ATP 2-33.4, page 123
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
2014 public edition (Archive.org)
Searchable page text (OCR / PDF)
Emerging Analytic Techniques
18 August 2014
ATP 2-33.4
A-19
KNOWLEDGE PLANNING
A-98. Knowledge planning is a dynamic and collaborative methodology for the identification and
satisfaction of critical information needs.
Facts
A-99. Knowledge planning provides a mechanism for linking operational requirements with information
collection strategies and capabilities; that is, linking critical information needs with—
Relevant knowledge centers (Defense intelligence enterprise, intelligence warfighting function).
Collection assets.
Specific target areas.
Operational parametric (time-accuracy-resolution).
Standing collection requirements.
The Method
A-100. Knowledge planning is comprised of the following steps:
Step 1. Review and refine critical information needs (decisionmaker and operations).
Step 2. Determine priorities (decisionmaker and operations).
Step 3. Determine target areas (decisionmaker and operations).
Step 4. Determine critical information needs priority and time, accuracy, resolution parametrics
(decisionmaker and operations).
Step 5. Review and refine information and intelligence requirements (intelligence).
Step 6. Determine requirements (decisionmaker and operations).
Step 7. Determine sensor requirements (intelligence).
Step 8. Determine knowledge center requirements (intelligence).
Step 9. Determine processing and dissemination requirements (intelligence).
A-101. An example of knowledge planning would be the development of a knowledge plan for a brigade
combat team scheduled to deploy to a foreign country.
RULES FOR VERIFICATION
A-102. Rules for Verification is a problem-solving methodology designed to establish likelihoods, not
certainty, of hypotheses.
Facts
A-103. Rules for Verification can be applied to situation development (updating intelligence assessments),
developing collection strategies, and conducting assessment.
The Method
A-104. There are seven Rules for Verification commonly used by intelligence personnel:
Rule 1. A hypothesis is more believable when a consequence of that hypothesis is verified.
When a piece of evidence is verified that is supportive of the hypothesis, the hypothesis becomes
more believable.
Rule 2. The credibility of a hypothesis increases as the different means used to test the
hypothesis support it. Hypothesis becomes more creditable when different collection disciplines
verify supporting evidence, or different sources within the same discipline.
Rule 3. Confidence in a hypothesis increases as the observable bits of evidence that support the
hypothesis bear some proximity to each other.