparently not somebody down at bragg should have thought hmm you know right now with all this information warfare going on maybe we shouldn't put this out because the american public is going to take it the wrong way but no nobody thought that and guess what your cloak and dagger message that would have been really cool 10 years ago now brought you into the spotlight so way to go genius remember i'm an analyst by trade so i guess i'm biased by knowing the culture of military intelligence but i personally am not concerned or scared by any of the messaging in the video i don't think it's particularly nefarious i think it's what military leadership would look at and think man that's a cool recruiting video now right now a lot of dudes in the psyop community are high fiving over this ad which kind of hints to the effectiveness of the organization as a whole and for the people that are going to say oh they're just talking about controlling the narrative out in the open because they always tell you their plans for the prophecy to be fulfilled right let me stop you right there the military side community is not that there is a gigantic grand canyon of differences between military intelligence and domestic civilian intelligence the two communities are not compatible which is why it's hilarious to see someone talking about the intelligence community like it's one big thing the intelligence community is a dozen or so directors of various agencies making decisions without listening to anyone beneath them i was a military intelligence analyst for over a decade and i never once considered myself to be part of the intelligence community i could barely get my own commanders and bosses to listen to me much less a congressman or the director of an agency so to think that the intelligence community actually does any intelligence at all is laughable it's a political organization and it always has been and on the military side of things the psyop community is mostly known for six weeks of planning replanning and more planning just to drop a load of leaflets or make a single social media post that no one is going to read anyway so all in all the sciop community is about as efficient and professional as the military intelligence community which is to say that it's crippled by bureaucracy about 50 years behind the times when it comes to doctrine and tactics filled to the brim with people who are just looking to appease their boss to get a promotion and largely irrelevant when compared to one dude on instagram making memes i mean come on guys i really hate to burst their bubble but man this ad is disappointing if the psyop or soft community at large i guess cannot take the pulse of america and realize that this recruiting ad makes them out to be the enemy of americans that speaks volumes about their effectiveness they can high five and pat themselves in their backs for finally creating a non-woke recruiting ad that is cool and 10 years ago i would agree with them this would have had people lining up to join just like those navy recruiters that set up tables outside of movie theaters that were screening top gun back in the day remember that i get it i really do but not today this ad was a swing and a miss too little too late and only effective at making regular americans look at the socom community with suspicion so if you want an indicator of measures of effectiveness there you go i look at this ad as a resume for army psyops and i'm not impressed again i would have been impressed 10 or 15 years ago but right now if we crack open the psyop handbook and start evaluating this information campaign on target demographic and effects achieve this was a disaster if these guys can't even get their own advertisement right what am i supposed to think about the rest of the military psyop community the goal of this advertisement was to recruit people into the psyop community but what did it really do time will tell if it failed on the recruiting aspect but there's two things that it did succeed at number one freaking out civilians and making the psyop community look like the enemies of the people and two bringing a community that thrives in secrecy into the public sphere they shined a spotlight on themselves at a time when they are trying to fight an information war with russia and china and everyone else so all in all this is again disappointing i really shouldn't be disappointed after all the dod's motto these days is to lower your expectations right i know my navy guys out there know what i'm talking about so sorry for the rant but i felt like bursting bubbles today i've seen a lot of talk over the past couple of weeks because a lot of people have gotten too big for their britches over this ukraine situation a lot of military commanders think that based on russia's poor performance in ukraine they could beat them easily since that war is a war of information as well i've been seeing a lot of people thinking their hot stuff just because russia is doing poorly so i occasionally like to remind people that a dozen people making memes on instagram is more effective at shaping narratives than the bureaucratic upper echelons of the psyop community up next is the proposed rule changes for this year for the who's international health regulations and yes this is really obscure um this kind of ties into the who treaty that a lot of people are talking about which is it's slightly separate but it's kind of kind of the same thing it's really complicated um but i did see this being mentioned online and i wanted to kind of calm the situation down a bit um every few months we get inundated with emails about something to do with the who or the un or nato um i remember last year the story was the chinese had invaded canada remember that one the videos circuit there's like one grainy video circulating of chinese troops patrolling the canadian wilderness and setting up secret bases right um or better yet container ships full of chinese troops being landed in california man that that story was completely made up and it was a thorn in my side all last year um it was completely false with like the tiniest tiniest gram of truth um and it circulated like wildfire online and um big social media accounts occasionally picked it up and in turn my inbox filled up well this event the whole rule change has a lot more validity so i want people to be aware of it but i also want to prevent it from slipping down the same road as other stuff and getting kind of spun out of control so here's what the deal is the who the world health organization maintains this thing called the international health regulations kind of like a set of rules that member states have to abide by sort of like an international standard for health events you see where this might be going and every year there are additions or corrections made to the set of rules and this year the biden regime submitted some rule changes that have raised some eyebrows again to prevent this from slipping into the realm of propaganda a lot of websites have popped up calling this an attack on the united states sovereignty and that these rules allow the who to override the us constitution i would encourage you to read the document yourselves i will provide the link in the description and i will put it on the sources slide as usual i have read it and though i am certainly no lawyer i do not see anything that jumps out at me as being holy cow get your kit yes these proposed rule changes are not good and grant the who a lot more authority and i'm going to put a fat asterisk next to that word authority for later so remember that but when i read this i thought ah they're trying to poke china the proposed rule changes look like they're meant to target china which is interesting if you take the politics out of it which is hard to do i understand but if you look at it objectively you got to realize that china caused a lot of problems for the world they warped the entire health care industry especially in the international scene and allowed the perfect conditions for tyranny to run rampant but they also completely negated world health care issues and the entire planet's infrastructure for handling like legitimate contagions right so all in all please read the document yourselves but nowhere do i see anything that allows the who to do anything really and coming back to that asterisk on authority you really have to understand how non-binding international agreements really are and that's not even considering the fact that the united states is going to have to ratify this you know the congress is going to have to ratify it which they i mean honestly they probably will because all of congress is on the side of the bible regime right on stuff like this so but even taking that into account honestly all international diplomacy is just lip service the only international diplomacy that decides issues is war the who says we order you to do x and a nation says make me and the who backs down because they aren't going to be able to win that fight over something that small i'm doing a really poor job of explaining this but just know that i'm not so concerned about this particular document what's going to happen on the national or international stage is beyond all control from us mere citizens anyway and this applies to the the who treaty that people have been talking about that is sort of along the same line so you can kind of cut and paste you know the the kind of explanation over onto the wha treaty type stuff so again there are efforts i will agree there there do seem to be efforts um that world leaders are taking to create more of a world government right it's called globalization right that's just it's just the way it is like look at the um world economic forum i mean there you go there's your platform right if anybody is surprised by this at this point i don't know what to tell you but again if and when international agencies start challenging us authority more than they already do we citizens will of course do what needs to be done whether or not the biden regime literally walks into the national archives and shreds the constitution by hand or if they sign away our natural rights to an international conglomerate the effect for you and me is the same so even if the bible regime and congress and the supreme court sign away all of our rights and sign up americans for complete totalitarianism my life doesn't change that much because i'm already living as if totalitarianism is here because it is i've talked a lot about this before especially after the election but what's done is done and the fact that we are in the situation we're in that alone has obliterated all of our founding documents and our founding ideals at least on an institutional level socially yeah we can still talk about that but institutionally is there anything that matters anymore they're going to do what they're going to do whether or not they sign a piece of paper to it or not the bible regime did plenty of things without actually signing an executive order anyway for how many companies went above and beyond to follow laws that did not exist we covered that extensively too so they don't exactly need a treaty or a piece of paper to bring in totalitarianism but if they want to formalize it i guess that's probably what they're going to do so again i've beat this horse enough but hopefully that explains my line of thinking with things like this 20 years ago yeah they probably would have thrown a president under the jail for anything that the biden regime does on a regular tuesday they just break laws that often but that's not the world we live in anymore things have changed so that's really all i have on that at least until something else comes out about it then i'll probably be forced to talk about it even more moving on to number three the supreme court leak um this of course is something that everyone has probably probably already knows about um but i think that if you were to go look up what uh clarence thomas has been saying on this uh i think he he is probably the best source for what this means for the for the future of the court now i personally am no fan of clarence thomas for for many reasons but um i do think that he's correct and i think that he has given the most accurate uh portrayal of what this means for the court i think that of course out of all of our government right out of all of our government all three branches um their authority comes from the perception of their authority right and their force comes from the perception of their force when people realize that they can't back up what they're saying we have things like minneapolis riots right so if you have that on an institutionalized national scale if people start realizing hey if we don't do what the supreme court says um what are they going to do about it they have no enforcement ability and the biden regime figured this out a long time ago with regards to their uh medical mandates right they just openly stated that they're not going to follow stuff if you guys remember the press secretary um saying that so it's like well what are you gonna do you know when the supreme court says something and you say no we're not gonna do that um does that mean the supreme court is kind of irrelevant i think so and to some degree so again the supreme court thing i think is just an illustration of the larger problem which is i don't know maybe maybe maybe a collapsing society maybe a decaying civilization i don't know maybe a fifth generation war i don't know either way clearly the institutions particularly the justice institutions are um they're not doing so hot right now and arguably they haven't been doing so hot for a very very long time so i guess we'll have to see what comes out about this um and this is kind of related to the next one number four which is the uh inevitable second amendment infringements that are going to happen um due to recent events so moving on to that one uh just in time for the election cycle there have been multiple attacks conducted by people with firearms over the past few weeks i honestly have a lot to say about this latest one the one that looks like the most obvious false flag attack since the vegas shooting but i'm not really going to go down that road too much all i will say is that every single thing about this attack screams that it was a false flag attack that's just my gut feeling i've really nothing other than that the guy was a socialist communist and his manifesto has been blacklisted by all media because that's what he said in it which counters the narrative of white supremacy um much like how mainstream media forgot all about the dc sniper a couple weeks ago because he was a black supremacist this latest incident is of course being shaped by the ministry of truth as much as it can be which includes removing his manifesto from the internet because specific wording in the manifesto was suspiciously similar to other shooting incidents honestly this guy looks like a fed that infiltrated a white supremacist group to get clues but they never really accepted him into the group so he had to go to wikipedia for his narrative which is why nothing he said or did looks like something that a real supremacist would say or do and something else very suspicious is the fact that he said all of the magic buzzwords and used all of the magic gear that feds want to ban anyone with common sense can see that there's something going on here but since i have nothing concrete all i can do is grumble to myself and watch what's going to happen and here's what's going to happen the atf is going to use this incident to get a new director that will make david chipman look like barney the dinosaur the bothering regime is going to ban whatever they can get their hands on and even average us citizens are not going to follow those rules companies particularly small companies that sell firearms or firearms gear or parts are going to get the shaft and most importantly federal agencies are going to allow communist groups and terror groups like blm to run rampant with their violent rhetoric which is already completely unchecked by any counter-terror organization which actively encourage these people to target people based on their ideology again this is all my own opinion which i guess is my magic caveat that is my polite way of saying that i don't care if people disagree with me and i say all of this with a bit of vested interest which is why i wanted to remind everyone to stay vigilant and watch your back i know everyone says this all the time but we here recently got a not so pleasant reminder of how important it is to remain vigilant in public i do not like to talk about my own experiences with the tension in public these days because i only see a very small part of the world i don't travel all over the country and i don't have a really good sample size for making an assessment of society at large i guess and i live in an extremely politically insane location so my own personal experiences are certainly not representative of the nation as a whole but one of my staff members here almost got killed or seriously injured yesterday when two people in a vehicle crossed multiple lanes of traffic to try and run us over in a parking lot while we were out running some errands i cannot go into too many details for opsec reasons but based on the occupants of the vehicle who were both wearing face masks and the political statements on the vehicle it was pretty clear to me that it was a racially motivated attack which is probably more sad to me than any other kind of attack to be honest but we here are all okay i was a bit better off than our rider who was much closer to buying the farm than i was but they were able to evade in time but it was a close one thankfully at least one bystander checked to see if we were doing all right but everyone else that saw the incident did nothing as expected again i'm talking about this nonchalantly because honestly this kind of thing is super common in my local area at this point i don't live in a historically bad or high crime area i mean it's not that it's not the nicest place but even in my very small part of the world the city centers are absolutely insane and this has only happened over the past couple of years really and no we did not involve local law enforcement because our local police department does not respond to crimes like this anymore in fact we would be lucky if anyone even answered the phone when we called 9-1-1 so we didn't even bother they just tell you to come in and fill out the report at the station which i am not going to do because the police department is located in an extremely high crime area and people are routinely attacked or mugged going into that station because people know that anyone going into the police station is unarmed again if this sounds crazy it is but i'm not trying to harp on how much my own local area has gone to hell in just a couple of years i'm mentioning this as a plea for everyone to be careful watch your back and do what you have to do to be safe out there because even in a place like where i live where crime really wasn't a thing just a couple years ago there were basically no arrests in my area just a couple of years ago and i have zero indications that things like this will get any better anytime soon so again be careful out there i know not a super cheery way to end this segment but that's always the way it is isn't it oh well nature of the content i guess so let's move to international issues up first is russia uh i'm obviously not going to be talking too much about it due to youtube's policies which ban us from talking about anything bad ukraine might be doing um so we're just not going to talk about it but the thing i did want to talk about is this anti-russian sentiment and how things have gotten out of control on that front i'm just going to say up front you always need to leave someone and out like on the high school debate team you never want to back someone into a corner because when you do they just stop playing the game and nothing productive happens and the russian people have been hurt thousands of russian mothers will never see their sons again and all because of a war that they didn't ask for russia has lost more soldiers in a month than the u.s lost in afghanistan in 20 years think about that for a second think about how you felt every night when dan rather cut to a soldier's d.a photo as the nightly news ended using the same b-roll from the last time a soldier got killed i don't know about you but i damn near lost it every time and i still get angry thinking about how my youth was spent watching soldiers photos scroll by on the evening news now think about what russians are feeling right now with their extreme losses i don't know about anyone else and even though youtube has ordered us to not talk about ukraine's crimes i'm not going to kick someone when they're down even if they are an adversary russia has learned many lessons all of them the hard way and even though the anti-russian mass hysteria is in full swing my personal opinion is that if the west keeps kicking russia when they are down we are not going to like what that brings in the future for me russia is an adversary but not an enemy the relationship between russia and the united states is competitive and adversarial on many topics for better or worse but for me the russian people are certainly not an enemy my enemies are the people that started this mess on all sides and in my day-to-day life my enemies are certainly more domestic than foreign at this point right now with all of this anti-russian hysteria people are playing with fire they're playing with fire and they don't know it because the political elites are treating this ukraine situation just like every other issue they use to rile people up years ago it was occupy wall street then climate change then it was religion by way of refusing to make a wedding cake then robert de niro's anti-jab stuff then back to climate change then russia gate then veganism or election stuff and back to climate change then blm and antifa then the virus that cannot be named then back to climate change again then ukraine and now roe versus wade i wonder how much youtube is going to shadow ban this video just because of that paragraph i just read but anyway you see the point ukraine was just a play thing which has apparently now been cast aside but ukraine out of all of these issues was a very dangerous thing for mass hysteria to latch onto there are real concerns here this is not a game there are real defense issues to work through both tactically and socially within the us military there are lessons to be learned in the civilian sector too most of all among citizens again for tactical and social reasons all i'm saying is that there are a lot of things going on right now with regards to russia and ukraine and this mass hysteria that we're seeing is severely warping what should be happening like we mentioned before banning russia's access to banking is a crime but visa and mastercard did it anyway that's going to come back to bite us hard things that we do not think about are also affected think about the international search and rescue community the us and russia coordinate a lot of rescue efforts because we have joint agreements with regards to search and rescue satellites same thing with a space program or international shipping or trying to work with china because russia is the only quasi friend that china has got so our efforts to combat china are affected by russia too even though i personally think russia was definitely in the wrong to invade ukraine poking the bear and letting mass hysteria get way out of control so that that poke becomes a shove is not productive right now we need world leaders to put on some big boy pants and solve problems rather than creating them like they always have done we need people to mediate international relations and start working towards solutions for this because this has gotten way nastier than i think anybody ever expected but that's warfare for you but no what we have is incompetent world leaders playing with fire because they either one don't remember the cold war for what it really was or two have been in politics for so long that they are incapable of seeing any form of reality and that in my opinion is not good and speaking of this russia craziness let's move on to finland and sweden joining nato potentially so for those who haven't heard finland and sweden have both officially submitted their applications to join the north atlantic treaty organization and the proceedings are kind of going on right now right now it's everything's kind of stalled as far as i know um turkey is kind of holding up proceedings a little bit and kind of causing a ruckus but um a lot of people are going to ask what does this mean and is this good or bad uh i don't know if it's good or bad but i will say that it's not good for relations and it's not good for tensions it will escalate the situation even more than the u.s has over the past month in my opinion like i have any bearing on world events or what i say matters whatsoever i think that they should have waited finland would still have been perfectly justified along with sweden and norway and joining nato two or three years from now granted i understand that they are trying to strike while the iron is hot and never let a good crisis go to waste but this i think is too soon russia is still wounded from how the ukraine situation worked out and right now they are likely to lash out in ways that we are not going to like so i think that finland and sweden joining nato is going to cause more problems than its worth clearly russia is incapable of taking even ukraine arguably the easiest target on their border to suggest that russia even has the slightest hope at successfully invading finland or sweden or poland for that matter is laughable granted if i was finnish or swedish or norwegian i would feel differently historically being situated close to russia has been hazardous for one's health so scandinavian countries increasing their civil defense is always a good idea i think that civil defense is one of the best justifications for even having a government but also it's one of the most under-utilized sectors of government here in the us our civil defense procedures haven't been updated since the 1980s which is a shame but anyway nato membership yeah i think that that's going to cause more problems than it's going to solve norway sweden and finland certainly do not have large militaries but they are vastly more prepared than ukraine was in 2014 and they have history and geography on their side so all in all i think this native membership situation is a result of politicians getting something rather than a legitimate defense effort and it's going to cause russia to react and russia's reaction is going to escalate an already tense situation even more and it's going to justify everything russia has done as is russia has no leg to stand on but if scandinavia joins nato russia can say look they really are trying to surround us we need to strike first a very dangerous position to be in and that's exactly where we're heading moving down to india and sri lanka there is mass civil unrest underway right now the situation in sri lanka is not doing too well uh sri lanka is basically out of fuel which is a major barrier to food shipments around the nation india also has stopped exporting wheat because of their own food security issues which has caused even more food shortages than sri lanka because they're a major obviously a major trading partner in short the people of sri lanka are starving and pandemonium has been the result of that there's an old saying that we are only three meals away from total anarchy meaning that if a population's food supply gets disrupted for even just a single day for three meals in a row mass hysteria and civil unrest will result right now sri lanka is finding out exactly how true that idea is and it seems to be pretty accurate on social media i found some pretty gnarly stuff including local politicians being tortured and beaten by their starving constituents i obviously cannot show these videos here and i'm not sure if i'd want to anyway because if you just search out there yourself you'll find some pretty nauseating stuff in any case the situation for sri lanka does not look good and even though the situation is desperate it does not hold a candle to the international famine we will see if this trend spreads to the rest of southeast asia or even elsewhere so keep an eye on sri lanka and india too hopefully the logistical nightmares can reach at least some level of resolution soon and finally somalia the biden regime has deployed several hundred soldiers to somalia and yes i know what you're thinking nothing bad has ever happened in somalia right well right now the biden regime has stated that the number of troops will be capped at 450 but my assessment is that this is what we call a lie this is because the department of defense proudly concealed the true number of troops that were in afghanistan under trump and especially in the past couple of years everything the dod has done has indicated that the upper echelons of the dod is purely rotten to the core so my guess is that those 450 troops will probably be double triple or even quadruple that simply just for tourism patches and that's not including the various odas and teams that have been in somalia for years fighting al-shabaab aqap and the like groups which will only increase in size the reason for this deployment has yet to be released however i have my own guesses a couple of weeks ago there was a regime change and the new guy in charge was backed by the u.s shocking i know but now it looks like the us is protecting their investment and at the same time trying to counter china's influence in the horn of africa which has been expanding significantly under the guise of counter piracy so i don't know if somalia is going to be the new afghanistan i highly doubt it it's just it's a completely different fight it's a completely different set of mission set it's it's not really comparable but you never know right the dod is is all about furthering the military industrial complex because you know politicians in uniform have got to get their raytheon stocks up right so there's no telling what's going to happen um like i've been saying for a long time there are a lot of bad dudes in in africa with regards to um al qaeda and things like that the the sahel region out west and to the north north part of this northern part of africa and north saharan region man they're just eat up with aqap dudes and and al qaeda and al-shabaab and a lot of other groups that i forget same thing in sudan ethiopia eritrea places like that it's just become a hot spot for global insurgency and um you know i guess the opinion is you can have different opinions on whether or not we should be there or not uh and i think there's opinion that's a valid question to ask for sure uh but there's nothing i can do to change a dod's deployment right so i don't know what's going to happen is going to happen i guess and uh for those of you who have not been reading up on somalian history that right now would probably be a good time to do so um because it uh hasn't hasn't been a really good one so in any case that's really all i've got for today thank you again for watching everyone um we'll have another one of these briefs out pretty soon because i'm pretty sure that i've got twice as much content that i haven't even talked about yet and of course things are going to get even crazier domestically and internationally over the next few weeks or so so i guess we'll uh we'll circle back around and talk some more about some of these issues when they inevitably become more much more bigger problems than they are right now but for now that's really all i've got so thanks again for watching and we will see you next time and as always fight in the shade
Intel Update · 2021-08-06

Intelligence Briefing: Shortages, Governmental Actions, and the "Freak Out" Point.

hello again everyone and welcome back to another intelligence briefing with the s2 underground uh now right to start with right to begin with many of you might have noticed that this briefing is not live this is not a live stream this is a pre-recorded video and this is for two reasons or a couple of reasons for one my personal schedule right now is not very conducive to doing this particular briefing live or at least in a time of day where most people would be able to watch it and two these live events are people seem to find that that it's difficult for them to find afterwards so if you missed a live briefing it's not very easy to find it on our channel um and it's difficult for us to manually upload to other sites like odyssey and things like that whereas a normal video seems to reach many many more people and that's really the goal i suppose and on top of all that we can easily see if youtube is going to censor us when we upload the video we get little flags on our end if things are not like fit for advertisers or things like that and so yeah if we did a live stream that youtube you know didn't like uh they would shut it off and would lose all of that footage and just kind of be wasted effort right so in the interest of continuing to speak freely with kind of one of our more one of i know one of my more spicy briefings uh we thought it would be a good idea to just try putting this out as a normal video and see what happens so this video may seem to be live as i have instructed our editor to edit this as little as possible which he was all happy to to oblige me on so fear not as usual this briefing will be complete with all of my own unique speech patterns and general lack of professionalism so with that out of the way let's get right to it with the weather so as one can see weather for the american southeast really the whole east coast and a significant portion of the midwest is going to have really low cloud ceilings over the next 12 hours which is really great for avoiding things like visual surveillance releases surveillance packages that are going to be available to lower levels of authority right like we mentioned in our recent uh synthetic aperture radar video that we put out um certain assets can punch right through weather so it doesn't really matter however most of the time we're talking full motion video just a normal video camera on a really expensive drone they're going to have trouble seeing through clouds so for those of you that have been asking us in dms and emails and things like that why are we talking about the weather well this is kind of a taste as as to how normal military briefings go go down normal military operations briefings almost always start with the weather and then they push over to s2 do the intelligence part and then push forth into operations and things like that so that's why we're talking about the weather just to get people kind of used to hey maybe looking up and saying you know realizing hey this is really good surveillance whether if i were to be surveilled or looking up and saying hey you know the cloud's overhead probably not going to be surveilled today so that's why we're covering it also just want to briefly mention on the bottom right hand corner of the screen you can see that the lunar illumination the cycle is 7.8 so we are in a what's called a red aluminum cycle meaning it's going to be a dark dark outside at night time more dark than normal because the the moon is is going to be very very dark so this means that if you were using night vision devices outside you're still going to have trouble using them in a lot of areas particularly if you have cloud cover so if you've got really strong cloud cover and really no moon no lunar illumination it's going to be hard even with some very nice night vision goggles to be seen so something to keep in mind for planning purposes and just to get people in the the mindset of seeing weather um also likewise moving forward over the next 18 hours these are where your clouds are going to be as you can see overcast skies in the pacific northwest right on the coastal region basically where everybody lives and um also in the american north east so the uh new england area is going to have a lot of cloud cover as well really really spotty stuff throughout the rest of the american southeast and the american southwest so yeah there you go low-level clouds are going to be in mid-level clouds and as you can see on this slide higher level clouds as well all right so enough about the weather let's push forward into no tams and this is a short one nothing uh nothing really major to report i did see that there was a there were a couple of vip ones a couple of presidential ones for you know the president or vice president moving to their homes for the weekend so um didn't really feel like you know putting those on the slide because honestly doesn't really matter because they do that every single weekend but other than that nothing really major you can go check it out yourself if you're in an area where no tams might be of interest but i didn't really see nothing really caught my eye as being important for at least the next couple of days now of course no tams change right so and we don't do these briefings every single day right so chances are if you're reading this you probably if you're watching this after it you know premiered or after it went live you're going to want to check just to make sure nothing popped up five minutes after this briefing was over so because no tams come and go very very quickly and again if you don't know what i'm talking about with no tams don't worry we have a specific video on no tams on our channel so check that out and that will explain everything about that moving forward into the civil unrest forecast made a little bit of a change to this slide as you can see california and new york are kind of scary red right now and i did want to put that highlight that on this particular slide because we are seeing since those two states have instituted a passport system for the um the the v word that we cannot mention on youtube without being censored um we're starting to see a lot of resistance to that maybe not enough to matter but certainly not enough to change the way their these totalitarian states work but enough to be like i need to be aware of what's going on so if you're in california or new york make sure that you're aware of any demonstrations going on or things like that because you might have trouble navigating now granted the types of people that are going to be the the demographics that are going to be protesting against the passport system are not the kind of people that will drag you out of your car and beat you to death in the street unlike literally all these other cities that are on the slide um so that's something to keep in mind but you know just also i just wanted to throw that out there that california and new york are they're um they're not a great place right now but you know as we all as we all know so there you go on that all the other states no major change pretty much status quo for how you know violence is skyrocketing in most american cities so there you go on that um so yeah that's pretty much all we have for civil unrest forecast if you're in a major american city you already know this already so there you go moving forward into logistics uh so right to start with i'd like to mention that the chip shortage these the global semiconductor computer chip shortage uh is still very severe it's gotten worse um but it's also gotten slightly better in that electronics manufacturers are starting to retool to work around it so they're able they're innovating around the problem which is good um but i'm i'm not entirely certain i'm certainly not an expert on this uh but a lot of people aren't it's quite clear that this retooling is not going to be everyone's savior for instance samsung just announced i think today or maybe yesterday that they are launching an investigation an internal investigation to try to figure out what's the deal because they're reporting quarterly losses due to sales dropping due to their prices going up so there you go on that also apple is reporting the same thing apple is is projecting that they're going to not have losses so much as not have as many gains as they were expecting in the next quarter due to this chip shortage driving prices up and things like that so and driving availability down also as we can see the lot of red dots on the slide today the water shortage out west as quite literally everyone has predicted months ago the shortage has gotten worse it's it's becoming a reality it's coming into fruition right now so if you are in if you're located in any of these affected states but especially california i personally would be pulling out all the stops to make sure that you have a way to stockpile a good amount of water a way to collect rainwater if the government officials don't arrest you for trying to collect rainwater like they will in california you know things like that because as we have found out from the recent sort of communist overlords that control pretty much everything in states like that when emergencies happen like legitimate genuine emergencies not ones that are planned right but like things like natural disasters when they happen they're so much worse than we ever could have expected because of the way the situation is right so it's also important to remember that california did shut off utilities to people who were accused of violating social distancing mandates last year they shut their water and the power off uh so you know again as with most things in today's presentation this is not a conspiracy theory this is not even a conspiracy this is undeniable history we've passed into history this stuff has already happened this stuff has actually happened um so we're not even talking about preparing for things that might happen uh no we're talking about uh preparing even more for things that have already happened right so um water is going to be on everyone's minds out in the in the west uh moving forward it really depends on how these other states control things like the the waterfall in the colorado river it's hard to say how this is going to turn out but i can guarantee you that the politicians in some of these more totalitarian places like california will seize every single opportunity to restrict water as much as they can so there you go if they need if the and this is the perfect excuse for them to do so so there you go also in a similar vein but not quite nearly as important as drinking water is the liquor shortage in vermont north carolina and ohio so for those of you that don't know all three of these states i believe i know north carolina and ohio are i don't know about vermont they are abc states so the government the state government there is a commission called the alcoholic beverage commission where government controls the distribution of alcoholic beverages which is almost certainly the root cause of this liquor shortage right because after after all we know how state control of the means of production work out so sharp increases in demand um which is what this is supposed to be allegedly from news sources which you know how trustworthy are they the word on the street allegedly is that demand for alcohol in these particular states rose just like every other state in america but because they have abc mandates you can't just go to any normal store and there's no liquor store in the corner it's it's going to be an abc store that's government-run owned and operated and then the government orders the amount of alcohol they don't understand how and they're not able to keep up with a capitalist system like buying and selling goods and services right so of course systems like this fail when demand increases sharply um but honestly even i know i've been to all three of these states and i can tell you that even just on a normal day they're probably going to have shortages just that's just how the system works right in those three states so there you go if you're in vermont north carolina or ohio you probably already know about this but this is something a little taste for those of you who don't you know like us don't live in those states it's interesting to to kind of observe how that works right also i briefly wanted to touch on plastics i don't really myself understand a whole lot about this but the the sort of tweet headline sound bite is that plastics manufacturers and the makers of composite materials and things like that in the gulf states are having a hard time uh producing those plastics and and composites uh the article that i'm sourcing for this is a very interesting article from a market research analyst in that field highly technical well it's not really that technical but it's technical enough to where um it's worth a read so check the sources slide out at the end of this briefing if you wanted to read more and uh yeah so you know bottom line is i don't know how this is going to affect the rest of the country i'm not i'm not really seeing you know none of us here who have uh helped me kind of look out for for shortages on this have really seen plastics being in short supply like we saw last year with plastics from china being in short supply like the packaging you know plastic and and sort of foam packaging uh shortage during covet last year um not really sure how that's going to shake out here in the united states it might not be severe it might be really severe but i just wanted to bring that to everyone's attention and to you know encourage everybody to go read that article because it's interesting um also something that is not nearly even worth mentioning but i thought i'd mention it anyway is that starbucks or starbucks places around the country are having trouble with their inventory so things like syrups and artificial sweeteners are in low supply at random places around the country i can't really get a beat on where it's at because it seems to be kind of random which makes sense for a franchise that sends their supplies you know through different networks and things i don't really know much more than that because i don't really support starbucks at all and let's be honest the demographic of people that would get on twitter to scream about how their soy latte doesn't have enough splenda in it uh is also the kind of people that you know would make a mountain out of a molehill so i don't know if this is genuine or if this is some some sort of indicator for how things are going to go for other restaurants or eateries or whatever in the future so just wanted to point that out there who knows not really that interesting but there you go all right pushing forward into critical infrastructure and concerns so this is a critical infrastructure slide all four of these things are really nationwide so i didn't really put them on the map and the first one is something i'm going to talk about in in great detail here in a minute but i did want to mention that with the institution with with several states instituting or planning the institute or trying to institute uh passport uh controls for medical passport controls right i would be willing to bet this is just kind of like one of those analytical hunches where i would be willing to bet that in the very near future we're going to start seeing medical care and food service is being denied to people who don't have such a medical passport right that's exactly what's happening in new york and california the places that are being targeted are food distribution centers places where you can go get food are the number one places why this passport system is being instituted you control the food you control people's access to the food you control the people right so it kind of makes sense so i'll talk about that a little bit later but sort of in a similar vein i didn't want to mention that as sort of a personal anecdote which has almost zero analytical value but i did want to share that inflation at least in our local area here where both i myself and a few of our staff members live here in the mid-atlantic region of the united states inflation is most definitely a factor just to give you a personal anecdote i knew this doesn't really mean jack at all especially from an analytical standpoint one person's story doesn't really matter uh is that i went shopping for groceries two weeks ago and i went shopping again today and i paid double almost exactly double the price for uh meats all meats and you know beef chicken and pork and uh almost double for certain certain kinds of vegetables so that's concerning um i was my literally i i paid more for groceries today than i have in my entire life and my needs have not expanded at all um you know sure every time i go shopping i try to to stock up you know like you know prepping in the long term right make sure you get just a can an extra can of everything right so we're not talking like i'm going out and buying you know tens of thousands of dollars worth of groceries i'm just like a normal you know family's worth of groceries right and it was double um so that's kind of shocking very shocking to me uh even though it's something that literally every single person with a fourth grader's [Music] knowledge of economics understands so just keep that in mind i know a lot of people right now are kind of freaking out on the interwebs talking about food shortages and things like that um but i just did want to share my own personal anecdote of inflation and how it is most certainly a a thing uh moving forward so yeah not super great i know this this might not be a thing you know again one person's story is probably not indicative of the rest of the country um but i you know if for anyone out there who's in a similar boat uh you know there you go you've got your confirmation that it is happening to at least one other person right so there you go uh moving for switching gears quite significantly is number three uh which is the joint cyber defense collaborative and this is um some quite terrifying stuff not necessarily because it's anything new but because of how it's branded essentially the pentagon the department of defense is partnering with private companies like netflix amazon google uh other companies like that to essentially spy on a lot of stuff uh essentially remember how when edward snowden leaked everything everybody was shocked you know shocked shocked i say to learn that um google and facebook were collaborating with the fbi and the nsa illegally right people were shocked to learn that out well guess what the joint cyber defense collaborative which uh the official press release i have linked in the sources source documents for this episode um they're touting it like it's a good thing like companies are not going to help the federal government prevent cyber attacks but if you read the fine print it's basically just they're freely admitting openly mockingly to your face that they're spying on you once again illegally so there you go and then also switching gears quite significantly as well there was a report i saw that came out a couple of days ago specifically referencing hospital systems the digital systems and the the cyber you know networks and things that are in most north american hospitals apparently this is the statistic grab line from the whole study is that apparently 80 of hospitals in north america are at quote an extreme risk of some kind of crippling cyber attack now again this is one of those very highly technical documents i would highly suggest you read the sore stock in this on this but you know this is one of those uh things where you're like okay well no duh that's exactly you know what we could we could have guessed that well you know there you go there's at least some experts in the cyber security field are screaming about this now as well so there you go on that so pushing forward into significant governmental actions i've got two slides for you today on this so here we go uh first and foremost again the source dock of which is in the sources there has been a this is a couple of weeks old but there has been a significant amount of um consternation surrounding the dhs training for mass vaccinations so here here's the skinny um for those of you that have had a history in like like i have i have a history of uh you know defense defense and and um natural disaster preparedness things like that you know working for like the county guys or something like that for you know disaster preparedness they have these online courses i mean you can go online and learn how to be a certified national weather service weather spotter you know it's free you take like a 30 minute course and there you go stuff like that one of these courses popped up on one of these websites where you can do this online training stuff or even physical training that you can register for in which the training subject was teaching local volunteers how and other federal or federal local state whatever agencies how to conduct quarantine operations in rural areas so obviously people got a lot you know very freaked out about it um honestly i'm in the in today's age i would be concerned about it as well however if this kind of thing happened 10 years ago nobody would really bat an eye because yeah of course you're expecting your county that's that's what happens you know think if if ebola like like legit like like a legitimate a highly contagious disease broke out in the united states you'd expect you know some kind of you know county or local assistance right you know maybe not everybody but at least that's what governmental agencies are supposed to be for i know this kind of an oxymoron at this point but uh point is is that this exact training course if it were to have appeared online 10 years ago nobody would have batted an eye but because of what it means today with everybody including ourselves being very concerned with soldiers kicking in our door in the middle of the night to shove a needle in our arm um it doesn't look very good for the department of homeland security and considering the department of homeland security is um uh a complete joke now uh as really they have been for you know since they were created uh it's very concerning so there you go on that i'm not sure if i'd be you know be a panic level over it but i just didn't want to point that out that that did happen uh also uh when it comes to election stuff um twitter uh you know good old jack is back at it again uh purging several accounts that were covering and exposing the um inconsistencies i'll say it that way so youtube doesn't ban me the inconsistencies in the election audits of arizona wisconsin nevada and georgia the all four of those states which by the way are having some very interesting things coming out about them that i don't really want to delve into because i don't really know how um i think it would take a lot of time to dig into that and then would probably just get banned anyway but there's a lot of people talking about it already so it's not like it's it's being you know ignored um conservative twitter and conservative sites are really are you know putting it right at the forefront so go there if you want to learn what's going on with the election stuff third i just wanted to have this kind of on record for when social media and really all media kind of forgets this happened but uh cuomo um has gotten is gotten uh gotten in quite a bit of trouble even as even his own attorney general released a report against him basically the report that was released that confirmed that the sexual harassment complaints against him were in fact true um and even the the federal regime is saying that he should resign so very interesting stuff i'm sure we'll probably see something in a few days but i would be highly surprised if he goes away that quickly cnn is interestingly refusing to cover the story which is actually not that interesting considering that his brother is a cnn reporter so there you go also number four the white house is now openly censoring social media so this happened a few weeks ago as well uh the white house through their press secretary and and basically through a lot of their spokespeople is now clearly openly and not even trying to hide the fact that they are ordering social media websites to censor their enemies this came out when it came to during a press conference in which the the white house press secretary confirmed that they were directing facebook to delete certain content from their platform so there you go um if you didn't take anything away from this briefing i feel like this briefing has like five or six like every bullet point in it is like hmm that's uh yeah that's not good um and yeah this is one of those where it's like we're talking i'm talking about it quite casually but it could not be more serious um so yeah there you go white house is now openly censoring social media and directly ordering them if that doesn't show you that's media all media in the united states is now working for the federal government i don't know what will so yeah uh and also number five this is an interesting one um and the universities are requiring uh the the medical procedure that shall not be named right uh now this is interesting this is how they're doing i've seen this in a few different universities a few different people who are who are sadly college students right now and kind of can't get out of it without having to pay back a lot of either student loans or something like that they have sent us a lot of information and oh man this is so sneaky so what they'll do is for those of you that don't understand how you know college works i hate to be condescending but there is a registration period and then a period goes by um it depends on what university is but you register for classes then classes begin then there's a drop date for classes so what people are seeing is that the universities are waiting for the the our registration to complete and then they're saying they're they're saying before you know the semester even starts hey we're not going to mandate masks we're not going to mandate any of this if we're not going to mandate medical procedures and things like that to get students to register and then once students are registered uh and or past the drop date for the class they're saying oh well you know now we're going to mandate mass for everyone oh now we're going to mandate you get an experimental medical procedure that kind of stuff so they're waiting until students are financially obligated to finish the term or else lose a significant amount of money and potentially void their their student aid federal aid and things like that so they can control them i think that's just you know just completely dastardly but it's genius it's like a genius and how evil it is but it seems like most universities are trying to do that is because we all know how universities work now so i thought i'd mention that for anybody who's who's out there who might be a student or is registering for classes if you if your university has come out and stated we're not going to mandate this we're going to not make it we're we're not going to mandate that just watch and see what happens after the drop date for your course or after courses have begun um and the the ad drop period um has passed right so that you can't drop the course without losing your money just wait and see what happens i i guarantee you you'll be in for some nasty surprises there uh so continuing on with uh this uh series of significant governmental actions um keeping in theme with the the experimental medical procedure that shall not be named uh number six here is that the is what um the military uh community has been talking about and rightfully freaking out about for a while now which is the secretary of defense seeking approval to mandate uh this experimental medical procedure before its fda approved so yeah soldiers everywhere who have a heart and realize what's going on are freaking out over this because they really have no option for those of you that don't understand how the military operates there you have no choice the choice is either get out of the military and accept an other than honorable discharge or maybe even a general discharge or some kind of discharge for refusing to get a medical procedure like i personally know a lot of people who got kicked out of the military for refusing to get the flu shot and um yeah that's a shame uh that the military's like that but that's just the way it is and unfortunately service members are put in a very bad choice between having to choose between two very bad choices so i did want to mention it because it is going on it is happening and for posterity's sake i just wanted to have it on the record that this is the day that we're talking about it essentially so there you go switching gears quite significantly but still keeping in the theme of a significant action is apple has decided that they are going to be scanning your personal photos yeah even more so than they already do now i did put this here because apple is according to the other bullet where which i just briefed that companies are now starting to partner with national defense entities you now see why this is why apple is now considered by us to be the government now apple is doing this under the guise of something quite noble they are pretending to develop this technology and institute it on iphones uh to scan your foot to scan a person's photos and determine and detect and report uh child abuse and and um illicit content like that however as literally every single human being on the planet can obviously see it's that's most likely going to be either a a lie or two a uh a diversion to be able to spy on your devices even more so than apple already does so there you go yet another reason to avoid smartphone usage as much as possible so you know something to to definitely keep in mind keep your eye on it because apple loves sneaking these things in all tech companies love sneaking these things in so there you go all right number eight is something keeping you know moving back to the military category uh the military has announced that they are stockpiling 500 million doses of this experimental drug um allegedly now this is from an army times article that again is in the is in the sources for this even the army times like based on their la based on their uh the way it's written maybe i'm biased and i'm reading between the lines when there's nothing there but it seems like whoever wrote the army times article is even thinking that the army's excuse that oh these are for internationally used like they're going to go to people in africa even the harmony times writer thinks that's bs so yeah it's most likely going to be used for something more nefarious than simply helping out another developing nation um and combined with you know the military lust or the senior military lust for going door-to-door yeah well we can we can put two and two together quite quickly it doesn't really take a genius to figure that out now as far as again on the freakout meter how much to freak out i wouldn't necessarily completely freak out just yet but i mean geez there have already been like eight things i've already talked about in this briefing that are worth freaking out over so i don't know take that for what you will i guess another one of those freak out things is number nine which is the michigan air national guard in upcoming exercises will be intentionally closing a highway and a public highway interstate and using it as an improvised landing strip now the military analysts out there will tell you that this is not necessarily a bad thing this is kind of a national defense thing it makes a lot of sense to be able to to train and things like that for foreign invasion and stuff like that here's the deal though uh out of all of the with every single state's national guard um reporting funding problems right to where they can't even get basic very basic infantry training level skills and things like that we cannot even develop basic soldiers skills why then is the michigan air national guard of all places the national guard for freaking michigan right why are they training to land on an improvised landing strip oh by the way which will be the very first time in us history this has ever happened yeah interesting um i don't know if this is more as nefarious as a lot of uh conservative sites are making this out to be um but i do think that it's uh it's there's something fishy going on either somebody's trying to dump some funding uh so that they can get uh at the end of the fiscal year which were coming up on the end of the fiscal year right so they're trying to dump some funding so that they can get more next year or they're just incompetent or some general wanted to get their pet project across and made a deal with the governor for more funding who knows or it could be what everybody seems to think it is on the internet which is something to ferish training for the american military to target uh americans which we think is a thing but i'm just not sure if this is going to be a a representative representative situation of that i don't know but i did want to mention it you can research it on your own so yeah there you go on that and then for number 10 i made a mistake i made yet another mistake on these slides there's a mistake in every slide i put the joint cyber defense collaborative on there twice so i already talked about that so we'll just go ahead and skip that last one because i already talked about it now moving forward into what we get asked a lot understandably a lot of people out there are asking at what level should we be freaking out or or something like that or um what what kind of concerns should i have and things like that like i cannot tell you how many like i'm sure the guy who man's our instagram account just gets bombarded every day i know when i check our email account we get bombarded every day and you know don't don't get this wrong we're not trying to say don't contact us we're just saying that a lot of people are very upset and i i completely understand it i really do i'm very upset um but here is where i wanted to spread a little bit of optimism okay and i wanted to do that via this sort of format and we can do this with every single with a lot of different issues but i just wanted to show you uh what how i'm trying to think about things when i see something really gargantuanly bad happen in the news or something like that and i think oh my god the the end is not right uh this is the thought process i go through so i go through a three-step thought process for a lot of this stuff that i see that's just horrifically bad first of all is what what happened okay and second is what would if i were looking through the lens of a totalitarian dictator if i wanted to be king emperor of the universe what would i have to do in order to make that original thing more effective right and lastly i think because of those mistakes how can i take advantage of a person who isn't as effective as they could be so here let me let me run through the first one and show you what i'm talking about so what the regime did was recommend masks slash the experimental drug that cannot be named right so they've recommended it okay they didn't they haven't mandated it yet right they haven't mandated it yet for for citizens okay so what a totalitarian dictator would need to do in order to get compliance is mandate that stuff immediately for every person and go door to door and make sure that it happens right and you know that might happen one day uh every day that goes by it seems like we're creeping towards that um but right now we have to admit that if resistance to this kind of stuff is possible in the first place if they're giving us a choice right recommending is not recommending is coercing but it's not mandating right they're giving us an option right and if that's possible then it will lead to resistance in other areas you know if they were to come out and say masks and the experimental drug are mandatory for every u.s citizen to get your resistance would fall sharply because people just don't see a way out well now they're offered a way out people are offered a way to not participate in that and since that happens uh that resistance can spread to other areas so there you go they're just not as effective as as they as they can be right same thing with coercing people into staying inside right stay indoors save lives right yeah all that bs right well here's the thing they're just coercing people right they're tricking people using propaganda and things like that a totalitarian dictator in order to be fully effective would have to order this at you know at gunpoint like in australia right people are literally having to show their papers to the police to leave their freaking houses right that's what would have to happen in the united states right and since that's not happening we can take advantage of that every minute of freedom that we have is a minute of freedom that we have to stockpile you know collect and collect intel you know prepare for the lockdowns for when they for when you know the gun point does come right if that does happen right so there you go we can take advantage of that even though it seems like that first event right you know the government's coercing people into staying inside their houses well we can turn that into a positive thing um without too much effort at all just by looking at the other side of the coin right they're not as effective as they could be likewise this is for the military guys out there purging the military of dissidents like we remember hey you know the us government is now looking at your facebook page soldier you know that's how it works right well here's the thing though they didn't purge everybody they did not purge every single person in the united states military that does not agree with the regime or senior military leadership in fact quite the opposite has occurred right whoever is left in the military right those only a handful of people have been kicked out of the military for being quote unquote extremists right i.e they liked the wrong thing on facebook and their command found out about it right the majority of the military that's left right is now covertly operating with the same beliefs that they had before so now they're getting used to operating in a covert environment they're getting used to hiding their beliefs from their command because there you go and if they're willing to hide their beliefs from their command they're willing to hide other beliefs from their command you see how that works and you know in classic fashion right classic us history right the us military has created more adversaries within its own ranks than it has stopped outside its ranks right so there you go by trying to purge but not being completely effective right which is not something the regime could have done in the first place right by purging as many by purging just a few people they have ticked off everybody else right or or mostly everybody else and now they're underground right so there you go on that likewise with the thing that everybody's concerned about is infringing on gun rights right the regime has of course infringed on pretty much every human right that there is but especially gun rights but but what a totalitarian dictator would have to do right in order to be fully effective is literally a surprise raid on every single human being who owns a gun in the united states at the same exact time right it's going to be coordinated at every level federal state local and even like sub-local groups would have to be coordinated to all strike at once to get every single gun right this is not australia where you can have a gun buyback program and every person in the entire country shows up and gives up their guns willingly this is america we don't do that here granted there are a lot of you know flood types out there that would gladly hand in their guns um because daddy government told them to uh the fact of the matter is is that the resistance to this kind of stuff has never been stronger than it is today right so the the interesting tidbit that a lot of people have mentioned this is not just you know me trying to be an internet you know um professor or anything the interesting part that a lot of people have noticed is that the regime has infringed so much that ordinary people ordinary people who um don't who don't um who think that you know some gun laws are good and things like that those people are now openly and regularly violating laws you know just a couple of years ago people would be terrified to even have a stock and an ar pistol in the same exact room because they were terrified that the atf would raid them and say ah you're you have the capability of doing so well you know now the vast majority of gun owners simply ignore most gun laws so there you go um i guess the moral of the story for talking about this particular issue is that every single day that goes by and this middle column here right this this list of stuff that a total dictator would have to do every day that goes by and this middle column doesn't happen is a day that we can use to our advantage right so that is a bit of good news i know that not a lot of time we don't talk about good news a lot but it's really important to keep things in perspective keep things grounded and stuff like that and up next is something that i wanted to talk about um because this is something that i just you know on a whim one day created because i i we we kept getting a lot of dms for this and you're going to get a different answer if you ask every single person here what books would you recommend so i created on goodreads a reading list if you're interested in learning more or you want to figure out where to begin or if you're interested in the field of intelligence or military history or things like that if you want a list of books to read to that we think that i think would help get us out of the situation that we're in this is where you need to go now i will be the first to admit that i do not like this platform since it's owned by amazon but it's the easiest thing to use it catalogs it's able to catalog our books here the literally stacks of thousands of books that we have here in our shop it's really easy to transfer them over to this platform and most importantly you don't need an account to view the books that i've dropped on here which is nice i would also mention that this list is far from com really far from complete i've only got a couple hundred on there so far i'm trying to progressively add books as i can get to them and they had you know ads specific shelves for specific topics um [Music] so yeah like i mentioned we're often asked what books would recommend for people that are new to the field of intel and stuff like that so we've got a specific list for that you know and if you got the basics down and you want something a little bit more advanced well you know we've got a a higher level more challenging advanced intel bookshelf as well so check it out if you're interested uh you know we are always reading new books here and so i'm you know i'm really the main person who is adding books to this list most of our staff here is constantly sending me books to add to the list that i either totally forgot about or even haven't read yet so i will completely and be grateful for any books that anyone can recommend i'm absolutely opening the floodgates and requesting that if you've got a book that's really good and you think is is very handy to to to know uh please send it to us or or drop it in the comments below we've got a channel on key base and i think element as well for reading list recommendations and things like that so that would be very very handy so we can add to the list so yeah and pushing forward into international issues the bottom line is there's a lot of stuff going on in the world and i did not have enough time or the bandwidth to find the hundreds of things that are going on in the world to add to this slide but i will briefly mention that the china the chinese nuclear power plant that's leaking is still leaking and shocker is leaking worse than what they told us um surprising for communists i know right um and a lot of experts are now warning that uh it might actually melt down i don't really know about that um i think that the chinese would absolutely sacrifice their people in order to make sure it didn't melt down because a meltdown is something that's hard to keep within the confines of state control especially with western media having an eye on it but who knows we might uh wake up one morning and see uh see a plume but i don't know we'll see i guess also france france is not letting us down with their um uh massive anti-anti-lock down protests which are currently underway in the country they know how to do it right the the friendship really people knock the french for well being french i suppose but uh they really know how to protest so i i think it's been kind of entertaining to at least watch some of the stuff they're doing and it's it's very helpful to know that at least some people in europe are willing to resist so that's very good to know because europe is um europe's dealing with a lot of stuff right now um so yeah also iran if you wanted to um look this up iran has allegedly hijacked another oil tanker there's really not much information on this right now but the united kingdom that's why i have the same bullet for each each one is that the united kingdom is heavily involved a counter piracy company in the united kingdom was heavily involved trying to say uh hey iran just stole another oil tanker we think now in a few days we'll probably know a little bit more but it would not surprise me at all considering israel has been very very much all about targeting iran shipping oil to syria so it would make sense that iran is having to confiscate or or hijack more um oil tankers so they can that's just what iranians do right the the irony regime i should say uh and then finally the united kingdom is in uh some hot water of their own because uh apparently there are mass food shortages and resource shortages in that country which is being blamed on brexit it's that sounds about right to be honest because of logistical complexities that come with brexit if you haven't been following brexit it's too much to get into right now but uh just suffice it to say that people in the united kingdom are are reporting shortages of pretty much everything um either as a legitimate shortage or there's a driver shortage because of brexit uh people are certain people aren't allowed to you know drive for things like that and um food is you know rotting in the fields and things like that in a few select areas so uh yeah not super great for the uk um it's not i would not classify it as quite an emergency level yet but it is interesting to see that food shortages are most certainly a theme on the international front at this time so before i uh i ended today i just wanted to do like a little mini a little mini podcast and take a minute to check in with everybody and see how everybody's doing and really just to say keep on keeping on and try not to let things get to you too much like i mentioned earlier pretty much everything in this briefing today is worth panicking over even though we're not panicking it's just people everywhere are getting burned out left and right and i find even myself well especially myself just without the energy to view things as they really are anymore in a lot of cases there are a lot of dudes on the internet screaming about this or that these days and unfortunately a lot of them are right yes we are living in unprecedented times times yes our government is legitimately trying to use communism to usher in totalitarianism or whatever it certainly seems like it right you know you know things are not going super great right now we're not confused as to what's going on right i think most people know what's going on to some degree right at this point anyone who doesn't even see the tiniest bit of what's going on i can't help them like none of our staff here can help them there's nothing we can write there's nothing we can produce that can help people like that um they are beyond saving at this point um at least at this time right it may change in the future but you know it's unfortunate um at least the effort required to help a person dig themselves out of the ideological hole they've dug would be disproportionate to the number of people that we could help right so yeah i mean if you go back and you listen to a lot of our previous content really mostly our original og podcast you'll notice how much we've all changed we here try to be as analytical as possible neutral will be the wrong word because neutrality is what journalism is supposed to be and we're not journalists right analysts are supposed to use their skills and experiences to advocate for a certain course of action that's what analysis is right and the very definition requires that analysts be continually at odds with each other um a team of analysts that all agree on everything you know all the time they're that's that's a worthless team right now that means that you might have people um you know this doesn't apply just to analysts like us but you you know normal people as well so you might have people who have different freakout points right like i was mentioning earlier if that that makes sense you know like for instance if i see a a bomb disposal technician running right you know i'm going to break h
Intel Update · 2021-12-25

