ministry of defense

…Although individual Services may accomplish tasks and missions in support of Department of Defense (DOD) objectives, the primary way DOD employs two or more Services (from two Military Departments) in a single operation, particularly in combat…

…The following can assist when using subjective probability: © Draw a circle and allocate slices of the circle or “pie” where the relative size of the slice of pie for a hypothesis represents how likely the analyst…

…Point of View All reasoning is done from some point of view: « Identify your point of view. * Seek points of view from other analysts related to threat and other significant aspects of the operational environments and…

…It discusses in detail the common techniques of deception detection, key assumptions check, quality of information check, indicators, and conducting studies. OVERVIEW 4-1. The primary purpose of diagnostic techniques is to make analytic arguments, assumptions…

…SROE are contained in a classified Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Instruction (CJCSI). The SROE provide implementation guidance on the inherent right of self-defense and the application of force for mission accomplishment. The…

Chapter 5 5-6 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Examples of Ratios There were 45 reports this month—15 more than last month. The force ratio is 3:1; 25% of route 1 has…

Appendix A A-10 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014  Draft a set of analytic papers in which the leader or group makes specific decisions, proposes recommendations, or lays out COAs. The more these…

…e Leverage the expertise of a group of analysts during the construction of an event tree to ensure all important events, factors, and decision options are considered. SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY 3-37. Subjective probability is a quantitative…

GL-5 PART II—TERMS AND DEFINITIONS accuracy of information. None. (Approved for removal from JP 1-02.) activity. 1. A unit, organization, or installation performing a function or mission. 2. A function, mission, action, or…

iii SUMMARY OF CHANGES REVISION OF JOINT PUBLICATION 3-0, DATED 17 SEPTEMBER 2006 (INCORPORATING CHANGE 2 DATED 22 MARCH 2010)  Incorporates a discussion of the art of joint command, including new ideas on command…

…Critical thinking is a deliberate process of thought whose purpose is to improve our thought. The elements of thought (the parts of our thinking) and the standards of thought (the quality of our thinking) 2-2…

…This bias involves the modification and elaboration of new information to fit prior conceptions of hypotheses. The bias is toward confirming a preconceived answer. © Anchoring Bias. This bias involves the use, often unwitting, of arbitrary values…

…It is the measured allocation of available combat power to such tasks as limited attacks, defense, delays, deception, or even retrograde operations to achieve mass elsewhere at the decisive point and time. f. Unity of Command…

…When forces are transferred between combatant commands, the command relationship the gaining commander will exercise (and the losing commander will relinquish) over these forces must be specified by the Secretary of Defense. Operational control is the…

…CJCSI 3160.01, No-Strike and the Collateral Damage Estimation Methodology details a specific CDE process followed Department of Defense (DOD)-wide. Targets with associated collateral damage concerns expected to exceed theater (combatant command) thresholds are…

…Based on guidance from the President and Secretary of Defense, geographic and functional combatant commanders (CCDRs) develop strategies that translate national and multinational strategic direction into strategic concepts or courses of action to meet joint operation…

…High threat target areas are normally attacked by packages with dedicated support, such as electronic jamming and defense suppression munitions. The shortened dynamic targeting planning window may not allow for the same level of support, thereby…

…Situational logic is the most common method of intelligence analysis and is sometimes called the area studies approach. This involves generating different hypotheses on the basis of considering concrete elements of the current situation. Broad, global…

…This function includes moving or deploying forces into an operational area and maneuvering them to operational depths for offensive and defensive purposes. It also includes assuring the mobility of friendly forces. The movement and maneuver function…

…All-source intelligence analysts study and provide mission-focused knowledge of the terrain and weather, civil considerations, and threat characteristics for a specified area or region of a foreign country— including the attitudes of the populace…