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Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 18

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…The first step of inductive reasoning is reaching a conclusion formulated on facts gathered by direct observation. 2-7. Unlike deductive reasoning, inductive reasoning can be a new source of knowledge; however, to be used correctly…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 110

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…those key actions, that taken in a timely manner might possibly prevent it from happening in the first place. Facts A-34. Counterfactual reasoning is conducted for several purposes:  Facilitate causal analysis. Many scenarios rely…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 46

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…It is our job to do our best to ensure that only appropriate targets be struck. —George Tenet Former Director of Central Intelligence (DCI) Remarks to the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, 22 The first…
Joint Targeting
Military manual · JP 3-60

JP 3-60, page 71

Joint Targeting

Joint Publication: Joint Targeting

…The first session is a review of completed operation (for example, the last 24 hours), focusing on the operational level and progress toward the JFC’s objectives. It should include an intelligence forecast of anticipated adversary…
Joint Operations
Military manual · JP 3-0

JP 3-0, page 18

Joint Operations

Joint Publication: Joint Operations

…The first principle in joint force organization is that JFCs organize forces to accomplish the mission based on their intent and CONOPS. Unity of command, centralized planning and direction, and decentralized execution are key considerations. JFCs…
Joint Targeting
Military manual · JP 3-60

JP 3-60, page 61

Joint Targeting

Joint Publication: Joint Targeting

…Phase 6—Targeting Assessment (1) The targeting assessment phase is a continuous process that assesses the effectiveness of the activities that occurred during the first five phases of the joint targeting cycle. The targeting assessment process…
Joint Targeting
Military manual · JP 3-60

JP 3-60, page 65

Joint Targeting

Joint Publication: Joint Targeting

…One important distinction is between direct and indirect effects. (1) Direct effects are the immediate, first-order consequences of a military action (weapons employment results, etc.), unaltered by intervening events or mechanisms. They In the previous…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 4

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…Targeting has been a vital part of air and space power since the first weapon was dropped from an aircraft. It has evolved over a century from a matter of primitive guesswork into a discipline based…
Joint Operations
Military manual · JP 3-0

JP 3-0, page 148

Joint Operations

Joint Publication: Joint Operations

Chapter V V-42 JP 3-0 the release of US mapping materials or imagery products may first require foreign disclosure/release adjudication. For further guidance on GEOINT, refer to JP 2-03, Geospatial Intelligence Support…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 104

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…An NSL will contain those facilities and structures that are protected under LOAC (churches, hospitals, etc). The RTL contains facilities and structures for which approval must first be obtained from the establishing authority before striking. These…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 43

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…Target Analysis takes the desired effects determined during planning or the first phase of the tasking cycle and matches them to specific targets. This analysis looks at the importance of various potential targets as enablers of…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 29

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…A direct effect is the first-order result of action with no intervening mechanism between act and outcome—usually immediate and empirically verifiable, like the results of weapons employment. Indirect effects are more complicated. An indirect…
Joint Targeting
Military manual · JP 3-60

JP 3-60, page 34

Joint Targeting

Joint Publication: Joint Targeting

…and required tasks. (2) Understanding the JFC’s guidance, CONOPS, and intent is the most important and first activity of joint targeting because they document the set of outcomes relevant to the present situation and set…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 123

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…them in tasking cycle products such as the air tasking order. (AFDD 2-1.9) direct effect. First-order result of an action with no intervening effect between action and outcome. Usually immediate, physical, and readily…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 45

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…The first part of validation asks such questions as: › Does the target meet CFACC or higher commanders’ objectives, guidance, and intent? › Is the target consistent with LOAC and ROE? › Is the desired effect on the target…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 118

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…Satisficing means picking the first solution that seems satisfactory, rather than going through all the possibilities to identify the very best solution. There may be several seemingly satisfactory solutions, but there is only one best solution…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 116

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

… First the analyst should define the issue at hand.  Next the analyst should identify all the key factors, forces, or events influencing the issue; this is referred to as the drivers. The analyst should…
Targeting
Military manual · AFDD 2-1.9

AFDD 2-1.9, page 25

Targeting

Air Force Doctrine Document: Targeting

…but come at a price. › EBO should always consider the “law of unintended consequences;” “no plan survives first contact with the enemy” without adapting. › EBO are a comprehensive way of thinking about conflict that must consider…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 38

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…Start with the first alternative and have one branch from this node for each realistic path the first event can take. For instance, the purchased equipment could be used for its intended purpose, or it could…
Intelligence Analysis
Military manual · ATP 2-33.4

ATP 2-33.4, page 19

Intelligence Analysis

Army Techniques Publication: Intelligence Analysis

…For the analyst, the first step in building critical thinking skills is to begin a course of personal study and practice with a goal of improving the ability to reason. This means moving outside the Army…