Dec 25 Intel Update: Hope Santa Brings a Javelin

hello again everyone and welcome back to a very long overdue intel update from the s2 underground today as usual we are recording this the day prior on christmas eve to go out on christmas day so i know how tough it is to have to work or be on duty for christmas so here's a shout out to everyone having to hold the line this holiday your work does not go unnoticed and we here especially are thankful for it so let's get this show on the road with the weather weather over the next 12 hours will be quite wintry for most of the nations so a lot of you right about now should be lucky enough to have a white christmas this year with limited visibility and low cloud ceilings offering that security blanket that we have all come to know and enjoy we're also in a green elimination cycle with lunar elimination at 74.9 percent and like i mentioned lots of wintry weather for a good portion of the nation most notably the great lakes region as well as the western united states pushing into no tamps for this cycle there were a couple that caught my eye really they're both kind of in the same area they're both in los angeles right at the airport there uh but i didn't know what these were so i thought it was kind of interesting to highlight them they're both listed as being for vip movement usually when we see vip movement we can see that they're for like the president or the vice president usually that's really the only reasons we see vip temporary flight restrictions but these did not have the normal uh they were not underneath the normal presidential code so i'm not really quite sure who the vip is moving around in los angeles and as you can see the vip window there for the tfr is quite large it's from the 22nd of december until the 3rd of january so somebody's doing something in los angeles and um they wanted a tfr for it because somebody important's moving around there so i don't know i'm sure i'll probably find out about it you know after i do this brief but i just didn't have the time to look it up so i thought that was interesting to mention for the civil unrest forecast really no major change we're seeing pretty much the same thing in all american cities at this point lots of looting smash and grabs things like that there are a few different antifa demonstrations planned for uh portland and i think seattle but that's literally nothing new there's one of these every day pretty much in those areas so we'll just move right on to logistics again we're really not seeing too many changes from the last cycle we're getting into the winter season so really things the logistical issues that we're still having are going to be persistent logistical issues like winter tires are going to be a huge thing for a lot of places because demand normally goes up for those in the winter time so we're going to have some issues with that but it's going to be localized you might be able to go to one tire place and find winter tires and then go right down the street and you know there's a shortage so it's really hard to figure out where these logistical shortages are occurring um so we'll move on to the national level shortages and there's really one i wanted to mention which is medical appliances things like casts and uh crutches and uh things that you mobility equipment things that you might need to move around and stuff like that you for a medical injury or something uh we've seen this in a couple of places around the country since gosh i think september or october but it seems like these shortages are increasing in severity which kind of makes sense usually hospitalizations climb up during the winter time a lot of the elderly population tends to get a hospitalization rates increase during the winter time it's just something that happens every year and we're starting to see that of course as our logistical situation is strained almost to a breaking point in a lot of areas you might find that some of these more seasonal demands on things like uh you know mobility scooters and crutches and things like that are uh are going to be a big problem for the winter time so we're just seeing that we're seeing that in a few different places around the country uh you can hop on twitter and just search for stuff and find a lot of these uh different cases but again you know it's really hard to tell where a shortage is going to be located at moving into critical infrastructure concerns really we've had quite a bit of things happen in the cyber realm over the past few weeks most notably recently what's become known as a log 4j cyber attack or vulnerability however you want to describe it this one's a little hard to explain for those non-tech persons and i'm certainly not a tech person as well but just know that this is a vulnerability that called a lot of people into work overnight to run some patches for a large percentage of it networks around the country basically every itune network was called into work to kind of see what the issue is with this yet another cyber attack or i don't know if it's a if it's officially been classified as a cyber attack but it's certainly a vulnerability that's become shut down a lot of systems uh it's possibly related to the next one which is the amazon web services outage i'm not really read up on whether or not the two are linked or not but amazon web services has gone down for a significant portion of the country at least twice since the last brief that we pushed out here so the last one hit actually hit our area as well where we're geographically located here in the mid-atlantic and uh yeah it just brings down a lot of web traffic so amazon web services runs a lot of the portion of the internet they run a lot of government systems as well so it kind of makes sense that they would be a target and then switching gears from the cyber realm into more of the jab realm the grocery store chain kroger has announced that they are removing a lot of health care benefits and actually starting to charge insurance fees for all of their unjabbed employees as a way to target yet again the unjabbed population so i mentioned that here on the critical infrastructure concerns because this is definitely an infrastructure concern because if you go to the kroger grocery store if that's where you normally shop you might find that uh you're going to have some staffing issues at your local grocery store that's if you even wanted to continue giving them money after this because they're one of the first i don't think of i don't think there's any other grocery store chain that has been as militant about this as kroger has with the exception of the grocery stores that have straight up just fired people for being unjabbed but yeah i just wanted to mention hey some grocery stores mostly kroger right now are starting to do this and as expected employees are walking out so it's this grand game of chicken that we keep talking about and the workers are certainly not putting up with this at least when it comes to kroger's mandates and finally number four there we are seeing you might see a lot in the news lately about airline problems yet again most notably a lot of christmas eve flight cancellations due to rising cases of blank right as we see that that dreaded oh word come back uh being used by the media this time so this is kind of the uh attitude that we're seeing the msm the mainstream media take with this uh this headline from al jazeera which reads thousands of flights cancelled due to blank driven staff shortage uh delta lufthansa united canceled flights on christmas eve and beyond as blank cases force personnel to take sick leave yeah that sounds to me like what someone in my business might call a lie this sounds an awful lot like another strike that's going on because as we all know by now anyone who has seen anything to do like the the mainstream media is really having a hard time covering this up uh because a lot of news stations are reporting that this new variant right is is like a cold right so yeah very very unlikely it's more likely that these companies are experiencing workers uh walking out like last time because as we remember this is exactly the same story they ran the first time that places like delta and lufthansa and united had these problems so sounds to me like it's another one of those but i guess we'll find out in the future all right so moving on to significant governmental actions up first is in a move that surprises literally no one least of all those of you who watch these briefings facebook has admitted that their facts checks are not based on facts at all but are rather quote protected opinion under the first amendment this was the result of a court case that's currently ongoing against facebook in which facebook had to explain why they censor information that is actually factually correct in every way so facebook's begrudging answer is that uh jk our fact checks aren't really based in facts at all but are free speech so there i for one personally look forward to the title wave of lawsuits against facebook from the tens of millions of people that have had their medical research deleted from that platform it's going to be a very interesting time as we move forward on that one moving on to number two congress is caught falsifying evidence once again uh this was kind of an interesting one congressman adam schiff yes that guy is in fact at it again uh he got caught trying to enter into evidence text messages from mark meadows that he altered to make it look like meadows is guilty of inciting or plotting or conspiring or whatever so this is the whole uh this is part of the whole january 6 commission investigation that from an analytical standpoint is really just targeting of political enemies so it's kind of interesting that they went through the effort of adam schiff went through the effort of adding in like punctuation where it didn't exist and shortening messages and things like that to delete context very interesting that they're having to go that far uh to target political entities um if you know if you even care about this kind of stuff anymore i know a lot of people don't really care what congress does these days and i kind of understand it but uh when it comes to what certain things congress does you might want to pay attention to this next one which is number three uh that the capitol police's authority has been increased so biden signed into law a bill that authorizes the u.s capitol police to call up the washington dc national guard directly without any other authorizing entity as one might expect a lot of americans see this as just the increasing militarization of our law enforcement and the increasing use of our national guard as a domestic police force to target innocent americans and i would agree but i'm also looking at things like from a staff officer position and i have a lot of questions the questions that go unanswered for the most part such as does this make the capitol police chief a military commander-in-chief since a commander-in-chief is the only way that a military force can be called into active service and the only way that a civilian can command a military forces if they are elected by the people to be a commander-in-chief how does this work out do we now have an unelected police chief acting as a commander-in-chief for a military force on u.s soil and if so is this person now subject to the uniform code of military justice if the intent of this law is to quickly mobilize the dc national guard for war without waiting for the traditional approval process somebody still has got to be in command from every at every step you cannot have a military force do anything without a commander so who is it honestly i don't really think that very many people care about this kind of like legal gray area stuff but i i mean most people seem to think that this is just yet another attempt to weaponize the police and the military against the american people which is what the biden regime has done ever since even before day one right but as far as people like in the sea like in the bureaucracy i don't think they've thought about the implications of this at all or they don't care since they have the monopoly on violence anyway i just think that from like a staff position like a logistical way of like how do we make this work who do orders who gives the orders who do they come from like what is the chain of command here what you know who's the authorizing personnel like how does this work um i just think this is very interesting and certainly a very dangerous precedent yeah this is going to be interesting to see how this works out and i am sure that this will totally not get abused in the future and number four is a another development in the fbi's whitmer entrapment case is what i'm gonna call it because the fbi is back at it again this one's just kind of depressing to talk about so here's kind of the rundown for those of you who don't know what this incident is back in october of last year the fbi alleged that they foiled an attempt to kidnap the governor of michigan gretchen whitmer by a group of people who wanted to basically overthrow the government of michigan and almost immediately like after that the story started falling apart uh of the group of people that were well currently are still arrested and accused of this a significant number of people turned out to actually be fbi agents and most of the rest of these people were fbi informants so a lot of people began looking into this a little bit more and began kind of seeing this as a case of the fbi trying to invent a domestic terrorism event by getting a staggering amount of undercover agents together to convince a couple of goobers on the internet to try to commit some kind of crime and that's kind of where it sat for the longest time and then every few months we hear some more about like how the case goes and as time goes on that's exactly what this is starting to look like like full blown this looks like a very poorly planned false flag attack that was planned from the very start by the fbi so far the lead fbi agents like the key players in this case have had a lot of problems for one richard trask a key member of the plot and also sort of the public face of this case was arrested in july for trying to beat his wife to death following a dispute after a swinger party trask was the lead agent that signed the affidavit for the initial arrests and was basically the number one witness until he was fired by the fbi following his own arrest but it gets better one of the other key witnesses for the prosecution agent jason chambers had a secret private security firm which has been linked to insider information meaning that he used his access at the fbi to run a private security firm which was strongly indicated because he tweeted about the arrests in this michigan case before they were even made and now just a few days ago it was revealed that enrique pola however you say his name one of the agents that provided hundreds of hours of surveillance during this plot which made up the bulk of evidence for this kidnapping attempt right well he was revealed to have a history of committing perjury or lying under oath oh and now evidence is coming to light that the undercover agents and informants were actually the ones who did the overwhelming majority of the planning and orchestration of this so-called kidnapping attempt now all of that being said just to even things out here don't get me wrong i think that it's pretty clear that the dudes facing trial like the guys who weren't fbi agents or informants are not exactly the sharpest tools in the shed if you know what i mean clearly there are some learning barriers amongst these guys but taking a step back and looking at this from an analytical perspective it's kind of embarrassing that the fbi's investigative skills are so poor like bro you you want to plan a false flag attack so that you can save the day from the problems you created fine right but you can't even get enough agents to stop beating their wives and lying under oath to do it i mean it's pretty bad when even buzzfeed is coming to these conclusions which is why a lot of these websites are talking about how sketchy this stuff is the fbi is the entity who started all of this from the ground up they picked the field they picked and set up the t-ball and they still can't even hit the ball it's honestly pretty sad that the only attack that the fbi can prevent is the attack that they planned themselves which i know is a loaded statement obviously the fbi does work in other areas like counter terrorism and stuff like that but man it sure feels like the fbi is batting zero these days i mean you've got so many failures stacking up for them in just a year's time and then you throw in intentional deception and lying and stuff like this into it and it just doesn't look good for him honestly i mean i guess it makes sense because it seems like the priorities of their leadership are politically based and not really focused on stopping the bad guys you know just they're just focused on stopping political opponents i guess which is i guess been a thing for years now but i guess it's kind of interesting all the same i mean i feel kind of bad for taking like cheap shots at the fbi all the time but man it's just they make it so easy to be disliked and as an investigative agency like i mean we've got everything from the nashville bombing last year you know it's been a full year since you know a vehicle-born ied detonated in nashville and we have nothing we have nothing on that um you know what about those isis guys that running around northern virginia how's that working out for you you know it's like there's so many failures for the fbi just stacking up um it's it's kind of embarrassing if i worked for the fbi i would be embarrassed but yeah it's going to take a long time if it's even possible at all for the fbi to kind of dig themselves out of the pr disaster that they're in because man i i would really like to see some data on what most americans think of the fbi specifically and they're they're not the only agency that's screwing stuff up but man their their public perception lately has got to be like single digits so anyway we'll move on to the national guard stuff so here is your slide showing the operational terms and graphics for those of you who don't have these memorized just yet and let's move right into the north east really the only update is new hampshire has sent a handful of soldiers to local area hospitals we'll know more about this once we figure out you know how that's going to go so we're going to move right on to the southeast where we don't really have too many updates there's really no updates to this slide again the 149th is deploying overseas so i doubt that that medical mission is still going but i haven't seen any data either way so i'll just leave it there and then moving to the midwest this is kind of an interesting dual update for ohio actually so for ohio 25 members of the ohio military reserve which is kind of like their state guard will be serving as prison guards at the cuyahoga county corrections center which i think is cincinnati for the next 30 days allegedly this presents some interesting questions because one of the mainstream news articles that mentions this deployment also mentions that visitation of inmates will be reduced as will attorney visits so is ohio going to have military service members operating under god knows what title code supervising inmates who are restricted from having their attorney visit yeah i don't know i'm sure it's probably not nearly as overblown as that but i don't know well like we've been saying around here for quite literally two years now having the military stand in for a civilian agency particularly in the field of law enforcement not only presents the problems of conditioning soldiers and civilians alike to view these deployments as normal but also we're having to think about these different kinds of things now so we here are of the opinion that military deployments of any kind on u.s soil should always be treated with the utmost of care and transparency to avoid creating animosity and division amongst the population between the military and the civilian populace you don't want that but just looking around this is a sentiment that completely went out the window with the deployment and staging of over 65 000 troops in washington dc back in january so just like always this deployment is not particularly nefarious on its own it's not worth freaking out about but the stage is being set as it has already been said in a lot of areas for bad things to happen down the line and we don't want that right also for ohio several ohio national guard units have been activated well not really the whole unit but just you know how deployments of national guards work is you've got volunteers and volunteers have been called up to run the whole hospital thing again right so just like most states who have activated their national guard they are activating um an unknown number of troops at this time to support area hospitals probably not too many but it looked like a pretty significant deployment so i threw it on there moving on down to texas texas has been busy they have been deploying staggering numbers of army national guard texas state guard guys dps guys so much so that the governor greg abbott has stated that they have roughly 10 000 state guard army national guard and dps guys down there on the border supporting that border mission operation lone star so that's nothing to shake a stick at that's a lot of people and that's a very significant deployment and i guess we'll see how it goes but again you start putting that many troops in in a location for a long period of time and you start getting things happening like everything from complacency issues to uh cartels starting to understand our ttp's a little bit better to even just you know troops doing you know kind of stupid stuff sometimes so everybody who's ever been in charge of a group of younger soldiers knows what i'm talking about there um people tend to treat it like a vacation sometimes and that's not that's not a good thing so with larger numbers of troops in one spot and you know supporting one mission and getting kind of comfortable and getting set in for what looks to be like a very long-term mission um it could possibly not be the best uh war fighting effort that uh that texas could do but i guess we'll see how it turns out we've already seen a few different you know incidents pop up between you know local soldiers and the local population and incidents between the cartels and soldiers so i'm sure that for the like mid to low level leadership this is a headache and a half i'm sure uh just because it's not particularly a pleasant mission and uh it's not something that anybody really wants to do i'm sure so we'll keep an eye on it though and we'll let you know of any major major concerns moving forward then finally really out west no no major change basically states are doing what they're going to do i would i would suspect that oregon is probably still dealing with the fallout from their abuse of national guard assets so you know with the quick congressional inquiries and things like that those guys getting treated poorly with regards to pay and such i'm not sure if oregon's going to have the gumption to actually deploy any troops for this new wave of uh you know propaganda i should say um it's kind of sweeping through the nation so you know with lockdowns coming back and looming out there for everyone i think that everyone knew that this holiday season was going to be kind of ripe for that kind of action so as as usual it's come back and i i don't know though if oregon's going to be able to actually deploy anybody because they kind of burnt out their force when they during the first surge so i guess we'll find out as time goes on though moving on to the k through 12 public school mask mandates um like i mentioned this new wave of you know propaganda i guess this new variant is causing a lot of school districts around the country to lock down again and bring back mass mandates we're not really seeing so much on a state by state at the state level now i think people are kind of tired of it and kind of burnt out and especially with pennsylvania pennsylvania if you guys remember from last brief was red well it turns out this pennsylvania supreme court overturned the mask mandate and unanimously stated that the governor does not have the power to mandate masks so i'm sure a lot of other states are looking at that and going hmm what is what is our supreme court going to do when the case gets to there i don't know i think a lot of the states that have implemented like a hard and no questions asked mask mandate um will probably not have too much trouble but i thought it was interesting that pennsylvania was was ardently against it so very interesting uh stuff indeed and also quite interesting are the jab mandates specifically for california or rather the resistance to them we're actually seeing quite a lot of resistance from local school districts in california against gavin newsom's orders uh mandating the jab for school children's a lot of school districts have come out and said they're not go there they're they're adamantly not uh not going to enforce this they're not quietly doing anything they're saying yeah no you do not have the authority um your mandates are not laws so there we're not enforcing your mandates that's very interesting to me for california because look let's face it california's got a really bad reputation for totalitarianism and just crazy stuff in general so i think it's very surprising to see this level of resistance in california specifically so we'll keep an eye on that and see how that turns out you never really know we might we might see some some good news uh for the people of california here pretty soon who knows and then overall for our resistance tracker really no major changes here it hasn't been enough time for things to go through the court systems to figure out how the state level leadership and how the military leadership is viewing these mandates we do have one update for texas and that is that the national guard in texas is following in the steps of oklahoma it with regards to not mandating the jab for their national guard soldiers so in classic greg abbott fashion he waits until after oklahoma got their nasty gram from big dod and once uh texas saw that lloyd austin and his cronies aren't really gonna do that much about states who defy the jab mandate or for at least for state orders um he implemented the same thing for texas so it is good that texas is coming on board that's good news right texas has a very large military force and they have their state guard as well right and there's a lot of defense industry and military bases in texas so so thinking strategically even though the you know the big dod infrastructure that is located in texas is not a really affected by texas's you know military decisions right this stuff that you know the governor saying hey the national guard here doesn't have to have the jab if they don't want it as long as they stay on state orders that's not going to affect you know an armored vehicle factory right but if i were a senior military leader sitting up at the pentagon i would be sweating if a good portion of my tanks my armored vehicles my aircraft my rail and my oil was actually physically manufactured or located in a geographic area that is opposing me so strategic train is important right and if the federal government is going to force states to set the precedent of opposing the federal government on a military level then the federal government now has to think about military strategy and terrain let me say that one more time if the federal government is going to drive a wedge between certain states and the federal government and encouraging a de facto political social and economic balkanization then federal agencies are going to have to at least start thinking about the potentials for a military balkanization as well i know that throwing that balkanization word around is going to trigger a few people so i'm not saying that texas and oklahoma are going to militarily secede from the union tomorrow i'm just saying that some states are now pushing back against the federal government along military lines which is a precedent that the dod set by pushing their tyranny among the troops right the dod started it and they might not like it when the states start playing for keeps like oklahoma and texas are now doing so now that texas has done this i would be very interested to see what other states if any states decide to do the same for their national guard troops that's going to be very important to keep an eye on also important to keep an eye on is ukraine uh so i did not have time to cover the international issues that i wanted to talk about this time there's a lot of stuff going on in the world and i just briefly wanted to talk about kind of the most pressing one which is ukraine right which is directly tied to all the stuff going on in europe as well like energy and stuff but this is on a lot of people's minds so i kind of wanted to address it now and we can go into a deep dive on it later i do think this needs yet another dedicated video on it because there's just too much to unpack here at the end of this brief but the short version of why ukraine is back in the news again is that russia seems like they're going to fully invade ukraine this time remember russia has already invaded ukraine they they took crimea and the donbass and luhansk and right now russia occupies roughly eight percent of the land mass of ukraine like just let that sink in for a minute a hey in the 21st century a russia has invaded eight percent of another european nation that's crazy just to think about that and even crazier is that nothing has been done about it by nato or the u.n except for half-hearted sanctions that do absolutely nothing every single ceasefire that has been agreed upon russia has violated first and has taken the opportunity to fight dirty at every chance they get we're talking thermobaric weapons the intentional targeting of civilians including women and children and the targeting of medical and other humanitarian personnel it is well known that the russian separatists and the russian forces do not usually take prisoners and frequently murder wounded ukrainian soldiers on a regular basis and right now the world is yet again seeing a staggering amount of russian troops amassing on ukraine's borders we're seeing estimates of anywhere from 120 000 troops to 175 000 troops so and as for the rest of the world uh belarus and russia have shut off the natural gas pipelines to europe from their respective nations which has caused the single highest spike in natural gas prices in history and is causing significant power outages making all of those threats of a dark winter come true for many europeans right you know and right now a flotilla of 30 liquid natural gas tanker ships are on their way from the united states to europe to assist with the shortage of gas throughout the continent so even though the western media tried to yank and pull the ukrainian war um you know whichever way they need to kind of support their own ideas make no mistake at the end of the day this is no romantic war this is about as close to a total war as you can get without using nuclear weapons but fear not vladimir putin just threatened to use those a couple of days ago and as for the ukrainians who are quite literally facing insurmountable odds fighting off a foreign invader to save their homeland with their allies turning their backs on them i highly doubt that ukrainian forces will be up for a clean fight or following the geneva conventions either so in other words this is already about as nasty as it can get and it's only going to get nastier if this escalates much further into a full-blown invasion in fact russian defense minister our boy sergey shougu has issued statements that russia knows that the united states has shipped chemical and biological weapons to ukraine for use against russian forces now an allegation by that from the russian defense minister should perk you up now whether or not that is true or not is up for debate uh it would be a classic tactic to say oh you're going to attack us with chemical weapons so we launched an invasion to prevent that it is right in line with shoigu's personality to draw parallels between the impending russian invasion and the us invading iraq to get weapons of mass destruction that did not exist right so as far as the chemical weapons claims by russia over the past couple of days i myself don't think the us has shipped chemical weapons to ukraine i think that's pretty ridiculous now for sure the united states would do some pretty horrific stuff like i have no qualms about thinking that the united states might do something like this someday but the us has at every step done everything they can to placate russia with ukraine so it doesn't really make sense for the united states to suddenly start supporting ukraine for some reason on a strategic level the united states has bended the knee to russia's every demand at every step since the ukraine war started in like 2014 right this has remained a constant under biden under trump going all the way back to obama right sure we have seen an escalation by the united states to supply ukraine with javelins but honestly i wouldn't even call that an escalation because it's not like we're giving them freaking main battle tanks which is what they're facing they're literally facing hundreds of main battle tanks and ukraine has really no significant atgms of their own which is why they lost crimea and why they lost pretty much the whole donbass region because they didn't have enough atgms and you know tanks rolled in and hey you can't really do much against reactive armor and stuff like that so you know i don't think that's an escalation but and again the united states suddenly deciding to just to supply ukraine with javelins is not exactly a like it's like ukraine's reactions gee thanks mister where were they you know eight years ago you know that's i think that's what ukraine's attitude towards that should be that's what my attitude would be like oh gee thanks you're giving me a javelin against 200 you know t72s or t90s or whatever i mean honestly i personally think that the biden regime is closer to asking ukraine to surrender than they are to helping them stop an invasion which is something that poland clearly thinks as well as evidenced by their recent defense postures ukraine's fate does not bode well for poland's own defense when russia inevitably does not stop at ukraine so for the grand questions that everyone has been asking there is a lot of uncertainty going around from the bottom all the way up to the top if russia decides to launch a full-scale invasion of ukraine when will it happen i personally am thinking probably mid to late january if they are going to do it it's still cold enough for winter operations and russia has been observed to be using new winter hardware and lots of new winter camouflage schemes and things like that so that kind of makes sense and as before the spring thaw which will be inconvenient for logistical movements they need that area in you know the eastern and southern parts of ukraine to run their tanks across very fast it would make a lot of sense it's just tank country down there and you know of course tanks are like all terrain vehicles but still like just having bought getting bogged down in mud is not great for a very fast invasion which is what russia will most likely go for and with russia pulling out the old standby of cutting off the natural gas to europe this supports that timeline they did exactly the same thing when they invaded crimea the first time and we're seeing troops and landing craft being staged for the battle plan that most people think the russians will use which is you know a southern push with a pincer movement perhaps to the north to kiev stuff like that so we can get into more of that later but so when it comes to the question of what the united states will do if russia launches a full-scale invasion i don't know but i think there is more than an even chance that the u.s will do nothing at all the us will certainly not send any significant numbers of troops that's pretty much out of the question except for minor training roles or for observation or maybe a couple of odas and some other dudes doing some sneaky stuff down there but we're not talking like you know a whole core or you know like three cores not going to ukraine for this like that's just out of the question now we've we might send small elements of troops to observe things or advise but they're definitely not going uh they're definitely not going east of the nipper that's for sure um that's pretty much a a given uh as far as conventional guys now unconventional guys they do whatever they want but for the conventional guys you're you're not gonna have any significant force to do anything overall my assessment is that the united states secretary of defense and other senior military leadership is more concerned with pushing sociological agendas and padding their wallets than warfare especially in ukraine and taking the senior military strategists and you know leadership out of the room for a second the executive branch as a whole is completely clueless on the art of war they're taking advice from very junior personnel or people who are only there because they somehow managed to not get fired enough times to actually occupy a senior position but all of that aside we also have to remember that like look is ukraine really worth fighting for as an american i mean honestly i don't know i mean it's really hard to say i think that history has kind of screwed ukraine over and i think that they made the classic mistake of trusting the united states to do the right thing and as we all know even as americans that's just not going to happen so i i think that the ukraine situation is unfortunate and i think we're about to see some really bad videos on the tv here in the next few weeks um i hope i'm wrong on that i hope that this is all just a big uh play by russia to both bully nato and to not accepting ukraine and at the same time test out a bunch of their new tools but man it sure looks like it's for real this time and uh i guess we'll have to see how it plays out um but i get it like most americans do not care about ukraine being invaded you know why why should america care at all if there's no direct threat to their homeland well the answer to that uh requires a bit of digression so please bear with me for a minute i think that with how our entire nation has recently changed very quickly the reality of the current times is that there has never been more justification for the average american to pay attention to what happens outside our borders because man if the past couple years have not shown you enough things end up on our doorstep really quickly there are so many things that have just ended up affecting our daily lives here that originated in other countries and i'm not just talking about medical stuff i'm talking about other stuff as well like the one that i just can't stop thinking about is afghanistan like remember how many americans were left there and what did the us government do in response they sent the trustee fbi in to investigate aid groups for helping the survivors and right now they're even floating the idea of unfreezing the taliban's money like what that's why the lessons from the disastrous afghanistan fiasco are so important not only will the u.s military leadership try to sneak out the back door knowingly leaving americans behind they will only engage in evacuation efforts after getting caught trying to sneak out oh and for good measure the commanding general will leave americans behind so that he can steal a toyota pickup truck as a war trophy after getting 13 service members killed and murdering an entire family with a drone strike that had zero until supporting it just to try to save face i cannot think of a more sickeningly ironic end to that war greedy leadership more obsessed with themselves and saving lives innocent civilians getting killed for no reason whatsoever and heroes getting the short end of the stick a garbage mission and still doing outstanding work only to get killed for it if you don't think that the same thing could happen in ukraine just look at our current political and military leadership how many of them got fired for leaving thousands of americans behind not a single one no one stepped down no one got fired the only person that got fired and went to jail was the one officer who publicly demanded accountability for the crime of leaving americans behind yesterday he was given a general discharge under honorable conditions which is the most severe discharge they could technically give him for his alleged crimes the ukraine and afghanistan could not be any more different on almost every level but the one constant between these two countries and these two situations remains the same the united states political and military leadership and that's why i keep beating this dead horse that alone should be enough evidence for americans to get out of ukraine right now but i know that everyone cannot do that very few people are in ukraine for vacation if someone's going to go to ukraine especially with a war going on there are reasons that are not trivial for staying there but if you are an american in ukraine right now who is even remotely considering the possibility of leaving you need to start thinking about an egress plan right now and don't just say oh i'll just hang out west of the nipper and head to poland if things get rough you might not be able to catch that train to poland because don't you think that the rail lines will be needed to move around the ukrainian military and the roads might be clogged with millions of other people that had the same plan you did and that is assuming that russia doesn't start air strikes on civilian populations which we already know they will do all i'm saying is that if you're stuck in ukraine you really need to have a good plan because you don't want to be relying on ocean pages or bloggers or random instagram accounts to get you home when and if things turn sour that's why if you don't care about ukraine that's fine but you should probably at least pay attention to the tactics that are used in this war because if you think that the first russian tanks across the border won't be combined with a massive wave of cyber attacks here in the u.s you are fooling yourself if it gets to the end of january and suddenly we start seeing massive cyber attacks on everything from infrastructure to consumer level entities my first thought among other things is going to be well the russia's about to invade that's right your netflix account going offline is directly linked to the position of a russian tank in ukraine i'm sorry for the long-winded digression on this topic but this is one of the main reasons that we really even exist as an entity and we're still doing stuff like this and our team's work to help evacuate people from afghanistan during that crisis was it was a disturbing endeavor and also the reason for being motivated to dedicate such a large amount of time to talking about something that most people just don't care about i know i personally don't want to see anything similar to that disaster happen again but with the state department raising the travel advisory to the highest level we're already seeing the stage being set again for another disaster of epic proportions it's not even an issue of learning lessons from afghanistan at this point it's simply staffing like if the same people in charge completely messed up afghanistan and they are still in charge of stuff like this why would you expect anything different afghanistan was enough of a headache for everyone that i know that without a doubt it's a skills thing if the military and political leadership had the right skills if they had the know-how to do it right the first time they would just to prevent the heartburn of criticism but since there won't be any change on that front for a long time i guess we'll have to keep doing what we're doing in years past we really didn't have to be concerned about problems like this something happens in another country around the world who cares right which is probably more of a curse than a blessing because now so few people are informed or able to insulate themselves from these kinds of issues but these days in our interconnected digital world the slightest international incident impacts the daily lives of americans pretty much immediately it makes everything so much more complex an american might not be able to escape ukraine because the state department messed up afghanistan you might not be able to use your debit card because russia launched a cyber attack on critical infrastructure here in the u.s as a distraction to keep the american people occupied you might have a natural gas shortage somewhere in alabama because that natural gas was sold to europe because russia shut off the pipeline because they need to financially and logistically destabilize europe to discourage a response to their invasion of ukraine like we've mentioned before globalism has worked for the people who wanted it and now we're finding out just how vulnerable we are to such policies and mentalities but all is not lost there is some good news and here it is you the american people just doing what you know is the right thing to do is good news and that's why i wanted to kind of end on a cheery note for once and talk about some of the ways that we are making moves in the right direction this has become my favorite slide because it is one of the very few ways that we can actually measure the effectiveness of resistance efforts by tracking the companies and entities that want to force tyranny upon the people but were forced to abandon their plans we can see just how effective it is when good people do the right thing sure a lot of very powerful people have gotten us to the point that we are very vulnerable as a population but this slide shows just how that game of chicken is going we've got the los angeles school district fighting back we've got major manufacturers and defense contractors that are huge such as boeing general electric and engel shipbuilding not to mention you've got airline companies now that are starting to backpedal on their on their uh mandates we're also seeing a lot of healthcare industries hca healthcare which is a massive national nationwide health care system along with the cleveland clinic everybody's heard of the cleveland clinic these places are having to rescind their job mandates because their health care workers are walking off the job because it's not right so all of this resistance is great to see it's good to see people standing up for what is right and that's a very good thing to know moving forward into the future so that's all i have for today everyone thanks for watching and thank you all for your support over the past year it has really really helped us out a lot and really helped us expand and grow and at least try to do good things we might not be able to help as much as we like but man we're certainly going to try and we're definitely going to try next year so we'll see you next year and always remember to fight in the shade
S2 briefing · 2022-01-31

