The Factional State of America
and sort of organization has changed right now they are organizing peaceful protests that they're calling peaceful but they're telling people to bring things like bats bring eye protection bring helmets br you know…
house of representatives
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"Regular" Intel Brief NOT AFGHANISTAN UPDATE - 24 AUG 2021
want well here's here's the thing on that for those of you who have not heard our many many many hours of content and podcasts and other videos on this topic it is our…
Dec 25 Intel Update: Hope Santa Brings a Javelin
…uh of the group of people that were well currently are still arrested and accused of this a significant number of people turned out to actually be fbi agents and most of the rest of these…
Jan 20 Intel Update: Cables and Corruption
had going on but i think that we can all kind of i think it's a softball assessment to say yeah the fbi was probably planning a lot of this so very interesting stuff indeed…
14 July Intel Update: Strategic Baselines
on comprising of Brazil Russia India China and South Africa there are other nations that are kind of like bricks Plus members uh that are not really members of the full-on brics organization but for…
S2 Book Club: Making Sense of The Troubles
rthern Ireland to remain part of the United Kingdom so they wanted a more unionist uh kind of approach to things conversely to that we had the Republicans the Catholics who were mostly all about wanting…
Intel Update - November 16 - Hope and Realism
hat are probably going to have a fairly big shakeup uh in terms of who has already been kind of nominated to lead some of these agencies so I guess we'll see how it works…
Intel Update - Dec. 21 - Misaligned Judgement Calls
…some reason the tens of millions of people that live in this area and the thousands of professional photographers still have not gotten uh really any good image of of any of these uh alleged drones…
Intel Update - March 22 - Complex Complacency
or numbered like executive orders traditionally are however in this case if you read through the document yourself you can see that it it's mostly meant to make the Department of Education toothless uh for…
The Wire GRINTSUM May 5-11, 2024
t of these leftist groups because um when you look at the actual individual protester right A lot of times you'll see one protester being paid U because again the left is really the only…
S2 Book Club: The Fourth Turning
ake a look at that book which basically every political science major had to kind of memorize for like like you know a 10year period of time in public education any if you go through that…
Intel Update - Jan 25 - A Good Start
l down first of all we have the Vermont Daily Chronicle which is a local newspaper and they very obviously used the wrong photo to describe Teresa yung blute in their article here and this has…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 133
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Reports of thefts or sudden shortages of chemicals, which could be used in the clandestine manufacture
of explosives.
Reports of large open-market purchases of explosives-related chemicals without an identifiable industrial
use.
Appearance of manufactured…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 130
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Reports of large donations to new or revamped organizations.
Reports of payment to locals for engaging in subversive or hostile activities.
Reports of the formation of opposition paramilitary or militia organizations.
Reports of lists of targets…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 48
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
Chapter 4
QUALITY OF INFORMATION CHECK
4-20. The quality of information check technique evaluates the completeness and soundness of available
information, both independently and in conjunction with sources. If a major analytic assessment is planned…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 132
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Commodities indicators
Indicators of Negative Food-Related Activities
Diversion of crops or meat from markets.
Unexplained shortages of food supplies when there are no reports of natural causes.
Increased reports of foodstuffs pilfering.
Sudden increase in…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 12
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
Chapter 1
The Complexity of the Intelligence Task
From 2003 to 2007 intelligence personnel supporting brigade combat team
operations in Ninewa Province, Iraq, had to provide commanders with intelligence
assessments for an area over 60,000…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 21
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Point of View All reasoning is done from some point of view:
« Identify your point of view.
* Seek points of view from other analysts related to threat and other significant
aspects of the operational environments and…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 121
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
…Finally, the process is stopped after a predefined stop criterion (for
example, number of rounds, achievement of consensus, and stability of results). The mean or median scores
of the final rounds determine the results.
Facts
A…
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4
ATP 2-33.4, page 119
Intelligence Analysis
Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis
Emerging Analytic Techniques
18 August 2014
ATP 2-33.4
A-15
matrix, focusing on a single item of evidence or argument and examining how it relates to each
hypothesis. Now, work down the matrix, looking…