Chapter 5 5-12 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Figure 5-4. Example activities matrix LINK DIAGRAM 5-42. A link diagram graphically displays connections between individuals, organizations, and activities. Link diagrams are created…

Analytic Support to Decisive Action 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 6-11 6-28. Analysts involved in security cooperation activities must be prepared to teach analysis to their counterparts and encourage them to participate…

18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 6-1 PART THREE Considerations for Decisive Action and Unique Missions Chapter 6 Analytic Support to Decisive Action This chapter describes the analytical support to decisive action. It addresses…

Emerging Analytic Techniques 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 A-7 A-39. The key steps of stage one are—  Ask: “How can the event occur?”  Examine causal history. Key on a small…

Appendix B B-2 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Table B-1. Offensive indicators Activity Explanation Massing of maneuver elements, armor, artillery, and logistic support. May indicate the main effort by weakening areas of…

Appendix A A-12 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 A-70. n addition, usage of the Multiple Scenarios Generation technique offers ancillary benefits, such as—  Enabling the analyst to potentially see when and…

Emerging Analytic Techniques 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 A-17 significant, and to foresee future developments for which there may be little concrete evidence at the moment. A-90. Applying theory can be used…

Introduction ATP 2-33.4 discusses doctrinal techniques: non-prescriptive ways or methods for performing missions, functions, or tasks as they apply to intelligence analysis. The intelligence warfighting function focuses first on the threat network and…

Chapter 5 5-32 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014  Conversely, if events seem to happen more rapidly than expected, is it possible that the analyst has information related to multiple targets?  Are…

Emerging Analytic Techniques 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 A-15 matrix, focusing on a single item of evidence or argument and examining how it relates to each hypothesis. Now, work down the matrix, looking…

Appendix A A-4 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 HIGH IMPACT/LOW PROBABILITY A-18. High impact/low probability analysis highlights a seemingly unlikely event that would have a major consequence if it occurred…

Appendix A A-8 ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 BRAINSTORMING A-48. Analysts use the brainstorming technique in the same manner as it is used for developing situational understanding and conclusions as discussed in…

…18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 2-9 Analytic Skills 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 2-9 Intellectual Autonomy 2-31. Intellectual autonomy is thinking for oneself while adhering to standards of rationality…

Indicators in Decisive Action 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 B-5 Table B-4. Withdrawal indicators Activity Explanation Systematic destruction of bridges, communication facilities, and other assets. Denies advancing force the use of infrastructure…

Indicators in Decisive Action 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 B-9 Table B-7. Commodities indicators (continued) Indicators of Negative Arms and Ammunition-Related Activities (continued) Increase in armed robberies. Reports of thefts or…

…18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 1-1 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 1-1 PART ONE Analysis Fundamentals and Skills Chapter 1 Fundamentals of Intelligence Analysis This chapter discusses the fundamentals of…

Emerging Analytic Techniques 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 A-13 Note. Remember that as indicators are developed to aid in scenario tracking, the analysts may see synergy between certain drivers that may be indicative…

Indicators in Decisive Action 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 B-3 Table B-1. Offensive indicators (continued) Activity Explanation Clearing lanes through own obstacles. Facilitates forward movement and grouping of assault units, particularly at…

Core Army Analytic Techniques 18 August 2014 ATP 2-33.4 5-17 compromise the identity, location, or actions of other cells. Compartmenting functions within organizational structure makes it difficult to penetrate the entire organization. Personnel…

…vi ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 vi ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Acknowledgements The critical thinking material has been used with permission from The Foundation for Critical Thinking, www.criticalthinking.org, The…