Ukraine: Cable Diplomacy

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the ukrainian war intelligence update for monday the 31st of january and as always it is being recorded the day prior on the 30th of january before we get into the geopolitical update i briefly wanted to touch on a challenge that ourselves and a lot of others are going to have to deal with that we're already dealing with now with regards to finding out accurate information regarding what's going on in ukraine this will make the rest of the brief make sense so i thought i'd mention it now in this challenge is what we call circular reporting circular reporting is a mainstay of most journalistic agencies these days but for the intelligence group or the ocean analyst it is the bane of our existence so here's how circular reporting works the first step is for someone to post something on a social media platform in this case we'll go with twitter right somebody posts a tweet about something and then that tweet gets seen by a lot of people so he gets seen by one person who is who then talks about the particular event and then it gets seen by a third person and that third person now says hey we've got multiple sources confirming this information is true like we like to throw that word confirming out a lot which i don't think a lot of people know what confirming actually means confirming does not mean you read two tweets on the same topic it means that you you went through an actual process to verify that the information is true but nevertheless we have a lot of people going around saying that oh this is confirmed this is confirmed well what does that even mean but in any case you have a third entity a group usually a journalistic agency which now sees this entire conversation taking place on social media and now they're starting to spin things out of control right and now they see ah we've got multiple sources confirming that world war iii is about to break out right when in actuality really you can circle all of this back to the original tweet which isn't verified it's not anything special it's just somebody saying something so this is a huge problem it's not just a problem for the ocean world this is really a problem for the human world as well you know person a tells person b a story who tells person c a story and then person a b and c show up at your shop wanting to get paid for human intelligence and they're all sharing the same exact story so you can't really say that's three sources right because they all heard it from the same person we see this all the time in the intel world both on the professional side and on the ocean side of things it's just a huge problem that not very many people are interested in addressing because circular reporting is a great way it is a fantastic way of coming to the conclusions that you want you can cherry pick information you can say that you've got multiple sources when really it's just going back to the same guy so you can get whatever narrative that you want to push by using circular reporting so please keep this in mind when you're taking in information regarding this ukrainian situation uh even we here have become bogged down with circular reporting over the past week or so and the fighting hasn't even really kicked off in earnest yet if it ever will so with that out of the way let's jump into the geopolitical update first up is norway and finland uh so both of these nations as well as the rest of europe honestly but mostly norway and finland have been undertaking a lot of civil defense actions with regards to any potential uh actions with russia a lot of nations around europe are dusting off their old civil defense manuals and starting to either refund or um take civil defense seriously again uh since the cold war and norway and finland have been undertaking a lot of steps to do so over the past few days for norway specifically we are seeing circular reporting or rumors stating that the official government has sent out letters to 4 000 residents of norway informing them that their vehicles have been identified by the military as a potential wartime asset so if norway goes to war with russia the army is going to come confiscate their vehicle now again i should stress that's just rumor at this point we haven't seen a copy of this letter if it exists and if you do any searching for it online the reporting is very circular and you can't really find anything about this it's not on any of the official press releases of the norwegian civil defense force or the army so i don't know so until we get a copy of the letter we're just gonna have to treat this as rumor but it does make sense likewise similarly in finland the finnish military has been observed to be emplacing lots of air defense artillery surface-to-air missile sites and things like that around key political locations key cities critical infrastructure things like that so basically dusting off a lot of their old cold war civil defense plans this makes sense considering russia's actions in the region but we also have to remember that this could also just be another posturing attempt both norway and finland and really every other nation in europe knows that russia sees what they do so if finland is observed to be putting up sams around their capital and norway is sending letters to their citizens this is a message to russia that you know they're getting ready right so uh it might be more of a psyop than it is a legitimate civil defense concern however with the amount of russian posturing in the region it does make sense for a lot of legitimate civil defense plans to be reignited and people start taking civil defense seriously again speaking of preparations being made germany has also announced that they have are going to evacuate non-essential personnel from their embassy in kiev as well uh this actually hurt a while ago almost immediately after the united states declared that we're going to bring our uh people out of our embassy that the non-essential personnel and stuff like that so the reason i want to talk about these embassies is because this is actually a very big deal you might not think that closing an embassy is kind of a big deal but it really is closing an embassy like fully and totally closing it is essentially in the international arena telling the world that there is no diplomatic solution left um so that's a big deal and even though the united states has not totally closed our embassy and germany hasn't either even the action of getting non-essential personnel out of the area is signaling to the world signaling to ukraine signaling to russia and the rest of europe that the united states has no hope for fixing this diplomatically and we're trying to get our people out you know the rats are jumping off the ship right because we know it's going down essentially embassy actions are a really great way to kind of figure out what governments are going to do clearly the united states thinks ukraine is a lost cause same thing with germany and i guess we'll have to see how many other european nations feel the same way moving to russia an interesting note that has come out recently regarding russian preparations for this invasion surround the stockpiling of blood in ford areas limited reporting has come out recently indicating that russian forces have begun to stockpile uh fresh whole blood and other medical supplies in front-line areas historically when we're talking about the doctrine of warfare this is a last-minute logistical preparation that takes place right before a major conflict this is not unique to russia this is just hey if they're stockpiling blood this means that this is serious and it's pretty much imminent right as such the forward staging of blood and other medical supplies is a very strong indicator of an impending conflict so this is just another check in the column of russia being serious about invading ukraine this time however this report is coming from the u.s government right so take that with a huge grain of salt literally no one on the planet has more motivation to lie about intelligence regarding ukraine than senior u.s military officials who are personally heavily financially invested in the military-industrial complex so any reporting coming from the u.s and coming only from the u.s that cannot be verified by any other means right is kind of suspect uh this might be a lie from the united states to make the situation look more dire in order to profit financially even more i mean just look at what lockheed martin's stock has done over the past three months so war is very big business for some people but for us down here it just adds another layer of complexity it's another reason to why it's difficult to find accurate information that we can use to make decisions and speaking of us troop movements the united states has recently announced that they will be sending several thousand troops to the european theater we don't really know where they're going to go yet most likely a lot will go to poland uh hungary has already stated that they will take 3 000 so we'll see how this all works out but what does this mean a lot of people are seeing troop deployments and they're they're going into full freakout mode because they don't want uh us troops to be involved in a conflict with russia which is a valid valid argument mostly this is what would be considered a proportional response according to the cold war playbook russia gets a bit aggressive and the u.s sends a few thousand troops to poland it's a tale as old as khrushchev it literally goes back that far russia expects us to do this this is what they're planning for and the rest of nato expects us to do this as well what is not going to happen is troops being sent to ukraine itself that's not going to happen in any significant numbers remember the us has had a training mission in ukraine for years now so there are small numbers of advisors in ukraine already but it's not any significant number and of course the beardy dudes with nice pants have been in ukraine doing stuff for years now but by and large we're not going to see massive deployments of conventional troops within ukraine that would be a massive escalation of force one that the united states and nato is not prepared to back up with any other forces and we also have to consider that the united states rhetoric has been that we're we're not going to defend ukraine so so as scary as it is to start sending thousands of troops over to europe uh this is not particularly out of the ordinary now if we start seeing the rhetoric being changed to include the defense of ukraine now we'll have to change our assessment on that because if we start sending conventional us troops to defend ukraine well you know this shooting match might be over before we even get a brief around to talk about it honestly so i guess we'll have to see how that works out also within russia we're seeing media outlets pushing the narrative that panic buying is occurring in kiev i wanted to point this out because it's kind of spinning out of control in russian media and this is blatantly not true life in kiev is what i would consider to be disturbingly normal there's really not a whole lot going on in kiev of course a lot of people are trying to leave right now the people who are trying to get out like foreigners and americans and things like that but it's really not in any kind of panic mode there's no there aren't any shortages of anything that we can find on the grocery store shelves like russian media stating it's there's really not much going on in kiev with regards to the civilian populace you know being panicked and whatnot but we can talk a little bit about the attitude in ukraine a little bit later because that's a whole other can of worms also within ukraine i did want to mention that there was an insider attack at the southern machine building factory in denipro a ukrainian conscript who hasn't been named yet killed four of his fellow service members a few days ago no more details other than that though with the world on pins and needles looking for the telltale russian false flag attack incidents like this draw a lot of attention likewise over the past few days there have been protests in kiev regarding a new tax law that requires vendors to use cash registers so that they can be more easily taxed this is an interesting little domestic issue right but again with the world on the lookout for russian assets destabilizing ukraine's government any kind of anti-ukraine or anti-ukrainian government protest or riot at this point is highly suspicious no matter what it's about right then again who knows just because there are what a hundred thousand hundred fifty thousand two hundred thousand russian soldiers on you know the ukrainian border doesn't mean that domestic issues magically go away but considering that this kind of thing is right out of russia's playbook for destabilizing a government we have to watch events like this closely moving on to the naval update for the mediterranean sea the task force of six russian ships has made it into the med they pass through the straits of gibraltar a couple of days ago so they are on their way to the black sea we don't know exactly where these ships are at in the med because they're out of ais range but once they start getting closer to the black sea and they start going to the turkish trades then we'll know exactly where they're at so we'll keep you updated on that moving up north a little bit to the gi uk gap and the north sea uh for those of you who don't know what the gi uk gap is it is the body of water the geographic area it's kind of a nomenclature for the body of water in the north atlantic between greenland iceland and the united kingdom very common nomenclature when talking about russian submarines and the routes they take when trying to transit down to the american east coast or conduct operations in the north atlantic and speaking of russian naval operations the russian government has declared that they will be conducting a live fire exercise in the areas depicted on the slide off the coast of ireland right there the russian naval ships surface vessels we don't know which ones yet we'll be participating in a rocket firing exercise in the square box and the circle the circular box there is the landing area for where the rockets are supposed to land so the big question is why would russia do this in this particular area well the obvious answer is political pressure right russia wants to make the united kingdom well aware of the fact that they are an island nation and the russian navy is quite powerful but i think there's another reason this area is not new this is the same area that last year a russian tu-142 was observed to be circling and flying around presumably communicating with a submarine so russia has done a lot of activity in this particular area they did a lot last year and they're again signaling they're going to do some more and if we overlay this next chart i think you'll understand why this is the map of all of the undersea communications cables in the area and as you can see the training area right for their rocket exercise right and heavy air quotes is directly over a series of cables that runs uh from the united kingdom to new jersey so gee i wonder what russia is going to be doing in their exercise right it's almost like russia is going to be conducting this exercise to have an excuse to have uh surface ships in the area for submarine activity down below of course this is speculation russia has not declared that submarines are going to be taking part in this exercise but we can pretty well guess that that's what's going to happen and this kind of makes sense honestly because russia has for those of you who don't know russia has a very long history of losing submarines they have lost more subreins at sea than any other nation and as such usually when russia is doing some kind of risky behavior like going down to the sea floor or something like that when they have a submarine operating in an area they usually have a surface based reef rescue vessel nearby so if we start to see russian submarine rescue vessels the vessels that we know do this will know that there are submarines in the area but honestly you can just look at the map here and pretty much guess this is what russia is going to be doing now i know what a lot of you are thinking is this a way for russia to start cutting cables between the united kingdom and and the united states uh i personally don't think so yes there are very strong indicators that the last cable that we talked about the cable between norway and svalbard that cable was cut actually was a piece of it taken out and it's almost certainly russia right but i don't think that they're going to be cutting cables this time i think they're probably going to be mapping or training or something like that or even better if this is yet another political move to let the united states and the united kingdom know hey we have this technology now and it wouldn't be a shame if we cut your cables kind of a way of politically pressuring the us and the united kingdom again so again i don't think russia is going to be cutting cables this time if they were they wouldn't be declaring a training exercise they'd just be sneaking out and doing it right or planting explosives on multiple cables to sever them all at once right so by declaring a training exercise in this specific area this is almost certainly a political message more than it is an actual military exercise right but i thought it was interesting this uh this kind of thing when it comes to russian submarines and cables this gets the attention of a lot of very high ranking people in the military and in the political structures around the world so you can rest assured that even though this sounds like kind of a small issue this is a very big deal and a lot of very powerful people are getting a lot of briefings on this i would be willing to bet so for those of you who want to learn more and get the grids for this actual training area there are a few grids going around on the internet but i'm not quite so sure how accurate they are i haven't pulled the actual grids from the russian government but here is the no tam for it again highlighting how important no tams are we can actually get the corner grids for both the firing area and the operational box for the russian surface vessels so this might be subject to change this might this box might be larger or smaller this is just for aviation assets to allow to um let aviation assets know that they're not going to be uh able to fly in this area due to the rocket launching so when we get better grids for where this operational box will occur we'll update you then i also want to mention that there's a little bit of a diplomatic issue between ireland and russia over this uh irish fishermen and other fishing groups have stated that they will be protesting this uh this military exercise the fishermen have agreed to abide by a safety standoff of a few miles but we will in all likelihood be seeing fishing vessels shadowing whatever russian assets make their way down for this exercise and as we can see this exercise takes place at least the no tams are in place for the third and the fourth of february so again once we get more accurate information about this and once we actually do confirm that these no tams are for the naval exercise this might be a totally different exercise because this is a common firing area i should i should mention we'll provide that update when we get more information before we move on to the actual fronts i wanted to talk a little bit about some climatology data and the weather again we're seeing a lot of information being talked about in the mainstream media and so we just wanted to offer a little bit of clarification with regards to the data itself so this is a chart showing the average uh temperature in kiev during the month of january last year and this is february of 2021 as well as we can see the temperature kind of fluctuated a lot but it did get a lot warmer towards the end of february but it also remained cold up until the midpoint of february so that's last year now if we look at the chart for this year this is the month of january 2022 we can see that really on average uh the month of january has been quite warm or at least warmer than it has been in the past so that's why people are saying that ukraine's winter has been unseasonably warm this year ukraine actually hit a few records with regards to temperatures high temperatures over last year so that kind of makes sense now we can kind of project what february is going to be like based on the averages so this is a chart showing the average temperatures by month from 1985 until 2015. so not super helpful but it just kind of gives you the gist of what what the deal is so what i wanted to talk about is does this even matter that much yes weather is one of the most important factors for planning military operations and is usually a critical factor for the success or the failure of a military objective we've talked a lot about weather over the past couple years on our channel and how important it is for military operations and that is true it is uh it is a very big factor when considering military operations planning and things like that but it's not the only factor and in the specific case of russia invading ukraine before the spring thaw sets in i'm not sure if frozen ground will be enough of a deciding factor for whether or not to begin this military campaign a lot of mainstream sources a lot of think tanks and ocean sources are are holding on they're grasping onto this the ground temperature as if it's the only factor for whether or not russia is going to invade and i don't know if it is i don't know that and no one up to and including the joint chiefs know that and honestly i don't think that even most russian military leaders know what the final decision factors will be either it's all guesswork based on history and what we know about russian military doctrine but things can change and even most russian soldiers are probably asking themselves is this for real this time so when it comes to weather it's all a gamble russia might decide to wait and see if conditions get colder in the early part of february and allow much of what is now muddy terrain to become frozen but that's a gamble because if february turns out to be mild just like january was they will be even more disadvantaged than they are right now then again all of this can change in a single day with the arrival of a freak cold front that brings temperatures down for a couple of days usually it takes a couple of weeks of cold temperatures for the ground to freeze within an acceptable level but who knows russia might jump at the opportunity if the conditions are right in any case we do know this climate conditions even right now are less than ideal for a ground invasion with armored elements and conditions might or might not get any better than they are right now the grand question that will remain unanswered for the time being is what conditions russia will deem to be acceptable and whether or not those criteria will need to align with other factors that are also important for the invasion moving to our overall theater slide the theme for all of the fronts today is going to be there are a lot of updates but not a lot of updates that we can put on the slide so we're seeing a lot of reinforcements reinforcing pretty much every unit that we have seen so far but not a whole lot of them that we can actually verify with any level of acceptability so let's go ahead and jump into the actual fronts themselves on the northeastern front really the biggest activity we have seen is up in brian's as one might expect pretty much every unit in the area being reinforced with supplies logistics we're seeing a lot of logistics logistical vehicles and supplies being moved into the area we're also seeing forces in belarus being reinforced quite heavily but we'll talk more about that when we get to that front moving to the eastern front there have been reports of conflict breaking out in the outskirts of moorpole as well as donetsk this is nothing major it's not a major offensive or anything this is most likely just harassing attacks that have been pretty standard in these areas over the past few years conflict on the outskirts of marpol as well as within the entirety of donetsk has really been a mainstay over the past few years so even though you're seeing a lot of combat breaking out along these fronts it's not necessarily a prelude to an invasion just yet we're watching it closely though so if we start seeing harassing fires beginning or stuff that's out of the ordinary with regards to what combat has normally been in this area we'll let you know but for now it seems to be status quo on the eastern front moving down south really the biggest update has been the reinforcements coming across the crimean bridge which links russia with the crimean peninsula there has been a lot of significant activity observed along this bridge over the past few days units have been streaming across this bridge into crimea 24 7 for the past couple of weeks so the reinforcement and staging activity within crimea continues as we move forward moving to the northwestern front like i mentioned pretty much every unit that we're seeing being staged in belarus is getting reinforcements uh the town of yeltsk has been host to a lot of these reinforcements as well as really the whole gomel region we're also seeing forces being staged at various military bases belarusian military bases around the area such as this one in the town of richista this is a normal belarusian military base highlighted in yellow there towards the bottom of the slide but we're also seeing a lot of videos come out because the town there as you can see envelops the main rail yard there so we're seeing a lot of civilians post videos of armored vehicles and being staged there in richista so we and a lot of others will definitely be keeping an eye on a lot of belarusian military bases to monitor the buildup over the next few days i also wanted to briefly touch on evacuation options so this is something that a lot of people are starting to think about i know we've touched on it very briefly in the past but i wanted to dive a little bit deeper now that the u.s government has essentially stated that u.s citizens are on your own for getting out of ukraine if and when this stuff kicks off so air travel for the most part when and if this full scale conflict begins all air travel will be unreliable at best we are expecting most major airports within ukraine to become inoperable within the opening stages of the invasion again this all depends on what russia does but i personally would not plan on aerial evacuation being a viable option it's still a viable option right now it's status quo there are flights leaving kiev all the time but when this stuff starts you've got to start thinking about other things right remember civilian airliners have a history of being shot down in this theater by russian assets so egressing by land by vehicle or by rail is a much more stable and reliable option however that also presents challenges in the worst case event of a full-scale invasion occurring i would expect trains to be either targeted by russian aviation assets or be confiscated by the ukrainian military to move troops to the front lines similarly with roads expect dozens of miles of traffic jams on every single road leading out of the country roads to the west in the more rough terrain might also be of lesser quality as well traffic through mountain passes is precarious in normal times and even more dangerous when there is a flood of people hurrying to escape the country and unfortunately another major consideration is jab status quite simply you might not be able to escape ukraine if you are not jabbed depending on what country you're trying to go to i know this sounds outlandish but here is an email from the us state department that has been circulating on social media talking about this exact topic we've had to censor certain words so that youtube doesn't delete our entire channel but this email covers the regulations for entry into the nations that border ukraine as we can clearly see evacuating is not as simple as one might think again for those that think that these regulations will change in the event of a war breaking out that's fine if you want to think that but that's a gamble and we have to remember that a precedent has been set with regards to evacuations and jab status remember when cruise lines refused to rescue islanders from saint vincent when a freaking volcano erupted people literally had to choose between living on an erupting volcano and getting the jab to escape so there is already a very strong precedent for governments private companies and other agencies to deny life-saving evacuations or medical treatment based solely on your job status so keep that in mind when considering evacuation plans as always with massive events like this which draw the world's attention there is a time in which the waters become muddy with regards to information like we've mentioned personal politics get involved and this makes it very difficult to find accurate information we have a lot of powerful players saying a lot of things about the ukraine situation and this heavily influences the risk management actions of individual people to explain this let's take a look at the political situation in ukraine a bit of political strife has emerged between the political leadership in ukraine and the political leadership here in the united states ukraine's leadership has publicly taken the position that this overwhelming buildup of russian troops along their border is not as big of a deal as the united states is making it out to be whereas the united states and other nato members are in panic mode now trying to cut through all of the political posturing and other bs surrounding the ukrainian conflict here's what i think the cultural difference is everything ukraine's leadership is both weary of the past eight years of war and at the same time completely understanding of the situation regarding a potential full-scale invasion ukraine has been living with an invasion for a long time now so even though we americans might look at ukraine's statements of everything's just fine and think wow they're crazy the threat of an invasion just doesn't carry the weight that it does with americans you will constantly hear stories all over social media about how ukrainians and kiev are just going about their daily lives and acting like nothing is wrong and in many cases these reports are true i myself would agree that this is a bit perplexing to me as well but that's me a westerner who is not living in that situation now all of this being said i do want to caveat that by pointing out that there is a significant civil defense effort underway in ukraine there are a lot of ukrainians arming themselves and preparing defenses so i don't want to make it out to look like the ukrainian people are completely naive as to this invasion potential there are efforts being undertaken the larger point that all of this illustrates is the political turmoil that is currently present among the political leadership of all parties involved the ukrainians are accusing the us of overhyping the threat and accusing the political leadership of not understanding that this conflict has been going on for some time meanwhile back here at home you've got military leadership salivating at the prospect of sending someone else's kids to get killed in a war so that their raytheon stocks will go up and on the other hand you've got people who don't support the military-industrial complex and don't want to fight a war that isn't our own but also recognize that russia is a powerful entity and one of the very few entities that can affect your life here at home so it's probably not a good idea for them to freaking invade europe meanwhile we've got pundits and political groups using their politics as their metric for what their opinions are rather than the situation on the ground all of this political stuff is frustrating and there are a lot of strong opinions out there about ukraine already but unfortunately this is a big factor in determining how this ukraine situation will affect our lives here at home so thank you for sticking around as we try to provide information and intelligence on this incident especially as it applies to the 20 000 plus americans that are still in ukraine as well as the people here at home as we all know international incidents like this have a way of coming to our doorstep extremely quickly so even though most people don't care about this stuff we will keep on the lookout for information and lessons that we can learn so as to avoid a repeat of history here at home so thanks again for watching thank you for your support and we will see you next time and as always fight in the shade
Intel Update · 2023-01-18

