true believers

…In instances in which observables support two different hypotheses, the simpler hypothesis stands a better chance of being true.

…This is especially true when a defending unit conducts noncontiguous operations. 4-108. The success of a unit defense may depend on protecting the support area from enemy attacks. Commanders must address the early detection and…

…Contingency or fallback plans may be needed in case one of the less likely alternatives turns out to be true.  Step 8. Identify milestones for future observation that may indicate events are taking a different…

…Integrating multiple indicators, reviewing high-value targets and the most likely enemy COA, and considering the enemy center of gravity will lead analysts to true threat intentions and capabilities. 4-33. Analysts— e@ Connect a series…

…The importance of offensive action is fundamentally true across all levels of war. (3) Commanders adopt the defensive only as a temporary expedient and must seek every opportunity to seize or regain the initiative. An offensive…

…Deterrence should be based on capability (having the means to influence behavior), credibility (maintaining a level of believability that the proposed actions may actual be employed), and communication (transmitting the intended message to the desired audience…

…A hypothesis is more believable when a consequence of that hypothesis is verified. When a piece of evidence is verified that is supportive of the hypothesis, the hypothesis becomes more believable.  Rule 2. The credibility…

…The surprise achieved by attacking through an area believed to be impassable may justify the effort expended in constructing these trails. Bypassing obstacles is the preferred method of overcoming obstacles. 3-72. Maintaining the offensive momentum…

…Incendiary ammunition, special weapons, and the ease with which incendiary devices can be constructed from gasoline and other flammables make fire a true threat in operations in built-up areas. During defensive operations, firefighting should be…

…Combat service support, in terms of its timeliness and anticipation of the true needs of the combat units, should sustain the tempo of operations. It should avoid the delivery of unwanted or unnecessary supplies. To achieve…

…This is especially true when automatic pumping facilities that normally handle rising water are deprived of power. Flooding makes storm and other sewer systems hazardous or impassable. In an NBC environment, chemical agents can be washed…

…Helicopters may be used to make demonstration landings in several different zones to deceive the enemy as to the true objective of an operation. (c) Helicopterborne assaults are normally conducted against undefended or lightly defended objectives…

…This is especially true for an NEO where avoiding conflict is a primary concern. c. Location. The geographic area into which operations are to be conducted will normally dictate some restrictions on operations. In an urban…

…Indicators based on a major confirmed commitment of forces are most likely to reflect the true situation. Step 4: Use Indicators 4-53. Indicators provide an objective baseline for tracking events, instilling rigor in the analytic…

…This is to deceive an enemy commander into believing that an attacking enemy force has achieved success. 4-52. Generally, defending forces have the advantage of preparing the terrain by reinforcing natural obstacles, fortifying positions, and…

without decisive engagement because it deceives the enemy as to the true location of the main defense. Other companies may then be employed in a series of battle positions and/or strongpoints in the center of…

…This is especially true in MOUT. The MAGTF commander must effectively integrate all the capabilities of the command element (CE), GCE, ACE, and CSSE to win the battle in the shortest amount of time with the…

…All staff sections can recommend potential PIRs that they believe meet the JFC’s guidance. However, the joint force J-2 has overall staff responsibility for consolidating PIR nominations and for providing the staff recommendation to…

…That may be true, and we applaud attempts to grow and improve network efficiency. However, in many cases these claims of “efficiency” are less about improving a network, and more about getting users to use a…

…This data collection effort is essential to: (1) Evaluate the full extent of target physical and functional damage. (2) Determine the true effectiveness of employed delivery systems and munitions. (3) Critique and improve the assessment analysis…