Dec 20 Intel Update: More Substation Attacks
th of December in Southern Pines that attack was not the only one uh there have been several others uh there was one uh back on the 11th of November in Maysville North Carolina this one…
bite of seattle
About 400 results · showing 1–20 · page 1 of 20
The Wire - May 04, 2026
…Last night, President Trump announced the creation of "Project Freedom", a plan to allegedly "guide" third-party commercial ships out of the Persian Gulf, so as to at least get non-affiliated ships out of the…
Intel Update - August 31 - The Importance of Awareness
…serious problem uh there are thousands of Venezuela Nationals a lot of them refugees a lot of them naturalized but there's sort of like how a lot of people are surprised to find that there…
The Wire - February 21, 2024
…UKMTO has issued a warning to commercial vessels, highlighting the threat of loitering munitions in the southern Red Sea.
-Homefront-
USA: The Biden regime has announced the cancellation of an additional $1.2 billion of student…
The Wire - August 4, 2025
Regarding this specific case, the use of explosives in California is common enough that this did not get national news coverage until it was revealed that the man who was arrested, was a member of the…
The Wire - December 1, 2025
…All of this is rumor at the moment, however in the interest of expediency it's worth being aware of. On Sunday, President Trump conducted a phone call with Nicolas Maduro, the contents of which have…
Intel Update - November 16 - Hope and Realism
hat are probably going to have a fairly big shakeup uh in terms of who has already been kind of nominated to lead some of these agencies so I guess we'll see how it works…
The Wire Weekly Rollup - March 3-9, 2024
he Panhandle have impacted beef prices following the the destruction of 1.3 million Acres of grazing land recovery efforts are underway to provide feed for ranchers affected by the disaster analyst comment though the impact…
The Wire - July 15, 2024
main under scrutiny, with many questions remaining with major details of the event. The shooter has been identified by authorities as Thomas Matthew Crooks of Bethel Park, Pennsylvania. AC: In the fog of information warfare immediately…
The Wire - September 1, 2026
…Overnight, Iranian targeting of merchant shipping continued, with a total of 3-4x vessels being struck since the targeting in the Strait of Hormuz re-ignited over the weekend. At least two of these targeting efforts…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 133
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Reports of thefts or sudden shortages of chemicals, which could be used in the clandestine manufacture
of explosives.
Reports of large open-market purchases of explosives-related chemicals without an identifiable industrial
use.
Appearance of manufactured…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 130
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Reports of large donations to new or revamped organizations.
Reports of payment to locals for engaging in subversive or hostile activities.
Reports of the formation of opposition paramilitary or militia organizations.
Reports of lists of targets…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 134
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Change of residence of suspected agitators or opposition leaders.
Discovery of message dead drops.
Increased smuggling of currency, gold, gems, narcotics, medical supplies, and arms into urban centers.
Appearance of abnormal amounts of counterfeit currency.
Increase…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 41
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…The following can assist when using subjective probability:
© Draw a circle and allocate slices of the circle or “pie” where the relative size of the slice of pie
for a hypothesis represents how likely the analyst…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 39
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…e Leverage the expertise of a group of analysts during the construction of an event tree to ensure
all important events, factors, and decision options are considered.
SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY
3-37. Subjective probability is a quantitative…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 59
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Mathematical analysis is the use of simple mathematical
ratios to answer intelligence questions. This normally includes the use of ratios or the comparison of gross
numbers. The following scenarios show examples of ratio comparisons.
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 7
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
Preface
ATP 2-33.4 provides information on how intelligence personnel conduct intelligence analysis in support of
unified land operations. It describes approaches used to conduct intelligence analysis and describes how
intelligence analysis assists commanders with…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 137
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
18 August 2014
ATP 2-33.4
Glossary-1
Glossary
SECTION I – ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS
ACH
Analysis of Competing Hypotheses
ADP
Army doctrine publication
ADRP
Army doctrine reference publication
AO
area of operations
ASCOPE
area, structures…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 1
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Destroy by any method that will prevent disclosure of contents or reconstruction of the
document.
Headquarters, Department of the Army
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
ATP 2-33.4
Intelligence Analysis
August 2014
DISTRIBUTION RESTRICTION: Distribution authorized…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 143
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
ATP 2-33.4
18 AUGUST 2014
By order of the Secretary of the Army:
RAYMOND T. ODIERNO
General, United States Army
Chief of Staff
Official:
GERALD B. O’KEEFE
Administrative Assistant to the
Secretary of…