18 January Intel Update: Spicy New Year

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the Intel update for January 18 2023 happy New Year everyone looks like this New Year is already getting pretty spicy so let's go ahead and kick things off by talking about significant incidents and concerns in the Northeast region one of the biggest incidents that got a lot of mainstream news media coverage was the polar vortex or whatever kind of buzzword you want to call the winter weather storm that hit around the beginning of December uh last month particularly the actions uh that actually happened within the City of Buffalo New York now a lot of people got got a lot of news coverage on this so I'm not going to beat it to death but the situation in Buffalo New York and how that whole winter kind of situation worked its way out was very indicative and a very good demonstration of a lot of the issues that we've been talking about previously we had a lot of infrastructure problems we had a lot of traffic incidents we had a lot of you know censored medical issues I'll say it like that and we had a lot of um release date actions right so there were a lot of issues to kind of unpack with this incident and though none of these are particularly surprising it's very important that we all kind of keep these in the back of our mind here right for instance one of the biggest elements of this whole incident that kind of caught my eye was the implementation of military police to serve in a domestic policing role in Buffalo New York uh to keep drivers off of the roads and you know underneath the kind of Quasi curfew that was uh that was enforced really it was just a ban on driving personal vehicles on the road during the snowstorm now I know a lot of people whenever I talk about curfews people don't really like it because there are a lot of people out there that actually support curfews for whatever reason but I'm just saying it's probably a good idea to kind of keep an eye on incidents like this especially considering that now we have the word curfew as part of our daily vocabulary in a lot of a lot of cases around the country there are a lot of persistent curfews that have been in place for years and they're just keeping they just keep popping up in a lot of places around the country and I you know don't think that's a super great thing so that's why I want to keep talking about these kinds of incidents because I think we all kind of have a a shared understanding of the seriousness of curfews and any kind at any time you're using the National Guard or any uh green Suiter military force in in the United States against uh potentially against citizens that's not a good thing I don't care how friendly the relationship seems It's not a super great thing so the Buffalo incident was not great uh granted it was a very serious issue and really highlights a lot of um you know prepping concerns about how you really need to be prepared for extreme severe winter weather uh I think way more severe than is is kind of normal for the area but at the same time you also need to be concerned about the things that nobody likes to talk about like uh you know domestic policing actions that's kind of a Hot Topic that again really people don't want to think about uh but you're not really going to see a whole lot of prepping you know kind of culture publicly embracing the idea idea of all right well now this is part of our daily life here you know to talk about curfews and driving bans and okay now there's a you know a uniform Soldier telling me I can't drive on the road you know we're here now um and as scary as it is we kind of have to acknowledge the fact that this has become a norm in the country and that's why I wanted to mention it moving on to some more unfortunate news of a green Suiter nature I wanted to talk about an incident that occurred in New Jersey way back in actually in November of last year but I'm just finding out about it now uh the short and sweet version of this incident was a a parent in North Hanover posted a photograph and made a post on Facebook of illicit content explicit content uh that was displayed at the entrance of her child's school now I think that we all know what kind of content this is I'm not going to go into many more details than that because you can easily Google this and find out the real story here and I'm not going to show the photo because I consider that content to be explicit and I'm trying to be you know at least a little bit more family friendly with these kinds of videos so I do want to say though that nothing in this original Facebook post uh was threatening in any way it was just a photo of the explicit content that this parent's child saw at the entrance of the school no no hint of violence it was anywhere near the social media post well despite this an Army lieutenant colonel took issue with this mom's Facebook post and immediately reported it directly to the local police chief using the internal lines of communication that were pre-established per their own words this military base communicates directly with the police chief for security reasons it kind of makes a lot of sense if you think about it in in a in a perspective of like a peacetime military you want to make sure that you know your guys with guns on the military base also are kind of tied in with local law enforcement because there's a lot of incidents that occur you know there's weird jurisdictional things so there being a kind of shared understanding between a federal you know service like a military base and a local law enforcement agency it makes a lot of sense for lines of communication to be open however that's basically where the common sense stops because these lines of communication in this case were used to Target parents just as we saw the FBI do with regards to targeting parents all over this country for you know voicing their opinion at school board meetings so long story short parent posts a photograph and and a post showing the the explicit content at her child's School some Army Lieutenant Colonel sees the post and gets the police chief to investigate and harass the local parent now on a brief admin note I'm not going to drop this specific lieutenant colonel's name right now because of several reasons uh for one this guy is clearly trying to Target people so uh you know that's that's not good but also I want to make absolutely certain that this actually is the guy because so far the documents that I have seen and reviewed uh have had many names okay so it's not just this one guy there are a lot of people in this this chain here right so I just want to make sure before we drop any names or if we drop any names you can easily Google this this guy's name you can once you figure out you know hey just Google the story this is made national press uh back in November or actually I think in December is when I think Fox News picked it up either way I can tell you that the interesting part about this story is the next part so I started looking into this Lieutenant Colonel right and I just Googled his name and one of the absolute first results that popped up was this stock photo from a stock photo website uh detailing his recent change of command and wouldn't you know it look at what unit he was the commander of a military information support Battalion hmm would you look at that you might know this kind of unit colloquially as psyops so what this story looks like is a psyops commander directed a local police chief to Target a parent because her child saw something obscene at school man I I tell you I I don't think I can comment on what that means and how serious this is so so I'm just gonna move on and let this kind of stew for a bit and if you guys want some homework go read into this story a little bit but I can tell you that this doesn't seem to be an isolated incident okay uh this has happened before and this is not the last time this is going to happen I can guarantee that so moving to the Southeast region we get to more traditional stuff uh and that is the well let's start with the Gulf Coast for a minute um there have been an awful lot of Refinery and Pipeline and terminal issues down in the Gulf Coast uh for a variety of reasons it's really kind of hard to explain we could probably talk about this for for quite a bit more but let me just give you the kind of short and sweet version is that the the winter weather that we had last month the kind of you know whatever buzzword Arctic blast uh went through the country uh broke a lot of stuff but not just that because we can kind of compensate for maintenance issues a lot of times but things that we can't really fix that that quickly are staffing issues and someone who doesn't know how to do their job and just other maintenance deficits or or other kinds of problems it doesn't appear like all these refineries at least in the Gulf Coast in this specific instant I'm talking about all these issues that we saw with the winter weather or that you know kind of popped up around the the same time last month these don't appear to be particularly nefarious because it just looks like there's there's a lot of things going on here and it's just kind of snowballing into just bad stuff right parts not being there staff not being there cold weather breaking things people not knowing how to fix things people not knowing how to prevent things from happening you know we're getting to the point now where our infrastructure is crumbling and I think it's quite obvious and when you look at places like Pol refiner areas and pipelines places that have some of the most skilled work in the entire country you know what happens when you have a a non-skilled person or someone who's not experienced working at some of these places you get a lot of a lot of issues now that doesn't I want to separate these issues out from all the other ones we've seen I don't think that anyone in the country can look at refineries Catching Fire all over the country in the past year and say that that's normal it's it's not it's clearly not we know this instinctively it's just a gut feeling we don't even need to look at any data to to see how often refineries Catch Fire however when it comes to you know severe weather or or any kind of slightly out of the norm weather we have a lot of problems that pop up and are the result of many things it's really hard to pinpoint and point the finger at one thing all we know is that it just sucks and that's just the way that it is now I'm going to keep an eye on the refineries as usual and see which ones you know kind of miraculously have an accident next because that's a norm apparently every time we brief something something else has had some kind of incident at it but so again we'll keep keep an eye on this stuff and I just want to let everyone know that you know we're not out of the woods yet with our infrastructure we still have a long way to go and we're just beginning to see I think uh the the the the the snowball at the top of the hill right and we're about to see it uh accelerate rapidly uh just based on the amount of uh things we've seen happen right even just none taking nefarious things out of it even just some out of accidents we've seen happen genuine accidents and the amount of genuine maintenance problems that alone uh can be very crippling to any infrastructural system moving on to the topic that has United many Americans more than I have seen in recent years uh the potential gas stove ban so the Biden regime is planning to or floating the idea of potentially outright Banning natural gas stoves uh the reasoning behind this ban is very much unknown at the moment we're hearing about this from the consumer product safety commission and they have not provided really any of the research but we're getting anecdotal evidence as a brief side note many of you have noticed that apparently news headlines are law because that is the way that a lot of companies and entities and agencies have been treating things over the past year or so we all remember how for instance the IRS came out with that whole uh 600 limit thing you've got a report you know his income kind of thing well guess what all of the platforms out there PayPal venmo uh cash app all of these Services went ahead and implemented that policy even though no one had ever actually seen the policy so it's like what's going on here so I think that's what's happening with this gas stove ban thing it's not an official policy nothing has been signed nothing has even been written just yet it's just kind of an idea that has floated to the news media and since the news media now apparently make law or something to that effect what I think is going to happen is a lot of states and localities are going to ban gas stoves at the local level without the feds having to get involved in it it's brilliant honestly if you think about it from a nefarious like you know Devil's advocacy kind of situation if you were the Biden regime what would you do because remember we've been briefing this for a couple of years now The Binding regime has actually had a pretty hard time in some cases with virtue signaling a lot of times the news media doesn't know how to spin a story so and the Biden regime is not able to answer you know hey how should I spin this story and I'm CNN writing an editorial on something around the Atlantic writing an editorial on something and they they don't know how to spin the story because they don't know what the federal government wants they don't know what the Biden regime wants them to say so they just kind of wing it and really that's a problem because sometimes they get it wrong well this is quite clear the Biden regime has signaled to all of the virtue signaling entities your media your local governments your local city council your local your local County Commissioners all of these agencies in entities now are fully aware of what the feds want and they want a ban on gas stoves right so the feds don't have to lift a finger they don't have to write anything because again Biden can just sit at his desk and wave his magic wand and apparently a news head news news headline will become law so that's kind of the situation as as I see it and the really really the big concern moving forward we don't have any information other than that nothing has been signed nothing's been published we don't even have the research that led the consumer product safety commission to say that gas stoves are harmful for people we just have General anecdotal evidence I challenge you to find what the what the consumer product safety commission is actually talking about because so far all I've seen is circular reporting One news agency says oh well the cpsc says they're harmful well and they cite another news agency who then cites another news agency who then cites some guy on Twitter who then cites some random employee at cpsc and they can't actually find me a directive for something so again by the time this goes out I'm sure they will be something in writing because the modern regime doesn't like to wait on things like totalitarianism but it's interesting this is another illustration of how laws can get in effect made like it's a de facto law it's a de facto regulation people are following laws that don't exist yet and it's happening all over the country so I would very much recommend people to kind of look into this a little bit more now to walk a lot of this back and to bring this back to a more uh a more clear perspective I guess we have to be aware that this might quite literally be the most palpable case of gaslighting we've ever seen okay and I trust me the irony is not lost on me on this now what I mean by that is the Biden regime can float this idea okay they can float this idea they can leak it to the press the Press freaks out every American freaks out because guess what I've seen some data you know again studies and and statistics are made up nowadays so who knows if this number is accurate but apparently rarely as many as 30 percent of the entire country thirty percent potentially a third of the citizens of this country use gas stoves so you're now telling them that they're going to have to go buy a new uh stove or something we don't we don't know when the government's telling us right because there's no information but either way what I mean is if this is going to happen this is going to be very very very severe and the impacts of this will be very widely felt now where the gaslighting comes in is the vitamin regime can say oh no no no you misunderstood we never meant to ban gas stoves we meant to ban like this kind of gas stove or like this kind of connector that nobody uses or or some some specific technical jargon that nobody understands or that isn't actually used right so they can walk it back and they can say well no no you were spreading misinformation we weren't going to ban gas stoves despite the fact that's exactly what we said uh we were never going to ban gas stoves and you're just spreading misinformation and shame on you and you know know there you go so they can walk it back very easily and Gaslight the heck out of us if they want um which I think is probably what's going to happen because man I tell you if you if anybody bans gas stoves oh boy uh man I I don't know the impacts of that uh I can tell you it's not going to be good um oh boy and then the next question is all right well what about gas heat because good let me tell you something a lot more people rely on gas heat uh than you think and uh that's not going to be good um I did see one Theory and and I I agree that it's kind of an interesting idea is that I forgot where I saw it so sorry if if you know you had this idea first I've literally just forgot where I saw it uh somebody had the idea that this might be the result or or it might be intended to drive a wedge between urban and rural populations yet another divide right and it's not a bad idea because uh natural gas is not available in the middle of nowhere like I live in the middle of nowhere now and I there there's no gas line anywhere near me I don't think there's any natural gas in my entire County to be honest you know that's a interesting thing you know natural gas is really kind of a big thing in cities but not so much in the rural areas so rural people are not going to be affected by this really at all but people in cities will be it's an interesting Theory I just wanted to mention it because like I said I saw it somewhere or maybe it's just a fever dream I had I don't know but I thought I wanted to mention it so very very severe stuff very uh significant stuff if it actually comes to fruition the other thing I wanted to mention and I'll mention it here because the decision took place in Washington DC so I figured I might as well throw it in here and that is the pentagons floating idea or submitting The Proposal I suppose is the best best way of describing it for a zero trust infrastructure for well the internet at large I guess now the idea of a zero trust infrastructure in the field of cyber security fairly a fairly simple construct but it gets really complicated in actuality uh now I again have stated many times I am not a cyber security expert so I am most certainly not going to go into the details of how this all works but I can say that I know enough to to know that this kind of thing is very concerning now to explain zero trust concepts for the layperson which includes me it really is kind of a a complex idea think of it like this in the past or even today actually uh you have passwords for things right you have a username you have an email account and you log into a website with a password even physical security you have a physical badge that gets you access into facilities or a PIN number you can put in to open or unlock a door okay once an entity or a company or an agency has given you access to something you have access to it right you may not have Total Access real it's not how it usually works like after all I can't log in to you know say Gmail for instance and get access to Google servers no no I just have access to the client side kind of stuff right if I were to use Gmail and likewise if you have a badge or some kind of key code to get into a building chances are you're not going to have you know a master code right the whole concept of access to things whether it's cyber security or physical security relies on a person being the the the vector by which trust can be given it's not so much talking about trusting an individual person or not trusting a traditional person it's about removing this this this construct altogether because here's the thing we gave Edward Snowden trust right he was trusted by the NSA he got he got a really high security clearance and he got a lot of passwords and logins and a lot of stuff same thing with Bradley Manning right so maybe using the concept of you know access or no access is not really the construct to move forward maybe we need something else maybe we need something that is you know various applications various you know tools that that are on the software side of things that can make sure that everything is running smoothly because as we all know we're in an age of cyber attacks right someone gets access to a system they can shut it down whether it's a you know a tractor sitting in a field that's connected to some server you know or cell tower or something or if it's you know a colonial pipeline right either way using if you remove the the the understanding of providing access to someone based on a trust or no trust you know criteria if and if you go to a whole new system itself that's kind of the way forward with regards to cyber security that's a little bit hard to understand and I fully admit I don't completely understand it myself either because there's a lot of there's a lot of ways to kind of get to where you want to go with with zero trust infrastructure the bottom line for why you the average citizen should care about this is that this is a fantastic way to lock you out of the internet if they don't like you on it and here's what I mean by that one of the closest ways that you get to kind of a zero trust infrastructure is what we already kind of know throughout the cryptocurrency world and that is the dreaded kyc or know your customer in other words the bane of anyone who has ever tried to buy cryptocurrency newsflash it's not exactly 2010 right you can't just go online and buy cryptocurrency with the you know with a credit card or something uh anonymously it doesn't work like that even if you were using you know a credit card that wouldn't be anonymous but the point is is that if you want to buy cryptocurrency today in 2023 you're gonna have to put your social security number in somewhere uh now there are some things and ways around this but to be honest in terms of most cryptocurrency there really isn't especially the most common cryptocurrencies so this is kind of one of those the kind of the closest way I can think of explaining a zero trust infrastructure is I can guarantee you kyc requirements are going to be a huge part of a zero trust infrastructure um or at least while the system's kind of getting its way out you know getting working its way out through through the development and stuff like that so again bottom line this is your indication and warning this is the video that you can look back in a couple of years time and point back and say I Told You So when you are locked out of your email account or your bank or your company because of something you said or thought or something you didn't say this kind of infrastructure the zero trust infrastructure for me not being a cyber security guy not being a technical expert it on the one hand it seems kind of the way forward when it comes to cyber security but on the other hand it seems like a great way to prevent me from getting on the internet at some point right it's it's a great way to build a off an authorized list of users on the internet which is going to be kind of a basic requirement for this moving forward and go from there again I'm not doing a super good job of explaining this and you I'm sure far more technical experts will pop up in the in the comments to to kind of explain this a little bit better but the point is is here's the timeline 2020 7 this is from their own slide this is the dod's actual product that explains what the dod is working on and I don't know about you but look you know living in the world today and knowing how the world Works anytime the dod does something I'm very suspicious okay you know I I've hey I hate that I have to explain that at this point but anytime the dod develops something it's going to be used against Americans at some point so I'm really kind of concerned that the timeline for this is so short and the dod is going to figure out a way to do this and this would be a great way to implement you know social credit this would be a great way to implement you know some kind of you know social ban on any kind of any any of the systems that keep our society running so I wanted to kind of bring this out as kind of homework for you guys if you were more interested in this I'm not particularly surprised and honestly you don't really need to know much more information beyond what I've already told you to make a decision and the decision you know it should be look hey you need to start kind of moving away from these kinds of systems because let me tell you something the reason that we don't have such a great Communications infrastructure as is is because of how big these problems are the nature of the internet uh in and of itself you know servers connected to other servers that are controlled by other people the way that https traffic works it is an infrastructure that is very helpful if you don't want people on it and if you control the way internet traffic works at the very base level you control a lot of things and I'm very concerned about that so that's why I wanted to to mention it here so I'll just kind of leave it at that and move on to the next wildly different topic which is something that I realized recently has a name which I didn't think it did and that is transnational repression transnational repression is fascinating and terrifying and here's what it is transnational repression is something that we kind of we know happens we know this happens but we think that it's on a small scale so small in fact that I didn't even think that it had a name I thought it was just oh wow okay that was kind of a rare thing this is when a foreign government chooses to intimidate assault imprison arrest or whatever its citizens while they are in another country now that should ring a bell because CNN ran this article from a while back I think it was last month yeah in which CNN of all places admitted that China is operating over 100 police stations across the world with the help of some host Nations report claims that's the actual headline of this news article from CNN I'm shocked right again this is something that's not new at all we we have known that this occurs all over the world particularly with China China is a nation that is obsessed with its citizens and more accurately I suppose obsessed with controlling its citizens because that's how it maintains power it China is a communist Nation they quite literally are Xi Jinping or Xi Jinping however you pronounce his name he is not the president of China China does not have a president he is the General Secretary of the Chinese Communist party it's right there on this Wikipedia page so when communist Nations do things like this when they are very concerned with citizens of theirs outside of their Nations uh we have things like the East-West Berlin Dynamic back during the Cold War we have very interesting things occur well the same thing's happening today and we now know it's become public record that there are secret Chinese police stations all over the United States that secretly detain and sometimes torture their citizens for saying or doing something and thinking that being in the US they're outside the reach of China well they most certainly are not the scary part about all of this you might think okay well this is kind of this is still pretty rare right it's pretty fascinating and and slightly terrifying that China you know is concerned about their own citizens this much but you know any historian is going to tell you this is not surprising at all so if we recognize this is happening and you know even though your average citizen out there in the United States is going to say well you know how does this affect me I you know after all I'm not a Chinese National living in the United States you know for those people man it sucks and you know I would be very concerned about you know being either you know assassinated or captured or imprisoned you know in some safe house that the Chinese government has set up in New York I'd be very concerned about that if I was a Chinese citizen you know not so much if I'm an American here's where it gets a little concerning for the American citizens listening and that is that the feds are now on to this and it has become so much of a problem that the FBI has set up a a a website and a hotline and and all kinds of threat intimidation guides to help citizens Escape their own Nation now again this is the FBI and it is very clear that the FBI has their own goals and those goal goals I do not think align with anything good but I it is very interesting that now the FBI is is quietly trying to spread the word about this and trying to address this issue of foreign police officers exerting their influence and taking jurisdiction on the U.S soil I have to be very careful when describing this because I don't want the runaway trains of the past we all remember that four month period of time where I was getting about 200 emails a day regarding uh people claiming that China had invaded Canada or that uh there were remember all those um uh cargo ships off the coast of California yeah yeah those uh shipping containers were all full of Chinese agents and Chinese spies and the Chinese military were planning to invade Via San Francisco yeah I've lived that nightmare of trying to walk that back and kind of show people that yes okay concerns valid it's not true moving on when it comes to this this is very much true and it is so much true that the FBI is now issuing memos to lower uh law enforcement you know local law enforcement agencies trying to explain to them that this is a huge threat now and to what should a local police officer do if they encounter a Chinese police officer trying to arrest a Chinese citizen on U.S soil that is a huge concern because the FBI doesn't do anything unless it has already become too much of a problem too too big of a problem so I just wanted to kind of point that out that uh this is a much bigger problem than just to see in an article there are actual agencies tracking this and trying to figure out what to do about it because again this is a foreign Nation conducting policing actions on U.S soil and that's a huge problem again for the average citizen out there what can you do about it I don't know I mean I'm just going to be completely honest with you and say look I don't think that the you know you can contact the FBI you know they've got a hotline they've got a number but I don't think it's going to help because at that stage good grief you know it's kind of a serious problem so so again I wanted to bring this up and make everyone aware that this is an issue so that when it becomes more of an issue in the in the future we can under have a basis for understanding of how all this works now again let me walk it back a little bit and say look I don't think you're going to walk into a Chinese police officer in your everyday life this is going to be a very select problem for a select few but hey if you're at a university you know and you've got the majority of say a nuclear engineering class is you know Chinese Nationals I mean when I was in college I had to take a few uh courses and uh the courses which were about things like uh energy policy and nuclear engineering turned out to all be Iranian students in one class I was one of three U.S passport holding American citizens and the rest of them were um either Iranian or Chinese Nationals so that's another problem for another day I suppose but for these people um you know if they're not spies themselves which I think you know a good portion of them are uh it's it's a it's a concerning thing especially for Chinese Nationals trying to flee China or flee Hong Kong or or things like that or or you know big names that have already left the country uh China is again a nation that is obsessed uh with not being humiliated and uh if you tend to humiliate China and you are a Chinese National well that doesn't tend to end well for you so again just wanted to bring it up and make everyone aware of this because this is going to be a huge problem for the foreseeable future I think moving on to the East Central midwestern region let's bring it back to our old standby of chemical manufacturing plants catching on fire and in this case our our winner for this time around is LaSalle County Illinois specifically Keras chemical hopefully I pronounced all that right uh they had a very large fire slash an explosion at their chemical plant and this one is very suspicious because the ex it started first of all with an explosion that began from inside a shipping container and um yeah kind of kind of suspicious there of course was nobody around the I don't know if the facility was occupied at the time of the explosion or not uh but there was no one around the shipping container when it exploded and also there is uh apparently Hazmat concerns because immediately following the explosion and multiple alarm fire uh a green oxidizing substance was observed to be leaking from the facility uh which had to be neutralized uh via you know various you know chemicals uh by firefighters so again not a super not a super great thing again when we talk about factories or or chemical plants or stuff like that you know blowing up or Catching Fire we have to look at you know everything we have to look at all sources right and one of the major things that I personally look for is all right was a facility abandoned at the time because if it was abandoned at the time that's going to be a a huge indicator that it it might not be as nefarious as you think because what is the point of a Black Ops wet work team you know attacking a facility that has no one working at it what is the point of some kind of social movement or domestic group I should say attacking a facility that's not in use right however we do see places that are abandoned burned down all the time due to drug use due to vagrancy due to a variety of factors right even even accidents or lightning strikes are the result of a lot of this with this plant they had just Broken Ground on a 20 million dollar expansion of the plant in August of 2022. so they were doing pretty good it seems they were expanding the plant they were looking at growing I've got a dozen photos online about you know showing their their grand expansion right and now suddenly their plant gets crippled by some kind of incident that we're not really sure about that started inside a shipping container very interesting I don't know if this plant has a history of safety violations my quick you know Google Foo did not really reveal anything usually if you Google one of these company names like the one last time I forget the name they had like a laundry list of fires and and and maintenance problems and staff having problems and it was just like an accident a day for years until you know the thing finally just just had enough and blew up this one I didn't really find anything now I'm sure somebody out there knows uh the history of this plant especially locals might know uh what's going on there but uh just let everybody know I wasn't able to find any kind of significant history of negligency at this plant at least for my my brief search so again we'll chalk that one up to some kind of you know incident and we'll just keep it in our memory and move on and wait for the next one moving on to the West Central midwestern region you guys get a reprieve from the bit of bad news this time around I wasn't able to find anything uh that occurred that was worth mentioning uh this time around I'm sure next time I'll find something but but let's go ahead and move on down to the southern border region and uh for the rest of the states that are in this you know kind of area I didn't really have much I really just kind of wanted to focus on the Texas border again and like I mentioned last time uh sorry I haven't really had time to drill down and and provide a lot of the information that I wanted to for this so let me just say this and that is the Border crisis is continuing and growing worse however the response to it is getting a little bit better in some areas but it certainly looks like the events over the past month or so especially with Biden's high profile visit down there uh this is a this is a losing battle particularly with the cross-border violence that is likely to occur from the incidents going on in Mexico now I know a lot of you wanted me to have a dedicated slide on this I got it I'm working on it I'm still building the maps for this and trying to figure out what's going on because I am not a South America analyst I'm not a Central America analyst I've never been there and I'm having a lot I'm having to do a lot of learning because um just you know spoiler alert the cartel situation in South and Central America and in Mexico is kind of complicated and it goes back kind of a long way so really what you need to know for now is that El Chapo's son one of the biggest cartel leaders in the area really the signaloa cartel right everybody's everybody's seen sicario right so no further explanation needed right well no really El Chapo's son was arrested and and uh the signaloa boys have have gotten a little spicy and they've basically declared a general mobilization against the Mexican Government until they release him well the Mexican Government is not going to release him he's going to be extradited to the United States or at least that's what they claim so far either way I I will I I will delve into the the situation in Mexico a little bit more at some point when I get time to actually learn about the situation and then I can you know speak more intelligently on it all we know is that you can hop on social media right now and see an awful lot of warfare going on in pretty much all over Mexico right now because of this now when it comes to the United States uh coming into the coming into the situation uh this just makes a bad situation worse right it makes an already tense board situation where there are thousands of active duty soldiers thousands and and hundreds of law enforcement from every badge you can imagine every agency you can imagine is down there at the border and you can argue whether or not that's enough people or not everybody knows that in no operation are you going to have enough people to do what you want to do but there are an awful lot of people down there it's a very tense situation there is a very high chance for international incidents right we have already seen cartel members attacking U.S soldiers who are standing guard on the border at some of these more high profile locations and it's not good there have been dozens of incidents since the start of this whole border crisis which granted is decades in the making but the bottom line is that right now it's pucker Factor 9.5 down there and it's not likely to get any better anytime soon so please be advised that this is a situation that's going to develop further now again to to keep things in perspective I don't think we have to worry so much about you know the cartels invading the United States that's not what I'm saying is going to happen uh we certainly have to worry about the humanitarian crisis we have to worry about the the immigration crisis or we have to worry about a lot of things but I'm not so much looking for cartel members trying to invade the United States that's that's not what's going on here what I mean is you're probably going to have a lot of U.S soldiers targeted uh either for political reasons or just because they're guys with guns in close proximity to other guys with guns who are probably very upset about the situation in their country right now so even though there is really no motivation whatsoever for the violence that's going on in Mexico to spill over into the United States there might be a little bit of a reason for justification now a huge flash point to look out for is when you see start seeing news headlines saying that the extradition of ovidio Guzman the El Chapo's son right uh when his extradition has happened okay because right now uh a judge in Mexico has has halted his extradition while they figure out what's going on here so again when that extradition takes place because it will most likely take place the US has been trying to hunt this guy for a long time ever since you know we got El Chapo himself this guy's a very senior member of the Sinaloa cartel so we're not going to let this guy get away if we have to go down there and get him ourselves which is most likely what's going to happen either way uh the bottom line is that for guys down there on the border if you see this dude's extradition is taking place because you're most likely not going to know about when it takes place ahead of time uh it's going to be handled by very special people in very special ways right they're going to sneak this guy back across the border into the U.S somehow well when that happens it's going to make the news and you need to be very careful about the situation down there on the border because then all those dudes with with guns were very upset about their their senior boss getting arrested uh they're now going to have a justification to start pointing those barrels towards the border so I just wanted to bring that up and mention that this is kind of a big deal and even though I'm not an expert on it right now I can clearly see the writing on the wall and that's probably probably not very good so again something to keep an eye on for the future and moving out west getting back to the tradition of things we have many many attacks that have occurred on electrical substations so again I'm not going to mention all the ones that have occurred in the Pacific Northwest in Oregon and Washington there have been around half a dozen or so within the past couple of months and they have ranged from possible theft to vandalism to tampering to actually like shooting it you know uh Transformers and things like that it's really kind of hard to say because a lot of these things are not they're not making the press in the way that you'd want them to make the Press because the major media is running the headline there's no information there because well you know Federal authorities are not going to release the details of these attacks to the mainstream public which on the one hand makes a lot of sense because the feds are obviously not going to want to encourage or or provide targeting guidance for people trying to Target other places around the country you know so keeping those details secret is it makes a lot of sense however by keeping things secret the general public and you know ourselves included are not able to discern why these places were attacked or if there was something that we could do to prevent it because for instance we're sending hundreds of millions of dollars to another country that shall not be named uh but if we can't afford a 50 padlock for a facility then that's a problem you know if we're not going to it's cheaper to file an insurance claim to get a half million dollar Transformer out to a specific site than it is to you know buy that you know security guard to stand there and watch it all day either way the result for people like you and me is the same we don't have electricity for a few days and this is a concern especially for uh incidents like the one that occurred at the PG and E facility uh really just a small uh substation well it really wasn't a substation it's actually a solar farm it provided uh power to a lot of the casinos in Las Vegas now this incident was very interesting and this was a I'm going to call it I have it on the slide Harris probable I'm going to call it an almost certain Islamic terrorist attack really the attack Vector was this it was a guy drove his vehicle into the mega array the solar array that provides power again for MGM Resorts uh in Las Vegas he rammed his vehicle through the gate and then some press reports are reporting that he siphoned gasoline out of the tank and set the Ablaze including the Transformer or some kind of electrical apparatus that he drove his vehicle into now you might note the date on this this occurred on January 7th slash eighth right we became aware of it on the eighth and it probably occurred overnight on the January on January 7th now this coincides interestingly enough with Al qaeda's usual yearly press statement so for the past few years Al Qaeda has you know still been around there's still a thing uh and they have issued uh directives slash like a happy New Year death to America message right and the one for this year specifically recommended uh their people to carry out attacks on U.S soil I think this is just me spitballing with very little evidence to back it up so just be aware of that but I think that's what the reason for this attack was I think that your your Lone Wolf attacks probably funded by some domestic U.S agency uh carry out these kinds of attack that's why I think we saw another attack in New York City Times Square on New Year's Eve a police officer was attacked with a machete uh and I think that's also why we're seeing some of these attacks right that message came out and you know your Lone Wolf extremists here in the United States were motivated to do stuff like that again it just kind of shows you that the counterterrorism has never really been an easy job but at the same time I would be willing to bet that these kinds of things are would have been easily preventable had the right people been working in the in the counterterrorism industry and had the counterterrorism agencies in the United States actually being concerned with tracking uh foreign terrorists rather than uh trying to Target parents at school board meetings but again you know there's no real way for me to describe this these kinds of things in neutral language anymore you know I just have to call it like I see it and you know I would be willing to bet my my thought is that around New Year's time we saw Al Qaeda release their message and boom now we have uh a few a handful of attacks happening in the United States low level attacks it really didn't have too much of of an effect but still it's like man hey a rookie analyst could have could have called this you know I mean these federal agencies are spying on us no matter what and they're investigating people for for speaking out of school board meetings but yet they can't actually dedicate time to conducting counter-terrorism operations that are relatively easy to do these guys would have been very easy to find because it's always like you know they were known to the FBI beforehand but anyway that's a whole lot of speculation that I'm sure you guys don't really want to hear so I'll just end my kind of ranting and raving on that for now and let's move to something a little bit more interesting and that is uh we're gonna skip over the entirety of Europe for now sorry guys and we're gonna move to kind of the the I don't want to call it a bigger threat but an interesting threat and that is the Far East yes the invasion of Taiwan by China the ultimate will they won't they this is something that has been debated by military strategists that get paid a lot more than me for a very long time and no one seems to have a really good answer for any of this will China invade Taiwan nobody knows uh we know generally what it would look like uh very very generally and we know that China has been making very strong aspirations toward the small island nation over the past well year few years but really the past few months for instance last month they launched one of their largest uh military exercises the largest one they've ever done which was like 70-something aircraft including bombers Fighters you name it it looked like it the party was about to start but uh they would have to have thousands of aircraft in the air for that but again I am not a Far East analyst I've never spent any time at paycom and nobody else here has either so I'm having to kind of get spun up on that as well the reason you might care about an invasion of Taiwan by China is well for a few reasons but really the the main theory is the the island chain Theory which states that if China is going to invade Taiwan they're going to have to keep going and they know that if they take Taiwan it's going to take the vast majority of their military and they're going to have to kind of expand into South southeast Asia and especially the South China Sea if they have any hope of winning that conflict uh really you can kind of very generally see where China is going to have to do exactly what Japan did during World War II they're going to have to take these small island chains Island hop as far as they can before before well the world mobilizes against them will this cause World War III I don't know um back in the day man when I was kind of like a junior analyst I always though
S2 briefing · 2023-05-19

Tent TOCs: Helpful Features to Look Out For

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground what seems like an eternity ago we made a video on tactical operations centers in that video I mentioned that I would be covering the creation of a civilian style operations center for those interested in doing work off-grid or in austere environments understandably working in an austere environment is challenging and a lot of lessons have to be learned the hard way so today I thought I would share some experiences on what does and does not work when trying to establish an off-grid office or if you want to be super cool a tent talk if you watched our previous video on the Tactical Operations Center building one on your own seems fairly easy it seems like you just need a tint and some various office supplies but as always things are vastly more difficult than they seem so let's go over what did and did not work for me the first thing to think about is size one of the main considerations for an operation Center is the size of shelter needed how big should a talk be this is the 64 trillion dollar question that the Department of Defense has spent almost that amount to answer right right now there is a change in Doctrine on the horizon with regards to field operations centers this article for instance summarizes the challenges and mentions what we already know the tent cities of the past are a death sentence in Modern Warfare talks are just like rucksacks whenever someone asks is this Rook too heavy or did I pack too much the experts will always say yes it's the same with talks is my Operation Center too large the answer is always yes the US Army is pretty slow to react to most things in general but especially the concept of the talk it has been a living nightmare to convince commanders that their gigantic Tacoma Hall is going to get them killed granted there is a bit of give and take a battalion size Operation Center cannot get away with being set up in a single four-man vehicle or a four-man tent that's just too small even to house the radios alone but from the perspective of the prepared citizen we can get away with a lot smaller of an operational footprint I guess this can really digress into what the prepared citizen might be doing as opposed to a more military organization prepared citizen talks obviously will be more flexible in nature and not just military I have set up many operations centers in many different ways in the civilian world without looking like I'm setting up a command center I've set up a small tent while working volunteer events or Manning small first aid stations for sporting events or at a barbecue when it might rain or while on a working party as a place to rest in the shade all of these purely non-military events are great uses for a small tent shelter quite literally any time a moderately large group of people go Outdoors to do anything at all from an orienteering class to a birthday party this might be a good opportunity for a small tent to be helpful for me I initially chose a one-person camping tent so a very very small footprint ordinarily this would be laughably small after all a one-person talk really seems like it should really just be called a listening post or something it seems a bit larpy rather than actually being capable and I would agree to some extent except that in today's world we can use automation to do the jobs of five or six people using the footprint of a single individual I can set up my radios to automatically send and receive messages while I'm asleep I can set up my small adsb receiver to automatically track aircraft and I can run a scanner utility to sniff out the signals near me and if I wanted to incorporate some kind of battle tracking capability I can run ATAC or windtech easily as well almost all of this can be done and managed without me doing a single thing I can set it a laptop typing out reports while all of this is going on in the background with minimal interaction from me coming at things from a civilian perspective this is a pretty slick Arrangement it seems pretty simple and it really is but even National level military organizations struggle with being able to manage operations with this small of a footprint and yet have these same capabilities granted military units are going to be tracking much larger operations which require more hands on deck to help with but for a prepared citizen who is trying to coordinate with one or two fire team sized elements this can easily be managed by only one or two people this is why I initially chose a one-person tent specifically the Army's improved combat shelter or ICS this tent has a bit of interesting history behind it being really the first genuine camping tent ever adopted by the US Army previously only shelter halfs were used which had Origins going back to the American Civil War and even before that back in the early 2000s the Army actually had a good idea and requisitioned a lot of these tents which can still be found rather easily on the Surplus Market though prices are creeping up these days almost all of the ones you will find come in the ACU pattern which as you can see I took rather Desperate Measures to change significantly so the tint is actually camouflaged again I would have preferred a two or three person tent to have more than enough room to set up an off-grid office but there's one very specific feature that made this tint an interesting option this tent is a blackout tent this is great as it allows so only inside to use a light source without that light source being visible to the outside this is super for handy for running several computer screens as covertly as possible so you might think as I did hey that's that's pretty cool this would make a perfect little Outpost or a small work center or office right well it turns out after using this tint for a couple of years the downsides of this tent have really made it not a great option for me anymore and there are a couple of better options that I'm going with I ran this tent for years though and it worked quite well for what I needed at the time so it could very well work for many others I did make a few modifications to this tent for those interested that made this tent a little bit more livable first of all is the blackout coating I don't know what it's made of but it's definitely some kind of rubber a lot of times you'll find tints where this is flaked off in places particularly if you wanted to put the tint away wet for whatever reason this rubberized coating will stick to itself and peel itself off you can repair this though with a can of spray rubber which is exactly what I did to repair some spots on the floor and on the door really the biggest problem of this tent is that it is super super hot it is a Four Season tent but it's really really weird you can obviously see the works of the military industrial complex in the development of this tent normally Four Season tents are really fourth season tents meaning that they are really only intended to be used during the fourth season winter any other time of year they are just too hot to be used but clearly or at least my theory is that some military official some procurement board did not understand this and said hey we need a tent that will work in all four seasons and not just three seasons my theory is that the companies who are pitching these tents for the military they were responding to a solicitation for a tent and they said hey well we've got a lot of these civilian kind of style three season tints out here and somebody in the military or at the DoD said hey why only three season ah that clearly means the tent can only be used you know during 75 percent of the year and we need a tent that can work all year round so we need for a Four Season tent because we think that Four Season tent means it can be used during all four seasons and just somebody never really corrected them and that's probably why this tint ended up being a Four Season tent when really it needed to stay a three season tent to mitigate this extreme heat what I did was on the opposite side of the main door on the on the kind of back door underneath the vestibule I cut that door out entirely and replaced it with mosquito mesh this is a very simple mod to do if you have any kind of skill whatsoever with a sewing machine or even if you wanted to do it by hand it might take you a little longer but you can do it and it increases the livability of this tent drastically otherwise this tent is just very unpleasant to live in even in moderately warm weather my theory about the whole three season versus Four Season kind of communications foul up it's kind of supported by the vestibule design as well as the design of the tent poles clearly the manufacturers did not increase the strength of the tent poles to reflect select a Four Season tent these poles are literally just aluminum poles for a three season tent not the beefed up ones you usually find with a Four Season tent that are meant to take large amounts of heavy snow right again the vestibule kind of reflects this as well again we can see the the kind of design choices and this looks like it was originally going to be a standard camping tent but at some point in the procurement process somebody said hey wait a minute we need a vestibule to hold the Soldier's gear because a rucksack isn't going to fit in this tent with the soldier as well so the vestibule design became kind of an afterthought and this creates a critical design flaw which I call the rainfly lean on the inside of the tent between the tent body and the rain fly you absolutely have to clip in these plastic clips that are located on the rain fly if you don't in heavier rain the tent body will slip out from underneath the rain fly and you will either get very wet or the entire tent will collapse the collapsing thing really only happens if you don't have the tent stick down if you have it staked down your tent is not going to collapse but you still might get wet the reason this happens is because the vestibule is only on one side of the tent so it tends to lean quite a bit and sort of Squish The Tint body out into the rain this is most notable here on the sides where there is a little overlap between the tent body and the Fly the problem with this is that these plastic Clips on the rain fly they rip off so easily they are only stuck on with a very cheap low-grade adhesive which has not withstood the test of of time since these have hit the Surplus market so if you're going to use this tent the number one mod I would recommend is to sew these on sew them back onto the actual rainfly and then seam seal the threads to keep it waterproof so you don't get any rain through the threads I originally did not think this is going to be a big deal but it really is another problem I couldn't really get around was the door on the floor design I originally liked the idea of how this door opened but then I realized how horrible of a design this was if you need to have have the door open most of the time and you have people constantly hanging out or dropping off reports or whatnot this door with its delicate mosquito netting is going to get damaged because it's on the surface that your feet and hands and knees are going to be contacting to get in and out of the tent so the zipper is going to get muddy as well you're going to create a lot of wear and tear on the actual door and mosquito netting itself when you're trying to get in and out of this tent in the dark it's just not a great Arrangement and finally the real main gripe I had with this tent is that it's not a fly first design which we'll kind of get to in a minute but in due time I have come to realize the DraStic importance of a fly first tent Design This is a feature you usually find on Four Season tents but a fly first design allows you to set up the rain fly first then the inner tent body sometimes the inner tint is actually connected to the rain fly itself so quite literally you lay the tent out put the poles up clip the rain fly to the polls or run it through some pole sleeves and there you go your tent is set up this allows you to protect everything from getting super wet when you're setting up a tent in the Rain the ICS is not by any means a fly first design in fact the pole sleeves for the actual rainfly pole itself they're made from the same kind of rubberized plasticized material so they tend to stick together and it's even harder to get the poles through these pole sleeves than on a normal civilian tent so you might end up struggling to get the rain fly on which is not super fun in the rain all in all if you can get your hands on an ICS tent cheaply that might be a good option for you despite the downsize of this tent I have used it for several years constantly before moving on to something else for me right now it's a case of what do I personally value more a blackout tint or the ability to pitch and strike the tint in the rain without getting soaking wet right now I kind of value the latter so for these reasons I have kind of moved away from the ICS shelter system even though I've spent a lot of time trying to modify them to work it turns out that the downsides I just mentioned are more design flaws than anything else and it's just too much work for me to make the ICS functional the way I need it to be this combined with the fact that I needed a slightly larger tint anyway and the ICS is only a one-man tent well this this had me looking for other options for now I've chosen to migrate away from the ICS shelter system and move towards a more civilian style tent which is the light fighter series of tents yes these are still military tents these are the ones that replaced the ICS for the Army at least but based on my needs these are really the only ones that will work for me which I will explain in a moment before we go on I did want to mention the major concern with these tents which is price I don't mean to call the company out on the carpet but I'm just foreseeing into the future and I know that a lot of people are going to comment on the price of light fighter tents so I did want to address that first in an age where consumers have to care about the companies they buy from this digression may be helpful in deciding what option to go with a huge part of the criticism leveled at lightfighter as a company is the price of all of their tents which I understand to some degree one thing that opponents of light fighter will say is that the live fighter tents are basically just regular camping tents made for the military but other than being multicam there's really no reason for the high prices that is up for you to decide as for me I understand both sides of the argument on one hand it really does hurt to spend four to six hundred dollars on a one or two person tent but on the other hand you do get a lot of value out of the tents they sell as expensive as this sounds if you were to buy something comparable from a different company such as hilleberg you are going to be paying hundreds more I currently own one 502 tint and I have used two other light fighter one tents in the past all of them have been top-notch quality not a threat out of place all very well made and I really really appreciate light Fighters fight a series of tents in particular lot fighter created the Fido line of tends to sell to this civilian Market while their military Berry Amendment compliant domestic production capacity was at its limit simply put the military was sucking up 100 of their domestic production capability so they created the Fido series of tents which allowed them to keep the same materials in the same design but assemble the tents overseas in Vietnam since civilian tents don't have to be very compliant they could not only cut costs by going overseas but they also were able to actually Supply the civilian Market while at the same time keeping the same materials and the same high level of quality this is extraordinarily rare for big defense contractors to do these days in fact I don't think I've ever seen this done in the defense industry so I'm glad they did that I'm really glad that a defense contractor who's got those sweet military contracts is actually thinking of the domestic U.S consumer and is actually trying to do the best they can to offer their products in a Time where it's really hard to meet that Demand with their military stuff they're not just simply resorting to selling you know overruns or or even worse rejects from their military contracts as a lot of companies will do that they'll take their military contract rejects the things that did not meet military specifications and they'll quietly sell them to the civilian Market or they'll leak out on eBay or something like that that's not what light fighter is doing they have they're actually streamlined a process for offering civilian tents for the civilian Market that still are basically the same thing as what they offer for the military now some might say you're still paying Berry Amendment prices for a foreign made tent and to that I would say that comparing the 502 tent that I have now with the light fighter tents I've used in the past there is no detectable difference in the quality between the phytotens and light fighter tents it would be really nice for these tints to come down in price at least the Fido series but it's not totally out of the realm of reality with inflation and the high cost of ROM materials so I really do understand both sides of the argument when it comes to price at the end of the day I need a tent that functions the way I need it to and I think a lot of light Fighter's criticism comes from the same crowd that doesn't hesitate to buy a several hundred dollar part to make their AR perfectly clone correct but bulk says spending even a fraction of that cost on a shelter system we've seen this with radios and now we're seeing it with Shelter Systems too and considering that purely severely intense of a similar construction are very similar in price or are astronomically more expensive than this one I think light Fighters prices are are pretty reasonable but at the end of the day it's not my job to sell tents all I can do is share my experiences so it's up for you to decide what your needs are and the elephant in the room with things like tents and radios and medical supplies is the high price you're going to pay a premium price a lot of times for stuff that you probably don't think is worth that much you know we don't really do like specific Gear reviews here but so far my 502 tent has performed really really well and I appreciate some of the design choices that lightfighter has made can I get a similar tent by Kelty or Mountain Hardware or Eureka yes there are similar tints out there but very few that have a camouflaged rain fly or a sort of fly first design or can be set up in a hasty Hooch configuration or have double zippers on the vestibule doors all of these features are really important to me and all of these factors together mean that for me it's worth the higher price tag honestly if I were to take a cheaper tent and modify it to get to these same features I would be spending a lot more money in the long run I've spent more money modifying the ICS tint than just buying it brand new off-the-shelf light fighter one even just the ability to convert lightfighter tents from three season to Four Season tents using their cold weather kit this is a huge cost saver since you can use the same tint truly year round without sweating in the summer or freezing in the winter you actually have a truly year-round tent this is a seriously awesome feature that would cost you hundreds of dollars with other civilian tents as a side note if you wanted to get the light fighter one tent you can seriously mitigate the high cost by going to the secondary Market since the light Fighter 1 tent is the standard issue tint for the US Army now you can regularly find light Fighter 1 tents for around 200 to 250 on the secondary Market which is a fantastic deal and since light fighter has the military contract I would expect many many more years of finding these on the secondary Market with no problem even during covid when everything was sold out and raw materials were simply non-existent you could still find these if you looked hard enough for decent prices with all of this in mind let's go over the light fighter series of tents and some of the pros and cons of these specific shelter options I don't like to spend so much time on one brand but this is this is really the best best way I've thought of to talk about specific features to look out for if you have similar needs to me starting off with the most obvious feature this tint has a multi-cam rainfly this alone makes this tent unique since you will be very very hard pressed to find a civilian tent with a camouflaged rainfly even among military tents there really aren't that many of them out there for one but the only other tents that I'm aware of that feature a camouflaged rainfly are the Eureka tent combat one person or teacup the US Marine Corps combat tent and the Army's old school ICS and of these the only one that is kind of a multi-cam flavor is the light fighter now here I must mention a very important difference between the Fido series and the regular light fighter series The Light fighter series of tints is legit AR 670-1 compliant ocp camouflage the Fido series is officially licensed multicam and there is a difference it's a very slight difference to the naked eyeball but it is a difference remember multicam was created by cry precision as a way of selling this pattern with various slight changes to the civilian Market my personal theory is that either itar or some other DOD restriction prevents light fighter from taking the ocp pattern out of the country for overseas manufacturing which is why they chose to go with the next best thing official multicam for the Fido series but again that's just my theory that's why the price for the phytotents is a little bit cheaper than the regular light fighter versions for the US military but it's not that cheaper because they're still having to pay for the official licensed multicam but again that's just my theory now the good news is that if you don't mind the differences between ocp and multicam if you don't really care either way both of these tents are in IR compliant so for instance my 502 does not have the Telltale glow under night vision devices this alone might make you rethink that civilian tent you are looking at buying because even though civilian tents are often times Earth toned to Colors that's becoming a lot more common as people want to kind of blend into nature a little bit more in the civilian Marketplace but the dye used to make these colors is probably not irr rated it's probably still a Chinese quality dye another feature that you would not even really notice unless you really look for it is the camouflage pattern itself a lot of people don't know that multicam ocp and again the older trial version scorpion W2 may be very very similar but they are all directional patterns meaning that if you turn them vertically they don't work as well or so the theory goes this is why a real legitimate official military uniforms require the uniforms to be assembled with this directionality in mind sometimes if you buy an airsoft grade uniform the Chinese factory making it either doesn't understand this or doesn't care so you get a situation where the the multicam fabric panels used to assemble the clothing or Pockets or stuff like that these panels can be sideways with light fighter tints the government contract stipulates that the ocp panels must be horizontally directional and the same as done with the Fido series as well another feature is more space so this really comes down to choosing a two-person tent versus a one-person tent growing up I always remember the old adage of get a tent with one more person capacity than what you actually need so if I wanted to sleep by myself in a tent I would get a two-person tent if there were two people who wanted to share a tent you would get a three person and so on and so forth this is kind of an old school mentality with tints but if if I myself am sleeping alone in a two-person tent I find there's more airflow there's more room to spread out more room for gear this is especially helpful in the rain as there is extra room to hang up wet clothing to dry and when you come into your tent out of the rain you've got more into maneuver around and keep your bedding dry whereas with something like a bivvy or a one-person tent or like a tent bivvy kind of setup you might be standing quite literally with your muddy boots where you're trying to sleep that night so with a two-person tent it's much easier to stay dry than it is in a one person tent which is more cramped there is another reason why you might want to go with a slightly larger tint than you actually need sometimes you have to work in a professional office environment but you have to stay in accommodations that are not so great this is really a unique example that is specific to my own experiences in the past I have sometimes had to travel for work one of the things I would do quite often is stay in a public campground to save money or because there literally were not any hotel rooms available even during my military days there were a couple of times where I went TDY for an exercise or something but the event organizers had royally screwed up the building so it was either I drive an hour away to a moldy hotel room they had set up for me or stay in the public Campground that was 10 minutes away most of the time I'm quietly stayed in the campground or even on the roof of the building I was working in because well if you're working 12 14 hour days the last thing I wanted to do was add on two hours of commute time plus traffic each day at the time I was actually pretty lucky to get away with doing this but the bottom line is that if you have to use a tent as temporary housing for a couple of days or a couple of weeks Max having a larger tint makes it easier to Don professional working attire and keep your professional clothing clean and presentable every time I stayed in a tent instead of the zero star active crime scene hotel that the dod had set up for me literally nobody was able to tell that I was actually living in a tent on the roof of the building my outward appearance was professional like everyone else but I was living basically off grid if it was only possible by using a two-man tent as opposed to a bivvy or a one-person tent with a tent similar to the light fighter series of tents using a stove becomes a possibility I have not tested this out with this specific tint yet but I am very optimistic on the 502's ability to handle a wood burning stove with minimal modification I will go into more detail on on this when we get to talking about various configurations but for now just know that a larger tint is much more conducive to installing a stove Jack and using a wood burning stove if you want it with a one person tent this just isn't possible due to space constraints speaking specifically of the 502 I'm looking at the Double zippers on the doors and thinking this might be an interesting option for a hasty stove Jack without modifying the rain fly itself but I need to do a bit more testing to see what works before I can comment further the other reason you might want a larger tint is gigantic rocks have you ever pitched a tent in the perfect spot only to get inside lie down and find a gigantic Rock in your back yeah I know it's a good idea to lay down on the ground first to test it out but inevitably I always end up finding a rock in my back right when I am absolutely dead tired with a two-person tent you can simply slide over or move around the rock more easily without moving the entire tent same thing if you've pitched your tent on slightly uneven ground or if there's a dip or a bulge in the ground or something that's just uncomfortable to lay on with a two-person tent you can kind of move around inside the tent instead of moving the whole thing again this is one of those things that doesn't sound like it's that big of a deal and hardly worth mentioning but man I tell you this actually comes up kind of a lot and I have many times been eternally thankful that I brought the heavier tint with me so I could move over a foot and get a tree root out of my back speaking of a sort of talk specific benefit more space in your tent means more room for debriefing a larger tint means that I can seat several people inside to conduct a debriefing even if it's a pretty tight fit the ability to seat three or four individuals inside a tent for a few minutes to get a quick debriefing done that's a pretty handy feature to have otherwise with a one person tent I would have to get out and conduct the debriefing under a tarp or something a unique feature of light fighter tents is name tape velcro this is mostly for military units where you've got a hundred guys all sleeping in the exact same tent and you've got to wake up somebody specific for watch standing or fire watch something as simple as a few inches of velcro really helps with this for civilian tents you can still use this they're pretty handy you could even get a little larpy if you want it's up to you one of the main benefits for light fighter tents and one of the most absolutely amazing features that these tents have is the ability to set them up and what light fighter calls a hasty Hooch configuration in the spirit of full disclosure live fighter tents are not the only ones with this capability katoma for instance has integrated this ability into several of their tents several other Kelty hilleberg and Mountain Hardwear tents also allegedly offer a sort of hasty huge Arrangement as well though I cannot verify this personally as I don't own several of these tents I can speak to hilleberg tents and katoma Tents having this feature on most of them but you're gonna have to check each tent to make sure that it is in fact capable of being set up as a a hasty Hooch kind of setup I did want to mention this because it's a fairly common design feature if you look hard enough basically what a hasty Hooch setup is is being able to set up the tent with just a ground cloth the poles and the rain fly without using the inner tint body this allows you to use the tint as kind of like a tarp shelter but way better in years past I thought this was an interesting feature but not much more than that now I truly realize this is a lifesaver and I'm really not sure why more tents don't have this feature ninety percent of the time I use this tint in the Hasty huge configuration mostly due to Mud with a hasty Hooch set up I can stay out of the rain work with radios and type reports and not muddy up the inner tent the ground sheet of course sees the most wear and tear of the whole shelter system and remains fairly dirty constantly but it's easier to put your compact filthy ground sheet in a mesh bag separate from the rest of the tent so as to keep your pack and other parts of the tent clean I don't know about anyone else but I really hate cleaning mud and sand out of an inner tent and as hard times come I am really concerned with making my gear last well beyond its intended service life this way the part of the system that stays filthy is the ground sheet which is which is obviously the most Expendable part of the whole system this preserves the inner tint for when you really need it for bug protection I've been doing this for a couple of years now and though my ground sheet has seen better days the inner tint still looks brand new this Hasty Hooch configuration is helpful on its own but there is another kind of hidden use for this that I'm not sure people know about super well light fighter certainly does not advertise this at all it's not mentioned anywhere in the literature but this does work so I will mention it if we are speaking specifically about the 502 or the light Fighter 2 tent either of these options can serve as a hasty medical shelter if needed both can hold a standard Talon litter and a medic with no problem an old school trick in the wilderness medicine Community was to take a traditional camping tent and cut out the bottom cut out the bathtub floor so that the tent could be assembled and then lifted up and placed on top of a casualty to protect them from the rain without actually moving that casualty this is sometimes done in the rescue Community for a litter Casualty that needs to be evacuated from the back country or rugged terrain but weather conditions do not prevent an evacuation for many hours with this tent you can place the ground sheet on the ground place your litter on it collapse the handles like you would be putting it in a vehicle then you can put the spider pole up and then the rain fly over the patient now you've got your casualty sheltered from the elements and there's plenty of room for a medic to stay in the tent with them and even access the patient from either side due to the door on the on the opposite side now in this configuration you won't have the benefit of the mosquito netting on the inner tint but since the ground sheet is seven feet long this kind of gives you an idea of the size this setup will also fit all of your other standard litter options such as a stokeslitter or a standard backboard this again is an awesome feature that is not publicized at all and I'm sure a lot of wilderness rescue groups will get a lot of use out of this especially since you don't have to modify anything you can still use this as a normal camping tent so I thought that was pretty interesting and we may talk a little bit more about that in the future as with anything there are cons to using any kind of shelter system the cons that I'm about to mention are not that specific to light fighter tents these are just general cons of using larger two-person tents versus an ultralight one-person tent or a bivvy or something but one of the cons that is specific to light fighter tents is the weight these tints are heavier than some of the more common ultralight backpacking options that are out there I will say they are as light as possible without compromising on durability but all of these tints are really just naturally heavy on no matter what this means that backpacking long distances with a 10 pound tent can get really old really quickly but this is one of those things you're going to have to decide for yourself I have many times hiked so far with so much weight that I would gladly have just slept under a poncho if it meant leaving behind a 10 pound tent other times the environmental conditions have been so bad that I would have gladly carried a 30 pound tent if it meant a little less misery from the rain the cold or the bugs so you're really just gonna have to decide what you value more another con is with slightly larger tens pitching options are kind of reduced larger tents mean fewer places they can be pitched and in my environment I have actually run into this fairly often there have been a few times where I've been in high elevation areas that are super Rocky or on the sides of mountains or there's just so much vegetation that there's barely enough room to lay down in those situations only a bivvy will do maybe a one person tent but certainly not a larger two-person tent that's certainly just not an option due to not having enough room to to pitch it for me this is not too big of a problem in the long run because if I'm in an area where I can't even pitch a two-person tent I'm not likely to be setting up a talk to serve five or six people anyway I'm much more likely to be setting up a very small observation post or something like that a much smaller footprint is just fine in those cases so it doesn't really bother me too much a larger size also means that a tent is harder to camouflage this is more of a factor for any other kind of Civilian tent you might find as we all know from the factors of recognition larger objects are harder to camouflage this isn't really that big of a deal if you are choosing between a one person and a two-person tent because a two-person tent is not that much larger than a one-person tent but if you are choosing between a two-person tent and say a three or a four person tent well that could mean a pretty substantial size difference depending on the shape and things like that so that's something to keep in mind when you were trying to pick a shelter option another Con in some situations is the camouflage rainfly again something that's really only specific to light fighter tents the camouflaged rainfly can raise a few eyebrows in some situations I haven't really run into this too much since multicam is really common these days but it might get you some attention if you're trying to use this tent in a more civilian role light fighter does offer coyote and green rain flies so that could be an option for you if you wanted to remain a little bit more low profile and not look super tactical these alternate colors are a bit harder to find sometimes but they do exist so that is an option if you wanted to go that route and finally this tent and basically every other tent except for the Eureka teacup this is not a blackout tint really the only blackout tints or sort of blackout tints that I know of are the Army's ICS and the Eureka t-cop so that's pretty much the only options you have to go with if you wanted to black out 10 to the is military grade the civilian Market is kind of catching up to blackout tents in some situations but really they're just kind of Chinese you know grade tents that are mostly polyester and not really worth investing in in my opinion at least now for me I would have preferred some kind of blackout capability with the light fighter series of tents as it stands really any light source can easily be seen through the rain fly which is kind of a problem in some situations I am kind of curious as to why light fighter did not incorporate a blackout capability with this kind of tint maybe of course it all comes down to what the government asked for so maybe as part of the procurement process the DoD said well you know maybe this isn't really that worth it anymore I I don't know I'm just kind of speculating but in any case this is kind of a downside for me at least however I do have a couple of solutions for this right now I have two or three different options on the drawing board to solve this issue for me at least so we'll have to get to that when we talk about the modifications you might want to make later now earlier I mentioned that the light fighter tensaries sort of fly first to design so let me explain what I mean and to do that let's get outside and set up this tent in the Rain the first step is to put down the ground sheet then you can take your spider pole and connect that to the ground sheet using the grommets provided usually I prefer to not stake down the ground sheet at this point but you might be forced to if it's too windy either way it's no problem to stake or not to stake is your choice note that all the while while we're getting all of this set up everything is getting wet water is collecting on the ground sheet the poles and the rain fly if your inner tent was exposed to this rainfall it would be soaking wet by the time you got everything clipped in once we have the rain fly and the doors staked out the Hasty Hooch setup is complete you can just use the tint like this or you can now add the inner tint again this is something that is not really advertised but it is a really neat feature that I personally use all the time once you and all of your gear is under the rainfly and out of the rain you can go to work putting up the inner tent remember the ground sheet is still very wet and probably muddy as well so you you can take some time to do a little bit of housekeeping before you get started this is why I tend to bring along a compact backpacking towel not only is this helpful for various Intergalactic emergencies but it's also handy to wipe down the ground sheet with this keeps your inner tint in pristine condition but if you are in a hurry you can omit this step if you want also an optional step at this point is taking off your shoes if the situation and time permits I'll take off my muddy boots to keep the inner tint as clean as possible in today's world I am very much interested in my gear lasting long Beyond its intended service life so keeping the inner tint as clean as possible is important to me when you're ready you can pull out the inner tint and start laying it out from the inside of the Hasty huge you can lay down and face one of the corners you want to start with you can reach into each Corner unfasten the pole tip attaching the inner tint and reattaching the ground sheet it seems a little finicky but it's really easy to get to no problem do this for all four corners and we're almost done the next step is to open one of the doors of the inner tent so that we have a place to work from now it's as simple as clipping in the clips one side at a time starting at the bottom and working your way up to the top the most finicky part of the whole setup is attaching the spider pole legs here at the top but there's enough play in the fabric in the poles to make this an easy job when you are done clipping everything in you'll find yourself inside the tent to take it down just do everything in Reverse if you are like me you will find that the ground sheet gets absolutely filthy so you might want to store this in a separate pouch from everything else or lash it to the outside of your rucksack along with the wet rain fly as we can see this is a very useful feature that I have found myself using all the time in the past I have sat in the rain debating whether or not I want to set up my tent now during an utter downpour or wait a few minutes and hope the rain eases up I've lost a lot of valuable time this way which is fine for a family camping trip but if I'm trying to make a radio contact to meet a calm window or if I'm trying to get a report written This Is Not Great by setting up the Hasty Hooch configuration first I can get my radio set up I Can Begin drying my gear I can even get some food cooking under a vestibule if I needed then when I have some time I can put the inner tint up in a less frantic fashion staying dry the entire time this is handy as well if you are in an area where you might have to break Camp decently quickly of course a tent like this is not the kind of shelter you're going to be using in a combat situation where you might take contact but this type of shelter is really helpful for situations where you might have 30 minutes notice that you have to move by only using the inner tint when you are sleeping or if you really need it that's one less thing to pack up in the dark if you know you're going to be stepping off early in the morning you can get up a few minutes early take down the inner tint while everyone else in your group is asleep and when you're ready to break Camp you've basically cut your work time in half since I prefer to hang out in Charlie's weather a lot of the time and therefore need some kind of tent shelter this feature alone makes this or any similar system Priceless so for now a lot of fighter series of tents is a good option for me but there are some things that can make this tint better and a little bit more capable so that's what we're going to take a look at next time the modifications you might want to make to any tint system if you plan on using it like I do moving forward when we talk about modifications I'll also show some various configurations that might be helpful for the prepared citizen there are a lot of different scenarios that the average citizen has to be prepared for now and having a good shelter system is usually a key part of maintaining capabilities and actually being able to do something when others are just barely getting by but for now this is a good start a long list of things to think about if you are trying to get the most capability for the least amount of effort as we have mentioned time and time again we really need to do a better job at easing the transition from an austere environment to a fully civilized world if I can work in a building at a desk with a computer with all of the amenities of civilization that's great but I also want to be able to transition to a completely off-grid operation without losing any capabilities and doing all of this day in and day out seamlessly with little effort is not the easiest thing in the world it certainly requires a lifestyle change that many people are not interested in but for those that do want to do something similar choosing the right gear based on your own needs is very very important especially if you have to fight in the shade
Intel Update · 2022-01-20

