shawn ryan show

…It is important to know that using the association matrix without modification will show only the existence of relationships not the nature, degree, or duration of those relationships. Facts 5-34. A known association between individuals…

…Evaluate both the intangible and tangible facts, comparing them using mathematical ratios to show strengths and weaknesses of enemy and friendly forces.  Step 6. Draw conclusions based on the mathematical ratios in combination with the…

…The analyst may use colored and varying types of lines to show different activities (for example, green solid lines for money transfer, blue dotted lines for communications, solid black lines for activity).  Step 4. Review…

…Historical analysis shows that commander-centric organizations out-perform staff- centric, process-oriented organizations. A commander’s perspective of the challenge at hand is broader and more comprehensive than the staff’s due to interaction with…

…This example shows that understanding desired effects helps link joint force components’ tasks to the JFC’s objectives.

…Figure 3-5 shows an. example of subjective probability using an event tree. Satisfied Military 20% Giizenry 30% (| government Mubarak New Military resigns, Mubarak BO%F| control 60% leaving cronies} —] government} 60% Military: Cw in control…

…e As you expand the map, try to become more detailed. @ Use arrows or other visual aids to show the links between events in the scenario. 3-30. The following are steps for this technique: e…

…The Air Tasking Order Production Rhythm figure shows that on any given execution day, five ATOs are either being developed or processed. STAGE 5: EXECUTION PLANNING AND FORCE EXECUTION 35 Note: this modifies the joint definition…

…Figure 3-3 shows a simple example of event mapping. Brakired Ss it overthrown Military considered “neutral” Mubarak An orders welcotied Publicized troops in by people ‘on social Police sles considered hostile” ‘Anti- Democratic goverment elections…

…Review the categories the information is broken down into to determine which categories or combination of categories might show the trends or an abnormality that would provide insight into the problem being studied. Place data into…

…Plot the incidents on an overlay to show activity spatially. The analyst examines the incident overlay asking the following questions at a minimum:  What are the spatial distances between events? How near are the events…

…Figure IV-1 also shows the area of interest, which includes an enemy mechanized force that is located outside the theater of operations, but close enough to influence the JFC’s operations at some point in…

…Figure 5-17 shows a simple timeline. Figure 5-17. Timeline example The Method 5-108. Creating a chronology, or timeline, involves three steps:  Step 1. As you research the problem, ensure the relevant information…

…These should be marked by a distinctive medical emblem such as the Red Cross, Red Crescent, or some other internationally recognized symbol to show that they are for medical use. Known medical facilities and structures will…

…The CARVER technique provides a framework for comparing each COA against all others and helps to show the difference in importance between factors. MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS 5-20. Mathematical analysis is effective in determining the capabilities and…

…Commander-Centric Leadership Historical analysis shows that commander-centric organizations out-perform staff-centric, process- oriented organizations. A commander’s perspective of the challenge at hand is broader and more comprehensive than the staff’s due…

…Nonetheless, many power generator plants were destroyed later in the campaign, in part because traditional empirical measurements of electrical capacity showed that the Iraqis still had substantial usable resources. This hampered civilian recovery following the campaign…

…Because of its thoroughness, it is particularly appropriate for controversial issues when analysts want to leave an audit trail to show what they considered and how they arrived at their judgment. When working on difficult intelligence…

… Shows how a networked organization behaves and how that connectivity affects its behavior.  Allows analysts to assess the network’s design, how its member may or may not act autonomously, where the leadership resides…

…Automated models are also used to study the cascading effects and coupling of target systems to show how they could affect one another (e.g., the effect of dropping the electrical grid on POL production). (b…