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Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 37

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…As an option, add a number on links or decision points in each hypothesis and, on a separate piece of paper, write down the evidence for each number to be collected that would disprove that link…
The Wire · 2026-08-28

The Wire - August 28, 2026

…The one determining factor is the underlying energy crisis, and what happens when a global maritime choke point remains in the conflict zone for this long. Uncharted territory is ahead, and in terms of the tactical…
The Wire · 2025-12-15

The Wire - December 15, 2025

The shooter's identity remains unknown, and many other details are extremely conflicting at best, to the point that even journalists are becoming frustrated with the press conferences on the situation offering up very little information…
The Wire · 2026-03-30

The Wire - March 30, 2026

…Considering Huckabee's infamy on this issue at this point, combined with the historical record (and the biblical context), it's a helpful barometer to gauge how serious of an incident this was, which increases tensions…
S2 briefing

GhostNotes

Hello everyone, welcome to GhostNotes, a project to convert a lot of the S2 Underground's research notes, investigations, data points, links, and much more, to the Obsidian platform. For those who might not be familiar…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 51

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…An enemy force will go to great efforts to deceive us by portraying indications which point to the adoption of a COA that the enemy does not intend to adopt. Enemy forces may use patterns associated…
The Wire · 2024-08-05

The Wire - August 5, 2024

…At some point, but especially when it comes to the long-term reflections of the financial sector, common sense is a more valuable tool than the micro-analysis of a specific incident. Middle East: As the…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 10

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…The examples are designed to provide a starting point for more in-depth specific analysis for an operation. Term Changes Not applicable. viii ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Introduction viii ATP 2-33.4…
The Wire · 2024-03-17

The Wire Weekly Rollup - March 17-23, 2024

…agents daily analyst comment as a reminder deportations have slowed to being nearly non-existent at this point with even the DHS confirming that the overwhelming majority of illegals encountered at the border are released into…
Below the Tearline · 2024-07-19

Below the Tearline: Trump Shooting Hotwash

…trying to use some more doctrinal ter terminology we can say that the shooter occupied a vantage point that served as key terrain right where is your copy of the battle staff smart book right key…
The Wire · 2025-11-12

The Wire - November 12, 2025

…Economic indicators are also a data point to consider even in the world of national defense, to set conditions and expectations on the homefront before a military campaign, for instance. Now, right at the crux of…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 32

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…Basic structured analytic techniques are the starting point for most analysis and are unlikely to provide an answer to intelligence challenges on their own. However, they will provide insight that will support problem solving. The techniques…
The Wire · 2024-04-13

The Wire - April 13, 2024

…blockade of the straight of Hormuz has been a wartime training scenario for decades considering the impact that this Maritime choke point has on global economics this concludes the wire for 1900 Zulu April 13th 2024
The Wire · 2026-03-31

The Wire - March 31, 2026

…However, at this point, that kill-chain has not been disrupted to a sufficient degree, and Iranian forces routinely conduct over-the-horizon targeting capability. So in short, it may be some time before even the…
The Wire · 2026-08-21

The Wire - August 21, 2026

…At no point in the indictment did the DoJ ever allege that she was in communication with actual ISIS members; she was only talking to FBI agents who encouraged her to try some haphazard attack. Per…
S2 briefing · 2023-06-24

The Other Side of COIN: Analyzing Civilian Cities (ASCOPE and PMESII)

ion what's the point of putting it on the map you can put raw facts on the map all day long and you can use this nice little chart to help you remember what to…
S2 Book Club · 2023-10-05

S2 Book Club: Spymaster - Startling Cold War Revelations of a Soviet KGB Chief

…000 phone calls between senior East German Military Officers and their staff so again this kind of points out some of the difficulties of working in international Espionage it's not as simple as you might…
The Wire · 2025-03-27

The Wire - March 27, 2025

…In the age of data privacy being very hard to achieve, the various digital breadcrumbs left by those in government is a point of targeting by malign actors. Of course, this problem has existed for a…
The Wire · 2024-09-04

The Wire - September 4, 2024

. This “restructuring” also highlights the fact that Zelensky himself is technically unelected at this point as his own term of office ended in May, with him only remaining in power due to his own declaration of…
The Wire · 2024-05-21

The Wire - May 21, 2024

…other two with disastrous results it is also possible that extreme weather conditions restricted visibility to the point that the formation broke up with each pilot managing their own aircraft out of the valley this is…

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