Jan 20 Intel Update: Cables and Corruption

hello again everyone welcome back to the underground this is the briefing for thursday the 20th of january 2022. sorry it's been a while since our last brief we have been super busy trying to work on a lot of communication stuff a lot of educational stuff that's going to be coming out sometime soon and of course uh the past at least two to three weeks have been filled with preparation for the ukrainian war which is looking more imminent with every passing moment as a result we're going to keep this brief light today and we're going to go ahead and skip past the stuff i normally talk about and just start with logistics so i really don't have that many specific logistics but if any of you have been to the grocery store over the past week or so you know that this is a common trend these days for whatever reason i don't know if this is a genuine shortage or if it's one of those manufactured shortages where a journalist writes a newspaper article or something on twitter and it starts trending and sooner or later everyone's out of everything but it's most certainly a very tangible thing that a lot of places are having shortages right now we're talking shortages of pretty much everything you could possibly imagine consumer goods meats fresh fresh food products uh all kinds of stuff and some of this in different areas can be attributed to staffing shortages other parts of it other areas of the country is really hard to tell what the logistical challenges are but just know that there are a lot of shortages i i simply cannot name them all you'll see a lot of things on on twitter like the the hashtag bear shelves biden is trending on twitter but unfortunately again these kinds of pictures don't really give us that much information they tell us a snapshot in time that that one specific area if someone even tells where the picture is it only gives us a snapshot and we don't really get a good idea of what's going on so somebody could take a picture like this and circulate it around social media and then you have to deal with man pictures of of things like the earlier shortages people saying oh look at you know look at my local grocery store and it turns out it's a picture from like three years ago it's really hard to tell this stuff um so yeah i hate to just kind of leave everybody hanging on the logistics front that oh yeah there's shortages of of what well everything um yeah so something to keep in mind as we start getting a lot of the winter weather for a lot of parts of the country you know that that normally brings about shortages and speci especially in areas like like where we're at where we don't normally get a lot of winter weather but we get just a little bit you know and everybody gets kind of crazy so something to keep in mind is logistic logistics is going to be a a problem for the foreseeable future at least at least for the next couple of weeks and we can talk about that a little bit when we go to critical infrastructure so one of the bigger items of critical infrastructure news coming out this week is the 5g rollout scandal scenario i don't really know what to call it basically what's happening is a lot of cell carriers are rolling out 5g in a lot of areas and foreign airlines are are actually boycotting flights to the united states so as a as of the past 24 hours we've seen many many many foreign airlines cancel flights to the united states in response to the rollout of 5g in larger parts of the united states so the reason for this is that at least in europe they have found that the radar altimeters or the radio altimeters or or different kinds of systems on board aircraft both fixed wing and rotary wing are being affected by 5g they think nobody really has put out any concrete data on it that i've seen so far it should be fairly simple you know what what bandwidth of the electromagnetic spectrum does 5g operate on and you know what bandwidth do you know aircraft systems operate on well you know aircraft are different so in any case what is the result of this is airlines are canceling flights so no american airline company has done anything as far as i've seen they're pushing back on it but they haven't actually canceled flights so yeah this has just kind of spun way out of control over the past 24 hours or so and it's become a really big deal really quickly even though 5g has been out in a lot of areas in the united states for a very long time now i mean where we're at we've had 5g for a very long time there's like a you know a 5g tower like like less than half a mile from where i live and you know it's it's been there for at least a year and a half now i think so you know i don't really know what the effects of this are going to be on aviation long term but i can tell you it is causing a lot of consternation within the aviation community specifically when it comes to foreign outside the united states aviation assets trying to have flights to the united states also number two they're keeping in the theme of logistics uh or at least disruptions there has been a rash of or rather i should say a lot of viral videos come out lately regarding los angeles rail theft so i'm sure a lot of you have seen the videos um if i can find a clip that i could think i can get away with putting on youtube i'll put it up but honestly it's everywhere it's on every social media app and platform nowadays you've probably seen the the pictures of these uh train uh derailments there was actually a train that was derailed that a lot of people are thinking is due to people trying to derail the train to stop it to get the consumer goods out of the shipping containers so yeah this is something that's like normally i wouldn't touch because it doesn't have a whole lot of intel value and it's just you know it tends to be one of those really inflammatory social issues it doesn't really have a whole lot of bearing on things um but it it just goes to show you the power of looting like you know it it's one thing to talk about you know so you know a lot of people hundreds of people going in and looting like a consumer goods store you know like a luxury goods store like a luxury clothing store or something like that and just running out with stuff well you know that just kind of speaks to the crime in the country or the crime in a specific area but now we're starting like when we're starting to see trains derailed so that people can steal amazon packages that's a big deal and i would i would be very surprised if the larger shipping companies specifically the rail companies themselves from an insurance standpoint their insurance companies might force them to start using different tracks in different shipping hubs so we'll see how this goes um this has been a problem in california specifically los angeles for a very long time i haven't really seen this be an issue anywhere else in the united states there have been a lot of train derailments and terrorist activity up in the pacific northwest i do know that that has gotten almost no press over the past couple of years but there have been quite a few incidences if you can search that on your own but yeah if we're starting to see trains derailed just so people can steal stuff yeah that's going to be a huge liability because trains are very expensive and they you know just because they're carrying amazon packages and on one car they might be carrying medication on the next car or petroleum on the next car or some kind of you know chemical substance you know somewhere on that train so again huge deal something to keep an eye on and yeah i guess we'll just have to watch and see what happens thirdly again something to keep in mind is cellular communication not being reliable now this is a again a very huge deal i feel like this is the brief of very huge deals uh because usually when we when we talk about things like censorship we're talking about things like social media and there's a reason for this because social media has found exceptions to telecommunications laws or different parts of us code that they can use as justification for censoring things for instance a lot of social media apps claim that they act as a publisher and a publisher can choose what content they host and what content they don't however a lot of people are of the opinion that a lot of social media are acting as public infrastructure and that you know kind of changes his rule well well here's the thing stop talking let's stop talking about social media for a second cellular communications telecommunications providers they are public utilities and public utilities that is a big no-no to sensor we're talking going all the way back to like the watergate stuff and wiretaps that's how far back this legislation goes when it comes to specifically telecommunications providers either censoring or tapping or surveilling different kinds of communications so while the you know the social media stuff social media censorship that's relatively new as of the past 10 years or so this uh cellular cellular communication and telecom agencies in general are very much uh have very strict rules when it comes to this so when you've got uh like t-mobile is one of the bigger ones that says hey we have the right to censor your text messages well no you don't there's a whole stack of us you know code that says you can't do that but they're continuing to do that so again this is a a much larger thing that is worth paying attention to because i i really don't think a whole lot of people think about their text messages being you know censored like we we all kind of this is 2022 right we all kind of know that there's federal surveillance on pretty much every communications platform there is but when it comes to a cellular company choosing to not let a link go through that's a big deal and then like i also mentioned number four there wrapping up our critical infrastructure stuff again we're going to talk ukraine in a specific series we're going to launch another series on that depending on how things go but the short version of why the ukrainian conflict matters for united states infrastructure is that in the united states critical infrastructure particularly when it comes to cyber uh stuff that's a vulnerability there are lots of vulnerabilities in the cyber realm and russia may seek to capitalize on those vulnerabilities as a way of weakening the united states even further and kind of using that as a way to you know pump the brakes on us interactions basically russia is very much fond lately at least their senior military leadership is fond of giving warnings and things like that so we might see you know a pipeline go offline we might see an electrical grid go down and uh and that might be russia's way of saying hey stay out or else we're gonna do worse so we'll come back to that i guess when we talk about ukraine a little bit later but um yeah lots of vulnerabilities for our critical infrastructure these days and there's not really a whole lot we can do about it i guess except be prepared on an individual level moving on to significant governmental actions one of the most uh significant events that has occurred has been the supreme court overruling biden's medical mandates when it comes to uh private companies 100 persons or more i haven't read through the actual verdict yet i haven't read the opinion that the supreme court has put forward on it yet but it looks like the mandate for medical workers can stay and the mandate for everybody else has to kind of go away we're seeing a lot of things that are going to affect different communities very differently with this and here's what i mean um what the supreme court has said and i have to look at the wording again to confirm but from what i can tell it seems like of course this is all opinion anyway uh it seems like the supreme court says hey if you work in health care you have to get the jab because of medicare or medicaid funding if you work at an institution that gets that you have to get a job because of that i'm not quite sure how solid that logic is but it's i mean i think that's what they're trying to say again there's an entire field of law dedicated to just just kind of interpreting what the supreme court says because they never really do anything specific they always do broad brush broad brush stuff and lower courts have to interpret supreme court rulings so i have no doubt that this will occur specifically because a lot of health care workers are very upset about this as one might imagine because essentially the supreme court is saying in a de facto way is that depending on your job you have no rights to what to what you want to put in your own body if you work in a certain job you don't have that right to choose and that's kind of a dangerous precedent now again how other courts interpret this i don't know i don't have the bandwidth to kind of figure this stuff out i'm definitely no no expert on the law or or even a novice in the law i'm a complete neophyte when it comes to this kind of stuff but i can tell you that this is going to cause a lot of problems within the healthcare community because hospitals are going to crack down on this and healthcare workers are going to have very little leg to stand on so when it comes to an intel perspective this means that we're going to start seeing certain hospitals in certain areas usually probably major cities are going to have a lot of healthcare workers just leave and say it's not worth fighting this fight anymore so you're going to have a lot of service interruptions as a result of this now on the other side of that when it comes to the private private company stuff we're starting to see a lot of companies uh specifically companies that are sort of in the the the federal sphere like defense contractors and things like that saying okay the supreme court says that the federal government doesn't have to mandate it but they didn't say anything about us mandating it so we're going to mandate it still as a company and you know there you go it's like well what do you you know what do you do what do you do about that and then again also we have press releases from from the white house saying yeah i don't worry about the supreme court's ruling we're just go ahead with the mandates like i don't know i really don't know what to think about the rule of law these days i don't know if if any of it any shred of it exists left anymore so either way something also along the the avenues of the white house is the concrete wall that the white house has put up so again not really a whole lot of intel value here other than this just kind of happened so it's just like like a news note but i do think that when it comes to what the interpretations of why they would have put the wall up uh yeah why would the white house put a concrete wall up well it's because they're scared so they think there's a vulnerability there and they want to patch that vulnerability why did the vulnerability did the vulnerability was it always there or was it is it a new vulnerability i don't know there's a lot of protests coming up uh in at the end of the month here so maybe that has something to do with it i don't know i'm more inclined to think that it's just the increasing of the military-industrial complex uh and the fortification of our public infrastructure when it comes to you know the political elites that's what i really think it is moving on kind of moving back to the jab stuff uh we're starting to see an interesting trend come out of california and as we all know if it happens in california and it's kind of totalitarian sounding it's going to make its way to other places too is it's very interesting a lot of places in california are saying that essentially if you are jabbed and you still get the medical condition right if you're you're fully jabbed you've got however many um doses we're on now if you get that and you're all current on that and you still get get sick you can come back to work but if you are unjabbed um and you know you're healthy you don't have any kind of sickness um clean out your desk essentially so it's one of those things that kind of proves that this has nothing to do with any kind of you know medical science or anything like that it's really just affecting the the economics as a way to conduct economic warfare and starve out political enemies and stuff like that so again something to keep your eye on because every time i look at something and i say man that's that's kind of totalitarian i bet you it'll it'll make its way around the united states pretty soon so we'll we'll be on the lookout for that and then moving down to number four there uh congress uh actually had a report released uh this was um uh this is actually also been making its rounds on the kind of alternate news sites is that a lot of congress people actually beat the market when it comes to trading so essentially what people are saying is that there's a there's an average for what the market does and generally speaking of course again not a financial expert whatsoever here generally speaking if you do better than what the uh markets average is um that looks a little bad looks highly suspect it almost looks like you knew or had some kind of insider trading stuff going on there and a lot of congress people were up were were apparently you know doing that kind of stuff so a lot of congress people both republicans and democrats alike it's very very much equally split somehow miraculously made a lot of money when the market was doing very poorly so again this is kind of just like more homework for later but if you want to check that out i think it's kind of interesting but again not really a whole lot of intel value there except for you know i guess you know check out your politician to see where they rank on the list and then moving down to number five again this is one a a can of worms that i can't really get into much because it would just take too much time and that is has been the testimony regarding the fbi and the j6 congressional hearings uh really i think the most interesting part that has come out of that so far i personally haven't been following that very much because i think it's all just political theater but interestingly enough the fbi has pleaded the fifth uh the fifth amendment they've invoked their fifth amendment rights as an organization regarding their involvement in uh the jace january 6th whatever you want to call it i think that's interesting because uh there it's just it seems like how um it seems like the fbi probably had a larger role than what they're uh what they're letting on and i would be very interested to see what comes out of this months down the line but again right now it's all speculation none of this is really any has any concrete stuff so uh it's really hard to to say what the fbi did or what they had going on but i think that we can all kind of i think it's a softball assessment to say yeah the fbi was probably planning a lot of this so very interesting stuff indeed and continuing on there to number seven uh the biden regime recently as in the past couple weeks has given the taliban government uh of afghanistan 308 million dollars this is actually brings their total up to 782 million dollars since the fall of afghanistan so again it's very interesting to see where the where the biden regime chooses to spend their money they're obviously saying that it's for humanitarian reasons to prevent mass starvation but again as we all know time and time again it you know watch the movie blackhawk down and you know how giving money to a warlord works out uh we've seen a very large contingent of training operations being conducted by the taliban in afghanistan lots of different military academies that they have set up since the fall of afghanistan lots of special forces units being stood up the taliban is most certainly not just a group of dirt farmers anymore and they're taking advantage of all of the resources that we left behind and continue to give them in the form of hundreds of millions of dollars moving on to number eight there massachusetts has uh launched a digital passport for the you-know-what um and i think this is interesting this one caught my eye because it it states that from what i can tell it looks like most of the digital passport efforts are essentially just a digitization of a scan of an actual card right an actual like paper card and that's really all it is for the most part you see a lot of apps in the app store for things like that and it's really just a a a website that brings up the pdf that you've scanned in before however the massachusetts one i need to do some more digging on this because i'm not entirely certain it sounds to me like there's a lot of medical provider support for this as in there might be again don't quote me on this because i'm not quite sure because all of the mainstream news articles i've read on this which by the way is the only sources you can find on this a lot of these mainstream articles are very vague as to where they're getting the information but the reason that it kind of brings us up is a lot of people have found that their records aren't showing up and it's just kind of a sucky app and it doesn't work that well which is no surprise considering it's a government-built app right but the interesting part is that a lot of people are citing that hey you know they should have been able to pull this from my doctor like why is this not working and that kind of makes somebody like me think hmm does this mean that medical providers are cooperating with this and providing hipaa protected documents to an app that you know people might not know about i don't know we'll have to look into it more but i just wanted to kind of give you the heads up and again number nine there really no intel value for this i just thought it was interesting that nancy pelosi's son has been tied to a quite large criminal syndicate you can look into this stuff just you know search for nancy pelosi's son you can actually google it and actually it comes up in google shockingly enough uh but the interesting part about it is that uh it seems like there might be some stuff with nancy in there too i don't know i don't really care when it comes to politicians honestly i just thought it was interesting so if you guys find interesting there you go all right so moving quickly through our national guard slides here in the northeast region we have quite a few updates actually this is the most significant updates for the country i have been for massachusetts and maryland so again if you recall a few months ago or yeah several weeks ago now massachusetts actually declared you know mission accomplished right and they sent everybody home well now they're activating 500 personnel yet again to help with area hospitals for this whatever wave we're on now um of this of this stuff right so again we're not seeing hospitals being overwhelmed we're not finding any evidence of that whatsoever really anywhere in the country to be honest but there we go again 500 personnel in massachusetts have been activated at least according to the governor's office again you know one of the main reasons that we're providing this information is to kind of highlight the normalization of deploying significant numbers of troops on u.s soil for seemingly no reason whatsoever so again if you're in massachusetts just know that a lot of your hospitals are going to have a lot of service members you know working there doing various tasks and stuff like that maryland is a slightly different story i need to do a lot more research on this again not enough hours in the day right but the maryland deployment seems to be a lot more significant i don't have numbers at this time but it seems like it's quite a large deployment we're also seeing a slight change in the wording of the mission and i don't know if this is because of maryland's governor just not um speaking so eloquently when it comes to the mission during press releases or if this is something more nefarious i don't know what the deal is but it seems like the soldiers that are deployed in the state of maryland will have a more active role than just helping out at a hospital it seems like um you know we're getting reports of you know door-to-door efforts potentially we're seeing reports of you know jab stations being set up and all kinds of medical temporary medical facilities going up again i don't really know what the deal is i guess we'll have to wait and see what actually shakes out but it seems like the the maryland deployment is a lot more a lot more hands-on uh the governor himself has stated that a lot of national guard are going to be called upon to physically go out to places like nursing homes and uh offer medication and things like that so we'll keep an eye on it we'll let you know when we have more information i wish i had more right now but that's all we've got down southeast really no change whatsoever several states have activated their national guards for various things but really the numbers are pretty much the same same with the midwest no change there and for the southwest there have been a few incidences with the soldiers in texas so again we're starting to see if you guys recall the incidents with oregon with a lot of national guard service members and senior military claiming that the the the political leadership of oregon was simply deploying the national guard just as a political means and we're starting to see inklings of that right now um actually that's putting it lightly we're seeing a lot we're seeing a lot of complaints from um very junior soldiers as well as commanders and we're seeing a lot of people complaining that this is just kind of a bs mission at this point that greg abbott is keeping people down at the border in very squalid and horrifying conditions just to serve as like a political you know finger right to the biden regime so i guess we'll have to see how this works out but we're getting report after report after report uh from soldiers down there stating that they're basically living in uh worse than incarceration conditions um and we've seen a lot of photos and it's yeah it looks it looks pretty bad so you know again greg have its own numbers state that we're talking roughly 10 000 army national guard slash state guard slash department of public safety guys in this theater of operations for operation lone star and it looks like this is doing a lot more harm than good especially when we start starting to see more incidences between the soldiers and the civilian populace or the cartel down there this just uh we're starting to see a lot more incidents regarding that then moving out west uh speaking of oregon uh like i mentioned oregon has a history of their political leadership abusing the army national guard and air national guard assets of the state for political reasons or at least so the service members have been complaining well apparently they haven't learned their lesson because there is a new push in oregon to deploy soldiers yet again uh to state area hospitals so this actually occurred over the you know past couple of weeks between the last brief and now we have in oregon over 1200 soldiers and airmen deployed around the state to various hospitals and stuff like that and um yeah i guess we'll have to see if if they're treated any better this time but yeah it certainly seems like it's more political than not so again that's our national guard outlook or rather wrap up for this brief moving on to the k-12 public school slides uh there is one update that that i haven't changed on the slide yet but i wanted to speak to and that is virginia so for those of you who don't know virginia got a new governor and on the very first day has signed a lot of executive orders banning mask mandates uh launching inve the new attorney general uh there in virginia is launching a lot of investigations regarding the mistreatment of of thing of children and things like that so i haven't actually looked at what has been done so i didn't want to change the slide just yet so i don't know if how this is going to work out because as we know right this slide is misleading in in and of itself because a lot of states don't have legislation that either bans or mandates masks being worn in public schools but schools do like for instance texas is kind of one of those states where for a time period there remember a couple months ago texas had a a ban on mass mandates and yet like 90 percent of all the school districts in texas were mandating masks so it's like what what what's going on here um you know south carolina's still kind of in that situation and virginia might be in that situation now so we've got to drill down and do more uh work to figure out what's going on in virginia there likewise with the the actual jab mandates no real change there we're starting to see a lot more resistance in california as one might expect so that state might actually be turning a different color here very soon but i guess we'll have to see and then finally for the kind of overall resistance tracker sort of thing that we've got going on here is uh the only thing i changed is virginia i changed that to green just because of again all of the efforts that have been undertaken by the recent state political leadership of virginia to reverse a lot of the stuff that the previous administration did so this might be all a farce i don't know we'll have to see how this stuff works out in the end but right now um you know the commander in chief of the virginia national guard is is doing some pretty decent stuff to reverse a lot of this stuff now again we'll have to see how this works out but as far as on paper goes it seems like virginia's moving in the right direction then moving on to mandate failures i haven't actually changed this slide but there is one update that i forgot to add to it and that is general electric so this is a big one general electric has um in the wake of the supreme court's decision to go against biden's mandates general electric has come to come out and said yeah we're not gonna mandate this stuff anymore and this is interesting you can kind of see which companies you know basically had the metaphorical gun to their head when it came to the mandates because general electric clearly had a workforce that was very resistant to it you know general electric is one of the largest employers in the country and so as one might expect you know in the field of general electric they're not going to be super happy about you know medical mandates and stuff but general electric being a federal contractor and having again a very good chunk of their uh profits coming from the federal government they're you know in a you know between a rock and a hard place and of course you know they chose the side of the government which is telling enough but i also think it's interesting that as soon as the supreme court came out and said anything against the biden regime general electric ran away from the federal government as fast as possible at least when it comes to these mandates you can see some other companies too and see what they want to do the companies that went out and instantly dropped their mandates due to the supreme court's decision those are interesting to look into a little bit more and i also think that the companies that uh haven't issued a statement or they haven't changed or they've doubled down on their mandate since the supreme court uh came out with their decision that's that's also telling as well and moving into international issues i really only have just a handful of stuff because like like i mentioned the past few weeks have just been filled with ukraine stuff um but uh one of the bigger ones is scotland so scotland has um been revoking medical treatment for expectant mothers if they are not jabbed and that has been something that has been rolling through the news outlets in the uk for a while now i'm going to be very interested to see how that works out because it seems like it seems like the united kingdom is kind of backing down from their stuff uh you know old boris uh he's he's gotten himself into a lot of trouble lately uh with what with um being uh confirmed to be at parties and hosting parties right when uh he was you know giving testimony before parliament uh regarding how dangerous and bad and you know winter of severe death and illness or whatever whatever he's been saying to the british population uh so yeah he's uh really having a hard time uh maintaining a a sort of straight face when it comes to all this stuff because it's really kind of obvious that it's just about totalitarianism at this point so we'll see how long this lasts the uk has had some a lot of resistance lately so again we'll see how scotland is able to pull that one out and then moving on speaking of medical resistance italy has also been very very vocal at least the italian people have been very very vocal and uh physical regarding their resistance to medical mandates as have been a lot of places around europe so again we're seeing some places double down like france has doubled down with with their medical tyranny but other countries um have have been quietly like backing off because they they see the power of the people i guess but um and then jumping back to europe for a second like i mentioned totalitarianism huge huge thing in europe these days uh specifically in germany and austria which have become really the poster child for how to violently crack down and hurt as many civilians as you possibly can if you're a government force so the german police and the austrian police have been observed to commit many many crimes against their people uh at least from what we can see just to you know force their tyranny on on people and uh people are uh people are not happy about that now as someone who has um uh spent some time in germany i've studied germany quite a lot i speak german it's uh not surprising whatsoever to see the stuff that is happening uh in germany right now their history um even though from an american perspective we like to make jokes about it right uh it's really it's really a cultural thing at this point i think and it's going to be very interesting to see what kind of resistance efforts come out of germany and austria as well two countries which honestly are very very different when it comes to the cultures of them but their governments as of late have been very very similar uh in the totalitarianism regard but again interesting interesting stuff to look up and then finally north korea our our fun little buddy out of the northern peninsula there has been up to no good with launching lots and lots of projectiles into the sea of japan um as of late so again i think that north korea is kind of a an international case study in just weird stuff right i don't think that you can look at north korea and and think that that's any kind of doctrine it's very it's a very special case study so when north korea launches missiles and things like that everybody looks and goes oh my god you know north korea is you know you know whatever well you know north korea is kind of a case study honestly their their their population is starving to death their political leadership is like the most comical bond villains you could possibly imagine and their technological capabilities while impressive in the regard that they can take old soviet equipment and duplicate it is not really something i would consider a major threat now that being said someone clearly thinks otherwise in the faa because a couple weeks ago there was a a national or i should say it wasn't a national it was just for the west coast grounds stop from the faa which was confusing for a lot of people and again i should point out this is very speculative because right at the time of a north korean missile launch is when the national grounds stop was initiated and a lot of people have been kind of confused by this they were everyone was confused at the time listening to police scanners of local areas and airports trying to figure out what's going on why the faa issue a ground stop has there been some kind of attack or something like that nobody could figure it out well a few hours later we find out north korea had launched a missile right during that kind of time frame so i don't know if this was some kind of emergency u.s military response that we they kind of let the cat out of the bag on or because they thought that maybe based on the trajectory of the missile that it might come close to u.s i don't know north korea is going to be very hard pressed to get a missile that far and even then we're going to have so much warning it's it's crazy um so i don't really consider north korea a direct threat to the united states and most analysts would agree it's you know north korea is definitely a threat to places like japan but you know as far as a north korean nuke landing in my backyard i'm not exactly holding my breath on that one but it's interesting to see the u.s response nonetheless if that in fact was a response and finally before i ended i wanted to talk about russia and ukraine for a bit because uh that has really been on my brain for the past few months now and especially i haven't been able i haven't really been thinking about much else other than ukraine lately as of the past couple of weeks and that's because we've seen a lot of very scary stuff happen let me put it to you this way as an analyst you try to you go through and a lot of times try to think of well what would world war three look like or what would something what would a gl mass global conflict look like what would be the early indications and warnings of such such an event like what would be the worst case scenario of stuff like that and um every analyst does this regardless of whether or not they want to admit it or not everybody has an end of the world plan or thinks about it at least because that's just kind of the you know nature of the job i guess but for me and for the rest of the team here we've seen some really scary stuff and i'm going to start off with the biggest one which is the norwegian communications cable being cut let me just say this is a this is a big freaking deal so for those of you that don't understand most of the communications on planet earth if you're wanting to get we're talking the internet military communications every basically every byte of information that that is um transits around the world has to go through communications cables right maybe not so much in the united states like you can probably send an email from california from a computer in california to a computer in new york and it never transit on a submarine cable a submarine cable meaning it's a cable that's under water like an undersea cable but for the most part these communications cables are the lifeblood of the human race essentially if you want information it's going to come from an underwater cable usually only just a few cables honestly so for instance the united kingdom is kind of freaking out right now because they're an island nation and they've only got a few cables going from the united kingdom across the english channel into europe and just a few days ago or i think a couple weeks ago now norway revealed that one of their submarine cables one of their undersea cables between the mainland and the svalbard archipelago which housed a satellite communications station had been cut um and that it and that not only had it been cut but it was like obviously cut in such a way that it was obviously a a man-made thing the ends of the cable were were many many meters apart it was most certainly not a geologic event because again cables on the literally laying on the sea floor they're heavily armored they're usually got you know many many inches of steel armor wrapped around them because geologic events occur underwater earthquakes and underwater like landslides and things like that can cut cables pretty easily and that happens fairly often um it happened a few years ago as a pretty big incident with the united states if i recall i had one of our cables cut that way and it was it was totally a natural event but this one was is definitely a uh is definitely a man-made thing so so the norwegians say and the reason for bringing this up is that russia over the since the cold war since the end of the cold war has pumped trillions and trillions of dollars into their undersea they call it oceanographic research uh branch of their navy so um we all know how the us navy works right or roughly speaking we have us navy sailors on u.s navy ships and we sometimes have you know merchant marines on naval ships and we have naval support ships like like hospital ships and oilers and things like that well the russians have an entire directorate that's basically like a naval version of the cia and their sole goal is to do secret squirrel stuff on the sea floor now we can get into this a lot further recently uh this has been a very hard topic to talk about or actually sorry in the past this has been a very hard topic to talk about only recently has this been talked about openly before but again this is very much a topic for another time the larger point here is that i personally can't think of any time when the russians would have actually cut a cable they've tapped a few cables they've tried to tap a few cables to tap into them literally like sending little mini submarines down with little arms on them that grab these cables and drill into them to kind of collect intelligence from them they've done that before but i've and they've practiced cutting cables uh because the reason this is all important is that one of the main kind of triggers for world war three or a very global conflict with russia being a major belligerent of that conflict is for russia to cut undersea cables essentially that's how you're going to know that world war iii has started when the internet just dies you have no communications whatsoever because you know 30 or 40 different undersea cables are all cut all at once that's kind of you know worst case world war three scenario um and one of these cables has been cut um very deliberately and this is something that is i'm sure this woke up a lot of dudes in the middle of the night and put them on planes because this is again i cannot state how how big of a deal this is now as far as any other cables i'm sure that other countries navies are inspecting uh their cables at the moment but again this takes months to do and this honestly since it was so deliberate this might have been one of those warnings like you know again to the western world hey don't mess with us in ukraine or else we're going to cut you know all of your cables next time because if you remember russia doesn't need communications cables they're the largest country on earth they you know have land-based systems whereas europe is very much you know has a lot of maritime space that that it occupies and that kind of ties into what i was mentioning earlier about the united states uh the vulnerabilities to the united states is that like hey if russia cut this cable let's just say they're the ones who did it and if they did it to serve as a warning to europe to stay out of its way with ukraine then you know i i can't imagine them not doing some kind of cyber stuff here in the united states so again that's why all of this stuff is kind of important to keep an eye on not just because this you know might spin out of control but also because we have direct impacts to the united states as well also briefly want to mention kazakhstan kazakhstan that that by the time that we had gotten slides together to talk about it it was already over essentially there was a coup that occurred in kazakhstan to kind of overthrow their dictator government and that coup was put down conveniently because russia sent a lot of airborne troops in at the request of the kazakhstan government to kind of help put that down and this matters for the airborne operations in ukraine because now those soldiers are currently free to invade ukraine or provide support for that and then finally with ukraine again i'm going to have a separate brief on this but the one thing that i did want to touch on is the possibility of a false flag attack now this is an important thing to note that i've been looking at a lot of russian media and uh russian sources along with american sources and they both say the same thing both sides both the western world and russia have have accused each other of planning false flag attacks to justify uh some kind of incursion polite word for invasion over the next 24-48 hours now as far as the united states planning a false flag attack to justify the united states backing up ukraine i think that's kind of a laughable concept the united states has done everything they possibly can to openly state that we're not going to support ukraine that is very much something that we have done i think that it's laughable for us to assume that we're going to do anything more than sends us some special forces maybe some equipment maybe um that even then the united kingdom is having to pick up the slack and send a lot of atgms to ukraine right now so again the united states is very much not interested in defending or helping defend ukraine which for whatever reason you know you can argue you can make arguments of of like hey we have this historical agreement that uh we you know said hey we we bought all of ukraine's or or forced ukraine to de-arm at the um with the agreement in mind that we would come to ukraine's aid uh militarily should they should russia get squirrely and you know the time has come ukraine did their part they disarmed themselves which i'm sure they're regretting now and the united states has not held up our end of the bargain but again i guess we can debate that another day when it comes to the actual false flag attacks reasoning uh i think russia has far more motive obviously they have more motive to conduct a false flag attack uh to justify their incursion slash invasion into the rest of ukraine because as we remember uh the question is not is russia going to invade ukraine because russia has already invaded ukraine eight percent of the ukrainian land mass is now part of the russian federation russia invaded ukraine in 2014 and that's just been the way it is since then the question is how much are they going to invade this time they're they going to launch another push to take even more of ukraine a lot of people are saying that these false flag attacks on both sides of the aisle are going to be kind of the go no go criteria for uh this invasion meaning that if russia can't pull off this this false flag attack they're going to wait until next year because the spring thaw is going to make it very difficult to maneuver in the ukrainian countryside once once everything starts getting muddy again and that would give ukraine the advantage i think me personally i don't think i think that was a valid argument a while back i don't think so now because i think that russia has stacked up they've invested too much too many resources now for them to for them to back down so i guess we'll have to see how it shakes out though but another thing that i wanted to mention is the not petya cyber attack now this was a cyber attack that got zero uh coverage in the u.s press but got a lot in the european press because of the uh petya cyber attacks from before so this is again a russian-based cyber cyber group launched a series of devastating cyber attacks on critical infrastructure in ukraine over the past couple of days now these attacks are very interesting because unlike the petya cyber attacks these are not or they were not intended to be ransomware they were intended to look like ransomware so that a person would think oh okay they're just trying to steal money from us while at the same time the the cyber attack was actually destroying stuff so this is one of those hard wartime like cyber attacks like our full you know cyber warfare stuff of destroying systems with no intention of getting money out of it whatsoever so that's interesting and yet yet another indicator that russia they mean business this time so again like i mentioned we're going to have a whole separate thing on ukraine here in just a bit for those of you who want to follow that conflict like i mentioned to the to the folks on patreon earlier uh we're kind of treating this like in afghanistan 2.0 with regards to the fact that there are americans in ukraine that probably would want to get out of ukraine if it were to be invaded by an invading force which is notorious for taking no prisoners so again if you think afghanistan was bad man just just wait because the ukrainian conflict has been very bad so far and we're just getting started so again as to the grand question that everyone's asking will russia do it i don't know nobody knows anybody who tries to tell you they know is lying to you or they're just guessing right now it's a 50 50 shot but i would i would argue that um or i would rather say that we're spending a lot of time making maps downloading imagery putting either products uh stuff like that because it's uh it's looking like it's an impossible uh impossible action for russia to step down at this point from this so it looks like it's it's not an if but when um and we you know again we might be fools and we might uh all look at this differently but hey it's better to prepare and have wasted a little effort making a map than it would be to uh to watch this on cnn so we'll keep moving forward and we'll uh catch you on the next brief um thank you again to everyone who has supported us it really helps keep the lights on here uh with regards to what we're able to do and capa
S2 briefing · 2020-08-08

The Hiding Times?

