us air force

…The process is used to manage the organization’s information resources and optimize access to information by all who need it. As the key joint force staff integrator, the chief of staff may be responsible for…

Chapter 4 Diagnostic Analytic Techniques This chapter discusses the diagnostic analytic techniques routinely used by intelligence analysts. It discusses in detail the common techniques of deception detection, key assumptions check, quality of information check, indicators, and…

…Counterfactual reasoning is an analytic method that is useful for discovering the relationships between possible events and their most plausible outcomes. It essentially combines two of the contrarian techniques already discussed:  High impact/low probability…

…military now uses link analysis in analyzing terrorist and other complex networks. Link analysis is used by intelligence personnel to identify connections between individuals, organizations, and activities in order to determine associations. 5-31. There are…

…Using numerical probabilities ensures mathematical rules are followed and forces consideration of a complete set of alternatives. This in turn gives the analyst a rational basis to judge whether the probability distribution is an accurate reflection…

…The following steps are one method to use the CARVER technique:  Step 1. List the variable to be compared. It may be useful to use brainstorming to get an initial list and then refine it…

…The incident overlay is constructed by plotting specific activities on the map using appropriate symbols. Counterinsurgency and other stability-dominated environments may require using many unfamiliar symbols, so it is critical to have a legend in…

…For example, the analyst could use half-colored circles to denote a greater probability of association (using subjective probability; see chapter 3). Figure 5-4 on page 5-12 is an example of an activities matrix…

…Analysts use the brainstorming technique in the same manner as it is used for developing situational understanding and conclusions as discussed in chapter 5. Facts A-49. Brainstorming should be a very structured process to be…

…Reports of thefts or sudden shortages of chemicals, which could be used in the clandestine manufacture of explosives. Reports of large open-market purchases of explosives-related chemicals without an identifiable industrial use. Appearance of manufactured…

…The following can assist when using link diagrams:  Watch for clutter. Charts may become cluttered by too much data; peripheral data may be set aside.  Use simple charts. Large complex charts can be broken…

…The Army has used many different sources in its doctrinal discussions of critical thinking. Among those most cited, as well as those used in the development of this discussion, are Dr. Richard Paul and Dr. Linda…

…The use of proportionate force, when necessary for the protection of US flag vessels and aircraft, US citizens (whether embarked in US or foreign vessels), and their property against unlawful violence. (Approved for incorporation into JP…

…A group or team using these analytic techniques is usually more effective than a single analyst because this technique stimulates learning and new ideas. BRAINSTORMING 5-4. Brainstorming is a widely used technique for stimulating new…

…A technique is a way of doing something by using special knowledge or skill. An analytic technique is a way of looking at a problem, resulting in a conclusion, an assessment, or both. A technique differs…

…e Enables DCGS-A to task, process, post, and use data from Army, Joint, and National sensors. e@ Provides a metadata catalog that defines how you describe data. The metadata allows DCGS-A to expose the…

…The following can assist when using an event tree: e@ Use this technique in conjunction with weighted ranking, hypothesis review techniques, and subjective probability to gain added insights. e Leverage the expertise of a group of…

…For further guidance on the use of a systems perspective in operational design and joint operation planning, refer to JP 5-0, Joint Operation Planning. Figure IV-2. The Interconnected Operational Environment Legend Decisive Point COG…

…Analysts can use time event charts to help analyze larger scale patterns of such things as activities and relationships. It uses symbols to represent events, dates, and the flow of time. Triangles are used to depict…

The Art of Joint Command II-5 supports operational art with a general methodology using elements of operational design for understanding the situation and the problem. The methodology helps the JFC and staff to understand conceptually…