high point

…Two general targeting methodologies exist, each approaching the problem from opposite points of view. The first focuses on inputs to the battle; it concentrates mechanically on the number of sorties and ordnance delivered. The second approach…

…This guidance is an important input to subsequent mission analysis, but the completion of mission analysis is another point at which the JFC may provide updated planning guidance that affects COA development. (4) Commander’s Intent…

…The analyst then uses each of the first-order effects as a jumping point for further brainstorming. These indirect effects of the COA should be realistic, but will not necessarily be traceable directly to the original…

…Pair-rank the options based on the first criteria from the point of view of the threat decisionmaker. The pair-ranking is accomplished exactly like the procedure used in step 4 to rank the criteria. = Compare…

…EDA focuses on estimations of weapons effectiveness and therefore allows the commander to accept risk in the absence of other information, and is appropriate for all but high-priority targets. › Lower-scale conflict assessment is an…

…Reaching plausible conclusions can often entail speculation and much deductive and inductive reasoning. › Target’s normal or reported activity. › Target status (state or condition at a given point in time [e.g., “operational,” “inoperative”]). › Degree, proportion…

…The way most analysts begin analysis is to pick out what they suspect intuitively is the most likely answer, then look at the available information from the point of view of whether or not it supports…

…Basic structured analytic techniques are the starting point for most analysis and are unlikely to provide an answer to intelligence challenges on their own. However, they will provide insight that will support problem solving. The techniques…

…It is by attention to this point that I can foresee who is likely to win or lose.” Sun Tzu, The Art of War (circa 500 B.C.)

…Identify a complete set of high-level, non-overlapping hypotheses that seek to answer a clearly defined question. Use the technique of defining the issue to ensure that the question is clear. e@ Step 2. Generate…

…Such “point of origin hunting” has proven especially useful during stability and counterinsurgency operations such as those in Iraq. Target The target phase takes an identified, classified, located, and prioritized target; finalizes the desired effect and…

…The examples are designed to provide a starting point for more in-depth specific analysis for an operation. Term Changes Not applicable. viii ATP 2-33.4 18 August 2014 Introduction viii ATP 2-33.4…

…Logically, this consideration has nothing to do with the merits of the points under consideration. e@ Genetic fallacy: The genetic fallacy is the claim that, because an idea, product, or person must be wrong because of…

…damage assessment” (BDA) do not meet warfighters’ needs for assessment that can be acted upon in the high tempo of today’s battlespace, or that encompasses the full spectrum of operations. The traditional approach to assessment…

…It encompasses care provided from the point of illness or injury through rehabilitative care. For further guidance on HSS, refer to JP 4-02, Health Service Support. For further guidance on procedures for deployment health activities…

…During this stage, the AOC is the focal point for changes to the ATO and serves as the centralized control node for tasking joint air capabilities and forces. The AOC’s Combat Operations Division (COD) supervises…

…e@ Color-code your entries using red for those from the adversarial point of view and blue for those from the analyst’s point of view. EVENT MAPPING 3-25. Event mapping uses a brainstorming diagram…

…Effective deliberate targeting comes at a high cost in

…Elements of Operational Design Elements of Operational Design        Termination Military end state Objective Effects Center of gravity Decisive point Lines of operation and lines of effort   …

… High impact/Low probability analysis.  “What If” analysis.  Red Hat analysis.  Counterfactual reasoning. DEVIL’S ADVOCACY A-4. Devil’s advocacy is a process for critiquing a proposed analytic assessment, judgment, plan…