[Music] hello again everybody and welcome back to the underground so today we've got kind of a very controversial topic um this is something that we've been working on and thinking about for a very very long time and it's not necessarily a topic that we're covering for a dire need so much as the fact that we're we're sort of oddly fascinated by these you know really unique sort of survival situations and and um circumstances that are very very difficult to you know thrive in uh so we've taken a special interest in that over the years and we'll dive into that a little bit later but also due to a few different reasons um mostly due to the societal um i guess turmoil is perhaps a way to put it that is sort of sprung up around not just around the us but around the world so we wanted to take a sort of scientific approach or if if we can't be you know scientists and maybe we can be historians and kind of and kind of walk through uh what is a very very controversial topic like i said and the topic we're gonna be covering today is how and and when to begin thinking about uh perhaps uh hiding or or surviving or making it through a difficult time and you know we're not of course saying that we should go out and start you know hiding people in our attics or anything um but it is kind of something that's interesting to think about and it's in and we haven't seen anybody really talk about this in a sort of other than a reverent way of remembering history we haven't really seen anybody talk about this topic in a 21st century context so that's what we're going to try to talk about today and you know of course when we start talking about this these are some of the questions that we get um mostly the fact that you know when you start talking about um concealing people or or supplies or cashing things inside your home or other places um people tend to look at you a little funny even people who are you know hardcore preppers or or survivalists or or even you know like some criminal elements tend to look at you a little bit weird if you're a perfectly sane person who's trying to um or or even just thinking about um perhaps hiding from the authorities in such a way that's um to prevent a sort of an atrocity from happening and we sort of walk that fine line because as we see we're gonna have to talk about some things that aren't necessarily strictly legal when we think about hiding people in our homes we of course go back to the anne frank example and we must remember that during the time period that that scenario went um down we must always keep in the back of our mind that you know otto frank and and his family were the criminals in that aspect and the people that were hunting them down uh to murder them they were perfectly within the law so we're gonna of course not encourage anybody to do anything illegal um and we're not if we're you know once again i can't stress this enough we're not you know encouraging people to be extremely paranoid but with that caveat this is an interesting topic to think about uh and it's it's definitely worth talking about in today's society especially with with everything that's going on so um as a good jumping off point we we must remember that this is something that the us government excels in and this is what this image is now i would not expect anyone to recognize this group of barrel-chested freedom fighters if you did they were not doing their job correctly so let's go to another image and this is the same image of these gentlemen during the 70s and 80s no one really knows when this image was taken but once again they're not really well known you should not be able to recognize these gentlemen and that's because these guys were the first uh special forces for the united states military now this was the very beginning of a very special kind of special forces when they were first created they were called operational detachments and these guys were first were part of this group called the operational detachment alpha they're still called odas today so you've probably heard us mention odas or or being on an oda in some of our previous content but while a lot of people will call these guys you know being on an oda most people would know them as green berets so these guys were part of the very very first green beret units and their mission was not to uh you know be inserted behind enemy lines in vietnam like you know a certain john wayne movie that we all know for sort of bringing forth the popularity of the green berets their mission was very was one uh very simple one and other than standing guard and you know performing security functions their goal their mission was to in the event of a soviet takeover of um west germany they would be able to stay behind let the soviet union and the soviet troops steamrolled through their area and then caused a lot of havoc they would lead the resistance afterwards they were what we now know as stay behind forces this concept is not new this goes back to way before world war ii but i highly suggest you look into this concept yourself because we can't really talk more about uh stay behind forces and the things we're doing in today's military because a lot of that stuff is still classified even though it happened a long time ago and is pretty much common knowledge um you're gonna have to research that on your own we may have a separate video on that later but it's kind of hard for us to talk about uh sort of stay behind forces and things like that so just know that even though the topic we're talking about today seems to be a very very very paranoid very very last ditch like oh this will never happen type scenario just be just you know be mindful of the fact that the us military has been training and specializing uh special forces uh detachments in this exact topic for a very very long time so that's where we're coming at it from we're not coming at it from a sort of survivalist or prepper angle i know we've said it many many times before but i myself is too actual and i don't think most of the people here associated with the esg underground we don't classify ourselves as being preppers but we do like to be a little bit more prepared for things that that may happen down the line and you know our sort of motto here is be an asset not a liability so be an asset to your team be an asset to uh your neighborhood your friends your family don't be a liability so that's what we're coming at it from that so hopefully that will put people in the right mindset for what the difficult topic we have to cover today so this is one of the um the clinchers um so when we think about an invasion or when we think about a a tyrannical government contemplating something as atrocious as genocide we have to realize that history is is um history has a long memory right so we have lots of cases where this is you know the case everything from somalia to you know afghanistan when the taliban took over you know afghanistan used to be a a very very prominent ski resort in a heavily westernized area same thing with iran you know iran they were a very westernized society and then a lot of political changes took place and now they're known uh they're very infamous for different reasons so one of the big questions that we get all the time is should i leave or should i not leave like when do i know when it's right to leave my country when do i know it's right to egress from my area and to be honest the answer is very very difficult however we can say that usually you make the decision way too late to do anything about it anyway and also usually it's very very easy to leave a country that's in strife um like it's very easy to leave you know rwanda like going back to the rwanda genocide it was very easy for europeans to leave that country even as the genocide was in full swing it was pretty easy to do um to get on that planet out of kigali to to to get back to europe or the u.s or wherever um but if you were a refugee uh it's easy to leave the country just walk out of it because the borders were open but it's a little bit more difficult to figure out where to stay long-term so the chances are if you ever have the the question in your mind of should i leave my nation and flee to another country that's it's more a little bit more stable you know should i leave rwanda in the summer of 1993 or 1994. you know should i leave in 1993 in the fall before the genocide occurs next spring next summer um you know that's hindsight is very easy to make the decisions but during the time period is hard to say and here's the other bigger question can it happen in the united states because usually when we're talking about leaving a tyrannical country leaving a dictatorial country leaving a country where there's an authority you know an authoritarian government a regime that's you know maybe committing acts of genocide or or you know something as atrocious as that or even just discriminating against a a population of people um can it should we leave the us um and the answer is uh for the most part that we've determined is no uh the united states is usually you know people don't tend to leave the united states because it's too tyrannical people don't tend to leave the united states because it's you know an authoritarian enough an authoritarian regime um it's you know the united states is sort of the goal to get to um so we don't have an answer for that um and we're not really sure that any of this sort of stuff applies to the united states you know we try to talk about various levels of um of hiding things and we do have a an example from the us but the kid that the problem is is that we just don't know and this is kind of an intelligence gap that we have and it's not that we don't lack uh the the gut feeling it's just that we don't have a good example for this and you know just to kind of hammer it home we can't mention this by name in the video or else youtube will flag this and take it down but obviously right now uh the reason we're even talking about this in the first place is not necessarily this thing that we have here on the screen but the impacts of it right so we're seeing people that are you know we hate to say these things out loud because when we say them out loud it tends to make it sound like we're making this stuff up and the the blanket truth and the the blunt and harsh truth is that around the united states people are being arrested for being outside during the wrong time of day people are having their children taken away from them because they may be sick or they you know refuse to quarantine people are being arrested left and right for opening up businesses being in parks not wearing masks so you know and and it's not that it's not that it's happening on a widespread scale because we can't know that like i i can't know how many people are being arrested every day because of this it may just be one or two or maybe one or two thousand but i'm saying that the fact that it's happening at all shows that it's maybe time to start thinking about these things it may not be time to uh start building things like we're going to be talking about here in a minute but it's definitely worth you know thinking about that's all we're trying to do with this video is get people to think um and sort of share ideas and and spread knowledge right now because right now it may not be the time to go you know quit your job and stock up food and hide in your attic for a couple years it may not be time for that but it is definitely the time for learning and it's definitely the time for thinking right so that's why we're sort of talking about this so that with that being said and with that long sort of disclaimer being said hopefully we haven't turned anybody off but these are our goals right is to quote you know quote unquote fill the sandbags before the rain right because by the time it starts sprinkling it's too late to start filling sandbags for the most part uh to stick with the analogy of a flood um but i'll just read this out for people who may be listening on the podcast our our first goal is to to have the capabilities to hold out until societal political and economic pressures subside uh therefore returning to a more stable period in time and for this we want people to think in their mind you know think about maintaining operations through prohibition think about all those bars and those speakeasies that sort of popped up and maintain operations through prohibition it was only for a very very short period of time but prohibition was such a drastic thing that it literally altered our constitution right so people tend to you know jump to uh the the the nazi you know uh allegory but you know prohibition is is not to be uh not to be misled either so that's our first goal and our second goal is more serious right our second goal is to be immediately prepared to not only be self-sufficient but also to provide aid shelter supplies to others in the event of a more serious collapse-like situation and for this category we're thinking you know thinking about surviving the rwandan genocide the rwandan genocide was a very very quick event when it comes to uh genocides now granted it did take many many months to kill those hundreds of thousands of people however the from the very very start right from the sort of burundian genocide which kind of kicked everything off and sort of uh you know allowed the the hutus and the tutsis to develop an animosity towards one another that was even uh it was genocidal in nature that occurred only you know a year before the actual genocide so from you know like 1990 1991 until you know 1994 when the genocide occurred that's something that's a very short time period it's only a few years we're not talking about 100 years of sentiment built up so that's sort of what we're thinking about this is going to be a very short term you know a couple of years at the very most and then we'll be back to or at least a different society and you know when you look at these two goals here you can sort of build a comparison to what we in the military or what we you know intelligence analysts like to use which is our most likely koa our most likely course of action and our most deadly our most or most dangerous course of action depending on which agency you work for so you're most likely koa is you know going to be you know prepare for what's most likely right but also be prepared for what's the worst case so be prepared for what's going to happen you know uh you know most often but also be prepared for the absolute worst case that's our goal right to be kind of prepared for both or at least be mindful but start thinking about them so this leads us to our sort of our system for caches or hideouts or what you call it so there's four main types that we have identified now this is all our own organic research a lot of people have been have done research in different areas but we've kind of narrowed it down to four things that we think are worth uh thinking about and the first one is micro caches um and if we slide this over to the side and we take a look at what micro caches contain they're going to be for information right micro caches uh for things like microfilm from like the 80s from you know the soviet spys or these secret coins that they put microfilm inside but nowadays we're talking micro sd cards micro sd cards can be hidden pretty much everywhere including inside the human body so that's what we say when we mean micro caches next up are sort of larger gear caches and these are going to be for things like food and supplies and gear and other things that are most likely to be banned you know if you've got say like an ammo box you know that's got some ammo in it or or maybe some you know 80 lowers or something like that you know that's socked away in the bottom of a closet or underneath the floorboard or two that's what we're talking about when we mean larger gear caches now these obviously can be of any size but that's the kind of size we're thinking we're thinking maybe ammo box maybe foot locker size at the very most and the next size up are what we call quick hides now this is an interesting concept we haven't heard anybody talk about really a quick hide is is is basically a coffin right it's a coffin-sized um hideout that a person can slip into very very easily and very very quickly um and hide their temporarily maybe you know no more than a couple of hours tops right so we're thinking about things like uh you know cool tables that uh like a pool table or something that you hit a button and a compartment drops down and you hit a button again and it raises the person gets in and you hit a button and the compartment raises back up and the person is hidden inside the the pool table that's the kind of thing we're thinking about with these and um these are kind of hard to construct if you're going to build one yourself it's going to be not easy to do but we'll talk about that in a minute and then our last category are long term hides now these are every prepper's dream right everybody wants to have a secret bunker or a secret annex right or something hidden where you could live inside there for a long period of time and no one would ever know sort of that's what we're going for when that's what may be required in certain circumstances but um you know we'll go we'll go over the pros and cons here in just a second but you know suffice it to say these covert living areas um they're not gonna be easy to maintain they're gonna there's there's a lot of problems with them but you also have to remember that they are the most secure and they're able to sustain life in relative comfort for a very long time so just some examples of micro caches this is what we have here now when you go research these micro caches you can use any sort of keyword you want diversion safes are a good a good term to start with but you have to be mindful this is kind of where we're straight to the legal sort of area all of these caches here like on the on the right side of the screen they you can see right here uh the one on the bottom uh this right here is the diversion safe hair brush by stash it brand can hide can what does it say can safe to hide money jewelry or valuables with discreet secret removable lid and bonus smell proof container so obviously these micro caches when you go look for them on amazon especially on amazon they're really meant for one market and they're trying to sugarcoat it but basically these caches are meant to hide drugs like that's basically what they're made for you can call them like covert pill containers this one over here on the right side of the screen again is a flashlight that's a quote-unquote discrete pill holder yeah right it's meant to hold like either weed or some kind of pills or something so you have to realize that a lot of times that's what these are made for and you know i'm not saying that it's you know a bad market i'm just saying that uh they're not fooling anybody when they're when they're talking about that so you you know possessing these in some areas might might not be the best thing so just keep that in mind is that you know to basically keep your information private you know even if you're putting a micro sd card with your health records on it inside a coin like up here in this micro sd card or inside a bolt right here you're going to have to buy things from people who are probably trying to help people conceal drugs and whatever your feelings are on that you know it's kind of irrelevant because the you know law enforcement's feelings on that are quite clear is that that's a crime so just keep that in mind is that you're gonna have to sort of buy stuff from stoners on amazon if you're trying to uh if you're trying to do that so with that out of the way here is another concept and this i want to briefly touch on this because we're going to have a whole separate probably an hour maybe two hour long series on just this exact thing now this is uh not a con this is not a picture of my exact one but this is a i have this exact container um this is my seer escape capsule and we will have a whole video on this so i'm sorry we can't talk about it now because we just don't have enough time but this is a very very interesting concept that i don't see anyone on the internet talking about despite the fact that this is kind of a pretty big part of seer um and you would think that at least some you know maybe some brovets or something who've actually been through like the advanced seer courses would talk about this but they don't which is kind of weird so uh let's move along now to the sort of larger caches now these are like uh your fake vents your uh my personal favorite of these little um power outlets like you know uh power receptacles in a house that you tilt down with a key and uh you could put stuff inside those are awesome these little you know fake floating shelves that slide open you can hide stuff in these are great for things like you know like just like here like uh some you know some money some you know passport maybe a firearm or two you know just look up covert firearm storage and you will find a lot of things like this now a lot of these are quite overpriced i will admit um and a lot of these you can make yourself hurt very very cheaply um but if you want something ready made you're gonna probably the big market if you're trying to find something to hide things uh go for covert firearm storage because if you can hide a firearm you can usually hide things like stacks of cash um you know information records uh even food or things like that so that's the kind of thing you're going to want to research if you're getting more and that's really all we're trying to do here is encourage you to do your own research and then this is sort of like your quick hide type thing now this of course costs a lot more money but you can readily get these products online nowadays and this is kind of a lifted bed with a storage area underneath and all you got to do is press a button it automatically lifts up and as you can see here in the sales image they have pillows in there but why can't you hide a person or two in there you know in 30 seconds you could open open the bed up pop a couple people in there put them back down there you go no problem at all so [Music] and then here is of course the coup de gras this is a a secret area that i think a dutch family found in their attic that was obviously used for some kind of resistance activity during world war ii and you know that's just that's just awesome so um you know i would give anything to find one of these in my attic just for the nostalgia factor and then the coolness factor of this but yeah once again these these living areas covert living areas are absolutely crucial and um yeah they're uh they're not that easy to make but this is essentially what we're talking about when we say these long-term living and you know if you think that they don't work you know they're hard to build um they're not so this is a very very easy thing to do and as you can see the top right image and the bottom right image show the ubiquitous us military spider hole now this is more for a remote type application sure but i think the the viet cong and the north vietnamese army would prove that you know over a decade or so they were quite good at building these they're very easy to make and you can hide you know somebody can walk within six inches of you and never know you're there so now obviously we're not talking about building spirals in our backyard that would be kind of a ridiculous thing to think about but if you look on the uh the upper left hand corner that spider hole should be a little bit familiar to a few of you that have been in the military for a little ways and that's because that's the inside of a very famous spider hole and this spider hole was saddam hussein's hideout so this is exactly or this is an artist rendering before they actually got pictures of what the spider hole looked like but this is where saddam hussein was hiding out after uh we basically uh won the invasion uh phase of the operation so yeah he had a styrofoam panel it was a very small spider hole but it was large enough to have people in there he could probably have fit several people in there if he wanted to but as you can see the sort of um schematic isn't exactly how uh how his spider hole was but um yeah it was kind of uh kind of an interesting concept that yeah it does work and uh if if you know the united states had not if you know the us analysts had not been on top of their game and not uh done the right human stuff they would not have found him so these types of spider holes and things like that are definitely definitely useful um though you know i don't have any i don't think anybody here the s2 underground project has one of these and they're you know in any other properties um but it might be something that we're thinking about hey if you've got a free summer you know and you're willing to try some things out you know why not go for it you know it's a skill that's not necessarily a bad one to have so just just uh just something to consider on that and then another example of a more sort of covert hidden living area is this kind of spooky area and as you can see by the images on the far right hand side of the screen this was found by a family who just purchased a house um in i think the london area of the uk and uh they found underneath that uh underneath that rug there a small grate which i'll let down a you know a ladder led down a hole to another door and they found this underground chapel and um they're not entirely sure how old it is i think they're still trying to work with the local archaeology department to figure it out but they think based on what was found in the room such as a cross on the floor that it may have been a hideout for christians um during the uh during one of the conflicts over there i'm not sure exactly which conflict they thought it was but um the the the the bunker so to speak predated the house by a considerable amount so it's it's possible that somebody found the land found that bunker and uh built a house over it and incorporated it right into the house that's kind of an interesting thing to do um and as you can see you could live in there for a considerable amount of time so you know this is obviously a a pretty big fantasy list right this is something that you know not all of us are going to be able to do but this is far more common so this is a concept you know if you this is another field that you might want to research and this is you know illegal alien smuggling so it turns out that if you want to figure out how to hide a person the number one people to turn to in society and at least in american western society is the criminal aspect look into human trafficking especially when it comes to illegal immigration because when it comes to smuggling adults you know when it comes to coyotes smuggling you know people across the border there's a lot of information about that because it happens so often so these couple of guys they were found uh smuggling in they were behind a bumper as you see it was pulled off but they never would have been found if some x-ray technology had not revealed their position so um you know this is once again a reminder that if you're going to research this stuff be advised that you're going to have to you're learning from criminals right there's no u.s government doctrine that's going to tell you how to safely hide in your home there's no going to be no like lawful doctrine anywhere or or any history books really that are going to tell you how to you know you know hide cash away or things like that you know the diversion saves those are easy because those are you know they're just diversion safes right but when it comes to hiding a person you're really gonna have to turn to criminals to figure out how to do that so be advised when you're researching that you're gonna you know um you're gonna be under probably some sort of surveillance so i would definitely not google any of this stuff not by a long shot um and use some of our use some of the uh techniques that we've talked about in our mass surveillance um series uh in our podcast use some of that stuff to kind of research this further but we'll talk about more of that later just wanted to kind of bring that up again that hey you're going to be researching some stuff that may be illegal to even learn right because apparently in the year 2020 forbidden knowledge is 100 a thing so um moving along to our sort of pros and cons of these different kinds of caches so as you move down from as you move you know up in size um we have you know micro caches sort of how these arrows work is you know they show the capabilities right so you know micro caches you're not going to be able to store anything in them at all because maybe a micro sd card that's it um however a long term hide like a secret compartment in your attic that's gonna be able to hold people you're gonna be able to hold a lot of food a lot of water sanitation all kinds of things in there right you can't fit that inside a quarter you know you can't fit that inside a chapstick tube or something like that so you can realize that as the size goes up the capabilities you have also go up however the cost also goes up so the bigger the cash the more expensive it is and that's usually a general rule um a lot of these micro cashes are pretty cheap um and definitely more cheap than you know building a secret compartment in your basement or in your attic or a spider hole somewhere um also the resources you need to build them are going to go up and this is important because if you if you ever find yourself in a situation where you're going to try to hide a person in your home chances are you didn't build that you didn't build a place to hide a human being beforehand so you're going to have to have wood you're going to have to have nails and screws you're going to have to be able to do it quietly you're going to have to be able to do it with minimal supplies and you know the more the bigger the place the more resources you're going to need so you know you might not be able to do that when the time comes um now granted there are ways you can build long-term highs with not that many resources by just taking advantage of of void spaces that's what we try to do when we're trying to figure out these long-term hide locations is look for the void spaces in a house and you can take advantage of those but also be admired be advised that if you can think of it you know law enforcement can think of it too so that's just something to once again be aware of and then once again the social impacts are also what we're thinking about you know i don't know about you guys but if you know i were to tell my wife that uh hey honey this weekend i want to build a a secret compartment in the attic to hold six people um i'm gonna get a crate i'm gonna get you know i'm gonna get looked at like i'm an insane person um it's going to be a a harder sell you can't tell your neighbors about the sort of thing you cannot tell your co-workers you can barely tell your family right you can barely tell people that are you know only the people that you share a house with can you tell about this sort of thing and even then they you know it might be a little bit hard to get around socially whereas if you know if i were to say hey look i want to buy this you know fake can of shaving cream it's got a little safe in the bottom let's see i can hide a couple of sd cards in there nobody bats an eye because that's a normal thing people do nowadays you know people have like hey i want to buy a small little lock box so i can kind of hide in my desk drawer sure that's fine nobody you know nobody bats an eye but the second you talk about putting secret compartments in you know your house or in your car um the social impacts get a little bit more a little bit more intense so that's something to keep in mind as well because we can't just ignore that fact this is a very very social thing we're talking about here so um i feel like a lot of people leave that out they said like you know you know when when shtf or when you know when the wrol situation it comes around just gonna slap on all my stuff and go out and blah blah blah well that's all well and good but what about your family you know are you taking care of them are you gonna alienate you know the little old lady next door you know you're gonna scare her half to death you know so the social impacts of all of this stuff is very very important and it's a more of a driving factor honestly than it should be in a lot of cases but we'll talk about that later so some of the areas so if we're going to talk about covert living areas they're going to require a lot of space and honestly these are the ones that are harder to research like i mentioned before now these are some areas that you can research i'll just read them out right quick for the guys listening to us on the podcast but these are areas that you can research to find more about covert living areas and like residences first and foremost is obviously the holocaust and very you know it's well known for jews and other uh uh enemies of the nazi regime hiding out in secret areas another one is world war ii pow escapes you know with the french resistance helping people escape uh with other resistance movements like you know through belgium through through the uh the netherlands things like that and through poland especially good grief with the you know the the the partisan elements there uh trying to help people escape good source of research another one is you know the escape stories from the rwanda genocide also you know other conflicts like the first chechen war the bosnian war even the isis occupation of syria and iraq back from just a few years ago that's a good source because that was a very much an invasion also another good source of research is the religious persecution in china so for those that are unaware it's pretty much illegal to go to church as a christian in china and while i'm not particularly religious myself i find it very very interesting to study that sort of thing because in china apparently you cannot go to church the only churches that are authorized are ones that are run owned and operated by the communist regime in china so they have a lot of underground churches so check that out that's a very good wealth of information for this sort of thing another one is operation searchlight which is more known by the bangladesh bangladesh genocide another genocidal uh action that not a whole lot of people in the west have heard about so that's something worth looking into as well um also taliban doctrine in the early years right when the taliban was started starting to seize power and starting to you know hide away in caves and things like that that's definitely something to research and then once again you know your criminal elements look into you know how narcotics traffickers do what they do that's a very interesting you know a subject area because you know we're not like you know disclaimer legal disclaimers aside we're not trafficking narcotics here like if you know the worst thing that we're probably stocking away is probably you know ammunition for our personal usage and of course all of this is illegal we're not advocating for doing anything illegal it's not illegal to hide an sd card with some books on it you know and you know a chapstick tube that's not illegal at all but yet there may be a day when it actually becomes illegal and then you know once again even though it's a kind of a dated excuse or not excuse an example the the prohibition in the united states that's a good uh good jumping off point um and so we have to remember that with these covert areas what's the sort of what's the goal here you know it and you know we're sort of with the covert living areas our main goal is just to survive the quote-unquote door kick in the night um so you know uh you know a a raid um happening because of a uh um something or other that you know where people are trying to come into your home from a law enforcement nature and try to arrest somebody for something and you know i know i'm talking around this so i'll get i'll just break down and give you an actual example so in our area it is mandatory right now for any visitors from out of state to self quarantine and if they don't self quarantine there they will be arrested it has happened multiple times many people i won't say many people but it's happened a few times right that's documented of people coming in from out of state um then like checking in at a restaurant on facebook which is dumb i know or or using their social media in some way and tagging the city or something and somehow or another the county health department or the city health department finds out they're there they show up and with the sheriff and they are arrested so in our area um we had some family come in for um just for you know to to uh to do some things with us and they're from out of state and uh so we had to shelter we had to hide two people in our own home we couldn't we had to you know make sure that when they arrived they arrived after dark so that you know our neighbors didn't see they use the back entrance from the from the uh sort of back alley way it's not really an alley but you know from behind the house and uh yeah they didn't go outside during the daytime and they were you know just there passing through for the most part stayed a couple of days and uh yeah didn't go outside did not show presents things like that so technically we were breaking the law when it came to um our own family members but i can tell you that you know it i'm not going to turn in my relatives so they can get arrested just for surviving right just for living so that moment right there was when we kind of sealed the deal and said hey you know what um we're going to make this you know youtube video we're going to make this presentation and kind of show people what we're thinking because that scared us right um you know i i tend to not necessarily be scared or even surprised by the things that have happened because of this crisis we're going through right now but i can tell you that you know despite seeing a lot of horrific things over my lifetime that right now i'm i'm very very concerned very very concerned and um that's why we sort of have had to think about these sort of things and you know i you know i think that a lot of people maybe i'm just you know reminiscing but i think a lot of people tend to prepare for things that that don't necessarily aren't necessarily going to happen you know i think that as soon as everybody gets their concealed carry permit then you know as soon as they conceal care for the first time they're picturing in their mind okay what happens if a bad guy comes in this store here you know oh i'm in line you know in the grocery store oh what happens if a bad guy comes in what am i gonna do is this you know and uh it's very easy to picture these things in your head and for me you know even as a child you know when i was growing up in the boy scouts i had a very very morbid fascination with uh things and survival situations that were extremely rare like you know how to survive you know falling out of a plane with no parachute you know some things that you know have no way to survive but you can do something to improve your chances you know how to survive you know being adrift at sea with no life raft or anything like that like you know it's things that are extremely extremely rare um and i find that you know i you know watching the great escape and it was steve mcqueen one of my favorite movies of all time you know watching that you know growing up you know i started thinking okay well you know if i was you know in a pia that became how would i escape and you know it's nothing more than a morbid curiosity more nothing more than just something that's interesting never really seriously considered the stuff until you know my wife comes to me and says okay well what are what are our plans for this you know what what are we gonna do hey you're supposed to be the guy that's prepared for everything right or you know if not prepared for everything you've you know thought about this stuff i know you've thought about it so what are we gonna do so that's sort of you know i hate to digress it on this particular slide but that's something that i felt like had to be sort of you know conveyed when it comes to the goals for this kind of thing but unfortunately the one of the big things you're going to have to do is just keep moving we found that you know we can analyze this sort of you know anne frank story uh to death and and and find out that um it is very very rare um her family and uh the other family that was staying with them they stayed in that location for about two years and that was extremely rare if you look up the data you'll find that on average the jews that were in hiding in the occupied territories throughout the war stayed in an average of four places throughout the the time that they were trying to move out of the country and they certainly didn't try to stay so keeping uh keeping on the move is key but um yeah so that's how all i wanted to say on the sort of covert living areas um and then there are some more considerations to think about um when it comes to the actual like social impact and things you're gonna have to have gear right you're going to have to have supplies you know in today's society i've said it before on all of our platforms i'm pretty sure but it's 2020 and if you don't have a gas mask right now for every member in your family i i don't know what to tell you because that is a requirement now um you know if i did not have a gas mask i would probably that was probably be one of the things that i panic bought beforehand um because nowadays it's it's crucial and you're going to need a gas mask if you're a civilian in 2020 um because i can tell you with the with the riots going down in portland right now um and the sort of summer of violence in 2020 that we've seen and the rise of the use of the gas mask i can guarantee you that come this fall some politicians going to try to make gas masks illegal for civilians to earn so that's just a writing on the wall if you you know if you can't see that i i you know we might have we might uh explain on that further in an update video with our you know seburn stuff but um you need a gas mask you know other things you might need just you're going to have to your normal sort of prepping type supplies your food water sanitation but you know skipping over that because that's stuff that other people far more experienced than us have covered we can talk about the environmental concerns most notably uh nowadays we have this thing called flear we have this thing called infrared imaging and thermal imaging that can detect void spaces in houses you've got all kinds of technological devices that if somebody was trying to find you even in the most sort of you know bruce wayne type hideout layer they're going to find you so everything from you know dogs to simple stethoscopes in the walls they're gonna you know you're gonna be detected if somebody's looking for you um but you know uh you also have to worry about things like condensation and paint shrinkage like for instance i had one particular area in my house where i had to uh take a piece of trim out and i took the piece of trim out and saw there was a pretty big void behind it in the wall so i said hey let me put something back there so i put something back there and stock some supplies away then put the piece of trim back and then painted it shut well a couple weeks later i go back to check on it and lo and behold the painted shrunk because the humidity and the condensation and things like that so you have to be able to to maintain your sort of stuff like that also if you live in a very humid area you've got to remember that if you're that if your covert living area is in like an attic you're going to have to deal with you know the heat you're going to have to deal with spoiler you can't store food in an attic for sure you can't release you can store stuff in basements of course but you know we're thinking addicts because i'm probably because i have an act i don't actually have a basement um but yeah you're gonna have to worry about things like rusting like you know we're here in the coastal you know mid-atlantic region we're not right on the water um but uh yeah you know you know rusting of things like weapons and other metal items huge thing and then of course there's this thing called the changing of the batteries phenomenon i'm not sure if that's the doctrinal term i'm not sure there is a doctrinal term for it i've seen a few pop culture references to this but basically it boils down to one simple idea and it's the idea that during the height of the cold war most spies that were caught by either the russians or by the united states most spies were caught changing batteries right they weren't caught stealing the information right they weren't caught um trying to you know subvert something they weren't caught with you know a camera in their hand they were caught you know changes they're changing the batteries to their electronic bugs or they were caught going back to a dead drop something that was supposed to be secure so that's something to keep in mind as well in other words you know you're probably going to get caught entering and exiting your covert living area way more likely to except for that to happen than it is for you to be caught just simply hiding in it so something to once again think about and so this concept is an interesting one and i it's something that i don't see nearly enough people do and it's a very very important thing basically once again the idea we're going for is just a little bit of an edge right we're not trying to be jason bourne and disappear we're trying to have just a little bit of an edge so myself and everybody here at the s2 underground project once they learned this is something i did this is interesting and this is the i'm not here message basically you've got a kitchen table like here in this image and you've got a little a pad on the kitchen table like or or even a message on a refrigerator right a little cute note and basically the note says hey honey i'm not there um i've gone to baltimore with the guys for a few days you know sorry it's last minute or something like that and you know love whoever right and put your actual name there that way if somebody has a warrant and they come into your house and they see you know they come into your house well you're not there or they come into your house when you know when you're in your hiding spot they will obviously see the note right it wasn't intended for them at least they think so but it was intended for them because that note is not real that note you and your spouse or you and your family have predetermined you've left there on purpose they know it's a fake note and they leave it there 24 7 and the goal is for anybody who breaks into your house or serves a warrant on your house or enters your house in some way they'll think you've gone they won't know you're hiding just a couple of feet away behind a wall or something so that's an interesting concept i haven't seen anybody do now obviously the caveat is it's you know it's pretty much free to do you just gotta have a piece of paper and just leave it in the right spot that's very easy to do and you know the caveat is you know once again that you have to pre-arrange with your spouse or whoever's in your home it's a fake note right they can't believe that it's a real note so there you go and then if you wanted to take that a step further if you're leaving your home for a short period of time or maybe even an extended period of time this is really more for the extended period of time do what's called a pre-ransack so take some things you know take some items out of your yeah out of your drawers you know messy up your place i sort of like what's in this image in this image this is exactly the level of stuff we're going for stuff that's easy to clean up in less than five minutes but it shows that the house has been ransacked already right that way if somebody breaks into your house right or breaks into your room and they see oh well hey this place has already been broken into and left um i gotta get out of here because they've already cleaned this place out they're just gonna leave not knowing that you ransacked your own place and all the valuables are hidden away and you know things like that also for law enforcement if you know some kind of illegal law enforcement actions going on and they're trying to arrest you for not wearing a mask or you know something like that and they serve a warrant you know they do a bench warrant for you for not wearing a mask somewhere and then they try to show up to serve the warrant on you they're going to come into your house and they're going to see oh this place has been ransacked so it's going to raise questions with them right and it's going to serve to misdirect right so once again this is this may be going a bit overboard especially considering you're not likely to leave a window or door open as in this image you're going to leave your place locked up tight but the inside's going to be ransacked you know what's that about so anybody that thinks about it for a minute is going to be you know going to be able to sort of pick it apart but they're going to always have that in the back of their mind like what the hey you know what's going on what's going on and this is kind of a weird scenario so um th
Intel Update · 2021-11-30

