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… Table B-1 on page B-2—Offensive indicators.  Table B-2 on page B-3—Defensive indicators.  Table B-3 on page B-4—Delaying indicators.  Table B-4 on page…

…The intelligence warfighting function focuses first on the threat network and second on the neutral network. ATP 2-33.4— Discusses analysis techniques performed by all intelligence Soldiers and civilians in each of the intelligence disciplines…

…If you are mapping and you suddenly remember you need to pick up your cleaning, put down “cleaning” on the side of the map. Otherwise you will become fixated on the cleaning chore. e@ = = Write on…

…Connections are drawn on the board between different entities and nodes, using markers. This method has several benefits: • A potentially larger picture can be seen on a white board than what may be seen on a…

Emerging Analytic Techniques 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 A-15 matrix, focusing on a single item of evidence or argument and examining how it relates to each hypothesis. Now, work down the matrix, looking…

…It prepares for possible contingencies based on the best available information and uses forces and resources apportioned in strategic planning documents. It relies heavily on assumptions about political and military circumstances that will exist when the…

…Moreover, establishing how much confidence one puts in analytic judgments ultimately rests on how accurate and reliable the information base is. Analysts essentially must judge the accuracy and reliability of the information. Thus, checking the relative…

…Decide which events, factors, or decisions (for example, variables) will have the greatest influence on the alternatives or possibilities identified in step 1. e@ Step 3. Decide on the sequencing in which these factors are expected…

…Intelligence analysis support to any operation involves separating useful information from misleading information, using experience and reasoning, and reaching an assessment or conclusion based on fact and/or sound judgment. The conclusion is based on the…

…Develop a chain of reasoning based on as much on logic as on evidence to explain how this outcome could have come about.  Step 4. Think backwards from the event in concrete ways, specifying what…

… All incidents are marked on the time-wheel matrix and the calendar.  Noteworthy events may be annotated with footnotes. If the analyst uses this method, the symbol must be marked on both the time…

Joint Operations Across the Range of Military Operations V-65 For further information on redeployment, refer to JP 3-35, Deployment and Redeployment Operations. For further guidance on considerations for termination of operations, refer to JP…

…Further, the JFC should integrate HN legal personnel into the command legal staff as soon as practical to provide guidance on unique HN domestic legal practices and customs. For more detailed information and guidance on legal…

…The two-dimensional design of matrices limits their use for collating data on complex issues. Leaving out pertinent data easily oversimplifies an issue. Figure 3-1 on page 3-4 matrix shows one method of cross…

…Electronic versions are available on JDEIS at https://jdeis.js.mil (NIPRNET) and http://jdeis.js.smil.mil (SIPRNET), and on the JEL at http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine (NIPRNET). b. Only approved JPs and joint…

…e Persistence on impressions. When evidence is received, there is a tendency to think of connections that explain the evidence. Impressions are based on these connections. Although the evidence eventually may be discredited, the connection remains…

…Electronic versions are available on JDEIS at https://jdeis.js.mil (NIPRNET), and http://jdeis.js.smil.mil (SIPRNET), and on the JEL at http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine (NIPRNET). b. Only approved JPs and joint…

…e In this case there was high uncertainty; depending on what level of reliability one assumed, the analyst could arrive at very different conclusions about a potential Soviet offensive operation. e@ Or when economists assess the…

…For more detailed information on Red Teaming, see the Red Team Handbook, published by the University of Foreign Military and Cultural Studies in Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. Analysts may also consider attending one of the Red Team…

…The analyst should assess key reporting based on four sets of criteria: @ Does the threat have the motive, opportunity, and means? = Motive. (What are the threat’s goals?) = Channels. (What means are available?) = Risks. (What are…