general dynamics

…pathways to the event; it is likely that more than one will appear possible.  Step 6. Generate a list of indicators or signposts in order to detect the beginnings of the event.  Step 7…

…For example, given a list of Afghanistan provinces, with a generalized indicator list for Taliban use of criminal enterprises, the analyst can determine which provinces (in prioritized order with rationale) are most dangerous to the Afghan…

…Take the alternatives, options, or hypothesis generated or another process to fill in the first column of a matrix under the column heading of Options. e@ Step 2. On a separate sheet of paper or file…

…The devil’s advocate must be sure any products generated clearly lay out the conventional wisdom and are identified as an explicitly devil’s advocate project to avoid confusion with the current accepted analytic assessment. TEAM…

…Conventional analysis generally entails looking for evidence to confirm a favored hypothesis.

…A concept is a generalized idea of a thing or a class of things. People do not always share the same concept of a thing. For example, the concept of happiness means something different to each…

…In some cases, the analyst or a team can review a key assumption of a critical judgment in the course of their work, or a separate analytic product can be generated that arrays all the arguments…

…possibility coverage may compromise essential security or disclose critical information. 17. Considerations for Enabling Civil Authority a. General. In this phase, the joint operation normally is terminated when the stated military strategic and/or operational objectives…

…The analyst thinks in terms of likely or required precursor events that point towards and/or generates the possible event. The purpose is to identify two to three deviations from the original ten casual forces that…

…Logic fallacies and biases are two general categories of analytical pitfalls. LOGIC FALLACIES 2-33. Logic fallacies are errors in the reasoning process caused by the failure to apply sound logic. Although usually committed unintentionally, these…

…Are the indicators mutually exclusive and comprehensive? Have a sufficient number of high-quality indicators been generated for each scenario to enable an effective analysis? Can the indicators be used to help detect a planned attack…

…Link analysis generally follows the order shown. Analysts must understand that steps 1 and 2 are often interchanged and/or done concurrently. Each of these steps is discussed below:  Step 1. Construct an association matrix…

…Joint operations is a general term that describes military actions conducted by joint forces and those Service forces employed in specified command relationships with each other, which, of themselves, do not establish joint forces. A joint…

…It normally provides specific instructions to include call signs, targets, controlling agencies, etc., as well as general instructions. The ATO may subsume the ACO and SPINS, or these may be published as separate orders. SPINS are…

…Use the cataloged effects collected in the observation node to quantify the performance of the device type. Generate ideas on how to make the device better and provide it to the adaptation and/or research and…

…Sorting can be used at any stage and is particularly effective during initial data gathering and hypothesis generation. 3-10. Sorting massive amounts of data can provide insights into trends or abnormalities that warrant further analysis…

40 It is critically important to stress that all estimates generated during this phase are situation-specific, reflecting the pairing of a particular force against a particular target, under a particular condition of employment. As such…

…Information is processed data of every description which may be used when conducting analysis; information generally provides some of the answers to who, what, where, and when questions. Knowledge is the fact or condition of knowing…

…We're not softening them up, we're killing them. —General T. Michael “Buzz” Moseley CSAF; at the time OIF CFACC Press interview, 5 April 2003

…In particular, this appendix discusses issues related to the basic principles of the law of war, ROE, general restrictions, precautions in attack, separation of military activities, special protections, national sovereignty, and environmental considerations. 2. International Law…