Nov 30 Intel Update: Syrup and Snorkels

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is the briefing for tuesday the 30th of november 2021 and as always it is being recorded on the day prior the 29th of november so let's get started moving quickly through the weather we can see that winter weather is definitely a factor for most of the united states as one might expect this time of year but this combined with a lot of the low-level clouds that we're going to be seeing in some parts of the country up near the northern border along with the very dark nights we're only at a 28 illumination level and the moon is going to be setting at 2 32 in the afternoon so it makes for some pretty dark nights moving forward and we can see here on our surface winds chart that we have lots of winter weather advisories in the northern areas so let's move on to no tams really nothing particularly special there is a presidential one for minneapolis but by the time this briefing goes out it will be expired it's just uh biden is taking a visit to minnesota to talk about infrastructure something like that it doesn't really matter for no tams i just wanted to point that out because that's really the only one that there is of note moving into our civil unrest forecast uh really at this point this slide is becoming a kind of a dated item because really we're seeing violence and just general crime and looting and things like that in most major u.s cities on things like weekends or whenever there's some kind of policing action even if it's not anything that's high profile we see random things happen like that and especially the states which have basically legalized shoplifting this is a huge thing so it's just become a daily a thing of a facet of daily life for a lot of people in most major cities but really we're not tracking any huge major events that are either planned or really stuff that we can't really predict with any reliability at least we can't so yeah there's really not much to say on the civil unrest forecast other than to say that most american cities are not doing super hot right now so let's move on to logistics so for logistics really not a whole lot of updates there are really no major changes from the last brief however there are some changes on the national level shortages so moving forward into this kind of new slide we've set up here there are two things to note one is ammonia so fertilizer shortages continue to be a huge problem globally this is not just the united states united states is actually doing not so bad when compared to the rest of the world when it comes to fertilizer shortages but the united states is most likely going to start feeling the shortages of ammonia uh pretty soon because in europe uh the price of ammonia is already up 300 since january so again inflation and just high prices skyrocketing globally on pretty much everything are are definitely playing a factor here but the production of ammonia the raw materials needed to produce it the agriculture that's also needed to produce it that's a huge huge thing that drives prices up and then also switching gears quite significantly there is also a maple syrup shortage so this is kind of a weird one the quebec maple syrup producers organization is releasing over 50 million pounds of maple syrup from their strategic reserves which is a headline that i wish i was making up but interestingly enough the canadian maple syrup market operates much like opec in that they have very specific production and distribution timelines to keep the international price of maple syrup stable like this is a very very much a precious commodity for most of the world so they uh they have very much an opec like uh organization and uh earlier this year the market experienced a pretty big hiccup in the weather um it's just a growing season the harvest season for really maple syrup was not super great this spring which reduced production and this has resulted in roughly half of canada's strategic maple syrup reserve being released to keep prices stable so we're really not sure how this is going to affect things but if you like genuine maple syrup you might notice that it's kind of hard to find in the grocery stores although they're you know releasing the strategic reserves so i guess we'll figure out how that plays into it i just thought that was kind of interesting uh when we get to uh some of the critical infrastructure concerns uh for this brief so let's go ahead and jump into the mandate updates uh this is just kind of a quick heads up as to the situation with the mandates right so as many of you already know the white house has announced a new wave of authoritarianism in the form of yet another mandate uh so we've already talked about these other two right here uh these two mandates previously but we now have a new one um this is uh this is the the mandate that just came out the gist of which is that every truck driver that crosses a u.s land border will have to be jabbed no exceptions now i still keep that in heavy air quotes because as is a classic biden tactic going back to his very first years in the senate nothing is in writing just yet um you know at least not yet right so we don't really know how this will work out because again this is not not in writing now even the casual observer can clearly see that biden's tyrannical overreaches have been halted by many courts at this point and this mandate would certainly fall under the category of a court saying not to do something and biden or the white house is going against the court like it's pretty clear at this point that the biden regime while actually very hesitant to actually give any opposition room to stand on it's also clear that the regime's propaganda and coercion tactics are waning and the biden regime has made it quite clear that they will not hesitate to use force when that propaganda becomes less effective so like i mentioned there's nothing in writing with this there's there's no executive action on this osha is basically in the doghouse right now with the federal courts because they're the ones who are taking the heat for biden's uh tyrannical mandates but when it comes to like what this actually means nobody really knows because this is a pretty classic tactic biden knows or the regime i guess collectively knows that whenever he does something tactile like an executive order this can easily be immediately stopped by a court but if he or the other people that are running or influencing things doesn't put anything in writing if he puts out a press release or or hops on twitter and just signals to the media what what the white house's interests are well that can become a self-fulfilling tyranny machine right there which is exactly what happened with the osha mandates right these ones that are on the slide already right biden didn't actually put anything in writing for months after mandating the jab for companies with over 100 employees and yet even though he didn't put anything in writing these companies and entities went out of their way to follow a law that didn't even exist yet so and arguably doesn't even exist to this day because it's not a law right so employees get fired because the company is following an executive order that didn't even exist yet one of biden's well-known tricks and a trick that this regime uses first this is like their primary weapon right is just throwing out a statement and seeing what people will do they just throw out these mandates and see what sticks if the end result is people following it biden gets a freebie he gets people to do what the regime says he gets people to do what he says and at the same time no court can come after him because he didn't put anything in writing so just like we talk about all the time a lot of people these days are absolutely salivating at the prospect of using the we were just following orders excuse that just seems to be the case at least from what what we think it's quite literally the milgram experiment all over again except there's a big difference that the participants fully know about all the details of the experiment and they are actively wanting to participate in it and to continue the analogy it's almost like a lot of people have the attitude of you know hey mr lab coat man come back in here and sort of intimidate me a little bit so that i can have an excuse to flip this last switch it's like people are begging just to flip that last switch which is kind of scary but i say all of this to hopefully explain how we here look at a lot of these mandates press releases executive orders but whatever and what all of this means for the nature of well authority in general i guess but really this is just an important thing to think about when it comes to trying to figure out a livelihood that is more resistant to the crazy stuff that we're dealing with these days so i just wanted to kind of talk about that for a minute because it requires a lot it's not just as simple as is this constitutional or not is this legal or not is this a law or not it's not that simple because we're starting to again like i've mentioned many times before we're examining the nature of what a law actually is we're examining the nature of what an executive order actually is or what a court order actually is and yeah sure it's dangerous but hey look we're having to deal with this on a daily basis so i thought i'd kind of take that digression to help kind of explain what we're the mindset that we're in when it comes to this stuff so with that out of the way let's talk about some critical infrastructure concerns and right up front right up top there is the trucking mandates right just like i mentioned how are how is the trucking industry how are most truckers going to respond to this mandate well i think it's quite clear the ceo of the american trucking association has stated that their internal polling has indicated that that uh over 37 percent of all truckers in the united states at least in their association uh are saying not only not quote not no but hell no to these mandates so yeah that kind of makes sense right like you know we here we're here not in the trucking industry but look like we've got family and friends and things like that that work in logistics and hey look it's it's quite clear that uh the power of trucking cannot be understated like the the people look down on that job a lot but hey look we're finding out just how much power your average trucker has and it's quite significant and it's going to be interesting to see how much that affects things because it's we're in this grand game of chicken when it comes to these mandates and quite clearly it's becoming a lot more clear that the federal government thinks that that like the truckers the doctors the military service members they think that the people that they command are going to blink first and that could not be further from the truth doctors and pilots and service members are willing to to all end their careers before they comply with these mandates and we're of course we're not talking about most we're not talking about most people but hey we're we're seeing levels of resistance that i will admit surprise me i thought i would never have thought that this many people uh would have resisted things even just now right and the resistance is growing every day so i think i thought that was an interesting thing to note when it comes to critical infrastructure basically hey be prepared for trucking shortages to get worse and then number two they're moving on to uh the energy sector so biden is or at least the regime has stated that they're going to release 50 million barrels uh from the strategic petroleum reserve to combat the high gas prices and the interesting thing is is that this makes absolutely no sense because at the same time uh the binding regime has is begging begging opec to increase production which makes no sense whatsoever because if the united states is going to flood the market with oil then why would opec increase production they're going to cut production so that so that the price of gasoline doesn't go down to two cents a you know gallon and so that they will have actually some profit because it's is people and people like to look at these big oil companies and say oh they're just you know evil corporations right and you can make that case in a lot of different areas but the interesting thing is is that when you have price uh price manipulation or or the market saturation when it comes to oil change so significantly like if we were to drop uh the price of oil in half because gas is what like double what it used to be it's like gosh what four or five gallons in some parts of the some parts of the country that we're in and nine dollars a gallon in california and places like that so if you were to drop that gasoline if you were to flood the market with petroleum and drop that gasoline down to 50 cents a gallon people would probably be generally happy but that would decimate the oil industry because what the oil industry is going to do is lay off everyone and they're going to not have the production capability so you have a short period of time where your gas prices are low but then the gas prices skyrocket because you've messed with the system too much too quickly and that's what opec is is looking at biden like like he's the slow kid in class opec is like cracking jokes about this at this point like hey dude what are you doing even russia is like yeah man we're gonna cut production like why are you really why are you releasing strategic petroleum reserves like you could have just asked us to increase production um it's almost like opaque is cracking jokes like hey you want more oil pump it yourself because you're the one who cut cut production in the united states like we were energy independent for so long like why are you looking to opec to to fix the problem so this is kind of one of those things that we could talk about forever when it comes to energy sector but really the interesting side note now specifically when it comes to the relationship between the biden regime and the energy sector is this uh i i know that the fashionable thing to do is just bash biden right that's just that's just a popular opinion these days and i get it i really do there's plenty of justification for that but at the same time in most cases we can't just say well biden's dumb or he's mentally incompetent we can't just say that and call it a day sure sure that you can argue that these things are true but you know after all biden does have a very long reputation in the senate for stuff like this he's not he's not known in the senate before he became vice president he was not known for being a smart man but generally speaking the biden regime has done some pretty smart stuff i mean smart if you're trying to be a dictator but there are definitely lots of indicators that show that at least some kind of thought process is going on but all this being said to me the biden regime's actions in the energy sector just don't make very much sense to me um i just can't figure out the angle you can take all the usual talking points and make an argument like yeah you sure you can do that like biden is trying to bankrupt the petroleum industry to appeal to the hippies and yuppies and the democratic party's base which makes honestly that even that argument makes no sense to me because the energy sector makes life possible and they have a lot of power like a huge amount of power whereas the base that biden would be appealing to can't really do anything for him and then things get even more complex like you start talking international diplomacy and things like that which you know again truthfully is not pride and strong suit it just it's just not uh things get really complicated i generally think that on issues like this it's pretty clear that this is not so much of a political thing like it's not left versus right when it comes to the higher echelons of national energy policy it's just not uh it's factions right it's this company against that company it's these cronies over here versus those cronies over there it's it's favors in retirement plans versus other people's favors and retirement plans like that's just the way politics works at the highest echelons in general and especially when it comes to national level energy stuff but i can't figure out for the life of me why biden if he wanted to be a dictator which he clearly does or at least the regime collectively does right what does he why does he consistently stab the energy sector at every chance he gets i mean if it's to appease his political base well he can appease most voters with the klondike bar all i'm saying is that it seems like the intense targeting and alienation of a valuable wartime industry like the energy sector is not a good idea if biden wants to have control so all of this seems like a misstep on the regime's part or whoever is exerting influence on the white house over these issues again most people will just chalk this up to him being a crazy old man or a puppet for somebody else and that and that's probably partially true right but i just have a gut feeling that like something is not quite right with this especially with how specifically and fervently the energy sector is being targeted there are probably lots of different answers to this weird analytical note so i thought i would share that thought lay everything out on the table in the event that someone else out there has been kind of casually thinking the same thing right i'm sure if i dedicated you know a few days to this i could probably figure out what the angle is but you know i just don't have the time to figure out what the white house is doing on you know when it comes to the energy sector and who knows who and all that kind of stuff so i just thought it was kind of interesting and hopefully somebody else out there is thinking kind of along the same lines because i think it's kind of odd there's something going on there that's a little weird and i haven't haven't been able to quite figure out why why the hatred so much but anyway let's move on to significant governmental actions so as everyone's probably heard by now there is a new variant of the uh the virus out there that cannot be named right uh i think the most interesting part which is um being uh sort of uh joked about all over the internet is that the who and their naming convention skipped over the letter of the alpha the greek alphabet that they used that as the naming convention to avoid offending the chinese communist party because one letter of the greek alphabet actually just so happens to be the first name of their dear leader so i thought that was kind of interesting um it's very very interesting honestly and it kind of points as to what the who's kind of mentality is there's really not much intel value there other than i think it was interesting uh but yeah it just kind of proves to chose to go that the who clearly is making political decisions and has been for probably ever honestly moving on to number two there the uh case for bynan's nominee for the office of comptroller not looking so good for for that nomination process uh solo omrova recently had a background check done on her and somebody figured out that she was actually arrested back in 1995 for shoplifting um again not a really huge uh intel value here i just thought that there i have not seen anything quite as ironic and honestly tragically poetic than biden's economics nominee being charged with theft i just thought that was kind of hilarious and and sad at the same time so i thought i would share that as well but moving on to kind of number three and four there which are kind of linked to sort of the same idea is that texas is not doing super great right now when it comes to their battle against crt so so one school board in texas decided to use their own law enforcement agents the basically school resource officers to go and arrest parents at their homes and charging them with disorderly conduct with the intent to disrupt a public meeting so yeah again this is not surprising for anyone in the who's got skin in the game or anyone who's just kind of casually observing this this is a a a pretty fierce fight uh like if we look at all of the sectors in which um this kind of crt woke stuff whatever you want to call it a communist takeover like look at where it's at like is it in look at what industries it's at it's it's really in education right we've known that that uh universities have been kind of havens for this kind of stuff uh for a long time um but like looking at crt being taught to like preschoolers that's kind of uh that's kind of not good at least in our opinion and a lot of people are kind of figuring that out and it's very very important um to kind of uh propaganda like just propping into 101 well what do we call it now information operations right we kind of church it up a little bit to make it not sound as bad but if you're trying to conduct intelligence operations or information operations against the population if you're trying to topple a government you really need to get the kids you need to get them young you need to get them questioning things very very early and questioning the things that you want them to question and thinking the things that you want them to think so again this is very interesting from a doctrinal standpoint we can get way down in the weeds with it i guess someday but i thought it's kind of interesting that ordinary parents are starting to look at what their kids are bringing home for homework and they're it's they're starting to figure this stuff out like hey yeah yeah we've been kind of talking about stuff for a while and uh it's good you're on board but hey this is this has been going on for a while um you know we're also seeing things like point number four there we're starting to see these um racial equity board members uh doxing parents who are suing to kind of stop this crt training you know the fact that a school has a racial equity board what like what there are so many things that like if you if you if you take a few classes or if you study like the history of the soviet union quite quite significantly particularly when it comes to other maybe not traditionally russian countries but other countries that kind of like vietnam is a great example china is another good example if you start studying this stuff and starting to realize how communism kind of spread its you know its tentacles everywhere and how it got kind of started in some of these areas it's very fascinating because you start seeing the sort of political commissars come out right they all have different names right but you start seeing these political organizations come up and and kind of eclipse the ordinary things like we've all heard of school boards right like school boards have been around forever right but you know these racial equity boards right these um what do they call it uh racial trauma advocates like what what is this you know so it has that sort of i'm not saying there's a direct link but it's pretty clear that there's a flavor of political commissar type behavior in a lot of our educational systems and texas is finding that out the hard way right now or at least texas parents are so you know if you're this is not something that's unique to texas of course this is happening in the school that's like two miles from my house so it's quite clear that this is a nationwide problem but i do think that in in digressing on this topic yet again i think that it's interesting to kind of understand a lot of the history that goes into this kind of stuff because again from a doctrinal's perspective from an information operations perspective it's utterly important to understand this stuff then moving on to number five they're just kind of a heads up uh just a reminder that the just lane maxwell trial is currently underway there's no media coverage of it and this is going to be most people kind of know how this is going to turn out but i just wanted to point out that that it's going on and the mainstream media is trying to bury this quite harshly just like they're trying to bury the story of the uh uh the terror attack that occurred at the uh christmas parade right so um that's it's it's like tis the season for censorship i guess and kind of hiding uh terrorist attacks and things like that so yeah i just wanted to point that out that that did happen the met trial is underway uh and i guess we'll have to see how it works out there's really nothing more to add on that and before we move on i wanted to talk about this again because i guess today is kind of a blend of an intel update and a sort of podcast about deeper issues than just a standard you know intel update but i thought this was interesting and this is something that has kind of uh depending on what parts the internet you go on to this is kind of blowing up other places are not talking about it at all but this specif specific wikipedia article is drawing a lot of attention and this is the article for the mass killings under communist regimes now the interesting part is that if you can quite clearly see that this article is being considered for deletion in accordance with wikipedia's deletion policy so a lot of um i would say more conservative uh sources are trying to are citing this somewhat correctly that wikipedia is trying to censor uh the the the deaths that have been caused by communism essentially that wikipedia is trying to rewrite history um by allowing this article to be uh kind of gone you know disappeared right and okay that's interesting enough as is and we can talk about that you know endlessly right but this is the interesting part to me so if you go and you look right here it says this article has multiple issues please help improve it or discuss these issues on the talk page so if you click that link and go to the talk page this is the page that comes up and this is the part that's fascinating wikipedia is tracking the number of media organizations that cover this article this is interesting like so what this is like i don't man this is crazy right this is the interesting part to me not the fact that wikipedia wants to delete articles wikipedia deletes articles all the time some rightfully so because they're dumb pages but like arguably like this is the interesting part to me um like we can make the the argument that okay the page might not have been the best source of research like it's wikipedia right so it's not exactly a a scholarly source right but the interesting thing is that wikipedia is not only tracking this right they're also they literally are tracking these reddit pages that are are bringing in high traffic uh a lot of traffic from these different websites that's fascinating to me not only is wikipedia aware that an article is being tracked by media organizations but also they're tracking the websites that are talking about a wikipedia article man if that is not just a poetic like note again tragically ironic note considering the the topic considering that this is about communism and stuff like that holy cow i thought that was insane um so again not really a whole lot of like intel value i guess other than just to sort of show man how far this stuff goes um and i thought that was quite interesting so i again thought i would i would talk about it some so let's move on to another interesting slide which is developing technologies so they're really only three items of note and all three are kind of military the first one there is france's new camouflage system so this is called the adaptive multi-spectral camouflage system aka the salamander camouflage don't know why they didn't call it chameleon camouflage missed opportunity there i guess but this is supposed to be debuted actually today or tomorrow maybe france has a national like once a year defense trade show and uh they're supposed to be able they're supposed to be debuting it so i really all we have is this old video of it um but you can see it's kind of interesting us has obviously been working on this kind of technology for a while as well i think bae systems has also got something lockheed has got something similar to this raytheon has got something i think most defense contractors have some kind of technology they're working on this kind of cloaking stuff the stuff the us is doing is is pretty cool um but yeah this is the the reason that i wanted to talk about it is that this is supposed to be fully motion capable uh by now so i don't know if that's true or not i know that based on the calendar timeline and the kind of excitement that there's been along in the french military communities as you know this might actually be capable for them now who knows uh but moving on to the interesting ones which are number two and three and they both have to do with russian tanks so these videos and pictures started showing up a few days ago maybe maybe a couple weeks ago of russian tanks in the ukraine area really the the don bass and donetsk uh fighting areas right um with the russian build up there they're starting we're starting to see these interesting modifications being done and this is something that's not particularly new but the implementation is new if it makes sense so these cages uh these cages on top of the turret there like these those aren't particularly new uh the or at least the idea isn't new these are used to protect against things like shaped projectiles rpgs really any kind of shaped projectile um that's what it's for but usually it's on the side of the front of the tank right to prevent a side on you know rpg from hitting the side like every you know veteran in the us military has seen these like this is just kind of a thing that's standardized um really this goes back to world war ii like the the you know the german panzers had them t-34s had them uh or some some kind of uh shaped projectile disruption tool right it says cages aren't new what's interesting is that they're on top of the turret and they're not they're nowhere else so a lot of analysts are thinking that really what these are being used for on the tops of tanks and on the turrets are to prevent and disrupt the effectiveness of munitions like mortars and grenades that are dropped by drones like these small like dji drones this is interesting this is a new implementation of such technology now a lot of people i should point out that a lot of people think that these uh cages on the tops of turrets kind of angled like that are to disrupt or at least maybe serve as kind of like a hail mary prevention against something like a javelin and that kind of makes sense but i i don't know uh it that could be just a placebo i can't imagine that stopping or even reducing the effectiveness of a freaking javelin but you never know who knows it might just be uh i mean the russians are really good deception too right they might put 200 with a scrap steel on top of a tank to make analysts like me think about it for a while it could be that i don't really know but it seems to be very interesting and we've seen a lot a lot of use of these small uas platforms that are dropping very small mortars but they're being devastatingly effective i can't really think of any other use for these kinds of cages that are on tops of turrets other than okay maybe some built up areas but i mean doughnuts can really i mean ukraine has you know a lot of christiana houses that are like what six stories tall or five stories in the ground floor that makes sense you know if you're in an urban built up area the top of the tank is very vulnerable because the armor is not as thick as on the front or the sides or even the rear right but at the same time like i don't know it just seems like it's meant to prevent against uh small uas attacks so i mean i guess we'll have to see we'll have to see if once these go into combat service maybe get some battle damage on them we can kind of understand what the deal is with these and then finally the the third point here which is probably why i'm going to make a fool out of myself but i was genuinely confused with this is and a few other people who are in the game a few other analysts here in the shop as well uh are confused by this and this is a something that appears to be a thermal emitter being observed on a lot of russian tanks so this image hopefully shows a little bit more clear what i'm talking about when it comes to this thermal emission device and this is kind of a weird thing so so bear with me and this image is also confusing but um because we have three t-72s right that are driving uh towards the camera but the turrets for the t-70s are turned to the rear uh so that's why it looks kind of odd uh you might have trouble recognizing these but you're definitely looking you can see the driver's periscope right there the normal distinctive uh lights and weld points and things like that that you can use to to figure out if this is a t-72 or a t-80 or t-90 it looks pretty much like a t-72 to me just with the turrets turned to the rear to show us this weird-looking snorkel device so there's kind of here's the gist of what this might be so a lot of people think that this is just a standard um snorkel for like an engine air intake right uh and it is uh obviously mounted to the turret so that you don't hit it when you traverse the turret around but it's turned sideways right so instead of uh being able to allow the tank to drive across a river or something like that or traverse a river right instead of being able to do that it's actually holding a thermal emission device and what the the theory at least on this is that it holds it serves as kind of like a little arm as a support to hold out a really hot uh source of heat right and the goal or at least the theory is that the russians might be doing this as as sort of like a field expedient way of putting a hot source of heat outside of the tank so that if you had some kind of heat seeking missile it would zoom right past the tank's turret zoom right past the hull of the tank and explode harmlessly behind the tank because it's trying to go for this hot source of heat rather than the exhaust that it that normally would uh would be the target of a heat-seeking missile now i'm not a tank guy so i might be all wrong about this i'm sure some cav dudes are laughing their butts off because it's probably quite simple it's probably a simple solution like just a tank snorkel or something they've got folded down for uh transport who knows right i'm not a tank guy but this is the these images particularly this image here is uh is getting a lot of traction in kind of the ocean world as to like what does this thing do because it doesn't appear to be a standard snorkel it appears to be something else so uh it's very interesting i don't know what this does i think that it's an interesting interesting concept i can't imagine it working very well but i do find it to be very very interesting that we're starting to see a lot of this stuff come out as russia continues their build up in the ukrainian region so very interesting stuff um hopefully we'll get some more pictures of this and be able to talk about it a lot more but i thought it was kind of interesting and i guess we'll have to see what see how it goes and see what this thing actually is because i'm you know it's pretty interesting so let's go ahead and move on to the national guard stuff right so in the northeast really not a whole lot going on uh really the new york national guard is still using um uh both medical personnel and non-medical personnel and to uh supplement all the people that have been fired from hospitals in the new york city area so we'll hopefully get some more information on that but that just appears to be continuing moving down southeast there's really only one update and that is to do with kentucky so this is probably outdated at this point even though kentucky's uh you know national guard agent general and paos have stated that you know they're still doing the medical mission um this doesn't appear to be accurate because several battalions of the 149th meb specifically uh are currently in the stages of mobilizing for a pretty big deployment to the horn of africa to support that mission so based on the pre-deployment workups we've been observing for the past couple of weeks and months i guess around the state of kentucky it's a pretty big deployment so the number of people that are stuck helping with the domestic medical mission has got to be pretty low if they're they might be leaving behind some some support personnel who knows i just wanted to point that out that there's probably not a big mission in kentucky anymore everywhere else the mission remains the same really no major changes either way so we're just going to kind of assume that the mission is continuing with all these other places similar situation in wisconsin uh we're assuming that uh the national guard since we haven't really seen much about the national guard being either they were stood up for the whole written house trial thing and were there we really don't know if they're still around we don't know how many uh units have been kind of stood up for that security role type stuff so we're just going to assume that they're kind of still hanging out in the area because you know the situation in wisconsin is still pretty dynamic so i don't know we'll probably keep an eye on that for a while um the concern with ohio national guard potentially using national guard members as school drivers that concern is kind of waning because we're really it's it was probably just a political threat in the beginning but you never really know so we were tracking that and then the minnesota deployment continues as well down south of the border a lot of deployments uh by the texas national guard the texas guard and a lot of other states national guards who have sent troops down to the southern border uh that situation is pretty much status quo it's a status quo in the in the in that it's getting worse every day uh with regards to the violence and the number of people and the situations that you that are happening right it's just kind of deteriorating it's not deteriorating at an abysmal rate but it is uh concerned right so i just wanted to point that out that we're probably likely to see a lot more uh forces uh move into the area as the winter sets in and then that was no real major change the oregon national guard mission is probably going to wind to a close here pretty soon just because politicians are getting involved but other than that not really a whole uh not a whole lot going on and moving on to the mask mandates so really no no major change to this um again the situation in tennessee is kind of fluid uh we're still trying to kind of figure out what's going on like did the judge block this or did a judge not block it like what's the deal we're still going to keep tennessee red because it appears that most of the school districts or at least the biggest ones are requiring masks for school especially with this new freaking hype over this new variant right so that's that's going to be a thing we're expecting to see a lot more states probably locked down because of this um just for general reasons like this is you know a softball assessment you can see this coming a mile away right so not exactly a surprise to anyone but moving forward to the actual jab mandates we're not really seeing anybody trying to push this super hard we're seeing a couple of states even states that we were expecting to have jab mandates they're kind of backing off now because they've seen the resistance in california and people are finding out that hey you can't propagandize and pump propaganda into a child's head if a parent decides to homeschool them right and they they kind of need to to work both sides of the aisle with that if they want to keep these kids in school right so it's a huge thing it's really an emotional topic for a lot of people but we're of course continuing to keep an eye on the school situation and figure out what's going on there and then overall the resistance tracker is really unchanged not a whole lot going on um i should say there's a lot going on there but you know we're at 9000 rpms but we're in neutral right so there we're just kind of waiting for the courts to see what's going to happen with a lot of these states lawsuits and stuff like that a few states are probably it's going to be interesting to see what states do about these new mandates with trucking particularly states like texas a lot of a lot of trade comes comes through the land borders uh into texas from mexico so you know gonna be interesting to see how that how that works out but for now really not a whole lot of updates and then we do have an update to the mandate failure slide so just just to clarify a little bit this new slide is meant to track the companies and entities that have been forced to rescind their medical mandates due to people resisting right this is not a tracker of all of the companies that are openly and proudly resisting right those are everywhere at this point we just fill the slide up we're tracking the companies where the company itself was forced to make a decision uh to not push these mandates based on their workers resisting so all these companies wanted to push mandates right and or they did push mandates and their their employees stopped that and new to the list is disney so disney had a a jab mandate and which has since been rescinded so that's interesting um considering disney's man that's a whole rabbit hole i guess you could go down but um disney itself is a very interesting organization and the fact that they rescinded their jab mandate for their employees or at least they've appeared to this might just be a ruse and they're covertly um bringing it back in style who knows but i didn't want to highlight that because that seems to be kind of interesting so hopefully we'll have some more additions for this next brief but let's move on to international issues so wrapping things up here with international issues uh we have a lot of things to talk about this is doing kind of an injustice to not dedicate as much time to this but if you look at the list of countries on the left-hand side of the screen there i'll just list them off really quickly ireland italy greece the czech republic france the solomon islands niger slovakia australia and austria those countries aren't experiencing significant levels of resistance like we're talking like some of these countries is just open rebellion when it comes to the medical mandates that are just kind of sweeping the world at this point this is very interesting i think the two that are the most interesting to me are niger and the solomon islands because niger has had the french army deployed to quell the rebellion there and the same thing with the solomon islands with the australian military being sent in on that mission so you quite literally have empires going back to their colonies and policing up that actions there are obviously more countries more by the minute by the time this gets posted i'm sure we'll have a dozen more to add to this list but just note that even though a lot of the mainstream media sources are kind of burying this uh and not talking about it there is we're talking like arab spring level rebellion when it comes to the medical mandates in europe um in southeast asia in the pacific islands uh africa all these places right and then of course the rebellion here in the united states uh against these kind of tyrannical things so very interesting to follow uh i it's going to be it's going to be interesting to see how this all works out particularly in europe where they have a heavy-handed approach now when it comes to europe i will mention the polish situation with belarus so like i mentioned last time poland and belarus have got there's kind of a diplomatic spat going on so essentially the rundown of what that situation is this belarus is obviously a russian sort of proxy right they were the one of the last countries to leave the soviet union uh the president lukashenko is obviously one of the most infamous dictators in the world um and belarus is basically on um shares the border with poland poland is you know the gateway to nato right so uh what belarus has been doing allegedly um it's quite clear that's kind of obvious what they're doing belarus is taking migrants and immigrants from the middle east and transiting them to busing them to the border with poland and dumping them off in a lot of cases giving them weapons and telling them to go assault the polish border guards and so there have been a lot of clashes poland has strung miles and miles and miles of sea wire and razor wire because of this stuff and a lot of other european nations are starting to do that too so what i'm concerned about this is kind of a thing that i thought of the other day what i'm kind of concerned about is a sort of new form of berlin uh wall going up uh when it comes to immigration stuff in europe this is a serious deal in the united states we have to deal with immigration from mexico and central america south america it's a it's a little bit of a different story in europe i would argue that the story is completely different because you have uh migrants coming from the middle east mostly uh into europe into the schengen zone and the dynamic's different okay it's just it's hard to explain to an american audience but what is interesting is that we clearly have a sort of uh cold war relationship kind of starting back over this immigration stuff you've got you know your your old post soviet bloc countries kind of aligning with russia and russia is happy to let these migrants go through because it kind of ticks off nato and that's just kind of like their thing to needle with nato rights it's just kind of the status quo for the past you know 70 years uh and you've got countries like poland who are like hey you know we're putting up a fence uh you guys want in and then you know it's interesting i wonder i wonder how much uh of this immigration preparation and mobilizing militaries for immigration and threatening to invoke articles four and five of the nato charter i wonder how much of that is genuinely about immigration and i wonder how much of that is really just a pretext for getting something on the books and moving forces into the area to counter russia it would be great that would be a great thing to do if i were nato is to kind of say that hey yeah we're stringing this 800 mile minefield slash concertina wire to prevent some guy from baghdad to walk into poland and sounds like overkill to me in a lot of these cases so it's going to be interesting to see is immigration going to be a way for nato to quietly rearm itself um against a potential russian action uh some people would say no it's probably a naive thought honestly but because nato really wouldn't need a pretext to do any of that we've nato and russia and nato and the post post-soviet countries have gotten pretty good at uh figuring out what everybody's up to but i don't know i just thought it was interesting so i thought i'd share and then uh speaking of the middle east uh moving on to iran there the nuclear talks are uh failing as one might expect iran is just in the mood of do whatever they want um a lot of people ourselves included have made the argument that the united states is very diplomatically weak in the international arena and countries like iran they just they know this and they're just doing whatever the hell they want so iran is is like that north korea is the same way china is a little more complex but really iran sees that uh um we're not gonna do anything about their nuclear development so you know they're just gonna do it um and also turkey moving on to turkey is kind of an interesting thing they are dealing with an economic crisis like no other so currently they are dealing with currency devaluation uh some might call it a a currency crash right so the turkish lira which is their their currency is experiencing a 20 uh inflation rate um yeah so this is an interesting case to study because it's yet another classic example of how economics is pretty simple when you get past all the smoke and mirrors especially when it comes to inflation and turkey is finding out firsthand pretty quickly what happens when you keep interest rates artificially low for too long so yeah that's going to be pretty fascinating to to follow because hyperinflation is already setting in in turkey and this is not good for a nato member especially with all the impending conflicts around the world and the tension in europe right now as is and then finally talking about russia and ukraine uh honestly we should probably dedicate an entire freaking several hour series to the to this uh we've talked about ukraine in the past and how complex of a situation that is uh but currently russia has been uh there's a lot of activity so right now um there is a significant level of naval activity uh for instance russia has deployed uh the majority of her black sea uh submarine fleet um which is most uh most likely actually it's almost certainly in response to the united states sending in the arleigh burke herself ddg 51 to poke around in the very shallow and hard to hide in waters of the black sea so the us has for the past few months now i think had a destroyer hanging out in the black sea for a while it's just been kind of a constant rotation due to the ukrainian situation and stuff like that and i think actually the arleigh burke has has replaced the porter uh the uss porter if i if i remember correctly um but yeah the the russians have get their their it's you know cold war stuff at it
Intel Update · 2021-10-10

Oct 10 Intel Update - The Words Not Said

hello again everyone welcome back to the underground this is the briefing for sunday the 10th of october 2021 and as usual it is being recorded on october 9th so let's jump right into the weather uh lots of significant weather patterns covering most of the united states over the next 12 hours with lots of cloud cover at very low levels being quite common throughout most regions eent or the end of evening nautical twilight the point in time where the sun finishes setting is at 7 34 pm eastern time but that will be very similar for the rest of the time zones throughout the country and that combined with the low lunar elimination of 14.1 percent means that it's going to be long dark nights over the next few days and like i mentioned we're starting to get the first inklings of winter weather moving down for the year as we have various weather systems creating all kinds of hazards for various spots around the country moving into notams really only one of note and it is the standard uh presidential vacation no tam so biden is spending the weekend as usual at his residence in wilmington delaware for the civil unrest forecast really absolutely no changes uh from last the last few briefs i'm just going to skip right past it nothing nothing major on that front and moving through logistics really quickly really no major changes uh we still have the school bus driver shortages of course that is now a national problem for most school districts around the country but by far massachusetts and ohio have been hit the hardest with this and massachusetts and ohio are the ones that we're starting to see a military response for also we still have water shortage out west still creating a lot of problems out that way as we move forward into the winter season we'll start to see precipitation we'll so we'll start to see how that actually affects things and how the water shortage gets resolved hopefully it will be pretty soon and also we still have the microchip shortage that is affecting essentially the entire country this state at this stage but specifically the states on the slides are are being heavily affected with regards to automobile manufacturing and as far as new additions for this cycle uh we are tracking the chatter surrounding potential gasoline shortages that are a result of the shipping congestion which i'll mention here in a minute so i just did want to briefly mention that potential i myself and none of the other staff here have been able to help me drill down enough to give you a solid analysis on that right now of course a few days after this video goes out i might look like an idiot but right now i just don't know how severe this shipping congestion is going to affect petroleum imports for processing i would venture a guest to say that it will affect things but as far as how much i just don't know right now and moving on to critical infrastructure again from last time the crystal valley ransomware attack is kind of petered off there's really nobody talking about it now including crystal valley themselves so no new information i'll take it off next time but i just wanted to really leave it on there because i haven't had any real change from it but moving on to number two facebook cyber attack that everybody knows about because the vast majority of people use facebook or their services so as far as analysis goes so talking about the actual cyber attack is is kind of a moot point at this point because everybody's already heard about it but as far as the analysis goes again this is something we've been talking about in most of our content any reliance on social media for things like infrastructure or communications is probably not a good idea facebook provides more services than just allowing your cousin to post cat pictures on the internet since the overwhelming majority of people on the planet are plugged into facebook or instagram at some level means that when that plug is pulled the whole planet goes comms dark so again there's a lot of talk and chatter out there about maybe this was intentional on facebook's part don't really have any indications either way so it's kind of a moot point to talk about it a lot of people are also saying that this might have something to do with facebook's um quote unquote whistleblower right the the most non-whistleblower whistleblower that i've ever seen um again really nothing worth talking about on that from because there's just no information sure theory is a theory but until we know more who really knows all we know is that facebook was down which again presents vulnerabilities if we are dependent on facebook's infrastructure for things like communication for number three the shipping congestion that we have been talking about for weeks continues and actually might have been the cause for number four which is that a pipeline off the coast of california was damaged causing a small spill however recent investigation by the pipeline owner has indicated that the breach could have been caused months ago and might not have been the result of an anchor strike at all but right now the details are pretty sketchy it's really hard to rule out anything until more investigation is done in any case with more and more ships sitting at anchor outside of u.s ports and causing all kinds of problems we should expect to see more of this kind of thing not just to include pipelines but communications cables as well which is a vastly important topic that we will have to cover in more depth at a later time and moving on to significant governmental actions the first point there being connecticut is taking a page out of new york's book and doing exactly the same thing that new york is doing they are firing doctors who refuse to jab themselves right and they are replacing them with soldiers so we'll see how this works out we'll talk more about that in just a second but moving on to the second point there this has gotten a lot of press from a lot of conservative media outlets again uh the fbi mobilizing against opponents of crt so here is a statement from the doj i know it's kind of small text but you can either read it in the sources or or in the slides the fbi is directly creating the infrastructure and the task forces and the required logistical planning right to start prosecuting anyone who is going to be opposing the mandates that school boards are coming up with so so this comes right on the heels of just a few days ago a lot of people uh trying to petition the fbi to use the patriot act against those who are opposing the regime that was something that's been circulating on social media for a while now and now we're starting to see the fbi kind of move in that direction which is interesting also it should be noted that this might just be a clay a case of classic corruption because the fbi director is the father-in-law of the co-founder of a company that sells crt school curriculum so it could just be a case of of classic corruption who knows the fbi from their senior leadership has made it very clear that that's the kind of road they want to go down but i guess we'll have to see how this goes but i guess the larger point is that uh the fbi is most certainly coming after normal americans now we saw the pivot right we saw the the writing on the wall when the military started getting uh this whole extremism crackdown right well now it's now it's coming now they're coming for americans so just like we've predicted and just like quite literally thousands of others predicted this kind of stuff is is happening so i guess we'll have to see how this works out i don't know if it's actually going to work out in terms of fbi agents being plants at like pta meetings and school board meetings to arrest anybody who says anything kind of hostile towards the school board i don't know if that's how it's going to work out but it would not be a bad idea to assume that in the worst you know the the most dangerous koa right and uh work from there so sort of along the same lines point number three there is the fbi is uh working to working with google to get warrants for specific keywords um you know when i look at stuff like this it's almost like this entire briefing today is turning out to have a mood of i told you so because there's just so much information today that has either already happened in the past or ourselves and literally again thousands of others have been talking about for years and of course the fbi is headed again with their draconian warrants so i guess everybody forgot when the fbi just a couple of months ago requested the ip addresses of people who read a specific news article right not wrote but read a specific news article so yeah google working with the fbi has not been a surprise since the old days of snowden in the prison program and it's certainly not surprising today i just wanted to highlight this because a lot of people have sent it to us and it's a good reminder that if you value privacy it would probably be a good idea to stay away from google as much as you can moving on to number four there the colorado health care system uc health has issued statements that they will be denying organ transplants to people who are unjabbed quote in almost all circumstances this came to light after a transplant patient received this letter informing her that she had been removed from the active recipient list but yeah our assessment on this development is that this is par for the course and completely in line with everything that we and others have been saying for at least two years now so i'm not going to rant and rave about that anymore it's pretty clear how things are going however this is a great reminder that there are other nations around the world that have completely returned to normal aren't requiring medical passports and aren't withholding medical treatment for political reasons so if you are seriously ill or have a chronic medical condition that requires medical intervention that could be easily denied you might want to consider receiving that treatment in another country at this point or at least start thinking about that start that start that process of thinking about it again this is obviously not medical advice it's up to you to make your own decisions i know shocker right making your own medical decisions in 2021 is is is a rarity i guess but but for me if i needed some significant medical care right now i would be very seriously considering my options because even though this is just one hospital system out of the thousands in the country the fact that this can happen once proves that it can happen elsewhere too and if hospitals are allowed and have the desire to deny life-saving treatment to people for political reasons the entire system is kind of tarnished to a certain degree certainly to the point that we now genuinely have to think about things like is my hospital going to help me if i am unjabbed these are the things that we need to start working on getting answers for right now before this becomes a more widespread problem and moving on to number five there bill gates is uh he's getting a lot of press once more uh his population control quote being confirmed to be true uh and is now being kind of touted as a good thing so this is the same exact mentality if we want to take a step back for a second this is the same exact mentality as the election stuff in which the mainstream media claimed that there was no fraud until a time magazine article came out that framed the fraud as a good thing like they banded together to save democracy or something we all remember that right so also the same mentality with general milley's sort of you know treasonous acts right he doubled down in his testimony to congress and confirm that he did indeed do all of those treasonous things but it was to save the world from you know the evil trump right well here we are with fact-checking sites all over the internet confirming that bill gates did indeed say what he said and that he did indeed mean what he said as in it wasn't a slip of the tongue or an error in his speech which has been the classic excuse for this since his ted talk went viral but now the fact checkers are saying that it's true and these are screenshots of the actual fact checking like statement on this particular quote and the one line that is kind of hilarious is this sentence right here which is kind of funny see what they're trying to do what the fact checkers are trying to do is separate the rate of growth from total number which is definitely two separate things right in mathematics reducing rate of rise does not mean reducing already existing numbers right but here's the problem when you apply that to human beings the population of the earth that still sounds like the dr strangelove approach right so to his statement my question is this how exactly does bill gates intend to reduce the growth of the human population without enacting some kind of global one-child policy to prevent people from being born so yeah i guess that's really there's really not a whole lot of intel value there in just other than just to say that it's kind of interesting and this whole mentality of deny deny deny acknowledge and then tout as being a good thing is definitely a tactic that a lot of people are using these days and when it comes to the actual information right because this is this has gotten a lot of people's attention even though like man i watched that ted talk when it came out like years ago and i was concerned then and i'm you know concerned now about as much like that level of concern has not either increased or decreased so if you want my opinion right there isn't much difference between outright murdering people and not allowing people to have kids right again there is a slight difference on paper right but if the end result is the same lower human population it's very hard to argue that population control is a good thing in any case bill gates is still advocating for governments to determine when a person is allowed to exist so yeah i mean that's that's really all i've got to say on that and since the theme of today is kind of talking about individuals and remembering the past right moving on to this particular issue which is uh this is something that has gone kind of viral again amongst a lot of conservative sites over the past few days sheriff villanueva has gotten this good press because he has stated that he will not force his deputies and staff to get the jab stating that and i quote i don't want to be in a position to lose five ten percent of my workforce overnight on a blank mandate right but here's the problem read his quote and observe what it is not he did not say i don't want to enforce this mandate because it's unconstitutional against human rights and just plain wrong no he didn't say that at all for him it's a personnel issue he knows that his deputies will quit overnight and that loss is not acceptable to him now you might be wondering why am i talking about all this it seems like kind of a non-issue after all we can't exactly go off of words that he didn't say right the words not said you can't exactly hold somebody accountable for not doing something or at least it's very hard to do well here's my point exactly this is the same guy that was chomping at the bit to round up as many american citizens as possible he is the man with the plan when it came to the lockdowns earlier this year and last year and fervently and actively hunted down americans for having the audacity to have people in their homes arresting hundreds and hundreds of people for simply being at someone else's house he created special task forces to raid private residences looking for party partygoers and in the process searched and confiscated dozens of guns he also set up the infrastructure for neighbors to report on neighbors and actively encouraged people to report on friends and family who might be violating the governor's mandates and the la mayor's mandates and let us not forget sheriff villanueva's personal pet project operation homebound this was the highly controversial program in which badged sheriff's deputies would go out into the community to give people the jab in their own home now here's the problem this program got a lot of bad press because videos surfaced of badged law enforcement officers forcibly restraining mentally disabled people and forcibly jabbing them against their will as one might expect a lot of blogs and so-called media websites spun this way up because well history repeating itself is i guess the theme for the past couple of years however the sheriff's deputies were called out by the guardians of the people that were being forcibly jabbed so technically this was all completely legal and above board here's the problem though with this uh it doesn't really look great to have a badged law enforcement officer with a gun sticking a syringe into someone who is screaming crying and doing everything they can to resist it just looks really bad and considering the de facto implications of the officers being armed with weapons it looks even worse even if a court says that that person is mentally incapable of consenting themselves this is raising a lot of questions about what that word consent means i guess plus there's always a problem of what's the penalty for resisting a doctor or nurse's treatment not really anything at all but what is the penalty for resisting a badged and armed law enforcement officer you see how this is now a huge problem and i go out of the way to talk about all of this because it is a lesson that we as a people clearly have not learned right now a lot of politicians are being put up on a pedestal because they are fighting biden's mandates which on a side haven't even been written yet but those same politicians that are fighting biden right now were salivating at the prospect of locking down americans florida and texas were some of the very first states to put up police checkpoints on their borders how quickly we forget these events so i wanted to make this digression in hopes that some of you will not forget what these people did and that is a huge thing to remember for analysis moving forward when we're talking about the likelihood of resistance efforts we've always got to keep these things in the backs of our minds and that just because a politician or a some kind of official is saying the you know good stuff right now we can't forget what they did just one year ago all right switching gears we have significantly changed the conus deployment map so as to be a little bit easier to understand because my own first crack at it was not great and there were quite a few errors so here is a reference slide that helps explain how to read the following slides if you are not familiar with these topics as usual you can pause and screenshot or preferably download the pdf of these slides from our odyssey page so let's get to it in the northeast the new york national guard has begun preparations for deploying to various hospitals as a result of the government firing health care workers and right now we're projecting elements from spencer's 42nd infantry division to be activated to fill these vacancies again not everyone from these units will be deployed we just don't know numbers right now because national guard deployments are usually based on volunteers from random units so as we go through this keep in mind that we will almost certainly be overestimating numbers so for new york we're kind of in the dark right now as to how many volunteers are going to be stepping up to take positions in new york hospitals connecticut is in the exact same situation with their governor terminating doctors and nurses who refuse the jab and replacing them with soldiers this is still in its early stages so we don't really have a good idea as to how yvonne's joint staff is going to be required to handle these deployments so we're just going to have to stay tuned on that and finally for massachusetts small elements of soldiers from the 26th maneuver enhancement brigade continued to be deployed to drive school buses no major change on that from last brief moving on down to the southeast several states have deployed various sized elements to hospitals around their states and we have a really a better intel picture for kentucky and tennessee so kentucky is deploying small groups of soldiers from cavallini's 149th meb to support local hospitals and tennessee is deploying soldiers from turner's 278th armored cavalry regiment and patterson's 230th sustainment brigade to also support local area hospitals again the press reports of exactly how many soldiers are deployed from these units vary widely so when we get a better picture we will provide that update as well and finally the states of alabama south carolina and georgia have also deployed very small numbers of troops we're talking probably a platoon's worth of soldiers in each of these states again within submission of supporting area hospitals moving to the midwest really there's not much going on with regards to national guard deployments we're still waiting to see if ohio will deploy soldiers to help with the school bus driver crisis but press statements by various government officials have confirmed that an unknown number of soldiers are currently in training to learn how to drive a school bus so we are fully expecting this deployment to take place and we will provide an update when we learn how harris's joint battle staff is going to be deploying units out southwest we have quite significant deployments of troops along the southern border with hamilton's 36th infantry division providing most of the soldiers specifically perez's 36 sustainment brigade and rivera's 72nd brigade combat team are the units that are providing most of the soldiers for this mission also we have significant deployments from the texas state guard as well which for those of you that don't know is separate from the national guard it's still a military unit but it's uh they still have military organization but they are a separate command structure right so we don't have any good numbers for how many state guard soldiers have been activated but when we get some publicly releasable numbers we will push that out as well and also we are not counting the thousands of national customs and border patrol forces or the hundreds of other law enforcement figures that have been deployed to support this mission all we have are press statements that indicate that all total there are roughly 1 000 state law enforcement officers and about 2 500 soldiers from texas that are supporting this mission again these numbers are very approximate and a lot of other states have sent troops and police officers to the border as well so we're still trying to count everybody and tie everybody up arizona and new mexico have also deployed personnel to the border but not nearly in the numbers that texas has it's such a small number that it's not even close so when we get a better number for those states we'll update that as well and finally out west we have significant deployments of soldiers and airmen in oregon to support local hospitals in oregon their national guard situation is kind of unique with the air national guard really being the main force so stencil has deployed significant numbers of airmen from unruh's 142nd fighter wing as the main force for providing personnel to local hospitals however the very small army national guard contingent has also deployed soldiers from the 41st brigade combat team mostly just a handful of soldiers from the 1st battalion 186 infantry regiment and for the school attendance mask mandate tracker uh really no updates from last brief except that i corrected an error that's been there for a long time vermont has had a mask mandate for a while now and they extended it to november 1st so and for those of you who are just now finding us every single state in the nation as far as we can tell has a mask mandate somewhere in the state usually it's the largest school district in the state or the school district that is nearest the state capital so that's just something to keep in mind is that there really are mass mandates everywhere uh it's just we're trying to track where the states are at the state level cracking things down or the states where the overwhelming majority of school districts are requiring masks and for the actual jab mandate really no changes from last brief california is still going to mandate it make it mandatory but we're waiting to see how that's actually going to logistically work out because there is significant resistance to that as one might imagine and again really no major change to the overall medical resistance tracker and for international issues really the only two things that i just briefly wanted to mention were sweden and denmark so we're starting to see a lot of resistance to a particular medical substance in both of these countries due to people having heart problems from it so you can research this on your own a little bit more because there's a lot of data that goes with this but sweden has stopped the m uh version of the jab for people under the age of 30 and denmark has done the same for people under the age of 18. so we're starting to see a few european nations a few most of the scandinavian countries in the northern european nations uh push back on a lot of this stuff because they're finding out there's a lot of a lot of health care issues that are kind of coming along with this so again uh you know due to youtube's policies we can't talk about it at all and uh even if we did there's even if we did want to fill out youtube's policies there are still uh there's still too much information to to talk about right so the situation has really gotten very inflammatory when it comes to the actual jab itself on the medical side of things and the studies and the science going back and forth from both sides of the debate so that's really up to you to kind of uh to research that some more but i would suggest taking a look at some of this stuff coming out of northern europe it's uh very interesting stuff to say the least so i'm sure that a lot of other incidents have occurred around the around the world that particularly things like the chinese situation has developed a little bit more but i haven't had time to actually sit down and develop that out into an actual concrete analysis for you guys because we've been myself and the rest of the team have been focusing domestically uh for this brief so for next time we will definitely develop out a lot more international stuff to talk about but for now that's pretty much all i've got so again a special thank you to all of our supporters on patreon you guys and gals out there rock and are actually making it a lot easier you guys are helping a lot more than you know and here are your sources for today again the print is very small i know so if you're watching this on a phone it's probably going to be very hard to see you but i did want to put the sources in here at the end of each video for posterity's sake and just in case uh someone finds this video and doesn't and doesn't see the sources in the attachment or anything like that so there's the first slide there's slide two you can pause it and check this stuff out here's slide three and sources slide four so again the sources for this with in pdf format this whole brief is available in pdf format on our odyssey page so again if you're looking at this in many years in the future which is what seems to happen with a lot of our youtube videos you can find that data and in the unlikely event that our odyssey page is shut down for whatever reason or we transfer to something else you can still at least in this particular video file have the sources so it might be a pain to type it out but again we make videos here for the future not just for right now so again for posterity sake like to include all the sources in the actual video file itself so thank you again for watching we'll be back at it with another brief very soon and we will see you next time and as always fight in the shade
S2 briefing · 2021-08-20

The Observation Post: Top 5 Things You Need

[Music] throughout the history of modern warfare one thing that has remained a constant necessity but also hasn't changed that much in the past century is the concept of the observation post sometimes also called listening posts observation posts are a highly valuable aspect of warfare for a whole host of very good reasons and with more and more threats popping up on our doorstep every single day let's dive into how to set up our very own observation post the concept of the listening or observation post dates back thousands of years to the origins of warfare itself but this idea really came into widespread use with the outbreak of world war 1 as warfare transitioned into a modern age with the widespread use of artillery machine guns poison gas and other new and efficient ways of killing each other the ability to observe the enemy's approach and activities was paramount and as the war settled into the bloody stalemate that has made the western front infamous the ability to detect enemy preparations for an offensive was more vital than ever so what defines an observation post or a listening post well it's pretty simple an observation post is a location from which an observer can see the enemy front lines supply routes avenues of approach or any other endless number of key terrain features that one can think of a listening post is very similar with the main difference being their origins listening posts were quite literally just that a location usually a hole in the ground or in the case of the great war a small sap or trench out into no man's land from which a soldier or two could sit or lie very quietly and just listen during the era of trench warfare listening posts were often far more valuable than observation posts due to the extremely close quarters of the trenches with trenches being sometimes only a few meters apart from each other a soldier in a listening post could hear the enemy listening to their daily routines conducting drills cooking food laughing and joking amongst each other and most importantly the telltale increase in volume in the numerous footsteps on wooden duck boards that signal the enemy forces secretly trying to mass troops in the forward trench for an assault though these days we don't necessarily have to worry about tens of thousands of soldiers jumping down into our trench to kill us with a shovel the concept of the observation post is absolutely vital in today's world of people going door to door checkpoints being set up on u.s interstate highways and with any number of insurgent groups parading through residential neighborhoods we all do this subconsciously anyway even something as simple as going to the front window to observe some activity out on the street in front of your residence is technically an observation post but we can lean on a bit of history and a little bit of doctrine in order to increase our capabilities and therefore be vastly more effective in a situation where you have to spend a significant portion of your day or night sitting in an observation post so when it comes to building your very own observation post there are only a few things that you need the first being clear observation of avenues of approach this sounds pretty simple and it really is in most situations your op will need to have a clear line of sight to areas which your targets will actually be in an op that you can't see anything from isn't really effective unless you're going for a listening post in which case you have to be able to actually hear the adversarial force however this first point has a lot of problems when it comes to actually implementing this in today's world so we'll come back to this one in a minute but the next thing that is needed is cover and concealment this is a huge requirement especially in a modern context sure it makes sense as to why an army manual from 1985 would require your observation post to be concealed after all almost all observation posts are used by militaries in combat but in a modern civilian application things are a bit different and a lot of the time the stakes are much higher than even in combat remember we lowly peasant citizens have to operate in adverse conditions the majority of the united states is now what we would call a non-permissive environment meaning that we do not have the ability to operate freely without consequences even if it is our right to do so sure you could climb up on your rooftop to build an observation post that's your right you can do that but just fully expect every neighbor around you to call the police on you and encounter best avoided even by law-abiding citizens at this point as we've been saying for a while now concealment is a very high priority even if it means that you've got to pick a less than ideal site for your observation post this is important because it highlights a problem within most military warfare doctrine as we pointed out in our urban camouflage episode most modern urban warfare is focused on just that warfare there isn't any military doctrine that we can use in a situation less than a full-on urban war all urban warfare doctrine focuses on things like cutting holes in walls sandbagging the interior of walls setting up grenade sumps and ladders going from floor to floor and other things that are completely impractical in modern daily life where low intensity conflict is the much more likely problem that we all face daily it would be perfect to cut a hole in your roof and set up an observation post in your attic but it's just not something that we're going to do unless a bonafide shooting war breaks out what's far more likely is for us to pull up a chair to the window and watch the activity in the street all night and then we have to go to work the next day when the sun comes up and the rioting stops these considerations mean that we will have to accept the fact that we will have to be sacrificing the best observation site for one that's actually feasible but not as effective in other words we've got to understand that since we're not going to cut a sniper loophole in a wall or a rooftop we're going to have to be content with and take into account that we'll have to use existing openings in structures such as windows and doorways now we see why it's not as simple as following the old school army doctrine and why selecting an observation post that actually provides for the maximum observation of the target area isn't actually an easy thing to do in most situations that we face today the next requirement is for your lpop to have concealed ingress and egress routes obviously it wouldn't be a great idea to have the most camouflaged and hidden op in the world but you have to walk right up to it to get in it again these ingress and egress routes are a major limiting factor for most observation posts if it means that you have to move your observation post in order to allow for easy and concealed entrance and exit this might be something that you have to do even at the expense of limiting your field of observation even more terrain might force you to set up an op in a less than ideal spot and even then you might have to wait until darkness falls in order to enter it or even more inconvenient you might have to build the entire op under the cover of darkness or while concealing yourself from the target's view another key part of any lp or op is communication that's the entire reason ops were invented in the first place granted the need for communication is not quite as much of a hard requirement for some civilian applications for instance if you are alone in an observation post monitoring some particular action such as a riot or some kind of clearance operation you might not have anyone else to talk to so having a radio or a field telephone or some other communication device might not be as necessary as one might think however if you even have just one other person to talk to within range a communication device will be essential to report what you see and provide early warning capabilities to people who might be counting on you for support and one final category of things you might need for your observation post are optics optics are massive force multipliers meaning that a single person with a powerful set of binoculars has capabilities that would take several people to replicate or even might not be replicatable by the unaided eye the proliferation of modern generation 3 night vision devices and thermal optics on the civilian market provides devastatingly effective capabilities to civilians which is something that many people still do not understand granted the high cost of such devices makes it difficult to obtain the best optics that you can buy but a good set of rugged and powerful binoculars will increase the capabilities of your observation post in ways that you cannot even possibly imagine as a side note we will have an entire video dedicated to optics for surveillance and reconnaissance so stay tuned for that and that's pretty much it observation posts and listening posts are quite simple things and oftentimes very little construction is needed to set up a very capable location from which you can keep an eye on activity in your area of course there are a whole host of other things that can improve an observation post which is far beyond the scope of this somewhat introductory video but creating your own lpop and adapting these ideas to your own situation will highlight the things that you need for your specific setup no two observation posts will look alike every single one will look different have different fields of observation have different ingress and egress points and have different goals altogether that's why it's so hard to teach this topic because it's so generalized that oftentimes the broad brush teaching tactics of military doctrine end up not teaching very much at all and in modern civilian capacity this could be dangerous especially considering that most modern civilian urban or suburban observation posts will be drastically less effective than their rural counterparts you might have to set up an op in a less than ideal location with subpar cover and concealment where you can't really see much and it's hard to get into and out of without being seen and that might be the best you can do so you've got to learn to work with what you've got and mitigate these disadvantages as much as you can so try this out for yourself really sit down and think about locations that you can use to observe activity in your area and see what you can build it doesn't take that much effort and even just thinking about and planning observation posts in your immediate environment is a step in the right direction and will make you much more prepared to handle whatever threats find their way into your neighborhood [Music] [Music] you
Intel Update · 2021-10-04

Oct 04 Intel Update - Executive Incomes

hello again everyone and welcome back to the underground this is a briefing for monday the 4th of october 2021 and it is being recorded on the day prior on october 3rd so let's jump right into the weather weather over the next 12 hours is not going to be super great for any kind of aerial asset as we can see most of the eastern united states is going to have significant cloud coverage at very low altitudes as well as some of those medium and higher level altitudes as well and also the pacific northwest is also going to be hit with some of those winter weather type systems moving forward into the later parts of the year it's a good idea to understand not just the cloud levels and the cloud ceilings that occur at low altitudes those are good to understand and keep an eye out for or at least get into the habit of but it's also good to understand freezing levels and where the freezing levels are located and these different kinds of atmospheric conditions that might affect any aviation asset when it comes to things like icing we're also in a red illumination cycle with lunar illumination being roughly at 11 or so so the low lunar elimination means dark nights and moving into the later parts of the year we've got uh really long nights we've got a lot more hours of darkness combined with really uh significant layers of cloud coverage and icing man it just really adds up to sort of understand that this is most certainly charlie's weather when it comes to any kind of aerial asset and like i mentioned up in the northern parts of the country we're starting to already see some very poor visibility up at altitude when it comes to things like precipitation and other kinds of storm systems moving into the area as we move forward into the later parts of the year moving on to no tams really only to of note of course they're both presidential uh the first one is in lansing michigan i haven't done the research to figure out what this one is probably some kind of visit from either uh the president or the vice president and the second one is in wilmington delaware that is the standard uh vacation ops no tam that we've been tracking for months now for this weekend so usually probably by the time this brief goes goes out and goes hot it's going to be canceled so just everybody knows and for the civil unrest forecast really not a whole lot uh really no main changes to this slide the election audit is still still going on um we're gonna wait have to wait and see exactly how that all shakes out there's a lot of speculation a lot of talking about the election audit online and we're we're definitely still in wait and see mode when it comes to that particular event moving into logistics a quick rundown of the shortages from last time so school bus shortages have gotten worse i've only left the two icons on the map which i'll explain in just a minute but most states are dealing with a significant school bus driver shortage at this point which is why i have listed it on the left hand side of the slide so for those that don't understand the left hand side of the slide that sort of box there shows the shortages that are present for every state if i were to drop those icons on every state you wouldn't be able to see the map so i've put them over off to the side that is not a legend for the icons that are on the map i'm speaking to the icons on the map if i were to put a legend for every icon that i'm using i would have over i have over 4000 icons right now so it would take kind of a long time to and a lot of slide space to actually put all the icons up there but there's two icons that are on the states of massachusetts and ohio i left those there because they seem to be having the worst worst time of it when it comes to the school bus shortages particularly because massachusetts has activated their national guard and ohio looks like they are getting ready to activate their national guard but we'll come back to that in just a second and the reason that i wanted to talk about the school bus driver shortage particularly is because of a sort of new development in that field so we've done a lot of digging and gotten a lot of feedback from a lot of people via email and dms that indicate to us that a large portion of the people in some areas aren't exactly quitting being school bus drivers they're actually being fired from being school bus drivers due to medical mandates now this turns out to be almost impossible to verify at least in any in any way is to make a broad statement about it so if you do your own homework on this just know that there are almost certainly several reasons for the school bus driver shortage from our own analysis there seem to be a few main reasons that people are not choosing to be bus drivers firstly people cannot continue the job due to money now even within this category there are widely different reasons some bus drivers are currently being paid a lot of money some people might say they're being overpaid for the hours that they're working but they feel that they can make more money elsewhere so they're quitting or they like the idea of bending over the education system to use this as an opportunity a leverage to make even more money and on the other end of the spectrum some people are genuinely being paid practically nothing so they genuinely have to change careers just to put food on the table because being a bus driver requires a schedule that isn't really conducive to most other nine to five jobs on the medical slash political side of the house there are also people that are primarily concerned with the medical mandates and they're just fed up with the whole thing so they quit and others are outright being fired for not complying with the needle-based tyranny right so there are a lot of different factors playing into these school bus driver shortages that are affecting pretty much every state at this point also the water shortage out west has gotten uh status quo on that really it's still bad as we move forward into the winter and we start getting a lot of precipitation from the winter weather we'll see how this works out but just know that of course people living in these areas know the water shortage is pretty dire but for people who aren't living there the water shortage has been an issue for honestly months and months and months at this point so that continues to be a major concern for people living out west also the microchip shortage has gotten uh quite a bit worse we've added a couple of states there as you can see really these microchip shortages are there at a point where it's very very concerning and it's starting to affect a lot of consumer goods so mostly it seems like the automobile industry has hit some of the hardest but we're also starting to see these microchip shortages trickle down into individual consumer goods basically anything that takes a microchip is going to have some kind of shortage at this point as to how severe that shortage is who knows you might not even notice it or you might not be able to buy a pickup truck in you know this in the entire country in a few months we just don't know how bad this is going to be but we do know that it is absolutely worth keeping an eye on and it's going to be a very uh significant thing as we move forward into the future also much like the uh school bus driver shortage we're also seeing a shortage of public transit drivers for much the same reasons or the array of different reasons a lot of cities have reported severe severe shortages of public transit drivers so we're just calling that as being a nationwide problem at the moment and finally really the only other addition is a sort of brief follow-on to last brief which is when i mentioned costco's shortages of toilet paper and bottled water now i mentioned last time that the shortages at costco of toilet paper and bottled water made no sense whatsoever because there was really nothing to indicate that these shortages were happening right remember during the great toilet paper shortage fiasco during the height of this whole pandemic thing the reason for that was social media hysteria really the main reason driving the the driving that shortage was a news article getting spun people freaking out and then it just snowballed into it causing genuine shortages because everybody went out and panicked bought toilet paper because it because social media told them to now this time it turns out costco's prayers have been answered because a few days after costco announced the toilet paper shortages this study from japan came out it turns out a japanese study was done showing a brand new symptom of the virus which is probably the sketchiest thing ever um that you know this virus might cause some gastrointestinal problems so if you look at the timing of this uh it's very interesting i don't know if there's any link or or not but i just thought it was kind of funny that costco announces there's toilet paper shortages and then like two days later japan releases a study some this ridiculous like sounding study which makes really no sense even if you're not you know medic have a medical even if you don't have a medical background like us it doesn't make any sense whatsoever so of course even the new york post right there is sensationalizing this as much as they possibly can so the bottom line is that it doesn't really matter at this point if it is a manufactured shortage somebody just trying to make a quick dollar off of people's stupidity online or if it's a genuine shortage due to people actually being concerned and going out and rushing to buy things there's going to be shortages of things like toilet paper and other random things because as we all know when people rush to a store to go buy something in a panic they tend to buy other things as well and as we all know our grocery stores and our logistical networks can't handle that demand all at once so it's just like you know on game day in a big you know football town or a big college town they're going to be completely out of a lot of random things right usually the alcohol section will be completely cleared out along with the snacks section so expect a similar type of thing to happen because this is just getting spun way out of control on all of social media and all of these so-called journalistic agencies so i thought that was interesting to touch on and moving into critical infrastructure concerns uh really i wanted to leave the crystal valley ransomware attack on there from last time really there have been no major updates from the last brief about the crystal valley attack several mainstream media outlets have reportedly reached out to crystal valley uh several times in the past day or so and haven't really gotten any response so we don't know if this attack is resolved and we don't know if it is still still going on so i just wanted to leave it on there to show that it probably still is there's still some impacts that are occurring because of that attack also moving on to number two there bandwidth.com the company bandwidth which is you know confusing name as a company but bandwidth is actually the company name of a newer company but they are a very large provider of voip services so voice over ip services they have a lot of clients everyone from verizon to local 911 run their telecommunications networks uh through services that are provided by bandwidth so um even though this attack this attack was stopped quite quickly bandwidth.com announced that they uh they had mitigated the impacts of this uh quite quickly so they didn't really get very deep uh into the systems of how you know bandwidth works and things like that but since bandwidth has such a wide wide breadth of services that they provide there were very widespread impacts felt from this cyber attack so again it really just shows the vulnerability of our telecommunications networks to things like cyber attacks even if they're stopped very quickly the fact that we're so networked and one single company and one single set of servers can impact the entire country so this is a great example of that and then moving on to number three uh the shipping situation when it comes to the port congestion things like that has gotten quite worse there is currently still significant shipping congestion and it has spread to most of the ports in the united states as we briefed last time the port of los angeles was the most heavy hit and has had to divert cargo ships to offload as far north as vancouver actually we can see right here this these are the ships that are actually uh they haven't been diverted north to vancouver these are just some of the ones that are still there uh hanging out outside of los angeles waiting to offload as we can see there's quite a lot uh they're sitting there waiting so shipping on the east coast is also affected with thousands of ships being at anchor outside ports waiting to unload or being diverted elsewhere and again for anyone who doesn't understand why this is such a big problem the short version is that our national and even global logistics networks have always had serious problems our logistical systems barely work as is but because barely working is still technically working very few people care or pay attention to things like this so when you take a system that is just barely chucking along and just barely functioning and you increase demand sharply while the logistical networks can't handle it anymore which is a huge problem and since everything is so interconnected since our logistical transport capacity is so small compared to the amount of goods that need to be shipped you have a lot of random shortages happen there's only so much space so the there's an opportunity cost for each load of cargo right and the choice of shipping one item over another can make a huge difference simply one ship unloading its cargo before another ship or one train taking one less freight car than it could will result in localized shortages of random goods in random places around the country and for significant governmental actions not a lot of great news this time so up first there new york has begun the process of terminating doctors for not complying with the medical mandates and in turn has activated thousands of national guard soldiers to assist with the personnel shortages that are a direct result of this so new york is freely admitting that they they have created this crisis and they are perfectly fine with that arrangement because they're calling in the soldiers to fill the gap so we'll come back to that one in just a second when it comes to the national guard deployments but moving on to number two there as expected another round of purges from social media has begun with youtube itself announcing that they will be outright deleting videos and content that goes against the regime's narrative on the medical procedure that cannot be named so we're in a really tough spot because the regime is coming out and stating in places like the actual manufacturers of these medical um substances are coming out and stating a lot of stuff and they're being quite open about how ineffective this stuff is like for instance the cdc director rochelle wilinsky just the other day stated that the jab cannot prevent transmission you know you've got places like webster's and you know dictionary and the cdc changing the definition of that v word online so that it's no longer the same word as before so we're in this really weird spot where the regime is freely admitting that this this stuff is uh really just about control and totalitarian you know things like that but youtube still wants to take it wants to take up for them so we can't even show the regime talking about the regime's own ideology which is strange so um yeah again pardon this for having to talk and encode so much that is really the only thing that is keeping us from getting outright deleted from youtube at this point so um i guess we're just going for confusing the algorithms instead of uh trying to go against them i guess but in any case i should mention that we here back up all of our videos to odyssey which is in the description uh just like always so i thought i should mention that that you know youtube you if you have another youtube channel that you like um and they're uh they're definitely questioning the regime's narrative even though the regime itself is questioning the narrative in a lot of cases youtube is probably going to delete them so you can of course there are a lot of third-party websites which will allow you to take the link of a youtube video and download the video so i would recommend that for any videos that you find that are particularly interesting on youtube we do that with our own videos just to make sure that we've got everything backed up separately on all kinds of different drives and stuff so i just thought i should point that out as well moving on to number three uh millie the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff testified before congress he was called to testify based on well i guess the allegations of treason but as far as his actual testimony goes you can actually you know watch it download it whatever if you want um there's really not much intel value with this other than merely doubling down on everything uh confirming that he did in fact commit treason but the sticking point is that what everyone else calls trees and he calls doing his job so again it's not really there's not really much to learn here it's just interesting to note and it is very important i think in a larger aspect to keep in mind the mindset and the political ideology of senior military leadership as we move forward into an age of military deployments on u.s soil which i will talk about in just a bit moving on to number four even more concrete proof has come to light that confirms the biden regime is preventing americans from getting back home from afghanistan you can read the specific details yourself but the biden regime particularly the state department has a long track record at this point of preventing u.s citizens from getting home but also allowing non-siv and non-green card holding afghan refugees to wander unguarded around us military bases so this is a much larger story a lot of people have done a lot better job at covering this development uh than us because there's i think that there's a lot of journalistic value there but there's not really a whole lot to analyze for us other than yeah this is a concern and we need to watch out for this stuff but really when it comes to national level policy and what the federal government is doing you know best thing we can do is watch unfortunately with a lot of this refugee type stuff so again something that we've talked about a lot already um i just wanted to provide yet another example of the regime's behavior on this for posterity's sake i guess and number five finally the infrastructure bill is back in the press for some reason which is perplexing to us because we and hundreds of other entities covered this months ago when the infrastructure bill was introduced but for some reason this tax per mile program is drawing outrage once again even though it probably should have been drawing outrage months ago so here it is this is an actual screenshot of the issue in question the per mile tax on citizens pilot program again don't just take our word for it or our screenshots that could easily be doctored you can actually read the full document itself the link is is in the sources after this but this clearly outlines the creation of a per mile tax on all drivers eventually nationwide now currently as this bill is written this is a pilot program but anyone with any common sense can see the language of this pilot program is to establish infrastructure to actually work out the logistics of how to tax people clearly this feasibility study is really just instituting the creation of this logistical system which we think will almost immediately not be a pilot program but a full-on thing or they'll just keep calling it a pilot program decades into the future after every single vehicle in the united states has a tracker in it now interestingly this bill also highlights how they plan to do it right here as we can clearly see there will be trackers placed in your car excuse me the cars the pilot program participants now we can get into the weeds of how this will work when the bill passes and we kindly get the first ideas of what kinds of tracking devices they will use also as we pointed out months ago they honestly don't even need to have tracking devices in everyone's car all they need is a network of automated license plate readers which are networked with law enforcement i.t networks so that you won't be able to drive on the road without your plate being flagged as not being registered under this system and considering that the funding for this is 10 million dollars you know it's really hard to tell where that money is going to go it doesn't say in in the bill list i'm showing you probably 90 percent of the text to the bill as it's written so it's hard to say as to how this will actually work out it's basically just a blank check of 10 million dollars to set this system up and again a slight digression to kind of put things in perspective we here always try to balance what we call the the freak out point for for lack of a better term conveying exactly how concerned to be is always difficult it is really almost impossible to convey the sense of urgency to someone who is not an expert in a particular field sometimes it's just easier to tell people when it's worth freaking out over something our classic example of this is that if i were out and about walking around town and i just happened to see a bomb disposal technician and full kit and everything uh sprinting away from something i don't even care what's going on i'm going to break all land speed records to outpace them even though i have no idea what's going on i'm just going to assume that there's something that i don't understand that's going on and i'm going to defer to that trusted expert until i can figure out what's up and make my own decisions so when it comes to stuff like this the u.s government literally telling you that they are going to put tracking devices in your vehicle we would recommend having the same level of concern as if the government told you that they were putting a tracking device in your vehicle yes this is a volunteer pilot program but we can all assess how that's going to go there's nothing so permanent as a temporary government program also this program is voluntary yes the us government seems to think that people are going to line up to voluntarily pay taxes on each mile they drive i mean i guess this is good news for the folks that are fans of volunteerism this is an outstanding way to see how that's going to work out but my own personal assessment is that this voluntary pilot program will be about as voluntary as the medical mandates are the good news is is that the u.s government tracking every person's vehicle in the u.s is going to be a massive logistical nightmare it will be easy to defeat easy to just say no to and almost impossible to enforce plus most people go out of their way to hide their income and avoid paying taxes anyway and even then it is highly unlikely that the us government reaches a point in which they will be able to send a swat team to your specific house because you unplug your tracking chip sure they can get big names and resistance leadership but they can't get everyone and the us government already has a hard enough time getting everyone to pay their taxes as is yeah this is a gateway to some really horrifically bad stuff but it's also something that we can easily fight so hopefully that explains what we think the appropriate level of concern is over this particular governmental action it is worth being aware of and definitely worth taking concrete steps to disrupt deny and dismantle these systems once we get an understanding of exactly how this is going to work out but for now there really isn't much that's worth completely freaking out over and i go out of the way to over explain the appropriate freakout level the appropriate level of concern to have because of the next slide i am sure that this slide will get screenshot and posted all around the internet and it will probably set the comments section on fire but since we've mostly really stopped reading comments i just wanted to show you some of the most significant troop deployments around the country since there seemed to be quite a lot and as governors activate their national guard units the american public is having a lot of interaction with the national guard in a lot of areas so we thought it would be handy for people to know what's going on and where these units are located just in case someone sees a convoy or something or walks into a hospital and sees it staffed with soldiers we get a lot of messages from people who see military units moving around which are almost always units just going to training or something but again with so many guardians deployed around the country i thought it would be helpful to start covering this there are probably tens of thousands of national guard troops deployed around the country for anything from wildfire response to helping stock food banks and other genuinely good and decent missions so keep in mind that this is this slide only shows the deployments that we think might be helpful to know about because a lot of these states have really not been good about letting their populations know that their local hospitals are now staffed with soldiers and as far as symbology goes i'm sorry if this looks atrocious i just tried to go for a blend of something like you know mil standard 25 and something that blends a little bit better so moving on to the most significant one which is massachusetts so in massachusetts the 26 maneuver enhancement brigade of the massachusetts national guard they're the unit that is providing soldiers to drive kids to school for this school bus driver shortage as far as how many soldiers are actually being deployed for this uh numbers are not clear at the moment we know several hundred at least but we're thinking probably more than that so for right now i'm just keeping it at at the brigade level just until we have an understanding of how many are actually out there driving these school buses and vans and such and moving on to new york uh the largest deployment by far for the entire united states is most likely going to be the new york 42nd infantry division so again keeping the symbology there of a division we don't know how many people of from the 42nd will be deployed most likely it will be the 122 medical battalion along with others but again they're not deployed they're just you know the dashed outline there indicates projected unit positions so yeah they're going to be deploying a considerable amount of troops to staff hospitals now again they're most likely not going to have enough doctors so they're going to probably deploy a lot of infantry soldiers as well in order to fill other staff roles like cleaning and food services and things like that so when a lot of these states say they're deploying their national guard a lot of times they're not even deploying medical personnel or the medical personnel that they had have already been deployed so a lot of these national guard units are deploying infantry assets or some kind of you know engineering assets for various support roles and things like that moving on down to texas the 36th infantry division really just elements of that division mostly the 72nd brigade combat team and the 11th medical battalion they're down there supporting the enduring border mission which texas is calling operation lone star other states have sent small elements of national guard soldiers down to the border as well but it's really hard to track all of them because we're talking thousands of soldiers at this point is down there on the border so once we have a better understanding as to where and which units are down there we'll provide that update as well jumping back to ohio several school districts have actually requested the governor activate the national guard to help with the shortage of school bus drivers as well and the governor has signaled that that they will be doing this and press statements confirm that hundreds of soldiers are currently being trained to drive buses and other vehicles so again this deployment is projected so we don't have any specific units just yet uh moving down to the rest of the south alabama a really small element probably a dozen or so doctors nurses and medics are helping out local hospitals down there georgia same thing slightly more people about a company-sized element of soldiers have been called up to be spread across about a dozen hospitals throughout the state of georgia and also the similar situation in south carolina just a small handful of troops deployed really those are just medical only troops maybe about a platoon's worth spread around the entire state moving out west to wyoming their governor reported that they have roughly 200 people hospitalized with the virus at the moment so he has activated about a hundred soldiers to be spread across hospitals in 16 cities around the state montana similar story about a company's worth of soldiers are being deployed at about half a dozen hospitals around the state and moving back to kentucky a little bit more nefarious reporting coming from kentucky it looks like kentucky is having the same situation that new york might be having we've been receiving reports that kentucky hospitals have been firing and replacing hospital personnel with national guard soldiers for months now again that's really hard to verify because we can't tell we're not exactly getting termination papers in our inboxes for each person that's fired so we can't tell exactly down to the ground what's actually going on i'm just saying that this is what we've been seeing reported around social media kind of a lot so since there's enough of people talking about i just wanted to point out that you know right now there's about a battalion's worth of soldiers scattered around most major hospitals in the state and it looks like most of them are coming from the 149th meb and wrapping things up with oregon oregon has been really proactive i should say about deploying their national guard troops for pretty much any reason so they've activated the air national guard several thousand soldiers from different components of national guard units all around the state to support local hospitals so it's really kind of hard to figure out what kind of personnel are going to places but it seems like it's mostly just uh your infantry mos is from either the air national guard however they do things and how the army does things basically saying it's not medical personnel it's largely not medical personnel that are that are being deployed because the medical personnel for oregon's national guard units have already been deployed for months now so really there's they're just calling up thousands more troops uh to fill supporting roles hopefully that's helpful in understanding the largest deployments around the country i know i missed a lot of deployments here and there but this this takes a lot of time to research combing through official pao websites or social media or or each state's executive orders it just takes a while to compile all of this data and usually when a national guard mission goes down it'll happen and then people will forget about it so even though soldiers are deployed for months to some location after a couple of weeks the news stops caring about it so now we're having to go back and dig up news articles talking about a specific unit being deployed months ago even though they're still there so really hard to do and it's hard to categorize all this information and make sure that it actually is as accurate as possible so as time goes on we'll hopefully have even more data to go off of and moving forward into the k-12 public school mask mandates really the biggest update from last briefing is south carolina so south carolina has entered into a confusing legal mess so here's what we've got we have the south carolina supreme court ruling that masks cannot be mandated which gave huge legal support to the mask mandate ban but a federal judge came in and halted the mass mandate ban after that the governor said that the state would appeal it to the u.s supreme court so we have a combination of many things happening the south carolina supreme court says that masks cannot be mandated and a federal judge said that the mass mandate bans are halted which are two separate things in the south carolina supreme court based on the opinion that was written on their earlier decision makes it extremely unlikely that they will go against the federal court ruling but the governor and the legislature clearly is going against the federal judge by announcing lawsuits and things like that oh and on top of all of this all of the school districts all over the state are just making up their own rules at this point you could have a kid going to school in one district and be living a pretty normal life well as normal as to be expected from the public school system but a kid who lives across the street in a different district is engaged in a very tyrannical situation so of course people who live in south carolina have much more knowledge about this than we do but just for people living in other states uh south carolina's situation is a good way to illustrate just how complex the public school situation has become and also kentucky a slight error that i missed kentucky originally months ago had a mass mandate statewide right no no exceptions right but the state legislature overturned that executive order last month however after digging around we found that 96 percent of all the school districts in kentucky have a mass mandate so yeah the mandate got overturned but almost all school districts have kept the mandate so i thought that was worth keeping kentucky red on the map so just so you know and for the jab mandates california has announced that gavin newsom announced that california will be making the jab mandatory for all k-12 students no exceptions in all school districts moving forward i don't think it's actually occurred just yet but it's making the rounds and all the usual sites this morning so i thought i'd mention it and also just as a reminder that usually when something happens in california of a tyrannical nature it makes its way to other states as well so my guess is probably new york is going to do the same or something similar along with a smattering of other very uh historically tyrannical states particularly if they have the same political leadership that they had during the initial crisis so uh really this is the only update for this slide and overall really no change to what we're seeing with regards to individual states uh resistance to the medical mandates i guess we're still in just wait and see mode when it comes to what states are going to do when it comes to lawsuits and things like that so we'll see and we'll update this as time goes on and for international issues this time up first are iran and azerbaijan so tensions are quite high in the region at the moment azerbaijan has been quite cozy with israel lately actually over the past few years so the israelis have sold azerbaijan quite literally hundreds of millions of dollars in weapons and other defense technologies which has obviously made the iranians quite upset to have a sort of quasi-military defense ally to these to israel on their northern border so iran is currently holding the first ever military exercise on the border with azerbaijan which azerbaijan has reciprocated by holding exercises on their side of the border so classic tit for tat military deployment story i guess we'll see how this goes as we move forward into the next few weeks moving on to north korea just a quick update the missile that they launched back on the 30th of september was a new sam system turns out so so for those of you keeping score at home that makes it the fourth completely new missile system that north korea has launched in just the past couple of weeks so they are really pulling out all the stops to keep up with the shows of force that japan and south korea have been conducting so that arms race is probably going to continue to increase as time goes on but north korea has got to be running out of new systems to test considering that their economy is it's north korea's economy right so it's not like there uh have a whole lot of extra stuff just lying around right and moving down to australia a bit of good news coming out of new south wales uh their premiere gladys barrett jiglian has resigned due to a corruption scandal uh so this corruption scandal is separate from the medical tyranny stuff that's made her famous uh bear giclee has a very long history of being tied up in financial scandals and in this case it stems from her having a secret relationship with a member of parliament who was the center of a years-long massive bribery scandal so she has stepped down to distance herself from this and i guess we'll see how this works out with the whole corruption thing not really sure how this is going to go as we move forward and moving back to china so china has been at it again with their flying their aircraft into taiwan's airspace so for those of you who've been following us welcome to our world uh it does seem that like it happens quite a lot china has been flying aircraft into taiwan's ada's for what decades now i guess so it's nothing new it's just that we try to keep note of things when they happen to be pretty big flights and this time it was uh 25 aircraft so that's usually about the the number of aircraft they fly when china is really super mad at taiwan over something china's trying to both bully taiwan and and expand their territory and their control of the south china sea and stuff like that this is probably going to be a staple for the next foreseeable future as the tensions between taiwan and china uh continue to increase and finally the united kingdom they uh just a quick update from last time the the uk has actually activated their military get fueled where it's needed so like i mentioned last time it's not so much a shortage of fuel so much as it is a shortage of fuel truck drivers which again is for a lot of different reasons but it's to the point where the military is involved which is is never really a good thing uh when it comes to the logistics of things um so any time the military gets involved to help move supplies around in a country it means that the civilian networks have failed so that's and that's not good right so hopefully they'll be able to get the uh trucking shortage under control very soon and go back to a normal type system but uh yeah we're definitely gonna keep our eyes on this as time moves on so that's really all i've got for today i know a lot of data being thrown out today and a lot of really boring and monotonous stuff but hey this stuff can't always be entertaining unfortunately but uh thank you for those of you that stuck around so far and thank you again to all of our patreon supporters who have really helped us out quite a lot as we move forward so here are your slides for today i know i decreased the font size sorry if you have a hard time reading that but as always you can get these slides from our odyssey page the link of which is in the description so a lot of information is packed down in our description box which we would highly recommend everybody checking out so that's it for today thanks again for watching and we'll see you next time and as always fight in the shade